2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 7 g& r' \! I q# b6 B5 U- q
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx % G; r. W' p' f! c! C: u " j& p2 Q# d4 I- Z& y2022) P0 M1 r, B' ?5 x! X
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling$ u7 V' B% \) ~9 F
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn4 H( W# r- {0 `' K/ a$ @
Problem A (MCM)6 @% ~& O* v+ H! p' K3 c) Q
How Pterosaurs Fly$ u0 E5 Y. E O8 Z B" `
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They ! j0 S8 i" P# Q+ w3 {5 Iexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of2 e6 _, z: P- w3 V8 Y! G
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved0 q3 m" n+ A1 O+ I! v
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and X1 M% [+ Y. l) ?# J. l/ D4 P5 F# z# G* c
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth 9 i$ y' c, z" ]$ ififinger[1]. $ D, d. I. d+ D: {9 l" i2 qThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller 6 w; A# d4 F5 a' d5 d/ d( K; danimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem% O- G1 A) m5 R8 }/ }' {
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they: Q H, a s A) a' r1 `3 T% g) h& }
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and # o0 X$ j; d4 ?" E, [% ~% _2 qstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived + c4 }, I% ^8 W+ ~in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. $ M! h) D4 t& {/ d4 y! a' ^* {Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. : }. l: Y# F- L! d' U0 [0 R0 nPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, 0 N8 p& g; I- ~) wand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on i2 D' `$ S; z. l. [ |0 oall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and; O/ m) I5 B% @; A0 S- {
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil, p9 Y3 p+ s+ Z, ?0 |
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].9 e: t5 H4 W" V$ |: K7 `
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which4 @- d+ v' g) W8 y) x) b
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 9 ^, W6 O3 E: a- @9 H" xhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug8 e/ z$ H# d: {( g5 @/ u0 k
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de 6 q j' ?3 G! K- I# Friving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning " ?4 |7 _% l% h: v1 j& mcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded: f5 `9 y! ~" `! f! G
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec ) K# Y& D! I- r& Utional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones! N1 n U+ r( @& L
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from* z/ F J2 m D _
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including7 a) O/ K5 r, [6 A& e
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least t5 W% O8 p, D* V7 `nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong' [, A/ u# v9 n/ v/ v6 o
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. & i: o9 \! M! W8 a- m+ WThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled. u. x# C% C" {! f: }% Z; n
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded2 ^" B: B( a' p' B, l' k* ^
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,: t" j1 L# M6 X
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able 8 q' p7 j9 K% H( [" n* S) q, cto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]./ f4 S/ z# N* M# K8 _' P/ Z
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology 9 B0 [- h6 B5 B6 E7 Tof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs ) [9 ?$ ?9 M# D9 T) tbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, # `% R' {$ N* x) `3 v5 w% }! ?( \1 qsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that $ b$ V$ N" Z+ r5 R' Watmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed ; f& `$ `( {0 Y( r; @for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].# ]8 e8 S% P9 c
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. % C& }, o U% JIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones 0 j; a$ R& D. N6 K2 E1 s" kof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage% _: a: r5 |8 k) Y: i8 Q$ q
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for 7 @5 C1 q/ [ K# Q, ggetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded - m" v" X/ {% h( Fand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as2 k: S2 `0 \# _, O x7 u
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of & J' A4 n* K6 v5 f/ l6 OJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism 5 O. S* C/ X) k! C% D) gto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would5 i' `1 K- E1 ^- W9 @
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds; G0 @) n( ?9 N; X, s
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].' R: { T2 M! S: a) p
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the # V8 T% l5 x3 A& L/ Y* [flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and/ N- a# E' p+ ?
to answer the following questions. 3 _, J( h' ], Y/ t& L1 z1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor5 r! Y+ R' R5 L) |& k
mal flflight. Y @9 \+ D8 |% X. H+ z& [2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during. t/ t* G9 @9 i& H- T0 Y
normal flflight./ a% ?, M6 K0 s, \8 c
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like. g- o. W0 p+ w, A. F
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. / x+ z, l8 B% ?9 I' X9 P$ cReferences! d/ |4 f, e3 o: C0 ~ Z" H
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight 7 Z Z* |' C7 h5 `& p. E) UMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. , E# j6 o W1 h8 E" \2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.% D1 _; s* ^! }6 S7 D4 }* v
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php D3 z8 R9 o/ ]4 e[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs j& M) H* }) c2 M9 GWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- * @1 | v6 E8 H+ R; vpterosaurs-had-feathers.html% O% h( i+ w, w1 P# |
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a# \* K* R) p6 U
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)* U# r& f% L1 Y# K6 v. ~, N/ u
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):' {1 a; V4 i$ v0 d. [+ M
1983-87.# p; X. B4 I& S
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust5 }4 f* v6 K5 Y
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): , Y0 g& W7 M2 i( A$ u& E" T180-84. 1 v% Z. u- e: \( b[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? 4 m; P. ]1 C1 zhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs5 e! B* y+ r6 i8 m, F
too-big-to-flfly/; N/ ~( @( p8 Q4 X! Y8 a% q4 ~& d4 ^
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology/ u; _$ B' A) M' A: s) }
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.6 L+ B( O/ m# m5 A( W3 [8 W' o
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable , n' [4 k3 X7 p9 a8 X0 `3 Rair sacs in their wings. 5 L0 V: ?) O3 Ahttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur' D/ Z K1 y3 I7 P
breathing-air-sacs # H n: V* A, a8 ~2 ~; R' M7 F3 C[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. ' n6 W; X; Q2 |. h- X2 bhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils & o* }' c5 N: N$ Aresearch-mark-witton + O4 C, W& a! U+ J: H+ i[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?) t, C/ t2 L, \% E. ^* X+ c7 \" G1 }! u
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs % ]! ]" Z, n( ] u8 Tvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/* A0 c) }2 _9 x& W/ r+ ` n
% w+ r: A! v+ x" [* q
2022$ S) C1 y3 r7 u. r' c; i" h
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling- \: _# U( x) f+ q2 v; J4 m
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn & z5 c5 R, E8 p9 Z QProblem B (MCM) & Z+ L$ ~" W _, S2 yThe Genetic Process of Sequences9 y' g% A2 i- O1 J" I, g3 i% x
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein * I, N3 M) a6 i7 ^1 }. p8 Ysequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of8 r9 d. V& a2 f- Q1 D1 g# \$ ?* t
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their 3 @) s) Z$ w2 m- N( |0 C& F* e7 W3 Onucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong 5 w! b4 {. |3 }! L0 a6 M4 Hevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common 4 f# ~8 A1 Z) U' k1 k; f' oancestral sequence[2]. l# L+ H3 t) ^ hConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu / c. a; l3 }) Zcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation ; J7 e O" e* \9 H/ t& G2 ~arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and - j* ^# h- x$ `2 Bdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by9 V1 N* t2 \- a& q+ w5 }
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together - I& R$ e' E/ s0 O0 ^1 Hcan form a family, and they are considered homologous. _9 n3 M( w: A+ M. ~4 P
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com2 v! {2 a4 k9 ?7 A% J$ h% h/ _
plete the following problems. + ] j: P( y3 a5 `8 G: {1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between" `* O9 ?! }" U, j& {
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences./ `6 {4 l. m2 ~0 j$ I7 A; A
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and% I) y% n5 ]5 c; X
design suitable examples to illustrate it. $ `, U$ e! l' Y7 j1 l3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an 7 h# m6 w+ F/ _/ qcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral # s8 z" g+ @% k3 Zsequence, and map the genealogical tree.. \6 {& A2 O0 N P4 _* J
References " Q2 z; b4 A0 t3 w4 e. D! B* T[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re , S. q& l9 k; W2 g. c& Lview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.( \# i5 |. Z/ k' J( _0 G
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,! b; C' l' X" u
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and K& e0 E: S, Q; T- A1 L9 ~
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 2 v# p Q( }# N+ F: f' e3 \ ; C" i- q6 l9 |4 @: F- a2022; R1 Q# g. ~$ j8 r$ k8 e
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 3 m: \: e: f7 F2 a' @. i) H" ?1 Shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn4 p% W M& U* S8 O$ A
Problem C (ICM)! ?; k$ U) w( C
Classify Human Activities 6 V1 R, [8 u/ [7 COne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and + G8 J; Y; D4 }1 E, U% n/ Y kmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im" a- j8 M' p1 W7 D) ]
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor; f. `2 d& Z8 x# L- V: `
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ# D J4 G- r$ Q6 C+ q" R0 w1 I
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly8 h) Z' U$ c9 V3 Y
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],. v5 G* y0 e1 x* i% v% p6 \
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in 8 O: J! x. \, W$ ^2 U1 O0 B$ T3 Uschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, $ G( w, \: [% K/ }6 jsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain$ t) \6 H2 R# |" J
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial , x6 M' T* I& R) s8 G+ z: ~0 }sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify 5 G- ?" {5 E R/ R8 k5 k% ^9 X1 Khuman activities, the following data were obtained.) U! G0 K+ s# j9 f* g1 f% {
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, 0 [* @, ~7 Q3 s ~, @between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 8 Q" Y/ c; R' v8 q" y! cfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ- D n/ i) U; v- ?0 W
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be/ ]) I# o7 j" F
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and: y7 Y% A0 L2 x/ [! J( h
amplitudes of some activities. 2 n4 M' [ C0 H( w9 p) tSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. ) B- U* X3 g: M$ v" EThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal , |2 I, J" b$ l jsegments are obtained for each activity.% {# L* G! J# a9 \1 A9 r$ P
The 19 activities are:, G; ^6 X# U) u
1. Sitting (A1); 5 u" Z$ _' ] Q& D) R; {) q. o3 ?2. Standing (A2);/ x& M* \$ ~! C: E* R# m! `
3. Lying on back (A3);6 G+ n6 b* k: {, C1 k
4. Lying on right side (A4); ) J: M6 Z3 C1 F/ H) |* `! G8 }, W5. Ascending stairs (A5); / u# X! e, Q1 K3 w0 |0 t% ]16. Descending stairs (A6);5 K# Y$ v/ i( m& o! Q6 x& }
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);2 c1 s0 q5 D6 v
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);+ k0 I% ~8 v" ^2 m* u4 _1 W
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); 2 V" {& w# j# J/ e" i* @) f10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg 5 k/ s% `* S- @3 y8 m G& [: linclined positions (A10);1 |) @1 } o+ y8 W7 q
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions % w2 S% N3 Z% r, X. }: F(A11);8 c) H+ Z$ }3 s$ l4 @( w3 w+ }2 f
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); - E5 H" r7 m; E6 B) z* M13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);, ]9 L2 }5 \/ l) t, e) ]
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);: c4 `# [1 J: Z: V2 L
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); 1 |' Z' N6 e8 `& X$ L& t16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); ' _" P" r: w4 f, e* |, \5 n9 Z( N17. Rowing (A17); " x7 k9 a7 F6 Z% m' X+ }$ p18. Jumping (A18); % z3 B; P% x! ]! S" m19. Playing basketball (A19). / s$ u; m) s5 Y( z2 Q% d; s6 R$ mYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 5 L5 y% p5 i2 T4 w# A( W3 B3 y- [the following problems.# t% O: P# ]' b; |: }9 h9 J
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify 6 J7 W! A0 I9 s) _) m( Ethe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. h; K( C. X; o# n) a0 C8 S
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have 2 Z: w: h5 p# [5 |/ Ga good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study) i& c$ Y5 ~: H8 `) A
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 7 s. f( L; E4 T$ `( l2 ?5 n( k6 N7 Tevaluate the generalization ability of your model. " v* ]$ P% V7 `" L1 C3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- & R! b' d j- a3 Q/ zcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action $ h2 y i+ m7 E- X" d; c; ?. i( Wclassifification. ; J/ `" j- ~7 `. n2 Z# VThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: / A/ K+ a% i. G1 w* Z1 `https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq- x* [/ Y, B' O* }
2Appendix: File structure! P9 r+ F3 I% K$ p; N7 b' |& ~; n
• 19 activities (a) 2 j. w" [. k& ?% F' t3 p• 8 subjects (p) , ^ W$ [; m' I& H$ v. L! |" X9 `• 60 segments (s) ( ^( D( S# J0 g; v1 B• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left 3 n0 c: e9 z7 a, N" t# r$ Zleg (LL) . b- J9 N5 M T1 ^! l• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z 4 w( N; F% s' ?7 r z4 Z& z( ~magnetometers) * K" D& ]$ \2 ~0 q/ N/ iFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 3 l0 o9 |. h, [4 G6 [6 b9 AFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the - Q3 H$ N! ]% f8 subjects.2 B5 K, O9 V% Z5 Q
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each' @3 c8 e5 g; |1 z
segment.) }# G* W, w: |2 ]+ }
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 : A% U- X& X0 O, t. PHz = 125 rows. ( T* ]4 [+ ]/ a6 y& @Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the2 i( h2 W! S% a
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. / I; C8 @* @ A( jEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular/ l1 n; V, w2 e0 v W. ?* H& ~4 B
sampling instant separated by commas.5 e5 ~" e* @ L5 Q( d
Columns 1-45 correspond to:/ d& j& A4 g! @
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,+ O! }$ _0 @' J% W
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,$ g, Q& T% \7 K& q5 L% `, E
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,: V% R; n% u) x. [. _
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,1 y2 J4 A% e( l+ P. S' G- U% R
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.3 |2 J2 @) M' T$ u
Therefore,: | f, e. B+ G/ n# w: _
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),! N ]. v* Y0 _
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),2 f- ~9 `4 C4 J3 h* R- ]+ q
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 7 P8 |; \7 x* e {6 N4 ?• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), : x( {4 O- G* c5 I( s4 ]3 S• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). + q3 S7 O: ^9 u# d- ?8 `3References 2 k. d/ P- ?7 J! ^[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic' N( j2 ^' H; S) O
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. ) W' O5 |6 C* y4 R8 m! w42(5), 679-687, 2004. ]+ j7 h8 N- j1 \, B
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of8 @+ v8 u# g$ u. t8 x6 N/ a+ A J
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.6 T; q! K) N& x% U( Q1 ?
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008" S f: Z3 F6 d( B# J* e* e
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag! a" ^: H+ u8 |
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.) [- R) Q+ H8 q$ n# t+ k
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 $ `' u8 q" X! ^3 a5 K3 E[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con 9 f+ v. @1 A( c; c" Ytrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 / n5 X+ u) `! i3 P4 C+ m $ f; r, `8 G3 b3 {3 ?' a: M2022 ( ]) v$ z9 Z/ {0 l8 _8 V8 ^& B. lCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling * W1 n) h& i' {0 U( r' ]6 @$ fhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 7 e6 E# X+ V {1 |! P6 ]Problem D (ICM)9 \: h" M) j8 u$ k% @& h3 ^
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long % A- Z/ w( S" t7 d; hTime0 I* x! y Q( S, r/ ]( i
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the L: k2 O+ X9 H& c2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source / ?) Q1 o8 N# {* M) u' Jof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently- s/ J U7 e8 O2 h# W4 k( o. g
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,2 r* e; ~% t! t6 Z
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some ) s! O6 K+ Y- D G: o4 Lscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 9 t. ?1 f% \1 a" _4 M0 Eends.! }- s ^# A- S* c5 S
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?$ R0 ~; V# h: `& R* o
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas : A- S$ I$ {9 q' W ^8 g) n) E. w) eothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo ) S5 r0 C7 z$ Q; q( hple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could & B# d! X9 ]2 C8 {, d+ Qcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil# a! }9 `9 { }6 n( D$ i+ d
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of7 c, N* q+ t$ v
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. " F) }3 M7 O" Z' MA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology0 O& U+ s$ w2 l$ K* H
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their7 D0 d& Y5 O! _0 y' g1 u; ]
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have ! { N- j9 |- @ W( Y4 Iidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with " d7 k( Z; s7 mall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing# I5 n, O+ C4 o9 Q6 l
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen6 b! K4 _/ J# N7 `5 C+ m
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 301 w, G& {' J/ a' ~/ X
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 9 ^. } S6 @6 k9 Q. `1 N5 M6 z bYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in # [: p$ |( h3 a' j+ W' Q+ HGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife3 M7 T; W! x# O" I
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 2 K) E# i/ R2 f: l4 d3 Jwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact; v$ ]/ ^: e) Q$ r1 p
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients4 t; M3 \' Y/ M+ \0 ]2 x% m0 A
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. ! `- x9 v2 @: f+ |- v" T! SWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:# @ H# A! X1 J$ A% q; {, L0 t
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS J. q; c+ N) ~ foutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL ' h6 q* a' {6 x) e, l0 ]3 [• Decline and extinction of populations/ V3 L2 \: l$ q5 t! L
• Introduction of invasive species) Q9 G a5 E4 y0 A5 e
• Spread of new diseases to humans% N" y: t j( n" N; B
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database% `1 |& y; T! Q1 u0 F
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The ! T% O/ c( x# J' {/ w; p8 Tappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete . q0 b- z1 D7 U _) jdatabase can also be obtained through the following link: + t0 X C. l5 n) ~5 s7 khttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ $ I; i, r9 Y% G% qRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod# d N5 Y( B) `, G3 `: w. r. H6 [
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 0 M& D0 z& n' W2 o; W% b1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live , B( I- }' J4 C$ G) i, J3 |5 Banimals taken from the wild)?/ j, c/ x4 E; ]7 T* k5 A: D6 e
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?$ D4 Z! S5 H1 y& L
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?# _8 u2 K0 V; \
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major9 R: R7 [" L6 t8 j
infectious diseases?7 @2 x1 R3 l. P. @ z0 [
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it/ \; H" i& `9 Z- w7 K
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? 9 `! E. u* I+ f" ~2 k O/ i2 y6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain 7 P2 U- ? G c" J' Myour views and policy suggestions. 1 h! x" m y( d! L( O ' G g T! Y6 S) Z $ ?# _9 }5 O$ C+ y i0 C ( `: M- C7 X4 N* O8 @5 ~. v0 D. h9 ?. ^( f& \0 n
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7 Z! x/ S5 v' q8 H6 ^+ h. W