标题: 2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布 [打印本页] 作者: ilikenba 时间: 2022-12-2 08:01 标题: 2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布 2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 5 v. i' ^: `* w2 n/ `7 mhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx* v. p- g8 m) i) _: {
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2022) S9 `8 N" G* U0 D( w
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling - Q' {# E! R* |" y. I# } qhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 9 P; N" i4 j" \% g/ d' [- |Problem A (MCM)7 l( i; K0 f% i/ Q# U5 c
How Pterosaurs Fly3 J9 a* j# s) e! y( j: e8 c) W6 r
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They9 l- q8 ], |# [3 r& b2 f0 z: a
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of5 U3 k1 n! a$ J! X; E8 { J6 E
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved * ]; b+ f) H- ~. G/ I% {+ y- Lpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and; t5 S, l; Q' ] |3 W W
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth % k5 K' x% Q4 M5 lfifinger[1]. + t# d6 s7 q- `! v9 g5 _" _1 XThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller9 z% m* h" C+ v8 @
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem) l% L u3 ]3 N# n8 j5 c7 c" _; f
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they 4 h& c: K$ G" ~would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and 8 B% |. K8 U$ W. cstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived J# ]4 }- s. W$ C8 [$ K1 x W
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.1 _) z2 }' L" z% S4 k8 a! s- F
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles." w: `* o5 d# t, K
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, 2 `" P4 z: C$ band long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on% z! U' J! O0 |
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and 5 m7 R( b) [1 Q3 l7 `folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil , ]. F/ B- g! j) @0 ltrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. - Q* C* L) N! B3 _' zPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which $ s6 C) \, J9 ^covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have. O. o) L2 o9 T
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug 2 V' a. O5 z/ z7 G) F5 h1 `gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de 5 O" f. Z( A# ~+ A9 b9 z2 kriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning/ C8 X+ |% [0 n" I2 ` y
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded7 v1 ?4 P- W3 }5 L) S; s! I
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec ) j6 O x- ?. K* v* Y5 C3 c& {/ Dtional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones3 [; u' N) W4 J" `
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from( | c2 {, E+ E7 P4 I
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 4 i5 _' _/ y* jQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least0 A( c! e5 F* f- d2 g1 ]3 _
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong . o$ F% K' U. N: e1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.7 Q2 ^; Q6 M! R5 w. p
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled% o. c* V1 T$ t, X9 n" g1 E
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded2 a) W: c$ z% e) p( n) T
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,5 J; @; L8 `& K% V2 e
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able 9 B# D- ?: c+ H# G* Yto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].5 f: m G: ^$ q6 T8 |. `/ u
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology1 m r+ y/ C& `. ]/ L
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs 3 h X9 a+ z- _# Q+ j3 w. i8 Dbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 5 u+ [- z8 A4 T3 v. x! |such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that # s( Y/ c. F! j- m' a H% j; R: Qatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed5 a0 O# b1 Q- `0 L0 _7 @
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. # E" U& E$ {5 ~5 f4 w. OAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.- N' P& @4 B# y9 k, x- Z( t
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones8 B! s2 U( M' y* X) V# d' U
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage+ U0 t; r# M, B. C# n
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for " t( m6 G3 h9 Tgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 3 b, H/ G4 x9 Z6 L+ g" B; vand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as6 D Q v7 [$ Y9 t1 P- f+ G. m
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of 8 i# V0 D& p& Y' b. x3 NJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism * u% U% K+ j; Q" Z; Q% D' nto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would2 _+ Q- L8 \7 f' m( w
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds$ {) @/ e: i9 g7 W- Y2 b- c! |
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].' |: F# |1 E( i! N# R8 v
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the , [' y( P& q( ]' Q4 Q% }flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and7 h$ @- Y/ D( `" a; D* W9 ~5 v
to answer the following questions.7 s& V; }' `# w( i8 v
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor 8 k% F7 m6 k6 Q$ g: X4 c+ amal flflight.+ B& g% T# q$ Q: ?0 c; k, j7 [, s
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during , `$ }8 E; f, S6 s2 K. \normal flflight.' n- t/ D1 a% a5 ]! `3 _6 j. T: l
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like & [# ]! q. C* ~, Q/ ^birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. 5 \4 K% ~# C! [0 EReferences $ \$ [4 H9 i) p6 b, V, M2 n[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight : p$ b" u4 i! R( XMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. : v; z" Z% @4 i! f3 ]' e U2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. , H- K) G% V5 Y _https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php + J$ n. x$ m/ A4 k; ~[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs) {( b5 ?0 R- }# ^, ]
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-2 {9 _8 E/ X" @4 @: ?
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html : J0 S5 g. z9 W4 T[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a 5 k9 V9 Y3 b7 |0 m5 }rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)5 v7 W. C2 c% y9 I' R% C0 r
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):8 ?8 l% Z- m5 L _- W
1983-87. ( {3 | x3 m5 D! ^+ z1 ?[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust 1 e# t( W5 x3 }9 y( e8 N7 w9 Z4 Yskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): ' p- X$ a8 g' T* r180-84.3 y; W, s5 y9 U1 p/ e/ t
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? 7 y+ j k S. \0 D9 V5 K, mhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs3 c o4 D9 c+ U' @. O3 o: q7 e
too-big-to-flfly/ 1 w m7 I& N; g- {* k[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology: {3 V3 _5 p& r m0 {% B
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. 5 I) U7 L G( Z; D% P, s[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable; H4 a6 @: K! v% g, T
air sacs in their wings. ( x5 ?0 X, x: ?; f9 P& Y7 S4 mhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur 0 P. j+ a% m( S4 ubreathing-air-sacs& H. j7 s) ~4 H/ H: ^6 ?* J
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.5 ^ j. B& {' Z; H t$ |, S
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils 4 `+ B# i' ~) F' D: C9 tresearch-mark-witton & Y8 x9 V9 H, O5 O, a; r[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?/ `. v9 d3 I2 {% k, N5 b, g
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs " T6 F9 x0 ?$ |6 E0 o3 v& Fvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ " \( S& ]/ O4 j% }+ d; W . ]: M9 R" Z* z; x4 K) W4 p2 }2022 3 `1 X( C; r4 w( r4 f) S6 rCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 8 U- |& q) B) u+ ]7 K$ E. uhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& T3 s2 d6 c: m
Problem B (MCM)9 y- y7 s! N- W# Y
The Genetic Process of Sequences! L0 C, c% _% X8 i0 i; s7 y; r
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein' t, ]; g7 I2 s) t0 M% d
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of $ V- |6 K3 e# I+ L0 ~5 u# c' mlife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their/ Z/ L) J8 Y3 H" w; y# o/ ]+ S
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong 4 [1 {6 S) r5 S) q, r" Pevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common ; F$ j2 c+ I8 Hancestral sequence[2].+ l G3 I$ L, Y, ^! Z
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu5 J( \ L% p4 ^/ t# _. N
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation. s, s: f" e5 o0 \" M e, h
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and9 x2 T6 c5 J+ I
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by1 X. Y0 d1 J# l# F
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together9 g" z f( T; Y6 D/ v6 d6 H
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. 4 x$ U+ n, ]' VYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com) F. I6 ?& o) w. o
plete the following problems.8 ?& P' e- n6 g' b
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between . N$ J( u/ O. m9 Ltwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. 1 A8 V0 {( d% n# V5 G) K2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and / q& n& ]) z6 H- ?8 jdesign suitable examples to illustrate it. * D2 z; i$ B+ G0 y8 p3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an6 O% r4 u: `/ ?( E' p9 D1 v
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral " Y& r) v0 x. n( esequence, and map the genealogical tree.4 B1 e3 i: U0 k7 M: @: Z' F0 @0 m
References 7 M! c5 j$ E: v) K) d1 k& F[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re # L6 o! S$ \6 K( Fview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. : R) i+ A4 c% V* h# J[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,) F8 Y% |# b5 {4 j4 U8 D+ o- y2 c5 z
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and- T7 p( V2 m6 W# [: H" w
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 2 E! @ M* a! w9 B/ C/ O2 Q5 x* b# k( c
2022' f0 m; ]8 f9 _
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling. W1 }8 H U9 |7 i4 {+ _; T
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn0 Y, q( {; {) V- J
Problem C (ICM) / u8 I" W! M) g/ a* mClassify Human Activities9 ^) Q# m: o- w# I- t
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and3 j I4 D4 `8 _ f% f
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im; m2 F0 D3 P, l
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor; J6 `! f' p: M) E2 G
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ, i3 s- p' X$ f6 w
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly ( @' z$ A% P1 c, w6 W/ Zremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], ( q: o. b# S* M: A. _* xmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in : ^1 F' \2 y {0 E: p$ Z! [3 x* Yschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, % b7 b+ z; G$ v4 J+ V* B9 Jsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain$ ^+ U) c* d4 E; E2 x
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial " {6 [: v# W+ B* p xsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify% W$ X# \0 S9 [& d9 _
human activities, the following data were obtained. ( A& a7 v+ w: lEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, ! F0 Y( r" u5 |( G# q* Gbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes! Z4 R9 ^ L$ O/ L2 }
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ + E6 ~. O, c+ q) l0 p8 f# j, eities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be( }9 X( ]0 s& U( f0 ~8 T- h
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and: j' k6 f# t1 p- {" W
amplitudes of some activities." y' F! B3 Q' q# ~! [2 a, Y' B
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 1 F1 o! W) ~9 n, ]: m: ?The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal: e, g" e8 f5 q0 I2 c8 ~, P
segments are obtained for each activity.4 O, P ~0 S" w. L, Y& W4 x
The 19 activities are:, X" G- ^. c. S
1. Sitting (A1);- E# q K# g! m
2. Standing (A2);" I. q3 |( G. q' ?* q- _
3. Lying on back (A3);" Q! h# v8 O0 J5 _ y; ~* N; [3 T
4. Lying on right side (A4);7 U# m {/ }; h
5. Ascending stairs (A5);2 A0 s9 d& d6 }4 l
16. Descending stairs (A6); v Q j7 B4 p# @3 ~, H' G7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); * w' R4 V2 G1 }0 n! H) p& V) E/ n2 B8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);1 X/ T! M- k1 l/ r$ V
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);0 ]# [: Y. a K3 i
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg : z5 d+ ]9 B7 _0 Tinclined positions (A10); % s( e$ j+ [3 S1 g7 ?; z11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions/ a6 }! }$ `8 K# S4 [2 f1 ?
(A11); ! G3 E& S* M9 `. W8 C% W12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); / Y% z1 p2 G' @13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);/ }, C, H& \ F, q1 C* Z- s+ J
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); |+ h* I# T ?2 {: v
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);$ N* Q& G6 G- d1 l4 l$ C
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); 3 Q9 M8 t/ N2 R% C! [5 Y: D17. Rowing (A17);- }5 k! o8 _# E: [9 s
18. Jumping (A18); % t- J7 h5 G! z2 A19. Playing basketball (A19). ; ^5 E' {. ]3 P$ m1 Q5 GYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve) v6 s" t9 E% t1 b0 S2 ?
the following problems.$ i# x Y* B" i$ i; n, _* |
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify " m! U# h; y8 j0 `& kthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. ' b/ \- b& ~7 ]9 [2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have+ C2 w8 Q& e/ V$ t
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study$ j' X2 _0 S z! Y5 A* f8 P8 C9 I6 M
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to; W; \8 n# X, z! K% U
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. 2 i; |0 i; |2 m4 P' |! T* M3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- 2 M/ M9 N# [# B: n& Vcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action- g; R( S, x- n# L% p) q6 R
classifification. a- S; x& S( A5 {) a6 [
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:, h+ G- D/ l5 ` c
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq8 g: x) X& k: E( e6 {
2Appendix: File structure4 t8 p8 _( g9 T+ g D$ E
• 19 activities (a)# u9 p2 r7 x- v& e: {8 ?
• 8 subjects (p) ( ~0 h5 ^0 y/ j: n) {: j• 60 segments (s) ! w$ D6 |% ^8 x# { I1 I5 ^& |• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left, c) q/ H1 U3 V' Y
leg (LL)& H9 s& K4 U3 ~! J
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z - y' g$ Q2 K& b" S& r8 R- gmagnetometers)9 _* o5 v9 u+ v+ M
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. & s6 |) j# @- h! y8 W/ P9 y+ cFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the & _ M# _# {/ [# z$ L+ _8 subjects. 0 S2 G; @ B# C. TIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each 2 J+ S1 p) b$ h, N) g2 _- t Ysegment. 7 u/ U& ~7 i+ P/ l6 kIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25- |, Y. y1 y* I4 S$ `& F! j! T
Hz = 125 rows.* P3 w) R5 p. X
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the N5 W2 F( p5 i( }1 f2 x) y; J' xsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.) ?& B0 N$ ~ k, d q* ~
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 3 a" A) d# @1 a$ Jsampling instant separated by commas. $ c, L' E1 w ]/ h' _Columns 1-45 correspond to: 7 o& `9 C5 h7 T• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,% |. s% Q" G. r9 L4 f
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,. r" V$ V9 D( E' \! v
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, ; D4 V# I( d. N' g• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, 9 a; a9 s# \3 O4 K4 m. S• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.7 r$ o2 C, L% N$ E* P3 l: ?
Therefore,+ Q" @2 p! Y' S7 U! k% i
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),0 b* |5 t% Z- Y- f7 q
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 5 N! @% p$ m4 h" g3 G5 v• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), x: f" \' e1 e/ z6 h% u- [• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),4 B8 X6 B% d1 n# \
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).3 t/ }1 v) Q) j7 ]
3References: ]/ V p8 h. i: s0 j: U
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic: [6 z8 a5 C0 b8 Z
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.. n6 Y1 f9 @! Y, d" c& v- H! h7 g* q. e0 A
42(5), 679-687, 2004" [* T# \- d2 H( ^% l, Y+ ~
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of/ Y2 V0 R t; } m3 t
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.8 `! d. G& h+ W: Y$ H
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20084 ]3 h7 a% p4 ^& V% T
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag 7 n# F- V* `" l' Bnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. 1 o7 s7 {8 \3 ]! L( YB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 ( K1 G9 P' ~9 {( |[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con, V4 x5 z/ @- ~5 e, P* P0 Q; I
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008- W, l+ R @- q% X1 Q& y) H6 d" C
7 f v; w& P4 e( i: ^
2022 , B) ~3 P; Z: y1 I5 O9 {Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling3 ^4 |/ m4 a0 C2 u. Q
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn . K, ?' e: ?2 P1 q& s2 F' SProblem D (ICM) ' i% O' X) w) t6 P3 F+ X7 BWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long1 V2 i9 v$ g% @6 f( ~- v
Time ! ]. z4 U% B% K& I' CWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the+ U2 R1 m2 [% x9 l
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source 0 l5 J$ ~! k% W2 c l! b. Uof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently# ^& q3 D) p5 R3 s+ m
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, " v* Z- p5 X; s6 Nwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some% _2 ~" ]9 J8 x# r& w7 y9 E
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 2 D' n. f7 B G- P" {5 A: ~ends. 4 F$ i6 `: ?& \$ Q+ eHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?5 a" J( e. |* e5 y3 E! _: `
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas- K v$ ~: x/ v4 `: o
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo . @' Z8 Q; k( G9 d& cple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could( N# ]) H( P9 O; n
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil' u. m" X1 K! i) L' U) k$ n
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of: Y6 |( b/ ~' K* s$ X
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. : P. D G. A ZA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology ' e4 R, u# v$ X, A. win China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their * A. u" }4 m/ x+ q' Usmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have 4 H0 T9 @2 u0 `- nidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with ( l) f, I d; U. Ball the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing4 B0 Y) u- t: `# W2 n
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen 3 R) e) {* \* S2 Cfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 6 G& ~8 |9 B8 B* U% DNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in ' N% ^( a. R5 Z# j/ n: U; aYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in2 Y+ [2 x' |1 j; _0 E" ?
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife " ?' T& S8 E% B, T6 otrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature4 T, Q5 j+ M7 o& P7 j7 F( {( ]
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact ( X2 R8 S% c! [3 {0 R4 Awith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients; i% P7 _/ f5 j d1 z6 D% a6 N
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. 4 O7 Z' s# } F0 N, P* l) ^Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:6 ?: U9 a+ J8 t5 |) q1 f
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS - D1 A+ [) i2 \" e; Z* ?outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL% ~4 J: C/ k0 `
• Decline and extinction of populations 9 Y( c3 F* g7 @3 V. _& ?- p• Introduction of invasive species& `$ B4 p0 ]# l. m+ w5 s# U
• Spread of new diseases to humans( T' q3 m8 x- w
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database; u0 |, Y8 X/ u5 \
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The 3 u: j9 ?' W& Iappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete. y. c6 K3 d" g! }+ g# W) x( e; A
database can also be obtained through the following link: 8 o5 z5 J/ }, O& C/ Thttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ" L8 X* C( E% t- X. Z& S
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod* t# [. l! M3 S8 I" _$ z8 w
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: $ K* t% O+ b% b5 E) V% N7 ]( q1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live& q4 I$ s* X( B/ g7 N k$ U* y% k
animals taken from the wild)?- `9 ^! J+ V1 T
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?! n2 N8 p- E% J! u* ~$ Q) D2 D4 m# c. C
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? ( r: k, J% H2 ]9 ~( l& M4 H4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major ' f& W* ?+ c$ N* V2 ainfectious diseases? ' P5 b+ p, \! t+ O; }25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it" H/ [" L) m, C4 O# ~$ ^
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?/ H/ b$ H1 w5 \! }% J
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain0 T6 a3 ~5 c9 o
your views and policy suggestions. ) {2 i( a7 E% {( H1 K7 O8 H( c- @ r9 R1 j+ c; I4 T
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