2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 3 P( v3 S& H0 b H4 }( S: Ahttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx- Z: s) i, b2 E- D( |
/ R- i2 o' X- `, i$ M! y2022 0 W( R( |: [) ]) LCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling " T6 C! |8 {& n9 e8 i7 ghttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn+ |# M# U! O3 b
Problem A (MCM) 0 c6 W% Y1 B9 U# h! o# o$ QHow Pterosaurs Fly - h! ?. s, {# x: G& PPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They / E$ `- l1 u; a+ e5 c7 Sexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of + o& b4 t$ Z0 s# s) L* Q% @0 @. Dthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved# F! ]! \( G X
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and+ q; z7 ~' K9 Z& V! s7 q& i; v
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth 0 b4 I L8 p. r2 F! h: Ififinger[1]. 0 U- G* m, A/ }5 Y; S" p/ tThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller. g1 \ I% ?) _. M9 p' v% Q
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem 6 ]' e t% n, Y$ Sbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they* Q. }6 A2 M& d4 b% R1 K. c! Z
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and7 D& m* x. v* @" V% t
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived ( |' @. T4 H2 V( F# ~in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. + {# R) z7 b( e4 k% d' ALater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. ' @8 j4 v& s' k; [$ QPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,: y" Y! O U a B0 ?- E% X
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on / Y; H: H8 g+ T8 k s% R Kall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and. s5 X) N8 _4 v
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil 3 y, z% b+ V; |3 gtrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].; K& S3 S' ^; R1 S/ E3 l. _
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 3 V) F9 M1 A$ ] c( Y" Jcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have& o: g" w5 P+ q
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug G& K9 x) k) P3 n* n7 wgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de- Z/ t4 {$ f# f8 r6 E" i
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning0 c/ z& V. M3 e9 k- Y, Y0 Z% b
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded ( F1 i: U- R4 f0 O! S0 U' X/ [7 d(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec " I& L2 u' u& M7 ^3 S5 Ttional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones $ n1 X+ k/ o& G# H, sto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from8 a4 D9 T. Y- Q6 W! M
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including . K" E3 A1 k9 z+ B1 Z& \1 cQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least ) ]$ M, T# X: m, O5 L8 R$ Unine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong ' O4 p; V6 I$ C% {1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. / D, Y) H7 ]: K) G% [The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled * G7 ^: s5 |/ U3 U, ^2 f1 tat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded+ M! P% k7 E, O# e+ L y% c4 s8 v: I
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,* c. `) ^/ i1 `7 B( J# N
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able 5 R% ~" i* \" f6 ?8 V% n8 F I0 f: k- eto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].! O& R# P; @( w2 e$ ?' b/ K1 z5 B
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology 9 M; Q' F# _# s+ v1 e2 Sof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs& S8 k# l# \& _) t7 y
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, ' u3 B Y4 {& `; v6 x# |8 D2 P9 usuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 1 T0 V! P4 o# d2 W: Ratmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed ' ~4 A9 o+ l4 w2 T# Vfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. / v5 S$ _$ B( }& K0 V2 s. oAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.6 m- h2 s# y1 m. ?
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones % P0 I8 Z1 ~7 z. ?0 |$ Tof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage. Q x1 V8 {3 i7 F7 M0 `
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for8 ~" X7 A, ]( n/ J, p
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded+ \7 S2 J# i7 B6 n5 z7 ~; Q: u
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as ! i& M. F- c2 ^quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ! H$ [. v+ c9 p" M( f) q' ]+ SJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism/ y& S+ p5 V: R1 m$ _; A
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would8 X9 C3 Y1 n! m! B1 `
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds 7 }- m% l6 w. J6 y4 P. O& Dof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].. S4 z( M8 D1 V1 s
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the( }! B1 P- o. O% Z, v2 i. D# n
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and ! w, z8 h4 D/ y1 J2 |) yto answer the following questions. : h- R Z, r4 A. n1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor1 T; k9 j' m* @; ?
mal flflight. \9 Y- c4 _$ u' @1 m( p f4 y8 y( H
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during# @, T5 }' ?4 m3 |; A* m7 y6 Q
normal flflight.1 u/ e7 @! \6 q& q+ C6 a$ m. {. I8 e
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like& z7 W, v3 [1 a8 V# N6 F1 T
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.- X( \- E9 G( R S( z" g
References L' T- E( f u/ \[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight ' c- h/ w: [6 _- RMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. 2 f7 I! d* a0 G4 `9 Y: U) a9 {2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 5 A. h! B% X% |& m( phttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php0 X+ M9 q2 f+ @4 n2 E
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs% t' B4 P4 G4 u& `
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- % d. F6 _- z; }/ rpterosaurs-had-feathers.html+ U# v) ]; l9 R! N; u" Y& B
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a* _" _& N- w- f( |# w# @- R
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) * Z- ^! l# L5 F6 T" I' A" A: |. w9 afrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): " B! q6 X( b! D! ]" T9 a* M3 R1983-87.* N; ]2 ]: h# c$ f
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust+ e' r$ d3 A8 w9 \! Z9 ]$ p \( @
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 3 f4 N# G. Y: Q/ Y. l180-84. 2 o0 X' p$ ]2 Q; d! z4 U[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? 6 H$ Z7 A% B1 w: r; _% m6 u$ Ehttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs3 @& n' \- H3 j" @
too-big-to-flfly/ 7 T$ D3 m# N/ q: U b[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology 5 k& C% O" o2 w1 S9 Jof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. 9 W# G& m& L) h[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable' o* i/ z/ ]+ i8 M3 Q9 C. V
air sacs in their wings.$ z7 ]+ X; l4 G9 q- O8 r
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur3 W+ H; x; o5 ^. N! j* G
breathing-air-sacs' X( t3 }# `0 A4 E1 Q$ H f1 Q3 x
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. 9 N" @* i6 \2 \; j0 F' P/ Fhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils0 F7 R2 w" T, s: [0 s# Q
research-mark-witton 6 K& d8 f9 r+ }' |1 k7 i! b. a[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? 5 z6 Y4 l: [% d) O; ghttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs ) j, J5 u" V1 Z6 Q5 u8 ?0 Uvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/0 U7 y7 |+ i3 ]
' L1 ~6 B- W: B7 K v% y
2022 + l& g; k: [2 y( j2 {$ pCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling' F! s* ]# j: M: E3 I
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn , X! g: f4 F) j4 ?6 ]& sProblem B (MCM)7 v' G7 X9 a% n" n( y
The Genetic Process of Sequences % M! ^8 R/ H1 s2 O4 @+ e& DSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein" U2 u( F# R1 X0 c4 ]8 H$ b# v: g' i, z
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of ) }8 i9 `' r& O4 K, B- K9 R0 z! V* ulife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their6 S2 m! r' W0 P+ Q) @; J
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong- n! R' E# \. ~ y" i
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common , ]7 L1 Q0 R) B6 ?4 R3 [8 |ancestral sequence[2]. z o7 m; }# c
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu& Z5 `; s- a" I2 V1 ~+ S, h: C' @
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation) U( g+ |/ f" K# t1 D
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and s7 s. P+ _ w
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 9 K$ `8 H5 W( w3 m9 ]the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together+ s* [0 Z) e, h# A d
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. ) j# F+ H# z0 ?- P/ p: x. hYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 9 H2 y1 }6 [: Yplete the following problems.* X) I) ^" k6 D/ F- O1 e7 m
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between ' p' e8 l5 _+ T- d \; {two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.( |% y0 {. |& C1 D, v" C- Y8 A
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 9 u5 C) f4 k) Y( r R/ Hdesign suitable examples to illustrate it.: J" j+ c1 \# h
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an " e4 q7 l5 a" H, a+ w) T$ A1 m, Rcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral 3 }, U) b' ~4 s4 z2 A9 Z6 qsequence, and map the genealogical tree.* T9 j0 y7 s3 O3 a: g2 R4 ?1 a: r
References 9 z/ F C4 |& I7 x$ `$ Y d[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re) X d4 S9 y- a5 y
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. % ?- ~; f" {! ^0 l4 ?+ q[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, e/ h8 W+ D4 h
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and: X1 M+ W5 Q/ Q" a2 l+ H; f
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.% `; X7 p% t8 [* U. n* Y- R) z- F
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2022 " T* {% _! ~7 ^3 {: a' ECertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling" D) U+ C; f& |, x: I# @8 S8 e* N
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn e5 ~* ^7 i' J- OProblem C (ICM) 4 E5 z, `4 a2 ~$ K: P4 a1 bClassify Human Activities6 Q7 a& r6 r! y0 z$ y
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and ) K: {( E4 ~: O* j" e) wmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im! u3 T2 N4 G7 a$ s: k
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor 4 P$ n) Z1 T" L9 l1 ]' Jing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ) X( P7 ~: {9 [6 y! o4 m
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly- }& v5 L% P# U# P: u: L$ A! x
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], # Q6 h- L& z$ M7 rmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in 4 K# e ^% V9 M1 O! v* mschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,+ A2 O9 [3 ?9 {( o! A
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain & O2 | o% a5 ement, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial " j. c# I' I( x9 l. x2 t: ?# m) Msensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify & I, m- D( ^5 U! P" u) v2 Ohuman activities, the following data were obtained. : u0 r! c9 V5 @6 gEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, k+ q q; E$ m4 a" f. x
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes6 E e9 V( D2 L4 z2 O! o" n
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ) w8 H: `6 k% {# ]2 D
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be( t! X9 B9 ~1 M, a2 D
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and- ^, ~& C q N6 ~; _9 `$ ]' z
amplitudes of some activities.4 h2 Z y; z( P. ?4 u% g2 K4 ]! L
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.: v) i; A" g" Q) y
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal8 L2 W# ]4 M d' n+ F% x% D* x" y
segments are obtained for each activity.. ^ ~" a+ |0 _5 h. v z0 S, a
The 19 activities are: 3 Y% ?" m: s* Z; Z1 N$ o1 h& E/ U1. Sitting (A1); ( o2 W$ G# c' o! s& L1 D2. Standing (A2);1 e7 V) G3 F% K* c/ W8 S
3. Lying on back (A3); * E$ |2 S/ m; x# l: {. J9 b4. Lying on right side (A4); ) l- M! _' X& ~& t7 g1 R9 a5. Ascending stairs (A5); B+ U: q/ g: Z! D9 J
16. Descending stairs (A6); i0 z% I. D& o
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); 1 |% H7 T" s8 ^) f8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 4 u8 K$ S% O2 d3 V/ c- i9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); $ ^7 i3 A c: X8 {10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg $ X8 [" X" j, _3 G1 Pinclined positions (A10);. S8 s4 l; v% u& K, k
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions0 j: ~" a7 f: D! y) V5 ^, ~( A2 _
(A11); 7 z! O! C4 ?; J12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); & T) O1 S. b# Y* O# |13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);8 S4 ?" N: X' p6 t2 h/ f" C
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); - b4 K* N: T, G15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);! n) H+ n$ E! o
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);( G U* E( f+ a4 M
17. Rowing (A17); & T2 V$ D* G! u8 B. l% w18. Jumping (A18);* p+ @8 `6 }, m6 X- ~) M9 H
19. Playing basketball (A19).; \8 K7 a2 q/ R! ~1 \$ ?
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve5 ~4 o; ^& |( T
the following problems.+ `. Y( k! }) q; B
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify n# d) W* H3 W/ Tthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.* z4 F8 s, t( e2 r
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have; W* ?" n, p( X8 o' ~' {6 i1 b7 n1 i
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study 0 R9 a. J- _0 E# g' {3 |. x4 N$ {and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to) }& D q' `' S6 ]1 P2 O
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. + a. d+ m, l# c& C( K3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- ( G k6 S5 v' C2 @+ [' q) z! lcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action; a5 q0 a9 O' g# t% l
classifification. * v, Q; q' U- K6 ^) c, F6 [9 ~The complete data can be downloaded through the following link: # U6 A; [$ i' t: P7 f( i8 r* y- \https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq 4 q" P( c# {0 h ?2Appendix: File structure# y* I/ ?- v! g; K* ~
• 19 activities (a)4 @) Q0 A \3 H1 m1 K
• 8 subjects (p). _" b! s! r- c
• 60 segments (s) + Y0 x! L. R3 }/ o1 X• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left 7 S3 z# u9 M, E' U* `leg (LL) 8 o3 E) h# _4 Y1 f) p% r• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z4 l/ y5 m! p, A# U: Y/ O( i
magnetometers) , j8 a8 `+ @+ ~1 a FFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.' q0 ]& t) u4 X( ?- i
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 5 i( P+ \% g" M# R8 subjects. ) S" f# j1 K0 l6 m% V6 F: R! k/ oIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each$ [# I- z8 g% B. }, M' j
segment. ) C" N. V2 h( LIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 * ]+ y* P3 Z f O' x+ q2 xHz = 125 rows." G4 k+ g+ R H# n0 h
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the1 e- G7 z7 k' ?. ~0 a+ c
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.; [8 E# v0 q. E! O8 e
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular " i. ]8 B' X, m" Q2 Osampling instant separated by commas.: A0 b8 \- _! S4 G2 A9 }, n3 B
Columns 1-45 correspond to:" a) K- ^" z$ e# s1 [* s
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, + }% O4 H' k$ s$ g9 D- J }• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag," @; R% O+ j& o$ i( g
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,5 r- q' [* X& v0 f
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,4 h. D- K/ A$ \0 a. _ ~. X
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. 8 x8 @7 X/ _" qTherefore,: Z- c8 ]1 v) O5 R
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),1 e& v* L+ N/ ^" |0 z# e
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), ; D' G w7 y4 |4 J7 \( l• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 5 l! @ ~$ L2 b6 ]7 Z/ [• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),2 k* c; i$ ?" t8 @) A- P( N% Y0 X
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).0 g5 C7 ~# F @
3References 0 f7 y4 U4 g9 `" F' q[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic : a$ D9 C1 V5 h& rdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. : c4 D+ a# L# t" X: H42(5), 679-687, 2004 ) y1 l) V& f& Q3 U[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of& n3 r3 \6 G6 y! K6 j i# k0 Y
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.& U \' B$ j$ o G; ]
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 3 i; d7 B) S. y" } M8 m& Q# q[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag ( y0 { B' |1 V* {0 `' \nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.. _# Q( |4 j$ C' C8 V
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007; }, [" V1 E# o* x9 g- f
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con 8 w5 m7 V0 a4 }) i6 Q9 v1 S' Dtrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008# {# ^& p6 l% m" R0 Q" K5 o
1 X3 T B* P! n5 q9 G9 h: E, v2022 4 s' D/ E: E) J _& P/ dCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 3 j6 w' R! \& X( Ahttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn+ x) B. X/ G( \2 k3 p
Problem D (ICM) / v9 E, U0 G+ a) z. KWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long. |. z0 \6 [3 X r
Time , w' W1 t' t* TWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the% D' x6 g) ]4 k
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source / @: I$ T6 F% w6 z. `" uof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently ( S( x! `; q! `. M3 b$ ltightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,% `) Y8 m( P6 M0 b
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some8 b! |0 K' p5 |* k4 Q6 P: Q: m
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak & s! H, v& u2 Wends. , `8 Z4 |$ |( o( lHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? , t, J. _% [1 Y, p& f6 c. `" w( g+ FSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas3 j0 H8 f' ^# h0 q" W3 {
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo6 q3 q, {/ ~% w2 G& P
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could. t' h: ?8 P3 f5 K# d
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil3 ?" y5 B, z4 W0 ?; U
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of! x) c6 ?1 N# T+ Q' U
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.; I1 Q/ {/ z9 _& J7 x
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology0 S5 N: Y) Q7 W! q$ C/ p" T
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their - N! Q( r& g+ G+ xsmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have4 z+ Q; X* R2 I! f, B
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with4 k; Y, F2 j' s2 K. A7 [
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing9 D' _+ e. C/ [( o
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen4 A# s$ @8 ~( [
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30% x, {) P2 D$ }) x
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 7 e8 b* A2 W3 {: AYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in/ w* o0 L) O8 Z: Y* l
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 4 u- j9 q& W5 u. l8 Ttrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature ! s9 V% w8 w: p0 zwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact ! V) h) W1 X) i) J0 ywith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients # g+ N( n/ A+ H* K5 \" {& {- sare in place for a similar disease to emerge again. # k" |. t# n# M- K% DWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: . V( y: o/ X" i9 d4 E1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 5 h2 l+ t7 R+ T) k" Joutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL 7 ~' j+ [* s9 N7 g5 b. o7 e• Decline and extinction of populations, `7 G( A h" L6 l
• Introduction of invasive species / A, `" t7 f" z- c; {3 h• Spread of new diseases to humans " I2 C0 [! B3 j% Y JWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database, k3 v# y5 [3 O; F4 w5 x: t
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The " j% a8 Y6 T+ c" X# x: Iappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 2 k8 g. X. M5 H9 c: M. cdatabase can also be obtained through the following link: 6 o( J( T4 {4 U) Q- ?: _https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ & i9 f, n: G1 ^4 j9 O- D% yRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod- n$ L/ @$ F1 o/ W1 k# c. @
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: ' O& y- k4 A+ w* @1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live# [0 k p7 `* J% m% X1 p
animals taken from the wild)?6 l1 m& |8 G. @3 k( w
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? : b& Z* v+ u; T1 S3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? |6 y; _% y5 B- u4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major + p6 F" ]5 X/ M) L" Z% _# |( `' pinfectious diseases?1 }3 G2 f# M& k% E1 r3 H
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it ( k# u6 ^6 S* b" Owill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?, `$ ^9 _' w8 l' i* C9 @( X; c- E
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain2 }* r$ P8 I" n0 ?8 b: X
your views and policy suggestions. * n$ v8 K/ a; Y# s& c4 ~1 L2 l3 {# Q7 a2 D2 f
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