2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 % d4 o6 y2 C! M/ \+ P c9 P, J' L
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx \# C9 X8 m4 V
' h4 K* V% S; d) `! z' f* s* m2022 0 s w: W S; j% B' P! [/ I+ MCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ' ?# O8 ^3 r; X4 I" @http://mcm.tzmcm.cn2 I; d$ l8 o( p( y; v
Problem A (MCM) 5 n) _, v9 I( E! K5 _How Pterosaurs Fly, m8 d" o4 g) ~' `! A, s9 X
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They % {0 S4 @; e- ^% {) ]existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of. E3 x: p7 z' W- @. K+ m
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved 5 c: s, f% @! W/ xpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and & A- m& N8 @1 b( C( nother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth ) |: L! o% Z2 z. h! F) P1 ^0 Kfifinger[1]. n/ S9 R* z5 n, z/ E% _9 m2 bThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller$ F, ]; K) r9 Z. i v" A6 B
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem, T# h7 E- e3 K* ^' t; s, w& ]# }
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they ; R0 M3 u0 r2 @$ N9 Mwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and* q* x# M( u% P) W) X# i
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived) u3 Q/ y" J2 V4 U
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. - m" p( |+ ]: d1 t( m. gLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. 7 ]6 o* g1 i# APterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, ( B) \; Q) Y; G ~" J" iand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on; q9 k8 X5 H u) X P' u! b
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and5 [! ^4 H" m1 c/ ~, d( F* e
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil 6 D4 z; C1 o- z' atrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].# s5 C. R# I, d0 Q* a' U/ h
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 4 Z8 p9 r7 B2 b `. C0 j+ _& dcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 6 c5 w2 f7 c" R( \3 Ehad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug" x* s, H. b; R D6 P! Y5 ~( u+ e
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de 5 q* ?# s# D3 a9 L0 W# ^riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning6 I. @7 P- i0 K2 i( W( Y5 [: |4 X
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded6 g" H5 m# y/ a) O
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec$ X5 S6 u' S4 i1 Y1 A: m8 A0 H
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 1 d& b/ g6 r' _9 c2 ]5 Bto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from# K+ K# b2 K8 N0 L
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including f: `: p! Y2 i6 QQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least6 c; c9 U: e+ w. ?- ^' m
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong % t1 T0 N% X8 ~$ Y3 E0 R9 j1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.) o/ X+ i7 H# O% b
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled& i3 `$ ^" d7 {$ L3 R2 l* b' r
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 9 C% ]0 m( V, @3 C+ ethat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, 5 H% J9 [" V* C( P0 j. U+ bLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able& \7 r. S0 c# e; |$ ]4 h: u1 W
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].8 M2 H. b N1 R* S+ B, `* J$ \
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology6 g2 Z0 W" X4 u( o4 U% Y
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs }6 L) }9 E/ z9 i
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, / A! o+ n z) T6 psuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that' b& a- i0 r- \; @- d7 w/ g
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed 9 q7 X; h7 e; g x Lfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].$ C) Z( m! r( q" K+ q) r
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. : O! G' a3 S* m& S, l3 z fIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones / A. M ?- I( z# Pof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage 7 h+ F; u. D w$ g$ l4 ra bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for, Q2 |3 r9 T5 A! R1 [
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded2 ?! z6 v, ~ `7 H: D7 ^ @
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as* z) o8 v9 g! q& T
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of : p3 S6 M; H( q* } zJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism, y9 `+ n9 S0 s
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would 5 `6 n( m+ b3 [" Yenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds 4 Y' D! z1 O8 i4 l1 Eof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].) S1 Z* D6 N$ @' ] Z" P, w
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the k7 L) ~# v8 w" s0 `0 S# @flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and5 Z# G6 X+ k' J& U
to answer the following questions.0 { r( v9 e& }' k: y
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor; p) ]$ T+ v+ g# ]
mal flflight. 6 D& z9 }- ^& p; {# `" G# s2 t3 m2 H2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during $ V$ d( Y1 ^# \8 Fnormal flflight.% C* P. S5 s# g1 E+ o& S
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like . O! D/ d1 L1 R/ _; |birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. " n& P' ^% a6 F; i. I6 xReferences 2 c$ j1 M- S7 y& S }, u* A' Z/ u2 T[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight d) D. K' J% K3 M
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. + }+ Y! l) @( |: ^, J2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 3 J/ ?" \- g- W+ Ihttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php B. S3 b1 W9 I* r: b[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs5 G( Y7 M* j) B4 Z4 o5 \
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-& L x& R5 o6 J+ R) i6 T
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html 3 t& y2 w" ~, t) S' p& y$ L* o[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a$ H7 Q. A" o- M
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) 1 M9 W! m+ @. f) ^/ X' l% X6 A, yfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):: R# A6 F- i$ ]6 T; i' z; {& ^
1983-87.2 @: ~6 N' M& ~
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust( M3 w3 v& d% W1 j ~9 I
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):+ ?- S( K( Z0 ~5 |( Y
180-84.: ~5 `5 v1 K) Z6 k, S+ d
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?9 }% `+ o2 ^& f V9 _. H) U
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs " |6 j; H2 @$ b9 t5 stoo-big-to-flfly/3 ~% |% X1 U: ~3 @$ H3 M
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology 8 n, C3 a$ ]0 `" s: Z: Y' }of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.0 K h# D) [8 f- w0 Z0 T
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable * m8 }% e; w0 P; c4 \$ e2 a+ @1 Aair sacs in their wings.6 b: `. g! d6 [, |9 X" u* a9 I
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur* L' ^* I" V/ t4 V* O7 v
breathing-air-sacs* Z6 X6 p1 V! I" z$ U) t3 k8 Z; E; Z
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. % _" X2 X2 J1 i6 T; O, P' u% zhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils 6 W* e( D4 N, `8 }" Zresearch-mark-witton $ j. c. i7 z; z7 [[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?4 H0 m+ v* Q5 m( v
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs; \8 A3 M' Y4 V
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ ! _5 F C/ e# d/ l$ f7 q. G4 p) Y$ u- ?0 \4 q
2022* ~( \$ b9 z6 I: M0 d
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling/ s/ u; a' I6 j5 }, P
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn# O2 [+ M8 O1 w. K2 [
Problem B (MCM)8 w4 b2 n5 u2 J1 X. Q p N
The Genetic Process of Sequences O/ I' V: ^ P" }+ `' E( y) ` USequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein, {9 w, q3 \. L' |; L4 I
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of 0 e, ^' ?( x$ E! Y) X3 Mlife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their 9 M9 }7 a! ?0 ~# d$ Lnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong ) N) @) Z! F) O" V, y! ]: r: g/ Sevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common 5 h( q% K' k, n b8 D. ]+ _+ \8 u/ eancestral sequence[2].7 C% v5 b+ b. C/ x& K0 ]
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu ) ~# r7 q p. Y* fcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation3 }" R( X4 @2 v. I+ \- F
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and/ w9 c% Y* f! b8 Q2 Z) t9 {
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by% k+ O5 m9 U- ^ V. q
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together4 p" Y3 z6 ^7 o
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. : w1 n+ b" h$ Y! xYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com ! e$ x! C1 l4 E9 b6 A6 Qplete the following problems.- v1 f9 L4 C5 h7 X
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between 2 r3 c5 i+ _! G7 \+ Ptwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. % E4 h9 t: G- H1 Z. W8 l6 l: g1 S2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 9 C; O0 ~; ?* S, L2 W. x" ^7 idesign suitable examples to illustrate it. 6 b0 v! [) b/ f1 H* M3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an z% ^) J% |8 p5 s+ Q l8 jcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral ; X/ W5 x/ |0 k h- ?sequence, and map the genealogical tree.- x% a+ K( a. p% ?
References6 x& m/ c. }& H! R* I# R' {8 v
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re : k# {1 b; ~" Iview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.8 E2 S. S9 a- I ?8 i7 k5 F
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,+ Z9 @/ {/ O# S2 n' W9 t [" z
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and 4 T9 t, X; P& [! Ha way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. c& c# [( O1 w7 E; a8 _5 [9 D 5 c! {3 [ @' O2022 7 l6 r* s5 c% Q y, s+ P6 KCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ( U2 Q$ B, |$ N* B/ [& Zhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn# u: o7 |+ z$ U3 g/ S% n
Problem C (ICM) 7 e6 v/ I8 L: L; j: p+ X% W$ tClassify Human Activities% B; a" m4 P7 Y3 T, @9 J
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and+ q: |1 t! w6 V
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im" w0 E, V1 Y9 a* t
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor9 `8 j: A+ p8 @* l5 z. ^
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ. |- o/ N9 ~1 Z9 E( B% [) G d: I
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly " M$ P0 x4 A3 Sremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],. ?3 z: d0 w* \; M1 V, Z
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in# @+ w/ G8 N8 S& P; d# R T
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,' ~! x- ^5 y7 B7 l" ~- l( z
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain4 V" ]' o b" R1 d8 N
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial # g5 d% t" ]+ t1 M3 N3 i( Gsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify# H" f* l& X! [2 z" ?6 H: K4 I( L
human activities, the following data were obtained.( @* ?- B6 Z' v- E
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,8 x! p+ z$ D6 T$ ~& s
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes% J; ] {1 z9 n: v3 A
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ+ g# n, h4 i$ R2 e
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be 8 Z2 c- G- ~; Y: Y9 l; Qperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and2 }$ d6 Y# i3 P; {( W$ \$ b- s
amplitudes of some activities.& N, F0 t) a' F# Q1 ?+ ]+ l
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.- e8 t9 x% n" b
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal) v& J. r% P7 }7 ~8 h1 h0 U# B
segments are obtained for each activity. ! ^7 ?% J5 d! B$ ZThe 19 activities are:4 t: y+ |% K" i, j) j4 ^
1. Sitting (A1);6 ^8 {$ u5 Z! Z: |- z
2. Standing (A2); " ?7 w5 G# s7 E; ~5 w. i+ ^5 d3. Lying on back (A3); : C0 y0 n! n! K* X4. Lying on right side (A4);$ k3 I: w# O$ B
5. Ascending stairs (A5);+ f" x# F. G* L" ]% G$ A8 C) S! N
16. Descending stairs (A6); 0 }% Q1 F! V x( h# V" g* O; r7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); 9 u. q7 y" \* b# j& @! B: ]8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);/ s5 e, _( }/ S
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); % v* n0 M% o# E10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg ' X4 @1 u$ z5 A* c* V; C& y3 h+ [inclined positions (A10); 0 [; Q9 C1 ]7 H11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions& O) j- I# Q5 ?) E2 t
(A11); 0 z/ N) |! R) S7 I' Y2 G0 { T12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);; r8 T& Z' Q! w4 W9 p$ a
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); / j& f; |3 |* n/ }6 O& U14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);* T( R# B* j7 P5 _% b0 r1 B) ^
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); " T/ ^4 {+ e G1 w! Z0 P16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);: i- i0 I" O( j, I* `
17. Rowing (A17); 4 u7 W8 N2 |" ~! \18. Jumping (A18); 3 j, T- |5 \0 p& s/ s% F5 d' g19. Playing basketball (A19). 4 p$ Y+ V Z3 D, F0 \Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve$ j/ l8 r5 Z2 R; _% L$ _# y
the following problems. / ^3 o' F* \! x' k$ l1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify0 W; _2 W0 t C2 T) H3 }3 ~
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.. c c2 G5 B3 _/ g, Q6 G, l
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have) T. L& k' v. d1 I! P- ~
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study ( r) i0 g' @8 H& c' fand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to8 E4 b# U7 i) ?/ O# O& ?3 U
evaluate the generalization ability of your model.4 | h6 g1 L" L8 o* S) [; @
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-" s1 m8 [6 q4 j+ O) q% g
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action9 w; s6 n* i) Y: P# d* t" H6 |
classifification. ( v# U) O8 z6 tThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: . F! ~3 ?4 o, i' H" h3 K7 Yhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq 2 k3 V- S8 o1 q2 n2Appendix: File structure % V- f. y/ F; I& H& l0 d/ N3 w• 19 activities (a), ^; u! ?( T1 B" b
• 8 subjects (p) - A5 o$ e% m' V& Z• 60 segments (s) * I5 v; k; f R6 P, h$ z• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left" f1 i* t J/ g" ~) h3 p
leg (LL) + C2 W1 N/ s2 x( S! A• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z5 ? t E9 m6 ]2 F; j( G7 ?
magnetometers)* b2 z% f4 B f4 x
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.7 ^1 p/ p3 s' h* z, z# ?
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the, s" o% P7 j8 `
8 subjects.3 t. D/ L5 V! u5 e) e
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each - `( h! b% V( Asegment., H: Q! ]3 b+ i' i" t5 k# N8 h& \
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25( J7 {" [! T8 f" I& f
Hz = 125 rows. 8 e; L+ v8 S8 C ]( JEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the 3 {# d! ]8 u6 ^sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.3 Z$ ]6 t6 n: C8 Y4 T/ D& o& p9 k
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular' V/ D- h' |; w3 ^* N) `! A
sampling instant separated by commas. ! J/ o) c5 j; F! ~- R) RColumns 1-45 correspond to: + C- u6 M$ c9 W; p, T( o8 j• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,% |. H7 E# R1 a4 a, f6 q% g( \- r- p
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,8 K4 s9 t0 e& E5 A2 L" V
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,1 X4 B3 w3 `8 j' f9 D* d. M
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, / j- ]3 J' ^3 C" T, m# W/ x7 L. e• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.( W! f _: N2 ?
Therefore,- O: W8 Y4 F6 }1 E Z
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),; e' B# E2 s+ L3 N% p; g
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),* J. p8 j3 L$ w' x# M
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),% Z& U0 H3 g3 e( y& C) m/ T6 M. s' d
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), 8 `# q0 K, I1 o, g• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).& n' |$ c+ l5 } p8 U
3References U6 ?9 _* m/ v9 c- j
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic % L, k* b( n& h% r) E$ N5 _daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput." F6 x3 x* s4 m/ ?5 X- R& s& Q
42(5), 679-687, 2004 : ?0 M! P( R3 d" M[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of . S! |% t6 a: b( `low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. . R6 O" _1 g% KGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008/ d/ O3 m# c* s; ~) [
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag * e7 V3 \ |, f$ q7 Tnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. 5 G. ]& M9 K, K: W% q! WB. 11(5), 553-562, 20075 s1 a, |. Z2 x; ]" v% C
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con) b: z9 B# u9 y Z
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008- R' H- }4 l& C% _7 v5 \- z% J$ ~
( E5 p' N$ J; c
2022- b1 u2 v) E5 ~, I
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 2 D. q: \! [4 W+ @7 uhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn / Q: ? L3 S+ LProblem D (ICM) ! P, `% L& E" ?Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long5 i% \- l; H. }: ?
Time" _. S' ?4 |: o
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the* y/ ?3 k6 P8 K0 W
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source . u! J! O1 i4 N; ]of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently8 w* y; n; G, {. a' o! ~
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, ) J2 O* b+ X& S' K- ]$ ]which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some ! U1 I6 [2 J/ M+ M% ]scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak + U) N! s. }2 \5 g, C" @# xends., \" d2 X: F) v3 f1 x8 p% W
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? # J5 ]8 L3 D) h3 z J r) ?/ fSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas5 u# E# G: g3 a/ `6 S4 O& d
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo & T' F* F% o& n ^ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could : `8 t3 y, r7 \5 r+ |9 b( R( ocost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil5 Y4 ~5 K& N: K
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of `5 Z- K) S6 x" q) z
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. ( o6 ?# I6 P4 N! N j7 h1 _! n0 jA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology " l! A: x/ i5 Fin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their 2 |3 L7 P* f8 l4 L* ^4 esmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have # p- ^" z: o; \3 X9 \* Sidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with0 K4 L7 J b. P: | F
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing8 ~( h* m( B# k- c
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen0 t* n! h( ^1 j* ]( A- `5 ]
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 , S/ R0 j: u5 S4 w$ MNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in) n* v6 t+ f- c
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in ; n$ B5 N7 H- G2 I, EGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife6 G; h+ g. p+ W; l
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 1 J- b' D% J# W& f5 l% M. ~when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact ! {9 P# Y* q/ Y* Z2 G7 |* ywith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients% a+ S+ i% ^9 G1 `( { s
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.8 a- X( x ]7 S; X
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: 6 S! G# t b5 A, o$ \1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS3 w) v4 y" U! X
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL7 ]+ s9 m& c9 E7 _$ s
• Decline and extinction of populations ' t; {* b2 J0 Y6 B• Introduction of invasive species ; R0 ?3 L5 X, v& q• Spread of new diseases to humans5 H. p2 j* |' @% X$ O6 H$ M
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database# s2 b5 Y h; K9 N
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The; y, L0 f5 `$ j* X. O
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete4 |) Q: m9 G7 V; k" Q' d
database can also be obtained through the following link: " U" s& ]7 J& _) R! o5 S, Whttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ . _) O! s$ [* H; W; h4 nRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod* `+ c7 w7 E& A5 q
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: * L8 S M0 U- |4 l0 |1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live . B T! S1 k0 ^5 e- W8 v2 W$ Q lanimals taken from the wild)? 8 m* m, b5 i2 i. ^* U8 k2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?" O+ `$ X4 k$ G- F% ^% E
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? 4 j4 e' M4 ~ A- w/ I4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major2 U4 u7 b7 O& _4 N2 P# y9 F* o
infectious diseases?" _5 [/ h& ]. ^* d, [9 m/ \
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it $ j9 Z0 q( q) Z2 Zwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?: \# h# @2 r5 v/ _
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain 4 o2 w# X' {& |8 k( O! Xyour views and policy suggestions.) U) n3 G4 n1 U) g
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