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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址
    * q$ E& Q: W- q9 h  x+ c. Uhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx0 u1 q. u! u4 q: p0 O
    6 H  `! d" _  y. s0 z* n' G
    2022
    8 d  l  A/ q5 S1 ]9 M9 sCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling6 d! J3 m; z: R* m! w
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn8 F8 A, h7 U" `- S" O! p0 i+ m- p" x- q
    Problem A (MCM)
    % z- R4 L3 U% tHow Pterosaurs Fly
    5 J" W& g/ d& d* j2 g* `Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They
    $ P9 [+ h4 E2 X) x( S$ m' ?existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of
    ( J7 A% g8 F8 \% m" \the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved
    3 ^: B0 o% T! Epowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and, O: O4 i) R3 Z
    other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth
    8 I; r, q+ h3 l3 L% B: [7 Xfifinger[1].# B/ _6 }. A% i* K
    There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller
    ' }; E# H4 k+ b$ ~animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem1 s, z7 Q  F- V
    branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they
    0 W- i! D" f$ b4 S$ n( {2 uwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and, j4 X1 B) X( ]# _: r2 o
    strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived* }& S4 c$ I) m; H" [/ B9 W
    in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.
    " k9 {, N8 u( u! GLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.
    6 g% W& c" Z- x- }9 APterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,- a. l( {, ?  ~. P
    and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on
    6 I7 E! l" x; x: ]all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and" W6 ^2 B9 i1 d. K# @
    folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil
    0 l2 W/ f) j# R8 i* \9 k! |/ vtrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].
    " j' E0 Z# {% O  KPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which5 i, T! P! S1 u. i& ], |. i: V6 U
    covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have
    & V- L7 `1 H+ h/ C3 Hhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug
    , |$ I+ n; v& O- Agestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de
    9 N% q3 F# @8 s* Hriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning  n- E- `4 o: s: J" U
    calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded1 ?  o4 }: q. g% c. G
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec" ~2 |5 c4 a2 u
    tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones) c/ g: w$ H5 F, ]
    to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from  U8 [' y; s; {. h: d, S6 X
    the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including: x7 f; T' L; Y) z3 Y* |
    Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least1 x& E! u% k; [1 |% q
    nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong9 n) G, z( L# z
    1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.: `& q. F3 A# i
    The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled
    2 Z: u' n. F* c) m( nat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded
    7 d5 Y1 S: G) f/ N& u  [/ `' Lthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,
    # j; a' W% @+ u6 l& O$ @Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able
    ) ]+ M# G- g% e* y3 p7 rto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]." e+ X+ @, Z7 a; B* m
    However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology& d) |: e; g0 q7 h7 k4 A
    of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs& }! u6 b; E/ ]7 q3 p; F' x: t- e
    being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,
    ( T* G1 C$ o7 _' s% J& }0 f% k2 Msuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that
    ; ^- p; ?+ }8 E: qatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed
    ! }# I; `4 y) l6 Z/ p$ k5 E! r; c/ xfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].
    * Q2 e% E4 m! n7 ?" u' P, }9 @* AAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.
    - f( l2 u2 @  K$ q) N3 I. uIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones
    2 m2 I3 L8 c6 x8 N" Vof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage* I) z$ ^( G, s7 {0 [' s7 w. B
    a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for8 K7 [. @9 S" w) f3 i
    getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded
    + u, S7 }& S. E0 x# `+ v3 {and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as
    & g" y2 W) E8 ~+ O) @' I! ~quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of+ k7 ^5 O0 u1 a* D& u) I
    Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism
    5 A; n- m: t( u. Bto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would
    4 n% H3 [3 R( J- e8 M  z. H- yenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds8 u2 {' _, {3 F# m
    of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].1 b* a* F2 @( U5 M2 e
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the, N0 ?" U# a+ W3 U! o
    flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and
    8 V; o( ]5 |2 [% B2 k% ^9 Cto answer the following questions.- Z- I6 F) e. q% r/ N2 s$ |
    1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor
    % R0 L2 x' O1 o  n3 h/ l% qmal flflight.
    # o! z+ I+ x( w, B0 u2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during
    ( q: P; c+ m! W3 Z) F/ cnormal flflight.
      ^& D4 g: [. {/ A: D$ G7 ]) n* S3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like; s% i: `& ~) e! ]
    birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.2 B3 A2 r( T% G2 T
    References5 o* ?8 _3 Y* K) w" s- S6 S0 |
    [1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight
    9 q9 t. Z) l% U; G/ g0 ~Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.2 S: {) c9 D+ f3 Z8 f
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.$ \/ n6 W( ]; E3 j, p& X
    https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php
    0 e$ [1 h$ J+ n  _[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs
    6 d2 h) q3 u# E  W+ |- _$ hWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-
    - p3 ]( T2 v/ e6 Vpterosaurs-had-feathers.html; h; |$ l8 q3 Z7 }, x
    [4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a  m; y6 ~) p+ p0 ?
    rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)9 v) ?. N3 a# Z9 f9 Z# L
    from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):
    6 C! p2 }* B5 x1 F1983-87.& L6 [5 i8 Z. y7 ]0 e7 k3 L
    [5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust
    # Y, V6 ~5 s  ?/ Y1 eskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):3 W, x+ ?: j! G1 S; e8 c
    180-84.. m' `7 F, w. {% `8 S: z
    [6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?
    : C$ j% y8 ]6 P( }# p$ Dhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs
    # |+ _& c9 b$ ntoo-big-to-flfly/
      X: X8 A6 J/ k[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology3 r7 ^" b( e- F) Q$ p
    of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.: K( |3 h- m4 u" Y
    [8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable+ H7 P! y: Z% f6 H2 G+ k
    air sacs in their wings.
    7 A) e1 m7 l! N3 ^% u! {" `* yhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur& z4 i. b1 f$ O
    breathing-air-sacs! e8 [5 N& N" N) s+ l3 P" [
    [9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.) [5 @  W: j- c- C6 O( I. e
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils
    . q8 e. d8 ^/ Q: ^research-mark-witton
    " w$ C  X/ ~: S; U0 L" }[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?
    . W& o/ r0 X2 a8 q- w. \https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs
    0 I3 p, B5 D0 Y+ [' z( evault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/
    ( a5 K8 z; k' ^" V: a
    9 h3 }6 T; s$ D2022: X5 j: H, u5 V8 a
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling4 v+ I* B$ T2 c: L( i9 f
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    2 y+ \, N  V9 k% z2 I0 S1 oProblem B (MCM)
    ; E6 o! \/ f+ ]: \9 x6 WThe Genetic Process of Sequences
    % J+ ^0 k1 ]5 s, p( E4 A6 TSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein7 b/ V. y/ k) u* ~- }
    sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of
    8 U4 G% o7 b2 P" E* n( s: x7 E9 |3 ylife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their8 p1 B, }9 j7 U. v$ R
    nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong- G  D, z/ y) D4 D
    evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common
    : g3 k' Z9 o- ]6 X0 [ancestral sequence[2].7 ~7 O' m7 a! S8 F9 j
    Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu
    6 E  Q  O  M( u' o% g& |. I: s2 hcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation
    * {; t; H# M; @1 {  Q. X, Iarise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and; l& `1 V' G1 e
    deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by" K- y) v+ R6 M5 o; g9 h
    the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together
    9 ?9 g0 ]& k2 gcan form a family, and they are considered homologous., U8 K' ~* F* s7 d  k
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com* L1 J3 N/ [8 z0 d
    plete the following problems.  f, w" F8 }3 F) \8 Q* c# z' \
    1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between
    9 c+ r- w1 C/ M$ z; ~4 \1 B, @two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.
    5 ^3 c/ a- |- H* E! Z3 G8 b( O2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and8 N8 \& J9 y' m( Q( c/ [% X& r( V7 J/ W
    design suitable examples to illustrate it.0 D& i# W6 r. [$ ~0 L
    3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an
    6 i- A- p- m; r2 Jcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral4 D1 C, @0 n) w3 [
    sequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    : o7 m. U/ m" y8 yReferences
    ( g8 F6 C  T5 Y7 w1 a[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re
    " q2 }% p- R3 {( Tview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.
    0 e! w3 W2 V2 D( P[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,
    $ \& w2 z, S  @' ]& F" `et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and
    ( L3 A- k5 F9 k+ |# na way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.
    & [2 M; \8 \' R; P# y
    8 M1 |" A0 A; Y; Q& r( V20221 p* Q6 Q, S6 R. r. D2 |; {
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling6 L$ Z' c4 H* O: z3 _+ \
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn- ]2 y0 b8 Z/ I
    Problem C (ICM)5 E( ^: s7 C% {4 X; s+ _6 o
    Classify Human Activities0 A& w- ~( L& M( T3 d1 z
    One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and
    6 c& D/ Q5 s0 v3 V# rmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im
    8 r# ~6 G6 D  H8 q9 A+ a8 R  [! R: Nprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor3 M" ?2 o7 q2 @7 z" s
    ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ0 B$ Y+ ^& I4 ^7 \" }
    ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly
    4 N4 i+ L5 D( `( Q0 X% }* u& Lremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],3 }- }7 S# q0 c/ t  o4 E- j, ]) B
    medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in
    7 Y* l$ r0 X/ V/ r- U) ^3 J# s1 c6 A; ischool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,
    # B* r9 `. U6 h. w: \; \' msports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain) X7 S1 }3 |" k# q- [
    ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial
      o) \. h) s. S4 A  G# Psensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify0 E. A; m/ v$ m: _" ~
    human activities, the following data were obtained.
    ( B; h0 R; J1 {" b; F3 ~+ {Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,
    6 C* F- K8 Y; O; l* e1 H8 Rbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes' S/ S$ K7 w% W7 |8 \& d7 H0 Y+ s; q+ \
    for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ
    ' O3 A! D9 m& [- v/ M7 ?* r7 bities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be3 o8 P/ j/ P) |9 e' Y$ c, C- x/ s
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and+ U) D- e7 ?- }3 X# Z; Y' r! e6 b
    amplitudes of some activities.: f# n2 u9 ]+ M
    Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.
    . d. w" B& a9 _! D1 k$ rThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal5 M  z" q/ H' G5 ~
    segments are obtained for each activity.
    - N2 O( r3 y# w1 }( C+ KThe 19 activities are:" z* t' e# v) U6 j0 W2 O. p
    1. Sitting (A1);& H6 k) h  c- W* E/ Z* o
    2. Standing (A2);2 O+ |9 ^" P6 h& g  l% c! n
    3. Lying on back (A3);6 W5 |' F. j" {
    4. Lying on right side (A4);
    8 j, u1 _3 h$ @6 d9 k1 ?, h5. Ascending stairs (A5);) B# z% ]" L. H7 N" d
    16. Descending stairs (A6);
    9 Q2 O/ }0 e2 L9 r1 f7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);
    / j) J" R8 |# J8 f- m8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);( `$ R( x$ q0 `, e9 _) ]7 I+ Q
    9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);
    & y, I! j/ L8 P; w" {( G. r7 @* f10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg
    & n, |' o) Z# N$ r# F* T% Binclined positions (A10);8 r7 Y# |& D9 V0 A  [
    11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions+ `6 ~  _3 |: m
    (A11);
    8 {  w2 i) ]7 O( b12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);( H/ a7 S# A+ d3 d( W- V/ G
    13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);( d9 c2 A; M4 w4 W- O
    14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);
    5 z0 |+ H" {1 v0 r! u15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);: h$ h- J* z* p: [$ n3 q8 C
    16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);
    8 K: C2 x* c; R* I5 x4 b6 r17. Rowing (A17);
    , @# u7 s% t: ~9 E6 A' e6 d2 i18. Jumping (A18);& ^# g& l  D  t! F* |5 B( a
    19. Playing basketball (A19).
    ! U- M4 H1 n# x5 ?" _1 N. B) P9 Q1 ZYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve
    6 `( q; S6 u$ b' z6 }the following problems.. [* T6 e8 W! E& j/ h# Y
    1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify
    + ^& |' b, ]( G9 M/ A, h4 Qthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.
    * k5 d$ ~. o. e2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have( x1 A& X" v( b  y3 ?
    a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study
    6 D% w4 A$ k% Q# Q5 Wand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to
    9 E6 @) w% w: Devaluate the generalization ability of your model.
    $ E. y9 y. H: V, M3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-
    6 Y+ U) x# s( B0 W; G& p- L* ?cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    + N, j7 d) J6 R2 B3 l6 b0 lclassifification.
    " \5 N4 G6 @1 h( ?6 KThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:
    - `+ O$ h# y2 W1 S6 ?https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq% j$ \9 {, {3 r, O& [
    2Appendix: File structure
    3 F3 ]6 Z, g! K) L) M2 x6 u) r• 19 activities (a)! `$ t5 j! W. N7 ?
    • 8 subjects (p)
    ( X& C# A4 I# v3 P: M• 60 segments (s)
    . U' t( U- `9 l6 G• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left
    8 t  N. U& x7 E0 J* G% cleg (LL)" `( `1 o. \3 E8 m# U( G9 L, G  d+ ~
    • 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z
    ! M8 A  Q, ?" g* B8 Q* Q3 E! [magnetometers)
    3 @0 Q: G, f! X5 _2 t" P, _/ zFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.( Y, A( O$ K3 [' S: \
    For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the
    : A0 Z. m5 A; c& ^3 y8 subjects.7 T/ `2 x& E5 U4 Z
    In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each
    8 s2 }5 ]: I) k% V8 Vsegment.8 r! D/ j( K+ L' W$ ^$ a0 E6 U
    In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25
    4 g+ b) u+ a7 v- E) w* hHz = 125 rows.9 K, I  G: w% I+ M+ u
    Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the
    6 n! o* L4 Z5 U1 t3 o2 {sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.
    5 n; V  ^: L9 O' jEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular9 S4 b1 D- F" x  i2 }+ V/ H
    sampling instant separated by commas.
    ) F- w4 h1 Q& ?. N. O4 b  qColumns 1-45 correspond to:
    ! i1 y  h, I6 z$ T. ~% n. U5 v/ y• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,
    6 l3 j6 s8 @7 K* p4 t: Z- L( h• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,& o, Q$ C- F- E% w; i$ |1 W8 g
    • LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,
    $ [/ u+ U* p$ Q4 v7 U• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,
      r, |8 R% D0 m& j2 h• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.9 }( J. B4 s2 z, a; ]
    Therefore,
    - _6 x+ @+ g5 {% N( Z# z• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),
    & u2 R! ~; T/ Y% q1 G% z• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),, Q9 [% n- Q; G8 Q( M6 m
    • columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),) l5 O4 q0 o- j0 E$ T) g
    • columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),( w$ ~# C+ l( K
    • columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).2 ~9 V: k3 J  ]0 L  r7 `7 [- e
    3References9 Q1 p, ?2 U  M/ n$ Y- t
    [1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic6 H+ @2 X! K1 B) }. m0 H) B
    daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.- n6 r- R+ K) x& v( {
    42(5), 679-687, 2004
    * d- X8 b' {/ @- [+ P7 a; W[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of' }& R. ]4 P- H( |2 u
    low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.
    + V/ ?  W' `6 K- ^+ EGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008
    3 H1 \: l: j5 r! K2 W* V[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag
    ' N9 |. z; }0 X; [nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.7 s' k4 v& P- t( H% K4 S
    B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007; G3 L& ?) W( S% ^# _& c
    [4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con
    " D9 u& B" }9 x: f. C* T. Ytrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008% A# C  T, |- V2 g. C* K
    1 \( X% ?3 s+ x' E  U$ A
    2022
    " t4 k- d0 f# p. ]+ X" ^Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    9 {. N! t( C, b# a- Vhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn% M' u2 M$ u5 ^5 Q/ Q
    Problem D (ICM)
    5 `: k* i1 a5 B) l: D/ P' e/ _& UWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long- l/ E- O$ p# P2 R1 ]5 S
    Time6 d- o& Z$ g: M* s, {, a3 w
    Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the1 J* k6 L& }7 k* n7 V
    2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source) }: Y0 d! H6 C
    of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently+ e* i9 v' n/ |- g! K
    tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,
    5 M( Q) D% d- u& Q9 Bwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some
      t8 U) [) e- A3 L4 ascientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak
    ; Z* L- @; m6 cends.
    , g% x9 `8 I$ a8 c7 c# oHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?& c. u! p6 p7 D5 ~
    Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas
    ) U8 Z6 V2 g9 L" W. k5 L* E$ zothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo
    / b1 h: e$ P6 l* {2 Kple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could
    2 i" G( t2 J: Zcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil- i5 V+ D/ r5 j! k
    lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of  ^7 Z, O6 F+ F* S& b; K) c
    Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.
    / |  e% }/ Y& V  lA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology8 r( w, b% P% ^: s: n4 v
    in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their4 Z2 m3 v& F: t% g- B' g& ~
    smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have. f% S) m7 g& w) r7 k! k
    identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with
    5 f# f5 o. ?9 H! k* oall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing/ d& y& @) x$ I
    almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen
    ( m" w- `$ \  X. d; ffrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30
    ! A1 J7 B% ^- p- s; v( ?November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in
    ) |5 {0 E3 M* vYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in9 Y! J6 x+ R+ j' A/ e
    Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife4 h# M) K7 s' p. D3 K4 y, v5 L
    trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature9 C/ `8 p0 a0 q! U( }
    when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact
    * e) t4 Z/ X( p. Awith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients
    ( Z5 W: }. j8 |' Rare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.' ^0 H& e. W" c/ ~# \3 I9 }4 R8 N
    Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:
    + @, V  v4 n6 W0 f* |1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS; ^: u$ y, e" o- Z( m6 h) `
    outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL
    : Q. d- ]& J9 u• Decline and extinction of populations& j4 m3 v4 e0 x6 j$ N
    • Introduction of invasive species
    7 R0 X- [# K, W9 a) A• Spread of new diseases to humans) ^; x/ A2 h% s" w6 _0 R% T0 t
    We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database2 w; e* |0 w$ o, E& l  ]
    contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The8 Z2 E! `( u- r) {! j; {/ r8 O
    appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete
    5 d6 S+ d* ?) e. P" ~0 zdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:, l. Y4 D4 X9 k
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ
    + S0 x. E, ?3 U+ H( l8 c9 cRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod5 Z' w7 Q* L# w5 {  F6 t% ?
    els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:. E& `7 q2 s( M) T
    1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live
    - \, |6 Q, s/ Ganimals taken from the wild)?4 f- L! b0 Y! S
    2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?" n8 ?1 Q1 y2 {9 u" t! K
    3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?
    ' B8 @! a$ k1 p$ m0 ]4 p4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major; h7 a' K* S8 z
    infectious diseases?, w0 a, q8 u) |
    25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it9 }) b/ j% k" ?) B: c  J
    will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?0 l' H0 E" {4 [; _( K- y8 E4 j; Z: l
    6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain
    " T' K5 S7 a) hyour views and policy suggestions.: w4 J- S5 u9 o0 b0 ^

    * u# {( ^" O: e" a4 Y& z$ D$ i/ Y% s9 c! m+ K' m+ a" T- b1 g( E1 ~
    5 a) A- m+ Z! F8 s1 \

    6 h+ W8 H/ I7 e6 i  G' U/ z
    7 N- W5 p) k. |# ?" m
    1 e1 \; \6 N: {0 x; ^9 ~& @1 @0 S* h

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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