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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 . p. |$ F- z7 }% H# B# g
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx
    ! o$ B" [/ g; R1 ]8 `. G
    3 [( Y3 d; ~. P5 `: N2022* A; T) f" l4 w& G% J
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    / ^% D$ Y! s+ f3 K' \, _2 shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    2 Z( w$ t5 n* S! l( Y0 t! nProblem A (MCM): s2 ]& z5 R0 v9 d, |+ \6 s
    How Pterosaurs Fly
    ) Z. g3 c* [3 F! h/ P  cPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They: e7 Z; F0 l# q3 S7 q6 a
    existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of
    / c3 K: n& g! ]( x+ Dthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved
      Y; V7 E' x1 b9 }; k+ [! ~+ \powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and8 a2 R* M8 t# X+ ?
    other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth
    ; y9 d; N3 d6 f: N5 p+ efifinger[1].
    4 l- s( b6 }6 ~. r, O8 sThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller7 B$ j# V8 X! @2 O3 H1 l
    animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem2 s! |  o& _: `+ o8 ^2 ]: S: n6 z
    branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they$ s' t( n& \! a2 g9 k4 x$ X: V
    would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and
    4 v0 {# ^9 w! S( M8 nstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived$ K5 K1 _* W; f0 @' b
    in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.3 I4 N- P* R+ d7 o
    Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.' B! Z! I% o2 J) D2 N# U% {/ d
    Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,! u  z3 `$ I; J9 i1 c
    and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on* U/ c8 k/ @7 R( X/ C! [
    all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and0 G5 n0 D+ M% k7 _) c3 r7 J
    folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil0 O6 y8 ?2 |" G' Y  j0 a
    trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].
    2 Y' o2 X# l6 Z: A4 U7 K8 [- R  ePterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which2 W+ p; N* S) z: g3 U: ^7 @
    covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have
    ) H) o2 j0 N# j* |9 e3 N8 Q4 phad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug
      u8 p& q/ q+ {! Cgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de
    . T. o- K4 S$ }' `$ y$ @6 E; X, Qriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning
    ( C3 O- d9 E' a3 e. m# C( Ocalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded, b' m! V, {' j: f
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec! W4 h4 D. y9 k% w
    tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones3 o( `0 @7 R8 }: Q
    to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from/ L( V- R6 f' Z
    the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including( J3 @$ {4 R: f$ v& N; Y
    Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least
    + L- H8 l( D' {3 P; B$ E8 }. Znine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong  M* x! x2 M( ~1 b% l
    1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.
    $ U! {/ Y' H; }+ j5 o4 `The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled5 P# p: K* O$ Z/ }+ H" q
    at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded  y3 z3 K' j3 a" u
    that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,$ s# Q3 M+ R  t! H
    Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able
    . |* B+ k) o* d) x: g, }6 zto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].
      S0 O/ a9 s, h* k/ J8 XHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology  n4 [3 N; U; G  P0 y& y6 Y; k
    of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs
    / S' X) y: Q+ h; A1 jbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,8 q$ l& p" }1 h3 l
    such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that
    / Z) \5 B" o5 S7 _atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed( W7 }1 Y. A: v& I, R* F6 v1 R$ F
    for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].2 X3 K: ~; ^4 m& F5 k0 }6 m
    Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.
      I6 L' e7 ]- e- p3 S8 m/ r- TIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones
    1 C( E& L8 c* j1 V; D. dof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage& @% u' ?5 z, O% b
    a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for
    9 G2 I; T" r. L8 j9 Sgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded2 x+ M3 w2 Z  r, P8 i
    and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as
    * s; A$ V' i8 Y. |8 `) K, j4 Qquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of+ S) I6 r7 P! @5 Q
    Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism) }5 D, F: {0 b- G& P
    to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would
    " t* b& a* I6 y$ {( |  K. E9 Jenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds
    2 a# ^3 z2 o( @3 X+ Aof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].
    3 H5 e* k3 \- ]9 M* {8 @Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the
    8 a4 f, U6 y! H$ g9 cflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and8 N7 J& V5 Q8 E" a8 Y1 t
    to answer the following questions.
    * u* t! t7 W$ ?8 K7 y5 W( X1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor
    * ~6 `+ p) B* a' i- smal flflight.9 p5 [4 V  k6 L7 B7 C
    2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during
    8 q! }) c( V/ `/ [normal flflight.
    2 ?! U7 [3 J1 f) T3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like
    2 }4 r9 F. c5 x7 m/ k% abirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.9 _5 V" k2 o8 N5 Q1 E
    References
    * K5 X1 [6 B( s; X# Q2 v[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight
    $ w& e1 v9 h7 {. D" cMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.) y. ]% \( Y: I) Y
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.
    - R( Q* ^8 n3 t8 J1 k# Y) ^+ H% fhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php
    5 R3 i1 c8 O8 w7 O7 ~[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs3 u6 M; V9 S- j
    Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-$ A0 p" x: z1 I2 l- v9 T
    pterosaurs-had-feathers.html+ f: \' v* K) S( s& d6 F* ?/ t  `1 G
    [4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a2 T( [6 u, d0 Y* f* {7 j+ V
    rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)
    4 j7 d3 {0 s2 L7 Efrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):( M; r& R# W- J7 _
    1983-87.! g( A* O9 F' v9 [" J# Y) U/ [# b* y; q
    [5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust3 d4 U" I3 s( U7 U0 G% b4 @
    skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):) O% }( h, Z3 E$ B
    180-84.
    : W5 ^* {- m( L[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?  j1 x( \8 s- p6 w% r2 j
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs
    . Q; |( x' o/ w) f0 ?too-big-to-flfly/
    5 ~# w' q  \+ _) k[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology
    9 y) `; _* ~4 {# gof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60., i$ n. G" e7 p( b: T9 r
    [8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable4 R* R5 T9 c0 V7 Y# V- P% D5 J
    air sacs in their wings.
    3 T% W: l9 Q; {$ i* ~, s# zhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur1 @; S. v: N) M- Y
    breathing-air-sacs( A. Z7 H  _5 T3 h. p3 Y! V2 W7 C* i
    [9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.2 ?  f2 J" E4 h' D- J8 o
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils# L5 s- J8 G; E5 F3 d
    research-mark-witton* N0 _  `7 M) ^0 c9 u
    [10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?
    2 W  D" N- {  U) Thttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs  R& V8 s1 [4 i* w& t
    vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/
    & z, q0 x! S# F6 `7 ]3 D( k$ o( G8 n' o) v
    2022; t5 q5 u) ^0 p7 T! n8 K" K7 D4 T
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling+ v# t. V: p7 c7 s
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    * w2 F' S1 q, ^8 EProblem B (MCM)
    : O, s# n, w1 E, L9 zThe Genetic Process of Sequences! i- a: r6 j" H# a, A8 b, ?9 }
    Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein# X! t& S% h9 S5 Y, C
    sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of
    ; H+ Q  v1 e% ]$ i8 i& O& Z$ Nlife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their$ w9 r* l& ^. J; E* U. T
    nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong- E: t6 \2 E' J& B4 x
    evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common
    7 s" C3 g8 q7 v& }) aancestral sequence[2].
    ' M- m8 S4 u, y2 r6 AConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu3 f4 g3 z0 M; m, V6 T1 }* T" e
    cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation
    ' f& h  ^+ ?: s) r' }& S- H% marise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and
    7 T: p1 F! ^1 J, |7 udeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by1 T% c5 j0 }4 V
    the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together
    $ m7 T9 T- j( r# }# K" r' v$ scan form a family, and they are considered homologous.
    2 P8 b3 M4 l+ n. W7 }, gYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com8 N8 M9 }" Y2 W% f. j
    plete the following problems.) O2 E0 z+ y6 A, z
    1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between
    % _  H5 e- Z8 z5 jtwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.
    . l4 L7 c; h" c1 ^# D& ?# ^  u2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and: @  }* }( }7 p" i$ Z; }/ Y
    design suitable examples to illustrate it.6 P. Y# O4 D5 ~$ C0 q- D% @
    3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an" d1 y) z* E: G2 o8 Z. Z% t4 A5 B6 b
    cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral7 r6 n/ D, Z8 W7 r! k
    sequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    ) u7 ~% E: {7 }+ ]6 hReferences
    3 V4 c  e8 |9 B4 R0 V4 A2 d( K[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re: D9 f4 a/ ?3 a
    view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.
    , n2 h  Z4 a, X6 |* i! N4 I  Q[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,+ O- P' O9 ?' t6 a1 y' Q" R
    et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and3 ^6 a  \2 b+ R5 W& W0 w! p
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.
    # W/ c5 A2 Y" {! ^% X- K% }+ F4 a4 o4 a7 E# J* E
    2022
    : F  g5 r9 A0 S5 g  u- U. VCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    ; w) w$ C2 G  y* |" N8 A  B8 Jhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    2 n: e: c- f  e, I4 [% ^" YProblem C (ICM)
    : E, O1 y& |. i  _& X5 zClassify Human Activities1 ^9 S& s  C5 E3 Q+ m4 p* G
    One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and; c& P0 [: U: W" j5 v5 J
    monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im4 P- r9 R4 Q0 T2 |& c+ d
    prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor. i: L! ~1 y" |& N
    ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ) `  S$ @# b. I' G1 o
    ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly5 r5 g7 e* r8 U4 u# D- @
    remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],0 ~' ~' t- M2 q0 k2 j3 Q8 k3 ]
    medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in
    ! m4 a8 k; G7 k, c3 O* lschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,
      H+ _9 R. C! L% dsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain
    & h4 X4 ^. T: Q! p7 Sment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial
    . P. n. N5 E; k/ ]  usensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify
    6 H- e6 J) r& q1 |5 {" zhuman activities, the following data were obtained.
    " E, f+ ^6 S; \7 z7 ?Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,
    5 s, @" l# d; I/ X. {between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes& A+ S( r: i* b' F( Q8 ]9 f4 s+ [4 m
    for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ
      L5 l. L2 q" K  ]/ z! \7 f8 Xities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be
    ! y/ t& x/ d; j  W& [5 Wperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and) P, Z6 l  o# {1 n& P# M' y% b0 i6 `' ^
    amplitudes of some activities.. T+ `" E4 B7 S0 Z) D( J
    Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.
    ) R5 l8 t- u  h3 i5 iThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal
    8 W% o2 k+ V2 S6 ~$ Psegments are obtained for each activity.
    : s* R& D/ v$ GThe 19 activities are:
    ' @7 A  ^$ h* S$ X1. Sitting (A1);4 R/ |. C) e6 Y' |
    2. Standing (A2);
    ' D: N9 D: c# H# b# ]2 g3. Lying on back (A3);
    6 q4 K" W) @6 P- @4. Lying on right side (A4);
    - s% w' x, X/ H( u, v$ N5 g5. Ascending stairs (A5);
    ( n; W$ N8 L9 y. a+ A+ z16. Descending stairs (A6);
    6 m# w  u" `! u, ^0 q: Z7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);
    : {5 _& C* g/ }8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);
    4 ^; P5 ^1 y- R3 d) q1 ?+ [; s  ^9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);+ a7 s( u5 h( B+ b: T) T
    10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg
    3 a+ p7 n! Q3 Q' Oinclined positions (A10);5 f& A' n! \6 t9 }& ^
    11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions
    6 c  `/ B' P5 `: G1 \(A11);! O' a4 \+ h. b7 `3 G; S2 h4 S. N
    12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);. U2 p( b$ X  x! O; F7 ]
    13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);
    7 X: O4 j, P- s; ]" w14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);3 K- {/ [! n3 k( P9 ]9 v7 X
    15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);3 m4 u, X# g9 {. M! P5 q
    16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);: S' z2 u) O% b/ n6 c3 K2 s5 s
    17. Rowing (A17);
    9 u5 W1 T8 a4 W4 _, @' s0 d18. Jumping (A18);- m: [( l8 H2 o
    19. Playing basketball (A19).
    1 J. t8 I6 ~  R6 U& T6 z! l1 q5 _Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve1 H0 s( r- W& V% Y- b4 r" E
    the following problems.$ u& S. }: P$ d- |
    1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify
      G& N5 H: e  s  b8 ~/ r, othe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.
    1 @! V1 S9 q/ j3 [7 w5 e2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have2 H* o6 n" o) ?  e
    a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study3 B' f5 R# N; @  {3 g1 n: e
    and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to
    " g- l) g3 T+ c8 w0 w$ a  L; Eevaluate the generalization ability of your model.
    1 l7 g7 |0 i" }5 C* h; g' u  ~6 P3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-1 s) V, I3 Q4 @# k# U# W
    cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    9 {( l# n5 o3 U; Gclassifification.
    ( W' n' u$ s5 |The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:" w% k; h) \) l) W" v3 Q
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq
    % t/ @6 a  y! c0 |8 Z5 a2Appendix: File structure8 l4 A& H+ W5 u) B
    • 19 activities (a)& A6 Z. h5 p+ G2 e/ M; P
    • 8 subjects (p)
    % ]/ t- K: T9 h- ?6 O• 60 segments (s)( g" c0 j3 T! i: T9 H' b1 H1 i& \
    • 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left
    # V' q- K) _8 ]' `: K6 {8 Nleg (LL)9 O+ D" _0 C6 l
    • 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z, {$ _+ Y$ ~# i$ o' t  c2 P
    magnetometers)
    , F$ O3 O: w+ SFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.
    ! w9 H' u( ]1 c1 p9 g- DFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the6 E/ S! I  N5 G9 J' C
    8 subjects.
    * F2 U3 x* ?3 Q) M. g+ j7 L% j/ i) QIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each% w1 s" ]* r( }% n. `+ h7 q" \4 x( g; s
    segment.
    8 I$ |* o% M/ |/ HIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25
    9 n( V. ~; X  aHz = 125 rows.' ^$ S) z3 B8 p' u+ d
    Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the
    4 l3 K* ?& d! @9 e7 C: l  |sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.) T6 e# }6 U6 ]
    Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular$ n# s# ~# g# a# x( d( I
    sampling instant separated by commas.
    0 M: _3 ~3 B$ I' bColumns 1-45 correspond to:
    1 L3 R7 s3 C" ?$ M• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,
    # d* l6 j" _: y1 A$ H' E& [• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,+ F6 F6 C7 \2 k5 V
    • LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag," z+ H) `0 P# h+ l
    • RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,8 L8 V  W7 C) @" K& d5 b5 F
    • LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.# d! O( t* E4 t0 ]( N( n1 l
    Therefore,4 C+ S6 F7 Y9 R* }
    • columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),
    # z* N. P1 Z# q6 f- a- p* x• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),
    7 S) g: f% P1 e/ a& G8 J• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),* O0 ?, U6 c5 _# n* }6 o4 i
    • columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),
    ) X7 K  U. L7 C8 @" |• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).
    9 B# `' a7 N. D% {3References  B( g9 U! ^8 f- D9 C
    [1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic+ `' U4 l: A, B8 e
    daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.3 V4 S6 M; [* Z3 j1 y
    42(5), 679-687, 2004
    % ~- G$ G2 }' A& b; `[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of/ f- P2 ^8 i  k" T5 Y( N# Y! a
    low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.: }( L7 U2 s4 O
    Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008; _1 l  f, b# s- r
    [3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag
    $ Q2 H" \8 K0 ]# l; t: knosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.4 f3 K+ I8 n6 Z
    B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007
    * S0 `: u+ E. [[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con
    ; }  Y2 n; v" o$ Ntrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008
    $ z/ I( u/ E4 e' {% r7 i! b$ w, J  ~4 ]! Y8 n- p2 i* m6 [; Z
    2022
    + f/ X7 @7 f, j( C; t: rCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling9 N$ j" {' v$ T( m$ [
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    6 O& {5 c/ R0 ?2 y9 E) dProblem D (ICM)
    9 I# f: Z7 i; o/ i; {  G, w* bWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long- c1 ]$ C8 A" q; t$ u* @
    Time
    * K  ]% U4 U1 QWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the
    / d2 x0 l5 g5 t: j! F- E0 j2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source
    5 l3 s3 Y& e* Mof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently( i% Z6 ]; ^2 l3 {% }' j
    tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,3 T) ?$ `4 z/ k4 s0 ^
    which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some9 D$ z. C+ g0 ?) t
    scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak3 {/ J4 k) |' G
    ends.9 c5 S- Z$ H+ e2 G) _% B0 ^  W
    How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?
    % W1 I. S4 E. R7 TSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas# e' l, M) Z( z/ K/ Y2 X, `: |8 c
    others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo
    # v3 `% J" A4 O3 V% Y( J& A; Iple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could) l0 W! V) Q# m- M, Y
    cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil
    : ^3 Z4 Q- \0 e1 Z# D1 Ulion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of
    ! T3 B+ f7 t  L) V: F# HEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.: L; p) _) Y4 t" D
    A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology
    / D. |) O3 h. b4 h2 Zin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their  u6 D" d( Q; N+ M
    smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have
    . k4 ^0 @7 y  m% v& c5 c# xidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with# ], b  _6 t& A7 d, T' v# X
    all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing% k" P# X1 }2 B+ {
    almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen8 T% x# {  k" @  J" g5 ^' F/ o
    from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30
    6 J( N  L" w& {0 y' v+ _1 SNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in
    ' D+ U, R* H* g* [0 \" nYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in
    8 E1 C, u: M! c3 p6 I9 FGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife
    / H. q0 }8 ?0 q  r( vtrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature$ g  J0 b" C& c# R, G0 P
    when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact& X# |& Q* t. x1 X
    with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients
    . a$ h7 T, D0 _1 P- a$ Zare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.; q' i: c9 J6 w; ]
    Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:' V% m0 S8 O9 i' N+ x$ r7 r% y
    1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS+ H$ d. B. v$ h6 z( p4 j- @
    outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL
    - T% r) X9 e  U. u* s• Decline and extinction of populations
    ! ?! O; e% X/ D• Introduction of invasive species( z5 a. E& `2 S4 F9 z- d+ d
    • Spread of new diseases to humans
    ) ?4 t! i2 I. n7 rWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database0 @0 K* _9 _5 p0 G$ U9 v$ i) G3 x' s
    contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The
    - b" {( y2 D' @2 g1 yappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete4 l& o* \. e5 W% V
    database can also be obtained through the following link:/ G$ s  G6 U& F! b
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ/ V- `4 Y# L3 t7 z
    Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod
    4 P) w) K' k- g, Qels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:
    . ]% f9 }/ J2 w1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live6 {! M0 t( m9 W+ A% ^
    animals taken from the wild)?9 l7 n7 @* Z) L  J+ n
    2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?+ h& q# j9 W' i( h1 F
    3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?
    : j( ?9 M/ P8 y% a& M% n4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major$ L" G4 J3 H1 ~( P+ K3 [- H
    infectious diseases?
    4 C0 V0 E. k$ `) ~25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it
    + T! [$ b; D) `+ A6 s' b4 K$ B8 cwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?
    ) g% y! P( ^; p3 F, @& `: Z6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain
    4 Z# a6 B2 E  f4 ^* }/ L  yyour views and policy suggestions.0 E+ O0 W' K3 _' z2 a4 e6 _% E

    ' I; G2 x) T/ N9 t3 G, [
    ( @! J3 {% y$ E( _6 S7 `! U# @- a" b4 v; |" H. T
    2 C( l% A! t' ^$ O) X
    8 a, l' @% d; `+ D+ W# Z* \2 E

    ' Y2 N, l! w5 q. o$ F5 L* K" k7 h! _: q

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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