2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 / D5 {1 a5 z: X
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx: u, ]0 J; o. R, K' p- c/ v! P& Y
' B7 |* s( a: {) I7 C2022 1 R. T* U" l# H+ Q* W3 uCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 0 Z: S$ B& y5 F8 U" Mhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 6 d, w c* f: e9 a9 B' SProblem A (MCM)( |- S9 q1 V+ n( ^" U
How Pterosaurs Fly5 i% w+ v) j3 T2 P7 X; j6 @% c; B( r
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They5 X+ H0 E# O9 V+ p8 T, N; ]
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of0 w: F3 \! ~5 @2 q z
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved0 @; R7 F9 C& i& {
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and . P; M1 U% F# j8 l% V" yother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth' P* |* j' \5 w7 `% q1 c8 k1 Q
fifinger[1]. $ d! b+ w4 v2 `There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller ; J! q, c. s/ e5 [7 d9 \animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem% K2 M( F& U$ x8 y; k' U" Z6 Q
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they0 H3 r! }! i3 k
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and + o9 W7 r- w! q# istrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived/ ?% v* l. H1 ~. {3 `5 H- o" ^
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. ( x1 {% }" \; z) ^- j, i8 q+ _Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. : M+ B& [' A) A( yPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,1 {2 C. g$ J: ^ G% i
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on# ?4 P( u& S" C3 b, v" @, M
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and6 a4 ^' g, ^, n8 h8 G b4 \7 w
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil 7 S# H0 V0 h3 ^5 J! Y. e$ N+ htrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. A8 c H3 h1 y
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which; X7 B! d' z- c) P: T
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have( |- q. f& M& r6 x
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug, E' E4 C8 Q3 O" E
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de 1 z, Q/ m3 E( D& z4 w; J8 `riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning2 ~7 w2 g8 F& B* S- w/ Q& Y8 ]
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded$ @- n N: J2 _- }
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec 9 X% ?. F; R# t* B* b7 v) Etional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones8 x4 Y& O/ X2 Y9 |5 f: @0 J+ i
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from % \/ R# B% d$ fthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including " p8 Q4 B2 B( r* b, k4 UQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least0 N5 f+ r8 ~1 F% X$ e0 J7 C
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong ) t1 k- Y, A' E1 u1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers./ E9 p9 ~$ J& o/ M
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled; _- b [ }4 |8 s
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded- O( a3 O/ a0 j/ ?
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, M! X4 c4 ]8 v1 O1 L- K1 N" U! e
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able: Y+ a: Z8 {2 \
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].4 W+ O- I8 `( K
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology % Y3 S" \" {: M, A/ Qof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs $ U( A3 Z% N: r; z+ ?/ B5 O7 N0 K. _ f- kbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 4 z* p+ J7 u! Vsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that$ u) e3 i$ R3 l. O; h: q
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed 3 n1 ?5 I3 J# h w1 d6 ]4 [for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].4 N) ~6 ~1 E2 ~9 \' K- W% m3 w
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.$ O# M0 k- c, W0 d
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones0 x2 O2 a8 t }9 g$ i% \# ~) m
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage0 j8 F# ^( E J6 }
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for0 z+ Q s* a( Z' ]+ U% v" z3 t
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 8 `6 t9 D9 i- x% a3 l$ ?6 mand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as, f8 u m2 {! h- l% P( y6 q
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ; X5 w! e9 ]# _8 [" w, _) |Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism . d: I% F/ y: k Hto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would, W1 w( v. f {! H; m6 i2 _
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds; K% B$ i( P, \1 P3 i6 |) R. P" Q7 @
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]./ e* R0 b7 P) b% }( e- W
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the) W3 x( Y' D6 I! E: ^ n9 G; G
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and) l: b" x/ @: S+ f' k( `
to answer the following questions.& ?. Y3 q1 @0 C5 }8 T- d
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor/ @* R% Y @( Y. O, Y
mal flflight. ( F( l, A+ Z7 |8 r9 e6 W N6 |' w) w2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during- Z" v; }2 O* k; J- Z- e, o
normal flflight." b/ @' D9 I4 a+ M* D- y I9 ^
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like1 \) b n& G. k4 Q- s3 O' T5 i' P
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.; j3 B" x( i7 o- d0 S; c" F
References) j: [/ C4 M1 o; ^
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight0 m0 q) U1 m( {8 ^" ^, h0 s2 E
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. 1 D4 _8 G2 P9 K8 {& D2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.; {2 Y3 L" Z; K6 e2 x W1 U
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php + e$ X0 B9 n% |$ S3 R) X- i[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs & v5 b2 A& _- n& f! N' @+ z' hWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- 9 X! b& f9 P/ b: spterosaurs-had-feathers.html ! u2 r& m: l5 c$ w1 d[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a- J2 `6 @5 W/ O, @9 K" E& F
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) 6 \# P" y" e3 J/ }% G! ?* Q7 r0 |/ tfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): ( y! }( t5 F/ ~2 f1 `9 x1983-87.* b9 R, w `- ?# Z/ \# L4 m
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust, k# O4 p$ ~! n* P2 \0 W, d/ U
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): / Y. K; B( B: X: \180-84. ; o8 c5 I: c6 n$ H7 {[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? 4 J+ o, o6 G% qhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs3 |0 q9 ^' F; t/ t# o9 H
too-big-to-flfly/ 3 ~( \* d& `+ @/ y8 T" |[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology% u! B8 M8 [7 [7 ~3 K, H
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. & y' [" c( q! i* x! R+ ^[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable ( G) O9 C( N$ T' a9 dair sacs in their wings. , j% a9 x& T- H: x4 c h5 B5 ]( ohttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur f, G7 ?1 E5 N- n+ m( A: \
breathing-air-sacs* S! G' A J5 u! J p* z/ g( i
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.6 J- @- B0 ~ G" ]9 X
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils + o' s5 s3 L9 j! Bresearch-mark-witton / w) U. s7 n; z' ][10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? 7 z- C, `$ o6 ehttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs, Z, K' E7 C$ I- K& h. ]
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/* G) {% U4 x+ l
! l9 A! a+ w- _; Q+ S. {: r
2022 ( w/ E/ M3 H) E |6 ?9 D* V7 b( }Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling3 p2 L3 y3 w% j" ~
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn; j9 }; F6 `0 t6 V2 D9 A
Problem B (MCM)7 t, G6 c: \, d9 G3 g+ V9 E) p
The Genetic Process of Sequences# I7 h- I8 Z5 A
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein 0 X" B$ x H8 K S% A; q' Y( Msequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of8 Y- |% N) s( D- E" @, ~
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their 9 r7 V1 ^& _2 I1 I3 i* Lnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong3 ^2 G1 A9 a1 t
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common0 E. s" N% @# @6 i9 p
ancestral sequence[2].9 l, x. w2 _+ B# {0 f n% M1 n
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu # [. ^ O7 B3 N3 E/ ~cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation2 f' i9 F) u8 o0 ^* y
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and 3 [& O& W0 H/ p; R' w: h$ }deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by ' ^( H# o8 F- @, q1 sthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together H0 B) C, n+ L& J3 |# Z$ J
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. 3 N+ {* R# V" Z7 }4 R! ~' g$ i2 YYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com4 m B& c3 I. i s
plete the following problems. 0 x2 x1 [- _! R# K4 I& I1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between ! b9 w. X' L$ Btwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.! ?" l1 |& P: g9 h0 G
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and; A( G0 [! v7 p2 h9 l, D
design suitable examples to illustrate it. 7 j. c q, e" m# m' v3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an% e: V& E; ^) N9 Q( i8 _
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral 5 F# E# ]* Y# f( P: {sequence, and map the genealogical tree.. v# [7 A# _% |% ?6 \
References 3 |3 H/ g5 M8 V* I" v! y9 B[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re 5 l, x7 o B; [! ]- J( R. |view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. . I2 v/ z( \2 V9 z4 i[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, & P0 l( L; v+ ^9 p3 I1 y; cet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and % L+ C- f! e9 P+ |- N% Da way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 5 e7 f) }- g( n! C; W. K 5 T% m, H' e1 r: Z+ Y$ V1 a2022$ N+ M. F& p6 p. i9 g4 _6 e0 K( @
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling5 z/ e. Q: C; |3 E! v: P: Y
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn1 [: e) L" w# J- a D& y
Problem C (ICM) ; v" w. C K3 {- x. O( m: lClassify Human Activities ) s7 _3 }0 l8 aOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and! W4 }/ V1 q) E) u/ `
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im* X4 E4 x2 h/ |) e; t2 ]5 s
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor/ K' f! V: y5 W" o4 w; g
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ ' |9 {: E" y& ]7 v) ^) Dity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly0 B$ U$ C5 V( m1 @# m
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], 0 y8 H8 {; v! A3 N, M- {9 Hmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in b( {7 e7 Z+ X+ s, [0 s* d
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,) @+ T* v! i- ?' s" x+ a. V4 f6 H
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain4 X9 P! W. m a8 ^* {9 R8 `
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial B( G, y; j: Csensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify0 X, d6 q8 l- b. E5 W- k
human activities, the following data were obtained.) r2 W$ f4 ~7 R1 j }7 N
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, , r5 k% j. w1 Dbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes2 ^) Q8 X" E, W5 k6 {. K
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ 7 g2 B, Q9 a+ c; v; Pities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be" s/ _0 w& L. I% ^, r( e$ [0 W
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and ; D0 _8 w* C2 g) J, p0 ]8 Lamplitudes of some activities. # t; r2 r' e4 ]# m0 F1 ySensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.9 k, ?, Z- t. a* ~, X/ T
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal; V* m) h' I9 C6 d2 g
segments are obtained for each activity.6 J/ R& D W+ Q9 i
The 19 activities are: + ^) x6 I8 R8 z3 e! P1. Sitting (A1);1 K7 w% Y' ^; h' I# Y
2. Standing (A2);! A. |: z1 ~; ~' b0 o# f
3. Lying on back (A3);6 N* t0 f- Q5 M2 [
4. Lying on right side (A4);+ u' V# f# S8 H$ h* F( @ D- l
5. Ascending stairs (A5);$ _& a h2 d4 H E$ ]: W! u) X
16. Descending stairs (A6); / T; f$ _& b4 Y, z% @' Q3 t- d7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);- u) [1 _# j& B2 i) {
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);0 R/ @0 s- S$ _" k( {
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);) z# y3 G% B) a% I6 T8 J( r( p/ s
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg) h4 ?' k. w G% F! z' x$ D7 V
inclined positions (A10); # m0 c7 N' d& A" R6 w11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions 2 I2 H3 R6 K* n- `: G# L" U(A11); 9 b; B o) v2 F \; G# z& U12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);4 Q3 J3 x; R2 M7 w' O' F
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);* q" f. ]+ p" B; d+ [( L& u7 ^
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 9 f" W9 f( h* x3 F15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); ; s5 B, S* K- i0 `& y16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);, \' l7 I# b0 z4 f! z7 x8 @
17. Rowing (A17); / V7 ~, V4 H% u18. Jumping (A18); ) t6 T# E" }- n# k2 I% y9 `( S19. Playing basketball (A19)./ _% l/ E5 }) U: q5 r" h
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve& y+ X5 H: w% x& s; \
the following problems. 2 M6 v( q: |5 |6 D. \1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify 6 v5 u1 Z6 W& E \: o$ Y1 cthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. 2 @9 |8 D" D: S% D' T; H2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have! K! S! N- p( Q. k% r
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study 5 d h1 j4 [, E1 eand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to/ [8 G8 C* W4 r$ t/ D; f- D. l& U
evaluate the generalization ability of your model.7 O4 C" ]4 t) G7 i. g2 }
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-- Q8 F) d2 \" }
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action5 d, L! i O4 ^; I; _5 `
classifification.% t( O/ ]2 e+ S6 T x
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:* Y- n3 t* C: c/ t ?
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq# L- U+ a) s5 v( j" }2 p
2Appendix: File structure # k1 L# k6 l! P+ _' M• 19 activities (a) / ]7 x! a' e/ e( {: x9 p• 8 subjects (p) 0 Z0 X" e: g) `• 60 segments (s)5 I- W4 U/ @. O5 b1 L
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left; _* ~; g: J' }2 c
leg (LL) 2 W7 s, y+ I4 J. k/ m* W5 {$ N! W+ t• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z 9 Z4 A1 E/ J9 imagnetometers); I" E$ A" J' u2 y! y) W
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 5 B3 L n: C# T* H! p* bFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the- w# j- O/ L9 N+ U7 z: }
8 subjects.# W7 m& ^6 Q4 U
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each ; I8 F" n" R. g* l- Qsegment.! P; S- w$ W) b: C* ]: k
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 259 P' l5 N8 N1 m4 Q' K
Hz = 125 rows. ! C2 A, x% u/ h3 F8 FEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the $ m( m# {( u, Y1 y! M3 N. M2 ~$ Gsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.0 K' n) p2 D4 @/ t1 U8 G3 x3 u1 q
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular & C) S( O# @2 Csampling instant separated by commas. `6 L$ Q w/ v9 [) [1 XColumns 1-45 correspond to:5 f, ]* @% D% Z6 y! B
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,0 z& K( s+ J0 _, j# a4 k
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, 8 p1 D9 Z( z" g• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,: T ]" l9 `( \2 J9 R
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,0 E- a" p/ V- q6 d+ ^
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.& _+ H: ^( v5 \, o
Therefore,& {6 E: O. A7 `. y
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), * h5 q: B' b7 Q6 I8 k' @- l• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),/ G9 d- _0 y& l s
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),$ d: s; c& C, m Z" F8 N0 V
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), ]0 q2 |4 K- e1 { P
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 6 d) y/ ?' D) i+ n6 x h3References7 w7 \" U0 l+ A' T, B$ {
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic \; m( g1 z7 {) } T
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. ! }7 A" d" r D; B1 t! [3 n42(5), 679-687, 2004% F1 M K+ q/ E% q" s
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of & |" c0 c; H$ \( H0 ]low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.) T3 k: ^ d% \ H6 ~
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 / L8 s' l. D+ L$ U% {[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag7 N4 u& l! V$ {& \; \; ?5 f
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.* F$ ]) |5 A- K0 T8 t, z+ N
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007- v9 h7 |+ S: J0 ?
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con* C& Y8 i/ T2 [) B0 a9 {6 J1 @2 X! N
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 ' X( \1 G& ]' ?7 C }3 M) C# B1 W# S20223 }6 ~1 t/ p: d$ g2 ], C j$ m
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling : l$ S3 P! y" b7 ohttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn% ?$ j* b& ~& @& P& i
Problem D (ICM)0 l" x5 ?+ H8 S5 B
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long; I& m; X; h1 q; j
Time / L- a. L* k% x+ ]" a3 M( zWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the 7 k2 m" Z4 r$ v( M, B, v l. Y2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source & Q7 d! Y& c1 {2 i s1 Wof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently& E, D: }& [6 I' \( D
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, 6 g4 ]9 a: {8 Jwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some6 p# a1 I3 T& ?+ P* T) r" G% I) l P- N3 O
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak # |6 n4 f1 ^5 gends. ] ]! }! e9 W# U' W
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?/ K1 ?! Z; S) M. N& r
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas1 Z, Q4 ^0 c' k1 h3 F0 m
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo A* @3 J# ^. r( O
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could. C0 y! Y' n' O4 K1 y5 D) K
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil K4 F& ^' a7 a# r" L- I4 ylion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of 6 n# c: V4 \; G+ o% eEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. i/ @8 D) Z" d2 b+ y* T# d
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology: }9 e p0 Y/ [* k X* z
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their 0 t5 l* [! q+ t4 d9 c, c# P, f9 csmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have9 ]5 M0 `1 _7 B2 x8 w
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with9 y6 w4 u' z0 b8 S4 y* u
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing# r0 P" D& F" \. @
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen ( {5 W! S& M( S8 N) I) ^: vfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30$ N8 {* R9 v- S1 U- {4 v3 Q& p& p
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in ( y# X+ S' i: E! p* O4 M1 t( y# yYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in ! G) |, N( s) g$ L6 ?6 g yGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife- j" F) v, F' s4 u* |+ A6 s
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature6 S/ }/ {7 N3 d8 i& m' a
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact8 A: W! z3 L/ {/ i
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients : D+ @% _% ~ D: P9 Eare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.$ t7 H( b# L0 u/ E
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:7 u# C+ C- K: D6 _
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS/ y- D/ P2 p8 d/ @6 A# A
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL ! ] ^4 ~: c' q* s( w Z0 O# i$ E• Decline and extinction of populations 1 ^9 C7 {. u9 O. Z7 l$ r# J* L, x• Introduction of invasive species7 p3 s, k% J/ A! _" c+ d
• Spread of new diseases to humans% y8 b7 G+ h: f( s6 Q" c
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database3 W! ~" ~" V( |( N: S
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The4 N" ]- c& T Z
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 3 v( _9 U% B2 ~; n: x7 d& r( k6 Jdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:2 J1 @9 S) w S/ D8 {4 e' q
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ8 D7 n8 |! O4 a$ q" s
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod " m# c& x% w& _0 `; R, Jels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:& u8 n. E; u: W/ [, q$ M
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live 2 K1 N5 n" j! s* i' `# R* janimals taken from the wild)? 0 u [7 I7 E# i+ q ?2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?( X8 W1 {8 ?# x9 B) V' V- r* j
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?; Z# l+ @. @$ f- {5 H% x" S! |5 U/ {
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major - w4 g) R0 b j$ _, m) ?infectious diseases?: q+ ?( J3 s( D
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it/ |+ _% c7 @* s& ?0 v4 Z
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? 7 ?1 S/ @- I6 o' b2 v) ~6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain; [( d! _8 m4 H& A, a
your views and policy suggestions. 1 q6 `) @8 i* p1 p. D) q% A) v* }% m6 }4 b
: T/ g A4 D( a6 ?! _" _6 _2 O" Q
% J& T4 m) y. W