2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 0 n; k; g4 L. w0 V3 U1 X( U0 x
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx ; ~7 L' K( c* I0 L' B0 q, r0 L; Q: U ~0 m! o
20225 W1 `" d( C7 w' {+ U% e2 w! L0 ]
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ' p, ?) @# q% E7 khttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn/ r7 M5 R1 K1 }) x
Problem A (MCM)% M. ]; ]8 R- h! n
How Pterosaurs Fly % a( P3 L, r8 e1 G4 qPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They 1 k9 S( m8 B5 D. r3 z( K% \existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of" x/ f. q' o/ b4 q% |
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved, w2 K( b. \2 y4 @: `/ L' A
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and : }/ X4 w& O+ p' t; ]" D$ dother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth ' e; |- K" I" ^1 j8 Gfifinger[1]./ A7 F3 F4 D- Z
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller 0 U- v1 e7 q/ eanimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem; B1 s1 W) a* K/ e& K. C
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they " @+ n7 @; O3 u$ Hwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and7 C) O8 N9 Q6 b8 S- U! N
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived ' K6 N( K/ R5 k3 S; R% B3 m4 ^in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. # l& t5 f# J: O! r* u! XLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. # L8 O9 X1 f* T7 \* @Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, 7 A. _9 ?2 n4 l! e Hand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on% U/ _; q) r: q; A* u
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and7 t# n1 C) k' x" m" f
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil4 q( ?2 H, |/ u0 Z
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].8 e( d% f* D& Q4 S+ p! s
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 8 d$ x8 M) i; o4 D) F7 `' Wcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 7 H& v5 N: K0 ?& U' Ihad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug ) ?) K Q$ B* H6 X7 C+ s* i$ \gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de4 m* G4 Y& H5 ?' F- y8 f w
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning0 v3 G! `! g* F) G5 L
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded $ r8 @. @6 F( T I( c/ y(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec 6 r1 }& Y$ l: }7 Qtional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 3 o" l7 @" k. z9 f7 d% Vto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from+ q. H. j( `, d" D+ G- l, d" v/ o
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including , Y# Q; q; G w3 J: `Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least( W: {7 |3 o& ~
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong * @; { |6 A J# M/ v1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.! {/ ?0 ]* N8 x# E
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled3 t# T8 X p& ^ ~/ t4 \0 Q! d
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded # }$ {! }1 C+ q% Z: dthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, / c9 m/ L7 Z$ j ]Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able . r7 a, P9 y! j% p" C: cto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. : k( ~7 r `4 b% [4 O3 @6 ^( pHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology3 e% W0 [ q2 a* y
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs * ?1 z- a) T1 a3 {! A3 b9 lbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,9 a$ l7 ~9 J8 \2 u: e
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that3 ?9 r6 O7 h- \, c
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed8 ^2 x% Q& Q5 r6 P) a
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. / J4 L- }& h! n4 Q( WAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. R5 P* _! d0 E a2 p2 R! o$ d
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones $ j- \: T1 C5 P5 S Zof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage 2 q. L5 I+ G" g1 r ]$ Va bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for $ M4 F& L. I# O! f' |8 `* x/ tgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded $ N2 x& Q9 k! ], Q0 h, e9 U" Oand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as$ ]% Y2 L) n/ t
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of- Y& Y. ^' g: m' v* p
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism8 Y* J3 H2 }* r# i
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would 7 k' t( N m: s" jenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds # {1 s- w+ V8 _2 A7 eof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. : a8 w5 |$ B$ J2 h) [Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the% U; T; g: t- k
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and 6 i2 V# I2 C* ]% a8 ^/ I& Kto answer the following questions.- Q7 Q+ t! b n7 ]' p M- y
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor , _3 X) z2 Q* B5 ^- ?5 k0 N/ ~/ Gmal flflight. 6 i0 \: U+ t9 Z: u% k2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during : E- C# J7 [$ ^% X# cnormal flflight.& @. T+ N9 @/ _" a" S% q# a
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like " ]( B) d; U; V' V4 h7 [birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. 3 O9 [7 E) w( c4 J! v( J7 \' s lReferences2 a {- M; t" ^1 O
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight & O- T* {' |4 j1 G# X+ }Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. ' W; \7 i4 t* ~) I& A# n, ~2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. : D/ Z8 r) Q7 b9 Ghttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php, V( x7 t# C: _5 P6 ~
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 2 n; h; r2 @( D5 V+ U% _3 lWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-$ D6 H c% y2 U" ~8 p2 X$ x" s
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html/ w8 N$ Z# Q0 B! P- D% N
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a ) x) Z5 Y$ G7 m2 F( Erare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)' e2 J% _3 a2 i4 P3 w; {' i4 s
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): * s6 q- l0 x0 f# Y+ q1983-87.3 |2 r. s3 c+ _! ^- ]$ ?1 ^
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust 2 {% g* ~$ {$ b# V* Sskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 9 U9 j& ` s- a9 Y180-84.+ i9 b1 d3 W: M( F4 z
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?3 ~+ }& H" r+ X5 y( s' F# A0 d
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs7 q, D7 O9 n8 C3 F5 Y) c
too-big-to-flfly/ ' V5 \2 U/ U1 ^9 Z+ d9 {[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology9 B$ }* q; ~3 R. M
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. : Z& J+ z6 O, d! h; @$ N# O( B[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable. X5 b* u; b, Z5 _4 D" |' l6 u
air sacs in their wings. 8 \* ]. v7 A$ Z! zhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur ( p8 N) J( H! z) Jbreathing-air-sacs Y: j6 Y" f: Q: ?[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. 4 G2 X% d4 k* e2 |1 mhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils , a9 D2 O2 f8 z; Lresearch-mark-witton5 q9 r7 ^& a1 X
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?, t5 g+ ]/ R( s1 F1 k% T
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs) |; F) z* s: r m) p" W' P
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ - I. @/ W: ~. x, ^, N. {5 z# q1 H& j6 p' D
2022. C- F% ]- z: ?4 K. A6 p
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling % Q) g0 w& S4 ?9 J Ahttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn) O r' [! p+ N2 L+ q! V
Problem B (MCM)1 B* U3 `1 c* g9 Y# X6 _$ H
The Genetic Process of Sequences 3 Z2 Z) {0 H+ rSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein: Q7 g C( ^( \8 ^5 j
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of6 m/ [$ s0 M, s2 x
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their# y, W- B6 X+ c d, Q: D8 e* N; H
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong* z6 I& A4 @2 L2 [
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common1 v) o5 j, u! V$ L
ancestral sequence[2]. 5 v1 `3 m% L! I6 N+ B! iConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu 5 i6 j9 y B6 m' R9 L! x: vcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation . D7 a: b7 t8 R: ?( \arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and- p+ g- H; `8 @' u' c
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by1 |2 f, L; N6 ^
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together, `+ @% K* D7 X0 t
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. 4 S" s! K7 s; o- dYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 0 L) p7 L, G$ ?5 tplete the following problems.' k- d7 G1 |/ V
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between! p1 C% C/ f! q' |" w
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.2 u0 v8 h+ D. C% u
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and; J/ ?. D4 p# o. \% c
design suitable examples to illustrate it. " {) I8 G' `2 e' h4 b) c3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an! E" y5 W6 I" \& N7 Y4 Z
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral 9 p: {+ H$ C+ ?$ d. N$ osequence, and map the genealogical tree.8 n. E' Z- e. g( D- J
References / m0 Q+ H. N' I5 ~- t[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re " T1 H. p3 f- A) A% {4 gview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. 8 ]" i5 P; e$ f. l" i" P: i( {' a[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,+ A' E% q7 O$ ]/ t( N' h
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and9 T" N- L! k) g( F; ?% W3 H/ a
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. * p2 ]* J4 d3 k9 P1 h8 B7 p" E: k; ^% P$ ^$ Q
2022 8 E$ J( m/ t; y* R2 f1 R2 M4 r7 sCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling2 s# j! l! @! A1 T5 P. ^4 m5 |
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn ( A" O9 Z5 _& O2 yProblem C (ICM)& J) S9 j- F& D, T
Classify Human Activities+ H" _- o# m/ R8 P( o9 M
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and6 D% K$ t# m/ A8 K& J: _
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im5 B, _% P/ Y9 m
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor" l) t+ |% W7 j2 K) ]" c' p) |
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ ( b, ^ ?) u! p% C2 ?$ l# m0 Q5 bity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly- _% _6 d! A) W v2 R# W
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], % X; b9 I" _+ k, ?9 ` wmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in / r% U" K* m- X) d0 I" |, D; Yschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,! i6 q2 ~! `/ f" H; l# }0 D
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain / Z' \ E" j/ P2 c% T: E$ Pment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial 9 Q: l' z; t3 Psensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify9 X) n l; N! E c- `% ?: n: e
human activities, the following data were obtained. " }; a5 P9 g9 @2 CEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,# M c' F9 l1 U8 ^
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes ; J* ]6 J5 y$ ]for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ 0 O/ }6 L# [* W% Q9 @5 d* u' aities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be1 Z( a4 x1 v3 D, n
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and ' b# p& _7 a/ K+ r7 G: P5 ramplitudes of some activities. 1 e8 y6 \0 f( D" y$ [7 HSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. , M2 f2 p9 |/ ]' J3 mThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal0 E, \& r6 w3 F) |# B& K8 p
segments are obtained for each activity.5 k5 z( Z, u( D$ I2 A) u4 o: R/ k6 D& P
The 19 activities are: , N4 ~+ T! U h+ {2 X1. Sitting (A1);' f+ R, k( @' B, G0 o9 ?! ]3 k. }
2. Standing (A2); ! L# d1 Q7 u3 R8 S. J" m4 O5 ~3. Lying on back (A3);1 X3 k% X3 F) a) |( O
4. Lying on right side (A4);7 Z8 B7 S" Q6 v: ]' u6 _
5. Ascending stairs (A5);1 Y, f" `, L9 [0 l7 N
16. Descending stairs (A6); 5 A/ V7 F" c' X# E8 x& E5 _. u7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); & W/ D" ~% w! v1 f5 a8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 2 h; [+ w; C5 Y3 a5 F$ ^. x9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);1 h, N+ ?5 v+ S* E' b
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg # w/ H* \/ n' z% J8 N0 y- q+ S8 r8 rinclined positions (A10); 8 {7 r8 j: A" R! d1 z0 O0 O m11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions; Y( N9 U$ p/ j8 s
(A11); , D2 G3 G: d: t9 K% T) c. r12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); ! d. G( s6 p0 f' E2 v6 r13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); ; e9 _1 {0 K- \! S14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 3 ?0 j9 T: W& F/ E, g C: g15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); 7 {1 I, x% W6 D0 y b _6 o* E" p16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); . G$ M- `9 U" x- h9 B4 Y- f17. Rowing (A17);9 i0 {+ ^. }8 V* ]2 L( T: c7 }
18. Jumping (A18);3 h9 q( p, q. ~ Z
19. Playing basketball (A19).4 U& V3 A7 Z4 S
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve $ Y3 W% l9 `. r) k# I& zthe following problems. + Q8 J4 e+ `; _6 N4 b7 a# ?1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify " p) C) C, `2 @9 k; j& fthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. , P2 S2 q S1 P2 l& q2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have4 J3 ~2 b. U% [4 r9 F* l" @* O- p
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study3 k8 C" E5 Z# C4 W# V
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to * F* E8 Q8 n0 B0 }9 ?evaluate the generalization ability of your model. 2 v$ X& X) z1 t- Z2 m3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-& r$ \& z: p k1 p+ \ S( O, B: N
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action % a# y; ^7 T" B' S* Oclassifification. 8 M$ b7 W0 m% _/ T" L( tThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:9 W! f6 ?( x1 G( \' _
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq 4 U' G, I. P- D( P5 \, e2Appendix: File structure" h- z$ k, i9 @% }5 A9 U' T
• 19 activities (a) 3 v* N0 h! [/ z( }0 j# u5 G• 8 subjects (p) ^% O' n& Z: F# | w( m/ L• 60 segments (s) : R# @# _8 v3 r9 e: M0 J" K9 Q• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left ( _5 `9 @, q- `2 q+ b! I8 S6 ileg (LL)/ K t' O; k# N; l7 s4 n( Z
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z2 E' K5 ~9 e: C9 S0 }7 ]& C/ M4 K/ T
magnetometers) 7 k4 X* d& `& c5 j2 iFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 1 j) ^0 k! `% s3 Z" eFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the" r+ j% e6 x: L/ |' I1 a
8 subjects.) ~% y, _- Y2 w; H! K
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each* {: j4 B7 G. l/ h0 E0 |- r }
segment. 7 g4 }. e2 \& S" ? XIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25% ^+ [0 b/ H7 I, P- O# ~
Hz = 125 rows.3 q! ~0 |- Q& c
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the , \9 F! E i6 c( B! W+ r' dsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.9 E" @7 r# n- d" R. U( T
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular ) F5 c$ D4 a+ \- y- ]sampling instant separated by commas. \! e) L3 M7 o) p8 h! |6 u% tColumns 1-45 correspond to:. A! e, i; j4 a4 [' O l& Z+ ~
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, # d* d0 I' T3 A0 L6 u% f" C• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,9 a2 W! A$ O" ? Z: M a
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, 5 b' f! I j% r# l5 `. v• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag," Z3 s' Z3 e9 `% U
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. 3 E' g i% K) E, \% ]3 p( I8 {Therefore,% D u# Q0 P2 I+ e# |8 Y
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),& V) E) N; U: @* I
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 7 M* w/ W4 d6 q8 ~. d$ f• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), , W2 i0 _+ |" a1 [• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),: H0 m0 v( }6 y
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 3 m9 f* D7 T4 p. O, V) s3References , `6 n B y- R! _8 I8 r o0 E[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic) H* O5 B+ M; c8 e( U9 V
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.$ Q% H( t$ o, Q. v' j) j/ I
42(5), 679-687, 2004 ' G! C, A3 t& n7 c/ g; M. t0 v[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of ! g$ B; I2 k8 w( p4 d3 wlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.* ~3 L* }) z3 E. o( _) [' z
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 " K! j& ~% E7 w- d4 `[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag + O* g4 [2 L' p2 K2 r0 qnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. ; V! f2 W1 b/ G* t$ OB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 # p2 `; k" U) Q+ {5 u. c& x! K& o[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con / H) ?) [, [# F1 e5 |" ^7 i9 `. `trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 ; K# l! K" Y5 l* _ s& T* w: b8 V! j! b; s5 s
2022 0 x( _3 Z: u, a% `! ^; h, v: w3 bCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling; L& F; d' _/ T. b' F% L: a( t- G
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 4 v! I. [; [& m; Q" Z7 MProblem D (ICM)1 u7 g; `5 j- e& ~. }" u
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long( i0 x' H: M, c/ W
Time, \/ q. e: F; V3 K+ T- i
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the+ [* r5 T- H( j3 v- i0 p
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source 8 e% N1 v6 @9 o& F- }of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently: n3 X8 w/ X6 E& U
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,& _7 ~* a N! p) D0 n7 L8 n
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some . q# G9 V: e4 F( oscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 3 E" o+ d H$ {1 a, Vends.1 c3 U, R! T! R( r8 x
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?3 ]9 i8 E' \; ~2 g
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas 2 p6 n/ @: M, {: B3 D- b$ C2 Cothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo$ K/ O. X" p2 m( Y: c( `
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could * B) E3 m" P6 h% T Ccost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil ^( h# O1 b: O3 T/ p
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of 2 ?7 c. m2 d& A E/ y" n. @& q e% UEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.3 j" k7 p( |: R) r8 C' U7 e: B9 X. x' u
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology5 z+ i0 R5 o! c9 ]5 u! c" F( c ~
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their @# \+ A {/ i5 @% d' fsmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have " v3 a7 e- x7 c4 T9 S0 ridentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with ) J' N% ^# C1 H, U- o0 fall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing i% Z" d: `- |- u8 |& G' A
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen ; Y% n3 y( S$ I( @0 ffrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 306 I1 \' H4 K& Q3 z7 E
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 0 A3 j5 P- p& I# v: w# `Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in 2 v* p' X; l! ^8 yGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife0 y( h& D& B# Z1 b" W
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature& f A, W$ s& L: B, |* L# A8 I
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact1 I1 ^ A. o. J: E/ L
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients, L! l4 F& W. ]7 C- S
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. D9 l$ K3 M; t/ @" K6 |' _0 k3 yWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: , }% C w) X9 e+ D: i% W1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS / B3 N, f3 R2 L& b4 E. g" noutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL8 e, {; e* N; b, F! T; l
• Decline and extinction of populations $ u! f: ^$ K9 c! k• Introduction of invasive species: g6 J3 u/ G4 {, y
• Spread of new diseases to humans 9 A8 J) B9 P# {& [$ M0 n! OWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database ! W7 W. c% j% `9 Y" R# d7 @2 _contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The. t) B8 ^2 y+ x3 c9 N
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 1 ~( l4 X3 `9 F1 l# J, I/ X, V gdatabase can also be obtained through the following link: : d, K0 _% Q! U& s ^5 F' zhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ; i& w( U2 N) r' x
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod# o( v& u" H/ b( e" J. B3 l4 W
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:' `7 W9 _& c# B. v
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live % J+ ]. `6 |6 A3 x5 n7 Y! Eanimals taken from the wild)?5 L2 u3 W% M1 R* v3 a
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? 3 y) K) e# t2 n/ ^! k" ?. s( X/ Z3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?" g1 i3 F( o0 @9 V$ \
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major & {+ U# r" K. Ninfectious diseases?5 U& k; l7 R+ \, C! I' [+ |
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it; o! w8 @' j4 \1 p& `
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?5 |+ a5 D4 v' I5 N& G
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain 7 W# K, \1 w1 K4 k, p+ _' tyour views and policy suggestions. % d E5 o4 W# [( T% S1 A( C& g8 x
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