2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 2 D) a, ^: _- j: g
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx6 _; r8 {) b2 F+ \1 M
. d$ y5 X- i2 `6 ?
2022 & S; o G9 i6 m" O* c, L5 M/ n0 bCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling: L! D6 A7 s- j; z/ l4 U
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn " l; n4 X! ~, ?$ P4 w( nProblem A (MCM) * H/ s: Z, W6 CHow Pterosaurs Fly0 `8 R$ h' Q6 ]8 \
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They * y5 Z1 j7 j" u6 E3 fexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 2 Q# {+ J- O; o, s" C! T! A# k+ Othe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved , V# y$ P9 \* _powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and9 n9 M, [% E. r# w
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth! a5 {4 x9 b* R
fifinger[1]. * t9 ^. ]7 _ n+ E2 ]1 h3 eThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller 1 h% B: X) B3 _3 b M# ~animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem3 y6 [2 n O2 ?* q+ O( e& B8 n
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they 0 e/ Y2 N; F8 n8 o5 lwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and2 n: I6 P8 P& d/ M% t) ^3 G4 `
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived $ k7 ^* V" S! t, k/ tin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. 5 S# \4 [+ |6 o5 H$ T- x8 JLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.4 N0 S8 r; M9 _% ^5 n; o$ B
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, C" {8 p S$ X7 i
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on 6 c# @0 U9 v3 t& L& Jall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and $ p* h2 d7 L; a. f& \folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil 0 l) y" m8 F% q7 R! P4 x9 \+ f+ R- ~trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. # E/ v5 n! e6 x" ?* Q/ iPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which : u) I# L( l0 e4 f. }' O- C* ^covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have' j/ N& }+ u) k
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug- }' F3 v' k6 B
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de: N/ i1 N( A, H5 C( N1 ~7 q6 f9 j! T7 T
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning 7 H; `' A1 U6 s- O8 E! F9 bcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded1 C+ Z/ J2 ]9 k+ p9 t
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec; X( `& l% i T9 z: M {
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones $ s- o& j- ^/ A- j& v S; Fto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from/ f& ^& M% I- ^5 W
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including ( v0 V& g% P) j( |9 ]. C! Q- E1 LQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least ; y) d! E+ O5 \3 N8 {+ @/ r" nnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong" W4 [# i) r; V3 h6 c
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. d3 }" ^ k9 W$ [The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled% {+ e: |% U3 D6 I+ H3 u
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded* a8 u) i2 {. @$ y
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,# I& s, d `) j3 b/ c
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able 8 t+ U. O. _$ Vto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. \3 @! S$ h# t5 D8 hHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology ; I+ ?* z; Y3 F# u% M! b( gof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs % Q1 I$ v! S3 ^$ [. G* h2 {being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,! T* C( J+ |. ]- l
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that& w, Y/ O; l- G% O
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed. Z r5 P1 {; x# t: Y# U
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 6 J2 v( r4 w$ } F5 e4 h: a0 g# IAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. 0 L7 k \3 i, ]; _8 tIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones/ v: X# P* V/ B/ {$ o
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage & L ?/ L( t1 @& _7 `# La bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for - |- { e2 [6 P9 O5 n$ e, lgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded4 d4 y8 U/ W! _/ F, Y
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as # L h. `$ Z; e o3 B: ]6 u- @quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of9 g! ~8 i+ d6 A3 q3 r
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism: @' P$ g; s8 F; q# k! k7 F8 d
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would# Z; {& @, w1 [9 G# o" c. L- h
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds $ B+ G& L) ^# Z6 x* U# }5 S. j: X1 Wof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. 3 U2 U0 ~" l) M" ?Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the5 N" |* R/ N/ ^* R F- g9 _
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and 0 m1 l% n% }- I1 d" h+ a/ A3 `0 Jto answer the following questions.. p2 U3 @0 k3 e- t
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor : z( ?' R X- j9 x- D/ T) dmal flflight.. k6 Q0 G5 b! h* D n
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during ' W/ r& f4 w, x- Y0 Qnormal flflight. ) u6 r5 A$ R- K% r. N% J0 c( V) a3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like & |6 B6 O0 y, \+ @) nbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. + y! F! m% z# ] m. C; rReferences 3 e# \: G4 D: [% p$ u[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight $ @1 s/ c/ h ^ j* W- X8 X* X. YMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.3 @# i* m4 ~/ v
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.3 l" n( u* D) F9 G' G: G! H' `
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php# F' d+ v+ V5 s, Q0 G
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs n J3 v$ q' \Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-* w' a8 l1 h5 Z' l! O" H" V3 J4 S
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html " C1 Y# ?2 s6 F/ d! h1 d8 I4 [; D[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a * `" Y( Y! b" \rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)1 \9 w, g& s2 q: t* g* r
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 0 Z$ ~; y- z! ~, ~, ]1983-87. 8 |' ^% @# M8 w6 m[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust 3 w. J7 v/ r% M+ ?skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):6 @7 a8 G! [* A- m' ?& N
180-84.! c. a7 z& n- b/ A
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? ! k6 H, p7 D; ?5 t' U; e( i5 Ahttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs 9 x# j5 E8 Y0 g% I1 `too-big-to-flfly/ 7 M. M1 P4 X6 i3 V3 y[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology7 A. }4 b! I4 f, C; {: ~6 v
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. 4 R6 |( c9 f6 r: V$ N% N[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable ( W+ q! `" c T7 r+ ?air sacs in their wings.- P. ^5 k1 u0 `, a
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur! I3 |1 N# }. K' }6 X4 C0 s
breathing-air-sacs 2 P) z1 r% e' G' G. [[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.0 d7 y( E, e9 r" `
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils 4 C. N! |% K, V+ }3 Z( [research-mark-witton ! T& I2 d, q" K8 }: Q- ]# `[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?3 `. k- M4 U$ E7 Y
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs8 V9 R( K! ]7 o6 n3 b, u) C) R
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/# ?7 f; Y8 U1 Q& ~0 A
% q6 ]; h; F$ P5 n' G: K7 G2022/ s8 h3 i$ v( r6 r% j: w3 h" H0 v
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling9 D* x) A0 G& [8 k M3 A
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn, V* g5 s6 \1 z' g5 C$ q
Problem B (MCM)' w9 n7 s" d3 U) |" r
The Genetic Process of Sequences' t( x4 } b: ~! _4 _
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein e- f, F) B4 \( `) x
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of) E. Q Y& H0 b2 b( `) c
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their 2 j4 W: G/ W b# o5 V Jnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong 5 J2 J" G# B, k; b) eevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common" `, J Y$ M# @& i7 L9 L* S
ancestral sequence[2].5 l4 Y/ m; U* ?" ^, A. E3 S" d1 E
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu6 W* O8 Y* P$ y, n4 K1 S
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation4 I- ]$ K, D* G; G& S& U. f" Z4 d9 v
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and * I2 n$ p# d( \& edeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 6 @% g6 q ~. u& `2 C9 ]/ fthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together+ W0 M% r3 ~2 f! c0 E
can form a family, and they are considered homologous.4 D: a4 [6 k$ h _: _ k' x
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com ! X/ E+ b& i$ yplete the following problems.& }( K; n5 o! u+ @
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between ' i6 C( h( X5 h8 i. E2 ^; U. B- b1 ^two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. # T$ S/ N7 b1 W0 y2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and + a3 A; x8 R& B) Pdesign suitable examples to illustrate it.* B, A( y' F' i: s; t; c
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an ( t& j: L& B3 M V! Pcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral , M' q' Y/ v* W f( P6 _+ msequence, and map the genealogical tree. ( Q- n+ h; }; o8 LReferences% ^7 G, x9 ?' o4 m; o
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re 2 Z' D' N& ~! a* Q! j6 lview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.: W! U# h0 M" G9 f5 x
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 0 e9 ?1 W$ }$ ]# ^et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and+ d+ h1 C7 N% F/ a. E* Q; f2 r3 K$ |
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.0 p' d; t% w$ W9 T- n' ]! j
/ G" h {! S# e. a2022) W4 j; j' E( u1 Y% m
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling $ n5 N0 e6 _5 P. K, Mhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 8 d) v- Q j$ B; z: x; o7 |' _2 bProblem C (ICM) 6 Z% J- G/ F2 }( _( BClassify Human Activities ( G5 c# D4 V" i9 |4 VOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and ' Z3 X( r( ]/ cmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im 0 s) K$ k" U Q4 G9 {prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor 6 N9 d2 e+ {; M+ ting, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ . g& g& I; w4 m2 ^ Sity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly0 J7 V5 F8 K9 F# t" ^" h- @
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], 6 m, o5 H' Y% M" Ymedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in' C) D9 s9 b) y5 M. _: M& s
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, 5 @. s3 q4 H5 o. Psports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain1 P7 ^/ V6 F5 k. }: p. m$ b7 u6 G
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial0 {5 X( Z2 @# t+ x: F
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify 3 W N6 k' m, y1 A7 Ihuman activities, the following data were obtained. 3 c% ^! t6 H; `1 M9 `0 `Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, ) {* @$ ^) n3 ]8 u! [1 Nbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes # K' ?# I& _& X8 M+ hfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ, Z5 b, K- K! G2 C
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be% v( ]) C }' z
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and, p4 |! y8 ^- [) `5 {7 {
amplitudes of some activities. 3 A# _8 x8 c; e6 L+ V6 YSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.' N5 z/ B) i8 w' a
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal7 Q5 k" I2 F3 [. i) Y$ ^
segments are obtained for each activity.+ _" b; `; G5 b5 `! J; @ X7 \
The 19 activities are:" }$ u) ]& |$ i
1. Sitting (A1);+ ~0 f1 ?- d! X
2. Standing (A2);9 U9 C% o a- E/ t2 N, t- w% L
3. Lying on back (A3);. D( U+ b0 h# h$ a: y
4. Lying on right side (A4); % R6 h' i! j- k5. Ascending stairs (A5);- d' |: g( J& B: ^& k7 e1 M
16. Descending stairs (A6);5 h0 ?5 H9 @# ]/ o M
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);: u! r6 T. S9 p* k4 A& U
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); ; D- r; D7 V# t g9 d9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); 0 ]7 ~' e* X0 |/ L9 U) w2 B10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg8 M( U. X) ^' j: ]0 s* v# ?% t
inclined positions (A10); - B5 C* l$ u# U2 C8 @5 Z7 ~& t4 M11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions$ t9 y" k) Q2 x% X7 r
(A11); 8 m3 {: P& p- A+ D) a% ^2 J7 w% J12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); Y4 F- F/ f: n7 |" m5 h' ?; R4 b13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);! c5 E3 C1 Z1 G8 Y! i% d8 V
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);6 q7 W( q2 }9 x, n1 t
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); $ P# G' X0 z4 u' g% `% v& | z8 o16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);- H: ^3 [. ?) n q3 y
17. Rowing (A17); 5 n+ I, f3 ?# i) J( s- D7 r M18. Jumping (A18); ; g1 D; A# B# v, n. L' \19. Playing basketball (A19). - S" l2 |2 D& X3 S O2 {% |/ DYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve# t/ y% @" Z) q& y" s
the following problems. 8 O7 M) H+ g6 G# W0 z/ k$ p+ u1 T' Y1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify- K) K- H, ^+ H3 t
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. [' N) A t: N$ c7 J" R1 `2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have5 o# C6 Z( M0 k i8 ^5 M
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study 1 R/ r3 k7 y" x8 |0 T# Z3 M/ _9 g3 Zand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 6 i8 G. c: }. qevaluate the generalization ability of your model.8 P, u3 b& y6 I+ t3 U
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- ' A3 b" _! U. o5 }cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action 6 l( m' b/ Z: a1 lclassifification. & [9 M4 r V8 z4 i# U6 V+ EThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: ! H% D, E& K- z g6 ^2 c0 Qhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq 4 a* W$ r2 P9 e3 ?0 C2Appendix: File structure$ T. Z6 a% {' W4 r, q; `' r$ p% p$ Q
• 19 activities (a)" e! B5 g8 X5 v
• 8 subjects (p) 8 |& J+ j. ?% T• 60 segments (s) ' x( O+ R {$ V( u$ m) P) N• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left . p2 B, x |6 S: r- \ Cleg (LL) " F0 D+ q9 |$ S5 J( X8 K0 S• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z) c0 K7 P1 ^1 J: T- }# a
magnetometers) % [ [; y% }- DFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.6 G, e `1 w: ~3 W
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the0 w3 M! `; c# d- ~
8 subjects. / H! E; ^1 V! Q! FIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each 7 N. T, o, |# O* _9 x8 {! S6 xsegment. 8 K+ s$ v; h3 Q% e+ ^" wIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 251 Z2 O+ x3 C2 n+ ]
Hz = 125 rows. 5 u, }7 S: ^8 e5 d* bEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the0 ]8 n# W- N# K: [6 C* a: z' \
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. + V5 k2 d% r. Q# o! Z h2 MEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular% I% L8 g/ f* i: k- {
sampling instant separated by commas. ) }5 R1 L8 O% J; j3 bColumns 1-45 correspond to: ! L A& p+ w }6 h: j9 H# ~$ t' Y• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,! _4 v9 t9 E, z
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, ( V5 S1 h+ m" `" J9 `1 T• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, G9 B! l) N/ |! u0 q5 N• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,/ d+ q8 R% B3 t5 z. g( J
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. % e: m6 p4 V- I) C. @: MTherefore,# H& \: h7 J ~
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), 5 r2 P7 y9 n8 ^# u2 D! ~2 f( U, i& ^• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), , k8 T J- _* a z' N• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),7 [! K! r; L1 O
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), + Z2 i4 e2 n; p3 e% z• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 7 P2 u2 w2 H7 N s1 a- u9 B A! Q3References # v* G6 ]3 J) R3 |3 d7 k4 R: ][1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic9 F" n& d! n* x9 c/ h
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. 6 j7 M4 h; `) H0 d- o7 k6 V. D6 X42(5), 679-687, 2004 # l8 O. P0 y4 S% l4 K% e" Y, B[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of 2 [3 D) R& r: ]8 n; b: F6 ?low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. 6 k& V: m/ v' YGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 - z6 L6 W0 q7 H( p' W2 |; D/ V- b[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag% o; Z# l: J/ P# t$ H$ w3 r
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.0 i1 X/ M4 U8 ~( [; n
B. 11(5), 553-562, 20073 F7 J+ |6 f4 Y. g# B% ~1 c
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con* `/ ^" Z8 B+ @' y
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20084 u+ `4 f* ? T- m
2 }7 P+ Y* j1 s/ j; ]% A5 H
2022 ' M2 t* B* f; C1 |+ b4 w) W! U6 {Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling " n5 }, S/ S3 n. X- |8 dhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn* e- r2 _, \3 F9 Z9 g# g+ Y' d
Problem D (ICM)3 s+ c1 V) _6 K `5 ]
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long" [6 E- F3 _+ E2 P$ a8 G# C
Time 4 l9 g8 H" F% |! G. H9 M6 {/ bWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the }. y, ]* r1 p% b4 t, h2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source: E4 w, i K: [
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently $ ^) ^: y6 L& Z% Atightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, F# Z: K' P* l# awhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some+ y2 P! S8 @& c1 d
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 4 P$ M/ K$ a1 x" j! ]0 T! Eends. # c' s8 B/ [- H) O `+ HHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?, d- Z$ d* a9 Q% X0 V, D
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas + o6 k$ o, C3 e3 M6 m. g' Y0 {others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo" e! X6 f q: r/ h V9 _
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could+ |" S- Q8 y6 E" v6 [( @
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil , ~2 C% g5 s. i% w- @7 @/ }lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of 1 N* |; C+ o, S1 @2 \1 iEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. 3 ^; v% Q ~. E$ ~A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology ' `1 N0 Z# F$ S2 W0 ]in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their! m+ d1 q& M5 t/ p; @$ @* f
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have4 k% b. F- E. i' @0 \1 ?' t. f. u4 s
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with* ~: b V2 A( |
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing! C9 i" T4 I2 P0 g; H
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen 7 K1 G0 Y( z* q; g6 [5 Vfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 3 O3 E' t' F3 {; o; H/ \November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in" L! y$ F4 }; ^& d
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in4 h, V& Y5 ~# p) Y0 W4 _
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife # \* ?8 Q& D( Q+ D, {trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature7 H) W0 b/ n% C1 R% D% K
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact ) G3 R4 q3 O8 `; O# H- Xwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients ! [0 q L: M: `* d( h# q2 G Fare in place for a similar disease to emerge again. , c$ Z9 K( o- j& f7 jWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: ' J4 N' B% \, z* u! h1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS9 d* e9 k) M0 }5 ?
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL* i, @4 [7 ^2 z: L" Q: Q- z$ B
• Decline and extinction of populations6 K. k. J& o" R: u8 N
• Introduction of invasive species) A( H& Z% \+ c7 c
• Spread of new diseases to humans. A+ a0 Q) U! s5 ^+ {0 L& z6 @# e+ T
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database & T- @2 h. T, L# m Scontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The ?/ [3 \! g* z8 a. t9 m
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete - i# L. |; g% a+ a. X* N* z8 udatabase can also be obtained through the following link:% N1 x1 x! U) ], q
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ" Y/ E; O2 n# r9 S( J- O, U
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod % D& u0 g" v, o- u4 y4 w( Lels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 7 m5 @) i, a! d8 w1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live5 _6 B: _" v" Y, Q+ g
animals taken from the wild)?: |. u1 ?$ a( W' ~% w
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? - ^8 _7 a7 B* }7 U3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?+ T- j4 a0 B; L% J
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major # t6 d7 i/ F& R9 H4 Z0 Finfectious diseases? 5 b* S. s* w+ Q7 A; e9 g i25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it- j$ W9 t2 E+ k9 Y$ z
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?( i$ p! J/ {' ~: \8 g
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain6 i* r3 l4 s$ ^& ]
your views and policy suggestions.# U6 n h7 h; o0 B1 I% E ]/ {
+ F% F. g5 B" n3 R& ~: I: T; i9 n6 b4 ]- o# q1 K7 y
+ q( [$ ?0 b P! [, f! H; I
# C+ _7 S% Y' \. O
' C9 `" {2 R7 c 6 P# P8 H8 G3 |' X9 E" n 3 {- p( D5 _9 l/ d! D7 p H