2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 - b' v, i0 `& |6 `4 `9 M- Ghttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx 8 R3 t. o. M: f; G5 y2 Y8 X9 g6 `& l
2022 . e1 ?$ R$ {7 fCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 7 w: _. B+ o" c1 i- y2 xhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 5 p: b/ @6 A1 F& U) ^Problem A (MCM); c3 Y& e5 i( C7 |
How Pterosaurs Fly , s. s$ W( v' w$ s& l# }Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They; L c8 { s _/ S# C- f, M
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of5 g- U+ c* N p. H, F$ `
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved% b& T; K" \% H" T* o
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 1 O- p4 ]/ [/ Q. c& r& wother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth 0 D% ]+ ^; u6 {fifinger[1].) t% ]; c6 ^3 w0 W+ L
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller$ o3 q! m! d) ]. M! ~
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem+ j0 X3 }& L( u
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they . O3 d& k9 B3 ?/ ]1 `would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and8 p x' i8 {# [- `' w
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived. s/ U' k8 q: A, t& H" r1 a
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. + S0 L+ M1 R& \0 g: \6 W# G p* `, [0 \Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. ) C3 _8 O, C4 f7 ? K+ _, |. HPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,% a3 S2 }6 y: G, t6 _+ |9 M& U
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on $ v( U: z! O) l% d+ m+ T! Rall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and0 h f+ K! v1 W& M! B( ?- b" O- G
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil0 u* C3 D3 P) y! @
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 8 K! _/ _6 T2 Z1 jPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which' t F- {# H( y R1 Q$ N5 n. }
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have+ M: U5 l! x/ ^- E: T
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug! K- [3 i" W! p. \
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de 6 E [+ b+ q$ o* z4 m4 P" triving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning ' S8 @) i, n5 _calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded3 k6 }. d2 X. l; m0 A3 \- O: Z
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec Q+ a+ n3 T6 z* f6 [1 ]
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones1 L# B1 d( H! J. b* z
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from & ^/ L" w, p# \: kthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 0 l' m2 H1 S/ N) @Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least ( r% ~2 I! u' q/ |/ a8 u, j! Enine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong " n' y5 u, x2 J" d1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. |" A6 W+ H" J3 GThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled( U$ w# x+ z7 K0 m. G" |
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded5 V. G' c( }6 H: s+ l* H
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, + {0 h3 O# X3 z* ?8 `' t3 XLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able 6 s' ^ N: O' ~& ~- M# K1 I: _; y7 Ito flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. 7 j- }' O9 ~9 qHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology # h; |3 v' Z/ S6 g0 [5 Y: sof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs 3 L0 J: _6 w9 s% | o# B/ vbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 9 l! k. T. z6 x' r+ z& |# k; Dsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that ' m' k0 l' l, Tatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed7 |7 ~; m/ J- z: ]& j
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].: t6 Y* z/ U8 V# a5 S9 w
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.+ e+ x8 W4 @: s5 \. d/ A
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones 7 c* ?( g0 o4 {, H. R# [% mof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage / B1 w# Z5 R2 P' `- ma bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for L2 c! |1 _5 I0 }1 S9 ^: }* D
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded H% x G" W' ]* @' `& \4 P5 \
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as4 c1 F$ i0 j) K0 }, f# \( p
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ' Q3 o! z* T$ m- C% M6 eJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism 0 O& [5 j" ~% S& Q' j0 _" B4 _to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would- `1 B+ f- M; I. x$ [+ B' m/ S: i
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds* F& H1 \% t4 l4 B9 [" e
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].9 Z7 Q! m; z# Z v
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the- Z: A. ?! p4 I1 t; P4 o
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and m2 n6 L- q s: {4 a7 l2 T* b" D
to answer the following questions. , \6 L7 \9 Q7 X1 u1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor {' ]: u; z) k7 l* A6 B+ D
mal flflight., z7 x- M$ R0 s5 |5 C
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during ) i2 R0 Y) ^- q* L8 znormal flflight. i% n" N! S) ~9 ?* W1 T3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like. A; K, V( ^4 e' ~& H" p V
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. 0 }" p% X0 Z, ^' D! B7 oReferences, c6 t1 G8 e: x" ?( M
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight 9 Q: {3 U1 {( t7 rMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. % {0 I- m) r4 U6 y9 }& D; e+ c2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 7 i! I5 N7 g+ Y- Yhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php& l( W. m; }' C- r4 {
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 8 B) ]) q* U8 k7 E7 p @& i2 mWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- 1 ^" q) y0 O3 [% e7 g0 {( kpterosaurs-had-feathers.html 3 H5 F. \5 K# K4 }7 ?& \[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a& @0 k* }, B8 w0 ?" ~" ]
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea), i/ h% f# B9 X, K$ ]
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): " q; v; K) ~% a* L1 H l% _1983-87.. z; h8 |% H3 ?: ?
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust + @5 w4 N) u: `& nskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 2 ^- |8 b$ v+ Y6 V9 C180-84.0 d6 h& R2 n; G3 n/ N6 H& X$ `
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? % u( P6 j2 Y8 Zhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs4 k: i7 D1 o( ]' A+ \) H
too-big-to-flfly/4 v1 I6 V, w; F$ x
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology! z: u6 Z/ A: X
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. ( z1 O; c4 ?' G" `; E[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable$ }, } e9 X) z2 O% W9 `
air sacs in their wings. # u: n4 b+ Z0 P/ ]" Z$ I7 f* W H9 ~https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur5 H- O, ?6 {2 h g3 E B3 g
breathing-air-sacs ; }9 R3 k& L- {+ i, ^% Q[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. ' U1 |7 ?+ K/ U/ Q5 U0 }https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils * u2 J, E5 v2 hresearch-mark-witton ?% }$ q9 }- K$ R- T) l6 `
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? 9 u' } t3 n7 \- T8 Y- p6 T0 s3 @https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs: {" h# E% g5 _& Y1 H& R
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ f& q5 s9 u- E" G. G# u- g6 L& h5 q( U8 t5 T1 g1 b
2022 6 r" r( o4 d& VCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling4 q9 U# u/ W% r. t2 O
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn , `: E, V" v$ `, z8 \" n+ V( ~Problem B (MCM) ; U, E) P( U4 [The Genetic Process of Sequences f+ u9 L: P3 s5 L
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein - _8 y! y7 c+ t7 r* Zsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of) f9 x% C) V" E0 Y
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their : I2 v' R) J$ o5 n1 y- [nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong : [- A' S8 H4 w8 V% cevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common ) {, X1 b b! F5 K& p. D' P- C, vancestral sequence[2]. * j! [- d3 i1 y. }+ pConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu $ v8 N u. R/ G# W# ~! X0 ^cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 9 |: E! E3 `6 A7 U) o1 ~4 Narise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and5 C8 ^2 P9 Y7 P' s
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 1 g) U6 Y) u' G' j3 sthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together8 u+ }' P% p& n5 n+ J
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. * Y' a% U: y G- L4 eYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com " ~& L* s$ X3 Z' j1 hplete the following problems. 2 b4 y) B( Z# o1 W1 O8 S# H1 R1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between+ X, w# |( G/ [5 ^' @
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. - q, a( B8 r. h. s) o3 @; ^) {2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and V; L4 D+ v1 s: g3 zdesign suitable examples to illustrate it.2 O; M% ~ N2 j+ C- v
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an1 _1 X4 a+ r' |8 C. D& o7 w: _- C
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral/ b% B7 p" s/ G7 a, v5 B- w1 C
sequence, and map the genealogical tree.. h5 a, m8 A* g" z
References: y, Y5 {' Y4 D: @
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re * @+ I0 R% ~; B/ Uview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.' Y5 N$ k+ I/ Z8 U8 ~+ _
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, . B- A0 ~+ F' oet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and & p2 @3 S' s$ Y0 c$ k" Za way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. , P4 t: h W' S ' G, A# z! i ?2022 + E/ l* f2 ~8 wCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling " Z- A5 D6 I5 Q5 U3 ^http://mcm.tzmcm.cn p h+ G1 ^ B' j7 i% J2 U$ T# Z5 oProblem C (ICM)4 E3 M6 t. t( \1 G
Classify Human Activities9 r7 t. M; r e2 Z
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and4 p- ^7 Y& o, F( S
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im- a7 d4 c' z" W: i: R. X
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor, x5 P/ `( J* O
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 1 V$ T+ a9 z; v2 H' j* E Tity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly4 R$ [1 A7 y/ [
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],& {6 k$ b* ^' W# D' l
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in3 ~& G3 m, g K' g! q
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, % y& z4 R8 C$ D/ X Csports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain 3 D' W7 ^( y$ e" x5 o! A( kment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial 1 @* J- z% E- K+ D1 ~sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify : p/ ]! P! J) f: @( X% ~/ A* b/ Zhuman activities, the following data were obtained., i5 L4 {" }; o3 ^) |
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,- p; k9 M3 {" [5 r/ ]. J* W- @
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes6 h R, I3 |* E8 L
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ; t+ h" }. E7 c* ^
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be4 H% D3 Q) ]# S; m
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and " D" P2 E; N, H, r$ J: bamplitudes of some activities.) G# A9 d4 q1 W3 Q3 k' Y/ G
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.+ D( c& F- p- y4 e" w
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal& X! u# j" c+ Y8 F# S
segments are obtained for each activity. ) G7 n k+ c1 s$ M; FThe 19 activities are: 0 V7 U5 }3 K- `) L1 `/ s c0 z6 @# G+ R1 {1. Sitting (A1);) y# o) `" n, ^9 Y2 h5 V3 e
2. Standing (A2); / T0 V: g2 u& A- e+ m* O9 W4 _3. Lying on back (A3);0 { J4 s' t* _5 O
4. Lying on right side (A4); 3 k2 Z% ]) Z3 E9 h7 W5. Ascending stairs (A5);0 ?. A/ h, W& n1 |
16. Descending stairs (A6); C9 E4 j$ P% L- m
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);- \$ b2 U) v9 D" v7 j
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);, a7 c% Z" P8 Q
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); 9 b3 F4 `1 U! @* m! K10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg / u% w" P. r: B; Pinclined positions (A10); ; }3 F: ?/ ]* M$ t* k# x1 I11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions w& b8 q, s3 ]9 V
(A11);" ?+ K+ a& ~4 l: F5 k, H# K$ g$ e
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);: {0 V3 f( {" c* B: R
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); , [& Y9 Z& S, a& E14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); , M/ s- k- [1 E' q' P15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); 4 T. a6 T, Q: f' x16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); ' W2 L( C! B! t3 N3 E& w17. Rowing (A17);1 V9 }; ~/ q; c: p; n
18. Jumping (A18);: N" a! g! c' ? ^- B9 q
19. Playing basketball (A19).$ k& p8 Q4 u$ `, X
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve1 `3 w" s; Q& l* u
the following problems. & d! S+ P2 R6 k$ M1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify6 u% F+ K F! S }
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.$ m; X& Z( \+ N) [& b
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have |0 O$ D, i$ }5 P" y6 }- A8 ~
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study. M* o. H4 C3 r8 r8 a
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to, L. _9 M0 Z% J! v
evaluate the generalization ability of your model." Y \! ?7 N) S2 w
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-( V* A: V! A- T/ h
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action6 j2 I Y* L) N
classifification.8 N' Q% V; t' f9 L, [: q; m
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:3 E' D& J- U6 U1 p* l8 {( t
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq ; O0 W, B; S9 A2Appendix: File structure" ?% {4 N; u- k
• 19 activities (a) ( V6 i: Q4 `( I+ `6 d4 k8 n• 8 subjects (p)4 l; j4 o2 L# i6 v5 T0 Y
• 60 segments (s) * p( Z* \/ I$ U& ^• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left6 n! K3 T; x- r* x4 Z
leg (LL) 2 C/ o+ [, z+ f) p" J• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z; A$ F/ V% G- m8 _- x% P2 i: L
magnetometers)! J H# _ c7 U
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.- N4 J+ V& i+ @- ^0 m8 i n
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 0 |( S4 @# M5 i# Q! F8 subjects.* X/ x" l( D2 U" o; u: q
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each/ `; @4 ^* l0 m/ @" T. e
segment. a% ]5 b/ _# e+ y, j
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 5 F' q6 f" G% B; \) `% ?$ z9 FHz = 125 rows. 8 Z; S. d4 ?4 j% cEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the0 X7 N# d, f9 _+ X7 j
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.- C6 f# k2 }4 }: S- f
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular/ L; j- z6 Q* k) i* L" a1 x9 Q2 z
sampling instant separated by commas. 7 F! C( s8 p8 d5 R: z( rColumns 1-45 correspond to:( d# c) i4 E% c- r, }
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, 4 w+ I2 h+ W9 y* Y% y• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,0 C5 E {' W) S4 ^
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, " M. @0 F$ A/ o# |# s4 c( w# N, t• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,6 I& r9 T4 p4 h i
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.$ O5 A6 d" _; b8 W& j, O6 N/ S
Therefore, # o& U6 q& ~3 h1 c( B• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),' D' F% Q" h1 v5 [
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),- |5 W, o( Z$ A$ Q$ e
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),% B' b; {; G. M5 ]4 ~# A
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),8 P% {% T& W* M# e( m, t
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 1 F8 j6 D3 p6 j3References # I$ F9 R5 s* L4 W[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic ' b1 F! E; o. p! @daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. 5 v; R& i9 B3 p5 ]8 x42(5), 679-687, 2004 + F: x. N' F$ l1 ]! k0 e0 P5 |. i[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of 0 d% a% M8 ]( O3 m8 Tlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. 3 a$ R8 d' D/ l- s( \0 g& b8 d3 D) i" vGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20085 n8 Z/ h( f' v
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag$ v8 P P& ^# f# P* b
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. ) a; s+ }$ s# h' f7 x$ KB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 - C9 ?2 U! w( V: e[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con4 r( T% ` z& p+ c# e
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008. b7 G/ A, _. l+ g
( m/ O j7 L& z
2022! P" J" u5 D( u- P" {( W
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling * v* E" U! J% f) {$ H- u& ghttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn + d8 U7 S! u* R- L) V8 PProblem D (ICM)( a7 O! h1 E9 Q' |* |
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long6 E% [# _! i9 J& ^3 U
Time# s" P) |2 _( S2 z; n; t N6 [
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the' k' p( k, L Q+ _7 }
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source$ m( X. Q7 M2 S9 o
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently ; |: s# d6 q$ u% ?9 a" N) L2 v( a* s% ctightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,9 `- U% C2 s/ X# u% u# ~* T
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some ! ~8 A1 \" E4 P9 L( v: ]scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak' ? m' f y& { o
ends.) H6 E/ f2 e* E+ O5 v1 J
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?! \/ P. [# D- D2 l
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas6 z" b2 Z3 X' U, \
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo1 y4 d2 A6 w8 D9 p8 h% ^ X
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 9 p8 [+ ~' A0 jcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 1 ]% l K% Y' p# |2 T. q6 v3 blion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of / `. m3 N X X& h. _% yEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. 3 P7 Q" N& z Y" ]- g# SA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology & T( O" y1 ^2 s T( Ein China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their' d3 D- Q# Z& p- _
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have2 K( J' Z# A. ^
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with $ n* M8 `% o, @2 K. Z1 aall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing " w2 a$ c! q6 h; T' u7 u6 v* C2 galmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen 5 d3 @' L; C3 k9 s8 M lfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 307 t! j8 g5 m1 E9 x5 J* r, w, ~
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in4 }, T2 y% X9 K8 M" _* g$ e# f# v C
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in / O4 r) ~7 F+ e- _2 IGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife ( N' T! N& Q) m. s3 Ttrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 8 S+ H* f/ L2 T9 Rwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact 0 ?- p3 T! l# F8 b gwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients ; w( B. ^# O- {8 rare in place for a similar disease to emerge again. * O0 A) H( B) N% C+ {3 n6 D+ hWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: 8 y& E4 o v: s- Z1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS . Q6 H2 S) X6 P5 Z8 }$ Loutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL6 P& n3 K; g. B$ e1 z/ A4 Z, w; a
• Decline and extinction of populations" E8 I7 u$ [; s
• Introduction of invasive species& c. w0 K3 e/ _" B
• Spread of new diseases to humans 5 Z1 ~: R2 n1 m% u7 a+ WWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database$ v8 o, P: q# f! Y; N: ?
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The 6 B: ]: \! x& E% D6 [appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 9 l, O& F9 F2 f7 [9 e: Z0 tdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:: b6 o, ?* J- U: P7 h4 l
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ1 J" f2 b9 X; n
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod4 M6 `2 V7 s# N' M9 M# ^
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: ) a9 v# o3 G) a/ Y0 q- l1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live ' Y3 D! M3 L6 g( x1 Ranimals taken from the wild)? & r3 N! l& y* P A2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?# t2 B% y0 p! D+ U( {/ b
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? g# h/ \; k4 Q9 P. g% k4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major + A: v+ P" J, a2 r* R/ a& _5 tinfectious diseases?) T- ?9 p( C% h: Q0 X% V
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it . ]. M+ K; I1 @will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?' L4 K- D. ?4 E2 ^ f( j1 t- `1 c4 S
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain + _; P( ]$ t7 v* ~1 G3 Yyour views and policy suggestions. 5 v) c7 R5 U' p9 d* N % f: Q# c( @3 B9 A4 R, K; I! E. o; X+ m1 \* O; w$ w0 K) z