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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 - @* C0 m5 e& @: I2 ~6 |1 L
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx  d' k9 Y0 ^. h" l3 ~9 [
    3 V4 W$ n: n; K8 }1 @
    2022- Y" S, o. N$ |: C) a
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    $ w6 i' T3 k2 S; a% A8 N# I- Lhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& M6 n1 }5 H3 I& t% L& M. N/ g
    Problem A (MCM)5 t$ B* F2 d5 V6 o. z: p( h/ j& Z9 O
    How Pterosaurs Fly
    2 w1 Q# `5 r$ ^Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They7 j7 k2 H" k. k$ Q
    existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of
    ' T! u5 A1 e! \' y- A% dthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved
    3 L1 t& l2 o; a5 Q4 V$ dpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and
    - h( g# B- o( v& jother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth
    % Z' I; d2 q" c; ^fifinger[1].
    + {6 W% s$ V2 m. _$ a6 TThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller
    ! F! P" f5 b# m9 y& |; Canimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem
    * P: B: w- R) K2 `8 N' I9 Pbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they, M+ {; b& h; m; ~) ?% x! c
    would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and
    1 D: Q* }! J1 ]$ @strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived
    ( @- x! o' I  y* P2 Xin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.7 ~% A5 \2 Y# |
    Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.7 [! j- A( T( ?1 F. [  E# ?; a3 V
    Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,( A; y7 Q" a, x1 K- I4 m5 X# |! N
    and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on
    2 T' A8 r- w" b: z6 l" xall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and
    ) W/ V2 R% s# ~/ ?1 e8 B7 L; V  @  efolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil
    3 H6 H! j5 W: C0 i" I3 Vtrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].
    ; y& v  E8 p+ M2 k* ^Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which) k  O. t% u- Q  k$ a" D: K
    covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have
    7 [6 v# V) f0 `9 \9 xhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug
    - s( V( r4 T, Q2 i5 C3 igestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de: ~$ N2 Y# Y. e/ q2 u/ O9 r) {: s. B
    riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning
    % h6 g: Y; \3 f( U: icalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded: T" w9 M, k. C& V' S! F
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec
    ( c3 r4 r, X/ D- ]5 Mtional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones" z, g4 {: C& [9 U4 ]3 r
    to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from/ Z) o+ f/ L% p* j- T
    the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including5 k6 U2 u  v# H5 }* M% G/ M
    Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least
    8 b  q/ P! }1 f, s" W# G! Z7 A& h5 Anine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong
    9 H7 c( m  p- V  m# R( {1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers./ I$ |8 b- S( j. F
    The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled
    2 l& n" \; j- M+ Sat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded( f+ n! T- m. \5 {9 {
    that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,
    4 A$ i. F/ n" E8 r! SLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able
    : }, [( R8 f5 ]( ^+ Uto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].
    ; n; q! v3 a" LHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology3 `9 L/ S3 C4 H6 u: r6 }' \$ W
    of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs
    * R- h( z0 G$ r$ N$ F% ^being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,2 W, _) N4 b, j6 \' V
    such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that9 g. R! V" d  b3 v  i8 E  \" ~, _4 s
    atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed
    ! k* v7 ?2 p+ d" {5 D( m4 w* c7 y6 y4 xfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].
    1 [: K% w6 i) w$ N3 r2 U% @+ D; L4 DAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.! v' F, M# `# O& r* z) f
    If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones
    $ g1 q# \" O: L! O  f/ M% g7 ?of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage" W2 j; W7 v0 H! C$ S' z8 G
    a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for. W5 K4 N9 W' a, [; _
    getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded! F, N8 J7 }. [2 E
    and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as
    4 O3 A$ d' o% o7 y% T. Vquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of/ p( ]( ?  ?3 }* S
    Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism7 B& j% Z; d! J) u) O$ _
    to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would
    3 M' k5 `1 w* n' D- X, \enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds
    . C- `6 T  Z6 t- p. R, J; bof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].: ?# p! C8 `% V4 G9 ]3 ^
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the
      E$ `& Q" L4 a" T% [flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and
    ' Y: |) \; `/ c; V/ Z) f3 N) kto answer the following questions.
    1 J; A) D* a% O1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor; o! q7 E. G) n; {/ n
    mal flflight.# j' z: d9 c) b; v% v
    2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during& k( y  W5 [. R
    normal flflight./ m4 N# O" Y3 W4 _5 N
    3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like
    6 C% q$ W) i" T1 obirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.
      ~% h; h5 P! W, O1 i: w9 m3 _References: s: H. l) M# X4 F
    [1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight3 {6 M7 U# d6 A  H/ e
    Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.' g9 x5 N# O& o; t0 H5 a- ^
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.# M% D' i/ E/ J/ V
    https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php; `5 K9 b" _" s& w% x$ c. d2 p
    [3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs
    ' `0 C. N8 u! m! Z/ cWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-
    6 c3 X8 q, W; o3 b' e$ \7 ypterosaurs-had-feathers.html8 r4 ?3 q3 v0 ~
    [4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a" M. J8 K: E5 ]0 A
    rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)
    & ]/ I' V) }1 S; j; q( Y: ifrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):
    % ?9 Y) T( u) R6 y- ?1983-87.
    4 ]9 O8 E/ P3 I* i9 W. n2 P[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust
    6 p4 q$ h- V6 b- O# K  nskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):" X7 u; J& i! a, P2 p
    180-84.) {* F4 L* K, K
    [6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?1 {; s& v) F. {8 n
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs
    ; j. u, F# M: o8 n, A) P  |too-big-to-flfly/3 A: ^  O! I+ Y3 d. N3 w" F
    [7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology
    0 ?& T" v8 V' i& s$ e  R& Dof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.
    0 U! K. p% ]8 s/ Y  R* ^[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable& l" M$ g% B* I$ U) {
    air sacs in their wings.8 C2 H0 J; l$ u' H
    https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur) p3 K& D0 W5 X# y/ U
    breathing-air-sacs4 z: y; N) z* _  j: g
    [9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.
    * z5 ?& K5 u$ u% bhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils+ c1 q3 u; O, ]3 j: ]  Z& m- C3 a+ W
    research-mark-witton
    0 [, Y0 Q' h; X8 `# B[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?1 L% v0 y# A, R2 }6 b( u
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs* I6 R# n7 V5 T, y* q( z/ U
    vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/
    # S% s3 D+ U6 D0 s/ s% M9 W
    3 c" E! R* Z8 r: [2022
    1 W& X, \1 F" C- Q, X, R7 \8 Y' t; m/ kCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    ( x8 O3 q  e. t& ohttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    # X9 F( E/ p' m* ]7 CProblem B (MCM)
    * {/ }) a0 u1 q+ {7 g) y% gThe Genetic Process of Sequences" ^* s* W/ u# N0 X3 I
    Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein8 d( L/ g# a& i. L* D
    sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of& ^  I2 o  {; i# v; K+ @) u6 F
    life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their) K2 o1 f$ y: v+ L9 o$ e. i
    nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong( w6 Q6 {4 z! t6 L) E4 o
    evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common( j2 I+ `# D9 @& e
    ancestral sequence[2].
    : ~+ }- W' ^" A9 f# m4 {7 @Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu
    / S! @$ I  M8 N# D6 ^2 H7 ]cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation
    5 G' ]+ |% X; harise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and
    " K' s2 g# s' L+ }deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by0 p1 C  P- A4 E% j% g$ _5 U
    the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together5 o* P8 o3 l! i0 u; P& i
    can form a family, and they are considered homologous.1 S" J6 Q' y5 n# g
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com* J% @. p* J/ B
    plete the following problems.( V7 W6 J1 B" B" Z- N1 I7 C
    1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between1 \2 q5 B" u# I. H8 J! D" J
    two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.
    7 c' a6 y* x( y7 S# ^2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and* X3 C# Q. F8 E/ V6 k9 h& Z1 @; y
    design suitable examples to illustrate it.
    / v( N* d6 D0 [% K  s, h/ V  k3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an
    & [/ e1 I9 T0 S2 i1 U& ?cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral
    3 ^3 O# O$ A7 c8 Z7 Y4 ^# f7 Xsequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    5 \+ \$ m2 G3 V  Q# C$ H1 k. hReferences( `# s! f" D4 v7 u# T9 Z6 f# p, x
    [1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re
    ' v+ n  Z: m1 b' dview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.
    2 d+ t& Q3 N) z3 U' E[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,7 `: G& ]) @" K* f$ T+ O3 b
    et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and  ^2 y' u! s1 k; d3 s- C# [
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.9 l2 S% h: E7 c3 b, U# ~
    ! u& `' {* j  F% q
    2022
    , t9 M8 S. Y+ mCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    * M6 t/ k  t( t0 Vhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn6 B/ _, D  q) K( E0 |: j
    Problem C (ICM)& R) J, W0 z1 L9 K
    Classify Human Activities! T! V& H$ \- g) z  k% B
    One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and
    ! r7 Q; F9 ?* G- a- x# V. Y$ Rmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im" @; d3 N& a$ G3 s# m0 y
    prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor
    , ]; m, w9 `2 N+ I0 o6 @ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ
    " @4 Z, A4 n: }! kity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly
    5 b, H7 K% Y3 E! f: P* c. A* premotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],
    + M! }* m, C4 x& H$ a1 dmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in
    6 h, G/ }2 K* [0 @. ^# W" B. jschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,* d3 P5 d7 f- ~* z5 j# g
    sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain& \- T3 i) L  n* R
    ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial
    - i; Y* `3 K) W" M0 U4 osensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify" v0 F# F( f3 Y7 o0 `
    human activities, the following data were obtained.1 @$ w+ b# I9 V6 F  P; i6 B* f" \
    Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,3 N% N% U9 y- _3 Y/ r) r
    between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes
    4 m0 a3 y/ J1 a  n! L/ D- ifor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ
    . _3 Z4 i8 h" gities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be( I) x8 P/ a/ b7 @: S3 h" S! H
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and
    . h; a- q8 _& s1 B' H/ `! oamplitudes of some activities.
    0 Q8 R3 O/ z" Z! ~+ ^2 t0 Z1 YSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.
    ) h- B1 m3 D" EThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal6 O5 [; u) B. _
    segments are obtained for each activity.  W" s9 \5 D  t% K
    The 19 activities are:7 U3 Y7 Y1 l5 ?
    1. Sitting (A1);
      ^3 i4 ~3 m, w2 b6 w7 h2. Standing (A2);% ]" L" W: U. |
    3. Lying on back (A3);5 ~: x) k- K$ V  A2 Q+ |3 Q* M( y; ^
    4. Lying on right side (A4);, q" B% Q* J/ x1 s2 |6 V2 \! A
    5. Ascending stairs (A5);2 r' |1 a  j$ \
    16. Descending stairs (A6);
    + k: M9 K: ?6 z+ a7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);
    ! P; m3 a5 s' u+ L  g1 {- t' U8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);+ M7 m+ \+ t6 \2 ]1 K
    9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);
    5 d$ f* D" O4 L3 z( r, `# A0 {10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg
    , F! i1 B  \- \$ X) einclined positions (A10);* a( _' d5 t. M3 E% P1 e. V
    11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions% C6 r' A& z$ _# P: v
    (A11);
    & |, C- ^' V6 n8 y12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);
    7 U2 g5 j' t6 x4 B" v2 t13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);, o* B% S- Z4 |
    14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);
    " q5 w: n: i( L* z3 c! n: o: e15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);
    & N/ ]) o+ H( Z$ v7 V: C16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);/ I' E( @8 c6 N3 @/ C: R
    17. Rowing (A17);# T, D0 S7 k8 r# R7 z
    18. Jumping (A18);
    # w' V8 p' J+ t! B" M; U% ]/ o' _19. Playing basketball (A19).- E5 j+ s. G/ g" C% L
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve
      `! R% e3 M9 U, c1 Pthe following problems.
    - q0 Q9 R" F1 Q9 ~1 V2 x9 }; D8 J1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify7 O: a  w6 V8 f- \
    the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.
    / E  z3 {% ?4 q; {% J0 ]2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have7 T/ W4 |& \7 b
    a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study
    / [* Y9 e( w0 zand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to
    ( W9 Y+ ~" W& Levaluate the generalization ability of your model.# ?# B9 E2 t) [& V0 v/ V
    3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-( w( z9 n" L- T0 k+ C
    cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action$ x+ J8 y0 P9 ]' s1 ~0 {
    classifification.! U8 \3 E0 V) G4 P6 u
    The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:
    0 a) [% t+ M1 j: z# ]# ~! w6 Fhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq, R) B4 W& a! c& c: Y
    2Appendix: File structure; W+ H+ W' }/ {2 ?+ v) Z, w- @
    • 19 activities (a)
    6 _0 B- T6 X: I# w' u" ~1 f- M; b• 8 subjects (p)
    9 ~, v6 i5 L+ p1 C+ C8 o• 60 segments (s)' V% g6 ?1 ~" {" y0 R
    • 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left
    ( X& C& I" q; ~: yleg (LL)" [) G; F: Y/ {& F8 T1 E& [
    • 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z' X% U1 J4 y+ D! l$ s; p0 d" G
    magnetometers)
    ' u/ s+ d# y' l& ^3 i* x5 fFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.
    9 ~3 T5 R) ?1 }8 n7 ~$ R+ \$ C+ HFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the
    8 \: Z1 O4 H" n. Q9 p$ A8 subjects.
    ' C) ]1 v; Y; v7 a2 I/ y- XIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each8 M7 M$ A4 ?3 s) G8 w; m0 U; R
    segment.9 ?6 Z% k; x% d4 |/ R
    In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25& I$ w4 |/ b& z; y9 J& Z: a7 W
    Hz = 125 rows.; A  m$ X+ a: Z7 n
    Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the# Y  ?0 R0 D1 u7 @
    sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.
    5 c3 j3 o5 a; w/ b, G8 \# wEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular
    + s6 G: y+ l9 nsampling instant separated by commas.
    4 l8 N; p- e0 L6 {: R4 n( {: NColumns 1-45 correspond to:. ?, Z6 ~' `. y! g8 D( g) G7 a6 V1 _
    • T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,4 Z' }7 x* y( S- G0 r" A9 t
    • RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,# D: w6 h7 N. P* {
    • LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,$ F- F7 J: V" M" \
    • RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,3 }  j; O6 [* C9 |0 X; }$ |. A% [
    • LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.3 \$ D2 `; U$ \5 _9 C
    Therefore,
    ! ], ?, Z  C7 m  J. I+ r• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),! c( b3 q5 @. b4 q5 h1 W
    • columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),- K6 H% V9 m- X5 n3 v/ a" h0 }
    • columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),
    1 ]2 y9 i5 y8 B! g, }0 R9 D) }! U• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),
    , F7 d0 y, M$ r• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).+ f/ {# X% h% P6 Z# D. i
    3References
    & f1 _3 i5 \* A5 }# x% j2 P( E# `3 G[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic
    % J/ |; e- d# t! t3 Tdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.% U+ B8 C, b, M5 e4 I+ E, }/ F
    42(5), 679-687, 2004- s3 L, R2 [; \1 G
    [2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of
    ! w, M- h7 g- b# H$ [low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.
    / L$ E& Z% g+ n& P- d. r0 x2 |0 H- TGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008$ o9 Z, G1 g& l* F, k3 T. P8 Q
    [3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag% M; D' f# L" N: R; x+ e" I9 G& W
    nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.2 v  {9 r0 g# L" B. n" L; \
    B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007; J8 I8 K; k# y' X
    [4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con
    - V* }0 p  U6 X' s% Q6 x$ vtrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20080 y9 o2 [' f- i- `1 C

    , m: ?% i& @; o5 p2022, q$ B( z* G- V9 \
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    # U# N7 O1 ?9 r& a- g4 l4 Shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    9 [% I" G7 C% {+ A  oProblem D (ICM)/ D5 A/ Y7 T4 R9 g; z
    Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long
    2 O) u. y. T* L2 D7 v4 }Time
    7 ~% S' c* _9 \9 {. s) R2 jWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the
      a. T% s: A& ]3 u  B- N2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source$ f% K( W7 P4 |& U$ ^6 X8 v" n9 F
    of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently
    & j7 q7 r4 g3 m, M  H$ y8 Utightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,
    4 l6 v: S0 a4 \+ S% m/ R, @which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some
    : ?- R* a( {  _/ J3 P' ~scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak  G5 J, e  X# d+ `# \3 e; ^
    ends.
    ; v! u7 X6 R4 D. I% SHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?
    # f' C6 [) A% e$ l7 S+ oSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas
    + {3 h% m! N, t& Wothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo0 C# y* N: ~+ J: s
    ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could
    . N5 c# P& S3 V. T+ ^* r" B% N: _cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil. s  U9 `8 L5 M# M+ e' x7 [
    lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of* T. a+ p- H/ e8 ?1 R
    Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.6 s0 h8 t* i& H7 @& H! P/ C
    A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology# O2 w" g' P0 k: W4 v2 v$ L
    in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their
    9 x' a4 v/ o" z) ?5 L) P# j2 {smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have% x+ X8 R1 z+ H2 l; @0 x; ~/ _
    identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with& ]( Z* G" ~( V: T: ~7 x/ D4 C
    all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing, V4 x4 D( X3 M, w* e4 K0 n
    almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen0 ^; k! l4 B# P! B# U0 F8 o
    from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30& y' d: e2 o$ N. W
    November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in
    % ^' A1 m5 w* J4 yYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in
    & P" s  L0 E# f6 t9 vGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife
    % b  @& y! S9 U" L# h% y5 H+ R: C! Ptrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature0 i0 @" J3 ~7 W: P/ B
    when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact
    9 j9 N  z8 H0 E8 M$ N1 `2 Iwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients8 V+ y7 j' U# q) N
    are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.
    + t: t9 \8 w5 v. A; iWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:4 C7 e4 p3 z, V0 w; r; T( ?7 ]3 X
    1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS8 K! M: f; g4 W: h
    outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL
    . U2 V+ s. b4 B, Y2 ~, G5 d• Decline and extinction of populations8 E8 D# H* _8 V* x# ?6 A
    • Introduction of invasive species8 Z( C% i. Y$ ^7 k: S/ g
    • Spread of new diseases to humans* z7 i6 b) @7 \* P2 t2 b" [6 z
    We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database
    * |3 i2 e  k4 ~contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The
    - `/ O# k; }1 S+ f& Happendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete
    $ G- I3 M8 q1 K, P3 n: Edatabase can also be obtained through the following link:) o6 e6 ^2 P% o7 ]# ^
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ
    % {2 ]- B2 P; c" D1 i9 |: h& xRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod
    4 S, d3 V% B1 fels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:8 Q9 v) i( A, w0 \, h% _. {/ j. G
    1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live
    4 T' U0 J3 k' W9 z0 |animals taken from the wild)?/ G/ C' w0 ]1 f# {1 |7 ~- B) ^
    2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?
    : u: R# ~, J( |7 q) @4 k3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?
    ' P5 b8 g: F0 c- u4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major7 f6 ]8 F* a: w
    infectious diseases?  K2 p) `' @7 X  D
    25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it' v$ D, U" Z, T  _/ K, R6 r9 g
    will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?
    ' k. R' A# F7 e" v$ I( @) M  o$ j' Y6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain
    " k; J( E0 Q" m9 i* Oyour views and policy suggestions.4 d# C8 T: x# W4 S

    " t0 ]' m. ]9 V" q- m& y; ?- F) d6 k3 W

    8 A- z0 L% q- B% G/ c) _0 {5 ?/ d" {
    ) V' _2 U, f1 g1 [1 t  B6 \
    4 d; V" Z6 F/ n* g  T/ s6 r: n

    , W/ }4 E$ a; k  v4 Y/ s' V1 x

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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