2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 9 }( l" x8 r0 [8 Nhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx2 m; \0 s: X, T% W$ G6 G0 e- a
8 E5 B0 Y# z' w' [/ I, z) u: _/ T4 c
20220 u4 h6 M! L" m9 Z3 ] a
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling' C& C! S: O$ J! b: o6 C2 g: M1 Z
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn* B' P- o* l5 E, H0 R3 w
Problem A (MCM) % s- s# J. S. ^6 _- fHow Pterosaurs Fly+ z) I/ @; o6 V2 [
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They1 E/ U. W1 R0 l6 g
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of ! b: Q) F' x6 S3 g* zthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved( S8 x# q. ?# J) [1 h/ X
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and & e$ V6 L3 ?; r Xother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth ( J5 j. T( C1 V" d" [fifinger[1].0 @: Q4 J, E1 `
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller & a$ M4 _: L v/ ^& _animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem$ H/ B% M# ?* G2 O2 G
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they 2 _2 U$ J( y5 Y, f4 ?" R7 @would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and 8 A3 r! K& M- ~( C; {* `+ G) r. fstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived7 B! S2 K2 c5 K3 S; E1 f
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. : Y- u4 @2 ^/ fLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.9 W; F7 i- h, ^9 _
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,7 y4 D4 i, t/ e9 S+ q6 W9 i8 E
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on & G7 ^# U! H0 h6 Ball four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and - L& t! q7 I. W" z }$ Qfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil 3 j$ [- ^! v; R Ptrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. " X8 z: ], M1 CPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which- h @5 S, {# _ H" ?* _+ [
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have& F7 s0 q6 J' p/ @
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug 6 W5 ?1 N; _( R$ w( egestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de% T, j+ X k6 E9 A6 n; S
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning! b6 w3 V* I' v0 j* u; K
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded' ^" o, S& X: T" O5 S& `
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec. ^! ]. q+ B3 ^
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 0 p' x$ X2 n- u$ u( ]to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from , l+ ~; d% Q; O% pthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 8 ~8 u, h% z% [, h2 zQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least + y0 D3 m3 e8 o, Q! [: a0 {nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong' B0 o& K, C) J) @: ~% q" R
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. ! E& m0 N9 g6 x; l7 F) R jThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled3 X) h8 U& ]4 w1 u+ p
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded $ u# q2 A2 H9 t- p1 B7 x5 |that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, ( ~- i0 n. B' l" kLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able 1 [8 P5 d/ Y% e8 [: A' wto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].3 K. q2 {& u& \- g) [- x0 H
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology+ }4 s0 b. D' U
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs : |4 p" v0 w- d3 Zbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs," H/ R$ o9 _2 e7 n9 y
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that8 M$ {8 S, H" { P. P+ U
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed9 C+ v- ]" D, H7 n* x( u
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 7 R: G. [$ f- I3 t% PAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.: P- W6 r. d8 i) \
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones # X9 E. z5 ]- u1 rof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage 3 k# N$ j/ ^% {; Fa bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for4 j) p( t/ A1 r( E' v
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded$ _! H1 g, ?) x( Z
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as * T. D. e" L. O$ y4 Lquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of$ z' f) |$ ~6 V: Y) p$ {1 W
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism & w: @% [3 s- M. {$ qto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would ; C7 F; A2 G; n: W! ]# renable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds ! l% P& \+ P7 c1 h. k% D4 _2 aof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].5 ~0 g+ E+ Y7 g9 L& {1 a- V
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the# D7 |9 [( B; A d5 s% N7 b
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and$ t+ S& l: H. c( ?! \7 {
to answer the following questions.* F6 |4 z" h" `+ H" l
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor / `5 p$ ~( t( R# `! fmal flflight. W6 j" W) g3 d7 u6 G* Z" R2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during1 j, U! T, L. W* _
normal flflight. ; I# R$ c" K* ~( g' ~# n t5 k3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like 7 s7 F7 A- { G; q' t% x4 gbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. ; Y3 w. S* C, K( H4 Q! I) eReferences # }3 [/ W6 B y x: F8 h[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight ( w% r" ]0 b$ n3 J' r% u. mMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.+ ^5 p9 ~% f% a) z
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 0 M( W x% ?) Bhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php# y5 O! U2 r; n( j' T) Y% J
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs * T9 O6 g, `& L% t0 gWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-( |; l* X7 w- s) F2 \, e' ~
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html5 m! y+ d/ j8 E- P# w
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a; f$ w& ]4 x, S0 B7 w
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) $ M! A5 S6 |4 z* Gfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 0 P6 w! o9 q* d) T! t3 ]" z0 F1983-87. ! w8 w% k% s4 d. n[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust # y1 T5 |+ d* L3 K* _skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):5 Q% A* g. `' ]7 K5 r/ i) e
180-84. + z1 t5 b! K. [( C$ f8 j[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?/ u. A3 X& }" g$ }0 ~$ O
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs 8 w2 Q$ M3 X6 _) [! M" v) Dtoo-big-to-flfly/! e9 X$ c( m6 D, m1 N& U
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology . Q& N& o; U+ ]- ?! ?of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. ( x+ d0 K- X4 U% L[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable: D. M2 \. |' [1 |
air sacs in their wings.* U% K# {4 }' q5 T/ H5 y2 k" T' g
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur 8 _( \* e$ y# \- w. B2 f9 Z' {breathing-air-sacs" W5 f! t1 n- p% |) @# m
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.% r. A; m# V F* a" |( m
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils # ^( Q w$ z( p* C; Kresearch-mark-witton . {/ {+ j6 d1 p$ z7 w% T[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?6 L4 V5 B& s; s" W$ F
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs9 F& r& v A& o9 X7 m) ~9 m" H
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ 5 P F# T0 X* s5 q+ T , V; z. ?4 P8 Y" g+ Z5 u* Y2022- w' V+ h' Z$ }0 d
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling . n6 t1 E" H, ?; c% U- g6 s/ w, k; phttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn+ B4 p D( ~; ~* x" Z
Problem B (MCM) ( A* M/ [" S; S3 ^% TThe Genetic Process of Sequences & J. q- F. Q w6 I3 z/ pSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein: o' Y8 H+ F6 z6 e4 S: ~
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of ' r$ m6 ]7 E& l8 M5 W C" K, Rlife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their * k9 J; x) f* f. V k4 d# \nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong ' V& e ?8 a( j. p+ W, e4 C$ ?evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common* @) g- S/ C7 ?8 N7 E* Y% i8 _
ancestral sequence[2]. ' z3 Z) \2 v2 H5 \Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu3 t+ `: u' C; N! U
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation + q) s5 t& R! } X5 J4 t7 J/ }& Darise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and 3 i8 m6 V& [7 odeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by, p" a( e" \* m# F- B2 f! q
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together+ d2 y4 q' d# x) F
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. : T* T+ T) o( b& n9 tYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com / H! V. ?$ o D5 s( k9 Kplete the following problems. e% W$ ]& j' f5 o4 y! D4 M i1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between: h/ o* {3 B" c' @" K( \
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. / g; x d! }7 J4 [2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and% |, b1 Q; l* Z7 P- ~
design suitable examples to illustrate it. ! [& w8 e; t3 I% s; F8 E3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an % U' ]$ n$ G: V* m0 w. q+ u1 V3 ]cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral) D, ~# I1 {, k0 z$ o
sequence, and map the genealogical tree.* ~1 ~9 ^: s+ |2 l$ q( j1 G
References ( T: }* S$ l: _0 v$ N: \[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re5 U. C% ^: d, e& A3 T) F7 k
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. + V/ @# M" s" F( E r[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, $ O7 @; S8 s& z0 `3 z1 Q3 wet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and ! J% n6 X x2 @$ Z4 Pa way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. ; A- r7 Z% p3 o" Y% n* z3 [& A4 g1 ^3 S* I ^% Y
2022 & A, E5 a. |& {2 }; w) ~4 J, t, ?- gCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ; ]: ^9 c9 N4 ?$ Q" b' d- Xhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn" M+ p) p* E0 @# z8 R
Problem C (ICM) " M" Y& S# t, N; FClassify Human Activities7 b' w/ l- N, k: t" Z
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and# I7 S) D' q5 o; U. D3 C) q) K
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im ! A0 G+ @: F! p: V) Gprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor( e/ J5 T( Y# T1 P# y8 L
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 5 G1 A6 p; C* ~8 u7 r3 oity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly* X1 H, P5 E+ Z. |
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],5 f4 x) Z3 } ^, F
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in 5 u+ S4 A& ~3 u( Wschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,! X9 H, D q3 K# L
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain% N& G3 `6 k! t. \
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial 6 z& C" h4 U+ `1 ~" I2 r, O; rsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify1 M8 ], M) I8 }0 n- O% I
human activities, the following data were obtained.* H& v$ U) }6 ^; N
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,: h" d7 n1 H) R' p' d5 j2 Q' q! I
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes) e: p" f& N4 I+ p% K3 l
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ % o$ {, H& b' r3 _, T4 P/ E& Jities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be & B# C+ `" e+ n6 @performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and & I& a1 h( ?6 M$ A1 A* |) }amplitudes of some activities.- m- D. u, r1 V- s/ c9 b
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 0 R( x" Y# m/ ?3 Z5 r0 QThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal9 @1 a- s# F% ^! W3 E
segments are obtained for each activity.3 f$ o0 R6 V: N; M6 {' b" U
The 19 activities are: " C0 M, D. E. g1. Sitting (A1);9 R7 P3 E/ u, B% [
2. Standing (A2);) m5 L C4 Z7 l' d, [
3. Lying on back (A3); 3 {* D( ?3 D! R- A: L0 E; r4. Lying on right side (A4); ) Z$ N1 g5 ?% V- P; i5. Ascending stairs (A5); % ~6 j( x8 y% m) g9 d16. Descending stairs (A6);" ~) Z4 _5 `. _% \3 e+ Q5 p: P
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);4 T: V* X6 C0 c* d' [# j+ P
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);7 f# f0 S o1 M( ]1 Z: R6 k3 ?
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);1 ^, @/ l$ o0 {+ b$ y6 r
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg 5 W! z, n: W0 _, z% Pinclined positions (A10); $ A- s5 U& M: d. O11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions W# q# d6 {9 ^2 ~
(A11); . e' `; i5 n- q# P12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);" v2 j& l" G. s7 S* r7 G' S
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); ; A9 ^5 t" W: O14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);8 D1 K) D0 g% T& P& ]. L% }
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); ) u* G3 o1 R7 R9 [, J& y16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);, u: e& H( S+ f6 O/ O7 A0 R
17. Rowing (A17); : H1 h( y2 q; g4 d& W* s ~18. Jumping (A18); * X6 x* s+ g3 v Q4 Y, L19. Playing basketball (A19).4 H3 x3 ~* c' ]
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve7 f( K7 M0 E: D- n# y
the following problems.% @9 Z6 W. G) [) L
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify& d5 H, T, D4 w1 [) a t
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. 0 J/ {3 K9 c+ T( r% T2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have4 P4 g8 n1 i3 H
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study) J* l1 Q/ m/ H; H+ M# `6 H
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 5 |. ~# R A: B! H) _evaluate the generalization ability of your model. ( `) r) E7 _9 {3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-# ~: j. E, P4 h" p$ g6 Y# i2 y+ T
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action+ Q7 z7 z& C, {3 W5 Z
classifification. + l9 o6 z2 t- X b* O) vThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:# @2 x7 K! F$ ?7 P
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq( [( c: _: F9 [
2Appendix: File structure) a/ N, w, m k& e
• 19 activities (a)" C8 G; X. ~: x# f' s* ?9 D
• 8 subjects (p) : P. z w# ]( w9 g3 P• 60 segments (s)1 [6 ?& e% \% _
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left ; n# R* d: B+ E( F* E4 |leg (LL) $ c$ t0 k) ?2 h% u( |2 a) G" z• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z - {) S' k: L2 ~% e. Jmagnetometers) 0 a5 q. y% F- |" j7 b$ XFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 0 Y; @5 ^9 |% ?$ X7 @/ hFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the + @+ s k1 K8 b4 Q0 k8 subjects.. f2 L( l" }& w
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each* D' U9 f' V( z; J. i/ G0 V
segment.% i4 K" r# J; S8 q* ^, c2 D
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25* F: m Y2 A% P" `; `
Hz = 125 rows. * |& l" g6 u3 i* b9 ?3 _Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the1 W3 D3 Q Q6 O7 ^) y8 n; H5 [7 H) w6 P
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.# A% F5 X9 H6 h: _, K$ Z
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular5 ^! J- q8 B y7 I' J7 c& x
sampling instant separated by commas. 5 c4 _8 \0 q2 i5 xColumns 1-45 correspond to:- b/ ~: \- \! A" z5 H4 o
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,7 }: d* _3 C3 E8 R
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, 7 f. \3 [, Z) _8 S8 I% F) M• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,) E% \, z0 e, L$ H0 J6 p# X% X
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, $ d' x) I! v( K8 u( ^" P• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.6 p8 |5 q" s- N; x
Therefore, - P0 W% r' Q- I8 X• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),1 ^/ D6 p% K- Y9 f; D* {$ x9 v
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), X) F/ ?: h) x' p9 B
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),$ r% S+ R+ M& E L
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), & _: a# Z8 J W0 y• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). ! O' @9 s) F( \3References2 `. M3 q4 }# l; K& ?6 b" o
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic ! J: s/ m$ x" ?0 _/ Edaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.0 ]; C, ~3 l) }7 L
42(5), 679-687, 2004# ]5 r; @7 {# O4 |) X4 E
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of1 J) b8 b: }! [ n4 L
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.6 J: r+ f$ h" I: ^& e/ n5 R
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20082 s8 H# F0 U& n6 K0 j3 K$ g e K
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag - Y- a" ^, U9 C+ anosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. - X2 r7 J8 W2 W0 t: EB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 ; [$ e; Q/ ^5 _, c$ f) i+ q[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con3 P* F; y0 o& k3 ]: D
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 ; i' g2 \: w$ R+ a0 c, k( k: _2 I2 r+ A# ?
2022 3 j0 c9 r# b) s' B6 T& B# \Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 8 l: i3 C2 H% s3 fhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn ( N- Z: v, M) K: d7 NProblem D (ICM) $ F5 Z# M; |, c, g# W' K8 p% H; VWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long ' ^8 |% Z7 C7 G8 ~: ETime8 Z- W; h& L" W6 B8 u
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the ; G5 ?& n+ \. W) n$ F' ^' y2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source0 q$ w# F/ T: D
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently3 {: ?" O) m# v4 c% A: a1 k9 {
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak," m% _1 J) Z2 k; J6 P1 z
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some: Y6 C& l1 H. C8 y# ?: X7 X, T- w/ D
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak % H6 ~7 _3 @* t E& I4 x0 y- T( Uends.! w& t7 M6 @8 C8 A: g' A0 {: M, c ]
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? - M) `) p4 A5 U- e+ PSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas) y0 T+ j! Z2 c. B: L, A5 }+ `
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo4 e1 y: V; B' O$ J# u9 `' j1 Q
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could5 d6 @) ~+ `' i9 c+ N
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil7 M( o# y2 I2 z }8 q
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of6 P2 I: m, q- O% |
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.) [ ]8 U$ f8 t" R# D
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology2 y$ l; H2 [! \% w( P, @( i# X
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their ; R) ]! O2 [- y; }2 [2 W9 _smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have " ^6 [. L7 L- t- A% ]& `/ Sidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with : V; h6 \6 [% p3 `all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing; t! l1 ?! [/ g! W
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen ; B) j1 g; a! v9 B. W$ @from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 ! J4 h# _ `2 Q" ^0 d& z# d1 HNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 7 Z9 \- m6 k+ F4 K( SYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in ) c# _. r; x0 I0 O, a! ^8 LGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 4 v: Q, \* ]; }: r2 ?4 \trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 3 F$ Z9 f+ g' Xwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact : P% E; M0 J: }6 Z, I, _8 {+ nwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients3 g6 E- a4 E3 ~. e
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. ' b7 w# ?( L3 ~2 d3 IWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: & M- z. }4 k, j4 Z* ~! c1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 7 l0 |& g; M9 q; e joutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL- ]: k8 j: |$ t. S( Z/ D
• Decline and extinction of populations7 M1 G- @2 f! C5 B
• Introduction of invasive species : e6 u9 ^; i+ z4 {) g• Spread of new diseases to humans {+ q: c& r$ A" ]8 B2 s. V3 }We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database ( e2 u. ~* e+ N" ~6 Q) u- p$ h5 g" bcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The$ R6 f) o( r# u3 [* ]' \
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete4 i* f, B6 o: ]' M9 Y$ c
database can also be obtained through the following link:8 j- |. _3 F) z
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ / ^% x) H! n/ ] I1 o7 \0 oRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod ! b9 K& N" O1 W2 b7 x" aels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: & x# ?# {4 v/ v! R# T) w: C1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live$ Z, Z' Q2 S; v6 F
animals taken from the wild)? 2 d/ a% i/ q0 x/ R$ a2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?7 s7 k: b& M! b3 ^$ T* Z' o
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?# x! T- _0 G& s5 J0 X& V/ O
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major8 j. f, m6 v4 i- ]6 I/ @
infectious diseases? 8 y+ F( X; j) N1 M6 }- z25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it + b+ B$ u" k, h1 _will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?1 o/ o& d6 I* l% B+ J
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain 3 x7 {% m7 {8 k5 L# }" G) Yyour views and policy suggestions. 2 l: [+ c y* C: T- C" F, }2 O& I
5 Q; R) {, b, C5 |* o& t% M5 X