2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 ' ^* }6 ?. E; i# x& U
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx 5 `$ _. P) B. Z1 b7 W+ C) r9 [ $ l' z8 K5 }6 {; E+ U3 ]20224 G+ d- W J8 x
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling & ?/ }( p( c) f9 Ehttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn % |0 z! w6 u4 D% m# pProblem A (MCM); }% [3 e) ~' ^! P! b" z) D
How Pterosaurs Fly 1 @* {+ T9 J1 X' ~; K: i# S# gPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They 0 O! Y+ J% d% u; g, R( @; cexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 9 K" M. w0 a. \, U M6 @the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved F: F v7 O! P! C& Y S, _
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 2 x. ^$ g! \0 qother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth ) n1 K+ W) A) V! y- K4 efifinger[1]. ' ?1 B9 p% H& D2 ?There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller5 Z G+ ^+ E. m! Q" R
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem $ ?# L& d# Y+ k& v3 J/ n5 abranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they " P! q, g$ q8 J% Gwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and ) l8 b8 u6 h. R) [ S" m( Tstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived" C% ~' r! g( O! j$ C
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.& B4 Z) L: B$ u3 b) B8 i
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. ; J8 U4 M. \; `; x1 a) GPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,# T+ f3 D0 Z1 ~6 i: `
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on% p( O8 w. e. m, u7 h Q
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and ; [) u# o0 L, J' T( ifolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil0 H3 K5 ~& q+ h4 n0 r+ e# c
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 0 O6 t5 B9 J! R5 J0 z0 t+ \) RPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which/ H1 @0 E" ]; S4 L, A
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 4 O8 F, y+ ?* T! a/ b) `- Bhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug' b: }4 w4 b* |) P }
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de$ L. ]" E1 @. p. k( M
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning 6 `9 T% {5 j' l3 |* L; _! u1 ycalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded2 P) Q4 }- ] t$ l3 M
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec( j9 c+ J G' _* @; J
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones3 N# _* f! X& B2 D8 l+ V
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from 3 W& p! l8 V7 _/ K; s% N. nthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including' s7 ?+ E# m3 V
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least, R- T* L2 S" i6 P/ k9 ?
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong . k$ d0 n# \& A1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.# y+ i" ?! t3 e' |
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled L2 }0 z8 N% Fat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded; h0 ^ m6 m& ?8 L& B9 q
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,$ f y, V8 k" C9 O# D# b, A
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able, y8 u E" g8 B+ O* q
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]." t; s' O4 a# | @; Z
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology, @$ v& k- x2 ~, Q
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs7 H0 g8 `& f' s8 T3 B
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, - m5 j- n% I6 G9 T8 ^; A; zsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that - X4 p$ P8 l# vatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed , n* m. X) z0 Dfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. ) q s7 ?% J: _1 P6 O, i& v" HAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. j0 z- b$ R: |, j5 L
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones% Z6 a+ o; J6 v1 i7 k
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage) `: j! u) I' m6 V3 q2 H! L4 H \0 X
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for0 y4 ~& F7 ?# @, i& k
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded n; }2 f, d6 Q/ M v: R% H1 fand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as % ^3 _2 R9 @, d6 K! S7 [quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of$ ?- ?9 e8 P, s& Q" \' ]1 k
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism - X+ {0 L: r- A) ^$ q/ c: ?to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would * `; _' z: N D3 Senable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds * p% r+ }3 S! q0 e! Fof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].9 l& r0 x( k \: L
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the$ k! G: h% e( S. |" H
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and& v3 j# Y' [% G9 ^$ X& l
to answer the following questions." M+ D3 `" e( p1 X
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor ' r) g6 @% E/ a( T$ y- bmal flflight.# U" C1 _& @: k6 p3 E4 y B }4 ?2 \
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during. ~. C- ^$ Y9 O1 f: Y
normal flflight. : k) n1 {( i( Y7 L; f; m3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like ) X* `! s1 I5 t+ C) Pbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.0 |2 o4 M) g+ L& { K
References, s' t2 L& h. N
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight/ n2 } l0 f: |" n: Z* I' q
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.! L4 ^2 f! O* ?; a: v& K3 D6 k
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.2 C' ]2 m G! g
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php0 ` D" `& O- c6 o& y& M" y& S
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs + f5 m2 ^0 ?1 M8 u5 G9 a* \1 EWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-6 Q. ^5 T" r9 m7 V- J3 ~
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html7 @( K7 [' c% }" h
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a( ]. ^2 p; d- W/ A" C+ S, _, {% j, k
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) 1 P1 _: @+ _ z/ r; Efrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 2 F9 X9 A) r2 o$ b; o1983-87. 2 Z4 s. u Q4 k/ ][5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust! M1 r+ A4 m+ c" i9 _9 L
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 0 a, e/ Y; h4 _ c7 o }# @& |: Y180-84. 3 \; h+ c0 U5 |* m; E' a[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?# N( ~0 j) q4 e2 ?
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs $ _( W' M" O" [8 g. S. o2 g" S* a8 Rtoo-big-to-flfly/8 c2 {$ B( A7 }
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology" P+ |/ m, W% w) i& r0 z
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.. G* L& h E4 t- }1 A
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable# P! o) }# T4 Q. S: [' p
air sacs in their wings. # I& y) n7 }9 K ahttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur / i m0 F4 C2 Z- [" O! Lbreathing-air-sacs( ?/ e; a/ X3 s5 T9 x
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. ! U6 q- C, z$ v* i5 khttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils , I! c# L" h1 f; sresearch-mark-witton. @, T; o8 R2 @7 A2 J
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?" @* J4 c. S7 F: B0 m. N
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs. D* @1 W" K+ y8 p; L$ p8 T7 T0 U
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/2 q+ a0 R0 J- e: N0 T$ K: }) g9 T
# x G8 d% d2 o# r2 W9 ^8 F0 Z- ?20228 F; _* c. D! P' k
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling q1 p9 P& s4 ]8 f% `3 O- d" Ahttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn ( I& X* Q( p5 T' O. nProblem B (MCM) . p8 r. R$ K& w# n- W& SThe Genetic Process of Sequences & K3 t: H. v, u1 I9 U3 MSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein" `4 c: V8 M* y% M1 y2 M" p
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of7 s: E. r8 z, B2 A7 Q
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their ( D3 Y4 _, V6 h7 {' Knucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong3 ? Z |6 y* d- |" U/ s; k+ g0 }
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common 7 ?0 @( h i- H- yancestral sequence[2].( P: p) _! E9 m8 g) B) M
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu8 n5 }2 v. X4 M5 f. l$ K6 c- C% {
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 2 Q9 h. e' E2 @. [arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and y5 H, J. i" P5 U% [! q
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by% _9 ]# u$ @" O, l& n, h
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together ) A/ d0 U+ P7 F' }4 xcan form a family, and they are considered homologous.% B& H( y. U9 j/ V l) }/ m
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 1 x: ?5 `' ~5 Y& r" y$ jplete the following problems., @6 J" T) b: X6 s
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between: B. Y* g; f: J4 j4 v, r6 W7 I* B
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.7 v# B; L3 m. Z* w5 J; H. {5 }
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 9 }8 K: u: c1 c# z1 ?& Y, K$ Tdesign suitable examples to illustrate it. 3 o' H( d* Q i3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an $ x( D4 q1 ~' ~! J. b' f& Ycestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral . P T" M* ]5 B1 }, G! X n6 f9 W Csequence, and map the genealogical tree.) J z5 Y5 c8 I. p, s2 @5 P
References ( j$ P7 z+ Y) C3 K. O[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re8 c' [. B s4 C1 Z/ i
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. 8 Y' b8 e( s; O! ]6 ?0 j3 y! C2 a9 @[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,- s0 ]: [ k) U: S9 P! c( y8 P
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and % e: s7 E3 M1 L, {; {3 ua way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 6 U- r. W6 u, \1 H, w, d' b7 g, p
2022 $ h# G' }) p, q" u% _Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling# Q0 A$ l) M* [, C. J% z9 j
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn' W* I7 Q7 k8 q
Problem C (ICM) 0 W8 X" `5 t, U6 qClassify Human Activities $ l7 }! t, {; z8 K. x! x$ b9 e) HOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and & F4 o- i9 i$ f! B' R2 e- J# smonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im * M# Z, x% [+ T8 q4 u9 W2 P' mprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor% S6 F# _2 w- B. z
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ7 ]1 _; `- h' M$ {
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly 9 x! o" @: A8 E; R' g1 z4 Uremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], / R) x0 T& L0 a+ c6 W6 ]+ G2 qmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in6 k, m% b8 ^6 x
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, * }/ h4 u$ [4 b# J! }# A6 C* lsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain( M1 R$ B' n( V) Y ]" ?1 |- L
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial 6 F6 F; t b4 | o$ p& Rsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify; V2 w2 `8 U, Y4 I
human activities, the following data were obtained.7 ]( y2 H% p; R# T) g. v/ S; S
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,, c% H1 J: u* g5 r0 N
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 8 b6 e# ^- N: S: rfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ/ f$ T9 |( J" J" K: D
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be4 _# `1 t$ v" D
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and 2 D7 b6 H* m1 S. Qamplitudes of some activities. F0 N+ [0 {) T- K8 Y
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.3 T) M9 ]) z- P9 B, m
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal2 i& \9 T! N3 J/ [, Z
segments are obtained for each activity.2 B5 L1 t7 A0 A
The 19 activities are: - f/ i, s( s y* @) `1. Sitting (A1); ' V2 ?7 ]( N. i) Q3 B* f9 u8 A/ X9 v2. Standing (A2); . D" g4 |, Y" {0 t: s2 }: Z3. Lying on back (A3); o ?0 L( t3 ?; e' x; w4 P" m: j
4. Lying on right side (A4); - i, A# |, o H q( g: E5. Ascending stairs (A5); 9 z1 i' z6 ~1 T- V16. Descending stairs (A6);6 [4 D" W6 I E5 ~7 ?
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);& T) l. ?% T4 O" L3 D
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);! T$ w: U& T' q9 [
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); . `5 t7 P8 T2 D0 _10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg- n$ y$ A4 F2 t7 U2 C( f
inclined positions (A10);8 t5 l) I4 D- r
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions) C6 F1 c% h4 t" H. @0 ]
(A11); " h. D1 Y, x9 ~12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); / Q$ G+ A+ |4 B$ n8 E# [13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);+ y& j+ b' G# n, J
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);% Q+ l# _) ~* u& C" V. S
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); & {6 x( M& Q2 ]' F6 R8 b1 \& d16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);) \. z! T# f7 t1 B& h" D
17. Rowing (A17);* a- i$ l- @3 m$ N6 S! ^
18. Jumping (A18); & g) n2 p( r5 e. A7 p19. Playing basketball (A19). 4 o" |4 m) ~$ cYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve6 |1 e8 V9 p# ?! V" ]* V4 n
the following problems. * G( N0 ?3 ?# o" o1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify% _; T+ m: @9 t( ~5 V$ U
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. " K+ B* V( ? ~2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have* I, k5 b3 ^: J
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study + n3 r% g8 Z& a9 J5 L6 xand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 6 p3 n+ p. C! Xevaluate the generalization ability of your model. D, t. Z8 ]1 m) H2 w8 x+ l
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-! ?2 h7 w: X% j2 {/ C; V
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action) J/ R& z E5 ^7 ~1 ?4 K+ L9 L' j
classifification., I# R2 a- G+ }4 Z) y5 z: ~5 n( D
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:/ _+ I* v1 ]) c$ C- G3 ]3 K
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq9 z1 T& _5 c. w$ U
2Appendix: File structure& N3 k7 {2 d( Y- |* v
• 19 activities (a) . V$ j4 | G3 M# c9 N- j• 8 subjects (p) % m4 U5 p5 J, B6 f5 `. {' S- y* L• 60 segments (s) 8 h# L. d: n: V" B9 s' d• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left ! N+ R" ~! p* \ Xleg (LL)+ P+ f$ }; s, M2 \, k
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z : n- e& Y4 M; W" V- y# {# Pmagnetometers) / {7 d5 ^" m. s& I; y- OFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. ' R- \9 g+ i3 B+ @" c% xFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the; H5 e6 w' w4 I6 Q Y
8 subjects.* \2 d8 [+ c+ l) J$ C
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each( D5 R S6 y' }- l1 G9 E4 \/ e# _
segment. : G+ Y: w. R7 a2 GIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25; G; A$ H; w2 H8 a3 O
Hz = 125 rows. : Q2 l2 b1 `1 H$ pEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the / V N; ^' C* |2 Ksensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.) E8 ]. n% Z. ~$ Z0 Z1 m
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular ) h- J- ?) Q& |# K, C- K# \1 P7 Fsampling instant separated by commas. ! g) z i( s( u# D9 PColumns 1-45 correspond to: M0 a+ E8 p. G, e• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, 6 O2 }# }: F0 M- \• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, * n" V/ R; P2 ]# g# `• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,3 w+ a2 [- \! s6 f$ @) v
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,- H# \5 B$ w- k, R
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. 2 Q2 ~/ N [% `$ UTherefore, * s; k$ o/ d4 A1 b D• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), ! Q; `5 @8 g( ^• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),5 f( h- k! d. @" B& Q7 z0 B5 J2 P' L1 r
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),8 p, s) t7 ?6 R0 z% c
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),. A$ S5 J# A9 h$ a5 M9 q4 p
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 5 C2 |, S8 V! Q) t! M3References, A. m6 J, j4 J9 J
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic - l7 g$ X; d& p0 N" p3 qdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. $ x! H) u) Z4 y42(5), 679-687, 2004 5 ]+ m. h: c# Q[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of5 u7 l0 V% \8 m% l/ Q; b7 T. E
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. x$ E# x+ [7 A$ B4 G! N0 E1 ~5 y
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 + H% Z; a0 q" \/ O* b1 P2 p# J. ][3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag 0 @# f5 K6 z% P& {+ p- {nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol./ F0 Q' [& M% u+ f
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007: B" v* M% B9 N) r! M
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con ( k! q* c6 i$ C* o+ ^6 Strol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008# C- Q, y: f: A3 Z+ O8 ?; G
+ f6 p9 K5 `/ `0 z! S
2022 7 ~; k( b W, t1 ?8 Q0 [Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling; M+ v# }( s6 o \* y! v
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn # b6 N j* y% n3 `$ }1 MProblem D (ICM)- J. `/ x" ^1 g/ U
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long : Y4 b% J+ n( qTime + D% A( o6 k: Z# S% g$ l1 E, h; ZWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the ) D* E- g, {( j1 O2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source 8 ?+ g1 j' u5 ^( J) P, Eof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently5 b* w: `- M3 _* k2 l
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,! h# f3 Y! U+ D* C8 s0 I, G b8 L
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some* Y* h) H* c v! b% `
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 4 a: f2 g& E# c a' f8 h3 Mends. . P2 ?/ F- H- H7 CHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?- |$ Y. i+ h, V. O( q) L, [
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas$ d) s) B$ n( M) q7 ?; d
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo" ?- ~$ H+ F1 ?2 W3 }% y
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could; {2 _/ S' h% ~/ k: |8 T) g6 e
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil% d/ w- E9 C7 _- A5 v9 q7 _8 |
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of. v0 P( q6 ?' ^! \& H
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.4 ^& Z8 a- s+ W6 e
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology * `+ q$ r0 N0 ]7 M. xin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their( ]3 U2 t9 P/ @0 \0 B+ s: z5 A
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have 9 W; O- V3 \" [. b5 qidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with% k9 _5 d$ M5 s; E! {
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing2 i: i& U% i- t0 w/ t" f
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen . |; B6 i+ q' {3 d1 F5 yfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 q! c1 \: j& l- _ V P7 Y
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in / o4 s% [- Q7 I, U+ eYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in $ p) y) X) d' qGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife" `5 ~% l; Z* U1 e/ p" o7 t+ M
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature+ _" M f# V' I, W& x( G
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact $ C7 ?3 _: I+ Y2 {& v4 twith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients) T- s4 q4 ~, w8 p
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. : L- V3 s3 a( Z- F7 dWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: / V/ R1 v2 P; `7 e- g9 ]1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS ( Z; t% ?' T2 J5 joutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL$ x( |6 A) g# |
• Decline and extinction of populations) h1 x: O# _. t- y
• Introduction of invasive species & }% x4 j6 R- Q2 @$ }• Spread of new diseases to humans ( D3 Y0 T) G/ IWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database 3 C8 ^, G* A( Ocontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The 6 o/ j$ j2 S: f K( H. e" kappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete+ s' S, k0 j( w& V% p
database can also be obtained through the following link: 1 a2 f3 o% r8 [8 t( Whttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ# s. F4 D4 z* w
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod# n$ O5 \* Q7 L+ o) z9 f) ^
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:$ c( N6 }1 ~- c& S2 W f. p) h( }
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live4 [" g0 P0 A4 M7 ~: X9 K! s
animals taken from the wild)? : k& V$ o( [! z; q; ~2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? 9 a/ Q1 P6 h, h* }1 A" ]$ x3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?2 [( f( N. M, A! g6 G
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major& t' J \& C. z* B9 z9 W
infectious diseases? : ^2 e1 e" p3 j/ j$ B/ l2 S1 P25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it D V0 U, \% g. P8 x3 n6 O$ @will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? / |+ B8 p$ o* J6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain ) S& k) P% N# i4 l4 }" y, W9 X6 o( H# Cyour views and policy suggestions. # h) X& g$ C( m% Q A( H' K 9 I9 R* T, ^8 V6 E, P# i 3 T o2 L) _8 S, h5 }2 G & B P" ]% Q* n' @+ ~* B5 N ' c! u6 f9 O9 h# C! V& E: C# J6 \" d+ ^( |
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