2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 0 T" ]8 @! Y G5 A. z6 khttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx " [- ^/ ^2 m& J. ~/ e' l; q ( Q1 H4 \5 N) L9 u2 c20228 V3 W* t- u8 l5 O8 b: _- D
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling4 |* H& n5 ~9 v w
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn/ f) U$ _' a. k8 O
Problem A (MCM) 3 T# h7 C4 Y' ?. H4 v& J y/ N% BHow Pterosaurs Fly3 G8 p+ r3 v7 m' u, D# l0 ^) l
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They; u) E4 t( Y' X8 Y: Z: M0 {! |" o f |( s
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of- u) H3 I# \) v8 @) S7 u% ?1 ~" H
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved7 w# A7 h( {. G) \1 A& y' j
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and & V- P; i8 h) O5 f& @7 Pother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth , Q& P' `3 C) k$ r2 Xfifinger[1].- x0 q8 I& c2 H& @, ^
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller + u/ ^8 H5 @$ Y( c1 Lanimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem 2 B8 ?4 O2 |% lbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they/ a: B: ~$ k( X* G: w: E
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and/ q; ?8 y; w; V" X, [: T
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived , p% i) \7 Y% |- ~7 x% iin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. ! F! K+ ]4 P8 w j+ SLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. 1 r4 J2 V( N" k @7 K3 xPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,5 M5 V1 V% K8 o& x+ h6 L
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on- @1 ]9 x0 z$ }8 N* V
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and % T% o2 }/ P) k, r2 zfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil/ _9 h ?$ A( x' B
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].- y1 @. ^, ` A; m
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 0 m2 h! m% D0 y- H+ X) P& [9 x$ fcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have / F. M' }8 d$ e1 F6 l, |. C fhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug" T7 p9 Y c$ V, }4 Y
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de% a! ?+ ]$ S7 ]3 T$ V
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning) m& G- a5 ?( g" q5 X7 N1 {
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded 2 d; `+ c" q8 j) P# d$ K) n(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec7 e% J. [7 _ x9 D- J
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 6 {# Y2 u) m# G. R# K: _1 J* |to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from. O/ I C# r# O6 `) U1 S3 {1 h, @0 ^
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including, Y% G- P: x5 x# k- L
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least" m1 S; h. |5 }+ x0 y( q( |
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong# g V0 N0 C! v& |0 `/ L+ k6 X6 `
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. - k) _7 J5 m. b7 [The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled, y5 }! B9 x. p1 y
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded* V% y# Q# k4 C
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, 7 v3 t5 y# ^ G7 p8 |% v: m6 T pLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able ) l2 U l3 M8 J* k9 }8 ito flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].' Y- l; H3 ]' n0 m. M+ a
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology % l. M" U7 A; u) Y' w: Fof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs' R h- A! C- S6 i8 r% x+ _
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,. U. I, e# B9 o5 }+ ?& r
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 8 |7 f, M9 U! J1 R0 t! zatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed3 g+ G5 \& j* n7 Q
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]." i' o9 U. X: ^
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.) K, ?9 e1 q0 ]9 K4 ?
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones' G" }! m- z3 j
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage% k& r8 u) e. g# s: a& z1 K
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for: G& p- T, s, R
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 3 X6 w& ?% V$ X4 h, n' Qand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as5 y6 E$ g% J) W/ N0 W
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ! t* e" H7 s/ H# ZJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism. v+ G' B% t1 I& _7 H
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would. A, Q% ~6 o4 L0 N% M. j5 n! J
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds$ ?/ D J" ]* H0 K) \; f
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].! K2 m5 ]" V9 J- ^1 i j& q
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the ' b* A# e* |' E( j) H" wflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and: y- X6 p9 ]* k- z9 e6 H) E) l
to answer the following questions./ |3 n& c8 o+ n _7 z B
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor# w8 T1 K6 p0 X) }* I5 s7 o6 _
mal flflight.! c* U+ ~0 U: n4 t! M* t* k
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during ' ?4 F; v# P- _2 m, W6 @( {1 |& n/ Onormal flflight. * N# ]; e+ p/ y3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like / h/ j% o$ C" |% I+ R) u8 Lbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.& L3 z& m$ c5 }, ]0 w! A8 X% A5 W
References 2 T: Z w( }. U2 y$ u+ t[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight+ E) O2 h m# j9 {9 j
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. " d, k2 M1 i0 D' B5 ^ x2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 5 o: q5 F8 A% \: Whttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php 0 k- Q( i! K- _$ g[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs8 |! D' o8 \; s7 \
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-8 L e) h8 K7 I* V* v; V- }, u
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html3 K& T- V l- @3 e4 r
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a # b: | F8 A& Brare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)8 Y) R! m9 y! U* d
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):6 b c) D7 |' z1 m1 E7 X
1983-87. w' H2 E9 x" _% Q[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust/ G! s) ?# m; X. Q
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): ! a( Q7 ?+ M( P7 c180-84. 3 ]/ f/ |; i7 L% R; H& ~, S* v[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?( O9 v2 i3 Q# _1 w2 |; [) X
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs: d7 U( T r. }7 ]* L% x: J- O) n
too-big-to-flfly/7 @7 y8 ?, c3 c/ ?0 V
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology . I7 ? A9 g+ d& _4 ^; t# vof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. 9 v' l$ k% [* R) X[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable" f" Y! z* N1 a1 w: S9 g
air sacs in their wings.$ K9 V0 q" n6 T! n( W7 |
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur $ ]6 {3 Q0 t/ ^breathing-air-sacs , ^$ u7 f7 R$ ~' e; D J[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.2 K' L* n$ J4 C0 W5 \. n
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils, \- z4 \. j% q, R
research-mark-witton ) d/ |6 f# |: M) V* H[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?: ?& Z9 y4 F9 B9 U5 U* ?7 z
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs$ F! k! [- L/ T' c4 U
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/: |: I/ m8 c/ x6 f5 Q5 d
+ Z% x! k; D' [" D! V9 J& J
2022 : x! @; F2 w3 Z" o, L% s6 MCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling4 s. ]6 z- w4 v8 z: ]
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn' @; s* l" J' t+ q- _* X
Problem B (MCM) / N5 C: q. c, f5 q1 ^The Genetic Process of Sequences * h/ p/ `; D* {! E) W0 SSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein 4 Y% ~9 f% Y- o. }0 C+ G7 ^sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of 8 a$ ]4 V# l& T E0 Y# `8 W n6 Ilife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their p" s+ q( _. {: N/ c6 [3 bnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong 4 N+ Z% k3 {( j3 L& Wevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common# x" P6 s% E( Y" V) e4 v/ H& V- u
ancestral sequence[2]. + c' y: R* Q4 L) x6 P, D* j2 {Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu . }. A4 }1 w9 Z# }cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 0 h* {; \/ [* V* C) oarise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and 1 J. n/ f2 z& |* E, }/ a, w9 mdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by% { l1 n1 L1 U: Z' z
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together & S- g7 a4 x9 K, q+ I, q) rcan form a family, and they are considered homologous. % L5 R) R) N7 H2 d5 I4 d5 vYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 7 e4 |/ }' X+ x% r0 tplete the following problems. # I0 ^" i3 o0 T( T8 C1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between% Z/ v, F# L0 d1 N$ j
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.8 M6 ^) P: h6 f0 v& @, D
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and8 l: V* x* _: Z9 v4 i. A' V
design suitable examples to illustrate it. - r8 D0 d' P+ U9 j: E3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an) y! X) o% v6 D, K6 @0 y! Y
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral4 ~$ z4 V) v/ q. [ @
sequence, and map the genealogical tree. # d3 n b, @& i# p: |* q* HReferences 8 x! R. _, t$ m3 u; ~. @" @' K$ h8 E[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re $ ^( W, u2 l4 f8 }/ N" H$ G& Pview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.8 E& ~( Y6 N/ [# F2 |( H. S
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 7 |. t' G7 y" \ ]; o/ p- K; vet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and 4 p/ N; G6 A% B9 n1 Z" Da way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.. t8 f* _/ N) ~2 U
1 Z% s6 x) P- C. M5 }. \+ B
2022 2 ?. j. x& ~4 N9 q7 C% F( e1 nCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 0 r* v8 \' u9 i( `http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 8 K& i0 Q8 t! ~Problem C (ICM)" E6 [% H s; r5 X/ w) s0 c ~5 J2 u
Classify Human Activities& ]$ M. A. D$ c0 @7 h( C: p; R
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and: u& P, `2 ` B. s" m$ p" ?
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im 5 k$ p9 ?( T2 z: ~, A. |5 @prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor6 W) g9 S5 c. s' H) l" D: g
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ& [5 x1 v0 ?( F. ]
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly . A; _4 ? [/ ?# gremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], : g- ^+ P3 D: W3 k! L* Smedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in 3 Q7 r- z% w/ K/ P Vschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, 2 P. ~6 q5 r, a+ d/ u( u. H! Vsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain " S6 J7 j( m+ @7 v9 [: N9 A }ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial" E( i5 d+ g! v$ n0 y
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify4 D4 M+ ^! B# o7 P
human activities, the following data were obtained.: `2 W" |9 J# G9 V0 a& M+ O
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,' ^5 f# \- e& s3 ~1 m% R" s8 d
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes % ?0 k4 X( M5 e/ Q( Ifor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ ; D4 W6 s6 V6 [5 j8 W' b% Q, ?* }ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be 3 ~. ]9 d' ]4 B! bperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and2 I$ Z: N& j+ C/ c" o
amplitudes of some activities. 0 D, S8 F: J* Z) ySensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.% u9 l8 A) F( Q- [+ H6 j
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal # ]8 ~9 B$ `, P" k' |segments are obtained for each activity. ! S$ b# h, f& w* p$ {! B. jThe 19 activities are: 7 w& E% E$ a# O m0 R- g1. Sitting (A1);5 d/ a1 ?* N" W, a* d# q: J2 c1 H
2. Standing (A2); T: x6 K$ ?+ n, X2 @. ?! i3. Lying on back (A3); ) ?( G3 A F; |& U7 h( Z. d4. Lying on right side (A4); 2 C/ B0 v1 e: N4 @5. Ascending stairs (A5);. y: I" o1 \2 h: [0 A0 }' V
16. Descending stairs (A6);0 ?3 z$ N) d7 s/ y/ X0 }
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);' L2 t: T! `5 G* n9 c3 _
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);6 k* A- E6 l2 L
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); % f) s t* ^3 [) j7 ]% O d10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg 3 d6 x' g. |. ^inclined positions (A10);: C- ?* |6 q0 o; U
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions 9 _& Z' s6 B3 W) o! @(A11);& q: C5 w' v" j' E9 z. I# m
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);* |: ~% O) S Y7 @1 n u( X0 j
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); " u j1 y: f4 W. R1 E' w. a14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 4 ?, K; Y' l. V$ P) \15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);9 [! p0 t( F1 e2 L5 D9 O8 P( M$ P
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); 9 q7 I' _% D, L17. Rowing (A17); H& a( x% a! M
18. Jumping (A18);# g5 K/ z! `2 r+ _0 D7 E
19. Playing basketball (A19). & \, G; T4 i8 FYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve . M( e# u% z. Ythe following problems. $ S# |, x1 C, d. n; O: T1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify* O. m& {5 f& B
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.# v' B+ G7 c8 y: i& v, N: ~/ }0 h
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have $ R' y8 Z- Y- j4 ~, { K/ {a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study " K: {3 j# s! Fand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to ( v, X. q& [: f! n' Bevaluate the generalization ability of your model.& S1 x& F- ?$ N% q
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- 8 }( L$ O9 z w9 z' ]cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action8 Z2 p$ }, w! B4 Q t" ?/ i
classifification.* U/ s1 n, ~% Q$ |6 A1 m `* \* ?
The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:, F6 D- \7 S6 M- P1 T# A! U
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq % L+ F' t* A3 P; S6 G- }; h2Appendix: File structure% D4 H r7 f- X; S
• 19 activities (a) 3 U" G# u3 _+ ^) s6 M$ P k' v# g• 8 subjects (p)+ k1 |6 D3 @, ^" |# w5 C: O5 Y2 D
• 60 segments (s)5 } \0 Y6 m1 i
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left/ e9 @/ g6 \9 i: N2 x; }% _
leg (LL) * ]# i d3 q: o& u1 M, M6 B• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z 5 B5 @' H: v6 J7 r" f) H, u umagnetometers) % i8 p8 l/ G2 u' q2 U3 gFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.* }3 U3 B$ g6 b2 n
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 5 v! ]$ s* z% k$ O$ ?8 subjects.# V) [: p& Q7 f7 U8 ~
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each6 Q. i% d) ?7 B# N& c" [
segment. ( @; H0 N! U$ FIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25$ [' y6 S0 a' |
Hz = 125 rows. + k4 ?$ C$ X7 Q) D9 h3 PEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the0 y3 @2 i3 y3 ^4 D/ {; k* X
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.2 Y8 V! M8 f: d
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular; t0 P4 i, Z, K0 U% k: j( D! U
sampling instant separated by commas. 8 W% _ }. k! RColumns 1-45 correspond to: 8 \7 X" Q7 ~) F3 {0 U- L• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,. w% S5 W; y: f! y% O9 r2 }
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, + n# f7 l! f5 V' N" J- A8 N• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, ' D$ f5 }! l+ |• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, " s/ ^# P4 G% U. l) l• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. ( O* X' k3 i- n! u2 U9 oTherefore,2 Q7 `4 f7 j* J2 k7 | b+ ^+ ]! @$ V
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), 0 x, i) Y$ ~! x& Y, l6 j0 k2 U4 l• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),! O6 b( Z) v0 v- w
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA)," E- P, a- H8 Z7 I: h' A/ T9 B6 k9 L
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), ' s' H! H# J, \! N5 H! p• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL)./ e6 Y& ~# B, Q. P$ ~
3References / ^- `9 M3 I5 c2 q5 V[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic" n+ ~) H2 [& }2 q5 ]
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. $ [! j! b" A6 j42(5), 679-687, 2004 & t) V. X' M, C. c% t5 g% v[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of7 A- v- j2 m( ?) k, A
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.' t2 R0 d3 ^, `; Y
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 4 u( ^0 X1 M X[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag 9 x A9 c0 b) b) |7 K% h0 ~1 Jnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.$ i/ F& Q5 c! M2 z+ x4 f* e
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007- |* ^% K6 L6 O& Z( p
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con0 H# ~5 R; n# m
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 ' @( D, _5 R9 J 4 _7 M7 N# t) g: E4 L0 w2022 , ?! u4 p2 C9 t8 @4 K& BCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling) E, e' u! ^$ n, x# v
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 7 H# j- q* t' ~6 n9 r. K3 hProblem D (ICM)" @. s8 ?& q. l, H k4 c) }& o/ U
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long $ R' e( e: q% ]' q/ iTime5 H9 _: e A V8 t% h
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the - C7 d q p% z0 Q& W" ^2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source1 W' Z* w2 I7 P& p3 O4 p3 i
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently L( \3 w! k1 ^+ ttightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,1 B- p; D: i9 O: r
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some 7 b* \: V! ~( J: s9 bscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak- z: F/ h0 ~3 e& G0 [4 z; u
ends.5 O8 P/ Y! ]6 K U% b. l" g. ?4 E, c8 d6 V
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?- U, D. p3 Z# H" `5 ~ @
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas8 A& R, t% \+ G ~. `( Z4 V
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo- a$ O, z4 @' i; T- l. E# y0 |
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 1 w! u7 A8 L; [9 B9 M7 Hcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil7 D3 f1 K/ p. j. d
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of& Y* O4 X8 \7 [% H
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.' }# _' T3 Z% R" }
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology - B3 d% I# P; I+ {in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their+ N" n9 u5 _0 W3 P
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have! x: a ^' Q* Y6 K8 H. f* S
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with6 q9 [) I7 E; n/ F
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing) ], K: Q+ h4 q+ Y, s0 Z
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen ) w1 a" t! b! S \5 L8 A2 dfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 301 h4 T/ H" ~4 k( L
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 4 n9 G/ ]1 o3 Y% j, GYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in6 x, t* V1 Q& R6 e8 D* D
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 0 o0 t/ g5 c0 D/ \) c+ {trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature) z0 k. a7 [, Y! P( f6 y
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact / g1 A- ^# V* o# o( @with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients% c' m, y, Q$ L. `4 e" [
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. ! W# k; Y- G/ ~4 F: }( |$ oWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:: `, R+ ?0 d% D6 D* f
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 0 ^' T* b0 z" } o6 a, aoutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL 0 y9 J s8 g$ t2 ?2 a9 x n7 P• Decline and extinction of populations' g6 v. M. L( n2 _ A
• Introduction of invasive species 2 }( v: O" k4 K& u: e: w3 c* \• Spread of new diseases to humans * w! X7 u' \9 ?0 a! |8 V0 h9 PWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database& r6 X$ m3 o. v3 x
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The ! ? m* d( ^$ Pappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete & L) I- r: a, v5 Ldatabase can also be obtained through the following link: + m; o( s, R& h; X6 f5 w1 mhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ5 P+ Z6 N$ V9 i
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod* _4 K+ J0 D7 j8 `
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: " i4 Y! d& v4 ~3 x$ J, G5 a) O- A8 M1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live9 V6 v4 ?: P: p7 r8 h
animals taken from the wild)?( e" [; _: n$ v* }1 Q9 k1 F0 ^
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?5 S! H# X/ j9 I1 C, M" [
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?, { b; l& X0 L
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major 3 G! n2 @2 z9 ainfectious diseases?% X- Q: ?5 F: X# x' ]! c3 |/ K
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 3 o0 R7 u; ^$ h2 X- p: s- h& dwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? / E$ Z. N* C5 Z" G6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain2 q/ k$ m4 T" s& i- y/ r
your views and policy suggestions. / H3 |( C, U0 W Z* y% `0 @1 M4 w e% I- N
, D2 z; Q9 z2 C0 V' u) H8 T0 X' d( s- E' r, u# ]! b8 K
; L* f' A& b3 m& \, U& V+ H( d / \! s9 r* ~. ?) ~# J) J' s & g0 x7 I& J8 Y8 ]/ n. C; g7 l; d 5 i5 `$ H$ k" y% R1 s9 q