2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 * m) d# D# c" Y0 P% j- E9 `2 M6 F
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx ) C" _- e3 b: }$ x& `/ d3 `" K8 P8 ^* P7 L
2022 : F+ f! M' m" \8 ^" Y$ d9 S1 gCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling0 ? S( q- G3 Q4 { |9 A6 l
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn3 f5 T- s" m7 V8 q9 v
Problem A (MCM) 4 X- p4 H5 l: s& u: O+ uHow Pterosaurs Fly Y5 C+ U0 e" P( \) RPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They . C: d0 C6 y6 ^9 C- vexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 0 P& U7 g" z% B7 l* ^( Q6 mthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved' v% n* ^6 F$ ~
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 2 U' W; c# ?$ k7 @ @0 ?: ~* }# zother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth ' d/ E! s/ q4 A/ {/ d% Zfifinger[1]. : {8 A) ]: T) `There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller7 _3 v6 f7 O; n8 e4 s: A& B- h
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem * f# O( M' }) V6 }$ @& t# Ybranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they, ~! ^8 Q: ]! d+ M+ x
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and % j& q1 P+ y+ o! C- Nstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived4 s: W; M" T U- U; T
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.; \8 X) [3 B6 q6 A
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. 8 A# w( e6 u5 W0 ]6 x6 _3 WPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,+ R7 e- P: z9 w* c3 U
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on8 q, S+ ]1 o" J' G6 _1 t+ H( S
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and, W/ g; G: H6 A A) F) E( h
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil : Z- }! z% V' d2 ?trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]., c5 O: I0 F6 V( b' |0 s
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 3 ?6 ^$ V: k4 V* u( m+ c# Y. i8 Ncovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have . i \, N/ d ?; K K0 Yhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug $ n* N4 o5 B3 O& q$ r' p4 f1 pgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de, G% {2 Z9 N8 D n
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning 8 ~) J/ V8 O; [2 ?calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded3 H; o3 d. H$ r& G# B+ L
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec3 N" L. ^5 X& Q: f4 I
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones1 ?4 u6 ^* V2 b$ {9 i
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from, k# h. Y: Q# C2 ^
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including; H+ @: ]) A7 v6 b X
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least : o `" ?4 v1 p9 e2 Ynine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong$ a/ V1 R7 w. ?) J
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.0 o$ F2 m& H4 w$ G# F% c. C
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled E( H9 R# g. K
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 1 A" }2 P; Z6 z3 x% zthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,9 p4 A. y+ n Y5 H- ]
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able ) X+ a/ ]+ g! e/ o0 r0 g" mto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. / {5 J7 Q7 B: A: v8 D8 @& GHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology4 `9 I/ M" ]. Q+ o6 {) E! d
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs 6 w' Q! v! b) S4 ]# ~being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,& L5 q! o8 F3 ~
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that( V5 K) T5 i+ s) r- c5 |: ^4 u" |
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed 4 f4 C3 Z+ a% A% xfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. " g2 g3 _ t6 g$ x% aAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. 0 C t/ k$ k% e. `$ S% gIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones+ r6 u& X c" D9 Y% l9 h* V! a; G
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage2 s. S" @9 z, Y. r- u5 \2 T: T
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for + s- N, R' @6 V" r9 I6 t8 tgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded * w2 ?9 M9 X/ @7 |8 _" qand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as. k1 B* h! w% r, ]
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of4 L. J5 J; `( X
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism + ^$ A) A( U3 d* eto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would) W; d: \, N$ ^ a
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds/ j* [1 Z" q: n/ K& w
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].+ Z7 n% h8 |8 Q( g4 g9 I
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the* t( p& B) L; q% F3 [/ ?4 W& ~
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and * |! ]# d( }5 Vto answer the following questions. & j& }! x- J# | ^1 g' V* y1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor9 ~ F. I4 Z1 G1 V3 A$ e6 Z
mal flflight.( _& k- L. V" C4 @' @% I
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during, R$ Q( o* k+ c1 _5 U
normal flflight.6 h; u) X# H5 R
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like5 g, @% e$ |) W- Z
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.) {% E4 d! l; r* B. [
References) L: g# {: r! P8 D+ R, D! i. V3 e
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight 7 p& d* d4 k& i, m9 AMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. e- v2 K8 c5 X8 j2 e I2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.$ {. U1 m" G5 v$ ~# P* B; A+ y
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php' @( i0 n+ Y e" L2 h: d% b( g0 C
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs4 [% K. v' s6 G. A4 S U. G
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-# h9 @4 d! n" ^: S! i8 f
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html 1 y/ h6 j+ E6 W/ R, |: r% m5 _[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a 8 @& ^+ \# c* ]* a1 k" Z7 Zrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)+ @! x% A( `4 n5 R
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):4 M- Z: G+ Z+ G+ p% R& v
1983-87.5 J& D3 A; h! M6 P6 i: l2 z$ ?% Z
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust ( B# P$ D2 X% f0 B/ f, ^skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):& b# O' |6 n8 B2 D# G+ E' U1 m
180-84. 0 c' e6 ]/ h/ Q[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?# u7 z( h5 ^8 q5 @6 l/ l1 V a
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs 6 D- w9 X- x: W. z0 y; d9 itoo-big-to-flfly/ / u# k- H1 t: t[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology ' {0 M4 W. I5 H% L6 S0 M& _* |3 fof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.1 x+ e; Z; Y) {) _( P( K9 i
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable 5 ~4 X# O$ o# R; Q: Y# Gair sacs in their wings. - s \& U6 o' Ahttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur . k% z/ L2 k1 `; ?7 abreathing-air-sacs5 l5 J/ _. X& c+ j1 z1 i
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.- L" q; l- u) l( A0 n$ n* R/ z
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils 9 u+ i" o$ m& J+ |research-mark-witton $ P& j+ G' _* J7 R% w9 N/ b: v, e[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? / [1 ?- k3 Y/ f5 ^8 Vhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs; I% g6 ]1 h* p7 m) X% g
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ 4 B$ H; T9 R! G3 c* h. B- J ( C4 B( Y6 s5 l. s: U7 v9 r: i2022 ~3 d1 A8 P w7 G- X
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling . W( p1 G6 A6 ~/ X& u! E9 c9 |http://mcm.tzmcm.cn3 F1 N2 @9 P& \. c
Problem B (MCM); j- [5 ~, g0 _1 s
The Genetic Process of Sequences 7 b* W/ g1 b* H9 L+ n: [Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein" g/ }; Q! T+ u4 a
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of # a- V% I' p1 K+ F, clife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their7 B: h6 y+ \4 k5 Q/ b5 I
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong 3 F- U9 V# F3 M" G7 p) Uevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common 2 s6 B- b; {) f$ }ancestral sequence[2]., H' l, }8 N5 o+ G5 f. \% U1 L
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu ) e5 b& ^5 i. Z7 j9 s+ wcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation1 V, ]6 D! ~$ _4 W
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and) k6 T0 K5 o l& e: A
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 2 A3 z, q3 {* Bthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together 3 L+ K# j6 I* j% L8 u! Y, b2 ocan form a family, and they are considered homologous.4 J9 R6 t& c& S; b
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com$ i- K( C6 j" Z
plete the following problems. 3 t# k5 u ?* F" T% k) v1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between # W- M8 u2 {' Ttwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. G: O, Y- T7 d7 m% Y2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 2 _7 U" h, X3 {' odesign suitable examples to illustrate it.# v3 E( Q9 Q7 N6 W
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an ! r9 V3 @) `3 ^. S2 y4 Jcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral ~+ r! A+ Q& J/ e6 ^
sequence, and map the genealogical tree.: I) V" u# e$ M7 ]' m
References3 B1 J1 B- @7 W+ S1 d: R* t
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re. ]: c5 o, T/ o m) R- j
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.1 A- P& p" }. K. v8 ~' z% `, E& G7 r
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,/ N1 I! Q k; E& s
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and6 F3 [" K2 R) I
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. / _- s/ b. N, B2 V, q" g+ p; P& @( p- U# n; j
2022 + r- U% F1 p" `8 T2 n7 }) B& KCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ! v/ e8 k. ?' z4 thttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn # A4 b3 X2 D5 @# B3 gProblem C (ICM)# w2 p' a! z7 Z7 \) |, F
Classify Human Activities 1 b' U, \" z- ~' o. [- wOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and {. w& G6 E2 X: m) ?
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im 7 _ {9 x( s" Y! @prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor . \. Y0 N! \ g: ~ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 3 j* L( s6 I5 Q& ?ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly9 Z3 d0 }7 e& _" B" R
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], 9 Q5 J( }1 ~" x: zmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in ) W: z2 F' | \8 e$ ischool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, & N+ S7 N/ y, e/ f' h: \sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain( f& { B* h# _. k0 n
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial ! I& H8 o: H+ W( U5 Zsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify$ u% @ Z! G( @8 M. h; K( N
human activities, the following data were obtained. 4 T+ d" h% Q9 L% B. `Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,( v1 s, F* C" g1 I9 K. x; l
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes3 k" d* k& r# h
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ$ Y% d7 u1 H6 A
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be$ w! R" K t, f* b. C$ P
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and) X; r/ y; ]) T; v: g
amplitudes of some activities.- U0 e# s4 f- a0 d9 T$ G
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. # N) @! X$ c7 u/ S1 eThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal, r% b' Z: |8 H5 {% w
segments are obtained for each activity. , m: p- z. ~# B/ L& S9 B& C7 iThe 19 activities are:7 ]' T6 v; E' \- V# } {8 X
1. Sitting (A1);* Z: |, g5 e, T7 G0 f0 m
2. Standing (A2);4 O& z! d% y! s. ]4 ]- [
3. Lying on back (A3); 2 d; s9 P3 M5 r! t! e0 ~4. Lying on right side (A4);! Y) F' Y% x5 a9 r5 S
5. Ascending stairs (A5);5 u/ u+ l" w0 f: ]! g; d
16. Descending stairs (A6);7 q8 Z" ^0 K% _/ }- }. k, J
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);0 A. Y1 W+ @/ z7 _
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); , \2 l+ i- \+ u" r9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);5 A3 W3 W. | `+ L! D
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg " d- h# T$ [& V5 U4 L8 qinclined positions (A10);: M& L' J" Q6 ~8 d. N6 T
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions( `* U/ d5 O- B
(A11);; [$ c& _* ^ Y1 |4 T+ Q
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);/ g% w0 g/ H% ]% B
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); + _7 y& R0 D6 E, O, v, R$ _14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);6 U# A2 p4 M+ L. c) Q7 ?
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);* x: z) ? y9 ^ Q
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); 7 d$ I9 m3 o, b. O. v( @; f; c. l17. Rowing (A17);- r- B% q# }4 h5 v0 U
18. Jumping (A18); 6 g4 T& I, o" p# k# |1 T+ i+ P19. Playing basketball (A19).. Y( Y6 P1 q3 t' `. t- X9 {6 S7 V8 s
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve % H* d( M7 q$ f* D' Vthe following problems. 5 w$ ~7 |& H3 w) I1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify$ u1 u/ R8 b' e8 _; a6 I9 `# H6 x
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. * E1 p! H6 P; f$ }5 x) J8 g+ n2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have & d: W! O d Da good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study ) Y M; W6 v. i. E: dand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to1 g* {6 M1 B1 s! L; r
evaluate the generalization ability of your model.# R4 q1 R( b5 ?
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- , X P& d% |- ]7 X, t8 O ycation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action 3 t0 {. T# A# e8 ?- e" Iclassifification. $ @8 i) W, ]% T' M& ]8 ^) @The complete data can be downloaded through the following link: 5 i c# o) y' T0 x7 F3 Mhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq 1 y$ K* l3 H2 G7 T2Appendix: File structure; W) A* H* j0 k
• 19 activities (a) 0 }+ \. l8 J, ?$ y+ t# p: u• 8 subjects (p) ' ~8 Z7 e* a' ]% Q9 D5 n• 60 segments (s) & O/ Q- a$ I% K8 k8 [( ?• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left+ B M& _3 Y2 D( V& \* H9 q; |
leg (LL) : h9 `; _* [2 b% E; V7 M• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z- }& P9 ~8 }0 _
magnetometers)% a! w: P @0 A2 W+ Z
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 7 `5 T0 I$ L. L! vFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the% {! Y4 I, f* @* P
8 subjects., P( P6 Y5 ?! z' z
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each/ t& v+ q) \& m. W( I
segment. 2 a/ i# z! `1 fIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 ' C+ z# B8 e( u, y+ |" bHz = 125 rows. + x1 s; }1 J& Q# bEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the. B6 V9 y3 ]" H: q- c/ O. i
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.2 m; D; b! {% U" y2 K
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular s& J+ |! r% l5 |4 |- Xsampling instant separated by commas.5 L( k( v! A4 Z: Z7 S6 e; e8 y
Columns 1-45 correspond to:2 v8 k$ v( [9 K) n6 w
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,4 S4 e) W* M% `) v: r j. b
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,3 X: U. r* A, i1 @
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,4 K; j( Q+ z( S
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, * z* Z7 r/ E0 j+ N3 ]* I0 y! T' L1 X• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. ! A. I/ }' ^/ R, w/ j# e3 B4 wTherefore, & `6 \* T* u( I: V• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), / t5 ?$ s2 ~2 \. z' v6 k• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),) x/ s" i& u& o; \$ T7 ~
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),; E$ e; p2 }" j+ f
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),, k$ w* k! v# W9 k* ?
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 6 \& q' Q# O$ g: _. f6 F; v3References$ z' J+ L, x8 \- n' A
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic . f# E! {) D) d+ @- W& W2 mdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. 4 H8 B7 f- F5 N( X( H" o- v' w" h42(5), 679-687, 2004 * D" R# S" G; N8 E[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of 5 `* w: Z2 u% v) rlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. / }2 H: x9 h. D, m* YGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20088 M) ~8 \8 Z/ c
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag - p: ]6 m; H2 O7 W: p3 [0 S- ]. znosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. 4 J- N. ~3 B0 [1 X, |" R1 eB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007% N+ N2 ?2 D) O1 O7 h, r3 z7 [3 ?
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con: K7 R8 S/ L/ U! U9 ~
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 H7 E+ i4 O: E6 {
. {& N1 U7 B U6 y1 W' z: I' J' l
20225 O/ s' Y5 u- R7 w3 ]+ q" J6 B- A
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling0 i6 M; f% _9 p {- T
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn& `, r M9 j+ H& I
Problem D (ICM)* L; P. l3 D; X
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long 9 n/ x4 X% Z5 ?* d/ Z7 G' r$ |8 O' bTime" \) q( h, C4 @# O7 A
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the6 U% t4 A3 ?* E* [0 S
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source $ {3 W: V s5 i" C" bof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently; y5 L- w" K% Z# f2 |
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,# o! O/ M; c x4 K0 O
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some" E9 U6 ^5 P7 u
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak* T# i, Q8 o% h. z
ends. 5 E6 h$ p8 V3 M3 jHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?3 E* D; B8 |( n( c( u. O
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas- u5 D ?" b$ z# a, h( |. f: P
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 9 `- \7 w1 _9 ~# b M* Gple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could: s; I9 E; m- b& D# o" S
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil1 x6 h' V5 I B4 _2 q- c
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of 8 w% m8 p& D- |, CEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.; J- @% f3 ]2 R) P- i$ u' V
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology) d, u$ S! c8 v! g& t, N
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their3 \4 i; }- e( v' m# c) D
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have 1 A8 N3 N2 Q/ V q3 P gidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with , N9 w$ E, \8 x v4 S2 B+ [all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing( v* O6 g) N" x8 g
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen0 e3 E+ A2 v) d. ^: {! p
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 300 a. \+ X! j0 Q$ k7 |0 E
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in - d6 e& V# Q5 y4 [$ tYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in; [" T8 ~- I4 B
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife+ b# @, G# G7 ^4 |$ B6 B
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 9 b+ \( J. ^, u8 y) V: H5 Q6 p0 Mwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact( H$ l7 V- K" R' W8 u( {8 L5 ]
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients * ]7 |5 e t) ?* e; b2 \are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.8 y p8 S# ?$ h" w7 r) z
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:2 `; m; ]3 d1 v) b6 K" c' l& _' J
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS( g+ b L( X( T. B
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL9 E- X! ~) r6 V
• Decline and extinction of populations1 [9 V3 V! o( M, E8 z
• Introduction of invasive species+ J4 R$ y% |* k
• Spread of new diseases to humans ( }4 q2 }8 W( \; |9 P- i8 D! KWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database # _+ H) {( o$ pcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The S" W5 _$ {6 P! sappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete3 Q8 @" v9 d! @% ?8 P I( w
database can also be obtained through the following link:! {% ^6 @8 D) X0 |) p' Z8 c- m2 {
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ8 Y; A( w0 d9 W+ n& B, x% K* Y' j) v
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod, ^3 o7 G- R7 T0 G! G
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 1 N" Z* K: I- ~! a8 v' e1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live ) V8 c+ w3 ?. p0 w9 R" kanimals taken from the wild)?5 h% ^7 l( H0 K
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? + |$ L0 W `- D R: u% S3 |8 Q3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?4 j) v$ k( ~2 t0 L
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major 4 s3 K' Z: \0 i! T& h; N/ ainfectious diseases?9 S' b: m! j# S5 @( d
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it+ k, {( ]2 F9 b% \) L" {, H& t+ R7 F
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?! b+ K5 c2 q, v8 |4 e) X
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain% P& f5 z& N# E/ I0 R7 N
your views and policy suggestions. ! \9 j0 \- [8 {2 N: s4 N' k, h4 z3 m1 P
, b* O, D0 M% V3 p& X( Q ' P: I- U+ Q' t3 a) w* q! R! H6 V. A: _