2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 * ~$ K: t; h7 }6 G2 Shttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx - ]& p9 r e0 b' V8 A; _ , \$ v0 F }# _, r' N; U# T2022/ F* ]9 _: f' X5 n$ m- G
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling+ p! M% Z. |( p" V3 Q: j5 W: r
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn3 J; _9 D" S9 t. y/ A- z3 z
Problem A (MCM) # p- i) Q( P7 P6 d0 W, ^0 uHow Pterosaurs Fly & }$ H7 S* c5 E: ~) APterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They3 l. P! _1 e$ I
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of ( B6 l$ ?; u6 P& F! u; B' ethe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved 9 y: E, P5 A7 e9 rpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 2 ?/ K( d5 i- R6 ~other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth- J0 C% R4 ~# c
fifinger[1]. ! c0 G7 j2 [. `There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller9 I+ U$ [4 m5 C" n# c+ j( u
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem, J: F: Y7 | u8 Z" @. h
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they8 j. D+ `6 I& B v
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and 3 i5 d0 I4 g# ?! L, z* M6 jstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived2 C5 Q, c l5 X
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. # b% D) O9 A" R, MLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. / q8 g) i& b: \Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,& O6 S3 d [/ r s1 j- N
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on T* p, M& n- z6 c( t$ Jall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and 3 b8 L6 A# B; T" T: X3 ffolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil " M) c* B* P, ]1 w2 b6 x: mtrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].7 l; w! C4 m5 {0 B3 ^2 q; w; c7 K- P6 P
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which ( Q/ t. ?4 t- C4 L! A- I+ g. }covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have ' J, Z4 g9 h$ @0 r( R* n8 N+ ^had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug ! ^) F' l" o& v+ r$ e1 Bgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de % f& \* d% Y2 q4 f: N( A: B I. Uriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning# M9 I# o) e4 ~/ g. R+ D
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded % r$ A: p T9 d5 }0 Q( @(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec $ h* I2 M- Z8 @" U. l" `; M1 ?tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones, l# ^3 ?5 g( }: r# Y
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from : h: m, T9 P. |; E4 |the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including ( o$ n) f' y$ g2 L( N4 h& AQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least $ _% b% n* `4 h) onine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong; ?% ~- N; Z* x; l. [
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.7 h. M( x( {! `: b
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled- [1 x9 D8 ?" f, v$ D/ N$ |
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded * c) H' Z; i7 rthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,' \% P: y! h+ O n' [
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able . {% i4 P9 p" Z6 ?. T0 hto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. : E: U3 ^" }9 }However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology N- D3 m% K I3 T3 f! ~6 I1 nof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs - X- V) d% z, Gbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, * P+ m7 ^ D/ ~% O' C) u) Dsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that , m% {, ~8 W+ w- J5 jatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed % E' _/ D! Q( R% ~! j) V" Gfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 1 U/ J: W5 I+ m. `+ i& K' S# vAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. ' A8 m P1 Z3 z! G' jIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones # W+ L# k9 q- Y0 h% kof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage . J$ p7 ?) ^; [% k, ~& }( ^a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for1 R) V+ k. Y) y7 Z! I$ J4 s
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded $ q0 [/ `/ y: }$ [9 k4 o" M1 Uand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as: r6 y. K7 c) |% Y
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of8 Z; D p3 T! M. D9 e
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism- f }9 ^* p& r5 V* o5 L
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would % V( f7 o, t; x b/ ?8 j- Yenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds % S, R0 ? q# W \* ]7 gof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. ( q k4 {$ R J8 ]Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the+ ?1 c' H4 \$ w K2 M1 F3 p
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and( F3 |: {0 ^/ _3 `; J
to answer the following questions. $ S: ?( ^6 M3 T0 L1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor * O9 T$ `* S3 s* n8 f) Rmal flflight. ( _1 x# r. |* Y+ i: E7 r6 z2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during5 w( Q5 S* p N! t' E
normal flflight.# ^9 x% S$ U* d9 W8 L; q
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like + P. G* T" C. a4 mbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. ' P0 j- o0 O2 h# s" |2 X3 E% C# kReferences! V) K3 l# S+ R0 x& o; Y
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight9 T$ e' m1 h3 l5 f. H1 u& y
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111." X. z% @( F, }* _* S0 `
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.% B' v i2 D9 y5 ]+ a9 _
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php # ^% J% N* h/ g3 x9 b' s2 y& V[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs6 Y& ^1 c& y2 ~$ R# c& u4 v+ y
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- , T" A n: A. w3 K! bpterosaurs-had-feathers.html7 [2 p4 Q, [, Y6 H* X* v
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a. `, ?+ H$ W: J) \
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)0 B O- |% S( s6 [
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):! e# u- C& L& {+ x
1983-87. ; P, L* x' ^7 X' J' q1 \6 B[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust , v5 F* P* R; s, fskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):6 B9 ~. }) M/ j/ ~+ f
180-84. 6 j' D* p3 Q/ d U0 F$ @; x[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? . p2 ^' ]5 e R# d- o" n W& @https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs . ~: i& f6 y% i% @; U% ~+ p8 Ytoo-big-to-flfly// }+ c! j) I, h% `2 @8 R
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology# I& }/ @# k+ c8 q
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.; `2 k2 j+ K2 W: _
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable" a: e. E9 w3 k1 e
air sacs in their wings., b+ O; a5 l5 o& s# m6 j7 o0 y
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur4 Q9 R: _: X' Q. K; J
breathing-air-sacs 7 m0 r7 S" N% @( @" K[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.+ j- J! w3 x6 V8 y3 L# e
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils - S4 k" ^ i7 ~research-mark-witton3 V- [; E. o, {) s1 k, W
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?" _9 w' W7 j6 t4 ?; [
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs * C) R# O+ _& C8 H" M( L7 Ovault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/& B, ]# y% h; m9 l- r
$ M8 v H% N7 d9 D20225 |1 y' O6 s5 N& u
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling3 k& a9 j9 m S- ^( `2 E/ A
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn - b& z: G7 W$ I, N; M0 JProblem B (MCM)/ k" N& }7 E! u7 Y
The Genetic Process of Sequences % G* h6 o$ L1 c H- I5 @# KSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein & L! o/ a* V" A: Q4 _6 G- Psequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of 1 h) R. s9 m* X9 a7 a! w- S6 I slife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their, Q. o) E5 n8 d8 ^ \/ [' w3 g
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong ) y& ?7 p$ Y3 n# N$ U T; vevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common : n: `( W/ s" C) O1 Z Kancestral sequence[2]. ! |$ ?. S1 C9 p/ J+ h: H' G- H( @Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu: s& h& C) D2 p% F* T% H& y d( ]' v# `, _
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation + L5 W! h5 A2 `, \: |' Varise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and. `" z5 `+ T* i$ P: a
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by * r; |1 K$ n v# p1 ]4 i- w5 Jthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together 0 l+ {7 l0 y7 D3 S& qcan form a family, and they are considered homologous.# {+ l1 o5 [+ i- n
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com0 U; I3 c* h4 A6 b# R7 B
plete the following problems. 2 g& }' w6 z- G- y4 W9 Q5 M: I- @% J* S& d1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between ) Z, W8 Z/ X- Z+ }& @two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.2 s3 g. U6 v7 N5 \: n2 r
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and / ^7 o) N; j& b4 \- F/ V. Z( n6 }7 ydesign suitable examples to illustrate it. 1 k) S/ q8 W2 D& D8 U7 e# |0 z3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an. V" [# B( a# {, P* k: _6 |
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral : c2 \& u0 w3 a. o$ ?7 T2 d+ |sequence, and map the genealogical tree.' r# u2 L- q0 V: o
References 0 o% O# M. p8 ~5 N& ~( u7 Q8 {* x[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re: l5 S) |, N) O" Z% e$ V
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005./ P5 \/ c. |& ?
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,) U) i4 |7 m6 c4 W5 l, a
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and 1 c; H+ o6 `. }( va way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.& b- l+ l& ~9 m" p i
. D! u! X0 a) O1 ]: T2022 * D! r; s) \( a3 I- V7 o# VCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling % H8 j( W% \4 @9 \, K! o9 lhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 7 T2 ?, w0 K- ^; qProblem C (ICM) $ }: m0 {& y" T6 ^# lClassify Human Activities 7 I: c# Y! d3 {/ L: i: T/ HOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and/ U0 C" T! {4 a ]3 m1 G
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im* {, n' g4 ]5 I* z
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor " _- t* s+ ]/ }* D7 }/ hing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ6 J& h( @$ s( i; U% a' B
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly& C5 }. [7 {- S8 z
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],, C* @# U' [) a; f0 a
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in - L: C. M9 b N3 J+ n6 {school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, 1 e, Y2 ]! o2 H! `8 ?* dsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain ( n* p% `8 R3 ]8 l1 _' dment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial" W( n3 U5 m* `# f9 K$ z i6 Y
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify* F* U2 ]( v: @0 X
human activities, the following data were obtained.3 Q7 W8 L! d, C0 ~7 H( ?
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, # K! [) Y- u+ ebetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 7 h: Z3 ~( u; I7 I7 z Nfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ+ v+ C" ^ Y L* D3 P
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be $ |9 _* [2 }$ Aperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and& t7 m0 F7 z8 a) D
amplitudes of some activities. 8 d+ U1 R7 \% T! k1 U) wSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency." h! ~' l2 T+ M/ q
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal w) K: @3 B: x& c7 m3 _/ u+ T& ksegments are obtained for each activity.2 n( W! B$ g7 W g
The 19 activities are:9 Z C' p0 g( V+ u7 p7 Y
1. Sitting (A1);( j( W! v! U& g; C9 r
2. Standing (A2); ) T/ }' I; k! @1 L4 V- o3. Lying on back (A3);# n+ E& ~3 ^9 i j2 j( B
4. Lying on right side (A4);- Z; v4 N6 W& u3 w+ h
5. Ascending stairs (A5);0 Q' u1 r# h1 |9 r5 g8 J1 D
16. Descending stairs (A6);2 P4 P: @9 H# X( `; o
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); . y' y" ^( ?+ U7 ?1 j H8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);: N$ ]& O% U1 y0 J# A& F$ V
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); - Q! K# c: ?/ R+ X2 Z l: [; @10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg3 A' m0 `& T3 h7 f$ ?+ K- b
inclined positions (A10); 3 {) ]; F- Y% A; q3 Z; o11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions; P& h) N1 G" ~& Y: n: T
(A11); }1 g& H$ [* L* v5 h- L3 m; o' I12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); " }4 `6 ]9 y/ K% z- `, q& g) H9 M5 b13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);% E& r @7 Q/ \* a3 D: Y
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);( _+ ^# V/ I) r* A7 ^; {
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); N8 @. s3 f- `. W
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); # J# ]& D) m! @* {17. Rowing (A17); / T7 S D$ ^- I( B1 k18. Jumping (A18); ! e- B: P* R0 P* X5 L19. Playing basketball (A19)., X. `* Z0 I7 L1 S+ S. c
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve ( w: b* E% }" b( d) {9 O) q1 vthe following problems.2 A5 b) g& s' b+ I" g* r! a
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify7 `; y6 ?& @. p7 i/ W% \2 }7 R
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. h/ M" G: R8 l' ]3 |
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have ; l+ b* r# j: Ta good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study" }# y1 F. ^: L( F. k
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to* J& Y7 K" k1 T" S( D. W8 C
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. 1 o6 F% Z8 K4 p3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-! d) H" B& k0 {) Z
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action- T3 B' `5 E k, s
classifification." x, O9 {2 n- m; F+ D5 b3 F
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link: . A5 X3 o& E$ d: Z" S; N- Ahttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq* V# C% P! ]2 P' x F
2Appendix: File structure# I6 p8 g& g8 c# W/ ~* [
• 19 activities (a)5 o* b' Y: G1 v$ V& s5 i
• 8 subjects (p)/ Z6 W- X' C& A1 `
• 60 segments (s) ) A5 z+ E8 j- @9 _6 x• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left! u* m0 o7 Q( @* y) v: U9 p5 {' H
leg (LL) ' [5 U9 w4 L ]; Y2 |8 V• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z . U! w8 Z$ L) _4 w, i1 G% Q1 o0 Smagnetometers)9 i, x& L" W$ ]# S1 V9 I
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.: ?- i1 w4 D# E
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the # r- X7 G+ ?( T, i' q8 subjects.% ?+ Q* G. D, z1 J5 ]
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each$ u% c$ z" ^# t
segment. % _8 m& H& P6 s5 N1 UIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25" j# Z+ I: ~& ]: i5 y x5 t
Hz = 125 rows.2 s9 A* k5 K# H! O
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the # i& }5 u: C( \7 k/ a, |sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. $ F& L% @; d' Q* Q( H& mEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular$ l/ ^( `3 x9 [# a* l5 f
sampling instant separated by commas. ]1 C1 M0 C4 T; N" C V: f* j$ H
Columns 1-45 correspond to:8 y0 D" I$ X M
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,: z1 _4 }- q5 s( {3 g; W
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, + J7 |/ O4 p9 Y* W" `* V+ }! v• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, G+ f5 B- C2 [6 }: L" Q• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, ' [+ u. b7 N- h& X• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. , S3 E/ l2 R. C4 t5 ATherefore,, {% s7 D! n& s+ l0 z
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), / i- {# C5 f- E, g• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 9 M, }9 y v$ z3 K+ X4 u4 J9 q/ P• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),6 @; e6 M1 q8 }8 k/ C: F
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), ' T! m4 n# |, X8 E) Y5 ^• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). / [! [+ D p' h8 Q! ]3References ' S& I0 @2 i# `/ {[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic1 P! C& [( g8 N" S) i4 {
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.- U( A# i0 Y+ L: x& Q0 r* v
42(5), 679-687, 2004# ~0 w$ g. u" ]. \4 ~4 [
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of; s) \1 ^. Z+ L: t8 `- R
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. 6 E- \# @) ^! a" g( F8 m4 }! wGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 & H+ e9 f9 @6 R' i; B, w/ m: m[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag8 ]) M8 h. z Z! O
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. v( G$ Y" R3 r* l4 ~1 u
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 q" Z' k, V2 T- |
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con 7 ?1 F" c- C9 [trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 ; {9 N _/ f* r+ l7 x 2 B p( s4 S; W" J6 m* Y( C3 n2022- d: a8 v9 f% U. V5 g
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling) `. ~5 a8 e9 M% h
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 5 O, j; Q6 o0 hProblem D (ICM) / y G* d: o! Z+ ~Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long ; D! r. N/ I1 O; o, w7 {7 e3 YTime - [, M2 {3 w, j& u% Z5 p+ q6 j$ yWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the3 B6 i$ A0 l( c; L% f, b
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source$ [$ r3 w% c4 J. D7 j1 ^5 i
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently ! a& V9 f' A/ U3 D" i% N% g( O( ntightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, + ~: V: p. @ T" `which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some& U" a" f$ [8 B( o6 k9 @" T2 O8 O
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak( T' ^- y3 {% o% B7 Z# j( v( T7 O9 L
ends. 0 A5 U8 O3 Y3 J9 ^& CHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?6 e1 J5 V" N5 ~& |1 D. r
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas ) P4 y9 ~) q' a0 L+ oothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo3 {1 n% f5 b( D0 ^& v# p
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could* l! F: v! M y! M
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 7 \- x6 ^: {: c) }; rlion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of . d7 I7 @; B: v( R. \: W& ~5 f7 KEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. + ~" L: u1 ^; }1 Y: MA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology ; e8 A" S$ S5 P% g9 pin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their ( R4 ^& Y! C* x- P* @4 r1 fsmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have 0 l: d: y, M+ n* @0 ]/ V# k9 midentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with 0 q) q3 p- L9 }* M( Yall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing! o" `" W0 g" d
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen6 U) ^' m9 G) f& a: K
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 , @2 Q! s0 z4 T6 ENovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 9 i: A' X1 W) E: Z3 rYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in 3 x8 t$ E7 U6 B% A) ^1 r- hGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife & J. o9 D# M( u+ L- btrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature7 V3 p2 {7 @; x4 R5 C) c, s3 t
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact1 M5 s& _8 F& _( n: I. M& o* l! S
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients . d, G6 D/ Y L8 ?are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.; x4 ], ]& }! R9 @ `9 [$ m7 a" v1 J
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: & f% v: f7 _* F* O3 q- U# @1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 7 S1 U: K1 {. }6 X, Uoutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL. Z" o% k; w" B( ^& T% |7 x- n. o
• Decline and extinction of populations & ~) U; y4 ]$ w% {. e• Introduction of invasive species8 Q0 i% _: P3 o
• Spread of new diseases to humans1 I; p8 h# S' H
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database 6 H* e# `1 I1 l/ V1 a6 H4 Fcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The % m/ D0 Z$ l% J( E7 Rappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete0 h0 s' e( M4 |2 u# ~
database can also be obtained through the following link:( i6 U7 |. j. `" v8 f1 a
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ9 e. x0 {( }/ Q. y4 }, R! j
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod 7 t* u6 |) m6 P2 y! A1 c% S4 Jels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: & @' O5 E: z' k! J# A1 L0 e1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live 1 K3 I+ W; U% L$ h, w, lanimals taken from the wild)? : A# l: b, k0 P2 ]: V2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? 1 d8 s' o: `; W/ E' x% l( h3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? 0 A# f) F2 f4 |: | K4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major' A, ` N+ f* }& t- J; I
infectious diseases? - R2 ?3 J& E, E' y7 p: h, M25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 3 r& ?: p) z0 f3 i$ }7 Vwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? % ]/ ~- r: @2 ^. l6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain* W. o1 ^. H- Z( t$ U) V1 T
your views and policy suggestions.3 d5 g! c0 X! T5 P$ X
& a. k! | ]) V7 @: R; B" w: F7 L: ~1 H% [6 G% q% A R% j6 H