灰色系统理论及其应用 (八) ：GM(2,1)和 DGM 模型
GM(1,1)模型适用于具有较强指数规律的序列，只能描述单调的变化过程，对于非单调的摆动发展序列或有饱和的 S 形序列，可以考虑建立 GM(2,1)，DGM 和 Verhulst 模型。1 GM(2,1)模型https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430201621193.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430201656626.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430201730673.png（2）齐次方程的通解有以下三种情况：https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430201757397.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70（3）白化方程的特解有以下三种情况：https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430201832150.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70 例 5 上海市上网户数的 GM(2,1)模型。1996～2001 年上海市上网户数数据序列为https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430202002407.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430202153295.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/2019043020221729.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70计算的 MATLAB 程序如下：clc,clear
x0=;
n=length(x0);
x1=cumsum(x0)
a_x0=diff(x0);
a_x0=
for i=2:n
z(i)=0.5*(x1(i)+x1(i-1));
end
B=[-x0(2:end)',-z(2:end)',ones(n-1,1)];
Y=a_x0(2:end)';
u=B\Y
x=dsolve('D2x+a1*Dx+a2*x=b','x(0)=c1,x(5)=c2');
x=subs(x,{'a1','a2','b','c1','c2'},{u(1),u(2),u(3),x1(1),x1(6)});
yuce=subs(x,'t',0:n-1);
digits(6),x=vpa(x)
x0_hat=
epsilon=x0-x0_hat
delta=abs(epsilon./x0)
2 DGM(2,1)模型https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430202342140.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430202410795.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/2019043020244232.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430202455999.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430202531302.png例6 试对序列建模DGM(2,1)https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430202606574.pnghttps://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430202655962.png?x-oss-process=image/watermark,type_ZmFuZ3poZW5naGVpdGk,shadow_10,text_aHR0cHM6Ly9ibG9nLmNzZG4ubmV0L3FxXzI5ODMxMTYz,size_16,color_FFFFFF,t_70https://img-blog.csdnimg.cn/20190430202800402.png计算的MATLAB程序如下：
clc,clear
x0=;
n=length(x0);
a_x0=diff(x0);
a_x0=
B=[-x0(2:end)',ones(n-1,1)];
Y=a_x0(2:end)';
u=B\Y
x=dsolve('D2x+a*Dx=b','x(0)=c1,Dx(0)=c2');
x=subs(x,{'a','b','c1','c2'},{u(1),u(2),x0(1),x0(1)});
yuce=subs(x,'t',0:n-1);
digits(6),x=vpa(x)
x0_hat=
epsilon=x0-x0_hat
delta=abs(epsilon./x0)
页:
[1]