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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 2 D) a, ^: _- j: g
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx6 _; r8 {) b2 F+ \1 M
    . d$ y5 X- i2 `6 ?
    2022
    & S; o  G9 i6 m" O* c, L5 M/ n0 bCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling: L! D6 A7 s- j; z/ l4 U
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    " l; n4 X! ~, ?$ P4 w( nProblem A (MCM)
    * H/ s: Z, W6 CHow Pterosaurs Fly0 `8 R$ h' Q6 ]8 \
    Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They
    * y5 Z1 j7 j" u6 E3 fexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of
    2 Q# {+ J- O; o, s" C! T! A# k+ Othe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved
    , V# y$ P9 \* _powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and9 n9 M, [% E. r# w
    other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth! a5 {4 x9 b* R
    fifinger[1].
    * t9 ^. ]7 _  n+ E2 ]1 h3 eThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller
    1 h% B: X) B3 _3 b  M# ~animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem3 y6 [2 n  O2 ?* q+ O( e& B8 n
    branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they
    0 e/ Y2 N; F8 n8 o5 lwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and2 n: I6 P8 P& d/ M% t) ^3 G4 `
    strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived
    $ k7 ^* V" S! t, k/ tin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.
    5 S# \4 [+ |6 o5 H$ T- x8 JLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.4 N0 S8 r; M9 _% ^5 n; o$ B
    Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,  C" {8 p  S$ X7 i
    and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on
    6 c# @0 U9 v3 t& L& Jall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and
    $ p* h2 d7 L; a. f& \folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil
    0 l) y" m8 F% q7 R! P4 x9 \+ f+ R- ~trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].
    # E/ v5 n! e6 x" ?* Q/ iPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which
    : u) I# L( l0 e4 f. }' O- C* ^covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have' j/ N& }+ u) k
    had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug- }' F3 v' k6 B
    gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de: N/ i1 N( A, H5 C( N1 ~7 q6 f9 j! T7 T
    riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning
    7 H; `' A1 U6 s- O8 E! F9 bcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded1 C+ Z/ J2 ]9 k+ p9 t
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec; X( `& l% i  T9 z: M  {
    tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones
    $ s- o& j- ^/ A- j& v  S; Fto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from/ f& ^& M% I- ^5 W
    the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including
    ( v0 V& g% P) j( |9 ]. C! Q- E1 LQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least
    ; y) d! E+ O5 \3 N8 {+ @/ r" nnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong" W4 [# i) r; V3 h6 c
    1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.
      d3 }" ^  k9 W$ [The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled% {+ e: |% U3 D6 I+ H3 u
    at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded* a8 u) i2 {. @$ y
    that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,# I& s, d  `) j3 b/ c
    Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able
    8 t+ U. O. _$ Vto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].
      \3 @! S$ h# t5 D8 hHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology
    ; I+ ?* z; Y3 F# u% M! b( gof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs
    % Q1 I$ v! S3 ^$ [. G* h2 {being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,! T* C( J+ |. ]- l
    such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that& w, Y/ O; l- G% O
    atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed. Z  r5 P1 {; x# t: Y# U
    for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].
    6 J2 v( r4 w$ }  F5 e4 h: a0 g# IAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.
    0 L7 k  \3 i, ]; _8 tIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones/ v: X# P* V/ B/ {$ o
    of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage
    & L  ?/ L( t1 @& _7 `# La bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for
    - |- {  e2 [6 P9 O5 n$ e, lgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded4 d4 y8 U/ W! _/ F, Y
    and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as
    # L  h. `$ Z; e  o3 B: ]6 u- @quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of9 g! ~8 i+ d6 A3 q3 r
    Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism: @' P$ g; s8 F; q# k! k7 F8 d
    to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would# Z; {& @, w1 [9 G# o" c. L- h
    enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds
    $ B+ G& L) ^# Z6 x* U# }5 S. j: X1 Wof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].
    3 U2 U0 ~" l) M" ?Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the5 N" |* R/ N/ ^* R  F- g9 _
    flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and
    0 m1 l% n% }- I1 d" h+ a/ A3 `0 Jto answer the following questions.. p2 U3 @0 k3 e- t
    1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor
    : z( ?' R  X- j9 x- D/ T) dmal flflight.. k6 Q0 G5 b! h* D  n
    2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during
    ' W/ r& f4 w, x- Y0 Qnormal flflight.
    ) u6 r5 A$ R- K% r. N% J0 c( V) a3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like
    & |6 B6 O0 y, \+ @) nbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.
    + y! F! m% z# ]  m. C; rReferences
    3 e# \: G4 D: [% p$ u[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight
    $ @1 s/ c/ h  ^  j* W- X8 X* X. YMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.3 @# i* m4 ~/ v
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.3 l" n( u* D) F9 G' G: G! H' `
    https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php# F' d+ v+ V5 s, Q0 G
    [3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs
      n  J3 v$ q' \Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-* w' a8 l1 h5 Z' l! O" H" V3 J4 S
    pterosaurs-had-feathers.html
    " C1 Y# ?2 s6 F/ d! h1 d8 I4 [; D[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a
    * `" Y( Y! b" \rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)1 \9 w, g& s2 q: t* g* r
    from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):
    0 Z$ ~; y- z! ~, ~, ]1983-87.
    8 |' ^% @# M8 w6 m[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust
    3 w. J7 v/ r% M+ ?skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):6 @7 a8 G! [* A- m' ?& N
    180-84.! c. a7 z& n- b/ A
    [6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?
    ! k6 H, p7 D; ?5 t' U; e( i5 Ahttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs
    9 x# j5 E8 Y0 g% I1 `too-big-to-flfly/
    7 M. M1 P4 X6 i3 V3 y[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology7 A. }4 b! I4 f, C; {: ~6 v
    of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.
    4 R6 |( c9 f6 r: V$ N% N[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable
    ( W+ q! `" c  T7 r+ ?air sacs in their wings.- P. ^5 k1 u0 `, a
    https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur! I3 |1 N# }. K' }6 X4 C0 s
    breathing-air-sacs
    2 P) z1 r% e' G' G. [[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.0 d7 y( E, e9 r" `
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils
    4 C. N! |% K, V+ }3 Z( [research-mark-witton
    ! T& I2 d, q" K8 }: Q- ]# `[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?3 `. k- M4 U$ E7 Y
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs8 V9 R( K! ]7 o6 n3 b, u) C) R
    vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/# ?7 f; Y8 U1 Q& ~0 A

    % q6 ]; h; F$ P5 n' G: K7 G2022/ s8 h3 i$ v( r6 r% j: w3 h" H0 v
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling9 D* x) A0 G& [8 k  M3 A
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn, V* g5 s6 \1 z' g5 C$ q
    Problem B (MCM)' w9 n7 s" d3 U) |" r
    The Genetic Process of Sequences' t( x4 }  b: ~! _4 _
    Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein  e- f, F) B4 \( `) x
    sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of) E. Q  Y& H0 b2 b( `) c
    life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their
    2 j4 W: G/ W  b# o5 V  Jnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong
    5 J2 J" G# B, k; b) eevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common" `, J  Y$ M# @& i7 L9 L* S
    ancestral sequence[2].5 l4 Y/ m; U* ?" ^, A. E3 S" d1 E
    Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu6 W* O8 Y* P$ y, n4 K1 S
    cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation4 I- ]$ K, D* G; G& S& U. f" Z4 d9 v
    arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and
    * I2 n$ p# d( \& edeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by
    6 @% g6 q  ~. u& `2 C9 ]/ fthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together+ W0 M% r3 ~2 f! c0 E
    can form a family, and they are considered homologous.4 D: a4 [6 k$ h  _: _  k' x
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com
    ! X/ E+ b& i$ yplete the following problems.& }( K; n5 o! u+ @
    1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between
    ' i6 C( h( X5 h8 i. E2 ^; U. B- b1 ^two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.
    # T$ S/ N7 b1 W0 y2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and
    + a3 A; x8 R& B) Pdesign suitable examples to illustrate it.* B, A( y' F' i: s; t; c
    3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an
    ( t& j: L& B3 M  V! Pcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral
    , M' q' Y/ v* W  f( P6 _+ msequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    ( Q- n+ h; }; o8 LReferences% ^7 G, x9 ?' o4 m; o
    [1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re
    2 Z' D' N& ~! a* Q! j6 lview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.: W! U# h0 M" G9 f5 x
    [2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,
    0 e9 ?1 W$ }$ ]# ^et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and+ d+ h1 C7 N% F/ a. E* Q; f2 r3 K$ |
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.0 p' d; t% w$ W9 T- n' ]! j

    / G" h  {! S# e. a2022) W4 j; j' E( u1 Y% m
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    $ n5 N0 e6 _5 P. K, Mhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    8 d) v- Q  j$ B; z: x; o7 |' _2 bProblem C (ICM)
    6 Z% J- G/ F2 }( _( BClassify Human Activities
    ( G5 c# D4 V" i9 |4 VOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and
    ' Z3 X( r( ]/ cmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im
    0 s) K$ k" U  Q4 G9 {prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor
    6 N9 d2 e+ {; M+ ting, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ
    . g& g& I; w4 m2 ^  Sity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly0 J7 V5 F8 K9 F# t" ^" h- @
    remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],
    6 m, o5 H' Y% M" Ymedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in' C) D9 s9 b) y5 M. _: M& s
    school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,
    5 @. s3 q4 H5 o. Psports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain1 P7 ^/ V6 F5 k. }: p. m$ b7 u6 G
    ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial0 {5 X( Z2 @# t+ x: F
    sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify
    3 W  N6 k' m, y1 A7 Ihuman activities, the following data were obtained.
    3 c% ^! t6 H; `1 M9 `0 `Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,
    ) {* @$ ^) n3 ]8 u! [1 Nbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes
    # K' ?# I& _& X8 M+ hfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ, Z5 b, K- K! G2 C
    ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be% v( ]) C  }' z
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and, p4 |! y8 ^- [) `5 {7 {
    amplitudes of some activities.
    3 A# _8 x8 c; e6 L+ V6 YSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.' N5 z/ B) i8 w' a
    The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal7 Q5 k" I2 F3 [. i) Y$ ^
    segments are obtained for each activity.+ _" b; `; G5 b5 `! J; @  X7 \
    The 19 activities are:" }$ u) ]& |$ i
    1. Sitting (A1);+ ~0 f1 ?- d! X
    2. Standing (A2);9 U9 C% o  a- E/ t2 N, t- w% L
    3. Lying on back (A3);. D( U+ b0 h# h$ a: y
    4. Lying on right side (A4);
    % R6 h' i! j- k5. Ascending stairs (A5);- d' |: g( J& B: ^& k7 e1 M
    16. Descending stairs (A6);5 h0 ?5 H9 @# ]/ o  M
    7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);: u! r6 T. S9 p* k4 A& U
    8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);
    ; D- r; D7 V# t  g9 d9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);
    0 ]7 ~' e* X0 |/ L9 U) w2 B10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg8 M( U. X) ^' j: ]0 s* v# ?% t
    inclined positions (A10);
    - B5 C* l$ u# U2 C8 @5 Z7 ~& t4 M11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions$ t9 y" k) Q2 x% X7 r
    (A11);
    8 m3 {: P& p- A+ D) a% ^2 J7 w% J12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);
      Y4 F- F/ f: n7 |" m5 h' ?; R4 b13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);! c5 E3 C1 Z1 G8 Y! i% d8 V
    14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);6 q7 W( q2 }9 x, n1 t
    15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);
    $ P# G' X0 z4 u' g% `% v& |  z8 o16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);- H: ^3 [. ?) n  q3 y
    17. Rowing (A17);
    5 n+ I, f3 ?# i) J( s- D7 r  M18. Jumping (A18);
    ; g1 D; A# B# v, n. L' \19. Playing basketball (A19).
    - S" l2 |2 D& X3 S  O2 {% |/ DYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve# t/ y% @" Z) q& y" s
    the following problems.
    8 O7 M) H+ g6 G# W0 z/ k$ p+ u1 T' Y1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify- K) K- H, ^+ H3 t
    the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.
      [' N) A  t: N$ c7 J" R1 `2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have5 o# C6 Z( M0 k  i8 ^5 M
    a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study
    1 R/ r3 k7 y" x8 |0 T# Z3 M/ _9 g3 Zand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to
    6 i8 G. c: }. qevaluate the generalization ability of your model.8 P, u3 b& y6 I+ t3 U
    3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-
    ' A3 b" _! U. o5 }cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    6 l( m' b/ Z: a1 lclassifification.
    & [9 M4 r  V8 z4 i# U6 V+ EThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:
    ! H% D, E& K- z  g6 ^2 c0 Qhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq
    4 a* W$ r2 P9 e3 ?0 C2Appendix: File structure$ T. Z6 a% {' W4 r, q; `' r$ p% p$ Q
    • 19 activities (a)" e! B5 g8 X5 v
    • 8 subjects (p)
    8 |& J+ j. ?% T• 60 segments (s)
    ' x( O+ R  {$ V( u$ m) P) N• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left
    . p2 B, x  |6 S: r- \  Cleg (LL)
    " F0 D+ q9 |$ S5 J( X8 K0 S• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z) c0 K7 P1 ^1 J: T- }# a
    magnetometers)
    % [  [; y% }- DFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.6 G, e  `1 w: ~3 W
    For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the0 w3 M! `; c# d- ~
    8 subjects.
    / H! E; ^1 V! Q! FIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each
    7 N. T, o, |# O* _9 x8 {! S6 xsegment.
    8 K+ s$ v; h3 Q% e+ ^" wIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 251 Z2 O+ x3 C2 n+ ]
    Hz = 125 rows.
    5 u, }7 S: ^8 e5 d* bEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the0 ]8 n# W- N# K: [6 C* a: z' \
    sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.
    + V5 k2 d% r. Q# o! Z  h2 MEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular% I% L8 g/ f* i: k- {
    sampling instant separated by commas.
    ) }5 R1 L8 O% J; j3 bColumns 1-45 correspond to:
    ! L  A& p+ w  }6 h: j9 H# ~$ t' Y• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,! _4 v9 t9 E, z
    • RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,
    ( V5 S1 h+ m" `" J9 `1 T• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,
      G9 B! l) N/ |! u0 q5 N• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,/ d+ q8 R% B3 t5 z. g( J
    • LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.
    % e: m6 p4 V- I) C. @: MTherefore,# H& \: h7 J  ~
    • columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),
    5 r2 P7 y9 n8 ^# u2 D! ~2 f( U, i& ^• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),
    , k8 T  J- _* a  z' N• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),7 [! K! r; L1 O
    • columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),
    + Z2 i4 e2 n; p3 e% z• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).
    7 P2 u2 w2 H7 N  s1 a- u9 B  A! Q3References
    # v* G6 ]3 J) R3 |3 d7 k4 R: ][1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic9 F" n& d! n* x9 c/ h
    daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.
    6 j7 M4 h; `) H0 d- o7 k6 V. D6 X42(5), 679-687, 2004
    # l8 O. P0 y4 S% l4 K% e" Y, B[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of
    2 [3 D) R& r: ]8 n; b: F6 ?low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.
    6 k& V: m/ v' YGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008
    - z6 L6 W0 q7 H( p' W2 |; D/ V- b[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag% o; Z# l: J/ P# t$ H$ w3 r
    nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.0 i1 X/ M4 U8 ~( [; n
    B. 11(5), 553-562, 20073 F7 J+ |6 f4 Y. g# B% ~1 c
    [4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con* `/ ^" Z8 B+ @' y
    trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20084 u+ `4 f* ?  T- m
    2 }7 P+ Y* j1 s/ j; ]% A5 H
    2022
    ' M2 t* B* f; C1 |+ b4 w) W! U6 {Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    " n5 }, S/ S3 n. X- |8 dhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn* e- r2 _, \3 F9 Z9 g# g+ Y' d
    Problem D (ICM)3 s+ c1 V) _6 K  `5 ]
    Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long" [6 E- F3 _+ E2 P$ a8 G# C
    Time
    4 l9 g8 H" F% |! G. H9 M6 {/ bWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the
      }. y, ]* r1 p% b4 t, h2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source: E4 w, i  K: [
    of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently
    $ ^) ^: y6 L& Z% Atightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,
      F# Z: K' P* l# awhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some+ y2 P! S8 @& c1 d
    scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak
    4 P$ M/ K$ a1 x" j! ]0 T! Eends.
    # c' s8 B/ [- H) O  `+ HHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?, d- Z$ d* a9 Q% X0 V, D
    Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas
    + o6 k$ o, C3 e3 M6 m. g' Y0 {others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo" e! X6 f  q: r/ h  V9 _
    ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could+ |" S- Q8 y6 E" v6 [( @
    cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil
    , ~2 C% g5 s. i% w- @7 @/ }lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of
    1 N* |; C+ o, S1 @2 \1 iEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.
    3 ^; v% Q  ~. E$ ~A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology
    ' `1 N0 Z# F$ S2 W0 ]in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their! m+ d1 q& M5 t/ p; @$ @* f
    smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have4 k% b. F- E. i' @0 \1 ?' t. f. u4 s
    identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with* ~: b  V2 A( |
    all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing! C9 i" T4 I2 P0 g; H
    almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen
    7 K1 G0 Y( z* q; g6 [5 Vfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30
    3 O3 E' t' F3 {; o; H/ \November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in" L! y$ F4 }; ^& d
    Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in4 h, V& Y5 ~# p) Y0 W4 _
    Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife
    # \* ?8 Q& D( Q+ D, {trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature7 H) W0 b/ n% C1 R% D% K
    when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact
    ) G3 R4 q3 O8 `; O# H- Xwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients
    ! [0 q  L: M: `* d( h# q2 G  Fare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.
    , c$ Z9 K( o- j& f7 jWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:
    ' J4 N' B% \, z* u! h1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS9 d* e9 k) M0 }5 ?
    outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL* i, @4 [7 ^2 z: L" Q: Q- z$ B
    • Decline and extinction of populations6 K. k. J& o" R: u8 N
    • Introduction of invasive species) A( H& Z% \+ c7 c
    • Spread of new diseases to humans. A+ a0 Q) U! s5 ^+ {0 L& z6 @# e+ T
    We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database
    & T- @2 h. T, L# m  Scontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The  ?/ [3 \! g* z8 a. t9 m
    appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete
    - i# L. |; g% a+ a. X* N* z8 udatabase can also be obtained through the following link:% N1 x1 x! U) ], q
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ" Y/ E; O2 n# r9 S( J- O, U
    Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod
    % D& u0 g" v, o- u4 y4 w( Lels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:
    7 m5 @) i, a! d8 w1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live5 _6 B: _" v" Y, Q+ g
    animals taken from the wild)?: |. u1 ?$ a( W' ~% w
    2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?
    - ^8 _7 a7 B* }7 U3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?+ T- j4 a0 B; L% J
    4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major
    # t6 d7 i/ F& R9 H4 Z0 Finfectious diseases?
    5 b* S. s* w+ Q7 A; e9 g  i25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it- j$ W9 t2 E+ k9 Y$ z
    will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?( i$ p! J/ {' ~: \8 g
    6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain6 i* r3 l4 s$ ^& ]
    your views and policy suggestions.# U6 n  h7 h; o0 B1 I% E  ]/ {

    + F% F. g5 B" n3 R& ~: I: T; i9 n6 b4 ]- o# q1 K7 y
    + q( [$ ?0 b  P! [, f! H; I
    # C+ _7 S% Y' \. O

    ' C9 `" {2 R7 c
    6 P# P8 H8 G3 |' X9 E" n
    3 {- p( D5 _9 l/ d! D7 p  H

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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