2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 o8 x! ]0 f. a( N
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx1 K+ ^3 B7 e. m# T+ ?$ k3 f: `4 q
' F# d; |. f2 A* ^ p _2022 ( X5 `% Y' Q: G! fCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling; L3 I3 H! L, Z4 D
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn1 ^. Z" }+ [; M: F, w+ K
Problem A (MCM)- o ]* }% M0 [ h% o/ ]
How Pterosaurs Fly# f, N5 Y" G0 l7 s7 o) X* L
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They 9 X* g& _3 p; L$ B) f1 Wexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of8 [& ]. o/ p' q+ H
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved * ~* [0 C" O! m0 Z* }powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 1 y, W3 W$ H% A0 k* k# `7 Dother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth9 U1 \' w$ \9 y* F
fifinger[1].# j- L" r4 `1 |0 O/ y' [
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller ; j4 B, i' J5 }" T$ k; d: Sanimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem D* u$ c0 U/ X; ?branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they H! q: N! @/ z# V: [* fwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and 9 l5 w3 P- i! \strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived, z z& C( [! e* S4 _
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates." L/ R( T( a3 i/ |, Y/ h
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. ' z' r2 c, H% `4 aPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, & G5 v& m# E2 Z% J# dand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on. e) k6 e/ g! B; R. Q- V4 [
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and4 b" i6 ?* N% s( e4 n) W& q9 g
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil/ Z4 z# j- b7 {9 Y9 f
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. ' Y6 `, J% }$ \Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which ' z2 F6 Q4 U6 Y1 G5 ycovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have " O# q9 s+ i- l* d9 P9 k, U. lhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug5 {5 u" k: k! O/ e H/ E0 I
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de' x4 U# B- \( \! ^
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning " X3 Y5 V, E! C$ f4 ?# ^- P3 F- m$ bcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded 2 G6 L* M% r1 {8 k. V) ^(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec 8 v0 X4 u4 c) Stional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 5 _" x0 V* @+ ]: [( f) _7 w' @' ato an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from , I6 h/ \& h Zthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including . c" y; G2 o6 |6 V; ~. c* tQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least 7 Q+ m3 r1 ]. i/ Q: }nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong & s: T" L% E+ \% q# @' w" }1 I9 l4 [1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.. |) g g/ e( U5 y; N' P
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled / @$ |" e$ U0 U9 V! ~ wat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded ; y" s$ n6 d- E( G9 e% M8 Q' c3 mthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, 4 E$ ~* R1 q& B* L- d3 C, \Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able9 C9 U: O [' |! ^5 X8 N+ x. C/ K z
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. + Q" f! P' K+ _3 B6 y& f7 v4 u4 sHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology/ v, W" I1 |4 ]/ d% ]" o
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs7 B/ a! n( c d1 X+ W- d% H
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,/ q6 x8 {$ ?. {2 {8 m- D" \1 A( N
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that- F4 h" D% m4 A$ C# a
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed: D F3 }" |3 n' F' i
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. ( t2 L7 p4 ^' A7 i# Y$ n4 dAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. g7 J0 R* J# J5 y; O
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones 6 |. o$ [0 c- B+ {: Kof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage 2 }* E5 D7 f+ I* E( La bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for- j5 m' D+ Y3 v$ m- D
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded8 Q- H$ s8 ^+ L5 _9 y4 W8 ]' C5 g
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as4 t7 u9 q. I% P4 M
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of & g! v4 y D1 n5 `- X# \9 VJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism' v% c, `) ? e1 M& O
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would # ` [" B3 ~! V, @6 S* V% Fenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds3 n" Z& y) A2 C5 t( e( Z. l- n
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].( V, B: O7 V- N" b8 }( v* j
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the + L2 y: ]/ |- R* yflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and1 k+ u* t' H J' v0 r
to answer the following questions.7 Y2 p/ h" k1 b- E
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor 7 g- x' E& f7 F- f e9 Omal flflight. $ \, N* [6 c; f2 i" P' J- R2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during 8 Y9 C$ J% z8 Q/ A, ? znormal flflight.; v$ _% U/ J9 h1 D8 d. g
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like( h" H V, U2 @5 _, D2 p7 {( r
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.8 B: H& c( Q# b+ M# H
References6 \$ c' b5 K. _5 u0 e
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight# e7 m7 K. H( h) F j8 g
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.: u# D3 ?# U: e/ i5 Y
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.4 \3 s9 w" R6 p) ~; G
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php " u" G2 \. F0 S; _4 P! }* B3 C[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs ; O& N5 c" a9 l! ~* _* I3 xWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-* E# [% E9 ]& }! q& m1 Z9 w8 Y; e
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html , U' V. ?3 `) |[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a3 w6 U1 B9 |) x4 L
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)% A) ^3 y/ n8 F7 G& E8 V
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): / @1 f# C y" I1983-87.9 c4 ]0 Y4 _1 D9 g" ]
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust- f8 r" D. f. J# D, R
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):7 f7 F7 p- k' i1 ^0 _/ ~
180-84.# D% i! F& R* P" X8 a
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?: B. U5 U0 X3 E* c
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs 5 f; c9 H& c. u& G$ z7 f+ j: Z1 u atoo-big-to-flfly/4 n% ^4 s# h; P( w
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology" a0 t5 o( m) e" |
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.7 x3 x8 B. V; }
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable/ C) c" y% |; ` _ u9 A
air sacs in their wings. 8 R0 J; N9 G0 w. Q$ s8 c, v( _https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur/ u0 ?( K, F$ b& |
breathing-air-sacs 3 j' J, ~3 [' M) `4 }8 R& a9 [" J[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. t& x8 \1 a# a( g9 phttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils1 W+ T9 a S* U5 b1 J4 T
research-mark-witton- O$ J( f( Z- Q2 n7 a2 I
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?2 c) |. o* S( @0 @0 ]- I
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs - s- |+ X) h. rvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ / f9 T4 D7 \& k; U- T0 h# [2 D' p9 u/ Q6 d- M1 b# z
20220 a: K4 `9 o. j9 b0 Z
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling% \" E7 _( V4 B; O/ |$ {
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn7 i _5 [! Z* j }& |, s# o
Problem B (MCM)8 D8 S0 |% e4 P, i) j& ]) c
The Genetic Process of Sequences ; j, Z5 a% x! h# ?3 iSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein/ L/ M6 {5 i8 r W$ c9 D
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of, m4 s7 F9 S$ X: U8 x
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their " F$ }6 a+ h& A1 ?- M1 M" Tnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong 2 {. v: Q4 o" j- gevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common o' ^2 _6 r- |0 t7 R4 h3 rancestral sequence[2]. / ]. H" b( s! w3 E0 i! Q! y' jConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu5 A8 i4 Z7 W* T/ F& s1 Y1 v
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 2 J# k8 l% _' b* m Marise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and / Y" o Y! E; K/ J$ d! E% j2 |deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by* S0 C6 c }7 \- w A
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together8 M3 P t) v0 ^; a
can form a family, and they are considered homologous.8 b# A b4 K& O! f
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com + i8 r1 r. Q) J: ~7 A+ b! Dplete the following problems., Q& C. d7 L: U2 Z6 J
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between / N5 s- T) s7 C3 n/ X* V0 otwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.0 ?; W; p" ~8 C- u/ z3 x" ^
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and% W, v; B! b/ p& q2 S8 @+ J
design suitable examples to illustrate it. / w3 E' S, m c# C2 o3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an+ f: W5 ~; [! L! Q. a n8 k$ K
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral ( P+ i g4 d2 |6 B A% Rsequence, and map the genealogical tree.7 r( ? d( l4 b: L k- ~
References; _6 r- D8 o4 ]& R; u+ S; T2 h, C: K
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re - F a' f/ |- @: Wview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.- e2 V* s1 \$ f/ h
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 3 A. P' V* l" |9 det al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and ) D/ j; r, s' }( y, J, z3 fa way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 6 u# O& [9 D9 L$ F* b$ m4 } B# Z8 H/ P1 ^3 M
2022 7 o8 s( B1 o; D# j! {4 ^Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling `. r% R8 E- H D2 r! ^% V
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 3 N: v! {- ~1 [% e8 C+ F+ x7 d/ xProblem C (ICM)) t4 \- k! Z& M9 S9 o. T! u$ c
Classify Human Activities$ E4 I8 H- e, S
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and3 H6 L b. I9 @+ w/ j! _+ @) U
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im 4 E6 E! V8 ]. g% }6 Yprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor % ]" N# x1 h6 \6 ving, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ0 p% g7 k# [' Y; h4 z
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly* S; M, _; N$ a% i- X
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],' M2 i( G, C) y7 c) \
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in 1 g4 T! [# L* bschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,5 n5 Y: k5 @! L
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain 4 L, {+ ^, d7 y! K* Cment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial 7 Y( N; s# m$ M! e1 e1 ~( tsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify' P/ r! I9 ~: C$ z- \# ?- p
human activities, the following data were obtained.. @. O. |" N% }( H& M
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, 8 j+ @! e2 r, d( a [between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 7 C( a9 B; e# t- Jfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ + B& _1 t! o# Z9 n2 G$ |/ z \, Fities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be + E% R1 D: X F! g% Rperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and: E" ?( N4 {% W/ [, r( u& ^3 J
amplitudes of some activities., |& C3 O* E7 Q
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.' a! e2 f8 [/ G$ J- a3 e
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal ( D2 u/ y2 b+ O! l+ q) `1 T8 R3 Lsegments are obtained for each activity.- a' f+ u; {# K) H$ R( i5 @: E6 T1 r
The 19 activities are:$ p& o: c1 C' J$ W. }
1. Sitting (A1); + I' [' U; K, Y2. Standing (A2);1 r1 v- x6 O; X' H1 I D7 |, w% }, p
3. Lying on back (A3);! m+ Y$ r% h# X# Q6 a" R
4. Lying on right side (A4); - z8 \+ b$ r; _5. Ascending stairs (A5); 6 E$ l8 y- V/ Q8 i: P7 |# S- ?5 A5 l16. Descending stairs (A6); ; U0 o x8 n- ~, b+ o" |: R# o7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); % E, w" G4 E2 A4 Y6 z5 J8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 0 I0 z) A4 Q- ^% m! l$ n9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); " `6 Z! {: t; E: P1 Q3 e& ?, U10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg7 O4 K( n8 E1 c3 Y0 f9 i! a" n7 s
inclined positions (A10); f5 {! Y8 I. P( {% X5 _0 q
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions : G: |0 G q+ I3 A# I8 j(A11); : R6 W; K* n4 ? j12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); ! a/ d& _3 J# x) u13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);; D( A" e; \3 [% m6 G- m7 y) U: T
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 9 A& v& j8 Q5 s+ M1 R0 d* F7 y15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);% w# X+ X4 I; {( m o$ t' X8 `' b; H
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); " Z7 N& P# m: {% I' Y" M( G17. Rowing (A17);# [3 D: s- W. R3 b! k
18. Jumping (A18); , ]( V4 L4 H P) U1 w; t19. Playing basketball (A19). , b4 {, ^0 L. b" E. _Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 5 X8 n7 `; y: M' B+ a* M, _the following problems.0 v7 S7 M" p- ~( K" k5 q
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify ' A8 l0 q+ v* N' d8 {2 ^1 \the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. 8 H9 \) d% T0 H1 d3 g: ^2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have 9 N9 W2 B2 K" ma good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study- U" a8 D# n: u3 N" H: G! e8 ]
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 5 L/ P; G$ d$ \( ]7 Vevaluate the generalization ability of your model.( U) Q8 a0 ?/ G4 S
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-( a5 E! q( z5 x. |0 q
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action 2 L" }0 w6 B2 a! Z0 k: _classifification. " E2 d+ G. |2 Z* Z, a4 QThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:2 M" J& M5 n' N* d* U. X
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq2 B, u2 e% I, J
2Appendix: File structure. V) q* X' j* e! |* V
• 19 activities (a)$ }* ^8 x9 U( I. B
• 8 subjects (p) 8 h- L. C9 d) g: q- m$ g/ s& C• 60 segments (s)) Q1 O. E. n6 W! d$ f
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left5 x2 P3 h) I( ^7 P2 ]1 h9 [. c
leg (LL)/ }8 j- e6 J% E7 d- b! k% j
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z H& b& E1 x4 a* w
magnetometers) ' c, P2 h }8 U4 {1 t: N3 sFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 9 g+ P5 \( C3 ~5 R; n/ DFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the / Q* n& i8 p% Q8 subjects. + Y& Z" D! ]$ S: j6 x) p6 _# |* D" i8 mIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each * S4 S5 }* C/ W6 U Y: @segment.) I7 Y) q$ @5 ^: H, H
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 8 m8 \# q' v/ {4 @Hz = 125 rows. ( \% G H/ G" M! S3 p8 ]Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the - @6 r8 ~% c" r: F$ p7 fsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.0 l8 @$ f, R$ a4 m/ L8 Z( x
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 0 t+ h, j- {8 u& y/ _% Osampling instant separated by commas.: S) k) H" _( {
Columns 1-45 correspond to: ' o, R2 M) K3 d• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,/ V4 f9 p T2 N. w
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, / Q/ E' G' O7 m6 Q. g' e" x3 Q• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,. r7 v7 o2 U/ |, w/ d
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,; X, Y3 M! c8 X% g( T
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.9 x. z+ }5 O& ?# Z
Therefore, " |9 q0 c6 P; Q/ e$ U6 {• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),* F7 F0 g, |/ E: B( Y
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), ( j0 E: I V \- I' X• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),3 X% q& }. v4 i
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), 1 ]5 [0 j: _- R; Y4 i: X• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). _! L& |$ f9 V* |/ P3 G3References5 {2 O9 w/ p) l+ t2 ^
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic3 N' X! N' q6 P3 h% {
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.7 k! @$ Z* q" N0 w
42(5), 679-687, 2004) l* o$ X7 P) e' l4 W% b# B) ~3 W
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of " f* S( Z1 L x) v5 Glow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. , J* u( u; m$ b7 [- K: AGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 4 [3 Y- u/ s$ `* o4 N. }* h; J[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag 4 @& b C A N, a1 Y4 o; Q% d& Knosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. 9 ^, Y: x X9 Q/ G- E( n0 \7 b9 HB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007& c5 q7 V, z9 Y, o2 _9 r
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con( `) b u$ I* q/ F7 g* i3 h
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 + X' x/ \& G: u2 n% k$ l 5 z C7 M& X$ x2022' t3 ~6 M( q: P" `" N4 |5 U
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling P4 V7 F4 f3 `$ k3 shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn , D* V/ u; W" x6 t, Y- ^- e1 N) ^Problem D (ICM)* h3 a j: y% @% F: F0 j: W
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long/ ?* h( t+ F$ C" l5 E7 u+ D
Time+ [! O3 d) q* Y) F9 q- Q2 V/ v& C
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the % i" t- n! G7 M& ~3 k3 G2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source 0 v6 k7 g7 l# C/ E3 xof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently ' A; v6 ^% i8 H: u! g1 o6 w8 | Rtightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, + N* A. a$ M5 bwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some9 V" t& y! x% ^& @5 x
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak # `/ X6 V9 U$ }% s" e) x9 R2 _ends.3 s$ N g$ O7 ~6 c9 a
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? 9 \ k! p7 k! s4 p9 T% J1 O W5 gSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas ! f/ g, k! p1 t+ k4 z4 L2 Pothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo7 x) T% [+ A8 d
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could % }8 U/ w5 \- \6 P& {( ~4 o, icost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil! s; }0 B2 j7 F# k; p
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of3 o) r0 u1 g+ B/ D: ^* M
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing., X* j" k( v3 j2 n c1 D E
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology% ~ \& C3 L2 F# J' x: Y- h6 n
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their+ B! E9 P N2 {' S- C
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have 3 S D7 {# t" widentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with5 c1 A& J+ E( w% x, I4 z
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing ; s- [( A0 g+ R U0 |almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen+ [* \8 n4 `1 g1 W' Q6 p" U
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30+ }1 C# w* `/ x& x( @9 X
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in + b2 l, y8 C# TYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in $ X9 f: D" q. \8 U/ _5 R% WGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife ' Y! O5 j: D3 I3 O- ktrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature1 f6 n. M/ M n7 I
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact ! N2 }9 q: [- F2 kwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients - s3 D1 d2 D0 j3 N/ ^are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. ) e3 X; W* Y( R5 H! Q5 gWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:# O( c) U7 B- j: Q7 z( ?$ R
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS! l) L( j& f# y) d( g' S
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL. _# C- z8 m# J* E
• Decline and extinction of populations ' `0 P+ P4 H2 n( A% ~5 g; i• Introduction of invasive species! s" `, c( p0 w& _' ? v0 G' O4 S. B
• Spread of new diseases to humans! s7 {2 f! E6 x' Z4 ~! c
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database . N8 s2 C q* _- n, c/ @. Dcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The ! n. E/ B$ q, I# c- z/ mappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete4 _! r% G/ D' a
database can also be obtained through the following link:' S% {( D2 {" P; G2 ?
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ " B5 A. U; W/ c' y8 _* HRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod 3 t7 V- t% ~1 wels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:" V# ]) O9 A3 Q0 s" T+ m- i+ F
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live4 ] k8 r# ^, c5 O8 ^: s" R: f5 r
animals taken from the wild)?3 I' d1 N+ s3 M
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?& d/ ~% n0 }) h5 I
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?. _7 ]$ h& c3 {, ~6 B
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major# K$ a/ ~8 L9 y A1 y1 \
infectious diseases?) D" T2 c4 P# i8 \% |/ |
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 1 y8 Z& N# L% b3 ~7 zwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? 3 I# U" m* v, a0 I3 G" I( i d6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain* w/ @% ^& _% m* q+ b
your views and policy suggestions.) u7 O& m/ T k1 I
" F7 }' K* W/ P% z9 r+ O& {- g# H
" d3 l# t0 T- \& Z