2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 8 W5 K, p; I0 I$ n
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx5 ?- H' }. m3 J& {0 ]
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2022 ! h0 K8 ]: ^8 K6 z) t8 i7 |Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling7 Q# P4 | d& {- ^( n) K
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn # R+ [& S. | b qProblem A (MCM). f8 c) V* y/ X0 c( O# ]( G
How Pterosaurs Fly . o C- y: t b! Q& BPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They . P2 }8 P, N9 d% Y1 ]7 D2 wexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of : i: s+ K; d7 n" o: l Uthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved ( X; n0 y/ q) J1 cpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and& ~. i2 F n% S8 t4 P8 N
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth9 D2 Z- a" T+ L; j' A2 ~
fifinger[1]. $ [% q c. i4 ?9 M" ]+ t5 _There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller+ C' i$ ]. F: ]2 s& R
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem ' _* I1 Z/ v% h5 D% S- wbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they+ X0 S: _+ F4 G9 s+ o; B
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and ) D: a7 g4 V) {; y: F1 n4 V( ystrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived# s/ ~* ?7 _3 ^0 U
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. 3 n' D$ D; q$ m$ W+ c, hLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. K c5 a( u/ y2 f( {# B! R
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, : c9 A: p0 o4 r% O& ]: Sand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on ' k3 X! g, S- G2 F! qall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and# I( c# e1 P3 x0 N
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil) i2 q' I+ a' L' e) ]6 T S T
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 7 w2 _/ o5 X# l; v( [3 S1 bPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which ; [* T0 ^, l1 N% ccovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 6 U. y9 a6 Q5 qhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug ' H) c- E0 p% v( w* ]1 a* Ngestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de 5 |( X3 ]; C, B6 Y/ A0 j% i2 O1 J# Zriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning: ^0 @+ s3 I/ a5 y
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded 3 s- ] m" L% C5 Z7 e, ?(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec: c+ v* i% m% S
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 0 ^: E0 F" G" \: I/ f. l& qto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from8 @ U3 {, z+ A# l
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including " Z4 g5 N" l uQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least) X, @5 \: `) G* U7 ^! @
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong ) @" y& A' q0 a* a$ N1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. # k; E) L' _ K$ ?/ ?9 |The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled ; G( [0 j4 Y7 B: o1 h5 d9 I4 aat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded + P8 O, f6 L6 U3 J1 a7 I, O% kthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, }, T+ P; l: D7 k; J8 jLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able. c6 I7 F) O6 V: _9 |
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].) ?# B& d) i- T1 E' p
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology3 s! t3 p6 f! w; Z2 M. a6 t* |
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs 4 \7 ]9 i0 z; ~/ _# Obeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 4 E* w5 v8 ]" j' ]) }such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that/ p6 z! B- p$ G* N5 z2 l
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed 8 Q8 T* e, _; m1 S$ C) Ofor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].+ K7 r7 u; T7 C E- }# t
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.. s* h6 Z$ F9 F" H* k# T4 U
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones2 G1 K4 e5 t! `0 b2 a# W9 j
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage ( E" r' v k+ T, @5 q: _2 w1 Ra bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for9 `1 y2 t N D5 y$ g5 ?
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 2 a2 b8 e% {4 G5 x0 s& d. Zand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as - @' {! y# o2 S, Qquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ; a O+ d7 h/ C- v- E5 N- l( AJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism / n8 e; E' F+ ?0 [0 H5 ~to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would# ~. u+ @, c% e2 W
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds2 E/ d U+ a2 i0 ^: l8 Z) f
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. 7 ^6 S: w$ T% eYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the * k G6 }$ Z3 o+ `flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and 2 T0 u/ r) b9 T8 `, p4 D q. `, E7 Jto answer the following questions. + z8 F7 \: \$ y: B; m7 i1 K1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor % \$ r; g4 F0 @- V* K+ v) Q+ zmal flflight. . U+ \: ~" B, H, m. U' V! T2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during$ i5 n8 G. {+ `) v: T O
normal flflight.7 n/ h! E% c; L' y3 r" _
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like/ G/ }, y) [4 g, o) }! u0 P4 D
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. 3 s& W' t* y5 ^! g6 |4 gReferences! @3 ?/ q0 c2 U
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight: ~4 C; W6 c9 r" h2 F
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.) N- O% m) e" X5 e
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. / X0 u4 p |' {: Qhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php 5 ?4 G( m$ g/ ?$ A; Q- A[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 8 W7 T3 S1 | ? i+ MWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- + Z2 n" g$ Z4 B0 W; }pterosaurs-had-feathers.html ( u- S4 U# q. m[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a . n- ?: U Q9 M% Z. A) I/ Lrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) - h+ V6 @4 c7 s/ ~) S Y* `from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 2 }8 E$ a/ }0 i, S3 V! r0 \& l1983-87.: S+ z5 m6 L5 B
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust 7 T1 u5 w8 Q2 n& g5 y6 ^ G. xskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): " C7 u% t; O' D) [+ ?3 l/ s180-84. - W2 b9 O9 m/ b' p1 A& L/ L[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? * `- M. u" L$ h- ^9 @8 K: P9 ~, p8 rhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs ' w1 ^# X- f, ], ^" ?2 I) g: Qtoo-big-to-flfly/ + l- h: C7 f; L- m& D J- o' B' i7 P[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology7 u. h+ w: k3 {1 J
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. # q9 V* X/ [) U; v1 A[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable0 ]3 a+ s7 T. P0 u U* K
air sacs in their wings.0 ^4 r5 A2 `; g. E
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur d9 [' t7 g5 z, [
breathing-air-sacs . p8 U' n1 ?* H0 T/ l[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. / T* N& G* e( u/ \) T" Chttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils: t* `4 e! x) s* A" K
research-mark-witton- E2 }2 n; s s. D
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?9 V$ ~. u/ b4 U9 G0 m9 e- [
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs + M$ e) Q! m. H6 J0 @" R2 i' H5 Svault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/. y5 G4 {5 o3 X; M8 g6 |/ J* b
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2022 ) q; k. f k" t+ u3 QCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling$ x" c) S4 F& u. H6 J1 L; i% H. O
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn) h. w4 ?6 _) s
Problem B (MCM) , ?- Q, Q3 E7 _8 u/ W5 kThe Genetic Process of Sequences ' H4 A: N' m& k8 T# iSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein 7 L7 d: ^3 _( A5 ]sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of; X) C n& O, Y6 }* L9 t* @7 G
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their # O; b* ^/ T/ V+ N1 Qnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong- o0 w" |+ x5 t% W4 T1 o. Q% w1 a
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common : \1 i6 b0 f9 k" v0 }1 lancestral sequence[2]. : [9 i* T( l0 GConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu 3 E5 m7 ^! H; q9 y( U2 J$ mcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 1 U9 L: Z' b9 f# {) a( h$ oarise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and 8 V* @9 [# u4 p. l' r( e# z Ideletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by1 @% `* S, W7 ~' w" Q& l5 q
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together* C2 E% y1 d7 D' C; v% Q
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. - j! N7 G9 p0 k7 y$ zYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com/ M5 D R3 n7 G5 ~: j7 o
plete the following problems.% e5 c0 r* t0 H* s. [
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between 9 Q. ~3 z% K c' rtwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. + _: R' Z; W. a e2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 2 e0 n2 w. \, j, e; wdesign suitable examples to illustrate it. # N. X9 i" k/ w+ R3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an+ t: N5 I5 D/ X0 O3 t: b
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral+ Q# ]8 z0 O7 @" B9 W, b) }
sequence, and map the genealogical tree.7 \- I0 U G# H& V# g
References $ S5 \5 d* D8 @5 F; y( j[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re, H" f* {# @( o: l5 Q3 w" |& |
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. , h& S8 [0 b. p* t2 U[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 9 C p+ n5 [' S; E2 K* s3 O oet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and& }" n7 Q$ ~! z; T5 x, k
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.. z! S( G8 v# P J
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20222 w1 p9 W* @ C; J1 B( K' d# P0 P
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling w: f8 e' ?7 i& K) R
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn & W U- e; x1 r, x1 v+ |/ hProblem C (ICM) & Y e0 D8 \. N! V* gClassify Human Activities$ y e7 p9 X9 ^
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and 6 v9 M2 y4 m( F/ D5 N0 ~, l/ Ymonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im# H* ~9 N5 }4 L( U$ x( ]; s( H
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor$ n; z; _2 j4 S4 K
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 9 M& _ `9 {, q- K4 pity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly + P* a: Y6 V c1 r4 E* Kremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],, ~3 Y& p3 m# c
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in% t z% Y$ Y J- P2 l, S5 A z
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,, T3 c# L1 U( f/ G3 G4 N$ i0 C
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain ( B4 t6 O8 w+ ~8 O, ^! Cment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial & H6 F3 T# a1 J/ @1 `# h2 Jsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify5 K$ L' ]* l1 w; p
human activities, the following data were obtained.3 B" Z+ T3 ]" p* x! e8 @* ~6 [* W
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, 9 Z; c1 h9 { M# C) Ebetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes1 [6 G ]% O9 Z- N
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ 9 Y0 `1 U e' l8 F3 E- o1 o& m: Pities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be ; {# v. T9 M% n2 zperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and- V5 \$ s7 q4 A5 ^6 x+ h4 Z1 d9 e
amplitudes of some activities.3 j4 ^. l! \+ Q# m, |: _5 M9 N- h
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. : _( B$ p" H$ v& N) @! ?" B# {$ DThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal 9 Z/ M8 x. x9 ssegments are obtained for each activity. 2 x9 m' f; d% \. c& z2 Z( yThe 19 activities are:" D" {4 ^ Q0 j! A5 d& C. l
1. Sitting (A1); % C3 }3 _5 ~" d$ P+ Z" l; P2. Standing (A2);/ f) ~9 F: i- G2 u2 f( i
3. Lying on back (A3); 6 |( N- o! ?; t' y) d4. Lying on right side (A4);0 {4 E. ^8 t' _
5. Ascending stairs (A5); & z, I$ X Z; x. `( C16. Descending stairs (A6); 5 ~) r+ W5 S. }7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); / G/ w6 B8 }( R" L, s" `; n- Q8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 4 ]6 b0 ^) I- y' w9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); + t7 o8 Y/ v5 x' J" [8 g10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg* z( Y9 I* x; @* x9 b# T
inclined positions (A10);$ {$ Z( Q. j$ H1 d. ?, i
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions + C, b. c' J4 {4 f6 `(A11); : w* q/ V# ^& d# u! o# N12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);0 G+ s1 i# O. y! }( ]; Y
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); b: i; z; g1 T& \, `' t5 K7 M14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); ]* u/ d8 ~& @' D
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);8 T6 x# B) S0 Y7 z0 q) e/ f5 l
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); 2 e3 g/ Q) n5 V7 B" `" e# X7 w17. Rowing (A17); + X. C/ U8 h$ j7 {7 M9 s7 S4 p5 [18. Jumping (A18);! w' m s/ \ J& p$ J6 c* n! C
19. Playing basketball (A19).! B# T4 k: T1 @
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 7 b& A5 o% e( x$ |9 i- [the following problems.! \; h P$ S' W% x& H
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify( @& D- M- ^% Q1 j
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.0 F% F* l/ [7 P/ |: [
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have: X' F' Z4 @' g
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study- e: J; j' q/ k: V
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to5 n. @' o8 m, g! V$ E
evaluate the generalization ability of your model.; x! Q, M- @' c5 f) a0 Z
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-- T; p3 S4 n- V1 h: t$ N
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action9 q; B% H) _0 L0 ?
classifification.0 H. w' d7 c, g
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:% e1 ]: m) p% f8 H
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq8 H; l* z2 u9 S" l
2Appendix: File structure- m9 R' E k" M( ^0 H$ Z- z
• 19 activities (a)5 |# i A; i, P% ?4 b
• 8 subjects (p)+ o: x: |. L1 M9 W4 ?
• 60 segments (s)# l1 n( ?: L9 o/ m; w V3 G5 _
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left. ~! m0 N' `0 q4 k6 \
leg (LL)/ W) P0 J* `, Y2 Y
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z8 {" W( \ t: T C! S4 Y; d1 M
magnetometers)8 R' A' o( l! r2 S6 f; n
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 1 s* X7 m, B8 {* L# a% P$ [4 {# uFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the1 [$ k2 e. E/ J5 K
8 subjects.6 c9 ^1 x% \# f4 l: d8 w# o1 w1 T& g
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each, {" n! J8 Y) t" S4 [% P, c
segment., R1 e7 G+ X5 h! Q
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 4 M( b! D+ K# gHz = 125 rows.: ^7 m( g. z' X% l* w* |
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the# O3 g+ ]1 `, i+ H( R. {1 a& Z
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.- O- s$ [! A8 L q, N. S) @
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 4 r/ n" u7 n5 i) J6 r* ~sampling instant separated by commas." l- P( a9 e7 |: ?( @7 }, X
Columns 1-45 correspond to: 3 g v$ E4 Z0 C4 g# r• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, x& }/ M0 S: W* t• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, & o3 K( b% S. y+ }, E3 P- ~+ \7 J1 z3 Y• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,! Y# }# P( J/ @% D( c0 ]
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, 7 L+ f" X9 d( ^• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. : Y" n0 `5 A/ y* a0 t2 M( W. m( _Therefore, ; g6 [$ f3 u: S) T+ Y• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),$ t& m# {0 N0 Y% y5 y8 Q
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),1 @& Z z% W7 ]$ l+ \1 A8 ^
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), : F7 J$ c) w) U; e$ {" {( |1 {8 k• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), 0 Z9 d9 y- Z$ b4 F/ E• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).: x( Z: P4 H' t7 z$ u
3References' _! q* ^, o- \' ~; `5 O0 p
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic6 ?& ^+ n3 J, }& f D
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. - L6 [; {- G* S3 ]42(5), 679-687, 2004( L- }' v. T4 B, ?! ]
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of0 n9 y" W5 Y6 L' J' Q; t
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.6 g' j& Y% z1 s8 s
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 d0 @7 m% C9 z! q- _
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag , w4 P* b9 {2 e* A% G, enosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.& w! d( B& d: ^+ l* c8 q& D
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007' A, n: x+ {, }% E8 s; v! Z
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con0 @# b7 W1 m/ \' d' P. |+ u, g
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008( R0 ^9 n- _2 ]* C) M6 ]% b( F6 C
- Z# k7 D& @6 E7 Z
2022 6 F& D% p2 Q" |5 s9 bCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling , P7 d: G& k- Z: n8 chttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn2 n: w( h# j9 B* N: `, x
Problem D (ICM)- I6 f* S$ _6 v6 V; Z
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long ' S0 M ^# m1 v6 l; Q4 T7 ?; ATime / p0 ~2 O7 L$ ^3 BWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the 0 @% ]: V9 q8 X5 F+ V/ g2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source / o1 V1 u# T2 A, L. Xof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently, S% G0 `; X& B9 F2 a2 k4 L" e
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, ! F) d( S+ \) Kwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some ! b! K& ?! F. k0 e kscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak+ y/ S- @4 @, ?) n; X
ends.7 n* |/ |# W1 m( |* e8 g! a0 l' W
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? ; a& z2 r- a* b: t; s: \3 OSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas% c3 u- `9 a( ~( s
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo ) Z5 E; t a% J0 _ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could k; V* t V, z( |
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil9 e8 J$ F) D4 S
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of/ a: q6 ^/ b7 M1 P% J- M
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.9 t; L$ q7 r% f$ p' }- a5 f3 F
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology6 v( _* t ?: ~8 I
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their: }; B. a* w+ g
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have ' t8 R' Q! _. D# ~identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with 3 N0 Q( }( d) Z# xall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing + l! n! Q) t: y3 e4 o" Q+ J9 salmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen& [% H) L5 H2 i: s$ x1 X; A
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 - {: ?6 u0 m6 z. ]$ z T* E. I) lNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in) ^& [: }: l- H& l: u/ w; N. B
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in# ^4 G8 ~+ O; O; s, D
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife: I2 b& D, q6 u% B6 X' B( M0 u. [
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 2 Q( W0 b; w |; A+ Hwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact % u4 M* p) y( b! g% m, Y! K4 Owith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients * R( ]1 T# ^( Z0 @ R1 }! ?& T; Qare in place for a similar disease to emerge again. + \2 I/ W9 ~0 E3 C7 A9 \Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: . t8 y- C& J4 V, n( q1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS4 j5 @) [9 ]( Q, a9 q
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL ) h8 v) Z/ J! z7 S) g5 v• Decline and extinction of populations1 W3 e+ k$ h5 H& D- c- A
• Introduction of invasive species/ H) e, }- F$ e* w
• Spread of new diseases to humans ! k& h: ?: x- S: G+ H1 R5 p6 `We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database 3 W2 L8 F% G' f1 t9 i4 Vcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The 4 j& X7 O d m' W y: J' mappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 4 |/ l& r {& O' Mdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:1 q; ]' N0 ~0 G. w4 Z
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ + x* g8 E( J, x9 c- HRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod 1 B$ \( [5 S9 W" ?, bels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: ' [+ ?" V- g! Y: p* k1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live1 {% b2 l e9 `, E
animals taken from the wild)?7 } Y$ i8 i9 Y3 e- U
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?: _9 b* q- y" k2 M; t2 f% f
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? $ l/ m, ^8 W2 o n d4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major( g# B7 ?8 b! l- c6 Q
infectious diseases? 4 M0 Z2 |1 c/ m, O* _2 g) G1 `25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it2 F B+ Z/ F: {
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?4 U- G4 m# Z. Z% v. U, j
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain# v4 ~ X. l; o, H
your views and policy suggestions. . F) `0 [# F" g8 }: F % u& o0 p3 W& E) a, P" Y; K1 V5 C+ S
& G7 G. w4 r; W+ l2 h ! H- }% d* U+ \* h 6 m, q6 u+ J5 i6 e" u% V5 F Q- ^/ D6 X8 |