2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 - n6 ~# ^, E4 j% N* x R8 E$ Q
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx ! T1 K* h5 A, w7 B* e; L: Y* e* q9 J* Z% |3 g3 N5 j2 v7 c
2022% s8 }# U" V( @. F R" A/ M
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling$ C8 g1 h. T! z* ]
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn $ H( J. N- D$ o' M4 wProblem A (MCM) / Y1 @4 S4 W# U+ q6 h* oHow Pterosaurs Fly 5 ?. A, d3 u* \. `* h3 q9 {9 DPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They 9 t2 o. K& F+ d lexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 9 e! ~$ t9 ]8 S$ J: k3 ]the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved ' M: Y, Q, S: G7 t$ Bpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and' }* O* ?6 E, n& d& ]/ E1 _
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth, M. ~. ~1 d8 w4 d2 W# k3 F
fifinger[1].6 M* [% O9 T5 s& @7 Q& y$ f1 C
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller 2 [9 Q$ W( w# q. R: Qanimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem7 i. L' `/ x' |0 [
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they% a0 Z J5 I7 j9 s+ T( p
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and 9 s4 j" ]4 O# }; s* F, Bstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived' ]. p' y! ]7 j, u! b' L4 p
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. 5 K8 n4 U0 @7 oLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.- U/ H- b( ~/ z+ G
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,! t# u/ r$ C8 p) J
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on 3 ~7 R/ M- ^# b! aall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and5 P% Y* B9 [- _6 h! l, N: r
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil & G8 g' X3 ] ltrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. ( ?6 ]8 x4 _6 p) FPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 5 x" @( h) V4 w2 Z$ v" [% v; i! ?3 acovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have ) N1 z* p0 S A6 c: uhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug $ _8 ~, E, B! A7 [gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de . ~9 ^3 Z |! ]* Vriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning 1 R# O( _! u* ]2 R* fcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded3 j0 j; w j# V
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec ; e5 c' @% b( j- `7 I7 G& e5 Mtional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones" c5 t) s: Q/ Y1 K* h/ L
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from & S2 M0 s1 {4 f2 z6 mthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 9 x% Z9 q( [; w0 R& s: r5 ]Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least 9 m" t' D/ n# m) y$ B! Tnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong % C1 ]1 b$ ? Q' \1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. 9 r: y% _8 K2 f0 FThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled2 _) j1 j; _( C" p! a
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 5 x X, }* r. t9 P5 Ithat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,! M O5 J8 T! W) Y' b5 b& u$ u
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able ' a0 w. G& |) P' c2 H) c5 sto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. 8 Y0 N( m6 r! H- bHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology 6 y) J6 j7 y9 P) @of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs: f/ T; P2 k! h! F
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,7 X; p8 ]# {7 ]8 ?
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 2 C A7 F) q1 c. Vatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed ; ~5 m4 B7 I& ?& Nfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. , L9 ^6 R+ x6 p/ S8 q' O hAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. + u! i4 B- ~9 b. ^3 G( y1 W4 zIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones1 T- c6 m1 y* J3 [" C5 L- Y5 s* q
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage& O; D% `& d4 d% r5 l8 w% h& V8 m
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for+ U) X; `9 T: ]; r3 J3 i
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded( A: {1 P; x) s3 K
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as# P% K1 E6 n5 n" A$ j0 v; [! O
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of$ d Y1 l/ [' C, l3 m" u6 ]
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism ; l( e/ V& S2 sto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would' Q' c8 ]- A( }$ `5 d" b9 m; Y
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds: a; x" K4 _9 {* K! b9 A
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]., K- |1 E$ N# z4 K( S9 p1 L2 @
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the 1 z( @0 M/ P- y0 |3 E, g* ]flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and3 {3 V h0 {$ V8 s$ n
to answer the following questions. 4 {7 N8 ]- s* o) q; s1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor ?6 P( h3 A( t6 m" Hmal flflight.# E4 r2 j# D( D2 b, v/ h# }
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during# C; B0 x; D) ^! y- k
normal flflight. ) H+ g2 l4 n- N! ]4 x( L* x3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like # `: x3 k# K7 S2 w0 s' u' k/ L5 Ebirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. Q8 x( M* b. F$ j6 bReferences& [7 L$ t0 |) K/ z5 l
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight 2 K+ D: \, F8 ?! ?Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.! m& s4 y; Z/ @: }- j; ]) S# w' a
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.3 J! c C$ K6 H" z3 R
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php 2 f9 T- f; }' p1 e[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs2 {5 _2 m) F- I0 N& ^2 h- e3 Y
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-0 ~- d3 J! U, I
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html. S2 o/ H% g0 q" q
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a% V. j V- s& k3 R& Q% o9 F
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)5 f9 U- g Z7 t+ d! f
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 8 Z! j$ Z7 t8 C! z1983-87. 1 K! E# v3 i* t+ n# D" X5 m[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust , b0 R a1 B: }- Q$ A$ \$ oskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): & h6 k1 h! a0 K% ^180-84.( x0 ~+ a# Q8 ^
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? 3 D* \" K F0 u1 C) y3 i, Xhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs - g% t. s- L+ H+ g9 v: Utoo-big-to-flfly/ . ?: V7 w i. T0 f! V; a[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology, ~( M/ h E) Z5 l
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.8 \0 c* p/ D0 }. [- {
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable + K+ |8 C# u* _! Uair sacs in their wings. ' g9 o" ^( k) l6 X0 A" c% |/ s8 shttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur. Y' g* _5 U) l' r% i* W' q
breathing-air-sacs- Y ]) E4 j" ]; a1 ~ K
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. + I. U. R" F5 q" r* `& Dhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils6 O0 t6 C8 j0 D" K" g
research-mark-witton S5 d& D/ K6 h. a/ V9 y[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? ?, Q$ M7 O+ r$ @2 bhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs % [. z8 a8 N2 _ ~# @) s: _2 \, u* E5 `; nvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ N; r) l% f4 N# A' m5 |
% E6 ^% ]+ U% ]* t3 Z5 z x
2022 : `" S, P! M: h' Q1 [9 ~. A: V4 bCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 1 C: k. G4 s8 r) y- Fhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn# L: Z* F; @6 }" h e' }
Problem B (MCM) 8 T% Z! x( W8 R$ ]8 R, WThe Genetic Process of Sequences% x J9 f3 L% F8 X. T! L+ {
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein & y* T; W/ p: nsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of 1 f1 @: x! r) P* C) C2 E glife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their! i" |( G* [. p1 l" Y6 H; E6 r% z
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong ) `# D& P. p& ?evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common9 O5 K" m( G3 I: k
ancestral sequence[2].. h: A4 Y8 ^0 q* n4 v# g
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu 5 I9 f ~ y0 I0 A$ Acleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation : |. X! @4 B' g% Uarise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and" N! x! J& v d2 Y( T' [
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 3 C" b: ^8 Q+ u& Z4 e) S$ Cthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together # h; G/ h: h8 h; j8 ]6 Ecan form a family, and they are considered homologous.& Y5 I$ L9 `+ g5 x8 S' o! r7 y
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com* U$ \0 E9 I; I2 g# G/ c$ y! Q
plete the following problems. 4 G. m- f) J, u1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between1 ? K& v9 X1 c. o2 i+ z
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.+ b" e; L0 y8 z7 v
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and * U2 W& Y. ^, ~8 q- kdesign suitable examples to illustrate it. . o+ v* J7 q v9 h3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an $ K( z7 `3 M9 O1 J; F; P6 Ncestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral 4 \. y: [. w: ?sequence, and map the genealogical tree.& J% f( p0 W; a% D2 B
References1 y- h) C( `4 _
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re f# O( W, S. L. m9 P1 {5 d+ Z: p
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. ( d7 p# U2 y( d! n" k[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 2 B. _7 i* y- |0 _et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and* q9 }/ y% P* _6 l4 j
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. / y) h0 z# ~) b B& [ 7 l# y7 D- x) L3 M2022# {3 _) b k# N$ [* M
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling " i( v8 [% F# @8 d# ~6 Chttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn E# u5 ~- Y A/ S% N/ [
Problem C (ICM) 7 W$ J& H! M% W7 C- _. h! |Classify Human Activities% T, w- o/ R Z
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and : F& H% P( r* l; x! }: r6 fmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im, v9 `- H& m7 E
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor+ t4 Y/ W" n ]( }6 v! C. R
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 4 A* m* L5 Y: S" Y9 wity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly1 [3 Y' c% n! q
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],1 W. K) K% b& o! J
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in ; E3 N7 c) _8 Gschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics," J/ k( e7 o6 t6 Z1 i
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain1 l; e) _$ y/ m+ ~3 p
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial& t: w3 R3 \0 Y, V1 @3 [
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify ( G% a3 V" |) j- o6 zhuman activities, the following data were obtained. 8 |: x% P9 O! tEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, * Z. C( |, Q+ Rbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes - n' l1 _7 g( J/ H' t; T, @for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ " ?, s0 e( E1 `1 C) j" i2 P+ jities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be. S6 B# D# x& }; M# W) M) E
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and 6 ?/ \0 a. ?+ S7 ?- e) A" Tamplitudes of some activities. & |: a) L8 W2 E# Q4 M2 C, }) _) oSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.9 x' b& P9 q; a" u
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal % w: k8 y8 Z: M! l/ @6 |/ osegments are obtained for each activity.6 Q' s1 z l9 z& g3 x3 q5 {/ a7 \
The 19 activities are:# i7 j. Q2 q/ d" |& l* }
1. Sitting (A1); 2 E/ C$ k6 O% J2. Standing (A2); 0 G' W8 H- K" x5 d3 `3. Lying on back (A3); " G) w+ y: f% \5 h4. Lying on right side (A4);( V$ x0 D0 p6 N' K0 \* J
5. Ascending stairs (A5); % O$ @" {& e, e" w16. Descending stairs (A6);7 { f# D6 V% G
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); 8 |/ F ?! M$ G6 i7 p8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);: _/ X. F8 ?7 o/ \; B
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); $ Z2 n: Z3 e0 n; Y7 m* d/ l* n10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg 6 B0 @3 N/ L8 p7 pinclined positions (A10);/ d7 B$ a- M. C: W( l- Z. g+ \0 |
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions1 w. x q/ n0 D
(A11);) ~' f. D4 u+ ]7 |5 \
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);6 k; Y, f; R/ s( l
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); 7 @6 b+ z' E" N14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 9 ~+ n% `- a" w7 ?( ]8 f4 S( S; z- t15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);' f" r6 G! `: M# w: l# O
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);3 i! |0 {/ E, k, X: v7 f4 m
17. Rowing (A17); 5 n1 r: X) B- o7 n9 s, V18. Jumping (A18);, A7 ]0 v \& i& | B
19. Playing basketball (A19).; [4 B4 X% x: m
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve " o9 |2 x" G+ t4 }the following problems. % u/ v* n0 u- b& o- r3 `- `3 d1 R) H1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify 3 M$ ]( L9 \$ P: T) zthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.) f% t& ~- ^3 R9 j
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have: F% j. S) I- j& e
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study / o7 Q# T; ^/ V+ r) _( i5 }; iand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to0 x( L7 J: e9 z( e5 E7 C1 L
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. ) ^) \9 D; q3 [: l$ H3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- 2 u1 ]# ^" Y" ], xcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action6 I% Z' I: r# W" ^+ Z; ^9 J* u$ }1 l# h
classifification.9 \: ]( \, i2 Y
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:- i& c" [: o- ]% Q: }( \
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq$ q* |: }* {- D4 n5 c [
2Appendix: File structure ( ]) s) ~+ z1 R: ^6 ~. `7 [) C5 K• 19 activities (a) v8 Q) K. _% H7 G5 L3 M. v& [• 8 subjects (p)5 m" k- }$ s, I
• 60 segments (s)& }. S9 c6 w6 l& \) M
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left ' M1 m2 F: L( A$ U; _leg (LL)% U7 e: I: X% o+ J
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z 2 u& v. e& c8 j( R) Y# O4 Dmagnetometers) 8 Y+ \1 F8 e1 ?2 Q" GFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 5 Q, x( ~# u" e: ?For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 3 b# F5 O& z3 F0 S8 subjects. : n7 {8 L O8 E4 F" I, e1 |; _In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each i, @6 p$ g; M9 i7 R
segment.9 G- F# P7 _$ Q+ D
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 0 @$ x4 Q+ ?6 l& p" f$ g9 k( m) d0 rHz = 125 rows. 5 g: ]2 m( W7 |: d( \! ZEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the 8 o! I3 V' Q5 Y- x' {% R# Lsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. ' z6 L7 Z# z! t5 NEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 6 j3 ?. C8 [) J* }& a' gsampling instant separated by commas.+ r- c/ I. p/ V
Columns 1-45 correspond to: / e! m3 N! y) l* j$ @* v" o• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, : Q2 j8 R7 ]! ^0 r6 Z9 r• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, % S) U! h9 ~; x% ^6 Z• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, # F* f/ Z; M, _" e' u• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, ; W& E( W7 f" F# N$ }& h; B: V0 f• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. 8 y$ p/ x5 I% }$ r3 {Therefore, ) N& G( o$ E# f! o• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),/ [! U! l% E' k$ u
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),7 K* {. F$ j1 s8 ~, V& l
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),# S$ |2 |$ X: |5 Y" M% \
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), 2 ^, Q8 s3 e" c9 o3 m• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). + V6 A! v5 {: m1 L. d7 G3References+ a# C1 O* y0 n3 o! y, m; ?& t
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic 4 n; D- y: k% d0 O0 E/ T ?5 Q3 Y: vdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.+ A: g$ d' T6 P7 w0 I" s
42(5), 679-687, 2004 , H$ V3 E9 _/ w, I$ }+ [ K[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of 1 [# y8 v0 R8 r* f8 e+ c+ C Olow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers./ g2 Z+ r% n V
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 ) m; y: C! _! x2 P" L[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag 0 T& J6 u% K/ O: R' P% ^ ?nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. : b: ], H9 a2 j& EB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 1 }. ? y9 X- F2 D[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con# {' G* g, P3 }/ D
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008# \# S7 C/ n& g2 m
1 s( K/ h K! d) s+ G
20229 }& ?* ^' T0 Y6 E
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 7 y# w7 G6 i3 o2 yhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn / h7 i" I& o1 M+ K* E; OProblem D (ICM) / n3 f8 Q2 O6 G1 {; E2 h( pWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long, Z* f! z+ `( h
Time 9 |3 r' K' s0 ?% u8 W. w" E8 \0 ZWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the 5 Y& H( v% y& e) f+ D9 ]6 B2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source 8 r) |1 Y: X/ ~+ i, rof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently, e; P# R: {/ T9 x- J: u5 d+ ?, z
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, 9 v! g7 M, J* X4 H, W* twhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some , ^; D- c% L5 D" c' \7 w- f! Gscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak |! G$ \9 }* t6 H8 Uends.1 l+ O* D0 T& U5 b! Z$ T& L/ Y% f( L
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? ) ~: g/ i' P8 fSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas - c; P) y/ k- I' S! h, \! gothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo! a" F5 x7 _% J \
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could* k4 @- w! `. M. ?, ?" H5 \3 k3 ^) Q
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 7 U7 y' k1 Q% l. B' Zlion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of D" D6 n% K$ E6 y pEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.& t0 S4 m, x i5 W7 V! e
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology" x8 s" x2 _. ]2 e; }" M! |, ~
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their- H# d7 i# C9 o
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have# G1 V# w5 B3 N7 y5 I7 b. b k
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with1 R8 _3 s0 [5 C# ^- w8 j
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing: _' Q( ^9 O9 ]/ J0 }
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen# a7 W1 R7 h# Y8 i5 }* u
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 303 }& c* |7 f0 p$ Y
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in {4 I, T" m* \Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in 7 V7 j7 g! ~: r$ p' C/ LGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife9 ^2 F; w) s0 B. b% y+ |
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 5 [+ i) G6 r: K1 ]when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact 1 Q( S9 {: h: k5 fwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients ' _" A( E( q. D( I9 qare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.: q3 Y! q& X8 o& ~! q! M* c
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:- U+ K3 [/ d$ S8 @+ ]8 ^
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 8 Y( @. R! N0 i% Q+ v2 C. _: k( n7 v: d; soutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL / g* b2 g2 Y0 z8 r. S% ?• Decline and extinction of populations 7 n2 N! ~, ]; @* D• Introduction of invasive species , O) Y5 W; F& x) P( J. Z• Spread of new diseases to humans 7 ]* J# A* L" @# ]! dWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database2 N4 P$ `! Y; k$ i. c
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The2 ], _ W6 l& r' M
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete. j& R- g# ^: a7 x
database can also be obtained through the following link:* e0 ?8 _3 s: @1 b. C+ t& M
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ + ], M% Z3 e8 v* J& {Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod- c- U2 z8 \) K, U9 F
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 7 J W5 H( Y4 V6 V- V2 ]) O/ Q1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live 7 f% W* [- y6 J6 kanimals taken from the wild)?. h" X S" b7 N9 b
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? ) A8 Q) a( y( R* l3 q4 ^3 V3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?5 o9 a8 {4 ~' K! P2 g! \
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major . k8 w! E# N! [) zinfectious diseases?+ i: G* |, _3 L) s% @5 S* A6 S. l3 z
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it- Y- V5 d/ r, t! c1 l
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? . s8 X' O( L. l4 c+ J6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain $ z, f6 } E0 Z; c( i7 wyour views and policy suggestions. & Q" H* {5 e, W# }+ t7 g+ q8 G . K( W2 g% S/ {" c* d: T e. e) w' a; s" u * W; J) |' _- ]- z' v) q. z ( j- y9 A. U7 K+ \+ U1 J" x! U ^, F' ~. z1 `2 ^
3 O6 b% l, c6 ^0 z3 ?/ \. c, y