2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 + |. o- k2 D8 d2 X+ J: U1 G
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx( k+ T6 q* b) |2 E+ T
, X* {6 Z+ B- r2 m# B20221 }7 W* O; G. e( Q2 Q* K6 N
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling! w6 u* [% Z2 ]
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn " k" b* d/ ^3 n3 Z% Y0 A6 YProblem A (MCM)1 C* }* N; M i) T
How Pterosaurs Fly $ K6 o1 L. V, i5 L+ iPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They4 D$ g% y. P# f* `* Z8 d1 R
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of / l1 v7 Z# t2 J. G& uthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved # ^# `& v! u" c0 M, J4 _$ spowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and. K2 j5 G, J; C0 B! j5 V
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth 6 B* |( Z( Z. C) L1 |fifinger[1]. d; t N z; QThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller ( ^: F6 p; {5 E. o9 P1 nanimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem& X# T. c' b" y
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they , U% N5 t1 H( Hwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and) M" L& o- j( J% I, B) k/ c
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived % @* v4 a* I8 S' Cin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. ! ?- e# X; n8 T# C* g- X8 hLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. ' Z u a- z1 u6 _Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,. j! S% T1 M' s# z" H
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on, N( m6 v4 d# p: s2 p
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and- c# m9 R2 j1 q( Q0 S% w0 o! t
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil 6 g* Y2 F0 w, @ k+ P. o/ [( B/ ptrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. . J7 N- `; r0 w3 BPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which9 {0 ]8 v3 E$ I) ?; b; f
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have( J3 B9 @8 w q/ Q Z6 i
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug E! q: Q. `/ q7 l7 S: I
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de , `7 N4 |7 r% `! ?9 Hriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning- J1 y% w! Z3 I1 U J; F( n
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded, Z) {& C1 n* l1 h
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec % q# k/ k9 P+ w: Q. q' `tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones $ C9 y# |& o2 C" e9 Z! s% Mto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from7 a, D0 K" f' \* _" }% A
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 1 |5 l' y( [2 U' e* o. t+ wQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least2 G4 |+ `/ U! B9 W/ C0 k0 f
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong( V; Y o# A/ z5 H
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. [( _) Z+ l0 D2 D4 t8 u4 b2 |6 tThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled1 p; x9 C7 L& t7 V
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 9 O5 y( d, Y4 ~8 f( h; C( O' xthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, $ G0 R2 P a1 D- rLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able + a) D3 p. O6 w0 v6 Dto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. 5 U. R5 v8 b4 ?2 G9 aHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology6 ^8 r! h+ w, {! p
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs# L k# t; x4 B3 R* @: r0 \
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,0 T, \) W. E( j
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 1 C& s% W& S" z$ r7 Y8 \! patmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed $ m8 s6 W3 p! afor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. & ^( I( W( X q; A3 ?& ^7 rAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. , o' A6 ?2 v# C) }/ ^0 FIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones / e$ j+ c/ I: q2 v6 bof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage : m# w+ a2 W- @2 y' P, k* ^- ia bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for 9 u" G' |! L. @. ]- sgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded8 ?0 D5 ]1 j3 U
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as; E* w3 b7 P8 ]% X
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of* \- L# S( g: w K' |' [
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism 6 b9 D2 E5 S$ Z; u) Y$ ]. Jto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would, |' N7 A2 C9 U9 P4 o8 m4 q+ m
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds ' u7 h/ Z4 _3 h/ `of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. Y1 Y3 h5 k( E. |3 y* ~7 p2 t) k& L
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the ( c5 u! U& U) E+ t7 l. c2 s9 [& Pflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and. \9 @9 P! D4 f0 ]5 h/ {+ u! c
to answer the following questions.# b: A& }: R3 j; c5 e
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor " s; U9 Z. |4 M5 P+ G3 x, `% s# Bmal flflight. 3 p; O0 ~; m2 l X2 `4 K; g: I/ b2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during7 ?+ j$ t5 X8 q3 E) s5 K; t
normal flflight.3 |8 n5 i3 V! [( v- G9 g( d
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like 7 W3 N y- G, bbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. . j* W2 T$ l$ r' S: N4 s7 I, ]References( u" n/ T. W9 ?! s, S/ d2 a' e
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight , J+ \5 @; k0 s1 s* d/ oMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.8 g p/ f1 D: C# n; _' B
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. & {) Z! }7 ^- }6 u* hhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php 1 j7 X O3 |* |[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs6 i6 B! ?! {7 q$ H9 m& |
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-: U5 Z# Y8 U# B1 D; O3 X J0 n
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html / R$ V& V3 n" B# \. Q/ G% P[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a $ S$ }$ E! w! C6 O* j, k2 e) wrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)& e* H. o3 p8 `+ d
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):* F9 k; _0 E/ O/ k5 I8 l5 b
1983-87.: X" c- Y( \; V
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust . q- J: b& a9 G" Hskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 7 [( J, V( E8 K0 e% ~180-84. 7 ?+ l6 y+ r2 M1 B+ A[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? 2 r5 D; p K6 ?' u2 X* ^https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs$ k& Y$ \; B& ]6 o( b1 E
too-big-to-flfly/ 1 t& C1 [7 E- ~3 m0 P, a[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology+ q. D" i4 C+ G$ {6 Z; d; c
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.: e/ |' \1 h" |' ]" a, }
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable 3 S# C* G0 m3 C3 g! Z4 T' @1 J, vair sacs in their wings. * a% z1 @+ @- n2 \6 u0 J$ n, uhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur3 T* I) X: X, s9 x- {4 O
breathing-air-sacs9 S( @9 S( {7 C; P9 w
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.( t* o! }/ k8 f# u1 y m+ c
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils , H% O% e; H# g; h8 ^research-mark-witton- b4 D9 f% H0 S$ C( j6 O/ Z
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? # M# u0 _0 I2 N/ H8 t3 a/ y5 Lhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs1 s" P3 l6 g0 \% c; H
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/7 H: ~+ Q) \* H% |
' O, c/ H' K& ^; d/ g7 X2 u5 g7 T& |
20221 h) J- Z4 g2 p' k: }
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 0 h0 r3 ]$ I0 Ahttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 0 Q" o! X( L( s! p' F, ?8 I ?$ Q2 fProblem B (MCM)3 W& u$ s- U, ]; F
The Genetic Process of Sequences3 p) k [0 [8 T2 i
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein2 U# S5 r+ e9 j- |: _
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of 3 n# t. W( Z; U$ w5 nlife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their 5 b l/ w# h. `nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong% A; ^, D7 C9 M1 o% b: p+ o
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common ( V2 V' _7 V Z6 j5 lancestral sequence[2].: Y) G- ?2 g4 ~! v
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu' d1 [+ c7 ~0 I+ `% A9 s
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation ; \( z( q4 \; o4 c# H+ J" farise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and- n. X6 x2 Y5 {0 P1 [: \
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by * E3 x6 t1 H l2 K7 O; P$ s. [the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together 5 B+ [- x0 }8 q' ]$ P" O, \can form a family, and they are considered homologous.! B+ n2 f; y, P% d3 Y
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 4 W4 M4 f4 |6 A+ L6 {plete the following problems. y8 g% Q& p; m2 _' ~: E$ D1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between! P4 B$ E: @. b/ O/ Q% p3 H9 v
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. 0 N) [0 X1 z' X# D2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 2 n6 P' |. B5 J5 r# vdesign suitable examples to illustrate it., `6 r) p- \4 ?$ M% Q. u; x
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an+ k2 `' N3 |$ |" c) r( x6 c4 j
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral; g! v" x+ ~, V! N) \5 ]. Q
sequence, and map the genealogical tree.5 B6 {- z- }; i: m
References/ {3 U" R: j& r; K# ?
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re2 s, S' X: L+ M C- t
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. # K% Y1 @5 g+ R0 a# s7 V6 I+ |+ h/ y[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE," F/ p/ J% e4 `) @. P
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and 2 T% R: N# d! A! ^4 B; [ _a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 9 R! a# s, ^6 n( d) K( K2 u# Y g& Z* {1 x' S
20227 }7 x. {! Y4 v! }
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 4 F1 K0 \2 G' Z& B- N- X* Phttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn$ q' L0 Z" R# K" ^1 a: J% X, O% ~4 S
Problem C (ICM)4 y# X! K: t7 c; N/ K& ^, G
Classify Human Activities & ?% D1 R' D6 r, P5 e: YOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and0 Y, X& P* B" ^; n- V
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im + @7 [! o4 A. c7 o+ c: wprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor6 p& \+ d# z# T) p u
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ- p) X" i! G: J
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly " \; M' I: { v# |remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],4 S- E0 h4 N3 l/ `" \. @# A
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in5 {" i9 b" @. W+ x+ V
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, 0 `. u; S S' f& } Qsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain$ H$ E1 K& I' \" x" j2 `
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial: o. u0 Y3 ^ H# i' [' E' U
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify$ H+ Q0 g+ d& a6 ^7 l0 Z
human activities, the following data were obtained. + J/ S* W. h" R5 oEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,- N! {8 r" F7 y8 V4 n9 v g
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes - t+ i* z0 r/ I* ~for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ' j, A2 g+ ]/ P# ]# Q. t
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be + F3 z2 }$ a7 m! {! z( o$ Bperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and; W8 @1 \2 \5 c0 w
amplitudes of some activities." D$ V, B6 R$ t' L# e
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.( w3 `9 t6 @* l9 k% e
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal, A) q0 j$ i) F( \3 W9 i# b
segments are obtained for each activity. * i' r" p6 K: L* eThe 19 activities are: A- k8 S N( t
1. Sitting (A1);$ \+ i' `5 M5 X% R% I
2. Standing (A2); 8 Z% @! ^0 S) ?9 G2 r) C3. Lying on back (A3); . D; I2 N* S' \7 O, J$ Y6 U% |4. Lying on right side (A4);0 p5 y+ }# u! d6 d: ^+ f* j
5. Ascending stairs (A5); 6 S. H/ K: B: e8 t7 [16. Descending stairs (A6);* z9 L2 u- L9 ~2 L
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);* G! k" q4 p# i$ K
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); ' |: O, T9 ^& e7 G4 Y* a9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);- `& L O6 a- v0 N
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg1 O. f5 M" H' Q# Y: f8 C
inclined positions (A10);- Q0 U! d' \5 A9 Y' Z
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions6 k9 ]7 m5 N. w' q7 u+ V3 X
(A11); i& |) B& Z8 |$ j
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); 7 `% x# ^. h: N9 G13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); 2 y4 I; y j+ N/ L$ d14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);( ^8 G* {, N( n2 [5 F" [
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);8 K; b' s; V) x& ~8 {7 E8 i
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);. O0 H! o+ I' e4 o6 A* f" S
17. Rowing (A17);+ @5 s8 ^/ ~, {0 Z2 p; N$ o
18. Jumping (A18);4 X7 q. w/ K# x7 C4 N
19. Playing basketball (A19). / g" X# \( i! ?9 b7 I7 L5 r2 `8 uYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve0 n i4 r2 b2 D u
the following problems.- J+ g2 M4 ]9 x' `9 c) h9 q" j
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify) E6 `: @1 Z. R7 [" M
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. . n: [$ F0 y# l* s2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have - X# j+ q; \% I+ h3 }9 { ]a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study $ g4 w* N& {4 \) i1 c$ I% W( o2 r* Wand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 5 _+ C2 o4 S. o# F0 aevaluate the generalization ability of your model. 8 o+ @2 o" L" p5 c/ h& T" s3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- 4 ^# }* _# e' ~) dcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action4 q) ?3 g; X: b6 Z6 d, Z; c4 A
classifification. ]& i- G7 k7 k/ F+ l
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:) @8 ?, O) X+ c' q& D; Y) N* y
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq& \: k* b2 y3 s0 Q4 K
2Appendix: File structure$ j8 r( M9 d C- _
• 19 activities (a)4 Q0 F: E5 A$ J: P. D' b( P. P
• 8 subjects (p)6 Q8 X( ^6 Z" g/ R
• 60 segments (s)7 W8 u; E4 o$ c- x( t
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left- }, A k& N- M1 A# w6 R: E
leg (LL) * L! F$ l/ q N. N; @• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z6 R+ s% s- U5 t- Y9 a
magnetometers) 4 ~$ o! U5 J8 ]Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.4 Y. C2 V/ o0 d* _$ n: _
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the2 \- k* o: S$ X3 I9 D+ |
8 subjects.3 q# A" ?7 k2 ^, S7 W; X
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each0 r: z* Z$ c/ s" B1 ]/ O
segment. 7 Q; ^, E8 P& q' m. {1 K; E& Y/ t- lIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 1 X8 P, R5 M6 H8 I& ]6 o: jHz = 125 rows. " U. G1 v$ l/ B- ~2 C$ h1 GEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the 8 Y8 b* Y) [$ v* n( b( f3 N3 `3 _sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. % _# H& q% S, D1 y, y2 w6 hEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 0 Q5 g v4 ~& F7 A5 b; d: Fsampling instant separated by commas. ! L! b5 R. w, K( z lColumns 1-45 correspond to: - Q7 s- }' Y8 R3 z# f) M* @• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,, u* ?5 Y6 ~' u7 T
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,( c3 z1 H R! @1 m
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, ( i- M* R- p' m7 t• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, 0 \8 o1 [- C# V3 O g• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. ~& f7 L% I+ E+ b9 B6 R6 B2 OTherefore,( F* P; b7 J% O( U. g- k
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), # ]4 S! b8 Q, N9 |( y$ B, G8 o; |• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), . x6 H! L1 M" ]% `• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), E, B3 Z9 d/ j; A0 i# x" R• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), $ y5 o% m% G8 I+ \• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 6 R# e& u3 ^( M! c; ?3References3 v) \8 L7 W4 v B) |+ Y
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic # b% i% c- Y' f: w0 [! adaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.* V1 I. |# t% i* y/ H
42(5), 679-687, 2004! s" V1 I0 s8 ~* Z, q- t
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of& Z1 T/ u2 e9 @
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. ; a" A8 @# F4 l2 i' [Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 D! ~3 w- ?- W( v8 K( G
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag: p5 g P3 e: z4 z# X
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.( X1 P. F6 \- g$ p
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 * D' g2 m* C7 i) W9 A[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con$ ?) Z$ D4 W- p( ?; z8 |: W
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008' y8 T2 i7 l- Q' w
5 W' D& H5 c) @: J, I; f) z! Q20227 k* K4 v( j, a1 h
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling # ^3 T* W6 j ]0 J, t& I# Shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn5 a ^' i( L5 ^# n; K
Problem D (ICM) 9 _! a: o! _ i' @# N$ t8 aWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long 3 ?, ^8 a9 d& n2 _+ ~) k8 E; {Time " { ^9 [4 |9 b4 C& ~! Y3 OWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the$ E0 ^( K1 f; J" `1 P' V
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source- P1 T$ u' L' K0 H' E. K2 G3 F8 B
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently - _0 I6 {5 |3 [tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, 3 I9 c9 a1 V3 N- Awhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some ! g0 B6 L5 `: @! A' @! q8 wscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak5 E# \& {/ U/ K8 H' @- M6 G' y; c
ends.9 W4 @7 d5 |4 Y7 @
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?, ?: R1 N2 O) n5 x# R
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas/ W) {& _2 T& [" Z. {' a P
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 0 P* O( l) P: Z0 W7 ]. C0 Qple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 0 _0 ~( Q5 y6 e5 m3 O4 j/ Zcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil- J* t% R' [3 h6 ^/ N
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of 2 k% [0 B2 Z( Z3 B# p/ G4 JEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.; e. ^! [, C7 l
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology ; q! x# J+ R3 N ^3 ^- H7 u' tin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their , V1 D; U! ^) }$ Ismoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have 2 G, z3 h5 \0 J6 N+ R( W7 lidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with7 S4 M+ i( h' l0 ?6 c, W; r8 d. v
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing & h- C1 F/ J: ialmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen 2 ?+ O" N( r: M: [8 J) F! f; `from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30( Q1 R* P: L2 f( p- F
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in& P8 R' V! A7 B+ Z
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in 1 g2 S* H+ O4 d6 O* B" BGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife* y/ L- P% d% Q% X; N0 C1 V2 I
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature, c9 J L* `+ h8 p- N w& g
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact7 w( @, x1 M* b6 b! p7 V
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients 1 e7 h+ O0 v5 u4 z( z Y/ gare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.% M! `. @) P$ t; Z; u
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:; n5 ?" j7 Z8 L# |( Y& V# b6 Q/ f9 }
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS # p( Y' S: e3 ]" g5 u% \outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL( _' W2 P) }4 V3 p3 p5 H* j, @) L
• Decline and extinction of populations - @/ } B! L* S, t. D+ W• Introduction of invasive species ) X8 ?3 k9 e/ ~" _3 \ F$ ^• Spread of new diseases to humans 6 ]( s! q, j9 K zWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database , a, N) d" I% ucontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The* K6 n! U' R0 v/ h
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete: g; _3 ]! H3 @+ G! c7 P/ Q$ L! B- l
database can also be obtained through the following link: : \7 F" y7 H$ T7 yhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ4 v% U& B3 V5 Q4 [2 `: _& d6 U
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod / K& X; J) f0 h% l3 M$ Gels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: & G% `/ i: `2 F* J( V1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live . U# d0 K f# p9 n0 S# Aanimals taken from the wild)?0 b' l: p0 V- D% s( q+ G
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?& k9 P& K' Y. j% J* X8 H
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? ; Y# ?2 i0 d, q& ?/ V8 K7 E4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major $ m7 w A2 O- \1 B7 K6 Tinfectious diseases?- _- J# |3 c5 u& N }; @5 e9 B) ~
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it U5 z6 b6 ~1 @+ @1 n s% I
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? 3 A/ l9 K+ b2 p0 ]1 n6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain , A$ j9 _- F! ~your views and policy suggestions. 1 X( h5 z$ K7 R; Y$ A 4 y4 T1 T% m( W ! X$ H2 m0 |$ Z4 A3 k+ i8 P 3 u/ W; u7 d. R6 b. b+ Y) b! c8 v- c7 a. v- l
9 [+ T! S% Q9 \5 j