2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 6 @6 d5 x/ O& Z4 o3 ]" Shttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx ! M# f: d: C. D7 }% a# ? ' w$ L" m* O, J2022 3 `, b0 R4 N l1 N& ICertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling- ~- v6 i6 a) O
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 8 S2 R% {0 b6 D- q# L4 H& VProblem A (MCM)# N9 p* R5 ^/ A/ M4 x# B( B
How Pterosaurs Fly' F$ I! C: Z# c0 u. E
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They4 ~. c( f' D1 c9 h
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 6 I' ]( L R" B( ~5 athe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved ~6 D1 H+ ?1 N3 \1 qpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and* B8 }3 M1 } K
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth + y" c$ @# O9 N& Ffifinger[1].3 j* p" i* m; L9 V/ f
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller5 V% I# h% l4 j/ {- ?# b/ c
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem3 _5 i, J$ n! l# e+ v& E: t o( f4 n
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they m$ y( d& M# i+ @
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and8 ^' h2 v- U8 Z% F. m5 ]
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived/ T" U1 T- c* j( l' T
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.$ f# v9 h6 {' E
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. / e% {! r4 D [2 `Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,$ ?3 ^' d( z! U$ T
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on ) o, F. Z0 F( v- w4 Wall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and / v8 h: b, y. ^folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil 4 Y3 g8 C S( M s& Utrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]./ Q% s- B# X# k7 n- ~. j2 L
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 7 i: ]" w& H6 f& o1 Ucovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have ' ^* c3 J. w: t- y& Zhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug : K, L& g. V7 C0 C6 ]$ Sgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de" Y6 T( m7 m4 }/ V: R
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning - |2 Q$ ]: i4 F, tcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded ! x2 T- P: {8 H- a4 o4 k2 Q(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec, `! S3 {& a l4 |
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones. M/ E9 R, c' z/ L* O
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from " C* A5 G( H( {8 S* \; \+ i h5 Fthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including / l) [; D, x$ a# E, x+ VQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least ' l/ \% s- A: W# L( Vnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong * w9 P" V$ J! w# A3 }1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. 1 K; I* w+ u, A0 Z; SThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled/ n% u! w3 | U( M. H) ~) r$ g
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded! I/ t7 I/ f- {- c2 e: K
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,4 L4 H9 b' f& I* _* Q) j4 a
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able ' j" U6 \: m2 s( C6 n: Vto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. ( u X" d) o6 z1 E! S8 [) eHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology ) S/ n( e& B R# lof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs4 w+ h5 i9 Z0 t5 g d' X
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, $ \, m$ m7 `0 p& f" Zsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that( T! c) q" s0 ]8 W, y% M
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed% O( N5 x' x/ x6 M( E* ~
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. ; l6 Q: P% C% X5 d3 ]5 jAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. - V! N3 t9 E; u9 C" @2 F0 BIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones" j n2 {, _4 G. I- ?$ b
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage , q1 y* q# `7 n. Ra bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for6 v) e) B' `, ~
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded* Z7 ]& n- W! f% _
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as z q( m2 Q9 P; w9 ]" p! ~quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of * D$ b9 e H$ MJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism( P; G6 w s& K: e. e9 d
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would ; o- ~- Y! w# s% wenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds* }2 E. A& R; [
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. 2 C. r5 r4 h) N" H6 PYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the. Q% J7 h; E0 l" Q& C8 S) K$ o
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and' x' z! |" j6 c% n- n b1 T3 f
to answer the following questions.% g* m. f4 h$ n3 c
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor 0 F( t& ~, V/ A1 B$ j. B ]mal flflight. + L/ l7 O; s% d8 V! {: T V# k2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during $ `1 Q X, y9 a' cnormal flflight. & y( l. B( Z/ Q% Y3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like 1 D8 G r h% v. b7 Obirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. ! B, m, W& [6 O, q" KReferences + C1 a3 _; N5 t, ^, _) g' Z[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight / |5 I' o2 \; _- r; } SMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. ( n+ u9 b# K% z0 [+ S0 n9 e2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.+ y; T8 d, A3 C
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php8 E1 Y- O* u8 o0 i9 B" ]. o
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs : ?5 ?) {; _; j! a) oWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-# c4 d' o! L8 Q$ d Q8 s
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html 6 `7 T5 X; N7 C: h[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a" e6 s/ c9 Y% H7 a' [7 e1 W
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) 4 H' Q- ^, ?' Z$ F+ tfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 2 _6 ?6 w+ _1 D+ `" v- B3 L. u1983-87. W3 U; n1 n7 e% R" y& o/ G* S! B[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust 5 S' ~1 ~: @* n! Mskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):6 Q0 X3 Y, F( L; P( C
180-84.% D f/ M( ~6 {: Z- ^ x* `
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?5 n# }# K) f1 ^; ^$ u
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs3 ?: e/ o4 h# [8 m( g
too-big-to-flfly/ H. |" f$ I8 s9 p
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology! z; o: N0 C9 r2 b' N/ W9 d
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.4 g1 V O' ]6 K+ o% Y0 Q# z
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable3 v- |3 q( E% S7 K' f6 Q, i7 F
air sacs in their wings. : B, E0 I% ^4 ?& p! w+ w- e* phttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur- v8 D, M5 ~9 [; w) r ~. y& o
breathing-air-sacs/ ^7 z6 j1 I/ k8 n* v* J# |
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all./ W8 f p v8 d0 P
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils ! K* V$ U [) ~8 d) m2 x! _research-mark-witton1 K/ p% g% {6 [( z0 Q, M
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?! @7 P& d! F" U* T. v- V/ l
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs5 ~3 ]7 `# O9 ?
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/3 C$ g9 B# l9 M( m* j" m- x5 [
$ }9 A: Z x2 H& [3 t2022 - D" z2 K! d- N7 |/ n& Y2 X. ?Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling4 D% h/ Y9 E, E. z
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn $ }0 e* o! f. k5 }Problem B (MCM) 1 U7 X9 G" o. i( O% z( f) J3 h# h6 pThe Genetic Process of Sequences : ?. _: V) K, C* R0 `. gSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein ! ?* u. `1 ?! }' m0 {sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of/ Z9 G, k# A) I$ I* @* a T; q
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their' \6 @- r$ U6 c6 g4 c& f' k+ N
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong$ O! p" i! L5 ?, M4 j2 u1 b
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common + ^! j! |9 u; @% ~: k0 b- w1 uancestral sequence[2].+ p; B6 Z0 c' f1 k, ^0 U
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu ! O# b9 Z- k6 Ucleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation; w: ]8 Z! f2 ^
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and2 p+ B" F* X/ k( Z; v
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by / \" E0 C/ J: d# D5 R( |the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together. T5 Q4 q8 G. a% R8 ~ o+ y
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. + @4 _. `" C* p9 yYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 1 f: h4 @8 R8 R/ M9 K, ~plete the following problems.3 e- L1 p% U1 e' v
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between# U) O& O. N1 C; G$ ?7 ]7 L& F3 M
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. ) U. ~. Z( x2 Z) P/ U2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and : t% y: U) _# h2 g* z% Ndesign suitable examples to illustrate it.1 z# i2 u/ K3 p, ]2 m- U9 b
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an; U) o$ i) W$ r# b1 Z$ k+ O
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral& U W1 S% [8 @* Q. A
sequence, and map the genealogical tree. 1 F. x5 _! f2 i W6 JReferences; ^9 X, B8 `5 ?/ c3 S) B: y
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re4 `3 b+ W3 M1 l
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. : ~3 o% ~' }: ]* J( T, ^3 o[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, - H( q+ x2 ^8 W0 @et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and 7 T6 _2 C( V: E. W1 f( ^9 s, w) K# Ja way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.4 W! j8 m9 k0 q' P( [. L {
" w" ]9 ^4 ^ U
2022 6 c8 N5 I, `& y) MCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ! [# b( U/ {$ `4 }9 V( m) Phttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 4 Z% t& e3 r( ]! y+ A; E5 y+ _9 wProblem C (ICM)+ A0 W9 e8 T" i
Classify Human Activities2 f) c: d, y! l3 v
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and 2 ^* I2 o O+ X' n) p- Smonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im 4 p7 ^4 S, N" F L4 o( Eprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor9 l5 \% R. Q. b9 h# O- f; Z
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 5 X' [& w. K Q2 iity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly) e7 T7 r9 j# B s1 ?
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],3 }; |& Q0 E# m: @; W& ]$ J
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in$ A1 B6 ^9 X* |9 D2 `8 L- g
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,/ M3 F' @% B& u0 i) p: I
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain . L7 G$ S% n& S( o4 ~& C1 t3 ement, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial$ j) C: z! O, L8 \
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify! g4 y" [* U" I& e5 R% _* u4 j
human activities, the following data were obtained.4 W2 b( T2 ]. P. q6 ?
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, * y3 e/ ^2 n2 n% J+ Qbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes + }$ V6 j; Z- e" w! Lfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ8 f1 D) j" F. k5 y
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be & c+ w5 q2 e( l; h9 ]+ Sperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and" E4 L1 ?* o* Z5 r) y
amplitudes of some activities. 9 M+ _+ R/ Y' S$ @Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 5 w# G! J" K4 w0 }1 H$ iThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal. k# u/ p4 N {# t/ F, r
segments are obtained for each activity. , P" p; \+ n! ]8 b- O% eThe 19 activities are: 2 n* p% }; w! }7 u, l# w$ C1. Sitting (A1); 7 q1 Q9 k* l3 i! X& Y2 q& P2. Standing (A2); " @0 u& G9 I( @4 J1 i5 J3. Lying on back (A3); . }% P; P) }0 a& a% Q0 w' t' f$ S4. Lying on right side (A4); ! y3 z) q/ ~, K) q5 y+ O5. Ascending stairs (A5); ; P# x: F' k; O% M16. Descending stairs (A6); ; q9 F D. z5 _7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); Z6 {" K) {. ?5 w/ e/ T8 N6 ~8 D1 Z9 _
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 5 E& R, I/ \( G9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); % ?8 B( H9 T# Y+ s6 H; j10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg % g: P! X( n' H+ w( ]' f( c. Yinclined positions (A10);9 m) Y$ j9 B, r; f: b
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions* w) [9 W Q, ]3 |7 c
(A11); 2 i# j6 [: f: [7 s12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); & _; u& M$ D) z* T* ] @8 `13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);3 q1 \3 b" V# z0 u5 e+ G* j+ o
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);( h x% h) W. c/ ?
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); % J4 H. N9 `7 T1 R! i4 V7 z16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); : Q. N8 S2 I B' k% J17. Rowing (A17);+ a9 ^4 S. f, Z5 {1 H( t6 [; e
18. Jumping (A18); 8 @! Q l4 a- T$ z$ ~" C* r7 A c' Y19. Playing basketball (A19). 4 N+ n7 l, L( X9 b" M; v( jYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve ! y2 f; g3 W# b2 z! K. Othe following problems. 7 K; d) d& ]( D: ^6 j: w1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify8 c/ W& ]1 j; t1 ^! c" @
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.1 ~$ o# E! e7 W: n
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have$ l# q' Q. H6 V8 `8 H+ b
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study3 _% u8 G& h2 ?. B
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to # \2 ^1 y$ y! c$ Q: _# S' u) levaluate the generalization ability of your model." Q. N9 y& x- h* L; p- t( x/ e
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- , Q1 w2 j& I8 v9 h8 C( J; h6 ~cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action6 g1 l0 Q! i9 \0 N. g9 t0 @
classifification. # z# F( |( y" c' [4 ^. OThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: s6 u1 o2 c/ b3 d8 P7 r0 D/ @https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq ( e) s1 u- C, f7 K* R2Appendix: File structure . B+ S2 b$ f$ _2 U• 19 activities (a) * O8 T* g; Y% w1 g4 P. d o• 8 subjects (p)1 y' B8 n; z U3 c8 t4 B o
• 60 segments (s)3 m0 a+ q) t3 H1 j+ X# y( U' |
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left / e- L+ n3 R6 d0 `& Qleg (LL) 5 V7 B, Q! J! B# l4 ?• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z* v$ I& n1 W# `& ], S
magnetometers) & r4 m8 V' r S# a5 a/ B9 XFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.; o# K/ r& s/ b# V- B+ j: H
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the+ e1 t# j1 L5 |. t2 Y$ Q3 P
8 subjects.1 R1 C# `. ]( n3 A/ s1 |- E
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each4 V9 |6 g1 @& C" }* p
segment. , h! c0 L ^, N M% [/ V( U' yIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 ! q, D& C1 k$ rHz = 125 rows. / {7 \5 l* |+ M- cEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the; p) P+ i5 S; {2 z) s/ q4 ^1 l
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. , I' F" I3 _$ P% ?Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 5 t/ T4 x. V- w, C) esampling instant separated by commas.0 ]" C! y9 _. Y
Columns 1-45 correspond to:: L* z; T" v. c
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, $ k' ~5 d$ Z r) _ y+ _8 s2 [• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, & z" u5 G' j- Z0 M8 |• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, 0 |4 E8 u$ J' b% e. J• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,% E9 {0 U, m% S$ {# W- j, X
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. ' O! j# N1 Y# ~/ ITherefore,* i- s& q0 `. z! M! A, G
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),% a/ n3 Z: E" A6 X# i: X5 p3 C
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),2 ?4 z- G8 y+ W% w; y) n/ p& q
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),' _8 t* g! o; b k, g) v
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), $ Z: t# N9 X. O9 Z• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL)." e* ]- M% B5 c
3References- n" `& Y( O% `7 e2 G7 u
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic , \, o: d8 ~, f- z [; Odaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.; l( f& l% M5 K4 D
42(5), 679-687, 2004 # x& B; [8 D9 _: {[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of# Q/ C {8 E O3 j2 V v( ?
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.0 Z* S; e7 q2 ]% v# ]0 Y
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20088 C" \! a6 Z1 L: }4 I2 {5 z
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag 9 |' L' o+ B) ~( f6 U [# Inosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. * A6 }( L6 d: X# o9 w4 Y; ^/ m3 FB. 11(5), 553-562, 20078 `+ v j$ I, |% D
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con 3 @: }7 y7 Z) ^/ D7 z/ ]6 Vtrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008* y7 U( y$ [. V0 q
# t% D0 l( q& Q2022 ! G& t8 w7 m1 D2 D/ d3 Z8 ]Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling* M* O8 ^* {, b! R! G7 @
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn: c( g3 m* y; i" A+ n( K# m" X
Problem D (ICM) # c) Y$ `- U: d# o5 [. z, O, M hWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long 2 ~2 r; R2 S9 Z7 y+ `! R) k: fTime " u9 r( R- [6 n$ Q, VWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the : k& e5 c+ a: m+ X! Q2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source6 O8 l8 Z. I7 r9 }0 Z0 s$ W- ~8 }$ O
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently3 ? a, B: q, h8 q
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, 0 D: a9 V) B5 v- `which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some + P0 Z: a" x h0 j" tscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 5 _0 |! Q7 z& iends. - u) p! P+ `3 U* W9 p5 L. O) V9 {How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?, ?' ^; M0 o/ W
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas y0 b% v1 A o% b8 Y. X5 m
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo m0 y& E3 G; {" b- ^% `ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could ; z4 b+ I- K5 X* ^$ Acost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil! K# x2 B* {( `% L# f
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of9 ^ ]$ `& D" T/ _9 G
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. ) X, c2 U3 q5 I* QA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology& m- S; ~$ H2 ~/ i/ D
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their6 ^5 y/ O' C% B0 y" i% P# O
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have: d1 r3 S. g1 x! ]- p
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with , G! h" P% Y3 b; q3 c9 p) ~all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing 1 F6 C, S4 X" J- q; e5 _5 |almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen9 @# Z* E% \1 u' T# I& U
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 306 C. C$ Q! m4 h' \. E; e7 ?
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 5 L Q1 j5 g/ y& Z5 F$ V' cYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in 0 K( _2 `; v. HGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife ! R5 Y3 k7 f5 M# @, Ftrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature/ [# H/ H- O0 e9 j
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact% u! {5 S2 g7 V2 t, j4 e$ t
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients + F3 C. r: N3 y% q7 e% m, care in place for a similar disease to emerge again. * p; O. |8 g" F4 Z$ `) h; F; tWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: " i: y! a3 c, O! o6 U0 h1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS ' D8 m# j& Y/ i5 N/ Zoutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL6 M- S# B3 ?. E; X+ a. c* t
• Decline and extinction of populations/ d! a8 J( N$ x& X. H
• Introduction of invasive species7 H8 H6 [ f/ c
• Spread of new diseases to humans 0 ^$ f, @) Z; H) FWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database/ K3 H! C& \6 `% M7 n
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The 4 G$ g) s: E5 O* C/ happendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete " T e+ S. R5 h8 U* u' I# Y: [database can also be obtained through the following link: 8 P9 T( ^! l1 m6 h/ Bhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ) L9 C9 |/ A. I# @: Z2 V( g
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod' O4 t- N) d0 e: D1 W% ~
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:) q' z: |" w5 c0 t8 J7 _
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live ) o0 {, u& c2 S2 j* b: x: Hanimals taken from the wild)?' L( ?7 \( [0 f' N0 y" K% ?, z
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? 9 e. M) t1 j9 ^! O4 z1 |% C6 y6 {3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? * h$ \0 z+ k( }; K0 F0 D# J4 i4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major" l9 [. Q) s. L3 K- ^
infectious diseases?/ ?2 n; L2 X" c
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 6 W/ {7 l6 d4 o9 a1 gwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? / O. P$ j8 C! A9 v8 v5 C- w/ E: P T6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain % R5 k/ F" {# B# C) ^# kyour views and policy suggestions.2 y9 y# [+ B: e: F9 {% e4 }
0 {7 O1 ^$ R6 ~