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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 5 l  ^+ \8 c. x9 E
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx" W3 t7 {$ k9 @7 w0 K- x) Q; T- n* t

    ; g. U5 j, g' Y; a2022# O# g" ?; a6 b* o0 E
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling, `7 L, d3 H+ p
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    9 K7 Z4 T2 @: T+ F/ c- Z# X5 qProblem A (MCM)
    - H" Z/ \9 w# }How Pterosaurs Fly
    1 q1 _3 Y" l1 |# kPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They$ s# D2 w# H% ?% U4 r
    existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of- n  ^! F% f9 h3 [1 T
    the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved. b) C% L* ^+ v+ V7 H4 f! O
    powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and' n4 {% |, k- k/ s% d) A( Y
    other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth
    6 W9 n% I! B# Nfifinger[1].3 a- w* F$ S& o- a
    There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller' X# H/ p& J( x  C$ m# C1 k
    animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem1 p4 s9 b9 C6 ^- [
    branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they
    0 f, K1 _3 x. F3 B- h) ^7 ~would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and
    ; m% e; n0 U+ v. ~' U1 a6 m+ Q" E2 istrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived
    9 @$ F6 v, R/ F  x; f+ bin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.
    2 \: ^, v4 |  MLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.
    ( H( c1 U) ?( t2 d4 LPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,5 D9 I' ~' z+ |+ m
    and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on
      {/ }1 o0 a  Pall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and
    ) @9 _+ N) R, a3 Hfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil) h, v1 S  s) u4 v( @* y
    trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].
    4 S6 _* @# P' p: v" w! x( H2 iPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which
      l( Z2 E) a) B& Qcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have# w7 R" `% \  @* d4 T  H* [% b- _
    had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug
    / e3 n9 t9 [: Wgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de- n3 U3 f8 n' U# Y' _, _
    riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning
    5 f; t  R# \& H2 bcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded/ s' w. c$ E8 u+ \  h( }
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec, [9 F% E* O. S; @
    tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones
    ! H3 A/ X4 b/ l4 e5 [9 l' |to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from, L  R% O) f* W$ ]
    the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including
    7 r- G# B/ O1 R( O  m3 ]Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least* w3 I" ~; V! _$ f# k: N) d  }
    nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong
    - q6 ~6 N% Y( q  b- g3 J5 F# I1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.
    3 h% s9 H1 ^/ s* ], w" w, MThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled+ n2 s; |6 T5 S  e
    at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded
    9 L8 w& [+ |- P5 n  ithat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,, j% x% Z3 \, Z# A
    Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able: _2 k( n1 B- f/ U5 M6 U
    to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].% y( ]* N/ h5 |  }
    However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology0 T7 G5 [! l) G
    of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs( p  k* a  Y  i; g* p* |
    being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,
    2 b1 a1 e+ H( u& Vsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that
    0 V/ d- k" g% ]# Z' S  q# u; Aatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed
    7 f: H, E: U! D& S& s, l; bfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].7 l0 P( P8 j- D7 \
    Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.
    ; A- y+ [3 @4 VIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones
    # N8 J' @0 `0 Z% h* z+ ^$ wof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage/ C  W4 J+ b$ K$ X- T
    a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for$ G7 ^( ]+ v% [; A( Y
    getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded
    - U0 m3 e: m5 z+ ]6 v$ x6 Sand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as
    ( `  \. H4 `7 t; t! @$ m# ?4 Nquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of2 y3 t* o- {5 k  o5 r5 X
    Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism
    9 P" a7 e% p) r) G" |to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would
    . v/ N2 {8 K% denable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds
    4 M; ]3 z, w# Y. S: L8 x% Zof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].! y" h, D' W& p
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the
    3 C2 \2 @$ w9 `  N# }: qflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and
    $ Y' G8 Z9 w5 D! D0 w( |to answer the following questions.* D# K# R# i8 e
    1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor
    / Q7 T4 Q2 K" jmal flflight.
      \0 ?) q+ ?' o! p7 N2 ?2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during
    : ]0 [& ?" Y$ N2 _normal flflight.
    0 l+ ]: o$ x: X/ W3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like6 ]% j$ f7 X* j% F5 U
    birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.
    * w2 ~  V. k0 D* x7 }/ QReferences
    : T6 s3 Q  [* @" g, A) H# l+ H[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight
    " h9 r! z& T. D/ BMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.* `# f0 S/ X+ `
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.
    - W/ V! J7 Y0 G  V8 ~! O( Mhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php
    . Q( B  |( q1 I- z5 `* o[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs
    + J$ ?2 R; t- ~# x5 k0 zWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-
    / K! T' s4 ]: V4 @pterosaurs-had-feathers.html
      Y6 K. r' c, \  W0 p# I[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a
    7 n% C, u( m2 d1 C% B  y" Vrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)
    8 X; W$ z& u& b5 W. `/ sfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):0 i! a" ~3 y& x; c
    1983-87.
    0 ]% n4 f7 y+ _3 n/ {. J[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust
    ; W1 p, _% `- s! z! i4 \skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):3 O5 S# Z2 g  H& r
    180-84.
    : {3 k, j, E5 A. o9 [/ c[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?/ N) x5 u* o7 ]/ j
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs
    , L9 Z$ a  i+ `too-big-to-flfly/
    2 z8 Y7 V( n7 |% _8 b3 z5 F" N[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology
    3 B8 s4 y' L8 X4 f9 s+ h5 n9 ]% uof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.; _2 K! L) N6 C
    [8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable2 ?! O) L- v1 d" x) ?
    air sacs in their wings.
    7 P9 s9 o. p- S7 e. f' G) E" m; b' Chttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur
    4 ~/ @( ]4 }+ N3 Nbreathing-air-sacs
    " c; ?# f8 D% m3 }" a% k2 x[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.
    / ~0 s  w- w% x# Phttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils
    2 ?( V7 z5 L5 b; xresearch-mark-witton
      i8 i) n8 I8 }3 B[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?& x% M- S( m4 a; f7 k' ]3 A
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs5 D7 F+ ~- I. c1 `3 c5 q( C
    vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/+ @* C5 p; a. w$ b9 b9 B# {9 m, D
    # ~$ P7 T: {( f& O2 i4 z5 R
    2022# h! E5 H5 J1 K
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling, E9 t+ @  M: e8 z9 i( l' C
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn6 X& ?% T% E$ }  v: l! p& W
    Problem B (MCM)
    9 v5 g2 W5 @  i. YThe Genetic Process of Sequences1 h1 o9 R5 F0 Y* M
    Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein
    # o/ ?( x  ~9 ~( v, M/ B9 Vsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of
    0 }9 F! Y$ F$ F# k( Z" g9 u# ~' plife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their' ?3 C5 q  A7 a9 H( C5 N; q' L) z
    nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong
    4 C; N/ g6 `/ w. V% ~! S$ Fevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common
    * n1 P9 s# p9 z& p2 Oancestral sequence[2].
    + F! C  g' R; f& |Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu# x9 W# h0 I" w  V
    cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation" Y  S/ F0 V9 D& J1 ]
    arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and
    ; F2 ]# m0 A( I2 }/ Ldeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by
    - z. ~& z  `* A* ]# S4 b3 O# u$ rthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together
    ! p( P0 [9 P. |' B% o4 n8 j! Acan form a family, and they are considered homologous., i3 L& c5 l* c5 E. R
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com
    : b" E+ x4 t- X7 D$ kplete the following problems.
    8 y  _1 P" p& _0 z; A' H2 v( i5 q; B1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between
    # l  K9 I" C" Q" p8 Qtwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.; g# a2 u5 V- V/ h( @" a9 q) W8 `
    2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and
    3 m! G. [, V. _' ~4 y: Zdesign suitable examples to illustrate it.
    0 V% J. A& ~; A# d3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an
      F& n1 n& H. _cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral+ [( U2 j0 J; i; ^2 u0 _
    sequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    / |1 b1 }% }3 y/ N3 gReferences
    3 I8 e' u' Y( F% U+ M8 K3 z! }[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re$ u4 z7 `) m5 Y
    view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.* a( n1 l3 Q5 w2 L
    [2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,8 q9 p( {# [/ _
    et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and) \+ s( N" P$ r& {4 [
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.
    2 r" k8 {! [' g% F5 R& b! V, P4 R2 M8 y# ~8 q. d  `; \3 S+ x
    2022
    3 k/ C4 Y3 z9 bCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling& `0 O1 `- @; y& Q
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn, B7 H( f; k1 `  \1 u3 P; r/ T5 u
    Problem C (ICM)3 u% k9 r' j/ _8 l3 ]
    Classify Human Activities
    4 l9 [3 M, L! ?9 SOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and4 N" l1 d! k9 @& ^2 I$ g
    monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im
    * J- G9 d6 G. _3 h0 k" ]prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor( e4 ^2 i0 {+ s: R7 _
    ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ6 A/ q6 \' r2 L) i
    ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly) a+ W" Z* k7 J7 @# i
    remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],
    2 x8 V9 x7 f/ j/ {medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in0 C& t" {' |0 Z8 V
    school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,) O# a: H- U! [
    sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain
    3 b) s5 P) L1 |) e' B: Iment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial. l5 S6 D: a  d; E$ O- M$ f3 K
    sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify
    " v8 b0 Q% P; h9 C, ~7 Chuman activities, the following data were obtained.
    , Z/ B7 @( y+ q, OEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,
    + y# P2 U/ c* [% i' c  jbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes
    ; `7 c8 u4 q2 b7 q3 S- pfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ$ ~& H7 y/ N; F9 Y* C. E% c
    ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be; p. Q  Z6 E/ A, k
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and
    7 \: k5 [; U- _  ]/ S8 namplitudes of some activities.$ W" H* @$ N' |" Y- g2 ?
    Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.
    1 m5 J/ t! t4 p9 Y$ NThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal
    8 [) m1 {- X, t/ Tsegments are obtained for each activity.
    2 l* n! g- E' Z: c8 _* xThe 19 activities are:  i# d( Q4 J/ c* V
    1. Sitting (A1);* s8 Z( Z0 f% ^
    2. Standing (A2);
    ! ^7 n3 n" U- U: K; y4 @3. Lying on back (A3);. b5 p( F2 J' y; C. R3 n
    4. Lying on right side (A4);
    % A; S: ]$ y& [% I% V5. Ascending stairs (A5);/ a' b% _  d% [( f. Y9 Q
    16. Descending stairs (A6);- W0 X9 w& w" K$ {5 y9 G
    7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);
    2 G7 Q  q3 K8 o# I1 U8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);# ?0 I) T' R. I& o0 _, \
    9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);
    % E, m* ^9 H5 a10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg
    4 m4 @3 u% w1 E  Z% C! Oinclined positions (A10);
    8 a( s- Z) j3 z5 V; |$ L* u11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions
    * `( W5 @- p1 C* v* H1 {; c8 U# {(A11);( a; d8 |4 f/ q. t9 G
    12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);
    + |2 W4 J+ p( W8 w9 v13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);
    * }# M- R! w7 v( F; z2 b14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);7 `! T% G5 |$ U: ~$ r$ x  L. g
    15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);( v. W' H) T  P+ t3 V
    16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);: C: U5 t# L/ ?8 O0 s  j! G
    17. Rowing (A17);
    / A3 A9 _- A' P2 x18. Jumping (A18);4 ]  f4 @- R8 p( b2 y
    19. Playing basketball (A19).& ?0 g# D7 e6 j9 l
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve9 ~7 x' S+ U" ~) ]% m4 P
    the following problems.
    ; x1 @  I0 G; @+ _9 z1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify% i2 M) G% S* N( K; I
    the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.
    ) v# L+ u' ~% Q; m  O) {. j2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have+ B* d: W9 N, g' D: i/ A' n: \
    a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study! v7 R5 [3 I* v; m
    and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to
    7 T# C4 e' G  ~evaluate the generalization ability of your model.
    ) T6 L2 I" r3 j3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-! C1 F1 i  a. F4 @$ K+ q5 p
    cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    , j/ p* y1 p2 O' b1 b! lclassifification.
    1 L: \2 h$ d& f- \' Y( DThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:0 b) r) |9 W2 ~/ J
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq
    : n6 c- u* n' j. y+ L# ]& L2Appendix: File structure
    ! E8 A; [$ ~( O8 w' B3 A* \• 19 activities (a)7 d4 V& ]3 b6 N5 \+ U9 R
    • 8 subjects (p)
    / p1 u+ \% q4 y• 60 segments (s)0 ^$ U# V0 P) d% S  C
    • 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left0 N% ?, |: \; ^8 g$ S. Q: p/ b& K
    leg (LL)" d( u, |" U3 J% w2 N
    • 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z
      \. @$ I: j7 `* Pmagnetometers)
    ; C! g! C4 r7 k; D' NFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.
    + `% C% ?3 o$ C0 {( cFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the
    7 ~' {. d. k5 c8 subjects.
    + P, S- r0 R) t/ m8 MIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each2 R6 K) {' @4 t$ \- a- d
    segment.
    , }0 }, d, T) B4 B3 ?In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 258 e: j1 P7 z4 ~! Q* @
    Hz = 125 rows.
    $ v; ]; Y2 N+ f5 _9 HEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the
    0 \" Y) X3 O! j8 C4 A, I/ j$ lsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec., M1 j/ Q$ Z/ U5 K6 w
    Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular
    " p* f: O' t! N& d$ e; T% Esampling instant separated by commas.) n4 L$ g3 x1 b. h
    Columns 1-45 correspond to:
    3 k9 U& F5 ?# ~( f& S# ]2 l• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,
      k2 i) \- D5 p' L• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,
    / M( p4 _% T5 d. q• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,5 e- G3 ]4 \6 `* m# U( x* i
    • RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,
      O3 H" @2 \. E& j: w. Q  v( M* g• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.9 y- m# p. o! P, T; `3 R$ _1 o
    Therefore,
    4 G& h* E# T9 e# W( a& K9 U$ Z7 U4 r" i5 @• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),$ L5 e$ @! b! l- p% o; b) e
    • columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),& I) f3 }7 s1 N
    • columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),
    * ]' P* f6 l* B) y; F, y$ i• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),
    " S" I9 p1 Y6 l% l$ Y• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).
    ( h  H/ ~0 U7 Y8 Q2 W1 M9 s3References
    ' L  q# e4 b# E[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic& Z( d& c6 m- ~" J& n( Y. @
    daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.' S% @: B0 y$ E. U
    42(5), 679-687, 2004
    - Z$ o! O% q- T$ T[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of
    ; J$ [, h2 X8 w8 N7 g+ Slow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.8 L9 c$ M; t% v
    Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20089 E$ B5 I" W( K8 [
    [3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag! c0 ?' V( H( R$ a! h* l& q
    nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.0 C; G4 p8 u: v
    B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007
    1 {0 I2 c* T, A5 Y[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con& n7 i. p& C& b0 L/ A( l" G% K+ R
    trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008
    7 ?  Z5 E+ b2 ]+ E/ O& W" F/ M/ ~2 ^) X
    20221 K0 G% q* C3 B9 j- c, E
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    6 s2 W7 F, w9 }: [) _http://mcm.tzmcm.cn& y+ L- l) P) F, l- w* F3 @! T
    Problem D (ICM)5 S9 x- R8 p0 p% p( n/ \: S
    Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long
      V" \' m/ q2 R# {; ^6 ^Time
      j6 ~% I! f- n: |" AWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the
    ; J0 h; b& D$ X/ E% ~$ L! o( X2 M2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source
    : B! Z* m: x1 f, P, oof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently4 t9 ]9 r  w0 ?1 Z  v
    tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,
    7 p1 f# ?* E' ^! }6 S. ]which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some$ U- {& S9 D- K
    scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak" z5 ~+ l5 C: }- @/ e6 J6 X2 g
    ends.
    ! b# Z- `' k3 ^: J1 |How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?
    2 I! }5 Q3 c; G  OSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas& @% ?/ Q/ O2 Y
    others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo
    . U2 o# k5 F4 `; Z* e1 G: \2 a' lple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could
    8 r% A( c& @2 Pcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil# M% Q: A- f% D
    lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of
    % M' M0 ], @7 t  T% D) h- TEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.
    ( L3 p/ ?0 W' o. [A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology
    : S" p8 _; y1 P) \, m/ Bin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their
    1 T( W# \- c% Q# A& s2 zsmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have- S3 c' b  {: W; ]5 S5 R
    identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with
    & B/ y' P' w0 Q- c; R" I9 Aall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing
    $ u; ]0 y& Z  R: M/ q  }3 valmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen' [+ t# U/ ~+ C
    from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 304 h" V/ ?/ Z+ t
    November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in+ d* `& p  a9 e
    Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in0 N$ @2 P# q* X$ A/ h
    Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife
    7 M/ `6 A/ m, V2 b' g1 G# Utrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature2 h4 o+ L6 q3 Z* V# x, W9 B
    when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact& O7 n1 J& s. H/ x7 N( q
    with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients
    8 w4 |& C, v0 j1 m0 F+ Hare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.: V) @2 |9 ], _) M
    Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:
    1 y! |( T9 Q1 l: Q! ^7 o. j1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS
    8 ~! w: Q2 A2 I( x8 L' y  i3 Y6 |4 Coutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL6 |# J+ `: K; [7 E2 J/ a" G$ T
    • Decline and extinction of populations6 |2 Y3 j0 a9 a
    • Introduction of invasive species
    * N3 I4 h8 @) A% Z  F) u# e/ P• Spread of new diseases to humans
    ! d" V& n5 @6 k7 F) DWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database7 ^$ ^- z$ v# o. V/ E& F" U
    contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The
    ! o) B1 _' m8 Q6 ^  Q4 D- @appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete; B' }9 e) x6 e0 L, k/ T
    database can also be obtained through the following link:3 i& j; l/ L2 W) F2 L
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ
    ( O4 Z) v2 ~& M  w* k- p2 ORequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod' R% {" Q5 s4 O0 u! j4 Z$ V
    els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:4 C  o% q) L; k8 E' e
    1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live( |& ^* g; z' {
    animals taken from the wild)?$ {4 d$ p9 ?) z0 i
    2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?
    & I5 L; W# ?# v- {3 _3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?
    5 M2 Z. r7 |! j5 E7 O4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major
    6 W" ]& H+ ]+ G8 @4 w) W( P8 Zinfectious diseases?1 B/ S- y; T6 G2 x
    25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it
    % j+ {+ |% q, K& {- |will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?
    / y. g5 U( f! G4 Y% z; q. f6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain
    4 a' k; p, h9 u/ N) vyour views and policy suggestions.
    9 a+ J5 B! g0 U$ W  M" v3 h/ U2 g& ]) c9 }. E( C3 `
    4 Q) h6 S6 l9 }8 K' j% D0 O

    + M7 `0 s7 I- K5 q! T; x( l8 t# F8 R

    : z8 ]1 W1 ^1 o. c
    - {7 [0 g! f5 b# s
    , H* _- t0 D! T$ N4 `

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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