2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 7 x6 q/ A% V5 s: {* t$ Y$ P, G6 U ahttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx 5 `1 x: Z4 W6 W! ~' g , p0 b- C8 Q& D) s8 U2022 1 K# Z* D4 a m( dCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 4 _" k8 h0 g. u4 {" b+ dhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& ?# M7 j0 \3 M# G1 C8 ?" m* d
Problem A (MCM) ! ~. a# h3 P: c j" oHow Pterosaurs Fly* G- L9 p9 c5 h$ X
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They. j: B4 U5 k& U7 C
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of( t% l" t9 K3 Q4 w- e3 A# ]
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved" r" `& t" u7 U. b5 G, f
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and # v E4 _& Q! p% `: n6 ~other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth, w' g2 E6 E4 w3 s: b% T- G3 G
fifinger[1]. 5 j z$ v9 {5 s _" R0 {There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller( Q. R1 m# h5 u) ?0 |
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem; S* ~9 p' A; s' X5 N9 v2 c% k/ Q
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they4 K3 u7 h O+ Z! X0 p
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and " W8 `0 m- F" ?4 e; {strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived$ _: T0 f+ P* u; j* W3 B' ]) U
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. |9 R; g, H" B( A( |+ o z% kLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.9 [! L5 q% D7 R- i6 R" b: K
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,5 P% W4 c2 S( X. Y, I
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on ' ^" R6 e; g) V3 y& `' dall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and# m* W1 B' {- L7 ~: C% N
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil+ k$ I& w* A! n
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 2 D) o. E, }, P0 |Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which ' C$ m2 ^/ u1 }) T _covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 2 i2 _% s" m% x+ `) r$ |/ m# qhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug # h9 F& y/ l8 A9 s' ^gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de: C" P; G7 T) b% e( ^- M: j; u
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning 5 t" H8 F9 D" M2 B: | Xcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded + ?/ V# ^! r8 A- O( c% s(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec 3 A% J$ v+ S" Btional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones ( a8 W+ @* z/ ^' C7 lto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from2 K$ Z4 B5 P1 r+ o: v% k2 l
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 6 z% q8 C4 A( t0 e% g& _8 KQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least 5 I2 B, Z, x1 a; w2 B( B. znine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong 1 M, [9 J/ V% k( j" c1 m- E% H1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. - x' \' s0 I$ ]- d/ i! lThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled ! a: j. e* N" r+ |at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded ! i" A2 d+ a$ c/ n8 r. W& Fthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, 4 _! P- F! Q, w& h& J- X# l7 CLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able+ B) F/ m# j8 X# N2 H+ u/ K1 N
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].2 z3 i0 [6 |" ?5 f7 I) Q
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology : O/ I- U8 p, Uof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs 1 l- `; P1 W+ t: obeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 8 Q. N7 p; K& ]3 G4 s* h; |: q! h( _such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that. I- K! P# x6 W. d$ _4 a4 y
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed & L. {! F/ G5 T. o: R' a4 X! sfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].% H! Y6 E, l$ L t' u5 ~. j
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. 5 \; m# @6 D o: v" a% r8 i' J) vIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones 3 D8 D( O& x% v2 S# N( y4 yof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage; z c4 M4 h; p5 X
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for) M" Y2 [7 L5 k% S& _* C0 ~
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 6 j, s) I q: j/ jand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as/ V4 m0 z- s9 s
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of $ f5 s* P4 C: C% A! lJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism& O+ T! a, e; L8 r, q" [
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would: P4 H; q1 W$ T1 i: N9 L4 K
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds / A3 {1 x9 W/ L/ {of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].2 v9 \+ M% F" t
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the M- h$ o8 t3 {" K
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and 1 v$ B( n! ~* k- d* Y0 H& e M rto answer the following questions.) x; b- `, M- |; E6 d
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor3 ~( d# q9 J# B$ T7 ? J7 k
mal flflight.6 s' i7 u8 e% ]+ V$ j
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during 5 Y, N8 b- ~* Y5 z3 L% E; Cnormal flflight. 7 H4 e+ J9 o$ s: F5 Y$ V3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like! w Y3 W# P0 ]0 A
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.) J/ d; Z- d' r. R
References1 o# w% c$ r! [0 A) j' Y2 ^1 K5 C! k' c7 i- S
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight 6 c% D' V! O, a6 Q# pMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.8 L5 n" y" B0 ^9 M4 A
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion., b) ^0 \" `/ t0 v5 [* s
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php 7 ~, {5 i6 S6 H; d0 y, r[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs7 D; b9 @+ c7 E: l; s1 J! _
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- 2 N" H9 \; h ]* h( Npterosaurs-had-feathers.html 1 f7 P- K8 n" j( P1 W[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a. b" a& t* {5 z
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)$ T" J: z/ Y! M( W# D1 |+ @
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):" c$ G5 }, N: w& c% V% a
1983-87./ c Q+ s3 N/ f) i% g! _8 m5 k
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust ; D y+ i" n' g2 ~8 Eskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):3 l* V( i; U: z" x
180-84. ) e# b) x, t' k& k/ \[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?; x1 |" h1 S" g% N
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs8 a8 j4 R" k5 c {, u8 D* S
too-big-to-flfly/, H( C7 N& f* k, J, N; z# _
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology, f5 h2 G+ L1 G, [' h2 Q
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. M3 b7 Q4 @# K7 @7 F[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable 1 n" a! ], S1 w# l+ `, m. eair sacs in their wings. 8 V& u7 I# P9 U; Xhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur 6 o x% p, i( _5 l9 B$ kbreathing-air-sacs' w' H& C9 {6 w
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.- n0 @% G) \1 }8 X5 a
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils7 D% x7 C' @) p$ |0 i% T
research-mark-witton $ w p5 t @2 C) q[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? ; P& L9 L5 q5 r$ j/ K/ fhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs# H+ u% A# ?0 O2 }$ v$ E, Q% t: ~5 X
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/: \* o1 R( i" R j9 c7 w
1 l8 A: [0 \; I) a% e* B
2022 5 W5 }9 o# E9 ICertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling" J1 O; I) r: [! n, M
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn - m/ U% R8 g; i7 U+ xProblem B (MCM)4 T( x0 P9 I9 u+ c
The Genetic Process of Sequences 4 x) o" t0 C# D5 eSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein 8 C6 A: n# W! u5 B: Y' |8 r( c6 W9 dsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of x5 v, q' s" Slife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their' B* U0 Z4 }$ N4 R, {
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong % u+ D( N/ ~3 _! e$ @) Vevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common ! l- _6 h& r j- [$ U* k: M, Xancestral sequence[2].4 t; O0 |* n3 T! |+ h( d% i+ }
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu9 f. h$ x4 \3 B$ I+ p5 v
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation" {$ l. ~1 ]0 t- I6 w# Q
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and. }* E' w- i3 y# t* P0 m% d
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by1 `6 Q/ [$ p- c8 K% g9 n
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together , z2 j6 a& w: [1 H U7 S5 Ycan form a family, and they are considered homologous. 7 R' s W( `! Y, kYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 4 l4 e t; O* P+ L3 P6 \! j/ fplete the following problems.( i! F8 D) W% o( e' W
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between % V! k( O! y3 \+ Ftwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.1 _( n# k# f! J! w3 _7 x4 P
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and - z) [* M% m- D) ydesign suitable examples to illustrate it.( c: h7 X; a5 K: n
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an& d/ {% V2 E" d1 ~8 @
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral ) D1 x) L* W$ ]sequence, and map the genealogical tree.- O. }8 I9 }, ~: x
References ! L6 L1 R. B2 ~- C) L% c! {; i[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re 6 t' m2 J* i( V5 ^6 w. yview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. q3 z' ^6 e* Q8 o2 L3 ~6 ~3 [[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,# h( o6 j7 v- y( T; F
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and 7 W1 A; m/ E1 ~, da way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.4 |" g1 b' p% c
- n4 U7 I; t; {, N! Z2022 : q/ r, ?# Z. b h6 ^4 YCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling & i3 u7 K) V" v9 d1 ahttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 4 D. Y) c {* S9 O ^4 WProblem C (ICM) 2 j$ m! s; ~% e% F9 |8 i; g6 iClassify Human Activities ! ^/ ?4 U2 j4 _/ Z: X! O8 i# lOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and l4 ~8 I: v7 f3 n$ A* t* R+ E+ M
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im& b0 ]" K: N4 v
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor* h5 B! W- H1 [4 k; I
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ ' }, j& C9 S: r: @* ]- N; e5 Kity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly ) s2 c1 _+ M5 u: s5 m* a% dremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],. I* D. Q& v1 ~; _
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in 0 N3 o2 j+ @( I2 t2 b- m6 @! Kschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, 7 n- R' d8 {! b- Osports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain 4 E7 ]% g Z& |1 t( W$ }$ w$ ]ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial ) h7 G% c& R: G6 }sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify' d( [4 k( ~% r2 C! T$ a
human activities, the following data were obtained. 2 y) q2 D8 s; b7 n( r$ dEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,; ^, b) `! }. J' \ j: H# ^
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes # o0 W; x# Z; o( z" t, [' F3 u2 Cfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ ! M L; \4 P' ~+ F$ T# Tities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be 4 q$ x, a3 c# T2 D3 D/ eperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and ( }7 I! D1 h" E) f0 mamplitudes of some activities. 7 O6 ?4 q; m f/ a( eSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 7 [/ D" d, n0 R: _# d7 wThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal - r3 @+ d1 w9 P5 ysegments are obtained for each activity. + r! r/ W/ O3 I9 x8 uThe 19 activities are: 9 Y) g% d1 _9 e) O9 r$ E2 D9 d; A1. Sitting (A1); ' w: J2 m3 S) ~; p- G* A2. Standing (A2); 2 S( R8 \8 \# ?0 R$ t. g3. Lying on back (A3);/ X% Y7 F7 X* R/ X" S
4. Lying on right side (A4);4 h1 R# a# ]% l* U `& `, l4 M
5. Ascending stairs (A5);2 A. ^$ T+ U+ J
16. Descending stairs (A6);* J+ E4 A# `8 F% T8 i
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);. h7 k) b. n2 O& F
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 7 @/ e) L1 K! H% V2 ^" X/ I1 d9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);4 V9 L+ n; B% W( `
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg ! Y2 @: S' I! z/ jinclined positions (A10); 0 n$ v/ B. i7 m11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions 1 {# c4 J% N8 T- C9 c(A11); & t% ]- F1 K- P1 i5 J4 K- y9 l+ O12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); 4 ^; c# t u2 ^- w13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); / {2 e& B: j8 c) ^: D H5 r" }14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); $ s! b' e# X8 h+ v. ~3 _15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); / P6 R2 v9 p3 }& K* O0 K% h/ Y16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); $ e# U; S! |4 b3 ~- f17. Rowing (A17); 9 g/ \/ o- k( ^8 E$ }18. Jumping (A18);, l/ }- N @7 i. s# A" R
19. Playing basketball (A19). 1 k s2 L4 G8 fYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve " J2 t8 I1 @! i6 d" Pthe following problems.5 y! u' Y0 j+ O0 b5 a+ R- y
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify " M; ^% N' r$ ~9 R( h5 ^8 ^the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors., f3 l7 c$ i8 j! a
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have- Y8 B; K6 g" { ?" q
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study% _6 a+ f% r. Z; h) v; @: ~
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to* l8 l; G$ Z( R
evaluate the generalization ability of your model.& B: I3 g- j& A- @! x
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- + h, [& A% m, @; C2 L' _) r+ ccation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action 3 Z! k" {) B) t: l, Dclassifification. 6 z0 A' }# a* SThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: : o+ [8 n1 k9 @# uhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq0 ~* \5 I: t: }- \1 P8 w6 z+ a
2Appendix: File structure3 t" J$ _- i Q: O
• 19 activities (a)1 e* z ~ S- h& u+ Y' y
• 8 subjects (p) * f4 D4 N1 B+ [3 v9 T! O• 60 segments (s) ( z! j7 K% H8 w& R% P• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left' ~ s g- x" d8 `
leg (LL) 2 W% G- l5 p* T! u• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z 7 \, v) r" q3 H* n4 emagnetometers) $ k$ X. J3 B3 B/ t2 Z4 { z) UFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. + P7 ]3 t/ d* |) s% lFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the$ `4 |1 ^4 g5 J: t! w
8 subjects." {8 Y3 l% q8 e; P5 {
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each ( C2 H- W y# g' Vsegment. , U) I/ r, Z8 w1 Y$ gIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 9 q$ L4 B$ l `6 ~( ^Hz = 125 rows.. N6 |1 T; J. Q1 k' x ^4 p
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the 9 j2 A9 x1 x. g( Msensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. ; Y( O6 C" F/ W: |, x. y1 uEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 0 d: ?1 h8 B5 asampling instant separated by commas. : ~" q+ W2 h4 M& W; b2 xColumns 1-45 correspond to: 4 ^/ U2 I0 `$ T9 T2 ~5 A# N8 \* L• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,6 i3 \ u5 K4 o o) _; c4 X6 _8 T
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, Q) I/ I6 s$ N# Y$ P5 r" N
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, \9 W h# v7 o; R
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, 5 I/ i. n/ {1 ~, y; W• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. , ?2 z1 ~2 q) Q+ s7 c& _Therefore, - t% W2 ?- f' G% D3 A* @• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),5 Y4 V# i! b7 n4 Y
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 1 q% m$ ?$ P( t* y• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),7 B8 t3 ]) g' M
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),- I4 [! C' D& a: T7 ^4 E
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). / N5 n2 [) ]2 O! r8 Q% X# t3References " d- _% |! r. o/ O[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic7 E" E) d7 V% w; A
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. 7 l0 h) g9 }! N; Q42(5), 679-687, 2004 - y+ q' d6 N/ _9 s8 O) ^[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of" U, f/ r: ~; h( \
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. 3 S' M3 z8 t: i4 ]$ i- PGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 + L7 _ C' ?" i[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag6 E" y0 R, m# a& o+ d7 x5 V
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. 8 n7 H3 M1 x1 c3 e. XB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007) } \4 `8 \2 m
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con - j I; W: `4 s& ` e" ktrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 x7 g; u# U# h5 w; X* P: I6 q
h! x' H- L1 Y- s7 t+ e2022 # P. h8 W6 K1 u: L6 h6 V, r p* \Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 6 Y7 n0 Y5 n6 z! e- Rhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn0 H8 `0 _* j$ s( ?% G5 r8 B2 M) L
Problem D (ICM) ! n/ ^8 t2 b9 B/ n& LWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long 6 B' I' U# Z. _* ]" W9 STime' x6 Y$ M- I. u" d' e9 I
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the / s) I0 o# t: M9 h! Q; E2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source! `9 L9 M5 o( D' B e; n4 H# l! m
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently' o3 |1 w% E1 C
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, {$ T" i: ~9 N' j- `3 D
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some 1 Q% B# }6 p* w) Z* escientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 9 _) M9 l3 Q! ]; W+ Oends.- ` `% @( z* i# M9 ^
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?1 T9 w( w4 d6 @1 x
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas# f9 D' j8 g/ A( d
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo5 s0 B) ?: [% T8 T% C
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 4 m$ {6 V' V# dcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil + s+ S3 ?- i& h& Z1 r; C/ blion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of ) U9 g4 E# e; V- ], Z/ h; S9 uEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.$ L8 b# H. Z2 E- h+ d
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology ) [3 h7 t/ ^' M1 v: min China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their $ M: X! O" n9 s$ _3 e2 C0 Qsmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have5 U1 q P# K( h, `' c; E
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with$ v8 M! ^; m0 M& V5 I* i
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing, ^) j' U, N1 D b5 n
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen N' e: ^" L7 P4 s# w% P8 ifrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 ) }1 w2 _6 x \* F. Z! a) T. INovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in: H& Z. q. ^3 ~, }/ j
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in# W/ n0 _' x6 n8 J2 H
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife! m- Z; {. P" b2 z, A( m& l
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature % @0 N( d1 A! u! T! v5 Ewhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact; x8 ` {$ u+ K( f2 v2 u. M
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients 0 |( }, C% |; vare in place for a similar disease to emerge again. . l4 ~6 D% @, K' G" A9 UWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:5 O1 a: e5 |8 ^
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 1 ?! G5 U" F- z5 A; Coutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL 3 Y0 R; E$ n; S; T8 ~• Decline and extinction of populations- ^) l+ x: X5 p W9 _: w
• Introduction of invasive species * R& B3 a3 d. _• Spread of new diseases to humans / _8 J5 m$ `& C2 P8 DWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database & j& b1 i7 E8 ^contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The# [. k, Z/ Y. R. O
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 9 p, e3 I! `9 [- A7 F T" D# m7 s2 Hdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:8 y0 S9 d9 ?0 w
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ 6 q5 i% m- @1 m' sRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod8 D0 j) k8 ^& B+ f. @6 `
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 0 S' l2 L) \" G4 A1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live 8 l0 P; Q8 I, y$ f, G% _! nanimals taken from the wild)?* B/ D# X) q! }4 L% Y
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? 5 s4 Q; ]3 U/ u+ J: A% P3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? 9 N. P* ? ^! i* }4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major " b: F1 G6 g5 V# |: K+ y2 kinfectious diseases?; v5 L' T# C' v5 T; y
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it % a( c+ G; F4 ^( @6 vwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? $ b. p0 |1 s$ [0 ]* t! K: ?8 ]( {: V7 J6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain , T) A: H. ~; C7 `) M0 N M0 i7 }- zyour views and policy suggestions.+ x# k& Z# R0 |4 \& d6 h, s! R4 L
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