2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 1 h+ v. m% _& w. O! Y5 |
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx' c' g% B. {; T
; b: |6 w$ M0 E! X" q. l2022 - S" a+ ^6 R Z0 |$ J2 H, hCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling0 \, l# R: P) F
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn # o2 Y) `+ ^& \) u# }$ Q& _Problem A (MCM) ; @8 ^" Y7 E: f. Y7 B. m8 L3 IHow Pterosaurs Fly8 v! f3 v% c) X, o6 z5 ]' x
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They # |+ X, C6 u0 Iexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of; L4 c5 S, a! }! }
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved! b& Q% V. `0 ^. m% e( Y( d
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 7 @* Q) x% w, u; _ \) oother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth- r/ v+ _; `" j6 f; v
fifinger[1].# [8 ^7 `8 D( ~7 @3 ?/ ?" f1 j! f
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller4 W( e M2 b3 Y- P- U5 b$ \# N
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem 8 L& P1 t# k. a7 D; }; J; {branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they 5 J: u2 I- j t- L5 dwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and" |; [- t& X8 ]3 t7 h; u# y# J
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived3 ~& D6 c" z5 e* D+ P- }
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.. D" ?* C. p- {3 T
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.6 g5 H) W) ^$ r X0 E
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, % j: A0 W# |3 a5 ^7 `and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on 8 v `1 H! i0 ?- mall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and9 q) t7 t( O. l# l0 s, J
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil5 t# g( K) u7 L M7 h+ r
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 7 o4 M' r: h1 ZPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 9 ~. G: L2 N5 X+ |covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 3 B+ w2 U9 [! z Yhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug 9 y* H7 N. C: y7 t/ _9 Hgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de; P6 z3 m0 H: P' o" _8 N; w
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning ( J3 P- N8 m- @0 X) x8 Z$ s7 ?calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded ! O) E R) N; Y. @. }6 m: E' x' v(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec# B3 P8 ?. H& Z% M E- P
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones5 |* M, g+ o' {3 X
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from* W) ^/ k0 u# D! v/ Y0 W5 ~
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including + ? p0 w% q, DQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least , `! T5 k [; u: ]nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong4 T/ Q7 X# { `+ K' A: S G' w7 t
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers." F3 u! O+ L* D8 G: f. N
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled# P7 A! H% m! z, q6 V
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded! z G% B% d i0 k
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, 0 C, k' F5 L7 L$ v2 O5 RLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able 9 q! A u+ i$ X) c, J* i% D, kto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].( X. V, h* F' g9 X6 w. ~
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology ' q) @8 B4 W/ I* `of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs : A# a2 v# m3 i7 F. Sbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, - f5 Y2 m; N. }; wsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that3 P2 @- d% C/ D" a4 @+ [1 ^7 E; p) `- |
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed : f! Z/ C! E5 u$ ~* ^for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 0 b9 S8 I( T! ^% e3 OAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. 8 v5 g$ k* E8 ]" [: G9 w/ I8 IIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones& m, `8 F" T8 D q5 ~0 L7 z
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage8 d; }3 Z2 z1 q. F
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for) B# m4 y, _- Q" v; @
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded ' d! {% V$ `* pand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as ) O" E4 @$ T1 d( o% Q, hquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ! S( H2 C% }" L% h+ q1 y, L2 Q1 S- i5 SJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism: c- o+ `8 {" A# ^% r9 ?
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would 1 n& s" |& P$ B0 Z( ]# n4 aenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds 5 r8 k# L$ ]9 ]$ \% `of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. # m3 ^. G" ?, N! }5 A( x5 G, e! ]* G8 d+ ~Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the ( M; J6 \% L( l# C$ r7 V! zflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and% L9 q( P+ x% }/ @& K9 F! r1 J' Y
to answer the following questions.% X" `( t$ G& p( E! P
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor0 l$ }. w" F4 Z& y9 D
mal flflight. # ^ m3 H/ m& Y! U2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during; g5 w5 u+ u2 a4 {$ ]2 C# b
normal flflight. 8 \5 _; U" r1 j# m! u% C& F3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like 0 \* i0 F& D% ~: H: nbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. . s& x+ |8 h' j! X. W- mReferences: K" _- y0 I& l
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight 0 N: R9 u, o/ v6 t0 b4 EMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.; _4 e- d H) L2 j
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.5 X/ Y; p) G; r$ i# [# t0 A
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php I% ^1 Z+ W2 e+ M; J
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs$ D, S2 _+ W% \( R, Y8 ~
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-- S9 v8 X5 D; Z( p. f3 W
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html4 B: Y% i8 g, }% V. ` `
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a : _0 r! ]4 g$ |+ L; O" L9 Krare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)6 b/ b6 U+ S( w) N# `3 U9 \, ?
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 4 Y4 E" K% }" `; m1983-87. 8 i/ P) [. e- h3 R0 o( _3 J[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust ) O7 i' ~3 n3 X1 C, p3 O$ w: @1 eskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):& L) j% v% `- a4 M
180-84.! @( E- D* m6 _; ?0 X
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?+ H& {' _( @; c
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs; f7 i2 r7 {7 y9 l- i; p
too-big-to-flfly/% v$ J4 }; O8 G
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology $ X" I9 ]* }' O- xof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. - U2 v r- h! e- w: c- m; e7 O[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable 4 {% M! b5 y" _2 t: L, P4 f2 nair sacs in their wings.7 r4 V- U8 b7 D/ u
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur : o1 d/ G* a/ p; i, Y) tbreathing-air-sacs9 q) k8 j D" _% [; ?7 M! |" T! Z5 H
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. 0 ^, x2 T/ h% u1 H6 ^4 Zhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils 2 U# D; c6 w3 N% H+ Z/ t- R3 a( V. xresearch-mark-witton0 u9 w2 f4 b) f! \9 c5 Q
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?5 B/ L, E8 Z% E5 W8 r3 J* o
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs* t1 [, o- }# z) D& j5 {
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ 1 q0 r5 {: d) @0 D" n6 j% k1 j/ u* R' d" n
20223 J5 U( |2 F: N( s2 h" |0 }( Y
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling & \# k) ^0 D K Q# A% ohttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 3 l+ s3 s# M! z0 W3 ?2 Z6 sProblem B (MCM)' N" i0 Z6 Q- D3 E
The Genetic Process of Sequences; z$ o1 v# d# J+ A
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein 2 y- x$ C: A4 p. w; W# c n3 Fsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of - r9 i, I' _2 slife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their- J5 U& Y2 Z4 x/ C/ Q& v0 ~$ J8 t
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong7 F( P, R- C1 p n. o R
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common2 w, @" [4 k+ i/ h9 E
ancestral sequence[2]. ( i. |& {8 `) ~! |7 E/ |+ CConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu ! l u% i8 ]7 n, }6 S6 G. F: Ncleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation0 f; f0 k- f: e
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and / {, N% z& W2 Gdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 5 j" W8 t' ~4 |9 T0 @+ i* L* Uthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together 7 X2 G" r$ E5 S, Wcan form a family, and they are considered homologous.$ V0 q- D* b3 y
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com1 U% j' u8 Y, u% A% ?* W Z
plete the following problems. 3 ^! ?# |/ a( i% }- |) [1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between 7 S) q0 P& Y) q- I& y& F7 T$ Ktwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. 8 {# u' _1 Y9 R1 J( C2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and ! P( Q9 Y0 I+ k0 idesign suitable examples to illustrate it. " L& S, T# |4 t. T5 C$ X3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an6 S3 l& o, Q2 m( t1 z' N
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral & k8 W8 g( |: A6 Csequence, and map the genealogical tree.) W& s) d7 I1 S4 C! ]3 F, J
References 2 ~& c- \# L3 b- c2 |[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re # X8 ], P3 I- N- D( [. }; c! yview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. ; e% _2 A* t5 x[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,9 l0 s _7 E) U! K, b2 m
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and ' D* k8 S: @" I8 s% [! ~0 Wa way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.; F: l" w! q; |* Q
: q% x' Z+ j) b
2022 3 t, a5 s' b3 i% ^ zCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling& D- p( D& \# G9 g
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn & O u- v, I: [* UProblem C (ICM) 0 v% x, w0 V4 U. V1 q: a# _/ CClassify Human Activities " H" b) I" c& t# g) P* zOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and$ ~4 l+ {7 ?+ Z1 M7 C7 j
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im$ h7 L/ T' l4 \2 R+ I
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor8 u. B1 o& F \. x5 B
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ3 \# P) `( X; r
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly5 g8 R: ^! E# c8 O
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],# I1 S7 ^% U% h# r2 C+ y
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in W- l5 R% k" l- {" N8 m$ i, rschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,+ O. j& \9 P' j- ? ^
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain * u h9 H" I) k! N$ ^8 F% ]% d5 pment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial ; F# E& t. R/ Nsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify9 ^- ] |5 m# G% @# | {4 m& G2 a
human activities, the following data were obtained.. [$ c$ G" K+ ?# b' ^
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, L9 D# J% k% k) d9 `( bbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes % B5 s0 O2 q' d% ^: O9 }; Kfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ 5 U, S u1 S" ]& J' U8 E* a0 gities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be$ m, M/ C; L6 z |5 V; S" w s5 L
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and2 V9 D2 L3 V1 D- E# c4 O* V
amplitudes of some activities. : ~2 ^ A0 Y6 T* h* U2 |5 _Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.; k4 u: z; b+ @& F4 L
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal |* t- R- c- _8 J2 ]1 tsegments are obtained for each activity. 6 m( @0 }$ W3 H3 OThe 19 activities are: # `2 C9 |1 g" C7 v ?4 B1. Sitting (A1);$ O( U) `5 S2 z& X# x; m. J
2. Standing (A2); s- T0 ~8 M! B3 g
3. Lying on back (A3); + u. p% k7 a9 ?! s; T# M4. Lying on right side (A4);" T$ f# { h3 B6 d; `6 ?: Z% E! y, l1 y
5. Ascending stairs (A5); 8 ~) A7 e0 l$ i$ s: @; F16. Descending stairs (A6); ; }0 c; e7 s# x0 O" r1 J7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); d% ?: m" q# l9 T" v
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);' l2 \& A* @3 U4 K! r1 I% j" } b
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);8 x" b# A S$ X ]; h
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg % L, C' i8 V8 g5 N; _+ \: H6 qinclined positions (A10);" |. j7 \; I |
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions $ J4 p s0 @) z4 ~% G: x4 X9 W(A11);" l1 u' b. x: O! G$ M* c r
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); 9 \! Z% k# s+ i) F5 v; v13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); 3 `' n5 C! s u( L; O, } L, }$ W$ }14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);1 f7 @( b/ C4 K5 B
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);' i2 l/ \# d+ j; x
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);- E- S6 d; W7 D4 Y" d) S b) t/ \- C
17. Rowing (A17);4 ^& P0 \* q3 k7 `
18. Jumping (A18); " m% M% A( K! R8 A; p19. Playing basketball (A19).* i E* [8 k; f2 h" n5 ^7 ~& r
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve - t& u/ g. D5 d. C* G: [the following problems.5 n- o4 W! {* o% S4 R1 L) J. J
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify0 H3 x% U" o/ t( }
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.0 Q1 a2 C$ m+ L' }' B; Y' D
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have5 ]* V: B& M& s& p$ l$ v
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study " |$ T6 D5 R" u6 W6 @. Hand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to6 T1 R3 W1 f% o5 d8 O$ ]; d: v `
evaluate the generalization ability of your model. 5 {1 t9 {# }+ a9 f/ k3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-5 ]7 I3 V7 l/ \
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action # Y, p0 R1 n1 p' Q9 d! hclassifification. : P; r( g0 e' {The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:7 L9 ~2 S# n$ P0 X& e
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq: V _( Q% {4 [, ^ @9 Z1 P
2Appendix: File structure+ e. R# I* s, b" `- E: o/ H7 E
• 19 activities (a) ! ]9 `" a7 z& ]5 D3 [6 f• 8 subjects (p) 9 E2 Q; ]1 X% F• 60 segments (s)/ p D j1 ?/ N
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left 0 w# @5 q. O" r. q7 sleg (LL) 2 A" L0 A6 e( ^• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z + l% p2 Q% K mmagnetometers) 2 Q, p9 h5 G9 VFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.. J2 T: U, `1 F
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 5 g1 f. ]6 E/ k# D: N9 D" U5 b9 O8 subjects.; ~# n: z) m% `
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each. L. |7 y) s8 P, S
segment.6 v: l2 [" R% u. g! {- V
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25- C! S; ^" q! H0 a2 k7 S! N- J& P" _
Hz = 125 rows. % s* u2 K i- ^0 V/ K5 wEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the7 G9 B- r1 u8 e0 k" L
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. ( k3 G+ y: G- q5 h3 iEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular/ Z5 Q% g( H6 _4 [, `6 z5 d9 ?& ^' G
sampling instant separated by commas. 2 A6 ~% V3 A+ Q0 AColumns 1-45 correspond to: 9 }/ ]. h+ `: p' U7 ?- R• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, # ^$ P# r V, J, `1 Q# c• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, : U* ^- U" ^# W$ W- y- U• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, ' h, @: l' r( @• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,1 N5 e/ T/ G% y: o0 q( s
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.- F4 a: T. {. I* ^; ^) C" W
Therefore, - h3 ^" ]; |0 m( ?8 A2 ]. x• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), 9 q; Y5 q7 |$ N6 I2 K' g; l3 x• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), + O6 V) J( ^2 U# X• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), " E" `( o& B4 Y1 B9 R• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), 9 e( C* Q! I3 v5 u. t5 c6 \8 C• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).3 y ^( v( D" B) x2 w2 ~
3References 2 V2 w7 K0 V' u" f0 y[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic0 \* v9 C' V. X* x. b
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.: b* Y8 O$ L0 H" E7 v( S
42(5), 679-687, 2004" Z" z/ h: P, a9 y0 i$ s4 \( c3 s6 }
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of+ o2 t' u5 t' [2 t
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.0 W9 t y% W3 Y. t9 G
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 , D0 t6 b+ Q( V) T[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag8 K8 \% M% L$ B8 h0 {& P% u
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. ; G( s5 ^) k: q7 UB. 11(5), 553-562, 20075 N" \% c: I' U1 I2 A" X6 T
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con* L: I. X5 i, z; r
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 2 A% h3 v9 ]* q" o, L# X3 X: y' K6 n* z8 U1 g" p
2022( O% S' }, L, s# o A
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling1 D6 ~1 W0 v( ~1 P( o
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 0 T* y1 n/ r1 Y! F9 a) fProblem D (ICM)% g0 m n8 T; h3 Y
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long) c; a8 F- {8 w n- F
Time - V) n9 e4 o& u# F/ VWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the6 q/ w% `6 R4 ?$ Q
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source " B( d* `" I4 R* Iof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently) L* T* ?, U1 @. w
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, 0 a! ]- t! p! q$ v1 \which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some% Y1 v7 O+ D _' A5 j4 l
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak4 d- @' l3 N0 A4 V+ v$ N
ends. % y' |, {2 L2 U! P& M% ]" C( `' oHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? $ K, g; E" m4 \8 {- V' nSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas i e% `! `9 ?* A) a5 r' V' ?! Pothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo- j m# D6 Q5 D$ s) c7 n3 ^
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could : U/ H* `1 x" Q5 r4 mcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 2 c9 r8 T- H9 b y- y7 M. M3 Zlion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of, p- N, m1 Q: Y3 w
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. 7 n3 L+ v0 i, a/ iA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology 3 [5 F3 Y; |8 O7 ein China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their 0 Q7 s, K/ |; K. r" ^" j' G+ Ysmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have ], h7 u3 K! Z7 e- {
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with ( a. o4 n# n: C% m; qall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing + `) y! [$ k! z, F9 c! e! kalmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen " v5 j7 ^4 [5 a: x7 G9 y: `2 xfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 7 A( q! Y& ^2 h/ l/ KNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in% N: o3 U: ^2 B# v0 ^) |) \
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in- ~ T+ g: ]0 ? m' O
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife ) s& u( G+ B3 q: g, D% _, Y) gtrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature ( `) r# @ k! [1 `( d) p* @4 i3 ywhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact' `+ s" k0 c- T! a% k
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients C8 B( X4 n4 U4 dare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.8 b( z6 K" L9 H: l
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: 6 M% z9 ^& j4 w% V' T" |1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 6 c/ C6 E6 R& F# D: t; zoutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL8 I: r$ `+ N/ S* s- j' x A
• Decline and extinction of populations. g" m) Q& _7 V+ z) v8 h- u5 T
• Introduction of invasive species6 A- j0 ^( H& N. E
• Spread of new diseases to humans2 J7 |$ D9 [ I; a* h
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database* O" A6 s+ R; O. w# s
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The 2 E/ g) z6 o( c7 g1 q* uappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete) X! j" _ W5 P
database can also be obtained through the following link: ' C5 r! ~7 {0 A9 Z5 o {! S& C/ ~https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ% e0 c4 |7 o/ `7 o5 i! `
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod: f, c0 |( d9 ^# t! I( R% K
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 6 T* h* R3 U: }& v, |5 a1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live ( Y- P; B- M+ c6 Tanimals taken from the wild)?* ^% m' x- |# i z/ m6 q9 t
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? % ^! c0 V( `+ j% U# p3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?5 t: A2 V: ^/ I" K$ K1 i
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major 3 Z( i0 N5 \8 W6 V/ Binfectious diseases?3 o; ^8 ~ B1 R( f5 s) w
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 4 O- L \2 ?- ]5 T" z6 Xwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?5 }. f9 m5 ]7 [3 S
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain2 v* K0 f1 K/ ^# B# J
your views and policy suggestions. 7 m2 K9 I6 t6 {; Z" N; e- z5 n4 X( N# @& @( w8 n& Q
, U$ p* y+ F# F# q# @: G. G E: `+ G3 ~ ( O& E0 s' C1 X! t( e+ t' A 5 i& q. g$ b* K, v2 u4 C, ~7 o& b* [6 _2 T5 p
0 a& ^" D, j2 g1 ~% ?, \
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