2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 2 P3 j) w' S R& }2 x
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx - N( C) q8 K: p0 e3 c& e y5 O3 N( u. V1 [) G$ p* x
2022 - l d0 b0 W: x) t* B* HCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 3 d2 L$ s" L/ \http://mcm.tzmcm.cn' X- k4 D& ~8 K# H* J
Problem A (MCM) * o$ g* f" @& V( }4 V9 [, e* c3 |How Pterosaurs Fly 2 G* F: q' H9 ], k! _. ^Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They& V, \+ {# ^: M0 @) u3 c
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of4 e0 A% N( r& O+ s
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved 4 q6 ^2 _9 D# ?' p# T% ]powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 4 S3 o$ W- Y; L% D4 hother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth 5 s; M# W8 Y# i9 {fifinger[1]. 3 B8 I# C7 w- a6 T% S5 d5 EThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller X0 u* W5 |: y6 G$ {
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem: W4 U3 M: A1 K' u; ~; y @
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they 8 M0 u& ^- i6 y) A/ xwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and5 M% j X5 g: z* Q6 ~/ ?
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived & `2 g. Y" q2 m" g" Q$ Fin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.+ V* P! v* R' v: n5 Y
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.. `) S' U6 D& i M6 y
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,. D9 Y5 L( h k% C% ^# ~, f/ n. y
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on- _9 O J% u r
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and9 k, f2 x. p o& g
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil- a1 I! A3 k& q! S) Y
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].6 c; L$ c5 U# G: Z4 w
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which& ` }6 B: N0 x' R2 f' v0 e
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 0 F. g4 }; h( }) x8 K% U0 _& Thad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug ( l6 d" k4 @$ q+ ], i+ Mgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de, f) }+ l# z L7 K
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning" U8 w ?5 R3 J/ G, Y+ O3 l" j( E" R
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded7 x" p- Q( q G+ `% H1 U( y
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec 8 O, G* {$ {4 C8 N+ i2 ktional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones " I9 X& ?! {- y1 lto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from , E5 I5 Y$ Q2 r7 {! Hthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including ' S; N0 X! |" e6 T8 {Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least ! k1 \, g# t/ E5 [% | Wnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong 8 s* a$ r" [' r1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. % t; @8 h4 m: T- nThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled( N5 t9 R7 O6 ~ m
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded $ f! Q& {# R" J" @$ ythat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,, {$ z; ?2 J( K$ t! a
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able ! Y, x5 d7 K5 V: a8 U% V8 m( Y' Dto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. / n4 D1 G, |$ N- E: OHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology * L$ i2 N* o* P# ~$ ?; Y8 x' x& [of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs) x. D( f. y, `7 T) P
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,! E) C+ r9 h* w( {3 E+ e: f' M
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that; S/ A$ c6 [2 R. \+ v: l4 ?' X
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed% e, I$ J6 {4 q6 f' F0 E
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].8 U- X( V7 i( x! d# |- j
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff." c. V& B8 N7 Q
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones * I0 y! b5 ?1 @; ?of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage7 L* w& J) f _" j4 P
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for ' b0 ~3 q) ]% Y0 {( N. e1 rgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 3 _0 ^/ x0 A+ oand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as ; H: ?/ W) Q! _/ x4 E' Hquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of % [% Z1 Z# n! d# {( T: M% l+ gJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism: W) g# i9 U" d, Q
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would3 l3 j) M# K+ \1 T, h
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds6 h. u8 O$ a5 ]" e* Y/ x: b; m3 |. o# u
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. ; s/ R; l* [; J7 D% G9 E; LYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the & B. Q- V5 P; y4 W* z, Z9 {5 f. Yflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and : v- d! N6 Z4 _1 z! b' X' O/ gto answer the following questions. / t/ Y. z( E, f$ `1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor/ y( D) ^4 }4 J& }& \0 E: w3 _5 V
mal flflight. 6 E u3 H: T, s; g1 P5 b2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during 3 Q( b8 D; X3 F/ k/ ?normal flflight. ! d! `( |9 A7 [5 T3 ]* B3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like5 m8 Q& ~1 l- O P x
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. 2 ~+ }8 |+ {9 b( ^/ p. IReferences2 ]5 g9 ~0 l+ y& ]; x
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight0 m1 y h5 [7 j$ y# I; b
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. 4 C9 \* J- o' h0 b- Y& l2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. ; d) P0 i1 K% b* _, _- P/ [https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php. Y$ }% h/ @% J, V% h3 G
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs) n/ ] w" a: _9 N$ E3 q, O
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-/ Z" ~, l5 u0 X/ y# f
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html! { i4 l& s& A
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a ) ~3 m$ E7 Y) A" u& T* `$ N% krare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) 7 M& j& q, z( b: b8 Z rfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):0 m* W. ^. B% v; R" f5 h
1983-87. 9 a4 ^( g I9 C" }, I[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust" U# y4 d* H$ p( b% O2 l; l6 ^
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 7 S3 a7 w# j9 q" W: c) |180-84.8 E( A6 L1 A Z* G9 W
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?5 D3 H2 u2 `) ?
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs* q. ^4 M* m& J+ m/ h! P3 s
too-big-to-flfly/+ Y. o% i6 i* O' [* T
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology3 t3 u' `* d8 ?7 k% d7 m! A [
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. % x3 h+ g2 |! c0 Z[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable " l1 c6 o: u# v$ G1 pair sacs in their wings. % d; Z/ B! [% b x! l9 shttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur: P; u1 c8 E! g- i) \: a1 L. o
breathing-air-sacs & Q3 ?! u ~0 ]% ^[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all., F+ U s7 C( |3 W5 t/ ?" K5 {: k
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils' t, u7 n8 T5 y- x/ V
research-mark-witton% X# c" D+ Y% B* ~0 P2 Z
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?8 A/ d9 F7 n& g5 K8 D& ~
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs, h8 |/ [7 D* z4 O7 _
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/; R2 p0 Z$ J+ {1 _9 ^ b; L! y
+ ^$ j4 w! r {2022: o: L8 @7 v0 V4 P' E
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling; r- N' M+ n" @* `/ |& j7 N
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn/ a1 p& J( I2 o( t" @
Problem B (MCM) ( R; |1 O% e3 n+ y7 f. B) m' ?The Genetic Process of Sequences; q5 D- ]1 W7 V$ j/ ~$ o$ w
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein: T' F# }$ v; T' L+ ]' b2 g/ s
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of # c% I! K% `1 Q0 elife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their# I# x/ f' V" H6 t/ s
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong # c: f8 W* L; }2 a. U! L* Oevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common - [$ F; T$ K. F" ~ancestral sequence[2].5 Y' N: ~1 I+ H) h
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu8 N4 m: S6 |. r2 r, a
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 6 p& _% R1 w) S% W" r+ t7 U3 Uarise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and 4 g0 l0 f. l* P, n9 }# vdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by ; H& _$ I, K$ t2 u3 U W; e0 tthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together% f% ?+ j, H W& I* e3 e
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. ( I" e1 _; i, N y7 M% vYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com y/ x1 Q+ y: ^0 P* y
plete the following problems. " c) h) B) k0 i2 @# H8 f. F8 T1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between 6 {$ x$ { |4 L3 X5 b7 |6 Htwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. : ^# j: x' Z1 l2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and7 S4 l- k# q- m% G
design suitable examples to illustrate it. ; T5 y! `0 F( Q% R( x. k& y3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an% X' F" c4 @3 t. X. b0 ?
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral % l. E% j$ w& k3 i2 hsequence, and map the genealogical tree. : B( G3 `. u2 v- s" r. KReferences* Q: I4 L# w1 k. x4 o
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re " N8 O1 X i* b: Lview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.) ]* S0 \ j' |+ i" _/ X
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 7 Q, Q+ m% m* k5 f1 A: s- R) M! Q. ket al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and % C6 t# y7 F6 `/ m" c9 V& p) D9 Qa way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.% m! k/ C& F2 L7 B# T5 \ L! u% W
8 ]* l F f# g! {; U$ g20229 @+ ~& M" S* d6 U
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 2 Z) G1 G, E5 m' zhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn, [( R4 M2 c$ i6 k$ b: F, J
Problem C (ICM)6 S' C( b. M# l
Classify Human Activities ( e3 k3 X& i j, cOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and % U+ M" B% s8 f; amonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im* r0 x8 ^# V* a9 U; i
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor 3 h* P0 U. ?9 S9 W% W( Q) [" iing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ% q- h- S7 i9 L$ `. U+ U
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly/ v2 q& B0 U$ I5 G
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], ! q! \) R- Y4 pmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in - w9 N9 Y/ T3 C6 Tschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, # H& e( @9 w4 q2 C6 K! ^" Ksports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain x" |) R5 y) r! F, k1 S& {
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial+ D- s6 Y j6 v( q& o3 _+ m
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify Z' _: x' B9 V% x, P* M+ B
human activities, the following data were obtained. 3 S! n* `( e pEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,1 g3 S1 G5 _" r0 V
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes & ]+ h; u7 g3 yfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ" d* c/ Y* T9 [9 T
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be" B* j9 | ]$ F" _, M- q) i( {
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and ; q+ L5 X% z5 @, ^9 Q% H9 Xamplitudes of some activities. - h! e. {! d* `. c/ ]Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 9 q A4 ]0 M2 f. |% M/ AThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal5 g) a; B! {2 A! y
segments are obtained for each activity.' k5 H8 q" B2 L7 y# S) K. t
The 19 activities are: 5 b2 s4 k0 W7 w( w- d1. Sitting (A1); 1 s/ L) I1 a( C0 @2. Standing (A2); % j4 p- m1 T( N% b4 n% h3. Lying on back (A3); 2 k' z7 H1 y1 J' @4 k7 f4. Lying on right side (A4); $ w- L2 L- h% R6 w5. Ascending stairs (A5);' Z5 t q$ Y1 _) l
16. Descending stairs (A6); ; d# W5 v5 X/ b0 K1 L) c7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); 9 v8 z3 t' ]* N8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); : A; w# j$ f/ R. ^. ]9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); 0 {: A, b8 v0 K# w2 h* e10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg # e3 q& l2 a D$ |! W/ ninclined positions (A10); 6 W5 g, s/ P2 A9 `3 T11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions 2 y% f: G% |+ a(A11); K' B; U. Q+ Y N7 a+ p
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); P! G7 {3 n; X% L" f5 E# s13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); $ P- G! \! W4 H5 x# F; l$ T14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); ! `& L6 x4 X. f9 l: ]15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); ?2 E$ |* [7 x* u; P* _
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); * Z8 f. o% y8 g6 ~' Z. Q; x8 S17. Rowing (A17);! Z7 m1 n7 n/ B0 T
18. Jumping (A18);% a7 g8 H! X3 O5 \
19. Playing basketball (A19). + l% `0 \1 I3 G7 W. ?( {Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve( z/ v% c W, g0 l
the following problems.9 e1 H- i/ G5 P3 k u7 k$ J0 w
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify) T0 v& A& R6 m8 Q, w- \3 W4 J& t/ F. y
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. - W9 T& \3 X9 F: B3 j1 n+ P2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have. M" i; I! r( F- X) R9 s
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study' d9 F" g _2 ]3 f- M% R3 v$ e
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to" n2 \; K% o7 Q8 y3 h
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. 0 w" q! ~2 @ ?& Q3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-& N" }+ G$ F7 N6 T H: C% ^
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action ; z- s6 N+ m7 G; e: B Lclassifification. ) |/ p3 B; }- ^1 lThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:# b8 `+ v% a& m8 F5 |7 p! U
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq; }/ t; V/ R8 p2 A6 G
2Appendix: File structure & X3 c+ q2 C! |& H. N) b• 19 activities (a) 7 d2 ?1 m0 |6 Q R1 e• 8 subjects (p) ' `" A) c6 E' r, k/ Q5 }' I! z• 60 segments (s)4 I' ~1 H W2 `
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left ! W% ~) }" q) u+ g$ N, s/ h) Jleg (LL) * X, T3 @% x9 i2 z• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z8 r$ ]( r& X2 @
magnetometers)0 @0 z2 K8 G4 e9 c7 }9 }
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.! a! I# G3 J5 u& A
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the" M5 B" o# [% J" a
8 subjects.- |' V& o+ t" }9 H
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each0 N8 {% f9 f3 c$ n& L! h
segment.- x; X! t7 {9 B% l: }7 Z
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 ; Q1 |) [& a* hHz = 125 rows.; f: E* P. ]$ ^) Y$ G
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the " W. Z- N2 ]0 |# o/ Fsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. % Q# g/ _: F0 K- m y, jEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular % m/ x! v( _. a' X# ~! |sampling instant separated by commas.9 s( g `7 G' I6 `
Columns 1-45 correspond to: 0 H' g' m* m) l3 u1 T: i* p9 Q• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, & B5 {4 w+ u. a- X+ E$ E• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, / m- `) r/ W2 V• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,1 @- Z9 n% \: o1 o
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,0 M( d4 J" K6 L; T, b8 f
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. + o1 H5 p" }/ h) a; D3 C; tTherefore,& R1 U- J# S6 e& @2 h& o4 R* b
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T)," v* A# l+ U. \3 I: H
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),' z9 O& N% [5 w1 F
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 5 M: U H, r# h& `* e• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),$ y' N5 d8 C$ U7 }3 }
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).5 r+ M& t4 z& @' h* w* P; j3 l
3References8 Y# i0 }* }' n. K& [
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic7 a* O5 N+ _& ?4 |7 r r& c5 r
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. 9 p$ @% F7 m$ z5 y4 n' ]1 U42(5), 679-687, 20042 F3 ^/ W `# x( Q: L
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of ; H+ V, r' o, A' A9 glow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.& k6 O% w1 z- L0 V5 \+ J) J
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 3 w/ d2 e: j# Z2 L' x; Y9 \[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag " F0 r# ]' e$ N* N2 Lnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.8 L# ^$ {/ d$ J
B. 11(5), 553-562, 20075 Q5 K" k5 |6 R- e
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con Y+ w# i9 q, T4 ^+ T- Mtrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 6 y" c! ^3 o6 [2 l( e1 G9 V & I4 N3 X) g. m2022 9 J: u( N5 E$ X3 K4 f j: }Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling & a* z8 }5 ` _5 S' ]8 b [0 x& @http://mcm.tzmcm.cn " d2 F1 U/ b0 z& }, ~& ?0 {Problem D (ICM)+ S E W) j' p; C7 _7 L3 O
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long ' A* Y8 G' i3 r& k4 w bTime 5 V9 o7 d+ y0 ?6 K' [6 VWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the 7 Y% [. s5 T7 C# Q y9 G9 |2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source6 N- p( \$ N" h7 G4 w
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently : w2 o6 K9 {' [. utightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,; {5 ~* w& u5 }
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some ' {0 d- m2 U; V2 N. Hscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 1 F) f1 g. P, q1 O mends. L+ v7 p& _0 KHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? 9 g0 r: [; L1 l" k% s, PSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas 4 K5 B. d b) g& Qothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo7 M- |: `7 g! \" B/ l* Q
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could8 F! N+ ^% v: L+ ~. }& y C/ r
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil- d& Y0 S8 p! _( B: L1 a
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of- z* }1 F0 d7 B; R" Q
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. 1 B+ T U9 `% Q; |- NA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology 2 X g3 ]2 G/ z. Hin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their 5 ?" E8 Q V2 }) Ysmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have ; W [. d+ z( u' H. iidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with , l# ]) v- c3 ~; d5 e3 ]4 r# E9 Uall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing 0 @1 S. s; G2 g7 J4 `; Ealmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen: r- P1 l+ }- l. H# c) N) e1 F) {# C
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30: n8 p' {7 U/ F. q9 T
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in7 F3 c! ^8 e* y# ~+ K$ N, ?. H
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in' n. j% r1 W( ]. v* B' |
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife ' U2 ` R! M4 `( btrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature3 U, t# Q( R& q# Y9 ]: j: u( A. i
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact ) N0 D2 P" A9 d& K. _6 xwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients* P6 X& I+ f, ?
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. - m; j9 q0 ?1 q' ^/ O% S# n, \$ tWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:) h/ | v: `& l' V2 a
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 9 l- t8 N2 X; G0 ]& y7 |* y: x1 voutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL 3 `+ D7 h" Q8 q+ b7 U9 n' V2 M. Y$ @• Decline and extinction of populations $ j/ V0 f/ B. n& z J5 s& B• Introduction of invasive species0 X& h e( j. U- l
• Spread of new diseases to humans ' B& K* U! P6 x) K W$ vWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database 7 O5 b/ v" l# b* N9 d) ~& c3 G! Dcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The; ~- g! H" V% n8 Q. {2 d
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete1 m. b! W( P2 I V' @* X" c) t
database can also be obtained through the following link: % N% Y' b' V9 E% O# hhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ - |% M$ I1 G6 j9 x' eRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod . t ^* M/ p' R, a4 |8 {els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:, t9 y+ L& }& a0 s: J, e
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live ; \4 ]- s: x ^) [/ L5 Ranimals taken from the wild)? & x! b0 ~0 q$ Z6 [. ]2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?$ F7 Y, j- e. [* ^3 o" @* b
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? $ n0 E9 ~% w* }4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major ( K6 D% ?, {/ B: o# jinfectious diseases? 0 V# \( f$ o9 G8 c r: J W' r25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 2 j- H' S& t3 h( t6 j1 i, } W5 W7 twill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?! V' Y5 H" a" q0 Z# Z9 c J0 Z
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain . E# v9 f. T8 v+ ]; @! fyour views and policy suggestions.; b L: S3 M7 B0 i; U
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