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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址
    ; c2 b1 Y  Z# Ohttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx
    $ C$ Q6 V2 t8 |8 f  k- c" X- j$ |" w* c
    : O+ q7 I/ t* D2022
    6 D+ p% K( k! o7 Y, d( PCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    ( m1 c' w2 {7 F& f, X0 p0 {( Nhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    : A* u& g3 R& CProblem A (MCM)
    2 p" q* C! b: H( HHow Pterosaurs Fly+ _* _: k% L: A" h/ n1 M5 t
    Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They
    : j2 \/ b1 g: V0 K+ pexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of4 }2 g4 O7 r$ |& ?5 W3 M) Q( g
    the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved
    8 G: s$ C; Y* r3 _' P3 ppowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and
    8 H' }  {+ ^$ X7 |  z& Pother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth
    ! W+ W# P2 _. ^' ?1 nfifinger[1].
    6 l% T, m2 [+ _6 y* hThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller& @2 E9 H( f7 D; H  S' K7 [) S
    animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem
    1 o/ c9 O, b+ r% |1 [- U1 pbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they
    ! ^1 D4 R5 ]7 i' \9 |would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and8 N. v6 e1 \/ r8 k" M3 Y1 J
    strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived  G! i( _' W6 L- D& @, [
    in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates." f4 v6 o: f8 o$ p
    Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.# W% g  a) C0 b) X  ^) b
    Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,
    ! D  r6 C$ e) M7 a$ H) Hand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on
    " @/ B) G) l4 t- Tall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and
    , o. K! ?) i8 H8 Gfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil
    ) d6 J; J6 N# x; w! ]trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].% u: A2 o( s/ X  f# p  t3 g
    Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which, F, [" \+ `/ `: X% j9 o
    covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have
    . `) B' j: G" }  [  vhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug7 X; [9 @) p' s, {4 i6 m8 S: G4 ]/ z. F
    gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de
    % ~- S& @- p- Y/ d% jriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning
    ) n6 v( }$ D# ~# q% t, F* {calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded, C  `+ {+ q9 c3 G
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec' m* ^0 E* p$ v, \) U5 v4 ]
    tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones
    $ H4 }- r/ H! a/ s0 `( ^to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from
    ! x9 y; X  i; |the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including( i8 b# m) D) C" [- l* j& X4 }0 M
    Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least
    0 w+ b) T8 ]8 ^& G: R0 Cnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong+ p9 ?7 o  y8 g5 f
    1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.
    4 w' X( W: S; ^' f; N$ y0 E8 u8 ~The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled
    5 o8 J: v: x) wat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded
    7 f- ?  r! y6 n& pthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,
    : a/ s  W8 f" y; r6 E, g) C: u1 W( {Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able: _, r6 K: {6 D! b. T' m
    to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].. j6 m3 ~- _3 x3 {
    However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology
    , W* r7 o) ?! e, v( oof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs
    ' M! ?6 m! l/ t# ]3 tbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,
    2 e5 `$ N, x; nsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that
    1 s- q8 O$ X+ oatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed  _6 y& D+ ~$ `6 f/ l6 }3 [
    for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].
    / H! M. D- ^2 H, iAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.
    " a) @! s+ Z% [0 lIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones) x& r0 X' p& J8 `
    of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage
    3 p* y. L- m2 g. F% k4 Ka bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for
    8 P! j  r* I* ?  c$ n1 G. }5 Mgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded
    ; H- K; N* t% C# hand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as
    9 M9 A: k% A6 j, @* @$ ?quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of
    & c" O  ^# _2 a$ HJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism  o2 ?. A9 z8 H) R( }' r# d3 e
    to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would
    - @7 L5 g% P+ Z- Q! \( ~enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds
    3 A; B: \5 S/ y! K8 m" x1 J$ Y# Hof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].
    - E4 [  J6 t  O& @- o1 nYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the2 O! c3 E1 w' L5 f
    flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and
    ) i7 P4 z# G$ ]0 U( u" yto answer the following questions.
    7 l4 x- g' Q7 Y) X: g) M; w" l1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor9 C  G9 U' o( ^; q+ S
    mal flflight.( i% N; M  @' J
    2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during, A0 ]0 l7 B3 F! M/ T
    normal flflight.. K1 m) ~3 W3 H4 u( j- Q
    3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like2 _. ~+ h4 S& [
    birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively., f- [- x6 L4 m4 r( ?
    References8 c% V0 ^" p, b9 o
    [1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight
    3 m0 P1 l$ }$ EMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.) v2 ~; A4 F$ d8 z
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.
    % B7 o6 T8 z/ t; s; f5 Lhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php
    " L+ u! f% S7 N1 R$ S[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs5 n7 u9 U8 n1 G% H
    Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-
    * E; J; ^/ d4 e: kpterosaurs-had-feathers.html
    3 i' S( G! x" W" J# W[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a2 F$ P5 _6 m" J$ P; N' w+ T6 g3 c! f
    rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)
    ' {5 u; N# i& T' vfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):& s- P1 O/ P$ y
    1983-87.
    ! \. Q# E- |9 u[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust7 g+ c" }9 a$ E. C  E8 D: u
    skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):/ e+ R% |" C4 B# ?" C0 t8 F
    180-84." [8 e- w$ {# S' s
    [6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?9 {% n8 C0 n: B9 j  M
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs
    ( e; ]+ Q+ F/ a; B% {1 Y) {$ ~too-big-to-flfly/4 Q& R- @: l7 J! w" j1 \- [
    [7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology
    : y  x' {6 U8 W( c) yof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.! j' ^8 ~7 H% \; i$ N3 I
    [8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable
    : O0 C% l1 Y& ?: |1 p7 ^air sacs in their wings.% L+ A5 T1 |: g# v9 B" Z2 Y0 F7 v0 z
    https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur1 n  V3 T6 [. g
    breathing-air-sacs
    ' l9 _) y* F( Q) e+ V5 ?[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.
    1 {' M6 m) d3 H. Zhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils2 D) D4 C+ ^1 u, h! {
    research-mark-witton
    8 g$ ^" K  y4 F& w0 q. d[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?
    * \9 b. G0 i3 P) y) w4 m8 L' n% Lhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs
    ' }( x# f2 H+ D" {# gvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/! t/ }4 N) Q9 B" e

    5 t2 i* f- l- g, T# y2022- }5 @+ W( S% c5 T6 v# E
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    + S8 L0 X+ X4 c9 w# Shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    % {, m& H4 Q( l% Z+ s! cProblem B (MCM)0 e1 e+ J( w- N" @
    The Genetic Process of Sequences
    , p% q2 S. }- q7 z4 `0 TSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein
    " R* ]. X: Z% K- W! Qsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of9 S; X+ ?  B- v4 e
    life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their9 Q- e* ]) }( R" V
    nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong' L& `6 A: O% L: k
    evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common! e- x+ U$ ~/ |2 k' a! }6 i4 E3 s
    ancestral sequence[2].$ k6 O* K8 ?; W1 C7 L& M6 G/ s
    Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu
    8 l" s$ `8 k  Vcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation/ `( z( L3 A/ |- c" K
    arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and/ m# W) f1 D: U% @' m) L
    deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by3 X6 O) Y- O. J
    the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together6 J4 S% ^4 Y. G2 A! L- k
    can form a family, and they are considered homologous.# e8 X8 G( M( f/ }* J
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com
    4 h1 Z) J. E4 H$ {# kplete the following problems.
    ! I8 z, L( I( M" B: Y9 a1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between
    : W9 a% B  }' s2 N8 ytwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.
    ! [% h2 _& h7 F2 s8 x. U, p2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and4 j4 Q5 q# l. e, H' H
    design suitable examples to illustrate it.
    / c$ z  c  [& e( r! p5 u6 n3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an, H% [% g8 j& d* F
    cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral' \7 g4 G9 r! f0 ^7 c: f% ]) n6 W
    sequence, and map the genealogical tree.% Z3 M$ U; s6 d+ z
    References
    4 Z3 W) T9 {" m, \0 W5 x* O[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re
    ' e' K, y3 G# l* X" \. `view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.0 t% y& {) s( [
    [2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,, P' }! q4 W5 H4 Z$ _) U" ^
    et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and1 k& a0 W' B5 B8 n
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.
    2 A, Y$ E0 Y, M, U, e2 ]/ ~+ v* O! X
    2022  m) i7 M8 W9 N+ x
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    0 R; m/ w1 n7 xhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    ) r8 O5 g" n, z3 V& _1 o& {- cProblem C (ICM)
    , g7 X; x# s8 v  M! CClassify Human Activities! B0 N" C9 L( l/ y
    One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and5 d5 U  @  C# k
    monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im
    % J/ g! u8 e- d- H4 d0 ^6 @' Oprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor3 Z2 C0 I; _, h7 s
    ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ
    - ~* e+ W: J8 M! d5 {# rity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly# \: Y8 k+ |: u" E
    remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],
    6 s1 v  K' y% Smedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in
      a1 P& ~- X7 A2 E" L1 K! N  v% Qschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,
    ; R1 {8 t7 x7 k) w$ x0 }3 }sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain9 h. o/ Y" I" j- y9 `. T
    ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial
    , |% f6 o% S9 j+ h2 V* i6 \sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify  Z. O2 z0 K6 O$ ~# d
    human activities, the following data were obtained.
    # K/ u* r$ r7 |/ |Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,
    7 d9 T7 v+ y9 I7 Q8 n% c$ u0 r' wbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes2 Q9 R" v9 D2 P5 R5 L$ z
    for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ' P' n' |- S3 X- }+ v. C
    ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be* x+ H) A9 P: K) a+ v& w
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and& u- Z+ e. K6 f/ {
    amplitudes of some activities.7 @/ n5 a1 k0 b+ H" A5 F# q
    Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.
    + D: ]: n, l1 a0 y  h7 NThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal
    5 Q. J' u5 ]6 Z* l: j& Ssegments are obtained for each activity.
    % p2 @; I& O0 T$ aThe 19 activities are:- p8 @1 I3 j; e* h
    1. Sitting (A1);4 B) x1 e1 }- L* |! Z
    2. Standing (A2);
    9 K9 [) n; S* |: o' t5 X# f3. Lying on back (A3);
    7 C: w& B. l% }( {& `/ F4. Lying on right side (A4);
    - @% a5 H6 C% g5. Ascending stairs (A5);0 `, h# R3 C/ k3 X0 `
    16. Descending stairs (A6);6 D7 A' S' ^" {! G
    7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);+ ^, g+ I" L* f4 V$ X% `
    8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);9 A7 y0 `: D1 C5 x. k
    9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);$ T3 Q! J2 a4 o* J
    10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg
    ' v; c! T8 ~& \% X1 ainclined positions (A10);
    & p& _; [2 h+ R6 m11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions
    ( s9 i  M, f* \' ~! b* e& B(A11);* [6 r9 I6 F, ?7 E
    12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);& c; n, {- @4 x7 z9 r
    13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);9 l1 l3 X5 \9 x) @" d) d" s1 B- X
    14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);' x# S) v0 q& ~3 R
    15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);; k, |, @. L6 s* R, E: U) y% M, B
    16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);! ~2 p* R7 _3 W6 V' H& [. |
    17. Rowing (A17);
    2 X6 A- z8 [" j- h18. Jumping (A18);3 ?0 f+ @/ A8 J$ b. f7 j3 {
    19. Playing basketball (A19).4 z% \  R& i8 h+ r) r3 Z% R
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve& q) ?! N4 [2 q7 E
    the following problems.
    4 V$ W* g0 e" l. T7 v7 i1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify2 @8 ]( Z- g1 U* w
    the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.
    $ [6 g3 S. t! c; F: T9 K2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have) N& ^% Y* X: j3 F3 A
    a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study+ U" J; E: D+ a1 M9 [5 X1 A; l# Q
    and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to. D1 p5 K; V2 y$ ~
    evaluate the generalization ability of your model.% r0 s* l+ e  N9 j
    3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-  K5 M3 ~6 O9 h
    cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action1 W, t* V9 M) q
    classifification.: M( F0 ]- `& u
    The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:3 D, ?, V* T  V
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq
    0 l/ q1 J% A' V, S! t# r2Appendix: File structure
    ! U; ]5 K5 F9 j  V7 D/ O• 19 activities (a)* ]7 h" h; w( h+ J) b+ E, [
    • 8 subjects (p)# E6 h4 a% o# d
    • 60 segments (s), u# ?8 ]* ]5 c) V& ~
    • 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left+ J8 O7 ~5 h- |4 `4 @3 e. ?
    leg (LL)
    % h, m7 u9 ^' y8 o& z+ H: `1 ^• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z# k% n6 d# |  s
    magnetometers)
      B, _$ P$ ]/ lFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.* m0 |) `" c8 \3 x2 C& }
    For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the2 q9 {$ l' `3 `* n6 w8 V
    8 subjects.
    : x3 |9 c) @0 j9 C& J" Z6 o+ \# O4 jIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each
    - l0 O, t9 n/ o0 W+ w1 D; ssegment.
    0 F6 Z. P* w" |  B  _( \5 Q' rIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25
    3 c7 Q  s* A. h) m1 cHz = 125 rows.
    1 ^. [6 n/ v' @* ]8 c  ZEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the
    0 u/ T' x! _# u( t6 a1 n8 B$ ysensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.
    ) E% E8 o  ^8 ]3 ]! D2 I0 r& \0 JEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular2 e9 q2 H9 L& b% @
    sampling instant separated by commas.
    0 h6 ^% i$ b' aColumns 1-45 correspond to:
    ' H4 ]$ v  O6 \/ A# r% y# u• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,
    4 H+ q0 _, w  f. K# u• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,1 w4 ?" ^! A0 _2 P5 e' u/ x
    • LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,3 y9 p+ v& b( J
    • RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag," f5 D% x# x4 g* _0 J* a+ m$ m
    • LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag., }8 {1 V, C" }8 D5 [
    Therefore,
    9 j8 j' f: ?2 l4 D/ r• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),% b8 x% H7 D2 |. I) I; \2 z
    • columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),
    + }7 U! J/ C/ A3 A7 z: {• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),$ `. u5 h$ Y% L; a) d
    • columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),& G; g; G' u& _4 o" [4 Z8 f" Z
    • columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).' U& u- m0 v! A" G# g3 Z5 c% e
    3References
    2 f' ^5 c% W+ e9 _( J4 W" k[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic
      ?" a) z; M* {0 L# o) Jdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.
    $ b* O  p$ _  X6 ~42(5), 679-687, 2004: `6 w' I3 J- B( {4 a
    [2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of
    * b2 }1 E0 M7 E. v! Elow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.
    1 t9 X1 E( e/ h3 ~7 ^- v& wGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008) p5 A; }$ ]; V5 A# I+ I- e
    [3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag- c3 [, ]5 Q4 I. \
    nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.
    + n5 V* G) P) T. P* y  T8 PB. 11(5), 553-562, 20078 }: A1 V( w2 x4 S# ~! C5 v
    [4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con/ I7 W- t# m/ l  U# D
    trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20087 Z# E* z# S2 _( R/ |% `
    1 p1 e$ c  ?( x8 A( n$ s  s
    20225 [4 X* x7 A! \& a9 Z
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    3 U/ T0 n6 P" thttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn; Y1 D3 F# z$ K3 L
    Problem D (ICM)+ }, B5 {# V1 _
    Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long
    ! z' Y& _  {6 pTime7 ?0 a  {5 J' R! c5 ~  L
    Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the! \( N' Z1 f# G% s3 `
    2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source
    4 R2 B: o2 E. m4 Sof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently
    1 i0 e# I2 e2 [9 z" ?tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,
    , `! ~$ i4 k& O( qwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some$ C# z. l2 X6 b8 n+ R0 J5 ?% v
    scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak0 v- I9 g+ d/ T0 X; ~4 B, Z
    ends.
    1 ]( K# k. P& a$ m' q1 x' f- ZHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?8 @$ L( @- x( U' ]  y# c  y5 O
    Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas
    " O. y: s- C. W+ wothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo8 Z2 T5 N6 x4 Z+ s6 j
    ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could
    % x2 p7 u7 I: J# Q+ H$ Vcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil
      z9 b: F6 o" T$ `# C# Z  |lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of
    : \8 t9 U0 B  HEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.
    ( I3 g8 A, \- y3 \" Z1 }A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology! L) A& S$ w! p
    in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their
    " o! v9 Z3 C: r* s' c: jsmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have
    " m5 ?' S; ]1 V4 W, H+ {7 T! ]identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with# K$ v1 ^  I/ E
    all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing7 k4 p4 f0 E, s6 Z  A7 H, T( t* {
    almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen
    1 E5 N* O; h- Kfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 303 B7 Z% {% a. e# j/ a7 B
    November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in
    4 g  }/ d# E  F& F/ _( DYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in
    ' S8 E) G7 T& w) [: {Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife* A8 A/ J; T* }# c+ s
    trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature7 |0 F& F/ H: C6 J5 j, G
    when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact
    9 i" H7 Q8 G' \% N" I* j. N  n8 x. Zwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients9 B8 ]1 \: `4 o1 [( D+ B) }3 x. `4 F
    are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.
    & w/ n) x( S! c! N4 J( iWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:
    ( Y6 O/ b: W: ]% ]0 Y; {" E1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS
    " b7 ]; w$ `$ Z' O) |; Youtbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL
    . z$ M9 G9 e, K" F/ x• Decline and extinction of populations9 k+ T  n1 I; ]2 z9 c- B5 \0 Y
    • Introduction of invasive species
    * h7 u4 Q* H, a- n, e& @/ T7 h7 L4 n8 d• Spread of new diseases to humans
    6 H. ~5 z0 A6 a, |; G/ U- UWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database9 l* _% A) n" X" z% \1 f1 @6 n: g
    contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The! y9 t9 b0 W. {' \. \* O8 P
    appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete& n* b! N1 t5 V7 j
    database can also be obtained through the following link:9 X; \/ |" \; |& J4 k
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ3 _& X5 Q/ C' E3 y& C
    Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod- ?9 q# e; _/ J9 @8 E* K: L
    els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:3 i- \8 S7 Z( H( q! p
    1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live* M8 a7 \: k, N5 R" q0 ~
    animals taken from the wild)?
    6 o3 ^/ a. C6 Z9 A2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?  V" z. x5 w5 L: l: D
    3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?* ~: n5 K9 b7 S% I8 J
    4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major3 J' g7 O) W5 }' ], M' t
    infectious diseases?4 `5 ~1 v# A. e5 i1 r1 Y; B
    25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it
    ( B9 ]4 a# [0 U' B8 Awill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?
    3 F' u, j1 F' \" I4 U( [: l6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain% f) K# ]. a6 W0 B4 b+ s; n+ r8 o
    your views and policy suggestions.9 n' v1 `+ Y* y: ^9 M0 S

    5 S/ Y% V" e- V/ A1 d9 j# g1 h
    # }% t( A4 m( r5 c' Z) B. x; q" M& C" I5 l: V

    8 C" x7 E! u: z! _* J
    3 \% T) D3 ], ]3 J% h1 T3 j; Q1 e
    / |! [* f+ B/ k- V) _

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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