2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 / P2 Q: o" I* ^7 }0 T
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx 8 q' s# \$ S) C" j3 a$ A9 h : J9 E. H, R' m% j* j2022 2 T% O0 ]* B9 z* ]1 ^0 gCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling " o; U5 g2 h: L+ @. {$ J' ^http://mcm.tzmcm.cn0 u1 G/ G7 Y* {/ N: u
Problem A (MCM) " X e" }7 [- z- @+ I" e0 AHow Pterosaurs Fly* _* y+ r: \! y J; u
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They 8 `: o; Y' S4 y# ^* h! b- Yexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of ) N, ]8 f8 S+ Y) j+ @; g. ?the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved* D: T5 k# D# Y
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and" n& ~2 Z" U$ w. l* B2 Y \
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth # F2 d E0 e2 b$ h! q, Y4 mfifinger[1]. / S% W+ _, k& x' hThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller2 u$ J* `0 u0 S, U1 L# f
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem ' g! U" `* G/ E3 B) v* C/ _branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they9 a# \1 K* _4 N' Y9 B; f
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and. @5 c6 l$ {& b ?5 u
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived( X9 V" u/ H( i* {/ d8 K
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. ( \. z. c9 { w2 PLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.+ @4 o8 q$ F8 E! Z) L$ E
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,/ i0 o6 i# b) S
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on+ q1 X( C' s7 g* K, I8 K$ J
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and 6 ^& j8 m5 A% g3 X) v( k2 x2 Gfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil4 ? Y6 h! B8 d- |4 K7 {5 ]
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. - {+ p. `; G( r; }8 u3 i* yPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 4 C3 C! o9 \7 m, ^; xcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have; e: Q5 P1 u5 ]* [. D* e
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug , m4 p2 T' A9 `gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de 4 Y. Q7 b$ X6 {* F6 T$ k5 ariving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning6 a" V5 m0 ?2 g
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded1 d: \ }. j/ U
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec) h2 l& n" o* s
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones, G! V: T" w( L6 |$ S! V( S* t
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from2 y: B Y5 ?3 F* A I5 ]! ]( f; ]
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including ! ?( U9 [ m- DQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least $ N5 O7 u) b4 Jnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong * V' D2 m. _0 x1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.- i7 M# G$ L6 m9 P- V' Q
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled ; N% y2 X5 N4 P) t8 I2 `at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 9 w+ ]$ J$ y5 J$ o' ythat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, 8 K1 C% u6 H3 f8 c; WLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able e( }# d: |2 a& ^' x; m( L9 L' pto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. 6 K+ N e& p* Z$ C+ ?% q' t+ `However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology3 D+ |. N6 ]* `6 {& O3 V, U
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs4 {1 l: J0 N& _- v
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 0 u! N9 _2 E; \% _( Q" D, ], Asuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 3 c* s2 w5 l# m2 M, U' Tatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed+ M7 [ r2 i7 _6 r8 a5 Q2 I1 I
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].5 n$ d" A: g, D) o3 B, ?+ _( Z0 D
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. 6 v6 ~# b: t9 dIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones. B: N1 q5 g9 R" R8 V2 C o* i- e8 Z
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage & H$ j3 t3 `$ |a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for # V8 i( P, b7 S0 n, Kgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded4 X8 U4 i6 y4 r5 F( O
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as) ?' M, A! a; |8 _( \5 G; B% E" ]
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of 8 K- _! x: b0 DJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism $ k/ x4 v* O/ @1 J/ h% vto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would. S5 a7 T$ O: |4 ~" l
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds6 w+ i: N' `6 h, w9 Y$ a4 j
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. 8 v" Z) @) f% {' n2 u& }" M/ {Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the. e1 b f1 h+ }/ d. n
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and; ]$ v4 ~3 L+ d4 e+ `4 r9 n( M
to answer the following questions. 7 P" q2 d4 t- I+ W# d: I) l: X5 m1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor# d% Q, B4 ] P5 X6 e: [7 h
mal flflight. Z) ~& L, T; K- J# x1 r& Z& Q0 D" ~9 d
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during 1 E6 E" F) F8 ]/ a, Enormal flflight. & M3 U8 Z z- t7 z3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like5 l& o- R- E. n* x4 [! L. w
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. . A: M4 J7 G G( s6 {References / }4 A! x/ d( E% F( p[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight2 f" K% _6 u6 Y- U7 W* l' f
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.5 @" o' H# G# m8 R5 u O# w
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.) i& t; U5 L: }. \* b3 g
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php `9 w k0 {% i
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs $ d0 M& i+ [/ ~" IWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-5 ?- |, }* M& D9 F+ @" x
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html# E' X- S. x Y& W# k* F; S1 p
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a" O7 B! y# K' o% v+ a
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)) c# O/ M* i$ |: h
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):/ W: c6 l( m6 _$ Q5 h- b9 y1 I
1983-87.' }/ j" P5 S- f( B
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust' p6 A3 p% Q1 ^$ ]
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): . `9 F* \5 Y; U' C- Q' c180-84.. A. B- X7 e( B( \3 ?
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?2 g! {& H/ F& u9 R$ U
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs O0 Q! J' \7 [: h( g
too-big-to-flfly/6 B3 g! E+ s) ?9 L6 h1 y4 c
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology 7 i2 H3 }$ K) s- G7 aof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60./ Q" h1 q/ P& I# W" x3 R0 A' X
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable" p5 b1 |: |6 j8 f2 l- r
air sacs in their wings. 7 D1 g" F- d8 n2 G' Ehttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur# ?' ?5 m" v3 f1 r$ I: w% ?
breathing-air-sacs+ F# W; j% s+ j; M- A9 i! @* ]
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.; _+ h5 d, a6 |8 [. e5 G. o6 \
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils' R* N, D0 |& {2 U- M
research-mark-witton & I! e: R( z- f" w- Z% \- Y; N; r[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? 5 j4 {7 p+ d) yhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs9 d1 u- D1 Z8 q2 F! x4 j, x
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ * M' X9 U9 L) G: N3 g" S/ t' @( ?: Z! V- y) h B0 S$ ^, C$ @9 B, ^
2022 2 J) C1 F* F- @Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling * O* q; J# Q) F$ V4 Jhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 2 }0 K2 L1 }9 ~6 r% iProblem B (MCM) ' q+ `/ ?- o6 W, cThe Genetic Process of Sequences - }6 O) R) }: SSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein ' t! l8 p) k# B7 P- \4 Z8 Usequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of3 b8 i' T1 s7 ^' m5 ?6 k$ G
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their ) G7 |+ I1 ~9 D5 H6 ]- t, p! Onucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong$ m" p" Z' Q2 S* i. L1 Q* V) x3 A
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common 0 ]" Y4 j9 X) O8 bancestral sequence[2]. ( a3 ]2 N6 M8 e1 UConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu$ d! t4 L- u8 @9 l
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 5 W) f7 H: J. k4 q9 C+ n \7 c8 Harise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and . @* h! Z6 t) f2 ?deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 7 c7 `3 W! R1 U2 @the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together% Y0 J5 O$ q3 {4 r L* y5 Y
can form a family, and they are considered homologous.; o8 @; v; {% a7 B$ w2 r
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com& ~; o* t, [4 p5 u
plete the following problems. : V! ~; i) v8 @# ^9 E# Z1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between3 L9 s0 J) r+ A. Z' k
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.8 k% j+ Y2 e$ y6 A# d G
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and) Y l5 z9 P! |
design suitable examples to illustrate it.& D2 i! ?+ m+ Y- a5 H. V- Q
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an 8 z2 _" L7 T+ K2 J: Ccestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral1 y! z( P4 \# c/ A' M
sequence, and map the genealogical tree. 9 C! U7 t, G t; ]) L6 H: PReferences 6 [, {) R2 {& P. Y" ~3 J" i, X[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re) j% T1 s# P0 p; p0 K/ F" z
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.% ^2 C/ q3 R1 C' N
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, ) s6 C, R( O* Get al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and" g1 d7 G; p4 s0 y/ ^
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 8 k) e8 L6 h1 i9 }. Z( c8 V1 i; Z, q. U" u
2022$ U0 m z9 n' L& A/ ]0 `
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling( A+ O# U( G* |# K1 X( Y& ?, ?/ x
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn$ f0 i9 a$ X5 X$ M4 s' {
Problem C (ICM)+ B! }; a' q5 c) e# k
Classify Human Activities 9 t8 c# [! v- SOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and2 I3 n' r6 h V8 A
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im - ^4 }. U0 O: y% V8 h7 ~prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor& K- `! h ?! q7 `9 t
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ # m; {: X) `: sity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly 6 Y: U+ v3 r0 s7 b* {remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], ' R5 n2 {5 v" [medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in! ^' t$ P) V' j; X: u" A
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, 8 `/ f6 T% B+ ~sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain3 e0 m9 N$ l4 W% E" P! G( p) }( m' B& ]
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial / U1 k5 Q c9 b6 ~ F4 Psensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify 3 J) f) V5 J, @( C1 Ihuman activities, the following data were obtained.5 m, J4 u& X3 i# f9 l: \
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,2 _- w0 Q) t, ^ ~. S. Z5 n
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes % s: r+ _1 A2 ]! nfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ2 F, I2 M k: N( H8 d) i2 B1 S
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be+ }' g/ b4 U" f; D. \( n0 t
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and 2 {- l" h+ i' O7 eamplitudes of some activities. . h* @. V; I8 |) l9 Y! E; fSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 0 U2 D* @ |4 m5 a5 _3 QThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal ' s" ^5 v/ y7 {4 X$ Q8 } Osegments are obtained for each activity. / U6 H9 C6 a( i; c+ Q t( rThe 19 activities are:" M" B+ T. v/ T5 \/ {6 T
1. Sitting (A1); 8 q: N4 x) {- N( r4 P- O' D2. Standing (A2);6 u' P/ m( w8 y) n5 _- A
3. Lying on back (A3);: V8 M% L/ k9 N9 v; O# l
4. Lying on right side (A4);6 t9 x! k, g( k, A4 @ N k
5. Ascending stairs (A5); / o& [. n" B1 R+ k16. Descending stairs (A6); " u. S$ p' ~/ ]+ t9 k7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); - D' I2 N% Q/ a6 T, J# f8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 2 d! C# {! B! u I2 @% S9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);1 u" B$ R9 i& L) l
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg b+ u0 A! G* ]* g' T" P, Jinclined positions (A10);& ]0 I/ m: L) A- p2 A
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions ! K+ w" @* J) J- ^% H/ v% n/ F(A11);1 ] S# O/ U0 K$ p1 d/ ?
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);( A& e! S/ ^* U; F4 r* W$ {
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); & w8 O4 f6 T$ Y8 d. m: d6 M5 A+ G14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 0 V* c1 R+ I, y. H15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);8 B3 N; K/ q. Z- C+ o) P5 J2 B
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);2 O3 j5 }5 @$ M! W! \) U7 V
17. Rowing (A17); % f5 U. N4 c' ^/ j/ I; A18. Jumping (A18); ' T4 S* [$ ~# \- E4 q+ m( e19. Playing basketball (A19). ' P5 u$ ~* [4 I" p: B6 uYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve; @+ l0 g: `4 q
the following problems., ?* Y+ Z% W- O, N" S- r
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify - q' B3 J1 X3 c; `the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. 7 {+ x0 ]" z+ {7 h2 z3 n2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have / p0 n x+ U! n( sa good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study - D# @3 q0 P5 A% Q8 @and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to " k2 w1 a$ M. \3 I6 R; f/ s' Mevaluate the generalization ability of your model. : K% D0 p, M- L" n' T9 b3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-3 B( H f; ]# z% N" d& s: n
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action0 G/ L5 o8 `/ q% Z
classifification.) I x! I8 N! y& z
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link: " l! \! E4 \! Nhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq& T7 c$ _6 |: z |3 F
2Appendix: File structure 1 s. j9 C- t/ H• 19 activities (a) " y4 c. u# D8 v1 i2 V! Z" H• 8 subjects (p) ! [% K( m( A! V; G0 h• 60 segments (s) 3 Q/ ]8 j4 _% Z1 }• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left 2 ], j$ r4 A1 @2 i# Dleg (LL) 5 @6 a: g8 K7 Q1 W K2 D• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z; K! A( w1 h- d9 B% K- B
magnetometers) 8 P$ A7 P, k# `* {Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.9 j. O% j5 c$ |% d' v
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the g' S" L, U |) F( h- |8 u4 T8 subjects.* {) b4 w5 y" m- O, y. |
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each' `1 c$ M- B: `1 t) \4 n1 p
segment. 5 G3 M! Z! H, c" r$ T# vIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25, R$ w" J* O' O
Hz = 125 rows. ! l6 V" e0 R9 w6 pEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the ; R) }$ A6 L7 y3 {5 W& jsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. N$ N: K# y6 z
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 4 I" V& B6 ?* c" ssampling instant separated by commas.2 t" f7 M( w) O
Columns 1-45 correspond to:; y" ]7 d9 t2 q, e& t0 O
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, . i$ E- f3 W. o7 l( y4 q% u/ {• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, ; S' i) s# s# |• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,7 c% O* J; R! J+ {8 L/ }
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, 8 @5 H3 f1 U7 ]% e• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.$ y% l4 J/ f3 A" Q# x/ q! [
Therefore,. c# G; W: Z$ \: e9 n% x
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), " K6 B6 E& M( `5 c- v• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),9 t' x6 |- S6 L
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 5 W) t( f1 k( E1 R' i8 ?5 c• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),9 o% n/ J4 M' H6 m
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). , Z1 J6 f) l$ \! ?* ^1 x3 J3References 0 b4 C1 D& x1 z5 ~8 Q[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic % e3 \8 w; b# Ldaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput./ Z) @" }" H4 j8 r
42(5), 679-687, 2004 & x: t, g7 G# g6 M9 F[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of8 h% U8 |) H$ ]3 Z
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. 4 _3 X+ h& j9 f/ y- WGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008# S, x( ?/ E/ N0 `% Y- m, Z
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag' H0 Y8 C7 B% o1 N2 @/ N3 F3 B- p
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. ! `. R" Q- L1 q- x# }B. 11(5), 553-562, 20077 w' T6 d: k( B8 p( m
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con / E. Z. z. _0 u! k! R% J$ ^5 Ttrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 " Z7 |& C% @) V P) C4 }% ^ 3 ?4 U; ~3 i# C0 \8 d20227 D8 w; _. k J( f; Q. Q) r
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 6 [/ I' f0 `/ d5 P uhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& S# \3 d, o M0 x7 B
Problem D (ICM) 7 D( B; Q- w( o# I; {* Y; h( k5 _Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long - V$ X' N3 T5 a- d4 j7 QTime) n k2 w" M" h& D) \2 m5 g, @
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the$ u- y# t7 F4 j% M3 ]
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source ; [) l7 o' {- i) f. ^; mof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently - L, M5 n5 K; s8 m1 H( S3 Etightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,7 U" O) j. O% m6 x1 l3 Y" Y* C7 E
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some$ c' W1 D3 B% s4 k9 ~! M* e; w9 n
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak) O% Q. S( \9 i9 X* M: D$ q" N' @
ends. ! X, {2 I. D5 O% w5 e7 RHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?! X; ^0 q# ~+ g3 ?8 D
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas 1 a- I& l. t% @& q- Z7 k/ _5 \others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo: U, Q$ R J n6 s7 }( I b
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could0 m' k( h% s2 T; R9 V
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 9 d! _, P! M' y4 G, |lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of W$ u! d' k8 sEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. 0 }( K0 }0 A% a! |4 tA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology 9 C5 y8 G* G9 c5 m' z" u" u7 X9 }% Zin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their4 w9 B) _7 G+ h; k( F( V- [
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have ?4 I ^4 R/ v- _8 Q
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with. i1 I9 Q* D5 {9 O3 F
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing/ \+ A/ A" |& U* S
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen% }0 k; i+ I/ q/ B2 L/ W
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30* v, N$ Y: J# {5 f
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in5 [9 S% U) e. }& X! q. S
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in8 q/ X" _6 t. y, z* d
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 9 {* R% x8 I5 ~. b& b, |/ Itrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature8 q8 i1 a% g! y
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact. R7 Y( U1 C2 h/ X/ k8 v
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients' B- `: f4 ?8 K
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. ' M9 v/ _! }! ^, [. E4 t4 ~4 S4 OWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: & y% B' J1 n# `; ?- M1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS, M" \ b9 X7 M
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL 0 ~& ~, J1 k- v6 d- ~• Decline and extinction of populations * R0 I, \4 {) P e• Introduction of invasive species: l r1 H! \0 L; ?4 h m8 [
• Spread of new diseases to humans 6 R1 W" }7 X! g- M% u% QWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database O: m& x) i X7 Gcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The ' k5 x7 [& D# _) J5 cappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete3 a2 L; I, g% _* `2 O8 g
database can also be obtained through the following link: - B, a% K2 p: C# x" C$ \https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ: n% ^7 m/ o4 D9 f* X( Q
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod 0 a' y {) [+ E+ l+ r# Y# q$ C, Dels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: ; a8 A. m" ^/ G) d, [ f2 z1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live $ ~5 T: E' j: ^. `8 o5 f/ M s3 U* x$ ]animals taken from the wild)? 2 e/ r0 N! p. V! A% g4 c2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? ; m" }, B; p j; \# C& m3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? * p4 c) k) k3 F; z7 K4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major * t7 c! G5 ?2 e* g9 D2 }- }infectious diseases? ) b& ?) Q3 \6 ]5 C" R6 ]; u25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it $ N) ]# ~6 y5 R6 L0 c& b! Bwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?- {) c8 z; o+ `4 n' m1 E3 q
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain% s9 e1 ?2 _& u) i, J, S( I7 G
your views and policy suggestions. 0 R9 J$ c) T4 P+ O2 f0 p + x6 g0 m7 S: G+ C/ O6 |4 v; n4 T; |6 |( f. `7 b0 k z
2 R% t0 h d& p& O' o 1 c' H6 ]& V/ \2 E: B+ R4 C! |& n$ c. e+ s; U: {7 `
8 @2 b2 | ?7 \