4 e4 _; {: I" H0 B! A3 G, u0 Q2022- L0 w& V1 F' Z# c6 F5 E. ^
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling & B' ^$ y3 t$ ^; X; ?http://mcm.tzmcm.cn & R+ W% B U `0 a1 O! ^' nProblem A (MCM) ?) G+ R/ T U% ~How Pterosaurs Fly + [# H5 b8 d1 B m# u% RPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They8 O0 b: ^. Z" _# o0 d. l5 z
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of # R* h; y% s/ I( s& T( C* Jthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved ' r1 p) r* T; v1 K) gpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and - _9 L* m( D7 zother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth. T8 P: j0 R# l+ n/ o
fifinger[1]. & P. d) |; t3 p& r# HThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller5 _6 V2 r8 n; n) v
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem 9 {, y. [8 v( E L# `# [7 A/ kbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they( X" `4 p! |( ?! W# B
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and) h, W" W2 k" Z# ]) A6 p/ }
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived $ b8 B8 Y+ |$ Bin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.9 h5 y e! F% G/ l. D9 q) N- v8 \8 y% M
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.9 C E7 x9 z7 G8 [
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,7 L& b u" _: _: d
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on/ B; g6 w" Y) t% E
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and+ R% G' b- K2 ^
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil2 I) Y# c& b4 F( J$ C: y$ m0 L
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. + g3 |4 t$ }$ d) n- s# [Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which * f8 v& x; U0 m' o" N' ycovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have. G9 w9 j0 e6 W2 X
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug4 a$ n* d2 j1 `0 _3 t
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de9 d* V6 c, _% q
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning ' Z7 B5 k# k! c- A/ pcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded # r: ^5 K) z$ I2 f! M& `(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec * u& d1 M: S/ htional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones & `( ]/ ]: E( m' _9 Zto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from% v0 T+ J. F# d$ q& T$ I
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including6 h5 ?' J( S* a3 G) x
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least8 }9 }- Y+ w4 s. @8 H1 T2 a. h
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong/ R4 r( j% C/ j( P& Q. b, Z
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. / u0 i; Q5 D/ j3 qThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled 0 I4 `8 s. T7 }) E$ G2 {7 lat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 9 m w& V8 q8 T0 }! Ithat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,8 r ~( T, Y$ T6 L7 ]
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able4 V) |: k) `$ ~9 ^7 w0 X& H* ^
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].* s/ F X" f% E' m; Z
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology N# X! L$ u/ u2 O7 Q9 ~
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs% k( W1 Y) {! `( s ]: h0 [
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, - y% P/ a- }! L* Wsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that) ?& q/ e2 m7 d! L
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed 1 U& u0 v: j; m1 Y% Ffor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].1 d8 Q) b2 y+ F9 ^ {9 c
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. ; x! V+ S7 A+ Z; V& a- _If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones * H* o7 U- S. d+ `4 q5 Oof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage 1 c! Y+ ]' D# M/ U+ pa bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for # g9 ^# e: L6 f+ l6 O% Q+ k9 vgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded* W4 w& K4 ^! O: u5 f! F2 N* D
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as0 F! Y! v! t0 ^$ |7 d2 e
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of * A& N3 w" X L3 X7 uJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism 8 Y2 c, i$ U! j& Q% v0 C7 `* _4 @to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would 8 N/ j! a+ ]+ C- L: z: Qenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds- ]7 h7 W! ?! O6 ~$ V+ T, s
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].' w0 P( b( {& H0 D
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the" I& n! }: e! n
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and " ^/ ~( a: z" w' p" N: O2 l9 t! @to answer the following questions. . p9 c% h2 K0 t1 R/ `1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor8 v! G+ G2 d) U& X \* `+ g
mal flflight. ' H' M' x: g+ Y2 L5 e7 a# D2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during, v+ E5 ^+ Y, b. g+ K" o
normal flflight.5 |8 ^9 l) R# ~
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like/ }. n: y& |* j7 o9 w6 K
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. ' Z: r: |3 O# J+ H7 GReferences ! A# G% z5 l" J3 \8 w/ [+ K; u* q[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight# ^9 S/ x' J) h
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.5 q4 J- I) n% w# S; W( T+ C) j
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. C Z Y) I# Fhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php _ t: a% k. r/ ]* W[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 3 G4 Q& ~5 R5 F$ M( B+ ~$ [1 _Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-& _. \, l3 x0 F6 ], ~
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html . E7 b' f6 K3 S! C w[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a) V0 i$ I2 d0 ^& o( f, `
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)6 k# X. }) j- S3 O# C# V; J
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): % Z6 E6 q* e4 S: R1 w1 h1983-87. ) C" d( N: ^1 B0 y[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust) F2 G8 L$ B1 w
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 8 v4 D, f7 b T# v- A: T) ?+ b8 c# C180-84. - `9 a4 l) ]* `/ T( k! I5 N[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? E! ]3 F) ]# r% @
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs * e8 w4 j* k- e. X _too-big-to-flfly/7 U/ }+ z# e1 e/ ~1 j
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology 5 o, T( Q4 R+ a$ j# j5 Cof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.6 F9 |4 z- f, }4 |0 H# Z
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable * D! n; |' D1 z% `6 v/ S- aair sacs in their wings. 0 b8 T- D2 g& b! c- o) Hhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur; `1 i% t6 K0 F% Q; @
breathing-air-sacs, T" k( F* b( Z5 j4 M" ~
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.5 A: o7 j/ t) G% e( s
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils ' d/ O& l) u" b) ?research-mark-witton 9 U& A7 D8 m7 c; B$ v[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?2 H# `' O2 h5 y5 ?/ n
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs 9 f0 m* s; w: d/ b; E) c- ^vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/+ T4 R; n; h! G. a+ z. r1 Z
; L5 w- M6 n N0 Z' [! ^
2022 1 \( N+ V$ R! H; jCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling * C# e. H1 l9 {+ R- shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn ' D3 A$ K% X9 i" lProblem B (MCM)7 g% g) b3 r8 k2 m. }
The Genetic Process of Sequences . J' n: D0 F7 b( VSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein! d" U- E, C7 |# k3 m9 |
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of1 h L9 a5 V+ y
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their z6 D& a; X2 f& g% m; ?
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong+ J( R- g5 Q! X7 ]. X7 s
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common , G8 n4 F2 q; w$ Z) C. F; Zancestral sequence[2]. $ x/ I% f v9 t: q, wConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu . _ k2 j, w/ W( [/ C$ Lcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation8 W/ `' _ [- O( c
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and E! l3 x8 ]- Z0 c1 o
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by ( G' l* S! j# T( t! uthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together0 p% k, H: @+ T1 w9 A! ?3 q
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. % S) P6 I9 \' t9 CYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com5 n" O9 s" q* i! B
plete the following problems.4 l E0 i5 G0 e0 b. `7 t @3 {
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between " h" ]7 I3 q2 C7 w+ a5 }two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.* \" j. C" e6 `
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and4 d# i& r! k) K, i* K9 C- U5 w
design suitable examples to illustrate it. ( {3 |1 W- C! N1 m6 b! x9 ~7 ~3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an% E8 t* S; p' }
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral 8 Y5 `2 B# M0 T" _% B- C* zsequence, and map the genealogical tree.3 Y; {1 Q4 N" a% g l, J1 c
References / G5 i8 f& W' S% P0 A6 q( P[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re 8 b( ?- \" \, ?, ?0 I. f! qview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. 6 F. ]9 _2 b3 [ q4 s# r. v[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE," Y6 S4 X( x5 j5 l' d% p/ i7 u; m
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and [& G4 Q$ T. K; h
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. : Z4 |! B( B+ T) J8 X" v% L# ^' n C1 W& K8 q( n9 S' J7 }
2022 5 ~& g. u, j, Q/ N* uCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ' Q5 S* D: w- G; L9 D3 ^ Y' whttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn & m# k6 A1 `3 U" g6 F& nProblem C (ICM) " s8 S2 l* W7 Z2 V' rClassify Human Activities 0 w4 G$ R: V# m7 }1 ?# ^2 WOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and 7 Q* F! D: s9 [9 ?# C; rmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im! y- Y+ o: o# [" m2 j3 V
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor 6 T% P3 Q8 A. O4 u+ Ping, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ2 v7 p1 T' H5 Q' Z% n/ O0 Y7 m7 q
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly % ~$ b$ i. v! s+ ~# j; B5 j7 J5 eremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], / Q- G2 t+ }( l' G/ `- k' Pmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in9 N3 G2 n" }* V' c" n
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,( F0 d+ l2 {9 F4 h& K% c# v/ L5 w
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain " W; s. C3 E3 Z1 Z% qment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial2 y2 |% \. {# L# M9 e
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify - l# `, m- N3 A/ Ihuman activities, the following data were obtained." ]' R$ y6 F( y: }( U/ @1 S, I( r
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,, h) k9 |2 H( ?* s
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 8 t) E7 r1 _- U4 B. nfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ \, N5 b+ \* T4 Rities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be5 U3 @3 K: N( v. \& u
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and 6 R. s% V6 [+ @, s0 o0 e3 [$ d' Ramplitudes of some activities., `/ ^: H* x* C/ g
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 7 ]4 a/ V E$ H4 T3 |" k5 w: EThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal 3 U5 D( e; Q3 g0 `segments are obtained for each activity.7 z1 h# u5 o. T L
The 19 activities are: 5 D- a( h4 y D1. Sitting (A1); 5 b# m: _7 B1 A q$ z" a2. Standing (A2);, b& F( h9 W- C# w; x
3. Lying on back (A3);( v% s2 x4 x/ P, C
4. Lying on right side (A4);9 `% O$ ^/ m* j
5. Ascending stairs (A5); * J0 t" I, p9 N: K! }9 f8 j, i: n5 e2 r16. Descending stairs (A6); ) e+ G# Z2 N8 ]0 c O7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); # U1 L z3 b/ b" j0 i8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); . G/ Q9 V# |3 B; ^( B9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);( F, j" W7 I' { d) S. H5 h
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg' G9 [1 _4 z' C3 r
inclined positions (A10); 0 H; z. e* F/ V, ~1 a; u e; C11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions & K6 X/ n2 a7 ^2 K2 I(A11);- m) a& N# g+ x. n1 a0 u
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); 0 d% @) w4 k; v7 } S: a13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);3 u0 o+ s. N8 a+ [
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);9 ^4 M9 V9 x8 ]$ p+ l- G2 K1 _% J
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);) h" _* h# ^: R8 |. C6 z+ I- M
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); % h' }3 D' c3 T7 U4 T, q17. Rowing (A17);6 y; {! g) h3 R/ i# P
18. Jumping (A18); . N% o( l @. F9 Y19. Playing basketball (A19).! w, w% r) I* z% m
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve6 C w4 j% d! n/ q6 Z3 E9 ^
the following problems. $ x/ [* k; r! {9 d- L7 h6 u; |1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify: m+ A: {. `, H( k2 C& [9 i N1 X
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. 3 b- `& r; R' A# ?9 [+ o. v7 ^2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have ( {. E* r5 F" N, |5 S0 o: qa good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study $ T9 f G# d4 oand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to ( I0 D! Q; ^) a2 [( _+ z M( E0 i- Mevaluate the generalization ability of your model.! J5 e; D% Y }9 E( D% Z
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- $ J, @! a% h# K$ ecation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action0 h8 l- W2 g, j
classifification.6 C, k- j* i) x8 z% D/ o& J
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:- j9 K7 i( l1 _, [# ?
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq 8 X6 F& h- u5 Q/ m& W, s: A+ E2 O2Appendix: File structure % S7 o1 d L6 g• 19 activities (a) : r5 R R- G& g& H9 r% M9 z- [! t. _* f• 8 subjects (p) % M4 W. Y6 P: r O6 R• 60 segments (s) " C# s5 c a: F: [• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left' R, O6 k& N/ `. V
leg (LL) . A1 I: { j5 f1 @ Q$ z6 ?) W7 x• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z, T; \! a# ], a* r0 Q, x) V
magnetometers) ! R; @% z& H' { Z/ f3 @1 rFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 5 P* G" r, l3 r8 Y4 v0 w+ \. ~For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the " p$ H" M, N- T! o8 subjects. $ I+ v- Z2 L o. o9 a8 [In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each / m2 j6 d' D; g) a# t4 zsegment." |) q1 _7 P, @
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 251 g' ?/ C- x' O/ V3 D
Hz = 125 rows.7 Y4 x, L0 F. n/ @: F
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the. W# c3 u2 v! S4 m9 n/ {
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.! \ r& Q# m, r" C' A" z+ I5 x
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular* O3 F* f& n n0 } z
sampling instant separated by commas.+ o( c4 R8 h8 \4 x6 D E) X
Columns 1-45 correspond to:- F2 R6 Y7 a6 r$ o
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, - ]1 w p5 L$ K9 v" d0 H5 s5 g g• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,/ x7 Q! W$ v2 j
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, . {, f8 l8 l1 p+ K: x l• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,' L1 F* G: y1 o B
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. + G* a6 p0 B9 O/ B1 f; uTherefore,- t2 X/ k- T1 V
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), ( N/ Q! M" m4 @* u# h% q• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), ' M6 V# \0 M6 L) e( u0 \• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 1 G' a) F7 U7 ]& ]• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),0 k- j( C& a' X7 ]
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).6 ~! B/ @: c, B; L) H
3References+ P9 K% j+ I: G0 f
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic ' c" J: z1 y5 Pdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.0 Z7 c" _4 A/ O: ~9 m+ s' i; n
42(5), 679-687, 20047 Z7 v5 i/ i' W Q7 `
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of' L% e& W O; k& h0 o" n6 W
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.6 k6 g& e7 V4 v, l
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 * P- ^! X6 G2 c% j: C[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag & }$ K7 f$ P& G G! J% U' xnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. / N7 \: l5 E* O: t zB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007# ]3 q/ u- V5 Z: O+ [0 A1 O
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con 6 V8 k* `# \/ L ~* \trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20084 ~2 G3 p) v: w
+ Z" o: h1 A9 _
20225 p* b* ]/ E7 B
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling % Z: K0 k" ?1 S$ Mhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn # q& i5 L4 d3 I! \8 _Problem D (ICM)9 n5 ]1 v& O+ i
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long: L6 I5 S$ k- t: U% w
Time ! V# X+ F1 K1 ?8 d3 I% \# h3 rWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the0 u% z3 z7 z1 Y4 _& b) s
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source7 z7 U2 j% g3 t* W. P
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently " ^: w) w9 F8 \% B9 c; _! H3 utightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,; h3 G: E$ g8 R* o% Z; c1 j* y( e
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some 8 x% w' q8 H8 e. ^ L6 q/ mscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak ; f6 f. f/ r) K" K# G. l5 H' vends. $ X: Z1 }7 _. h" \: V! _4 VHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? 2 {4 W& z% [( ^! aSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas: A" u7 x/ m! d
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 1 U( y. F! w, {# e) W) Kple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could5 C$ Q4 l5 d8 k/ \( p3 o
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil + @! W; A: ~, O1 T8 d; [lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of * C1 x# Z- H( p* W2 i7 d! P v" oEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. / v% q. n3 `+ [# M" V7 MA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology! Q+ f" X7 ^0 q3 h
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their: F5 R/ d; i( i$ e( y
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have # H F! c9 p2 ^0 }$ T# u' E' iidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with 4 w& T6 ^: E9 s# z$ tall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing: a) H; s; j8 i: y
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen ' v, P \: r* f; mfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30" `* z; x$ G0 w+ t7 R( _! x
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in ' x4 _" x- t G' C. J1 qYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in/ q# q+ x* R" h
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife3 R2 n R j ?! m+ f2 |
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature& p1 B ]5 y- ^* J5 d
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact ! C' X0 f% q: }1 K; J/ J' @with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients9 o. x! o7 |3 d0 ?& q
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.: Z. D: D, c& x5 W& K% `
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: - L( j0 Q) |! L! X' E1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS: ]/ n* l7 C, [/ G( m+ J
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL , u/ r% }& ~* x% W# j* L) r; E8 k• Decline and extinction of populations J4 s$ j( \6 ]) W7 F9 B• Introduction of invasive species 3 |/ y: I( J: j* u( K• Spread of new diseases to humans; T8 P& b1 T/ z% S; G
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database) ~5 X" t" o+ k0 h: o* L1 l0 V( l8 v
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The `" r/ V" Z$ I. t @9 Yappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 2 J; k" S* m. r. @4 k4 Edatabase can also be obtained through the following link:+ M( l1 M5 v+ l3 Q0 k% S
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ / ?; T L- O( M0 {Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod . }+ x, M( x9 b5 m* d" D6 yels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:5 _3 d9 M/ U3 C
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live2 j. S, J* }( H1 w
animals taken from the wild)?+ ~/ P* f0 k# O, | Z, a
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?/ U( {7 ^' I' X
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?5 k O( T# n3 y' G/ b0 j. S
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major- D D. [; A+ l; T( y
infectious diseases? 4 L- E8 R: E' R* j/ z! w9 B25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 0 L3 [7 l( u$ o0 `% R$ Zwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? ; T& t0 P+ V- V' ]5 e6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain ; A% y& R; \$ I: \your views and policy suggestions. : k; d# s0 W. H . D8 {7 O# b% J ^# C 6 M% ^) V0 ^/ x/ \, L' S$ L/ Y4 i/ u2 ^. N- K& m
7 _9 N N+ b3 Q
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