2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 - e2 k% w6 j, \* R8 J2 k
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx0 K w( v. k8 c
9 `" s) h/ Y( \' v0 d+ y2022 4 v0 ^7 ?3 a! J7 g0 x) nCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling7 A! D, Z: I, v; e7 |
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn% N" h* m2 j6 {# ^
Problem A (MCM); q+ }" l C: |+ U
How Pterosaurs Fly 6 n1 Q" H/ P- E" J* f! F# \Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They - J! S0 S8 H f: |% `) L. Z3 {/ |existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 1 l3 K+ B9 W+ B% D! P' P& h0 Athe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved / x; d: v8 z4 ]: ipowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and4 r- P9 K, a O& G
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth$ u, M+ m: b$ J% b/ o) {( X
fifinger[1]. 5 q$ B' @5 p$ N: n9 F$ B6 SThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller$ x2 w/ z$ a6 `8 U
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem5 s( V* j6 @6 r* b
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they & Z% b4 E/ W2 {1 U1 f. R5 u) S! swould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and1 f9 T% k# `# S7 z. q1 Z2 x1 B
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived2 u& i, Y* n% {5 k
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.6 _2 a7 e: ^- Q8 b' I$ X
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.; f }3 I r8 r$ Z
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,# c) y, |# p7 D, O
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on + j. O0 T9 q/ g3 `: yall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and4 w; z3 Y" i; } g" A' w
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil4 J- x9 N; P/ \* H0 ~7 b
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].' B4 J+ C6 v$ W* ~
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which5 |3 Q+ N8 ~5 A" M0 b8 f
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 0 o5 A _0 g, p! R& Ehad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug $ ^) l' V" X% lgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de! v+ x* C0 n& b- t/ h+ I
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning' j. a4 L4 [/ r( F& e9 F& q
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded! a& z9 i- B7 s9 h
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec( ~ B( l2 `! m @) m4 Z( a( s6 _
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones ' a% M3 X9 o1 ]* C _* Dto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from 7 ]4 C+ F# a3 u# l* A; B' o; R& }the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including, D& U+ [' X) W; N' V+ [; _
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least4 q$ v* W0 y/ {& P0 {
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong5 `) Y' [6 B! t
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. , y+ G" u; k9 x0 R, s8 J$ l* m6 `The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled5 C# U! G- t! y L. }4 @1 G
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded. b1 Z6 ^- ^9 i* i
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,4 k7 C- C' _; P- _
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able: N# T6 ]. `% i) L1 m2 S6 V
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].9 J. k% |7 \3 _/ X
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology9 d- M7 L6 P1 N" z* J% O+ [
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs; x" J; q- Q! g) [' `
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 4 P7 ^" g! `2 Z6 tsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that. v4 N" U* K( p+ a J; C
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed - w6 e9 o; M# Z8 z. t( \, Tfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].( g! C( L& l8 k+ y1 B
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. S5 Y2 d; e1 [4 e' ^If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones3 V X* O7 E0 Q2 L* r
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage) E+ Y% b6 @2 X* J" t
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for " x9 s s5 h7 v" k- w3 V6 \getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded! M" x$ `. ~2 d- V, a
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as 0 I( @+ ]$ l% l m+ P7 Iquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of & B4 b& c7 [: k7 T# v* lJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism; M. c" x9 L1 [9 @" X
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would# ^; u6 |: T$ r4 N. K3 M, |
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds1 D. w$ ^0 E9 A* D
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. 8 P, F6 H: T' o' W; fYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the 5 A. G2 h. I! Y$ h1 R2 eflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and- Q% S# J" Y0 Z7 F6 E- a
to answer the following questions. , U% e8 ^3 U2 j' l$ |6 B1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor 6 u5 I! j; W$ f$ P7 mmal flflight. 5 a; y& l# L6 X' H& G2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during% h; L& t8 H" ^# E. y
normal flflight. . j$ g- d/ ` S/ d; y9 p7 ~, d' p3 q3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like& h7 n2 w9 \1 L7 n+ [2 [
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.9 `4 Q3 g' J4 ^- d, ^
References / [4 J. f, P' A$ }6 b: `1 s[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight # C* O2 Y. b7 ~- P. l; eMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. 7 J$ \5 c* {7 L2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. k6 D4 q" Y. m! [- m: B+ Ihttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php8 f5 D T0 L1 o9 @
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs ' E6 A, ?: q; C5 ~Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-3 h" r" I+ ?4 V! A( J1 G
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html 0 B6 `- @( [. q. @ h[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a 6 x6 i) t8 q* w* ?' t" q; qrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) 3 N/ O& c/ z K* Q( _from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 3 R- F. _# z. a( ]% a4 N$ ^1983-87. : U# N* l \$ E8 m3 b8 G[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust - Z6 u$ b8 ]( Q7 J2 ~" J3 c5 g& sskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 0 |+ w+ x( o' Q' W& J; D180-84. @# F ?9 r+ o6 |4 S
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?6 R. K( e; W# U7 ^
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs 8 Q k1 P8 P: Z* V1 Y* e: `too-big-to-flfly/ * x; s6 q5 x5 L0 {: r3 K+ l$ K3 F[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology2 e1 ` J' }2 N& \. }. t1 u
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.5 }# T3 n5 N$ T/ I& x0 c
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable / j8 U! i+ m2 b3 `: {8 Yair sacs in their wings. 4 g+ d. }# W' M, [https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur 4 u A9 b' c( r+ x4 `: Hbreathing-air-sacs / o* c7 x D- C" s% w7 w; W[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.7 }8 x3 ]' T+ ^# ^2 c+ t7 M5 w, F( i* S
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils % w1 l/ p3 T9 p4 Jresearch-mark-witton / Q6 m$ i' }) U5 ?7 f) T[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?2 O `/ d4 e; t1 W2 ?2 o- o# g
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs 4 Z. }+ M& B/ `8 J( }% u4 p4 Wvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/3 M9 k+ c" f6 `
( x/ f' ^2 P. }: ]3 b# b3 j20227 g2 n$ {& S) u( q5 J" d- Z a: b
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 9 X8 V7 t3 }1 o9 Q9 e- P; Z* ohttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn$ Y) m& }+ m+ j# F1 G
Problem B (MCM) ) C( E6 N3 H% T4 Q3 @1 UThe Genetic Process of Sequences ' s3 S2 l" _9 V1 y* x( _Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein! N$ j* O# v0 C2 I4 b/ u
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of( {4 R; c" A! u2 i5 x: z5 ]
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their ) X$ h" V% R8 f- {2 Onucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong0 m9 z$ |1 b" B8 l5 k( m
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common , Q- R/ q v* pancestral sequence[2].# {2 K0 X; a! h2 m5 x
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu & m$ f8 J J# k8 t7 Dcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation" t* b9 [- j0 l1 v5 m. q" `
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and 5 K" k% }4 K2 Y, w1 ldeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by' V6 N' F; A+ x+ W' T
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together 6 e) G0 B3 K' {can form a family, and they are considered homologous. + R; m/ D( j. |% z1 DYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com ; w0 p3 {) q0 N$ bplete the following problems. ( _, ]3 q7 }3 t5 I3 B5 ~- h$ @1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between1 {, ]) w! A. A: c5 X
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. 4 E3 ]( G9 `6 }2 h8 g. R$ J* N5 y2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 3 c# w; `; o, y% x; Jdesign suitable examples to illustrate it. / A" g t1 y" u, k; y3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an 3 w+ r% J3 O) }* e5 \2 F5 lcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral + D. }- [$ B6 ?/ Ysequence, and map the genealogical tree.) ]. e7 r5 C2 `3 t6 X
References 5 U4 J! D* N6 p) i7 ^* b! c[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re ) N! ^, C; Y* d& E' D5 H3 qview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.; w: k: J0 x" w: O5 L
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 4 k; A, I ~/ R$ Pet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and4 p7 M% \0 u4 |7 \
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.8 r; B: Z+ |" K0 R' o( e5 T
5 m l2 c( G2 ^& b
2022) ^( V$ O) T8 F
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling. H- W% v1 k6 u! C: d
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn B( O' D- G$ F2 p/ G9 i
Problem C (ICM)5 K- d9 F* Z3 V% o& B4 U3 Q
Classify Human Activities # F- l6 V/ z. R- i' `One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and 0 j1 d. A3 e& i9 V3 hmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im+ o2 k' D @: W5 r
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor* d5 Q. l9 J* G- j2 K6 B6 g0 Y
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ8 t8 d3 V1 L2 Q l w; A4 L
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly% a9 s' l* n+ Q: j% ~& ?
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], 9 E$ p& v7 R1 L1 Z: L5 i: [medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in7 W3 A- Q; t1 j5 s* o* k
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,! W* U x! Y# S) |& s" A
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain # s0 v e7 y( P7 _6 q3 I: Zment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial ' w% F* T9 B. a) asensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify0 Y; v' ?. J4 B3 ~- g9 U6 D/ t: Q
human activities, the following data were obtained.# o% A5 j, t$ @' f
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, ' F7 ^0 j( ?3 Kbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes2 o+ ?1 B& t$ E9 M, l( p4 K5 }
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ 3 J; |3 F s+ u" J, X1 Rities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be ; g6 X7 K" j( n5 H& B0 i. ]performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and& _' j3 ^9 E1 b6 \
amplitudes of some activities. ! y( O6 U- W$ N6 ^; G% i! ASensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 4 ^- Q9 d7 x( I; AThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal 2 S6 C2 ]% l0 zsegments are obtained for each activity." W0 G2 m$ b q( \; C( q
The 19 activities are: ! e* K% L# d4 v1. Sitting (A1);; A1 @) y& h- M7 ?0 Y
2. Standing (A2); 2 Z4 G9 C2 C% j9 T2 A3. Lying on back (A3);4 |% N9 F }" W+ y
4. Lying on right side (A4);" k3 x. R4 s7 s ~& X% T
5. Ascending stairs (A5);4 O- B+ H3 Z7 \ C; q3 O
16. Descending stairs (A6);0 R* q# V8 p/ d! \4 ~
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); P" A1 R9 X7 |* |* l
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 4 t! i" j" Y) k$ `3 O9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); 8 L4 y8 H- B9 K6 K1 P4 ~10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg- [0 v5 m5 y, W8 U: ?& M
inclined positions (A10);9 r! j. i z8 M
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions T9 ~3 b- e* X8 K2 S(A11);# R5 g3 {- i' G
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);. @+ M6 ~9 k; G3 q
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);$ {, \2 u5 ?" [ k/ B, V8 p
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 2 {6 F+ B7 Y1 ?9 z15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);! w( g! n% s( j1 x
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); 5 i3 P. h+ o$ y6 x g0 l17. Rowing (A17);2 R, i5 M0 E% d( y* [
18. Jumping (A18); & ?- {" @2 f" J- Z: ~19. Playing basketball (A19).0 Q* K$ d: ~2 V: q X' R
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve" r. p2 `% N) `: L
the following problems.& F9 ~4 V& T& o' `* |2 Y$ T" F
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify- F. @* G5 ~) a
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. ) v, y: p; U* h2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have$ H/ f1 H8 k, h9 @8 o+ V) f6 u3 Z% Z
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study . }) z# o" x# \; e* z W9 eand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to. S$ A( {2 G) C* `3 Y7 Z7 [% e; i
evaluate the generalization ability of your model.6 m8 p/ L- u& k# p6 V
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- % U8 ]$ r1 W$ g0 j$ v% b& t. z0 _cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action + L* l( [' @% V/ p/ ^+ l3 A; m" bclassifification." r8 B% k3 ^2 U, z- @. h4 k
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link: 9 X2 K$ y- M2 Q& O0 ^https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq 3 `) B L9 x0 A, `2Appendix: File structure 4 w6 b' r$ N3 D8 P4 }& ?/ u* _• 19 activities (a)* \: A( L% U$ F3 f
• 8 subjects (p)$ l( V, ^/ c* [8 S3 l2 r: z4 ]% Z
• 60 segments (s) 3 p `& b0 [: `• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left( [$ J! B. g$ _3 X8 \# q( }
leg (LL)" v( ?. _9 E( {$ W: S3 F, t- K
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z " Z) ], W; I v0 f; Q( j+ \magnetometers) - |" M' A3 G2 o: F O9 E! eFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.7 Z$ S' L7 l$ h' g5 w. {9 d- b# i3 P
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the( M5 E5 a- ^: p( |& t4 \- o
8 subjects. . l9 ]& |+ e y2 b! ^In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each ; a2 A6 E; ?( y% {$ m/ _. _6 |segment. 3 z F4 m( Z2 i3 zIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 / c9 l8 Q& }" n2 k @Hz = 125 rows.; V2 d* N1 ~- ^, `, e) D
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the' [- S. H% m" G2 g7 N
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.) ]; o) Y1 B, `3 x) F8 C2 S' |; H/ a
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular $ H" {' {. \& ksampling instant separated by commas.. B/ T1 ~9 t6 i5 x3 o( R
Columns 1-45 correspond to:7 a( }( k) ~$ g6 W- ]9 V" x" b% k
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,' K; m# M- t- f* Y N! N& |! c
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,$ V. K/ S! ~8 H7 x
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,' x. q2 s; \# b- m
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,5 H) x7 Y( o: [% v; {1 s
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.! E, a2 J! |: E$ _5 T$ e
Therefore, 9 k7 s# V' b! @) q• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),. Y F! ?' b. A5 u
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 7 q. p- j- V& D$ ]( f• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),; E/ F8 g& D, P1 k& x j
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), & T/ a* M T5 D9 ~ c( Z• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).. Q, i6 ^2 D& Q8 ?
3References " o/ Y: v1 M3 {* l9 |6 Y[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic$ T* C, r& L8 u4 X! l
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.: |* H; Y& B7 u" x
42(5), 679-687, 2004 6 Y* }8 K8 U% c[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of , [9 p6 @$ s6 b1 f! U' I4 zlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. 5 B" X. ^* I) w. |$ ]) D, zGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 & }$ p. N% b/ `" Q4 x[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag 9 J* L: |- y3 P/ D$ p: _) ~& k, n7 U# Dnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.3 R" q! i2 R( ^3 p' Z- x, w1 ~
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 l; {) |3 l/ z3 @% e) ?[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con + b" o, f8 m& X2 |! Btrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 ; M- Z( e& m* u( X: U3 C' L7 U, r. K$ E
20225 \/ l7 `+ L4 c" H5 Q3 V% T& I
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling( b: D& l X' W/ l. a
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn; }! N: v( O/ \6 M
Problem D (ICM)/ p9 P/ T; x X3 C" |$ d
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long . }. H5 {, L$ Z& P# I/ T( ATime. F$ |) [1 {& }
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the 1 H' e/ S( |" [6 b2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source1 t# `' U! O" A1 s0 N) N
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently7 w: E, _& |$ B3 ^$ ]
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, 1 g" U# U4 Q8 u) xwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some: Z9 x o, e9 N
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak3 c" X+ L, ?2 Z2 S! Q5 u/ V( Q
ends. 5 D5 H0 H7 d% I0 [& XHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?" x. ?: }7 C1 Y- a2 I a& G
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas ; C' f. m8 ` F% }6 Sothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 7 s3 E `+ M2 `* Yple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could( K. }& D5 }* A, c: p2 U
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil1 E- M) o; j6 a
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of! _. w- c$ W, r% A0 H1 P
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.- `7 M* U+ E" o* L0 e
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology 5 @4 J( U4 m# y) C' |, H/ {! J8 Fin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their; u- w. ?; G) m8 P1 ]# x$ o1 v0 v
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have # ?8 M( h% [& \' w- l3 x% Didentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with ( T# b# N& i/ D4 A) }all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing : @4 L& s, N# e0 r8 s ialmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen& N4 ~/ _+ Z, I: l9 e6 j5 {: W2 C
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 9 I: z. j5 w! J* @; b5 {. hNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in* _+ u- }4 J, L/ ^" }
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in6 H; h; ?' P7 y' \ W: ^
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 9 b7 \1 d' }$ z* w& strade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature) Z! k/ |; O/ D1 n z
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact 6 u2 t! S9 M2 A7 \2 nwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients6 I/ B& r1 z: ]
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.9 j% D( M$ W g# f
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: / T- k y: d# X% v: L" P1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS8 ~( X0 l- i' P- q7 u, I
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL . P) {2 l- I" S* D# d- u! x• Decline and extinction of populations ! y/ o( c& J4 W5 X7 b( E2 E! E3 Z• Introduction of invasive species! q$ l5 _7 F. y; n% [! V f
• Spread of new diseases to humans( {& s! Z1 C+ E
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database N: E+ f: e* }
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The9 U# O3 n6 {; I B$ N0 c
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete2 q- k# p# F/ `2 Q# F# R' s2 G6 _7 \
database can also be obtained through the following link: * a9 o2 N+ g$ @2 S! Mhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ0 I" q. w& I+ y! M" ?: p# M4 N
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod+ x. }% q+ y0 R3 g3 n1 }
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:* L" L6 u3 w0 N& `9 C9 Y, [: {
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live ; Y+ W0 E$ q# E- W) x- Q' I7 Panimals taken from the wild)?, ?4 j6 Q% m+ r7 H& T) y0 n
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? $ a/ A1 ?' O" e8 [7 V5 z3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? ! J, a9 f6 b6 X7 S7 O1 n8 P4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major / h7 E' Q: x* O# y( {4 Ainfectious diseases?8 R) P, E; p" [. q
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it / [& z3 C# t+ g$ gwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?. L6 D1 ]1 F# G7 K( y. ?6 f
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain, |- M+ S2 c- c Z. ?; U4 l
your views and policy suggestions. & g& j: e8 n- o1 K& R e3 w6 o( A! [% l" `+ A& G