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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 9 o% h- \' m2 N2 o; s
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx* v; t4 l! q9 x. N6 b+ X
    4 x* H. @7 w. ]) P/ m
    2022
    0 R6 }/ K. F# N9 K) y- X/ ZCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    ! `  X! U/ ~9 V6 R/ ~3 d+ Xhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn! [7 I8 _  L: O% F' p
    Problem A (MCM)
    # _- U9 t; V' S& t: g/ u" a( pHow Pterosaurs Fly
      U8 w; }6 u- ?# C* _) ~8 O+ HPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They, o% S6 Y/ v* {+ t/ _
    existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of
    5 Z5 l8 e) F# @5 k6 m- x; k5 uthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved2 h: i# w; M% u/ k' A: M8 H0 w
    powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and. ?* }+ o6 q& p2 v5 ~
    other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth! F. X; [7 x) x& H
    fifinger[1].
    5 U! I- O$ i' H, SThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller
      S, b2 _$ O) l' ~animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem
    8 K% [; {, ~: J3 O, R& Zbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they
    ! v& h$ ^3 I2 u  Cwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and
    : G' F. B( A! n- ^/ ]strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived% k) `5 u2 N; [8 l
    in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.
    % x0 m) z; R3 ]7 KLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.; u3 ~) T4 r5 d* j3 H7 A7 G
    Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,
    ( m# k  V, o4 T" Tand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on. @0 Q% [' E1 `% {2 O: v
    all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and
    ' e1 Q& a8 l+ m- X" b7 {$ Y3 Mfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil
    & ^; h& X! k8 h) d/ gtrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].
    ) g/ u$ j  Y; d, V3 D7 }Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which! }" U" {7 M* |% d
    covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have, L$ x5 ]7 q4 S+ I! ~
    had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug
    " ^* H! P8 j) H* h, `# o) Rgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de. _$ m4 N, k  ?6 W
    riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning
    ( c7 s3 t$ l8 l. ]& [" S- U& w1 rcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded
    2 x* l# I- a! Z2 U1 e2 b6 C" s(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec& p2 D# R( U- e1 t& K) b$ N
    tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones
    5 w2 J/ E) i) c4 U6 ito an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from# e# n# Q7 j0 U( S7 w
    the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including
    4 N* }  O5 l& d- fQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least
    ( K- H! `8 S; }8 Vnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong8 K5 M1 [( v; K" a! Q2 Z6 J' U
    1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.* g( m/ m- b$ Z$ C" w8 Q
    The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled
    $ }+ J, a) v2 A+ oat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded0 B9 O4 D: k) t4 l( S$ H$ ]
    that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,# F( y% e" k/ `+ a% Q
    Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able
    " O) m3 s  B( B" q) j( J' ~to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].% I% O( {4 y( I" S) P% Q/ L2 w
    However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology
    5 ?7 F% ]5 H$ Rof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs
    ! S1 q; [% p  Z/ O, l+ U9 M- R4 zbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,
    . O1 m) B. D+ y: Tsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that
    1 u) T* ?  E/ t& \$ Patmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed) B2 b2 {9 h+ V+ u7 y8 e6 v
    for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].+ b7 f% q0 j9 D, _
    Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.
    # x# M# x$ O! K; XIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones
    8 s# @* O9 }. |9 V8 Dof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage
    ! _: @: C* ^% Xa bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for
    : _$ K& E- A2 d6 a" mgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded) |" m: a3 f+ ?/ I
    and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as; z: @, [. N& j- x: y! ?# Z
    quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of
    0 {0 y, F/ r9 Z; PJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism2 `* @! p! t8 {; D- N
    to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would( X% O4 ]1 X. r2 O5 q2 b6 `% D! _* J
    enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds
    3 ^! Q" l: C( ?( @+ \' qof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].' f7 w2 |  \9 ?% j' v3 A2 F* X
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the, \! {) J* l* n$ S# U  K7 Y
    flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and* D& f- v& v  W; ^; u$ z$ Z4 M
    to answer the following questions.
    : v- K; P) v& a- ?) J* F' {: {1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor3 h8 D8 H1 S# j# R6 }
    mal flflight.
    , W0 }7 \( b' D8 O  D5 E2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during
    2 u7 p& \6 r2 m, g  }normal flflight.
      Y, F; k: b' U& f" n3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like
    " [& A6 ?7 y! \6 P+ o  l$ mbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.# n, x7 t$ C3 h1 L1 b4 j& i& y
    References% @2 U1 z; x, b- i4 J: y
    [1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight0 k: d( _% v5 w
    Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.
    6 b' U. v6 i" Y5 W2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.
    5 y4 W$ I) K# n* C  s2 r& Ihttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php) w! B. T$ W& |3 i
    [3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs
    2 @: v7 C2 x* B4 [% ~- v6 VWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-0 |* \) `7 _. i+ _7 h. f
    pterosaurs-had-feathers.html( `" N8 _$ E+ U7 l
    [4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a
    & M1 _+ y$ _8 U) srare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)5 c9 b0 g0 H0 o' t. N
    from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):
    1 g9 g# y& Y' g( `- q1983-87., q" I+ a1 O3 F$ S% Z6 }0 d- a" W; U
    [5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust1 ]  M3 c  R  c5 `
    skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):
    8 ^$ r' }' j# M4 v6 \4 V- Q. i180-84./ j! [( j: m9 h6 ^  ?6 T  V
    [6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?" d3 X8 k2 K' ~4 `
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs
    1 I6 p% h/ C. atoo-big-to-flfly/
    " Q& P5 h: s7 v) T7 k0 Y6 H[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology
    " _( p5 d2 |/ T% U: m$ V/ K; F6 ]; K) Sof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.
    & l; M/ T3 y9 r5 h) S! m$ \[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable
    * p! N' ]! `' _! Vair sacs in their wings., _8 b) B% k' b- C. S; e3 e, j& M
    https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur2 E+ z4 W; {) O- y7 x) x
    breathing-air-sacs$ f4 m" f& b' o3 @' m/ E
    [9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.3 k3 k6 c8 A4 W% @3 i/ ]0 \
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils. Y# s/ a8 V' S" K6 }9 f' ~+ V
    research-mark-witton
    ' V6 S  u* m$ f0 F# H; y[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?( ?4 \' q# [+ X/ C! V1 H, f
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs
    : B1 r; ~2 r, N) Q0 Zvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/
    & f+ Y+ ~' U5 O* _
    / ]7 _; Z4 b9 b7 Z2022) q6 p8 o* B" p( i
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling5 T8 P. r2 X, \3 B
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
      j' t1 r. ~) [# ^. ^Problem B (MCM)2 E% @7 N0 S1 _; z# F
    The Genetic Process of Sequences' t# P0 O# V1 _8 }
    Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein4 R/ E% }, t0 G+ n; T
    sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of, R) b/ \: u5 x* z) X
    life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their
    . K: G0 f6 x) k2 ?* knucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong  y- l0 t$ I$ O) K, @: L* a
    evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common/ i" o* M# e5 N; Z2 P) F3 r
    ancestral sequence[2].
    : N$ B5 f8 x9 x, |/ }% VConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu8 t& W; h6 R* k1 _
    cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation" q) I7 ^7 g4 l. O; v( ?" \0 }
    arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and
    " P- V! y, e" X9 ]. G; ~3 Bdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by5 @7 q  ^+ }( q
    the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together
    + K( W# ^5 q8 [can form a family, and they are considered homologous.2 ~" a. R0 c  i+ k
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com
    5 _5 k) J/ [" Q$ o7 n1 z- mplete the following problems.
    & E9 u- F" O4 E7 w1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between8 q4 M1 [9 f% T' X; J7 {- {2 b3 s
    two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.
    , t; P* k+ ]! [7 c2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and
    4 H+ b  Z; a  f8 l. G& P* O' h( J7 k2 \design suitable examples to illustrate it.6 |8 |/ d+ V6 a) I# A0 T) I
    3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an% _$ U: L% S1 u$ L2 w7 U) y
    cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral
    0 m; j. k: R: R+ F1 m, H6 X* f( nsequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    : D4 Y( {" H! i1 R$ OReferences! O5 t0 \7 L9 V6 Y+ I
    [1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re
    ! x! h  e  R4 O0 Tview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.4 G2 y( \3 r+ [  p4 p
    [2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,
    / k) v  N0 _$ N2 E0 \/ W* y) u) E1 m" Wet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and( R9 ~/ w5 ]0 s, W. B# P
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.5 L8 X  A: t3 V+ y3 L# p) s7 x
    - h1 @: Y: L8 p# T" q$ P) ]
    20228 f5 G; F2 W; o
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    . k5 h# U0 n0 h6 l$ h; g! _http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    ; y' X; O0 B9 _5 K! Y# ]Problem C (ICM)6 `5 J/ M4 T& l' M% F
    Classify Human Activities2 @/ u  r( V4 g+ g3 b* k
    One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and, v. k2 V, A8 I) S
    monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im" v2 R  g; x& t' w
    prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor
    # o/ j4 r7 s2 e0 {8 e: Uing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ
    * g0 p) O+ h3 q0 U: tity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly# n' z9 M8 g6 S
    remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],+ Z; W( a& q* D- g
    medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in) E* i1 b8 F6 [# o- {
    school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,4 Z' Q) K( P, T
    sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain
    / W* f- Q) L9 |$ D1 a9 Y% pment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial
    4 P6 f* O  l* V8 S3 S0 y8 Csensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify
    * V8 S8 ~/ Y0 G9 }. O7 S2 bhuman activities, the following data were obtained.% n0 C# {$ c: q9 p1 D
    Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,
    0 l& D' A5 |+ V0 i8 cbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes
    9 D# o3 x7 K9 Y' Z; ~  T( mfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ( J6 Q% P2 n! ]4 e
    ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be. _4 b4 c* }5 P5 M1 ^' p
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and
    & }7 E& f) b) o$ G. D3 \& R9 ~% Lamplitudes of some activities.
    0 M) g1 Z6 `# q, v4 p. m& aSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.
    8 s2 v! P' J/ VThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal' J* r8 G9 \8 y4 x
    segments are obtained for each activity.) T  o3 s) d5 d* J
    The 19 activities are:8 X" ?+ s2 I9 _* L# W
    1. Sitting (A1);; E0 `+ E8 D/ @: i/ Y/ c
    2. Standing (A2);
    - L1 c/ U5 g% ^# a7 t' J3. Lying on back (A3);
    ; a+ f- q: Q% B0 J& w4. Lying on right side (A4);
    : d3 M! K0 k. n8 _5. Ascending stairs (A5);
    / v8 ^3 m1 Y# h9 l! @& y16. Descending stairs (A6);1 x3 T6 b9 ]1 q% L* x( n( c
    7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);7 {. g4 M1 A/ a& P% K
    8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);9 w& C3 k3 G$ X1 d' p
    9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);6 p. r! P; t, V
    10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg
    2 b5 O! h! ?. \* I7 d8 l* ~inclined positions (A10);
    9 b, T% L: C  S6 z9 s+ j, C+ @11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions2 t9 L0 v7 T. p9 _% h
    (A11);
    ; ?9 }& M  P7 U* _2 |8 a% [12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);
    3 h" N' ~+ O- o. s$ y( J4 b13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);
    # ~2 _- }+ [: A2 ^; y2 R4 Z14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);
    ( S% J- J4 o  i! u15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);
    ( e+ B6 ?& i0 ~: Q* b9 }16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);
    $ W6 C8 m" `( [/ N  o17. Rowing (A17);
    $ M- f. S/ L7 h5 _18. Jumping (A18);, o2 L: l: ?! X( f3 Q9 A  s3 U7 L
    19. Playing basketball (A19).( K7 D8 g8 R$ Z, n, K# u8 e
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve0 o6 o: r2 P! E! A1 b3 C7 }/ S
    the following problems.
    ' }2 Z" r: U6 X3 j- L8 |1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify1 P$ W$ [: z. u( w$ b
    the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.) o( Z4 b& G( R4 L% w, u
    2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have
    5 H  [2 R' p5 m" x2 W) s& na good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study7 `8 j7 H; z  f" K; t
    and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to' q% @. f/ |& |, G- J
    evaluate the generalization ability of your model.
    $ H- N  ]# R/ E4 v- ?; q3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-5 c) h* r5 f& L' b  R/ q! v
    cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    8 ?; |  f8 Y% _# K6 E& Vclassifification.
      O" A9 z. X, tThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:+ l& f9 V5 x+ A9 D& x. ?
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq' @+ z6 U3 I2 a0 o" h: z
    2Appendix: File structure7 @* S) X  j3 z' ~, Y* D/ \6 f0 c1 Q
    • 19 activities (a)4 ~  \. X$ E7 }
    • 8 subjects (p)
    0 o# A' Z6 e4 H% J( N. q• 60 segments (s)
    9 O' y& [* |' ^/ B1 K. d• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left. d! p& r/ b( g6 G1 |/ S
    leg (LL)
    ( k$ C* I6 U6 L$ ]5 z• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z
    % a# c1 x1 ~3 `+ ~2 ^' e# n* }8 o; B' Umagnetometers)
    3 S; o7 ]$ m5 J# ~3 RFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.
    ( g* M; `/ D+ ~1 FFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the
    ' L/ d# i0 d+ P- }0 S3 s8 subjects.3 u" Z9 i6 O! j( y! c- e* S
    In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each
    % \- g$ j' t* `7 m& Q. j5 ^$ p, {segment.
    9 ^+ ~) v4 K# K1 U/ o1 wIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25
    0 a! i, V5 p9 g# C+ C6 kHz = 125 rows.
    % \; j8 E( E1 ]' k# bEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the
    * C+ e4 e* |1 ~4 l6 S/ ?sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec." u! ]+ o' F; m* ^8 Z' r" k' Y
    Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular
    . b. d) ^1 [* Q( A* Nsampling instant separated by commas.! g- _. ?7 {; j
    Columns 1-45 correspond to:2 O! v2 B+ m$ q/ y6 L
    • T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,# S5 C4 h) m' F  x# N9 t$ ^! K  G
    • RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,
    % V0 G% S/ C% Z7 d• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,9 `- M) P- M2 K
    • RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,
    ! H4 W0 R' t# J• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.
    + y3 h0 r9 {; u- J9 Q" HTherefore,
    + {6 \, k. e1 _1 g0 P& w: u• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),
    ! R. B! |+ W: N- s4 b• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),
    3 x7 B! E; P' I4 b• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),
    & S  }' Y1 ~$ N: E0 p) L2 U( C+ q• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),' W. u6 J+ G5 H3 j; t
    • columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).
      @7 c& ^, p7 Q9 z2 u3References
    $ E: N( i$ K4 t7 Q$ M9 p+ }  W) Y* m[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic) A$ s# q# F+ e% u$ h  b
    daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.2 |0 b  A8 W4 Y; Z; ]% j1 M
    42(5), 679-687, 2004& ]5 V) k  H0 |) f3 U1 i" l# S
    [2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of5 d! g6 S' }* `7 y1 L
    low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.# z  k1 W  D; N1 u
    Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008
    % D/ H' [1 g! _. m5 O2 q[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag
    / u0 D7 ^; O) f' Nnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.
    3 M7 Y0 ^- D) k( `& r5 iB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007% G3 W% e7 x/ ~
    [4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con+ |% c+ U6 N& l' N1 b* z. q
    trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008" J$ x& q; T& i
    6 r: y4 O$ z% ?3 ^: b
    20229 b# y: K% N, Q+ i- P) o7 [
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    ' `) `0 T7 j2 H! Vhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    6 a+ B1 ~0 P% d/ XProblem D (ICM)
    6 h, [: L% `. S& l. l1 f" SWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long
    / g) i8 C! g+ Y0 L( }, QTime7 n3 Q: _. h  {* q- `, U5 i
    Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the
    & e8 G% |2 U( b1 ^/ X& C/ |2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source
    9 f  C; H. T; @( H  c( z3 ]  s9 @; nof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently
    * V1 Q. I8 O. w( d) P" @$ Utightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,7 x! Y- f" ], |! d
    which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some
    / C! w, D0 R( k9 Wscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak
    & e* z7 n' t5 o0 L) Cends.
    # D3 Q/ P; X; W: F$ j+ X; S) r- HHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?
    ( R: Y1 j# U3 {5 w, E8 G" Y8 ISome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas
    ( n6 W$ W6 Y7 x2 jothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo
    2 h) G4 I* h4 Y0 ]2 P+ e+ dple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could
    2 G+ K8 O2 O" M" V6 S1 ocost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil
    8 Q/ {, h% x( {0 s# p1 Q# |lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of
    1 \! L' \) D) [& ^# t- @Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.
    . S$ q7 x# {: j* C/ U9 JA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology
    % W/ m6 P- n! v" [in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their
    9 p3 n) U" ?* o# Ksmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have
    : `! f. F* Q4 c; A0 a3 j- ^- s! D3 lidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with
    - u' A* N) x  K9 m! Kall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing$ U0 m# U5 O/ \
    almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen
    * U6 H5 ^6 H) _4 z7 z$ xfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30
    9 }( O% _2 `7 g( g. N! PNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in
    # Y/ C$ c- Z" G8 vYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in3 F( q0 p- R2 `
    Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife
    0 ?1 E* Q- A7 W: ~$ Jtrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature
    / W0 ?$ D* a9 M* {  f/ z7 Awhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact8 l: ^0 w" g4 ~# V* B5 b
    with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients9 u0 @) i# h2 g+ ?4 B1 r. W+ ~, `4 j
    are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.
    , V' U7 G! J6 X* Z2 w; ]* JWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:& S- Q: c& e# J( o5 _% [
    1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS
    * M/ Q( [* Q5 j6 woutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL
    ) |/ b0 ]% ~. u) j& F. @• Decline and extinction of populations* b+ |1 K* ]- Q4 }: {, |/ u
    • Introduction of invasive species
    6 c) a/ ]6 K) g* G9 ~6 f0 @• Spread of new diseases to humans
    1 \5 V5 G& [: eWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database, O/ l7 G* ^4 ^  @
    contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The
    : o& G2 _/ b) o0 T& j/ W/ dappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete
    0 W! ^: y2 C- j( x6 i. }database can also be obtained through the following link:
      g' ]4 a. |( f- Y. |https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ
    $ a; G+ l$ M# G* x* aRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod
    7 |' n# d1 T: n, B% k+ |els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:
    0 e& @. @  d6 k4 y/ P! i1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live
    3 K$ t* ~% Q& L( g2 z, aanimals taken from the wild)?5 |- B4 o8 \$ `6 `7 z5 n& d
    2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?
    + z7 Q% m" j2 z6 ^3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?
    7 _; F" F( l5 o1 ]4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major
    ! o5 [  ?( G: l7 m/ oinfectious diseases?
    / z$ S+ `4 a; g% @+ E" o+ k25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it
    6 W- t* T, M* z: I; ywill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?
    $ T' |! z& K9 R$ t! f, K6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain0 n, B. ^! B3 B
    your views and policy suggestions.. ?  ~% J( S( z* _$ w. Q

    ( y# u  W& S' \2 ~9 ^3 n. A# O& N; u  c# C0 f

    + v% p% X7 S: G/ _5 F1 h; @4 E" L( b8 [3 B3 O/ W9 i& s, f# h9 M

    : k0 }9 r/ E: F/ x& |7 Q% j- @
    4 ~. U9 B) |  H* ^3 E( ?7 H- N* u6 r( i' G- z

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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