2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 9 o% h- \' m2 N2 o; s
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx* v; t4 l! q9 x. N6 b+ X
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2022 0 R6 }/ K. F# N9 K) y- X/ ZCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ! ` X! U/ ~9 V6 R/ ~3 d+ Xhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn! [7 I8 _ L: O% F' p
Problem A (MCM) # _- U9 t; V' S& t: g/ u" a( pHow Pterosaurs Fly U8 w; }6 u- ?# C* _) ~8 O+ HPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They, o% S6 Y/ v* {+ t/ _
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 5 Z5 l8 e) F# @5 k6 m- x; k5 uthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved2 h: i# w; M% u/ k' A: M8 H0 w
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and. ?* }+ o6 q& p2 v5 ~
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth! F. X; [7 x) x& H
fifinger[1]. 5 U! I- O$ i' H, SThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller S, b2 _$ O) l' ~animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem 8 K% [; {, ~: J3 O, R& Zbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they ! v& h$ ^3 I2 u Cwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and : G' F. B( A! n- ^/ ]strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived% k) `5 u2 N; [8 l
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. % x0 m) z; R3 ]7 KLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.; u3 ~) T4 r5 d* j3 H7 A7 G
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, ( m# k V, o4 T" Tand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on. @0 Q% [' E1 `% {2 O: v
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and ' e1 Q& a8 l+ m- X" b7 {$ Y3 Mfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil & ^; h& X! k8 h) d/ gtrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. ) g/ u$ j Y; d, V3 D7 }Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which! }" U" {7 M* |% d
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have, L$ x5 ]7 q4 S+ I! ~
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug " ^* H! P8 j) H* h, `# o) Rgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de. _$ m4 N, k ?6 W
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning ( c7 s3 t$ l8 l. ]& [" S- U& w1 rcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded 2 x* l# I- a! Z2 U1 e2 b6 C" s(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec& p2 D# R( U- e1 t& K) b$ N
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 5 w2 J/ E) i) c4 U6 ito an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from# e# n# Q7 j0 U( S7 w
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 4 N* } O5 l& d- fQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least ( K- H! `8 S; }8 Vnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong8 K5 M1 [( v; K" a! Q2 Z6 J' U
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.* g( m/ m- b$ Z$ C" w8 Q
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled $ }+ J, a) v2 A+ oat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded0 B9 O4 D: k) t4 l( S$ H$ ]
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,# F( y% e" k/ `+ a% Q
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able " O) m3 s B( B" q) j( J' ~to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].% I% O( {4 y( I" S) P% Q/ L2 w
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology 5 ?7 F% ]5 H$ Rof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs ! S1 q; [% p Z/ O, l+ U9 M- R4 zbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, . O1 m) B. D+ y: Tsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 1 u) T* ? E/ t& \$ Patmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed) B2 b2 {9 h+ V+ u7 y8 e6 v
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].+ b7 f% q0 j9 D, _
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. # x# M# x$ O! K; XIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones 8 s# @* O9 }. |9 V8 Dof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage ! _: @: C* ^% Xa bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for : _$ K& E- A2 d6 a" mgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded) |" m: a3 f+ ?/ I
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as; z: @, [. N& j- x: y! ?# Z
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of 0 {0 y, F/ r9 Z; PJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism2 `* @! p! t8 {; D- N
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would( X% O4 ]1 X. r2 O5 q2 b6 `% D! _* J
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds 3 ^! Q" l: C( ?( @+ \' qof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].' f7 w2 | \9 ?% j' v3 A2 F* X
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the, \! {) J* l* n$ S# U K7 Y
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and* D& f- v& v W; ^; u$ z$ Z4 M
to answer the following questions. : v- K; P) v& a- ?) J* F' {: {1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor3 h8 D8 H1 S# j# R6 }
mal flflight. , W0 }7 \( b' D8 O D5 E2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during 2 u7 p& \6 r2 m, g }normal flflight. Y, F; k: b' U& f" n3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like " [& A6 ?7 y! \6 P+ o l$ mbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.# n, x7 t$ C3 h1 L1 b4 j& i& y
References% @2 U1 z; x, b- i4 J: y
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight0 k: d( _% v5 w
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. 6 b' U. v6 i" Y5 W2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 5 y4 W$ I) K# n* C s2 r& Ihttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php) w! B. T$ W& |3 i
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 2 @: v7 C2 x* B4 [% ~- v6 VWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-0 |* \) `7 _. i+ _7 h. f
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html( `" N8 _$ E+ U7 l
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a & M1 _+ y$ _8 U) srare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)5 c9 b0 g0 H0 o' t. N
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 1 g9 g# y& Y' g( `- q1983-87., q" I+ a1 O3 F$ S% Z6 }0 d- a" W; U
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust1 ] M3 c R c5 `
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 8 ^$ r' }' j# M4 v6 \4 V- Q. i180-84./ j! [( j: m9 h6 ^ ?6 T V
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?" d3 X8 k2 K' ~4 `
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs 1 I6 p% h/ C. atoo-big-to-flfly/ " Q& P5 h: s7 v) T7 k0 Y6 H[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology " _( p5 d2 |/ T% U: m$ V/ K; F6 ]; K) Sof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. & l; M/ T3 y9 r5 h) S! m$ \[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable * p! N' ]! `' _! Vair sacs in their wings., _8 b) B% k' b- C. S; e3 e, j& M
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur2 E+ z4 W; {) O- y7 x) x
breathing-air-sacs$ f4 m" f& b' o3 @' m/ E
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.3 k3 k6 c8 A4 W% @3 i/ ]0 \
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils. Y# s/ a8 V' S" K6 }9 f' ~+ V
research-mark-witton ' V6 S u* m$ f0 F# H; y[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?( ?4 \' q# [+ X/ C! V1 H, f
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs : B1 r; ~2 r, N) Q0 Zvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ & f+ Y+ ~' U5 O* _ / ]7 _; Z4 b9 b7 Z2022) q6 p8 o* B" p( i
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling5 T8 P. r2 X, \3 B
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn j' t1 r. ~) [# ^. ^Problem B (MCM)2 E% @7 N0 S1 _; z# F
The Genetic Process of Sequences' t# P0 O# V1 _8 }
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein4 R/ E% }, t0 G+ n; T
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of, R) b/ \: u5 x* z) X
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their . K: G0 f6 x) k2 ?* knucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong y- l0 t$ I$ O) K, @: L* a
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common/ i" o* M# e5 N; Z2 P) F3 r
ancestral sequence[2]. : N$ B5 f8 x9 x, |/ }% VConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu8 t& W; h6 R* k1 _
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation" q) I7 ^7 g4 l. O; v( ?" \0 }
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and " P- V! y, e" X9 ]. G; ~3 Bdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by5 @7 q ^+ }( q
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together + K( W# ^5 q8 [can form a family, and they are considered homologous.2 ~" a. R0 c i+ k
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 5 _5 k) J/ [" Q$ o7 n1 z- mplete the following problems. & E9 u- F" O4 E7 w1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between8 q4 M1 [9 f% T' X; J7 {- {2 b3 s
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. , t; P* k+ ]! [7 c2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 4 H+ b Z; a f8 l. G& P* O' h( J7 k2 \design suitable examples to illustrate it.6 |8 |/ d+ V6 a) I# A0 T) I
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an% _$ U: L% S1 u$ L2 w7 U) y
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral 0 m; j. k: R: R+ F1 m, H6 X* f( nsequence, and map the genealogical tree. : D4 Y( {" H! i1 R$ OReferences! O5 t0 \7 L9 V6 Y+ I
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re ! x! h e R4 O0 Tview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.4 G2 y( \3 r+ [ p4 p
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, / k) v N0 _$ N2 E0 \/ W* y) u) E1 m" Wet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and( R9 ~/ w5 ]0 s, W. B# P
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.5 L8 X A: t3 V+ y3 L# p) s7 x
- h1 @: Y: L8 p# T" q$ P) ]
20228 f5 G; F2 W; o
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling . k5 h# U0 n0 h6 l$ h; g! _http://mcm.tzmcm.cn ; y' X; O0 B9 _5 K! Y# ]Problem C (ICM)6 `5 J/ M4 T& l' M% F
Classify Human Activities2 @/ u r( V4 g+ g3 b* k
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and, v. k2 V, A8 I) S
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im" v2 R g; x& t' w
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor # o/ j4 r7 s2 e0 {8 e: Uing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ * g0 p) O+ h3 q0 U: tity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly# n' z9 M8 g6 S
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],+ Z; W( a& q* D- g
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in) E* i1 b8 F6 [# o- {
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,4 Z' Q) K( P, T
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain / W* f- Q) L9 |$ D1 a9 Y% pment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial 4 P6 f* O l* V8 S3 S0 y8 Csensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify * V8 S8 ~/ Y0 G9 }. O7 S2 bhuman activities, the following data were obtained.% n0 C# {$ c: q9 p1 D
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, 0 l& D' A5 |+ V0 i8 cbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 9 D# o3 x7 K9 Y' Z; ~ T( mfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ( J6 Q% P2 n! ]4 e
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be. _4 b4 c* }5 P5 M1 ^' p
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and & }7 E& f) b) o$ G. D3 \& R9 ~% Lamplitudes of some activities. 0 M) g1 Z6 `# q, v4 p. m& aSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 8 s2 v! P' J/ VThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal' J* r8 G9 \8 y4 x
segments are obtained for each activity.) T o3 s) d5 d* J
The 19 activities are:8 X" ?+ s2 I9 _* L# W
1. Sitting (A1);; E0 `+ E8 D/ @: i/ Y/ c
2. Standing (A2); - L1 c/ U5 g% ^# a7 t' J3. Lying on back (A3); ; a+ f- q: Q% B0 J& w4. Lying on right side (A4); : d3 M! K0 k. n8 _5. Ascending stairs (A5); / v8 ^3 m1 Y# h9 l! @& y16. Descending stairs (A6);1 x3 T6 b9 ]1 q% L* x( n( c
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);7 {. g4 M1 A/ a& P% K
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);9 w& C3 k3 G$ X1 d' p
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);6 p. r! P; t, V
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg 2 b5 O! h! ?. \* I7 d8 l* ~inclined positions (A10); 9 b, T% L: C S6 z9 s+ j, C+ @11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions2 t9 L0 v7 T. p9 _% h
(A11); ; ?9 }& M P7 U* _2 |8 a% [12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); 3 h" N' ~+ O- o. s$ y( J4 b13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); # ~2 _- }+ [: A2 ^; y2 R4 Z14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); ( S% J- J4 o i! u15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); ( e+ B6 ?& i0 ~: Q* b9 }16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); $ W6 C8 m" `( [/ N o17. Rowing (A17); $ M- f. S/ L7 h5 _18. Jumping (A18);, o2 L: l: ?! X( f3 Q9 A s3 U7 L
19. Playing basketball (A19).( K7 D8 g8 R$ Z, n, K# u8 e
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve0 o6 o: r2 P! E! A1 b3 C7 }/ S
the following problems. ' }2 Z" r: U6 X3 j- L8 |1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify1 P$ W$ [: z. u( w$ b
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.) o( Z4 b& G( R4 L% w, u
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have 5 H [2 R' p5 m" x2 W) s& na good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study7 `8 j7 H; z f" K; t
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to' q% @. f/ |& |, G- J
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. $ H- N ]# R/ E4 v- ?; q3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-5 c) h* r5 f& L' b R/ q! v
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action 8 ?; | f8 Y% _# K6 E& Vclassifification. O" A9 z. X, tThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:+ l& f9 V5 x+ A9 D& x. ?
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq' @+ z6 U3 I2 a0 o" h: z
2Appendix: File structure7 @* S) X j3 z' ~, Y* D/ \6 f0 c1 Q
• 19 activities (a)4 ~ \. X$ E7 }
• 8 subjects (p) 0 o# A' Z6 e4 H% J( N. q• 60 segments (s) 9 O' y& [* |' ^/ B1 K. d• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left. d! p& r/ b( g6 G1 |/ S
leg (LL) ( k$ C* I6 U6 L$ ]5 z• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z % a# c1 x1 ~3 `+ ~2 ^' e# n* }8 o; B' Umagnetometers) 3 S; o7 ]$ m5 J# ~3 RFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. ( g* M; `/ D+ ~1 FFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the ' L/ d# i0 d+ P- }0 S3 s8 subjects.3 u" Z9 i6 O! j( y! c- e* S
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each % \- g$ j' t* `7 m& Q. j5 ^$ p, {segment. 9 ^+ ~) v4 K# K1 U/ o1 wIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 0 a! i, V5 p9 g# C+ C6 kHz = 125 rows. % \; j8 E( E1 ]' k# bEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the * C+ e4 e* |1 ~4 l6 S/ ?sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec." u! ]+ o' F; m* ^8 Z' r" k' Y
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular . b. d) ^1 [* Q( A* Nsampling instant separated by commas.! g- _. ?7 {; j
Columns 1-45 correspond to:2 O! v2 B+ m$ q/ y6 L
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,# S5 C4 h) m' F x# N9 t$ ^! K G
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, % V0 G% S/ C% Z7 d• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,9 `- M) P- M2 K
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, ! H4 W0 R' t# J• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. + y3 h0 r9 {; u- J9 Q" HTherefore, + {6 \, k. e1 _1 g0 P& w: u• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), ! R. B! |+ W: N- s4 b• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 3 x7 B! E; P' I4 b• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), & S }' Y1 ~$ N: E0 p) L2 U( C+ q• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),' W. u6 J+ G5 H3 j; t
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). @7 c& ^, p7 Q9 z2 u3References $ E: N( i$ K4 t7 Q$ M9 p+ } W) Y* m[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic) A$ s# q# F+ e% u$ h b
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.2 |0 b A8 W4 Y; Z; ]% j1 M
42(5), 679-687, 2004& ]5 V) k H0 |) f3 U1 i" l# S
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of5 d! g6 S' }* `7 y1 L
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.# z k1 W D; N1 u
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 % D/ H' [1 g! _. m5 O2 q[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag / u0 D7 ^; O) f' Nnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. 3 M7 Y0 ^- D) k( `& r5 iB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007% G3 W% e7 x/ ~
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con+ |% c+ U6 N& l' N1 b* z. q
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008" J$ x& q; T& i
6 r: y4 O$ z% ?3 ^: b
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Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ' `) `0 T7 j2 H! Vhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 6 a+ B1 ~0 P% d/ XProblem D (ICM) 6 h, [: L% `. S& l. l1 f" SWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long / g) i8 C! g+ Y0 L( }, QTime7 n3 Q: _. h {* q- `, U5 i
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the & e8 G% |2 U( b1 ^/ X& C/ |2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source 9 f C; H. T; @( H c( z3 ] s9 @; nof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently * V1 Q. I8 O. w( d) P" @$ Utightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,7 x! Y- f" ], |! d
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some / C! w, D0 R( k9 Wscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak & e* z7 n' t5 o0 L) Cends. # D3 Q/ P; X; W: F$ j+ X; S) r- HHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? ( R: Y1 j# U3 {5 w, E8 G" Y8 ISome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas ( n6 W$ W6 Y7 x2 jothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 2 h) G4 I* h4 Y0 ]2 P+ e+ dple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 2 G+ K8 O2 O" M" V6 S1 ocost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 8 Q/ {, h% x( {0 s# p1 Q# |lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of 1 \! L' \) D) [& ^# t- @Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. . S$ q7 x# {: j* C/ U9 JA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology % W/ m6 P- n! v" [in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their 9 p3 n) U" ?* o# Ksmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have : `! f. F* Q4 c; A0 a3 j- ^- s! D3 lidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with - u' A* N) x K9 m! Kall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing$ U0 m# U5 O/ \
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen * U6 H5 ^6 H) _4 z7 z$ xfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 9 }( O% _2 `7 g( g. N! PNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in # Y/ C$ c- Z" G8 vYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in3 F( q0 p- R2 `
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 0 ?1 E* Q- A7 W: ~$ Jtrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature / W0 ?$ D* a9 M* { f/ z7 Awhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact8 l: ^0 w" g4 ~# V* B5 b
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients9 u0 @) i# h2 g+ ?4 B1 r. W+ ~, `4 j
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. , V' U7 G! J6 X* Z2 w; ]* JWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:& S- Q: c& e# J( o5 _% [
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS * M/ Q( [* Q5 j6 woutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL ) |/ b0 ]% ~. u) j& F. @• Decline and extinction of populations* b+ |1 K* ]- Q4 }: {, |/ u
• Introduction of invasive species 6 c) a/ ]6 K) g* G9 ~6 f0 @• Spread of new diseases to humans 1 \5 V5 G& [: eWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database, O/ l7 G* ^4 ^ @
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The : o& G2 _/ b) o0 T& j/ W/ dappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 0 W! ^: y2 C- j( x6 i. }database can also be obtained through the following link: g' ]4 a. |( f- Y. |https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ $ a; G+ l$ M# G* x* aRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod 7 |' n# d1 T: n, B% k+ |els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 0 e& @. @ d6 k4 y/ P! i1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live 3 K$ t* ~% Q& L( g2 z, aanimals taken from the wild)?5 |- B4 o8 \$ `6 `7 z5 n& d
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? + z7 Q% m" j2 z6 ^3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? 7 _; F" F( l5 o1 ]4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major ! o5 [ ?( G: l7 m/ oinfectious diseases? / z$ S+ `4 a; g% @+ E" o+ k25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 6 W- t* T, M* z: I; ywill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? $ T' |! z& K9 R$ t! f, K6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain0 n, B. ^! B3 B
your views and policy suggestions.. ? ~% J( S( z* _$ w. Q