2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 : x/ A. {. e0 m* M* W
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx 0 P9 @ E, w7 {/ A 5 K8 N/ E' T% m, j) ~7 K" X2022 % j3 l" k s2 |) OCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling * x `/ |* ]6 G# Y% H8 Rhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn ~) i) O6 k$ fProblem A (MCM) , f/ H6 F- P* ], m( r3 pHow Pterosaurs Fly # l' \! t: E f; K. }Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They " u9 u- |/ N6 e4 Z& fexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of6 {$ G4 O; H/ v+ P& |1 t( i5 z
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved & v4 w* _$ a. v. x9 [8 l; cpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and ; Z9 N' E! f* R% X% t3 lother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth5 P# q' i' D& L
fifinger[1]. 6 F' U: \; `( |9 U+ k3 k. A1 uThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller, ]3 ~- Q: Q* H: n
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem! q; a1 H1 Q' v1 Y) \4 Q
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they2 ?' `8 M) Y) m; U4 M8 _7 R2 A& M& K
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and 0 z; S% B: D1 x4 Q* vstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived7 o( U1 I4 z. L s) ^
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. . l5 B, P! k5 x1 G, LLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.; e) ^6 _% }) c, Y6 m" N
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,/ R# K5 E, e1 o8 R. X- k
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on ; Q: F9 D+ Y! I; J9 xall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and! h5 V0 q/ P0 X4 s2 P9 X2 ]+ Y
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil / w4 Q, E3 B: S# l$ ntrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].* m' k7 L, H5 F) U3 N. Q
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which # h1 ?; }7 m- J2 W5 D6 p( E; Ecovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have . c$ o, m( J! [* B: P8 Shad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug% Y; W+ K+ o8 X; Q: n& M4 w. c( I
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de # L% t3 j) Z% z4 k3 }, {riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning% ^( g% F2 Z7 _
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded# n. o1 b, w8 `
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec" P; C+ r. H# k" s4 Y& ?
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones - W% `3 `( N/ K z% jto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from0 ]9 l+ o4 {3 O4 N. Q
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 3 B( {: W& R' m, wQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least " v0 @+ T$ B$ d* G5 q) V: Jnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong2 d& a5 E% v8 m; G
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.1 L, w1 `; V8 v9 h
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled0 w& f/ q* h( [" H% I. e
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded4 g8 V! e0 P+ N9 q& w; I0 j( o4 l
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,: g' _5 p! g# i5 [
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able ! u% e) {( V( e3 k) ?4 Nto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. # M3 @9 w% v: f$ S5 k5 L/ WHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology7 b, O' ?) p! [% S2 c0 l
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs# Q: z _4 c0 }9 g4 J: n( I
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, ; d- w. e2 u- [0 ?: wsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that ! S. T3 G) X) R7 r) x. a: hatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed) G+ O& ]. [ e3 a8 L) s& L
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 8 U" o$ B) [# c( w D( Y4 rAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. , p: Q& D# u9 k$ |6 {If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones , G0 G) i. O- R- E8 ?of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage * M( Q" e. {" N/ n% r7 Q: Sa bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for + u7 S+ ?' }; K7 n/ cgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 8 E# n8 @2 R) b/ B% Iand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as * m1 _2 U. D, t, Z$ ]1 D& Zquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of2 c" k; Q3 |9 @% x8 a; @
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism9 x% M; |+ d! R/ r
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would9 |) D. |" y9 T
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds 8 D2 c( }. v; b2 _' H: nof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].2 y3 y4 O; p' n# R: [
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the: A* L1 O; b$ u3 G3 {: h% q
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and1 U3 ^8 \; ?/ r/ o- k
to answer the following questions. - R1 H4 a/ j1 G+ Y& j1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor7 ]3 v9 @0 t' L5 h# a% O
mal flflight. ' [6 l4 r! p0 J& V Q2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during& T, P4 H) t/ k8 v( j
normal flflight. 2 Y, j: H' z+ }. k( `3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like / G) k$ w1 _! D# a+ cbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.( T: g8 F: r6 X' ^" l
References' z7 i8 F/ o* H* a! ?
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight2 {2 D+ `; a5 F+ H2 g$ |& q
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.! C O* Q' Z, O4 F) t
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. ; z& {; c7 _2 vhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php- ^5 V9 z3 {0 a4 O' u3 n; H8 T
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs " i; z* g4 H0 N$ q4 p$ b/ C- nWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- w7 F- F( S, i- G) v
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html/ M+ k4 J, e0 I5 T
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a * v, C3 v4 i3 ~7 i5 Vrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)4 h0 B! c8 [4 E
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):0 o9 {# Z* F B4 I: ^: E
1983-87. 7 H4 Z* F+ Q z[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust4 d' ~8 Y5 o& n& T
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):7 K3 D+ p9 A: w9 V& C0 i0 G
180-84.. e0 N+ y/ [6 Z. O2 E
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?# D# t4 h7 P8 f( }, w7 `3 I
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs' C4 q) Z6 O% J/ V: [( p2 F
too-big-to-flfly/ ; D' @+ o2 c1 \[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology * V: ~0 y' Z, V$ `+ hof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. . d4 A) M7 w! R( U y0 b[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable6 R: s ?$ Q& U
air sacs in their wings.6 J0 M1 y1 r( Y Y% o
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur" _ O+ z1 M. Z9 H3 S6 o
breathing-air-sacs- ?1 t7 J' B- X! X/ g
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all." i! X1 ^/ T' g6 p6 m$ f
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils$ a' i) |% `0 O5 D' K5 r
research-mark-witton + }0 T: ], x4 }" o% S! h[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?* o' j. Z% k- |3 W- N, v
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs 2 Z0 M2 |7 J0 pvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ % X- G- R' { s9 s5 V0 K: J! r' ?' E
20229 }% }/ ^! S/ A0 V6 | q
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling8 z+ S8 ~/ O; f2 C6 T" J6 P% b
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn! E- G3 z: v9 K! f1 G
Problem B (MCM); D, A! ]' U6 X
The Genetic Process of Sequences - u ~) X; t+ ]1 tSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein * g1 X# e! r# T( L$ G7 Rsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of 1 L2 o2 H& ^" u# s) _' dlife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their . ?. Z9 s) b+ p; j( ]( Fnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong # a: s) s3 X8 S- {evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common' F6 t6 q3 E# ], ?$ S
ancestral sequence[2].) r0 _( X9 n9 N" E' k' A1 w
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu8 l+ n! {" U1 |: x0 D
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation0 Q; O* o* t# q5 q
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and # i( d2 r- k: o' n( mdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by& J0 _5 X2 T0 V# E$ c. t
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together6 v- U" a; I+ `( t" |
can form a family, and they are considered homologous.$ l( `6 ~9 S7 L4 j8 G
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com $ q8 J' _0 y5 j5 |" _plete the following problems.. [+ l( O) j# Z- r
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between ( w! C; w! Y$ f' C6 Z) J" Ltwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.* [! d, }+ b! G: z3 t
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and' B3 J. c7 b: d9 ~: C
design suitable examples to illustrate it.! U4 _+ G6 n* I8 s/ r9 R
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an2 O% E& p$ e; W$ X" h/ X8 ?
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral % h- A, t6 K7 e, tsequence, and map the genealogical tree.) A/ U+ F4 O X& U: U) S
References; n5 [, p" L! W9 Z g
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re1 V$ J( K, s3 w! W' a1 H
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. * Z+ y# r( K2 p" ` m[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,! t! K' y2 s0 t# n; E6 B
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and1 c& r& t/ F, i% u, Y
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. : r0 R7 V- R; `/ A% M3 E1 G4 u' M. ]. C* W/ O( t1 Z0 h
2022 ' l0 K* J1 l9 GCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling3 n2 }+ E& @& Q2 \# c$ n
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn - F9 x4 T7 I: E. ~3 {2 }# GProblem C (ICM) & @% `$ Y2 k# u. o: i& W4 KClassify Human Activities* B* D3 M' H4 O o6 y$ H
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and5 s w3 |6 O# M3 n1 S3 b
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im 2 I$ m- S8 f/ D3 H9 Q( k. c6 kprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor* _! C( v& z7 s: r
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 9 `' r+ M7 U$ T2 r% s. _3 c# }ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly 6 E) f/ W$ Z9 `remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],) e3 v8 R4 \: @, r4 a7 Z! ~! e& T
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in ! G6 Z3 c F# D( M$ Z8 B& z; ^. Aschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, ) M" h3 h1 q( V0 R8 C% g1 n0 f; Wsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain . h! r6 ? v8 k2 Sment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial$ F k% f4 m+ z# K: q6 N- Q
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify: X/ \- b m' O; @+ F# y: d0 X
human activities, the following data were obtained.9 r5 z2 Y0 I! L5 H; y
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, : ~: ~, |. c& E+ {; Mbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes ) p4 d. b: m% d2 w9 ofor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ1 x* r! {' }1 T8 v
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be1 V# [) Z) ~+ G4 o) l
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and ( Z, y2 b) z. X: R5 Vamplitudes of some activities.$ A' N. m7 v' o
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. q6 p& \/ W& ]2 j0 ]& [The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal, y& R& }0 [5 F( R
segments are obtained for each activity. . Q- o7 O! c7 R) SThe 19 activities are:- C; s9 r# |$ Q% d" R( h$ D
1. Sitting (A1);2 M* l4 B: m1 d
2. Standing (A2);7 w/ l0 D) {- h/ _' ^
3. Lying on back (A3); % R% T9 N' `. s4. Lying on right side (A4); 2 `) c& w* A9 o" G5. Ascending stairs (A5);1 q5 K( n6 ]) |/ b" l2 l* }: r
16. Descending stairs (A6);4 ]' O& L! P, c! F
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); + S8 _1 e: k* N$ J, _+ N8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);& g; V P& Z1 y2 T
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); - d7 E. _! @) Z& {: k+ f! i10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg " Y" o: E, Q4 x2 Iinclined positions (A10);$ K* F7 H' g8 `9 m0 K5 k
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions : x4 T6 V5 \4 A9 C' n(A11);" s4 b2 E& m. q- z
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);- p; _' Y" F# p5 Q
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);6 F( P* i/ k$ m4 T$ ]/ |7 z
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);* e7 l' z$ S: L8 W" h
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); ( t T, t+ {9 ], R- h16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);5 n$ M7 c/ C% g- d0 o
17. Rowing (A17); , I3 ?9 L- ~6 `9 s18. Jumping (A18); 4 U2 ~/ f( j2 Z+ K19. Playing basketball (A19). 4 c" c+ }% H0 B8 x+ j6 @# JYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 5 p* m% [4 p& [# L8 s. t) cthe following problems. 2 Z4 u3 T: ]: L; _/ G; T1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify" s( p6 c, s$ E' U- H' i3 y
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. % U+ w9 t' o! w8 j2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have7 l2 r5 c% M# G2 ?
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study) J# t) `# s$ u3 T* D) ?4 N
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to . D& Y0 b4 ?. d2 I5 v" U7 ?' M. Xevaluate the generalization ability of your model.+ t a3 {0 {8 h
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-# d; @; j! C4 d( K9 Z! e- w3 V
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action 1 ~& l9 W. B. j2 g5 F/ Yclassifification. V& x6 o2 T3 \
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:6 S% s n3 y5 m- ?
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq # z0 H4 P1 a4 b* }1 P q5 z* t2Appendix: File structure% y/ C2 F4 K: Y9 z$ T) U4 I2 t9 R
• 19 activities (a) ( I1 y' x% x; ^+ E• 8 subjects (p)* F& x: h5 b0 _+ e2 Y5 Y. ]
• 60 segments (s) " c5 O) B6 j5 E, @8 _• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left9 ]. @1 `! S# t2 [* D" J- w9 N
leg (LL)) K+ @0 `# t5 z2 G0 h. x! `0 V
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z ' F( \$ b, Y8 `0 x6 I' ~1 j/ zmagnetometers) . ~: B; o: ], `' }; kFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.8 Z. C- K4 _+ _2 | q
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the2 l% E, z" [' {" E4 e9 l
8 subjects.) [( r' s/ l: i6 J4 p! A+ G: N8 {
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each ( [& G. r+ H7 vsegment. 4 ?2 [: J- l6 n/ A; W% ]5 q# ` P3 lIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 : H5 H/ w0 w; i: V) bHz = 125 rows.8 M z t! b- B' m- O! A% m
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the 1 c& E2 l( ?$ \8 G- G' \sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. 7 B& _$ Z3 Z" GEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular ( ]+ R N2 H! ]' C6 v9 K" Osampling instant separated by commas.9 c8 {# Y+ S. s' u. j5 [
Columns 1-45 correspond to:5 k9 Y2 y7 P" Z5 D9 G+ f$ K
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,/ @$ }. c$ e4 S4 z
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, / I& @- H5 j2 e+ S3 W4 S5 D• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, " U. o3 n/ K% R3 [• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,) [1 P! C3 R) x! ^
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.% }8 {% \: B0 v* C" G. F
Therefore,; g$ g5 P2 \( K' t( y6 f4 g
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), " G* g& I# x; m+ a• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 3 z* e. | _0 n9 _• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), x8 H( k! ~- B# S3 e5 s! r
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), - X/ V; `: T0 V8 e. j) j/ F* O& m• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).* F- ^& u$ n8 F# K8 R3 P1 R( z
3References ' q; P# o* x* ?& `! G- M: b4 ^% f[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic0 i1 T% f* p/ ?. O6 U" J: K( t6 X
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. * K% R2 r- l$ d. N- n. a5 \+ d42(5), 679-687, 20041 i0 V; `+ ]: f4 I5 @- O* j0 }
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of 4 w! G( D% O$ V1 H# [" Q8 Jlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. , I5 r* h+ H# L6 q6 g" _% b( eGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20084 M4 f/ @9 \0 A: p5 B( H( y2 k' l
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag , M- o, n. ]4 D# P$ _1 h& a! ~nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.7 B2 F$ w% j/ E$ x; Q- d5 w
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 . P E+ N, }) U) d. f9 a[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con# r8 G: I/ @6 w5 i. k$ }
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20081 {; `# |5 {, J6 g: D( [1 H
2 Z+ u4 }2 Y( V9 C
2022; O3 p5 }/ h/ C' A/ U C
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling1 ~' ~' x# d- e: F2 f! L
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn . A; L- v I& E0 D% CProblem D (ICM)8 V2 z9 @( A" d J3 `
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long4 _- E: u: J0 Z
Time( v: q" n- ?6 h
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the # Q1 y; t: E u+ }2 O2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source- }/ E" S+ o) ~# q. N2 C
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently ; Q( b& g' O# _9 ]7 r" Itightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, 1 {# K* Z5 [8 Cwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some # E9 h* u7 g3 xscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak4 k$ k, m) i9 w
ends. 5 O2 L- z0 U0 fHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? ( i3 ~/ |) m: \! R( i! USome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas 2 |9 A5 }+ A9 gothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 5 B* w3 c y) Q4 Gple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could) l* E, }& d' [$ W
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil x* g5 Q$ w5 ~! {1 W
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of) P1 m4 l. w, J4 o
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. j- t* C7 j9 z% N6 X+ `
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology , t; l+ ^$ F9 ~; B; Nin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their" g l, a1 ? P9 d5 d
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have . X/ h* A% q5 P. p% D9 hidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with 8 e, w: d4 v( q% aall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing " B: c$ S5 a! }: ^* C; walmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen , [5 W' L v9 ?2 Yfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 . ~; q% \: @( Z! i* d/ j4 ^November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in# a# ?; c" r( j7 Q" Y- i- s6 T
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in1 o" N7 j2 E- M! T8 u) z
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife2 q3 `6 Y/ v [1 ?% @, h( u9 |2 Z
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature # R* ^% w5 X Y: B* p, G/ U! o) Twhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact 2 V# }7 a T8 w9 X* W& I- Jwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients 8 G* p! I# X Bare in place for a similar disease to emerge again./ Z1 {5 _* I* o3 ?% L
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: ( [. z- D( ]# ]9 [5 W1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS5 `: |8 R1 Q. |7 n. r2 _, b
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL% t1 d8 n, m+ i4 Q# h: k
• Decline and extinction of populations , D) Y& `. E, R# ?• Introduction of invasive species ) C. E1 A! r% I% [• Spread of new diseases to humans5 R9 I) m. R* n) V5 r: \
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database 2 G1 ?* X, ~ k0 |% w2 c- f8 S, Qcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The0 R3 h" H4 r; \% G4 z
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete( k- L. L/ V1 q& N' A
database can also be obtained through the following link:2 |* ?6 o3 a/ a- u7 D
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ ; [+ U t& o$ \7 D. LRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod # `$ `. N! W: M/ u7 g0 {: tels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: $ n4 p4 i9 j% i8 a4 y1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live. ~7 m; Q/ R; `7 ^* |% g) W, m8 ~
animals taken from the wild)?+ X( Y! v4 L/ y* ]8 ?
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? * L( R$ \# m- m9 l8 {: F3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? . Z G: c- k/ i4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major / i: ^6 e$ S4 o& `* ~5 d. I& Qinfectious diseases? 0 [, A( a1 i2 w! N0 i# D25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it5 i7 e' E. ^1 _9 Q
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?& R- I9 W0 U7 c1 G
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain 4 o8 k/ U# E/ e2 ^* m# Ayour views and policy suggestions. - R; `9 G& ], a H0 ^4 z# { 5 J. Z+ B3 q7 i \9 T* k: r- o4 D; e* U. P4 y
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