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Nonrenewable Resources
不可再生的资源 Select a vital nonrenewable or exhaustible resource (water, mineral, energy, food, etc.) for which your team can find appropriate world-wide historic data on its endowment, discovery, annual consumption, and price.
选择一个至关重要的,但不能再生或者用得尽的资源(水,矿物质,能源,食品,等等), 你的队需要找 到一些关于它的蕴藏量,已发现储量,每年消费额和价格的数据,这些数据应该是适合世界范围的、有 历史意义的。
The modeling tasks are:
建立模型的要求是: Using the endowment, discoveries, and consumption data, model the depletion or degradation of the commodity over a long horizon using resource modeling principles.
利用资源模型化原则,使用蕴藏量,已发现储量,每年消费额的数据,建立一个世界范围的日常消耗或 退化的模型。 Adjust the model to account for future economic, demographic, political and environmental factors.
考虑将来经济,人口统计,政治的模特和环境等因素,调整你的模型。
Be sure to reveal the details of your model, provide visualizations of the model’s output, and explain limitations of the model.
需要揭示你的模型的细节,提供可视化的模型输出,并且表述模型的限制。 Create a fair, practical "harvesting/management" policy that may include economic incentives or disincentives, which sustain the usage over a long period of time while avoiding severe disruption of consumption, degradation or rapid exhaustion of the resource.
建立一个公正的,实用的"收获/管理"政策,可能包括经济奖励或者惩罚,能保持长时间的可用, 避免 消耗,退化或者资源的迅速的竭尽。
Develop a "security" policy that protects the resource against theft, misuse, disruption, and unnecessary degradation or destruction of the resource.
制定一个用来保护资源以防偷窃,错用,破坏和资源的不必要的退化或者灭绝的"安全"政策。
Other issues that may need to be addressed are political and security management alternatives associated with these policies.
其他可能需要处理的问题是与这些政策相关的政治和安全管理的选择。 Develop policies to control any short- or long-term "environmental effects" of the harvesting.
建立政策来控制短期或者长期的"环境效应"的收益。
Be sure to include issues such as pollutants, increased susceptibility to natural disasters, waste handling and storage, and other factors you deem appropriate.
需要包括一些其它的问题,例如环境污染,增加对自然灾害的敏感性,垃圾的处理和贮存以及你认为合 适的其他因素。
Compare this resource with any other alternatives for its purpose. What new science or technologies could be developed to mitigate the use and potential exhaustion of this resource? Develop a research policy to advance these new areas. 基于这个目的,把这种资源的其它一些选择相比较。什么新科学或者技术可能被应用来减少这种资源的 使用和潜在的竭尽?发展一个研究计划来发展这个新的领域。
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