2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 ( e$ H7 q; [. s* Yhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx 8 ]" p x3 ]0 c, W# g9 `" T2 M, \- W
2022 0 r% n! E' M9 A5 c# b1 `( CCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ) y' f0 y9 z2 K8 q: Rhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 4 U, I# I6 w; H9 _Problem A (MCM)9 a' ~0 J/ d( m4 L: Y8 d# q
How Pterosaurs Fly/ V8 d: s" i) K8 {. ~+ T
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They/ b* e- O0 `# M, _ k
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of + }$ Z! B% d8 D" f( G0 R6 Dthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved& P$ N( j% j' n) X8 U, k2 B6 Z& U, w* j
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and . ~3 G, z. ?3 i* w& Z4 oother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth# j: U R0 L3 A5 i- z$ B0 N
fifinger[1]. 8 y' e5 x+ e! _& a, jThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller 4 Y: P$ b* W2 i8 D) {; danimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem% Z% ^7 T# b& [
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they2 _$ {2 h1 B6 m S
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and 9 H$ V' k4 Q* O, S gstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived% s6 e) I6 i& r: `& [; }! I
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. $ I5 @( M P8 k% k5 p, L! |6 eLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. 7 @/ u3 k( i( hPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,0 r# ?! C% u8 E9 N) i$ E0 u
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on7 i; ]6 C' f8 C u( C
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and ' v6 J! J1 J; {4 @0 }6 T% f5 i3 d bfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil ' S2 v' _3 G. l$ _3 D- x* }4 C8 Strackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].7 f6 Z; V& A% P4 I
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which& Z, C8 t3 @ ]# @
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have - N2 K- y4 n. M/ uhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug8 \' S8 [4 S9 [1 K
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de ' m L4 U0 C" D( _$ |$ @riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning$ X" x" ?0 A& b6 M
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded; _0 x! N7 E- o) a( S5 H1 C
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec3 k& I* n- k' M$ o
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones" `, C7 o5 S) o( J$ v9 Z8 {
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from # a% K0 O% r4 V' s K, fthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including: F% H" T# y7 x4 R1 T' q: l9 B* ~' c
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least 0 i2 x$ ^& q$ S9 B- Fnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong ; D; X8 e, ]: ~$ G4 `9 |( X1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.: u5 m: u1 l4 i3 w% f4 {2 g
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled8 [$ J# _+ U- |6 m1 m4 b+ h8 J; h
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded5 E) x, N$ D4 u% D
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,9 } M+ \" D0 Q" z% Y: p
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able! ~. }" }3 U7 ]/ |3 h
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].6 S) {: ?) ? S3 j d9 a* D7 ]( [
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology7 b# h' n0 @$ t- Y( N" P6 o
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs0 l; x$ t( f) ~' e
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 2 F, S/ U `4 L4 ysuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that6 M) ~& v) n- ]
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed ! G4 T o# I& O( D4 H2 k8 Y9 S2 qfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].0 X6 U; m @1 I2 ]
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. * ^5 v. c: }- I* JIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones Z& g p5 K: L( o3 ~) h
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage9 i0 {# Q3 x, ?0 L5 _9 T
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for0 S6 U7 K( ^, B- c. t/ C: x: L
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded ^, t D. {1 r* v; U9 b
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as }' L' D& B* I3 c7 v; bquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of) `3 Z5 Q7 Y3 f8 u4 g( M! P
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism 5 b8 K4 x+ ^7 i# `9 p* Dto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would7 v$ |- I4 x. R# S4 N
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds( E- J/ j4 w" a: a: w* i
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. ; M1 S' N/ X8 g7 _; {Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the 2 `3 g9 h7 f! i+ w; ]" Wflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and3 G2 u. p% K! |2 S' M( A
to answer the following questions.3 r, G! Q5 R0 W. k- z
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor v. o$ S2 ^3 Y( b# {2 nmal flflight. ' A: W/ f/ m& E! A8 t9 u7 ]2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during% o- q2 X" C6 N1 Y
normal flflight.1 a" ?' }5 |3 w* Y; w
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like 4 h$ d6 T; L$ |( hbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. 1 U; ]5 }3 p/ T: {4 UReferences 5 ^6 r2 {( b- y: g f[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight# ]6 w# ?3 }$ T5 v1 o
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.2 t" U" P8 s8 M7 M! M' f+ F
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 8 [1 \1 f. A) v Yhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php5 M' {2 }0 u4 E0 M; H
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 8 |- o3 a$ B" `/ |Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-6 e8 t* c! ?/ v1 l: n) y4 k8 L
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html : B3 j7 N/ e+ y[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a & v" L& C! D; ]1 Z$ Xrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea). E8 b+ L! o# s: Y
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):& _3 H0 ?7 r: n" x
1983-87.& ~ L& K. N7 O& y
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust 5 h/ Y% w/ ~" B8 \* iskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):$ d* O; I7 ?4 @0 i
180-84. 2 u+ M, w1 d: d$ H5 ~[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? ; b0 L3 X" P9 ?, U1 n) X; jhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs . x3 L* C# y3 T7 }too-big-to-flfly/ , c( B3 z2 i$ m, k, J8 F) _- T6 k[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology + x, ^( |0 m, D' R$ @; hof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. , D1 w2 e$ l" P8 j* g5 k& _[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable7 o8 ^# [/ N* B* n
air sacs in their wings. 7 n4 s" \, G+ |3 O$ I0 K, ahttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur * E8 e+ B- c8 n; ~" jbreathing-air-sacs: P( i% {' D0 b% u/ u
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all., h# v0 r+ [, O$ C- E
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils3 \" e" q" n) K' o% G+ W
research-mark-witton! e3 r. r0 @# y
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? ; V0 ~" t% [- V9 u- Y5 {/ [https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs . i5 @5 D5 }. K# z2 z5 ~% E6 Yvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/. R* Z2 g9 J( }0 S3 |
/ v+ D/ k2 h& K9 O
20220 B y1 n+ Q$ r$ U" X% }" T
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling % Y* m4 y; J1 `6 ahttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 4 G- e* e* y2 a1 ]4 F/ p7 m7 ]Problem B (MCM)8 p2 r- M- s/ H2 U$ F4 x, Y9 o
The Genetic Process of Sequences ' p- O; Y0 n7 T/ ]& e5 e& tSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein " y" D" q& e ]/ ]( M+ N/ zsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of . W: \* ]% Z4 E" Ylife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their- t7 ?- ~- d+ G8 S, q0 ]$ H$ o
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong ; I- F' ~% l5 Bevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common 9 E a. i/ n/ n0 \$ [ancestral sequence[2]. Q& B7 D: E& K( j( b( sConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu7 a' Z s4 ^7 O7 K) g; |$ C3 m
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation' w- H+ l: m9 }6 @* [8 j
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and ; R9 E+ e; d9 i) a& P Kdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by, K, w1 G- M! m, D/ R3 ]
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together " D( n' g) g9 A S9 T$ y, B5 S# Mcan form a family, and they are considered homologous. 6 _' x% {$ D6 c( yYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com1 s% ]. v% R, e4 U4 E. f( M4 F5 x
plete the following problems.( L- B7 a s5 T- \
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between : r+ J: d9 d0 ~, l+ @two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.( v @8 x/ P- M( A
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 0 r/ {& w0 p; ~( {1 O2 K- e" \design suitable examples to illustrate it. ( T" K* D, w& A; J+ v% M {. l1 ]1 x3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an 5 V* B* ?: |' Y2 Tcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral 1 r7 @6 Z( v1 z2 ^8 X4 P! o% k+ |* {: _sequence, and map the genealogical tree. 2 G" I+ s o% _References/ v6 T( v" Q$ L% ^- _1 J& O
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re; b9 E5 g- b. g, i' }
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.8 \( c K! W7 m, `; c8 d% X3 g
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, - S) E5 ]9 }( ?et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and6 {& J: m' d3 w. i
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. : E2 T5 M8 w7 u: A* H6 q . D) J' Z W* N2 \2022) o! G7 j' e, T1 G, K
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 0 U- M4 P& x) U8 {( N p& w; Vhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn2 M. u! f# e9 x, N/ P3 Z, I5 c
Problem C (ICM) 3 [" r, q ]- @5 UClassify Human Activities4 l8 Z: Q4 p& ]2 N) e
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and- [) ]( U0 I- c% D
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im3 L( e5 k5 S' j M
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor & p8 A- |. w" J0 p, \ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ8 O. p6 j+ I, b' o* |5 f: x
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly: K) N9 y/ y+ l+ R
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], # s' c: e* k! m. e Kmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in6 S% P& k. c' J3 w
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,; C' I" _6 L+ q6 e: _8 @- D
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain # F: v) p6 T" c4 J+ w2 P. j0 zment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial ) {* u9 g" D: k8 n' Y& @sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify4 a( R. I7 a# j$ [( a% @
human activities, the following data were obtained. : I( h9 P; N' gEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, |6 u2 W9 l9 `- a; tbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes* N) u: U1 c/ g' W
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ 3 H# a/ ?; ~' w3 u. U Gities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be8 S3 s$ O- x6 J9 u. z- C' i7 A0 A
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and 1 y n6 f1 b1 _' e& e( M) u9 U- Aamplitudes of some activities.- e* V o+ x- n/ k
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.2 P3 S( y0 x. M
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal: P5 q& @( Y0 C& {3 B
segments are obtained for each activity., e, g. E$ e: L0 k: i
The 19 activities are:7 z9 S* }# ~/ g9 X
1. Sitting (A1); ! H0 r+ ?% y. ]0 G% F% @2. Standing (A2); ]6 k8 @6 P* l' k
3. Lying on back (A3);) x. [3 {9 `. W9 S, ]6 }! S( Z
4. Lying on right side (A4);& a6 n, n7 b& h+ g8 u8 ?1 g/ }" t
5. Ascending stairs (A5); Z( o+ F. |9 P L1 Z2 K) Q+ B
16. Descending stairs (A6);2 c0 E3 i' o3 m5 ]/ v1 E
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);# J3 K0 g0 p" F9 h1 a
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);9 e& o' {+ a: v" v
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); 0 q% Y! T7 B" u10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg3 p' B: @2 n8 T9 \* r
inclined positions (A10); 2 ^, w! ]* p8 A! u11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions * K! O( B( Y* x5 u* q(A11);2 ^2 W4 b l( ~# A( `
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); E$ i w7 z' k
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);; U8 d# e- k7 B- X- B
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);# X4 r* j0 w4 @; y3 a9 u
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); / w7 z$ I- \6 Z* F. I+ ~7 o$ v16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); 4 L5 {/ Z S! b1 i4 F, B) }' i17. Rowing (A17); 9 V1 D# t A) k8 {* B2 t: L8 k18. Jumping (A18);& r$ X( ~& d) t [# |, p. l1 ~! o
19. Playing basketball (A19).( L- f( L4 Y' d2 P0 _- p" [
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 8 Q* x/ D7 C# k o; Z B" A, ^6 Vthe following problems. 9 j( e+ [( C8 l, @" p2 V1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify 6 j2 z6 l: `# v, A* v0 ]the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. " Y0 I, E W: e7 ]8 r7 ]2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have3 W7 J# `* Y! k$ J/ J$ D; h) o3 r
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study+ t$ P$ c& i b5 T6 H
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to6 e' L. x; p* g0 |7 J u
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. ' X7 @1 T- b+ B; l$ B/ { [6 A0 C3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- 8 n: \- e, y3 ]cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action ( U! V* V1 q+ D' p$ Dclassifification. " F$ J! l: ?) A" uThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:# c6 C# T- ]0 c2 F+ @
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq % X+ s6 S3 |0 w) ?! x4 C0 L2Appendix: File structure# ^" H2 }, X( ]( l1 j
• 19 activities (a)) n# ~& t5 D5 |( A1 t
• 8 subjects (p) . G* f8 s0 j( A- a! w• 60 segments (s) ( E. ?0 F7 g% _2 b& o$ i' U6 B• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left 1 d* T; {* r$ h/ Y$ M4 Fleg (LL) 2 P& C* h' p1 \% N1 c8 x# |• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z ' J: B c1 k1 @/ H( f5 k8 Nmagnetometers) + S1 I! F! _( n" c, p+ c* wFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. / H5 j4 u7 Z- p% S# OFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the8 I+ k4 k1 a$ Y# {7 Z; [% j
8 subjects. 6 J u. i3 B* O3 n! u T! XIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each; z+ O% h6 S: K4 M O" h4 b& Y8 }
segment.* O9 ?0 Y8 b* \$ I1 i
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 ) m3 u" r5 R# d$ T9 O! [2 w( cHz = 125 rows. 6 j0 _: q' ]- j0 V: @Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the 6 O; t- w1 r% T8 c5 }sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.; B9 [4 X$ Z$ z, R; k7 g
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular$ a6 u& H" f/ M% C1 j
sampling instant separated by commas. " g; o2 a" p W% H! e( e/ s1 sColumns 1-45 correspond to: : g" I9 g) L4 u' A9 T• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, a- z* k, q2 L7 `) K) S5 _6 _• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag," }* r9 J$ a- V# ^$ q5 |- e0 l
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, ; `+ A0 x. r; z* m• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, ' `4 x& P7 P% v6 f) G/ Z6 p• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.+ C: G# H5 ?& h8 T$ W3 |' N
Therefore, 3 J0 N8 c4 }! G8 b. Z0 M" q• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),; B7 \0 O0 q f+ y
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),( b( A6 ^2 y; m# p$ V' x7 q+ E
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),# Q5 w, m# G: x5 y& q2 _) a
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),5 Z) I2 r, R+ e1 _
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 2 s" O- S: v; i& b. K# ?6 ]3References 5 y C4 t6 C8 I8 C5 |) M[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic 1 L5 F X4 w* g6 Pdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. ; m8 H: G; W9 b42(5), 679-687, 2004/ W7 L7 R4 u |5 p) E7 L; U5 f' I
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of ) D. S% V/ G+ H6 H& Q d1 f5 Llow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers./ r' |: ^6 D7 e5 _% k/ n \
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 l" q0 S4 x* J
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag + z* v/ q* z0 T: Q4 Qnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.3 k; N3 Y2 j* r3 x. w7 B$ i2 z
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 - t' t* u1 c C& E% U4 b[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con* [5 N4 g( { N0 b7 X Y$ I! p) p
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 1 b4 K/ ?8 B1 g( U3 Z" q3 { 0 \: Y& z* ]( m& l( Q4 M2022 % V! E# L, [) T6 m; M* c0 C/ R# JCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ( Y6 b. S2 Q, a+ x( W6 ?! vhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& P. G$ R- r5 i; I. u5 a
Problem D (ICM) h* E& g% m+ b0 j; ^ ]6 H' k
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long! m" U# Z' O8 V2 w2 w( o
Time8 A; Z3 W' p# m1 I6 q$ B% b2 X
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the" P+ z4 C' I/ c% t% v$ t
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source 4 e e" C+ t, {# Z. j$ Vof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently/ k7 m2 z/ s8 n& i: a% a C6 o+ |( w
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,9 x: M6 D r; T% M4 S
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some " E( L6 K. e2 P2 d% z$ Rscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 8 }) h I" Z& m5 Zends. 7 o( x1 e( m3 C7 VHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? C: _: w5 }$ _2 s2 JSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas6 v' n$ J' T W. i5 O. [6 x
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 8 ?0 A1 _; }' ?ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 2 C$ Z, \$ x8 ?0 c% V/ h# q7 v' acost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil - [) o5 Z9 W' h; J9 b! Glion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of # h4 k9 G) r! |Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. 5 v b; H9 x. B; c/ M8 dA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology 1 ~ x7 T( `+ p6 T5 Qin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their1 P% _7 Q2 [* Y: ^1 z% L6 v8 ~" z
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have " S- j3 C/ p( M9 L; g/ t- H5 K Eidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with3 F$ i2 ?% m1 C! \( Z( m. H
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing6 E- h+ e4 @# L: T1 m8 Z; C, {$ y9 O
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen Y4 ~% D% K7 Sfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 ( q. B' m: n5 I' C; C" _9 gNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 7 |5 ?$ G' [' @Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in6 W9 h; {8 S+ q
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife0 _- b6 W! _! @" g4 O
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 0 W2 U9 T7 l2 }: m" Fwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact # p- p8 g( |0 D5 H' Pwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients , V- ? i$ x a/ Aare in place for a similar disease to emerge again. 0 y8 E# x- r3 {2 M9 H5 iWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: 1 t) x( J: v6 u5 t" p) X) z% r1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS # `; S4 I( A; {' H9 t6 Voutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL( F) H& \! A/ f( }" F0 c
• Decline and extinction of populations & ^! H- K7 U/ Y: m. a- D" a• Introduction of invasive species+ e6 }( _6 [6 C
• Spread of new diseases to humans% |4 |( N' d$ L0 N2 L5 y7 l8 G: g5 D
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database% Y2 k9 ]' D; M: y
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The* {* E& I6 d- [+ q* l( d5 a
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete9 q, T. @/ D# T/ ~) b9 W
database can also be obtained through the following link:* R' e! I) c+ K: g& `( {' q- X# R
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ4 E1 J1 M1 Q3 k/ c( E: y8 I
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod ' u+ z7 a: Q3 u: M) P4 jels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:! c+ e* m) N b. O3 s Z
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live/ x7 y! z8 S. C
animals taken from the wild)?9 ^" l0 G) u) o& H: }/ P( P8 e
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? ! Q5 k1 @+ c6 T g3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?0 [" x* A# g$ U' d. W
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major! b3 L1 D' Q0 Q- V! y) Q# K7 N
infectious diseases?2 d% i7 H: i- c7 N- }
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 1 X1 g, J3 R$ {7 W5 D' E( c1 swill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?* d/ c! i( a. }" _5 Z9 O2 U
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain) ?9 ^4 @7 v' O O3 g: ~
your views and policy suggestions. $ p8 h4 ]* [0 q8 I0 m @+ `3 R( g8 P; j3 a+ s f1 r
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