2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 8 | q5 M; L* m4 f. T
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx# G% |; p/ E! [2 q3 V/ P
7 A9 P, f: ~! m/ S( t
2022 - _- [9 Y: F: F+ _0 lCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling0 b! k$ [; {1 ]" e/ u. L7 \7 y
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn - i4 i* i8 L' f$ O" x% jProblem A (MCM)8 C9 J+ R: c' y1 }2 v5 L, _
How Pterosaurs Fly ) x- D w$ n9 ~1 yPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They$ ~% G0 ^8 h* f' u* X' O( b. O* H$ c
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of ) h+ W' H" J3 B0 R" n. b# fthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved% O7 J5 g! C9 D- B# O' c: d
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and3 K ^; A+ c8 d' R+ y: [
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth 5 S- s1 i8 E }! \3 M" Vfifinger[1].9 \+ W3 ?/ b; p3 m2 d
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller& f, w& r9 d( \* `+ r' Y
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem & c1 J3 S* ^* y) w/ \branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they6 x* D& n* Y6 b" l' ]: L
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and0 Q& B% c' Z; E: `& S1 f& C( k
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived2 a0 L% m7 e$ S
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.$ E5 h& a. f8 w7 d" c
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. % w7 o" ~6 _+ APterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,, B# ^1 o) ]' R7 B0 U% J
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on ' F3 n N$ Z3 o/ w( X7 C. Pall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and 1 z5 f; i( ?, e3 Q; c6 E$ Afolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil " v) R3 |" w) Strackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 6 |' L' ]& C3 ] o) NPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which % J5 ?, w. _0 f) {1 mcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have6 b7 W/ k! y/ ~7 y
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug4 N1 r! W. b0 K1 o v- I+ G. @. O7 A
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de2 G( g, p' w5 U
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning# s2 D6 b& S6 E" N% F
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded' b& f. k! W5 f6 w3 d
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec& [! ]+ G- A5 W9 F
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones ; U8 a$ r2 q7 v- K2 F$ v# W2 pto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from8 W3 b9 G; B& e( w% _" x0 C C% r
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including " l: f: B! Q* I# ~( Z, OQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least ( C' K6 s3 q2 }nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong- T4 l' G; u$ l- S# F
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.+ @, t8 ` O- j/ a
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled S) M; y, z9 N) a M8 G+ Oat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded - l) E7 {* i; p5 |, jthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, 3 G$ t: F9 `; |! X' |) ]! NLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able 0 j1 Z5 [2 `$ M8 k$ ]& B" vto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. 0 r9 Z: ~0 R/ A( cHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology " w9 B$ f V3 m* {/ qof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs7 p. t3 v) D' Y6 z% x7 |; t
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,- m8 x) ~; v1 E
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 7 g- ?0 W* {; V$ Y3 M1 d+ ~atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed 4 ?# X/ v2 T& [9 A5 @for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 9 K! M4 X8 C8 e3 b& e4 rAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. - ]; X' t3 V P/ M, uIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones - _' S- B b- K, d5 P) _# r4 E2 Jof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage. S+ a9 v2 p- C1 s9 k& ?; n
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for% {% U) p+ Q( G k/ x% Q" e
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded : Q) D) C' u5 \6 q7 ?) Z, |- aand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as3 a& u; G+ U: V4 g. J' x
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ) w2 }0 M* I6 t; J, e0 RJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism 3 i! g: A+ N0 M9 w zto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would* {; W* [/ w: R2 v, t3 h
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds( x( k+ U3 `* v1 c" e& c( h
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].; y2 ^7 h$ T3 c' s/ s; Y9 v: }
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the 6 `9 l6 g! p& _2 Rflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and& s* g. P+ p2 {+ f5 l: n$ j. d+ K
to answer the following questions. 0 s5 L' x& F' w/ E; A: p! i0 b: h1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor) A2 V/ Q' b6 u9 P! ], o7 ~. |
mal flflight. / [; E4 Y/ o: I; g1 q# q D6 b2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during- v# j" a* S$ A- O8 P7 q2 S4 ^
normal flflight. 7 p! \9 q9 {. e+ e) P3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like; `% [7 N* U5 f7 ^& D
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. - ? ?9 X+ K: u5 o$ L! O; ]References 2 O; X0 N* s* R! f- u+ }[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight$ L. A9 @; V9 O" r" m% k
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.' p# f t$ |5 M$ w. ^. J% }- ?9 d0 x
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.2 r8 i5 m5 [9 j
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php9 M# V' E/ L& ?; h
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs3 Y* [& p7 K7 H/ C& c6 G% X
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- * ?4 `( Y8 N! a- hpterosaurs-had-feathers.html, i* c; O9 B2 X R s+ ~
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a S6 Q0 L3 a: L/ l* ]
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)# W- ~9 |8 L. @& |. c& X- r
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 5 ]. P' }. g" f" t9 z2 Y1983-87.# t# ^. X% d( r7 u, J
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust % v ~( x, m9 i0 ~$ B0 sskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 2 t8 _5 j# r r( B6 E1 c$ `180-84. : ?' p9 Y/ q" k. \2 m5 h[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? , b. b* t. L& K9 Vhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs & _4 k" A, v6 J7 g; J: n1 t' Xtoo-big-to-flfly/ 9 R' w' E$ V, V2 U[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology# t# }0 O0 e5 @! ?" I0 o9 |- t2 O
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. ( I' A- }' L6 }# Y[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable , g$ [- E$ U, Q& V' @ R4 Aair sacs in their wings.4 {& X$ f9 b8 E6 g
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur. e+ x# l9 | ^( v* K( I$ h
breathing-air-sacs8 a( q- F% M) I; t: X
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.0 @' i4 p, b. T: H. h L" v6 W9 }3 s' h
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils % i. O" ]. ^- K) `& Fresearch-mark-witton 1 R- Q2 D0 o I! Q[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?0 O: r; R h; X; h' Q
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs 6 N5 ^5 G6 W2 \* ovault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/* Q1 `2 M% A5 A5 j% |: e- Z
8 C: T% \# D( q+ \
20228 x& l$ p0 l* J/ N+ s2 }
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling9 }, ~ {4 f- z- @% R3 e
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn) C, f- k& \0 ]. B0 r/ J
Problem B (MCM)3 D) V4 J O5 S/ ]- G
The Genetic Process of Sequences . t: Z0 i4 Z5 x( [, @/ g& z& sSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein" ~" S' H% t9 S7 U5 i
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of ; j- r: [! d1 b) F$ {% c+ ulife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their7 s6 U( [+ ?- i, | l
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong ; h% ]9 x$ E. g: v. L& Zevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common / W% O8 E# M% a7 @* A' @- Vancestral sequence[2].0 w4 [ Y; y* E. j' C, r
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu# f4 e( z6 r2 z: q2 Z5 X
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation8 Q8 Q0 Q) u7 h. N5 c
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and- ]( [& k* N& c m* C# v# w6 J5 X, R
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by % a2 p4 t5 B' o2 N- a6 y+ R2 \5 F! Mthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together' B1 m, x- l$ g& U& T& g2 D
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. 8 I: Y3 p. k1 n4 _4 b1 [& pYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com ) p$ l1 X' B# s0 u/ ~* t8 oplete the following problems. ' }6 ]) \2 ^. |/ U7 S' h( a1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between: I5 g4 F7 P# E2 @, K
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. + s! M6 n2 [& I7 o9 C2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 0 n$ e% u. k, l# fdesign suitable examples to illustrate it. ; {' c* t# U; O6 i3 X& z$ D2 [3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an & h# ]5 w6 K( Q) hcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral0 B4 }8 _- L) ^: e
sequence, and map the genealogical tree.% ^# |, S8 p$ R/ |7 v+ j
References+ m+ k, c$ t% W; z
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re ! z# ~- \' W Z; P2 }3 Nview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. G% K: f+ }' z. w9 D8 H[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,# N2 `' e7 ]0 }5 W5 w& q
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and 3 P; [2 n/ ~* z# i' T6 q9 Fa way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. ( g# b. y* }. Z9 [4 r9 [" b" [ + y* L: p3 K* |2022. z' @- N0 c2 ]! X- F# F
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling& o! z+ x; b }
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn + n. G @: e* [. K# NProblem C (ICM); D; r0 G7 J' b: y2 B
Classify Human Activities 1 ^7 U7 G# L4 z- \* ^One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and8 m% u2 e1 l1 E. ^4 t5 H
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im, W0 R# B9 x# i( f! p% y7 i; L. c5 J
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor; P5 o7 b( M3 ^( d- T9 G5 {
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ6 v4 Z, G) K$ t
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly$ Z# x- m* b$ P2 v4 Z+ w. y3 k/ J
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],8 o& v2 e6 {& F n& t1 @
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in S% S( u- V- W V( \3 Nschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,! O, f$ S1 E: d* v3 T/ \
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain 7 Y [8 M3 K7 X* R/ \8 V- gment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial& b$ J5 o) t0 \, [
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify , @& ^! S6 c# t; v* ]human activities, the following data were obtained. ' M1 \* m; c7 [& Y# n0 dEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,# |+ v: C6 s) g! m: i
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes ' W! [$ H( H2 N- r# A5 z3 N( O: [for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ0 ~: {3 }7 y/ j
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be8 U" \ Y# D# g" F9 {
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and / v$ s" `) q, ^' U0 s# O0 Camplitudes of some activities. 2 b) g r* G* G1 u3 YSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. ) i, J& d5 I9 u FThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal% Y1 W1 S/ C4 M6 e \( M
segments are obtained for each activity.9 x9 B7 ~( X a
The 19 activities are:0 Z8 z) x) M1 K* u% [& R& v! d
1. Sitting (A1);( i) e0 Q5 [$ ]4 c
2. Standing (A2); , b! z" g6 l$ _( U$ F+ b( P( y3. Lying on back (A3); 1 s% I; y- p' F; S+ m4. Lying on right side (A4); w# K* G8 {1 _1 s8 r
5. Ascending stairs (A5);# A4 {5 N! X1 G7 K% ~5 H
16. Descending stairs (A6);7 ^3 {0 r. D/ F# n
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);/ M* I& L H. i& Y1 _3 E
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);% |0 d o" k: X" h& H( i( h+ ?
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);& R f$ g, E+ z, k
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg # R6 O6 I0 s7 _: `8 a- j r, D6 zinclined positions (A10);# c2 q5 w& k% P# A7 ?# i
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions, Y' h( S- i4 P7 _% m5 d' K
(A11); - ?9 q" F+ L! o# q12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);: B+ ]1 w) w! l O4 ]7 u
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);: ~7 Y- q. H) S3 G
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);* X' V" o# u7 B: [. S
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); / j. `: e N: u( b' Y; O$ c16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);; f4 P1 X {* w0 ]$ Y/ r
17. Rowing (A17);/ R8 [2 s- Y, K
18. Jumping (A18);3 p5 `% e U. R" h8 m( w
19. Playing basketball (A19). $ a4 }% |: r2 A K8 N: D( d2 K2 C, UYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve & ]9 O- R5 P. ythe following problems.8 ^) v5 y7 U$ O; {
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify - y% Z$ Y% n+ }# qthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.. b! H' k: k2 O+ |, ?+ y: M5 N
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have. c; a) M/ j' l% O' P, c
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study7 x9 H! @. P7 h1 [; H0 u$ w
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to ]: t9 d7 @+ P: \evaluate the generalization ability of your model. % [% |8 L7 h8 ]/ p: z5 O% U3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- & a. _+ k- J1 T3 ]& a8 Ication algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action 3 K& x& H& u& q& u% f! Uclassifification. 7 D/ X5 y7 V$ h( |, b& PThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: 1 I* s# y' g; S6 m+ ~% f& W- Y+ Jhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq$ Q- Z. l- j V% i; F. ?$ W6 L
2Appendix: File structure, O3 W* Q, d9 t$ D, k% Q* f2 X) f
• 19 activities (a)7 P5 O* l T9 l% H/ `0 e; V
• 8 subjects (p) 7 X: F" E8 F( g& ]) b• 60 segments (s)! E" J7 }3 l* R, h6 |
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left A4 e0 u# f' W
leg (LL) % K, i8 {: t( G• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z2 R- [5 \ ~0 s7 C* ]6 R
magnetometers)) b$ _' w; w; f. V/ @
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. & F* `, ]3 b" a1 F2 Z( A2 wFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the( N. a6 k+ s+ N0 X- O6 l! p; W
8 subjects.# i4 s9 M% d. s" I L/ ]
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each$ _; K; d+ ]5 z
segment.5 e/ U3 n0 n% ^- ?' b4 E, G
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25" v; `9 l9 w, V$ Y& @- ^) a' `
Hz = 125 rows. % X; f+ ]& M. d% gEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the ' f1 X7 v3 T N0 e2 V; f, Isensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.5 f6 A, k1 }* S: N& ~2 g8 g
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular $ J4 _$ l% v( ^ o# X& @8 lsampling instant separated by commas. / N- S, W7 ^5 y& UColumns 1-45 correspond to: ! T$ G8 x5 D8 P• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, & k& \4 e* d1 W- D• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, $ U* [9 s4 X* \) n' L• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, ' ]# u5 R' ~8 v& m7 d3 C) w• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,. b. K' T1 w& d6 B. K$ f8 ~
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.$ D( D! P. c, A+ ]: J
Therefore,2 D, `$ }% l9 T) Z3 U( x. V& z
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), . b# J; s, F g S* X• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),7 r+ d H( t2 d. U, O7 E* ^
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), ( c1 E1 T2 a3 D# I0 d! L• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),% Y* p3 X" [1 t0 O
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). - D) y2 ]: n: I( g9 J& x3References # ]4 Z8 y* r* e1 b- Q2 p; Z[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic 7 c1 C/ g5 M, S8 e- @& ]! [daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.7 t2 E; _5 d9 E- n
42(5), 679-687, 2004$ A- c3 I; ]% {/ m9 a6 I5 p) B" F2 P U! K
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of ) O* m" U7 \5 w% d& t% j' Hlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. . i; N) n$ ? u3 b6 oGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008: Q. B4 v# e: @" S1 E, D; y
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag/ x* c& t! s& O( x) C6 l
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. 6 s4 x( ?/ ?; B1 z. A0 d7 J- SB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007' g2 K7 O$ a+ }" M0 e7 M' @, x& W! ^
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con $ u( ?4 k4 }2 |" h4 s" ltrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 ( g: v: l; M9 W# u3 b! @6 Q. B/ X8 W7 U
2022 ; t. Y w. l, H: r5 c% {Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling5 ?# F) w) \: h4 A# U% y3 C0 X
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 3 U! s8 O6 C+ O1 U# RProblem D (ICM)+ ^$ ?- ^- [, {0 a
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long5 z& _# }! M# r- C, i4 |
Time# c, S+ v/ C b& Z+ M
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the ! f& R" `6 A9 Q. B. |" R0 r: O2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source1 B9 T: I+ M2 ?: S' r$ q( R8 Z, _
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently : E" {5 ] s5 A0 |( I/ @3 Etightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak," X; \# A6 _! Y, y
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some 4 X( T; E, [, [scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak / D" ?# p! t) B% s! H2 g, aends. P" W+ o1 n) O2 u- MHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?7 B \7 j- b! J$ s/ `
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas% D8 A. M& Q, n7 q* J( L% x- c" J
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo - D: |: o% [/ S# U3 ?ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could " f) S1 y% U: m# J" l: F" c" qcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil( q% ^# Q( B- L0 A( [6 k" s7 N
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of 7 C5 W; v6 q$ v4 Y4 n$ CEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. ! i/ d9 I+ C4 x; JA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology2 x" c5 W. O- j) K s
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their$ Q- F1 R" X/ J \4 k" Q: j, v
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have " l: z' C% y8 V3 ~) ^: [' B6 Q: ?identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with / [5 R [. N( d# Zall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing ( J( L2 U$ d, F2 n& z! C1 lalmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen 4 E6 k: q. |: G3 |from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 306 K0 T2 l7 A6 R) V2 R B$ @8 A6 h
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 7 J+ n1 C: L0 y* W* y( `5 tYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in 0 f _5 \' S# _( R" @1 h0 jGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife8 B7 M' D a' L$ m0 X h# C
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature u, O/ _( c, S/ N# N' o8 @! a
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact% A7 b2 i% @# K1 y/ ` O
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients % F: Q" p, H; d( xare in place for a similar disease to emerge again. , j% d* s; O5 H3 I/ vWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: 7 a& P1 Q9 s& r* h, O1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS, I$ q) V; U8 D8 g: Q
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL) v0 t9 q4 Y) Z. a; }
• Decline and extinction of populations 5 y4 i, q x: X• Introduction of invasive species 0 H9 v. b z; {6 h7 H: C. n9 P9 v$ h6 l• Spread of new diseases to humans+ Q2 i+ k+ i. y2 f4 X
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database$ _# y0 Z" Y1 x& W7 n
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The , l/ U% Q/ ^; U% q8 D$ \appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete " ?0 Y* `! E% `7 u* H* O% vdatabase can also be obtained through the following link: ; c! c* s7 r( Y- ?% x4 Thttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ ; Q0 a* V/ H/ I; \4 E+ mRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod/ u; x* k" d/ w& p% I) J2 ?) y
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 9 K- c" q& Z( G ` J2 V' H1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live3 {9 T" l( X( Z5 Y2 {+ F% y
animals taken from the wild)?, H) }0 Y) r2 s8 B2 I% }
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? 5 e9 R2 q+ ~2 N+ e" U4 ]1 L: e6 C# J3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? T6 l* ?* r* e W! T- b6 M4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major / M+ L- e- F# |- z* Yinfectious diseases? 4 ~. [1 K( F0 ~4 R J25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it. `5 o8 X. b" p$ d P4 y1 ]/ C$ ?
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? 6 ?1 M) i& s+ H3 R: z5 [0 @3 I6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain( z f) r0 Y. @& c) q
your views and policy suggestions." Z' P, ?% t7 H* I6 ~