2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 ^2 b# q7 d1 w
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx 2 n% N d3 p! J& ^0 J# i2 i ( J/ f, x) q8 T2022) V$ c. I( b. Q/ w B
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 7 b/ o( B2 ^" G& l, whttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn0 Z7 |. ?( F* i, ?
Problem A (MCM) - S% ?9 y0 b6 g1 b* G8 rHow Pterosaurs Fly - N# C5 n8 S& {3 V# pPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They , u+ C& S) V }; V4 ~1 {existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 1 l" O1 I6 v! F- D3 R! ythe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved7 w5 z g2 ]; b: f! {
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and M2 X _. p6 k! N; ?' b4 p
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth) d1 U$ L( j: Z; U+ g" q
fifinger[1]. : X: s- c8 M( U! K- lThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller / ?# T, P5 y2 H" R$ G" @animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem. E- b P# \% `
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they ( d" [( d) [, r" b, E( xwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and3 U) }* l# w3 V. V) U% K
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived4 @0 `" \3 s: N) b9 J
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.: |- u5 k7 U; ^5 Q$ i
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.5 u4 y& N9 V7 ~) f! U
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,! X$ } i; P% q: v. w2 X1 e9 y
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on ) j8 K7 Q, d' q& V' oall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and 1 [* d4 \3 _) B+ [2 u, J$ Kfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil . d! I8 Y- o& h2 b- t& ?trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. $ y- r5 Y# u% c9 r4 r' w; `Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which * z/ m) v) _* l: r0 Gcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have ' S+ @( g; r5 [* O% O, O7 _6 h khad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug & }, n7 C+ ~2 I" fgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de 5 O/ u' H0 V' U5 v% ]$ t2 S Priving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning2 `3 p- j5 q1 F
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded0 @5 Z/ A* {2 N. i" v
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec ! M0 v& H! j$ L! itional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones ( ?- w6 @& Z/ |/ m; J0 E9 F$ ~to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from+ k d; i, q5 \
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including% T! B# v5 J1 @2 k
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least0 A& ~, n0 u: C; f
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong' e! O# j7 X! a
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. 9 w V* g$ \- |/ t5 P! W, PThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled ! J2 Q, ~6 R# Y9 v- cat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 3 ~+ f1 G% r! K; X2 g) D4 a+ kthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,0 I a5 J: j* x
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able8 S3 M3 F* V4 N$ U* [1 M2 F
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].; t, ~' c* L% P
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology ( g# B4 a p) Eof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs 4 R q* z9 j4 y- Rbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,9 F, [1 `; f: c4 M5 [* r
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that% m7 i/ [1 M: i# P
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed 5 l; ~) l. @+ c O$ ]# Vfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 9 q) t9 i$ R$ ^) {: e- ~% J' H3 q; TAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. " I( \) A$ {9 VIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones ! P. l9 Z8 ]" ~of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage 0 ]3 h. {& P: F' }a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for / c; K* z: y; x1 jgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded: g/ K/ M. u+ e! J& Q* b
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as # R5 a8 V9 X! p! h' w) q- w; ~quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of6 K1 T5 z9 k( l3 N. v: v* U5 k4 J+ p
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism' Q! `- e! [* Q4 p9 P6 V
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would : z5 O/ a( O2 k; N+ oenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds 2 S6 a! R0 u% f4 X9 u9 r' iof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].. d5 m0 u; k$ A) s4 ]
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the 4 j7 M1 o W# C, D& fflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and( D8 [' q( U* ?5 v; ~+ ?! N
to answer the following questions. 7 v9 G R& b. j" I G4 q1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor & i& O' e( n* L e! v; [' hmal flflight. ! `% n. t4 |- y9 P) e/ m6 I2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during 7 s8 ^' x8 Z! vnormal flflight.' M* {8 q5 @: }6 a) P& y
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like5 U/ ~0 @* q! \4 b4 J# K! e
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.; L4 G. ], z- `- g% }; t; |$ J
References % Z6 P6 y& }2 z$ Q. g, S# ^[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight( {. m {0 N0 b) q# {4 L0 _
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.1 j- U/ e2 M+ r; @7 S
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 9 W$ e$ q j" ?! K# o3 w4 j _https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php& B- b! p0 X7 d% D& r( z5 z9 ~. O2 R L( L
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 7 Z) V, y. X K- rWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- # S5 u; W. F; ]9 E7 k) D+ npterosaurs-had-feathers.html' G$ V# M, m; l7 D5 |
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a 2 v, G$ E$ D# Qrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) $ C1 [+ J) I% \3 u4 q3 Lfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):1 J$ R6 e. y" w6 U% l
1983-87. G% H1 b/ [7 v/ _( v/ D' ^
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust4 @* E. y' n2 S' I F
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):3 v6 V0 L4 o& P/ d+ s( O
180-84. + g& M& c# V6 q" ^3 ~' F[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? l [( e' Z' W% _
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs/ @& W2 A2 L5 H/ ^ E. x* `5 {
too-big-to-flfly/" |* |' j% ^3 J1 r5 p7 `
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology 1 Z% i; z( n" h/ |: tof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.4 v# i0 t* S# S7 m- D) g
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable/ W- T$ \0 Z+ ^
air sacs in their wings. + O2 n1 }& h; F* X# c/ F5 Phttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur $ u6 M+ B$ ?0 J' B! J! Kbreathing-air-sacs K) g6 z+ I" i+ \1 W, k
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. 0 i/ t4 g7 d; M" r, i" Vhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils 6 F, ]0 |+ z& p# L4 C9 Fresearch-mark-witton O% A" ^/ }' |1 J
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? 0 |7 H& @ P! R+ Ihttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs8 p& g; b# S# W2 C% @
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/( h9 C% L( W- j
. t& _1 h3 V" k2022 % d2 Q4 Q. ~8 `' l! LCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 3 l# z1 s) I, ]* w3 o& n3 Rhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn ' l4 K& w* ?0 Z7 H. K) nProblem B (MCM) 8 {$ T; i6 q4 a- w7 ]0 pThe Genetic Process of Sequences; L- W7 P8 C& `: ^) ^
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein 6 T" R* ]' `/ P5 G2 msequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of: A6 |+ j9 ]- h, p& B* s3 y* \% X
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their 5 J9 Z0 l, l. H3 mnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong " U; ]: i7 f5 s4 Q/ C1 Devidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common4 f; v- d2 [- t! t( i/ r0 F$ \
ancestral sequence[2].& v" _; ?; Y" l8 \4 c/ X
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu: @9 f" a, ~! q/ V
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation * X/ P# O3 T4 \3 G6 u1 P; darise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and5 `- w* ^$ b1 v& w/ i
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by! f' b; b# b! l% {. _
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together0 N" d. ^- f6 ~$ z$ l a
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. / Q! @6 C: S; `( eYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 9 [! V, a- {; ^& c: p6 b7 @plete the following problems.9 v: u+ X; s, E; w, |' e
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between. _ o' v" _1 p( F( X6 L
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.; _! U. Z# h& a/ {8 r! @" z
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and - G1 X9 E- T" B4 M7 ^1 M. x" Pdesign suitable examples to illustrate it. * p) i7 Z3 ]/ I; B8 q0 j3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an8 A, o+ M0 B4 G0 G
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral o# p- } @: G( _sequence, and map the genealogical tree.5 q* c1 f$ c, Z l6 p0 `2 S2 h
References {7 K9 {! M; b2 z& A% H; v% ?. p[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re2 [! S6 v4 b2 ^" r' y
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. ; W9 M" [1 r* b6 u# F[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,: ?, W9 V9 E$ B6 m
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and + u J: y" E! {a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. * K- O- U! X# {* u ; s8 S4 E. h/ h2 x, u- X9 i2022& ?4 m+ w2 S8 C1 G, X* E
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling , g% y% f! D7 B% B7 a, Y6 shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn+ M& A2 V1 h: o2 q O: ~+ c
Problem C (ICM) + Y. s2 f. u- `; J5 U `5 FClassify Human Activities g; b7 n2 H9 V4 @+ P& J7 g+ }One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and " C- O( h$ j* J- D9 imonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im . P7 w8 G0 v% d/ K) j( cprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor2 h7 S* H8 u: `' Q# R4 N: S5 y
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ1 k, V8 J9 P0 a2 ?2 Z
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly9 p. [9 ~0 k7 g
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], ! s5 q5 o3 z8 l1 xmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in% N1 Y, N7 \& ~
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, & I9 i* k4 u0 Dsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain; H5 y5 R- _' ]! W/ |
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial* b p, I7 ~3 J; g3 \: E: x
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify1 V* z/ m# t( G+ i4 C3 m
human activities, the following data were obtained.9 O9 p$ G8 J, |# G4 r
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, X C6 J: u4 c0 R+ Lbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes: c3 X8 |% R# V; W( x7 u# _9 I, [
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ + N9 U8 L5 z; M$ k ^- ]7 c+ k) C! [* Pities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be! L, V- i8 K5 b+ ^
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and" |$ C% Z2 ?: F# r3 ]+ S6 W; a
amplitudes of some activities. 7 z/ e) ]; J5 s. ^2 x lSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.# P3 ` y7 o) `* W
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal: m2 e# j- o! W9 s/ y4 k' X
segments are obtained for each activity. & A& c1 r9 L2 ?, d# {) r+ JThe 19 activities are: : R* Z$ t" h3 `1 V: @" @1. Sitting (A1);( @( W5 z/ O) C% x1 ?. q2 T
2. Standing (A2);) f" M# m& f M' Q! k- K+ a
3. Lying on back (A3); : y7 [6 S" \( o4 B( ~" `4. Lying on right side (A4);, _1 d* v/ t2 s" t7 t, {
5. Ascending stairs (A5); 1 w8 r+ A7 [- h" Z% w1 C16. Descending stairs (A6);' ^% P/ ?* Z7 m# o1 K6 x' b
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); ( Q5 L) d& z$ o/ f! H8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 9 @! o/ g* O1 V9 r. n8 k' ]7 @9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); 0 m* s) O- \1 ?$ C# W10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg% K2 r5 s8 E# b1 J% l9 \
inclined positions (A10); ! D! K. G0 e! z7 R0 k3 G11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions1 c* g' E8 U! ]! |( D
(A11);* I6 k+ ]* ~/ U' h- |
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); , \3 B% O/ E! [9 U8 j) } s) v13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); , ^- x9 I! z7 X9 T14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); / c, Q5 @6 i/ p# D- C15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);% e$ `2 p5 V; M0 s( h- s
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); 0 E5 b0 z- I# N4 s& J4 v17. Rowing (A17); + N8 Z$ C: M5 }18. Jumping (A18); * k) i8 a) R" ?9 Q7 E19. Playing basketball (A19). 7 v! f2 D: X6 ~2 E1 V: p5 qYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve+ `! ~! ]( \) Y
the following problems. 7 Q5 I& P* m E; a1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify# e# v, C5 i1 t& Z
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. ( M( Q' r, W R1 }2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have, g# V* ]+ e( k- g2 T4 n- c
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study7 N$ I0 j1 B' f0 i
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 6 l/ S3 L6 a0 G& ~3 eevaluate the generalization ability of your model. 9 S7 z! `0 Z5 O; T3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- 5 `" Z6 j7 m4 Zcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action# k9 d. {; E4 r- T
classifification.% W7 V# O$ L2 x8 T. k' u, X" K
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link: / A( \4 p: m# u _* x1 vhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq + ?% T9 r" k' `4 y# {6 Z h- D2Appendix: File structure% X8 b: B2 Q# f6 _$ q! U. m7 ^9 i1 b
• 19 activities (a) $ P: M! X2 o# c3 m$ c. @ Q* y6 a• 8 subjects (p)" x& e4 O: ^1 D( O5 `! w$ l
• 60 segments (s)- D: r$ W- D U; E0 }# Q$ D
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left, M# t T" G$ c
leg (LL) - T% b& \2 a+ r2 @9 c• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z 6 h! q0 A( ^- |4 Q& e1 U) S9 {magnetometers)1 Y) H4 y( H) k6 Z1 l- w; @* l
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 9 E+ c& Y8 X+ w- N; h" GFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the6 b" J$ S3 z% O+ W! c1 D
8 subjects. ' [2 }) N5 J9 u" f( t2 f1 NIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each0 r- @7 C# C: C6 m- M! h
segment. & S) e9 E4 ~$ p; uIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25! I, f7 V; ^" L
Hz = 125 rows. Q% U6 s: Q' O5 r# |4 K4 W" aEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the4 s5 m3 \ h! m' t
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. $ X& H5 r' x/ Z! N# C. i! F/ j! IEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular . v, J* V- L& |% ]# ?) w Dsampling instant separated by commas.3 b* i' m5 c0 f0 K. I/ ~
Columns 1-45 correspond to: 1 W/ G" A1 a5 ]3 a• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, 2 r* k& v# D5 [/ S• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,( L( s+ X2 R& Z
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, ) y7 P, Y0 j$ w& [; x( t9 R9 t9 |' K• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, % O' K8 E M& W# S, K% H, a6 `• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. ( P& |0 Y+ V8 ` UTherefore,+ a k( O: `# W( Q* V9 a' [
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), 8 W. J) Z- q P3 y; d& L• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 4 w" O. B- v$ Q @# e# r• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),3 w; f J7 G+ L5 s, b' M
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),4 V- A. X( Z; Y+ y- \
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).& p- j- }1 d% ~* \
3References) t9 h( s/ v& |5 V9 e1 I) ^
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic1 A9 i, c3 T! r4 {( [' H
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. ( j" c: O! D8 x( {% b7 \ f# o; P0 k42(5), 679-687, 2004 6 ]# Y$ v6 n4 u3 R[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of ) { Y( @) d0 A X9 p! m$ i2 u' m! zlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. . I5 k. o l( S' f: T; a+ sGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 . u( v) d) R; p: j% @# y) a/ q" V[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag " J: [$ ?) Z7 u6 Bnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.- j* H) X5 r* ^! e: r7 T
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007; i, u; k8 A* U8 }7 f) R1 x
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con2 s- Y; [" p% s0 `( k3 w) } h
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008) @- X% V! H- g2 l/ Y6 v
+ J8 Z& [5 Z0 \0 ?
2022 ; X0 w2 v) n0 e+ z9 o6 N4 rCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling0 T5 u% m* r" z2 x: Z# \9 l
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn5 c4 w/ ~# e4 h8 R6 _
Problem D (ICM), }/ D# c* Z5 g* }+ @1 K
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long. r, b+ a& W) @( I& X: |, o
Time " H4 t$ z: p$ [; C2 kWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the4 n- t. [# v0 \/ n) @9 `+ s
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source , N$ ^. M! b3 ]# mof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently! T) `: p0 {8 S/ y5 _- S
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,+ i! i1 {/ a3 Y0 H. O
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some8 X* N* J* m( p1 N% m# |5 o
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 2 E7 t; B8 p, e9 |$ _9 Jends.* @+ h+ R$ w/ O' T3 t6 V: @
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? 9 ]/ K; Q6 k6 _5 d3 X+ FSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas7 D1 u. p5 V2 G
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo- O- |: c" H5 x- z6 I
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could% ]1 B3 A7 A* \
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 1 e% g5 B- Q4 Zlion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of ?" y# m7 t2 Z# U1 P$ gEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.( |7 F; a6 c6 i9 y6 T
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology% u( Q7 h ~4 I0 @
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their9 B( \7 r4 |; t- G5 R' n2 f) \) _$ z
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have; Z* c3 J6 I/ G9 }- z3 Q; X: }
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with: O8 @7 A k1 v* x* C
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing( J# S Q( ~4 J0 { T6 `6 j
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen4 v' ]' S$ ?0 C7 q: K3 g P3 k
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 309 f5 j# a$ f9 V, p; s5 \1 F
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 2 u" e8 ?, h I; L7 sYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in) R J) i8 W1 G, B
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 9 X: A, ^- `2 x% y6 Z+ K/ Qtrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature ' \. A: r% S4 C! gwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact * {8 l) |. W1 F6 i' _% m$ Swith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients 0 j, j7 w; t: o9 ]are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.& ~1 `6 }% b9 s9 p s* s
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: - g# Y4 c! ^" ]$ [2 x" M4 w1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS4 ]- t3 M3 X* r; t# Z
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL* K" M W$ h# N4 a9 T2 Y' e
• Decline and extinction of populations - q! B2 f$ @% d$ l* j4 E" c. i• Introduction of invasive species / H# Y! n0 ^6 [* J! v N6 B5 z+ b5 ^• Spread of new diseases to humans+ }* a4 p$ P, H, ?0 D
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database Z. b0 D8 r# y* |6 t3 m, o7 ?/ w3 @contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The ; o- L" N k' V% b5 p; T9 [7 sappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete' K* \/ i$ E- v4 M' N0 X# I
database can also be obtained through the following link:. W3 y3 z5 w7 c3 X1 T) C
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ * Q% T; n, K7 R% fRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod4 K. y$ g( Q8 |2 {, L& ~8 v
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:, m" u. `" w, Q8 P" S
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live 6 X9 r7 R' p5 y1 sanimals taken from the wild)? W6 j' U) ~7 Z: T' ]2 X
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? , k Z z' t& x- Y1 Z1 Y/ E3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? % V7 P. S8 s; s m! r+ m* Z- ?! A4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major 2 J+ ?) r7 k( oinfectious diseases?0 ^9 P, k1 [' K0 Q* v8 u
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it5 k) E O% B! k: g( a
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?2 y- A* ~! \; w
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain / v2 \# r& ?6 j9 w/ n; g8 m/ Y- |& Eyour views and policy suggestions. 6 c& H3 j. A* V. M5 D. ] - R) ]9 W' `3 Q$ e3 a; E6 r! a# F# Q, m3 K- }6 g
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