2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 4 P) E' P8 T8 C4 v' D* u, B* Z9 Rhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx ' j P# ?/ o) k9 Z- L2 b3 W 8 G9 r# \! e$ T9 `8 ?* X: @20224 [3 g% ?$ d) @" W
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling3 L- \7 x( p0 F
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 7 L% r' P" i. c4 b# ?9 xProblem A (MCM)4 x' L- k7 G' H" R8 B0 g
How Pterosaurs Fly5 B, d; O7 i* Y" w
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They( f% R h% ?( I) D
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 8 U; g0 ]6 @' P! n0 w$ ?the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved- h8 C j9 N" x% J0 Q2 S
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 5 U- Q# Y4 A5 ~# J7 f7 U" rother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth& {" M0 j: r/ s" g! j4 n0 g. i
fifinger[1].) \: X V/ X( C2 i7 {
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller ) i9 W- M1 R3 e8 danimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem5 i8 G4 t; I5 l. H. [1 Y
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they % @1 I# ^2 c* H+ g Owould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and8 f- q, z3 O; ?) B }, u# ~5 G' R
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived" A: r/ p- p8 J; [
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. 4 f) {' D8 F) d' HLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. 1 K' K( h, J5 o; Q1 W& p( _% DPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,; P. i" f4 M" F$ P+ ]8 c
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on8 c$ F5 N4 Y, d% _1 t+ Z! I
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and- i) E, W1 }4 R' {
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil9 P6 g7 D. L4 x% U
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. , Z' C# U3 c$ C6 m: Y' PPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which . J s2 B+ B3 Ycovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have3 |4 P% J% w# p1 Q% Z* |- U
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug& S, j' w& z4 }% f% ]* n
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de5 [& G1 E9 {8 F9 J! i( _! U
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning 7 G* ^ _6 n0 qcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded) f' G+ g5 Y% H. D: k8 {' P0 v3 O
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec 5 [ f- g1 W( _2 A2 k. A% O, m2 b2 ctional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones0 o5 p. W! r' f9 K% h7 E! f) _
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from - Y( u: s% T5 l( @: e. \/ Ithe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including * c }% q5 ^8 HQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least) K h, `% n& e _
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong . J) M$ R( y: e1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.1 q: y$ C, s: U% L
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled & K5 {5 `1 G/ Qat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded / n6 \$ p+ h ?# @* ~that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,% e- T8 M2 h2 h* o( S- N
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able & u5 ]- I( B8 R6 ?& U, Cto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. 6 N- H( D. a0 S7 s" ~However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology5 a' `) C3 r( I* n; d
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs% Q F# f9 o, _; H
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,9 E1 N d) ]6 `& H: r
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 0 x; M) \. ^. u3 Vatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed % \& x5 P0 i+ q* Q+ c1 \for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. n* i, f3 F& d w1 t1 xAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. S' ^: ]4 M' l3 n, p$ J3 a% jIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones0 ^- u1 Z o6 ~" `* \1 `, \
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage8 x% j; ^6 d* I
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for " i* R1 i/ n4 h; l, ~2 S% w$ A; n0 `getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded1 x& D" C+ j9 ]$ ~2 i) ?
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as ; A$ [2 g2 }2 t8 `quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ' \# y- K8 ^) G2 s5 D$ ~Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism 8 i5 Z& E% I; S9 dto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would 6 R8 f' R, [/ G3 }9 v) N3 l2 `enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds, c, y: x4 [/ U) E1 N
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]., Z/ q9 _0 o% f5 h7 c; O1 N' q
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the 9 b9 n5 z4 j! x) l' m# N& lflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and; |" j. P& X* w( s7 f0 X+ G
to answer the following questions. * C% x/ F% u4 j f( \, b0 E1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor. P& c$ y: v9 _0 e0 d2 k% I) o
mal flflight. . m. l5 f! G, i) |: a2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during" s* G; k6 O5 {4 Y5 c+ q2 o
normal flflight.. T: V' }; m" \9 P- ~
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like: ]: I0 x$ w8 W# n8 K7 j. p/ e. N3 T
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.) m+ w1 j# t5 ]
References ; }# `( ^: o% d( c' \3 K[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight 1 P% Y& z+ A! P0 B2 v; y" D. IMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.7 {% d, K9 H8 r! s* O+ C3 K* ^# q
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 6 `6 u1 {. g2 x& `8 Bhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php2 P* B6 ~" i2 j1 m
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs # M) I @( P9 X7 M# m4 OWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- 4 r# r1 @- Q8 j+ Ppterosaurs-had-feathers.html& d E; u( Y& k0 L' F1 e5 x
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a " w) c- u8 V/ w" grare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)& v- J: Z2 `; b/ m6 @1 N; f. c2 O
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): & Q# G8 k1 X$ ^' G- q( g+ ?1983-87., y1 {7 I9 Q2 Q' R+ J
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust6 E4 I* Y8 y8 ~. C
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 0 k3 o/ N9 i- A# O/ A% y180-84. 0 `* X4 G# Q$ |; p[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?5 f: X, D+ M& ]8 c4 t! z$ c5 z
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs 8 v, b2 u" [# ^7 R$ q& Rtoo-big-to-flfly/ % \ `* [4 G: Y# _[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology+ y9 |. s2 V6 |% z* E0 ?0 A
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. . A3 P* F/ l3 i" {[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable ' W0 e" {" W, V! i# T/ yair sacs in their wings. , G9 c6 ?4 ?* S: Ohttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur8 B2 Q3 v# g/ }/ f9 W% Y- Y
breathing-air-sacs# y, \! z$ j7 L" ?1 t- J: k
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.6 L/ J" K4 {) P, L8 S" ?4 T
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils + ~3 \) ^' f, Y4 f& Wresearch-mark-witton " n1 }% @' M3 q& c5 @8 E: Q) m* q[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? + ^/ [7 w6 E: P( E ^; Q' Shttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs h S; P4 i& z2 S4 H, X: cvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ 0 q1 R e* U" C7 n; b. v ~. F/ |* x
2022 2 o) v: P3 U! f4 b: S0 _Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 8 j+ k% J0 f" i; K/ |/ l8 Y0 |http://mcm.tzmcm.cn) p$ s& W) }, p
Problem B (MCM)0 F( C( u: U- }' D5 b: r. u. H: _3 q7 h
The Genetic Process of Sequences # R9 ^. } A0 D+ bSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein( p2 E8 _! `: z' e( G: U8 g7 A
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of# m* L1 v! C& V& ~+ Y: ]* x5 |: D
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their- L: w4 D; Z- Z2 L" s. ^
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong' ^6 z& F8 l4 M; w- c
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common 4 @5 C6 [' S5 R2 p4 qancestral sequence[2]./ a V/ r* a* k1 Q
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu / X+ y k3 C' ~, x8 Q8 u' d; vcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 6 X9 }$ U2 R' S2 M. g, j, j5 zarise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and ( k. K, R* L* k. a0 pdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by ; k& m5 m& c8 i# }4 u$ Z0 Vthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together- D% M: c! o- ^$ d6 z- B# z
can form a family, and they are considered homologous.* k+ e7 Q2 p3 \9 F
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com w0 ]1 \* O& L- v' ^6 U" u
plete the following problems.) D3 v7 x8 b* k1 y% O
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between 9 `9 }2 H3 }. R5 @, Atwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. ' E' N; u3 w- M. _, S/ y, \2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 6 {6 q; z0 f; E$ ]design suitable examples to illustrate it.# q8 g& P7 S5 s% k& A, Y4 d
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an ; d1 H; L4 H" bcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral }: p% n Z, e1 N
sequence, and map the genealogical tree. 8 H. k0 d4 J6 `+ x3 }1 i6 w4 _* h: q% rReferences * q- U3 y9 b0 D[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re - T. b& F- t: U4 i& W4 l* Aview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. ( I/ c' [7 v* c }$ r4 w5 [9 l/ C. U+ T1 P[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 8 D, n. L( y; D/ z# Pet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and8 s6 u, a7 D& j$ S, `. A3 x
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. % ~( W/ l( B( L! b: C& R I* P: _6 [+ x0 {5 }" i' P! R/ s, B
2022 * B0 z1 n! H1 HCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling" t5 s4 a4 \$ J4 A4 E k1 ^. H
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn9 H; q* C0 q4 _8 r+ C- O+ c. k
Problem C (ICM)* ]0 M9 V8 ^& }/ r" c' p
Classify Human Activities 3 k0 c) u5 M0 r9 e% QOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and + Y) E7 \. l& L/ gmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im" i4 H$ k/ v8 x( ^& Q# Q4 {
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor & l3 u$ c* L5 v! Y& p7 B6 Zing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 5 z a T" g$ j5 g: | \& tity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly) H, q4 {1 L; C. |" ]
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], 3 ~# s2 T' n/ _: Gmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in! X7 S" B/ L) O7 b. B
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, 0 \- e+ ]3 R( Lsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain5 _# f' r- a! W7 C7 t
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial- S# j, W5 D1 @) g+ x/ C' s
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify & @, P& J% |% a, }# }human activities, the following data were obtained. ( B+ n8 j7 ^% M) w$ u- E% eEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,0 E4 @7 x {7 ]# f& @6 j/ B
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes. p3 U% ^* E+ [3 \" b9 ~
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ8 r4 X. s. ]/ |: y/ G& z5 B. y
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be* j6 v. B0 ]+ R5 d+ }+ Q9 s
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and , o. z: z8 b0 Uamplitudes of some activities.- u" ?2 G2 M) \2 y; H! \9 C
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. W% x( j, ^7 O" eThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal / v) [' M& v0 w2 }: Bsegments are obtained for each activity.* k- p6 m1 W: v( @( Y/ c
The 19 activities are: . }. r; `* w$ L; f, ?2 i1. Sitting (A1);/ q+ n- ]7 q, E% R* ]
2. Standing (A2);' n5 f: F5 l5 P% D: W s
3. Lying on back (A3); : S# P) q( X/ l& E" O4. Lying on right side (A4); - t, [- {! |$ b& E5. Ascending stairs (A5);' x4 d/ R- q! q5 d
16. Descending stairs (A6);3 t, }& @, c* ~7 @* ~6 b! b
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); + c+ M3 j9 \% R& I8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);" U1 @/ y4 R8 h& E5 b; p
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);: z8 H4 R1 f4 R/ z, f; X# O
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg# ]3 o; }7 N8 l
inclined positions (A10);% o* f8 J' ~# U/ X2 @; r+ @1 E
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions , {/ ]& R9 G$ R(A11); / y& r4 V' M0 y; R12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); & g( T! @+ L* V9 T4 a13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);; G0 i6 Y, Z$ o
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); % z: f* \( o9 U& e. |+ o. U$ H" |15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);& Y4 v/ Z4 u$ a* c6 o
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); * ~/ \3 H. T4 a* F9 f6 X17. Rowing (A17);# m! H/ M/ i; F' E; o
18. Jumping (A18); 6 x$ }/ t4 f! b. n/ p q. a) O8 ?7 f7 H19. Playing basketball (A19). 9 u4 ~8 |# J, E3 V9 dYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve) s5 f8 H8 t* \
the following problems.; S; s' ~- N6 y/ _6 e+ }& f
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify 0 a+ @& D7 b/ r2 X* Rthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.( ~$ p) b) E2 b8 T( K$ F6 c
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have & I) A- Y( o2 ]5 X0 g+ H" [/ t$ E& Ga good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study " s8 G5 \" K2 d a7 s& Gand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to) _8 k& ^- @$ e% M, O' u
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. ' G9 C) @. V/ D& p+ ]8 I3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- / u: g4 s5 h* G2 |cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action2 {. A+ h) J! S3 @8 K
classifification. * S: c/ \3 Z4 _ L. ?& qThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:9 e$ c! F5 a) B! c+ D
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq7 z% B8 O% m. F
2Appendix: File structure' p9 P3 {* V% P( F
• 19 activities (a)2 E- X* H9 {7 K
• 8 subjects (p)$ B- a" L- T, W4 o& c4 D! ^% m
• 60 segments (s)& p6 {, j( G- H; c# K& m
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left 5 z! F b- C' Eleg (LL)+ `1 Y J& X# p& V
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z 4 O4 n# {; t- o. B4 b5 amagnetometers)" e+ l) c' w- [# E
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. / F4 O5 G m) h" L9 \For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 5 g% F3 \8 U X: h+ C" k8 subjects.- d, K1 f: K6 V
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each 9 b7 N! \. }: w' ]$ Rsegment. Y7 i+ a$ N( u! {0 `& k6 xIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25; p8 q' ?2 j1 J/ {8 P1 ?- m
Hz = 125 rows. 8 x/ {. z5 T) n% IEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the( X/ D9 a1 z5 i) J6 V) A H) ^1 Y
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. ' Z+ K8 d8 n3 \- |7 ?Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 8 p) E6 H2 b+ m2 Q2 e0 msampling instant separated by commas.: Q& t# o* b( k" I& A
Columns 1-45 correspond to: a8 T; @% M2 _6 x! \* L( X• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,; o- f1 f9 f" a3 X, P
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag," D+ ~5 f: ]( g/ s$ W6 q/ c
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, & H8 v0 e c' R5 q9 O1 Y" \• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,! o3 e) G# V# {7 A; v3 D: P( p
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. & y' b4 |. W" c! y7 t# {; qTherefore," n) M8 M, K/ |. N3 ^2 X
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),$ K. v* {! F' o) F6 R% R" [7 K
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),2 p) J6 f( Y$ q) _: D% m! I8 Y3 Y
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 6 g6 [; B$ [1 U" u7 z ]5 g• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),5 S2 [# g6 H' [) e/ E% G
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). / j) C) S. I# G7 `6 w; v0 i) g3References- o" L# S+ S+ j- D* I
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic; @7 R& W& E2 l
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. / @" v$ e W) g# U0 ~- ]) N6 C42(5), 679-687, 2004- ?, U6 ]7 n& x6 d% A& |
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of $ L( {1 u2 |" l2 u( zlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.) c8 n% N. g& N$ y0 R
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 0 J* e( x0 ]' K: y" D2 @' ?[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag ; J* q z" R% O$ U/ S* E& [0 ynosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.; R0 k& ~( O1 l; K5 c
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 ) z/ V' u$ A) z9 _/ U- k/ Y) d/ y2 p% r[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con * _; i( S+ q+ m$ k9 D$ A0 b8 W$ C. Otrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 0 ~8 s! _$ t; y% S$ P, Z/ h7 q8 o$ H$ k7 _
20229 N& l' d, p( A( _! m! ]
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 3 a6 _5 m" \; w0 shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 6 O4 d+ }" l( Y( A1 |* {/ D9 a$ [Problem D (ICM) ' k, O5 }( X9 T6 d& y: ~9 V3 `! d+ WWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long5 g b8 \+ }( @ ?; Y6 H: z
Time3 O4 [9 r+ B% s$ l9 U8 A7 s
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the 4 o; S* r# `7 @. b9 w, g2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source 8 h8 Z0 A& S" ]" r. Qof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently* v: M. @/ h( s7 k. T( B
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,; R8 Y# ]- A+ }' C1 O. b
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some6 t& I v; ]% p* ]8 {1 B) B/ o
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 5 l+ P2 P/ s( b! h' Uends.4 e& i+ L: a8 V5 e: c, e. p5 ]' a
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? 1 C& ]- Q& b, H/ `$ a8 A" QSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas7 s/ ?% G5 l# i# u1 I; G( o: f
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo1 @6 d* O$ U3 ^
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could * e9 l2 x7 h7 Tcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil ! n2 G, w% u/ v4 ?- jlion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of. R. d0 d" s4 X
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. M, t9 D9 R. `5 z3 x" H6 YA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology $ k1 U5 b, X8 U7 W2 E6 kin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their8 Q5 S. N1 W; U, _4 S' w
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have' L5 y& S$ Z0 J
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with9 _ v- a" U1 @. i/ C' U
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing: A: p2 U$ e+ o; R" d# `' B
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen 8 S C! M, N+ |2 pfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 # w- I2 g+ Q, jNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 5 |6 F1 f* q! @/ h5 \4 uYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in' [: b+ U. T) a$ ?
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife7 F' g) i7 |+ i1 H% J* N/ J
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature ' U( j9 _- I& g4 ~! p% a9 z/ k, Pwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact - @8 a. |3 W4 P4 @. Bwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients / F! S& T2 b; |0 C8 Aare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.; I" h2 |( K5 ]1 D* e! C9 E' \: z
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:8 [( p9 M" ^$ L U, L
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS! y- Q8 O6 W* @( m6 ?
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL0 ^& y; D7 }; j
• Decline and extinction of populations 3 H: W( M; `* B7 `1 V, b9 [• Introduction of invasive species! ?% E( n/ |0 |6 }, R
• Spread of new diseases to humans2 ^0 p7 @1 V) ]& ]/ B" \% d* e
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database + z; k4 q7 ?4 r$ p0 pcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The& P* {3 G0 P \2 K) ^% |
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete " F$ q S$ v1 N5 v% ~; idatabase can also be obtained through the following link:% z' J. p5 b! t1 x# {! B
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ 3 E4 j. `. Y5 W9 ^6 p% \% A2 eRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod4 F, o, ]4 S3 J- D! b
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:$ X$ G2 M$ I! ]( O! c: W, f
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live7 `: [% |8 P8 \
animals taken from the wild)? " a" S6 a% J4 v4 T* J ?! y1 A$ E2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?8 r, K* u/ |& f* u
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? 6 _4 X- c% G! e C- ?( j! q4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major2 o, f; m) S0 D. j
infectious diseases?; r6 Z d& G: w& n9 t+ V
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it , e# g. _$ b2 f. e! mwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?2 q) r$ {# x4 t9 @2 ^9 q w4 f
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain - ]" U: `1 h1 N' ^( zyour views and policy suggestions.2 A+ n1 ?( Y5 y. ]
5 _: U* j Y8 R" |! R; _