2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 / u+ L& @) ^3 thttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx ! x4 h$ T& [4 D4 y% c# l9 Y3 {9 c. a # o1 i& M: z0 l3 T C* n20227 V/ O m: u5 }) T
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling5 F1 f% u [+ _/ C9 v3 q% V
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn , \/ ~- |3 v$ F0 a0 sProblem A (MCM)' f7 n# v' f. m; E, N
How Pterosaurs Fly/ C' E* E9 H! `3 ~5 C/ }% Q
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They , y3 Z+ a# [- l: }! R" |/ a5 bexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of ! E7 S) ?& U. l1 `3 h# Z' @the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved1 V, a: U( D5 Z: r8 [7 J
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and8 K1 X h: Y2 H( ~5 ^! C2 H
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth! X# i' X- [8 N E/ V1 U! [
fifinger[1]. ( ?% O4 d; O# ?' c. x% g0 N2 JThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller5 p, m: A! \) S* _$ R
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem ( D) J) o5 m# ~: abranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they , f5 i4 C a6 F; r; H, n- Owould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and. d3 J2 `" B! V: K1 O- Y9 Q, \' s
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived # E, c4 a1 \# z1 H0 Nin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.9 D4 Y6 \4 ?" b: X( z: K
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.. i2 F e1 U/ B* j! b& G" c7 O
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, 0 ~6 @4 X h/ hand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on! T3 ^) j2 ~1 p: z0 ^+ L
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and ) N7 ?) N4 Y7 J4 S. I4 J) Qfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil1 C' Z5 x- U, g; z5 S6 }, s: V& Q; L
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. " O& R, h* m; `+ c3 I2 m# [8 xPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which( X. h/ @7 R) @: R. Z
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have; _! p7 O" K( m0 b
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug, {9 n( c R: `0 p+ N' S
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de' N, h8 T' D6 V$ j: U& R& I
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning S" `2 Q) p( Z" a6 t$ J4 Tcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded 6 i' ]" g% s6 N6 D6 t3 t(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec4 Y* a) T, b: g3 c) L% \
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones: Y t; H+ ?& C9 |
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from$ r2 `7 p! R; c. @" q% F
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including ) H5 b0 S/ v, U* ?Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least - d: j7 u* S/ y6 pnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong 3 b9 H2 S8 T' o" _0 H, Y1 l9 h' r1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. , h T% h5 W$ aThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled9 P) l6 b9 i+ F+ ~& o" @* [
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded4 ^1 B0 I" v: Z
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,4 C+ u1 n2 C% c0 d4 A8 }& H: I
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able. p% |" @8 i. G6 I% z2 L) y6 w( L- j" d
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].! N4 k/ V8 w R4 y; k
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology" _: i( |+ l/ k; y
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs) I- [7 W& j8 o5 t X; I1 m3 ]. b
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, U* R- q/ Q- \; `, e6 L4 ]8 J* Nsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that ; w, S" M8 ^1 C, W2 T; e, Patmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed % [ J L8 D( v3 G4 vfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].' E7 m/ f0 V+ ~% m$ K; V; [. ~
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. 1 }# \7 @1 x5 ]* |7 b2 y) Z$ U( z eIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones# w, }+ r# M4 a& o' |
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage 7 W1 }, [+ W# g. k" ?! d- j: Na bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for 6 m, m) @" U; \1 Mgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded4 M. `+ B! E X2 u
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as. X* n+ @# `' R( o+ b/ [
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ! x& s& U4 j* Z/ R" E8 E/ c( \1 R1 R; C9 gJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism% v; U4 ]$ X- I( t" R
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would/ K8 C/ {! `4 X9 g
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds! K) h1 B/ p: O* n- u: H1 J
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].5 s/ T! L$ v6 G+ d$ W
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the 9 O# H9 ^6 F# ~0 |- u$ qflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and ) V6 e1 U! n7 I! P$ Y! Tto answer the following questions. ( c+ B4 g7 N; [7 H1 D% j5 _4 g1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor : [/ A% K# N9 ]1 w* F1 ^7 u, ~0 Tmal flflight.* |! q* F/ H; h3 V2 C" w0 {
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during4 u7 c+ b. d& J, v( B( g! z
normal flflight. h; W: x! g1 P4 n# \ `3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like& a8 l' o+ j+ A: N
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively./ g, P( L2 [% C! H2 p& x
References0 G; H0 {) x# f: P, f
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight& S/ p6 H& Z, @5 T3 l8 S: d
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. / C& `4 \4 c, ~* H2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.& o5 _1 w8 c3 E/ r- O: y( w8 @. q
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php, y* `; A2 I7 } h: ]* e' W- x
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs7 q$ ^& M, _+ y# t
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- ) t; A$ T5 Y" h9 ^0 t% @pterosaurs-had-feathers.html k( j7 U5 }' Q
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a# w1 w4 ]% b0 I
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)% `+ x- t3 w i( O7 }! H$ e* q
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 7 p3 ~8 b5 E9 B+ V, T- z7 i1983-87. ! p; F' @2 S) Y* w[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust- V. [- I& a4 d+ L- a
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):) e$ k* a0 m" T+ ^8 I7 S
180-84. 0 m. V- ?: ]6 `. ~7 `$ `[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?2 ?( _. Y2 R# b; }( t2 j9 i% j
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs2 v& S. @$ x) D
too-big-to-flfly/ 3 E# Z% e* H4 p3 S2 q" U" U[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology% w7 w5 c8 Z2 {$ _# N
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. + S# f7 i) G2 a5 U0 P[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable" C' y/ P/ Q @; ^% Y
air sacs in their wings. , y" _% Q2 `- o: j* w, R6 thttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur) |* ~% H# c4 R; I3 J. r* @) ?" h
breathing-air-sacs $ m7 v9 H* C ^. Z& S3 C$ g1 @[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. " G! M) G3 v8 ehttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils / L }. L! ^' N/ S# Jresearch-mark-witton( h+ r) H: h0 q5 n
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?6 _+ i+ v! k/ [( G; L1 n
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs9 V- T% j9 u) g: i' Y
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ 6 w7 C( Q! ?' l& y- X6 g , B2 ]2 ~$ E7 y, N9 G2022 $ q6 G5 P% D' {4 j% v+ s+ QCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling- g% \2 i7 v4 Z. A0 Y) p
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn# o+ E+ a% Y1 x- y
Problem B (MCM). L. {/ j! w4 m' S/ Y' M3 Z2 B5 s
The Genetic Process of Sequences7 ~ }3 F t3 r; Z" X
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein, h Y+ j* j* s' T( y
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of5 `; \3 T$ j, g
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their" j( U Z; \) e' z
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong% Z1 x# N! A! Z; @6 U4 @
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common z+ p: X" i: H7 z0 }8 s0 Vancestral sequence[2]. / h l$ a9 F6 s6 ~" H1 I# x3 GConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu + X k& G7 \5 a" ?, \cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation " s$ S1 o0 w* W% Varise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and 7 W- q$ f; E z4 Tdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by ' Z+ i* l3 c0 Fthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together 2 ^9 f# K r% b; e0 Gcan form a family, and they are considered homologous. 3 v2 }2 k" ~' G t1 n/ ~: @4 }( m A" uYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com4 M7 l, @7 a" M
plete the following problems. 8 C9 _. k G. T1 Z/ o1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between+ O2 c7 ^" s h) b+ |9 s
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. o. y# f7 V- o- u- p* n4 g! L, `2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and8 A# B5 c2 t# N- e' W* e: x
design suitable examples to illustrate it.$ L- N! B! @& K+ R7 I: r
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an% H( d/ S4 T$ n, E$ L
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral& e# q2 e. J7 p' n$ s' U
sequence, and map the genealogical tree.; w$ ?9 V0 ^( |6 T3 h/ `
References7 [/ J% t# Q L* l: \2 Z
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re. N1 `- n0 F3 _9 d. i9 q; g
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005., m5 E9 q9 f; `. c( }
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,8 _# v, O: X" {
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and 3 Y+ A+ c* D0 N9 q( h7 g& \3 qa way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 9 l* w. Y! ^) g, n% o# w7 h q d' b. s, p d6 c- c
2022' G: c2 K7 r* t0 v$ d
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling & z: c/ P8 u' I/ vhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn/ n7 v( t. W) ~0 J$ k* ?$ L. o
Problem C (ICM) - b' y9 X2 H6 B5 a: uClassify Human Activities ) b# l7 G8 J m6 zOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and 5 o. `4 O) r P$ c0 ^) M/ w& Dmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im ( Z# ?& ?7 z7 |+ I- C; B) kprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor# U. f% A( B$ {8 b
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ " U- p) \7 }; u6 [6 N# G D `+ Lity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly% [/ m/ I& _" g9 N/ V
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], # k. |7 K- ^- Pmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in 8 p- f5 ?4 g4 {- B1 n# ~) F9 [$ ~school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, ! u! W% y) E6 u7 R5 @0 ysports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain $ Z& C2 |9 }3 c, X: pment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial ! f" K1 ^: D0 ~3 q: ]1 Nsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify$ l# v4 j; e/ {$ o4 _% n0 I) Y
human activities, the following data were obtained.6 f n* {, w7 s* X9 ?7 P9 [
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,4 m- a1 @; K @0 ^
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes ! k N5 j: ~! Pfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ# U' l) K2 m" N
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be0 P) n' P( `7 L! ?; ?4 i
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and6 ?/ G m8 `- K4 S8 A o' s
amplitudes of some activities. * Y! h& ]. ]9 rSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.8 l2 E, I' p8 w! G. O
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal: u1 L0 T4 y) G
segments are obtained for each activity.9 e' f' w: r* N7 |: u9 z- U
The 19 activities are:: ^5 ]$ ]9 Z( g
1. Sitting (A1);+ }3 R7 {% A# D+ J& B4 q
2. Standing (A2);' Z- d" Y' m' ^1 R5 U0 F: C$ L
3. Lying on back (A3); * D$ _; \0 |# D4. Lying on right side (A4);7 d. d% q7 D0 e5 c. R& E1 M- L# S
5. Ascending stairs (A5); ! e5 d. i9 b' z+ a16. Descending stairs (A6); 2 Y' C* k R. F2 D" y5 d, B7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);& s1 }( W* G/ h+ Y4 L3 r
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);* f/ I6 {6 N1 H5 F
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);# r9 s8 Z" Z# V) @. Z* f0 j
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg ' Z/ g5 {$ }+ l' s% V! ?' L2 Binclined positions (A10); 1 v. S: f4 F4 Y5 }# X, H/ c11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions, k; Y, a9 r( g
(A11);7 _" i5 U3 n- j/ w$ G" z
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); % ^; z* \ X& j- v# H( Q$ Y& D13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); 9 I! E$ _4 f5 o. o; S1 Q14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); : J6 b) Q$ {4 U$ |& R15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);: C9 y, H- `# z9 f2 g. ?3 m- [, D: P
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);/ @5 q1 J. \; E8 Q
17. Rowing (A17); 7 U+ l1 d U; i) x& a2 c( [18. Jumping (A18); & Y6 o& r5 m, W6 x, G Z. g9 D19. Playing basketball (A19).& Y% \# w- C+ r: G) r8 |" `. A( G
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve1 Z$ v4 b( @* B
the following problems.6 O3 R( H: x) H d
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify ) i5 F. F+ a6 Tthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.9 a8 u* p2 |7 t1 x
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have7 f$ F* o+ M1 [3 J9 n# N
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study8 F$ X8 F" a# _/ }
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to n0 r. V% m4 R1 M6 V
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. . g$ w# D* D0 x, U3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- - ^% _2 G) y% N2 b. vcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action$ Q+ z& Z( B, B
classifification.0 F H6 _1 }; _
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:$ H3 Y# B) B0 ^2 S+ |4 ~
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq" F( C* R3 ?" s6 {1 N# W
2Appendix: File structure, Q x$ k% X/ e4 A$ D9 X; ]: }* J
• 19 activities (a)6 ~, A8 F9 }- U% J( r1 [, }2 |4 ?
• 8 subjects (p)# H' d/ t$ X" |
• 60 segments (s) 6 }% ]9 b# o0 R9 e0 U5 Q• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left; t7 E" J% A# h; j! r u: \
leg (LL)3 a1 D" l" r6 K; T
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z! C3 Z+ X2 D' ?# R
magnetometers) C( D. k. m$ G, q. g/ ^' H9 q
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. + k F) H8 n+ c% `0 }For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 0 |& P; ]% m' ^8 subjects. ' j( S# f/ Z5 z6 @# v3 }In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each% s, J1 o+ s9 {
segment.& V ]. v; K' E/ S9 H2 p
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 259 u+ C% f2 c& {- P
Hz = 125 rows. + }3 w2 T: W: CEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the ) n: t0 j% W! ] dsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. % ], f+ d ]8 vEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular9 N3 M* ^# i, `8 X0 u* T4 C5 J
sampling instant separated by commas.9 |3 ?$ t. D* s" H. f. w7 i5 P+ Z
Columns 1-45 correspond to: F, k0 \9 m: ?5 k• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,$ n4 n5 S- ], F* y" W
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,. o0 p8 y# L/ r2 g, m3 E: m/ F
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,7 }3 ~, J7 _! Y+ j
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,( m. E! b- S, Y$ |
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.+ ~0 P7 B( ]1 e5 V
Therefore, g8 E. m% f# Z5 B. Z6 d• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), ( x' G0 G$ d4 D' U• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), # C3 o) g3 U6 e( s0 J• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 5 K- g4 y: _1 o- x: n) p5 X7 s8 U• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), 9 R) Q* M3 \& D+ ~• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).! U# j( D2 J0 V* y Z
3References' R/ {! r* x6 {
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic ' E1 ?. [+ u- W4 r% s4 |7 hdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. 5 r; K' E* I7 }: W+ k42(5), 679-687, 2004/ W) S- Y! i3 L( t
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of # \! l7 b3 |. {# _ W* h. nlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.. V5 W( k: ? D
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 5 r9 ^4 U3 [+ b[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag ( L1 Q0 r( _) K# }3 h, x" {: Xnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. ; e4 H9 Z# P0 ?8 \" O" |% EB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007* [7 L( w5 m: Z! R
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con $ Y9 t$ F$ t& {+ s4 P: } S. otrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 3 n/ [3 p6 k0 G+ v! l( |2 e ! R8 f' v, u3 C X/ _20227 z" f# @: ]& T; p/ _
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 5 R* B. a. c1 `9 P- c- Chttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn5 ?2 F1 j3 i! I5 b9 R) P0 ^0 L. e o
Problem D (ICM)1 y y9 \2 L" c: }& E' u
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long . E# m j! f3 `/ ^0 W& yTime " c: v* B) M1 kWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the % R# M" k+ k0 C/ |* w% U2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source2 S6 q# T) t3 `) Z) B# b% c
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently 7 X* ^. w) B, {) y+ b+ n+ v! q: Atightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, 5 [% @8 @. S! n; cwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some 0 H' `; y: [. f% {5 jscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak, Y; r- b# a- }4 r% Y3 t9 u" H
ends. ( |4 s7 b$ h7 m" n7 cHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? ) Z( X3 _2 q& z( p% f) ^! jSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas* i% [, p9 q% L9 g. x& F4 F
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 4 N+ y) f* Z8 S7 K3 \& {3 ]ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 1 _# `9 a0 g! } {8 @5 Vcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil0 F- f" O; y2 D1 M
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of - p- d" Q( }1 Q$ E6 yEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. * e9 t, ~* _$ h- ^ aA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology 7 h! [3 ]; w4 q, ein China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their1 ~2 `0 f( e; C3 `
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have8 }9 L( s" E* C* _1 K$ y
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with! E3 x( r. L9 T
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing # t6 k2 N, T V: {& T+ \almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen$ E) s; o& b% }7 \
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 5 @; W$ Y+ d& a# oNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in p1 A3 q# ^$ W! q$ R8 x7 KYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in* M% n+ i1 J2 m
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife# d2 R# ]4 M3 q" w$ s
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature: Y* ]; q0 X: D
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact 0 M/ u+ _2 b s+ R" w* O0 awith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients; i5 x7 [, | |) Z2 D, Q5 }+ |
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.8 i" S$ I4 z5 a
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: # o9 m, M6 N: _4 X& p7 [4 ~1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS! F3 B' h7 B9 y: Y
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL ) P9 V! K; {: o• Decline and extinction of populations 1 h, Q( W4 z9 H6 L3 c- n• Introduction of invasive species6 _& B2 H, m; ~6 U s0 h4 h8 u
• Spread of new diseases to humans$ U' K! |) H' u3 y L, g
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database 6 r7 T! J5 a. U# Dcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The8 X4 A% g B9 b; u; ]% Q( ^( g1 w
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 3 {: ^7 {9 g2 q3 F: a: Tdatabase can also be obtained through the following link: 9 c- ~" s1 J' ]4 hhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ& h% O Q+ k5 E1 i7 }6 d+ Y( g
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod9 ]( A$ b- `. |
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 2 g$ ~6 B8 W: @1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live" k& G! b4 \( H: {& n X! }
animals taken from the wild)? + {8 N6 O" ]. P1 w# g; X1 @6 s2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?/ m% i6 x6 z" t1 |
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? ; z. H! V- [3 S4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major , m$ K2 J& `$ \6 n& y4 u+ t winfectious diseases? 1 p) K) d' S7 y& h7 E1 h25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 1 I& Z; v/ l4 ~5 I0 x5 f# Rwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?$ Q' E( B4 X, p
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain , `# N7 C) S% V/ ?: v- w+ S& P( Zyour views and policy suggestions. . W; Y: N# r3 I5 s* y5 g7 p; \( ], v% r. R
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