2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 0 z j1 V0 G2 `, ]$ `% t8 o! B+ U8 f
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx. L! ^& D, i; Y% w" l! N1 w% v3 g
- \. S. M+ W. H$ e9 k2022 8 b4 P, P* o, {+ ~Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling% }# \0 w4 ?& Y. e) c T; p
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn / {( v: C, @7 s9 ]Problem A (MCM)4 A0 }, B4 r! a2 Y/ g2 K
How Pterosaurs Fly8 ~9 S- `1 r0 c0 X( ~+ q
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They 1 Q, M( q/ E+ ]; b% W- o; uexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of" v2 f; h+ d! K, H, t
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved8 y" M8 u- F: b6 N D/ V& Q
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and8 f2 H2 Z; Z, ~3 K4 c: _; c8 }7 G
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth $ ^6 H- r1 J- h/ h2 Z6 R' \fifinger[1]. . p- V- P# q/ A4 b. w5 Y. @There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller * l2 F% C( j1 v. S2 Kanimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem! a( V7 C2 `' t! ~
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they5 L, P+ l7 q% B% {/ O% v7 P& ^
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and" b& z+ T+ H$ ?' d# ?: `7 p7 z: X
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived: i' c# K9 W6 J) f+ |
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. - f! h* c- |. N' r5 ZLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. % r. W& A9 ?9 @Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, 2 R4 t( u( i, jand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on2 v# @, X* V( ?
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and; C" g; z% X9 P( @ G8 x2 G
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil 4 B' r ]3 H$ n5 k Otrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. ]- X8 d A7 \% b9 l4 lPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which) X$ Y/ B. j( t. @* F5 G5 \; {* q
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have$ G- _' h! y y# E g0 n
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug " ?& n5 [+ l+ m; {' jgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de ' e. x) x+ i7 j; R: _riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning; y. V& ~( m1 u! a! ]
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded ) O% Z) [+ e- B1 W# T% q) X(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec 1 _. I. ?, j9 O9 p% {tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones6 w* i/ ~# I0 W, Z7 R9 {3 R, u
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from 7 a3 E/ c- H2 [6 Z: d" q# f. dthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including6 n) \+ M* A8 J# n
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least) E3 [! i; t: }/ I$ z
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong5 h" g5 w% y" ?2 T$ M
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. 2 m1 r7 X0 |/ v( LThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled0 k6 k# I) g3 l. X
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded + G6 [6 X! v' E! _9 L: h Z, Athat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,$ C9 Y1 B( }7 n) F
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able8 O# X/ R4 a- S9 d$ Y
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].- ?" J2 k. d/ i+ _ a
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology , s- ^3 R) P' b2 M( \of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs5 @: C% o7 c# l& ^1 c. m
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 2 O# Y% C8 H3 G4 r5 _. @; f& n/ Y( Wsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that* N5 Z4 i' o$ b: J# S9 J
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed 2 [; j! B8 ?# c) l! Q, G: h% ^: sfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 1 ~$ ]- U/ P/ g- UAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. ; \; F- m" H& GIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones " A g& l( n. T2 ^5 R2 Mof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage 3 d L, U+ X7 g8 \, I; C( f& Oa bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for- t5 V( s- O x/ E1 W
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded% `+ h2 `, o6 _4 H; s
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as* C/ u5 u3 s1 Q; z' h' h; X
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of# l4 t+ {. ^" e/ v9 A1 B7 D
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism + w0 G1 r* |+ V1 C- |to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would ) J, ~+ P$ H2 |( Uenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds8 C) v2 N! f0 C8 j# b/ H0 n
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].# V7 @& _. J& N4 U3 w& B. w
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the ' C! [ ^% D+ `, Z2 X- c3 p, U0 sflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and5 Y- T6 r5 B) B9 h/ v
to answer the following questions.- \' E$ K( o) l9 h# z
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor3 F$ O% c1 }% \) B5 A
mal flflight. 9 C- e, {4 T- b" B2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during ! Y2 O5 |" m; \; A* vnormal flflight. e1 u4 g0 k4 j; ~& X3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like5 u: h6 C! {/ ?, R( t+ v
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. 9 f7 O, @( F4 r+ yReferences - F' @6 t/ V4 H ^$ y8 T" ^[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight + a0 Z( u0 D2 A8 S4 |& YMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. N) o& U6 _, _1 i0 [1 _! w5 F' n
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.# u2 u- M. D: j% R$ d& t
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php: H( X8 w( T8 W; W/ s
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs0 _1 I( L& s2 O, I
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- 9 v6 J) ^, K& _: _/ I. Spterosaurs-had-feathers.html , @ p2 S$ C9 H- l; E[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a# M' L0 e2 U/ o, M
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) # `* B' r/ w' _3 k5 F9 j: vfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): : Z+ G/ W% J3 P2 v6 u& m9 H1983-87. 1 P* ?$ ^. x/ n# _: ~. E[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust & l+ K1 ~6 n& D" q$ V7 Cskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):& |5 y7 J. F% g7 i7 ?2 J
180-84.: D. M+ s, n. Q
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? Y, l2 o6 o9 u1 M2 U- @$ J( [
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs6 f% A- X1 u& g! y
too-big-to-flfly/ / w3 K4 k0 H2 ][7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology( k/ F; v. A$ ]7 ?
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. , C9 S& z4 V3 n* Z$ o& ~[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable8 p7 H& Z$ K4 X q8 G
air sacs in their wings. $ m/ Z8 z& @# G" M. Qhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur 4 m; F4 Z( P. p7 v8 ^5 L, zbreathing-air-sacs 4 j3 `2 w: F- b8 U[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.+ b7 c/ K/ W1 e% E" v! T
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils& t- n* v, V- V0 Z$ [2 a
research-mark-witton ! c& c/ ~( N+ S5 |' c& I5 U" v m8 n[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?3 F4 T+ w) e' h+ F, |+ Y3 [% r
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs2 j6 f( c( m( X/ R7 m
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/. F/ M: \3 h: Z" N
" S2 P' P6 A/ |# N2022) `5 l+ s) ?$ M) J
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling3 e7 F1 }2 {' B7 l2 O) {6 t
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn( i" N# c; A" j: r8 o
Problem B (MCM)6 P$ t4 l: H: h7 _3 u3 r- [2 a! f
The Genetic Process of Sequences ' V V+ Z# K$ A# }Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein8 G4 x1 {6 A8 W D% r
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of4 k1 V$ P, C* k- `& C4 ]" c! v
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their8 l4 r1 g; u: E( D7 R8 m/ a3 K
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong 2 |9 K$ t5 V0 D C- f" f" s, xevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common( u0 [+ V) s" X3 C ?* K
ancestral sequence[2]. . ~" g8 u# z `+ A NConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu! b# m8 X8 }# {; [! \ ]# s8 |2 d! [
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation/ f' `% B& a5 J+ {( U$ z
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and) g5 d. e2 ], L% U
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by- ~4 w& h( W- R! v
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together ' i! `/ T6 u4 t% d! M- {can form a family, and they are considered homologous.7 c3 y9 z& R1 O
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com - J5 D3 e1 S' |6 k. O, Splete the following problems.7 K. D/ \! t N6 L
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between$ u& K4 g$ \! b2 D
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.% `0 W0 Z3 b7 Y2 W, U8 M' j1 a
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and' G( M1 J# L5 q# j7 O
design suitable examples to illustrate it.. {8 l; f, Z1 ? h3 Y
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an0 f- h; `) M5 H' }; { \
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral 5 E! W4 \7 [: `# e' Y& |4 Ysequence, and map the genealogical tree. " u5 e/ h: Y! ]7 }. ^: v: |4 YReferences , O2 {) e* N- H; H[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re * p( W- B o. E! U4 B# b) y7 T5 i/ H3 ?view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.# K6 T) h) @5 d7 t @. p$ e" q
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 5 g$ }6 J6 W$ i/ a# e5 h4 A' Get al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and) ?( Z" T9 Z/ \7 c; i, \5 q
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 9 I* }: u$ I" H' Y4 |. j2 w- U ?" c$ o0 C
2022( n! |# `; j, N& `3 I) [
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 7 A) m/ b6 [# \" g9 F: `* v5 t6 t- `http://mcm.tzmcm.cn , P# y% z. }1 ?# P" t0 `Problem C (ICM); ?3 J+ n3 L% @8 ~5 [' w
Classify Human Activities 2 p4 {- _' A. \# J9 SOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and ) P% n9 @- }: ymonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im b: ~% a6 H4 F$ Sprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor : w- D6 a- E! w, F: ling, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ ' r- |( q& \* O. aity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly 1 {$ D6 n, i- J; @! F0 fremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], # u7 a- S* K0 o; B' e7 Wmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in5 f( v3 @* @ [& C6 s- z
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, ; ^$ i, x* G3 z/ usports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain 6 f0 y) m9 j- rment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial+ E0 @0 E. s4 u0 M
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify5 T( W: Z% P7 D5 ~+ V' j- l- _
human activities, the following data were obtained.4 o5 c( T7 X2 o7 r
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, + r( F" [8 I$ L& C! P% Kbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 3 S1 a7 f4 b" }, K4 jfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ3 ]4 u0 P% R# K/ D. w
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be, b' X; X0 x* l1 H* J8 i6 A
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and9 A, g3 r8 U+ O# Z9 R6 n- E( k
amplitudes of some activities.0 M% C' j* W1 j. f5 N( I) b$ ~
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 2 e' @' h- ?$ A! hThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal+ K' l: Z7 }' d7 Q
segments are obtained for each activity. @1 a7 |! L- cThe 19 activities are:1 k( V: A; V; H
1. Sitting (A1); ' C/ X- i! s; j2. Standing (A2); 9 i; I; x- r$ D2 B3. Lying on back (A3);2 U$ x4 p, E, x. J( `2 n
4. Lying on right side (A4); . e- l; L& ~5 [* r# O5. Ascending stairs (A5);4 C) |1 T; c0 r, G% t! I
16. Descending stairs (A6);7 q3 d- i9 o3 `! y0 ]) m7 Q
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); ; L4 t( Z" ?8 v& p4 \! S: ]* u8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);' S2 F& b5 i, V/ }/ g
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);+ W" f8 j% H R" p
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg P5 D1 y- `9 a1 ~( b
inclined positions (A10); , k( N; H4 x }9 j) L! h# \( O11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions % j0 U" _ s$ R3 N; v2 Y8 Y(A11); - ?% x- }8 a6 i/ J) R- t! C12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); 0 T: Z9 q# _ ?, U7 ^6 _13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);) J8 `3 L, \: U. ?1 m5 |: O; W+ s
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);9 N# E9 g; R0 E v
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); 9 B3 f8 @: _9 p! U n16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); 4 i$ s Z( I# A% }3 P) |+ A17. Rowing (A17); 9 p a' z% o$ U% |+ {. s- |8 F" W18. Jumping (A18); 1 U) e, z& A5 R$ r8 d19. Playing basketball (A19). + h4 z1 Q: H3 S( E1 VYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 6 I3 N m! q1 p8 }the following problems. , f" F8 D5 A5 G# o6 c( P( \+ B+ O1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify) y- ^9 C+ s# ?
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. 9 A9 \- B# `0 b( `2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have- i$ L- ]8 F2 n! @# f% ?, W* R
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study / s/ ^. a' o" V Gand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 4 v% ~* w' \% E% L( e+ P! g- wevaluate the generalization ability of your model. . H3 s% Q) R5 ?' D# }; k, k9 X3 s3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- k: C$ x8 Z: \7 k
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action! F8 j. y/ x' R: f) S5 Q
classifification. 5 r' `" F$ V/ J6 d8 o7 ?The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:$ O/ X' Y8 ]. t) t$ L( S
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq/ N, t# D' H" H9 T( |6 S! t
2Appendix: File structure ; D6 r( P* e; r7 K; |* ?• 19 activities (a) - }' h# H; {# E6 f) x• 8 subjects (p)" ^& D+ F7 L& w7 F/ F+ c: L
• 60 segments (s) 9 o3 J: I* E M6 C5 w• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left ; G; }+ J1 x$ G& f' zleg (LL) # N, F1 o) q9 T, h• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z3 B. p# [2 D3 W# R( h
magnetometers); Z* f* }* F% Q
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities." n D9 ?- j& g
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the ) b' f- ^# _1 I4 E: G; a8 subjects. % t2 Q2 Z- i, H: | |In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each, E6 r. V% \7 Y( n+ J
segment. 9 B5 r0 k2 H) ~ `& @In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25% H' q+ Q3 D! j2 e4 |
Hz = 125 rows.# Z% e% ~% p, ?. U
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the7 d6 l. o; }4 t0 @/ K
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. 8 V% }6 G! R) b. F7 m. {Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular % q& I% d# Z! e) }% g2 Zsampling instant separated by commas. O( U9 T2 ]8 \# JColumns 1-45 correspond to:2 }) q9 G: X/ n5 t
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, 2 A, ?% C7 v- `0 M• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,' @! x! n2 u, ^* U
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,2 |1 |) V" F' B$ h
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,& A: d2 j% ` i3 e$ F
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag." Q% w5 W7 {/ T9 L. u/ R2 n) q, n. k
Therefore, ; ~/ w0 t2 K) U• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),+ `, @7 \8 l9 f& c, s- n9 b, v
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), . Y9 D6 {" c+ M `0 d Q t• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),: E) ]+ ~6 K/ B1 s/ u6 l5 Q
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), 9 D' ~( e$ `- @0 s0 B• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). ( K5 n9 Y; b2 M! W# X0 w% q3References7 h9 b$ B+ p- t% S% S% o* M- d
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic 6 v. y9 `6 Z8 L: T3 f& Sdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. ) x( f* w( v. x& k% c3 t42(5), 679-687, 2004 m4 R6 u1 y$ s9 B1 `! `[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of6 c! ^. d0 P) q- h, G3 ]" ^* F
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. " R& l1 R4 z; j0 \# I `5 l7 vGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20084 s6 u. N5 j& Y* V
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag + u' h* F, v+ `" U, A0 ~9 Pnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.9 P: v: O) Q0 H6 r
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007. ^: f+ I+ H* ^+ R# `5 Q
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con 2 Q; e, e0 B1 Atrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008; r1 k- v- s9 F$ ]3 i) P3 T
: j, X# Y. f" v0 l+ d) N
2022 : Y. j/ _2 A' Z7 n- ?# P( DCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling + w6 T. Q. J7 Ahttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& @: l$ x% V+ f7 X4 y$ s, R+ ^
Problem D (ICM) ; ]' ~- V6 m" q3 p# a) fWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long/ ^- u2 {& N/ B% U. u- c
Time 4 @" G6 m( p5 r8 l5 E- O) YWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the 7 B# q5 a5 A& _; _7 T% s2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source - A& s6 ^2 r, @% J. }! D ~of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently" k' o M* A4 a( a, V
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,7 ~8 r* ~6 m& H8 b
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some 1 n ]" X, _. U% `/ c+ [+ }! Gscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak' k& ?. I1 ]' E6 G% A
ends. : ]) I& P: [* D2 mHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?2 X. K' @- |! l5 f u
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas 7 Y; J! C9 Q x0 y0 N+ g X- rothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo/ M/ g3 n# u" |
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could ; O: T& w; D4 Ycost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 6 a: i1 B9 t+ Mlion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of ' I5 X; _. ?/ g, M8 d; V8 aEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. ( H; }1 g9 D% C0 r0 j! GA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology v. g7 J9 o* m5 q! Y6 e |
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their# U* g- E; L- G( m" M/ \" ?% H
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have, Z, r, X" e- D* c% D$ D
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with- E& O# Z6 C) h+ @
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing+ Z, `& s$ U% h( x4 ^
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen 9 @3 F! g% w( V' j* Zfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 304 m2 Y/ e! `+ [; n% V- S: l
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in' c& D9 P; l# {! b
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in ~( ^7 @% Z0 J+ h2 sGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife+ @6 r6 p) i% H1 `
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature4 {- K1 [' w5 ?" r2 c+ d! O
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact! T& t* Q# j2 M0 g! t8 f
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients& C. x% q7 C0 M5 i' P# s
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.% E: O9 _0 y2 w$ Z( U6 O* Z1 G
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:5 |2 [1 d, M( O
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS6 }8 J! D9 Y# b v) `$ o
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL + x5 y0 v' Y) b# n, A0 I% U" J# j• Decline and extinction of populations - T7 r: D9 m* f• Introduction of invasive species 1 N6 j* }" ?- q4 D. b& H% {% J• Spread of new diseases to humans 9 k3 t4 T0 w# w- zWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database $ D9 C+ ?. k6 Z3 h9 a* Acontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The g5 G4 c- |) Z) h tappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete _0 P6 y7 c5 M
database can also be obtained through the following link: ' a1 @ p/ l, U* D! n% fhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ' q+ W# d& B3 T* ^
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod) r: b; F! q0 g5 ~5 }
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:5 X* S6 X( ~. p0 s. B
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live5 S V+ t: y( {. J: k( V
animals taken from the wild)? % L1 c9 L: X8 l2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?: v' E7 Q( K! J2 l& j$ m4 d& G) J
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?% ^* D( e; g2 m [6 S- a( c7 e7 c
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major 0 c+ Q: m9 {2 O" qinfectious diseases?( d% h5 ~* q- f2 J0 ~7 c2 F3 Z& e
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it ! U: Q( u- T' }$ wwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? * w8 X. M8 G& y j+ E! p- n I6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain, ~4 O8 G% N- i. n
your views and policy suggestions./ L3 W8 q4 R+ P* _+ Z
' [' u9 j# F0 O: p( D6 j: b / u S2 s& Q" ~+ o3 a, e1 [5 V: F4 N1 O$ C8 ~% o