2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 ' L& m9 |% m- r7 f z4 h( ahttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx . \5 P" }% ^4 U" | A" t) r 6 h" s h# x; @8 V: W2022 3 A6 g' c9 Z, C; e( k* NCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 1 I: N- n& B; r3 j, h: o8 d7 {http://mcm.tzmcm.cn % t& o; B& \- l+ Z& h5 H) r* h+ }# FProblem A (MCM)! d3 P; G2 K/ ?7 j' ~' P3 n7 ^
How Pterosaurs Fly / E& _% h1 a' V- j$ o8 ?4 OPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They: p6 g% L7 _: c3 W
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of6 {8 ?; |; J/ ~" A
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved 5 g2 l3 u, T. c w Ppowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and1 \, g. a- z& w" l
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth * {; b2 O8 Q- o: g6 wfifinger[1].- d J' C! X: J' s$ ~( s
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller 6 N3 l/ r; n" Y" canimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem 0 a5 i1 H& v/ ]7 r0 B: Jbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they/ L8 O# l7 i5 h( c& ?
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and$ }, l2 t' J+ |4 h
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived & o. I/ X+ ~; {in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. & p# L. w5 j5 [Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.& S' u8 A% | d0 I9 `; n3 n
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, 7 J& y, p. v! ^0 M! j' Gand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on( a* R* s3 O, S2 F4 X! |+ R
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and & E8 ^4 v" M( C [# Gfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil 5 }# h; d9 W/ ztrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].9 q' k' v; X; y" F
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which ; G$ ^% g# f- f+ ?& acovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have1 B) h3 u$ R& x& F4 l q7 S. y
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug $ I% l& U3 x1 E* ]" f `/ g) n# ~gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de" I/ ~" D l: b# P9 D2 t0 t. c; l
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning/ x/ ] _( B/ g' C* r: ]
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded ; m2 V5 q2 [8 f# I$ m(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec! U3 P$ _% ~+ M3 F: k( t4 i( C
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 7 z0 _- u) a6 ~! L4 x& `& \# T. S6 xto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from 5 r6 Y2 j+ E5 m8 Athe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 3 i$ N& F4 M5 W5 PQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least A0 s2 @$ }- V/ F( L3 z3 l2 x& Q0 mnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong, r2 _# t8 F2 H/ ?. ~/ f% U3 a
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers./ K4 l4 g5 \* j
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled 1 r/ D0 Q' B0 u7 \) Iat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 3 X9 L& R- o+ X+ ~( t- Vthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,4 o5 M% _! a, a+ e% s, D
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able5 T; o% k. }/ }3 h
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].! Q y8 X0 q+ N
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology , y) ^" ~7 |% M- f! U6 t' |' a+ Iof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs4 m3 z3 s, }7 M! z" ]/ j3 Y
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, ( h# v- v, ]& w& ]3 D2 J% Xsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that9 @" O7 m- W' X
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed ! _. ~' C4 \' L$ ~! S. |9 ~# wfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. * Z' m* H, F2 k4 Z* z9 r: {% ]Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. . ? F* }' W8 U d- M# @If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones' D5 t# t( k& O3 m( D8 Q D1 m4 g1 Z
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage; { ]. i1 |+ g! X( n" F, P
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for5 i s- S f/ ~$ f& o, G
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded ( |4 V4 N6 D" E& o3 n2 r! Xand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as . ?1 n" u" B* ?, }% V0 Z7 g7 Fquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ! K4 M' r3 Q2 z g' ~; DJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism- `( L( K. k' X; L5 X7 l
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would + r: p/ o/ l* ~, Genable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds $ H" i% F" @9 Q, Y# I7 zof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].0 p% ?1 \# F' V/ R
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the : w! m$ v3 j3 |flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and3 ]* g1 l4 N2 W
to answer the following questions.2 W. T& ^: Z4 z( D8 a) D
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor2 ~/ d6 c) j+ C7 p
mal flflight. 5 ]& d! ~! o8 n8 E0 y) N2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during ! ~, Z4 M. H* i! g0 ~normal flflight. + V1 A: v! y$ D) U& c5 C3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like ) y9 [' R, @ e$ r' dbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.0 M% _8 x- R+ Y) q' ]; t
References : Z, \3 l: y* E1 y/ y% G; l) Z[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight $ N! p6 S, L) i' xMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. ! B/ y" w/ p3 C k4 V( y2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.' L) I2 K# {! p @2 |: I" _
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php * k% I4 G! w* R! n2 t[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs ! M; S& G7 U$ P8 l' h6 LWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-* y. x v X3 I' c/ J7 y N8 r8 D
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html3 y" e. T4 c! W- [' w
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a ' x" a* [+ y8 J* nrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)6 ^) K0 T& o4 @; `. S }
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): ! x5 W- i, M. I5 d, d0 W6 L1983-87.8 } H! n6 x* _6 A3 ^) F0 O8 D
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust* |* B5 y$ T, O1 K* t# R
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):) Q" E5 Z5 f9 x$ H/ W( A
180-84.# X2 J+ j" W& M$ d- g4 Y6 U4 y
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?, w% P U8 M( j# T
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs' b9 B% r! E8 X6 @+ @" }
too-big-to-flfly/) d3 x; ~% @% I9 S
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology& d4 O( W: z% S3 B n
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. 0 i! x& ^* o* F, a y* n[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable+ w) {4 X3 m9 I7 X' d5 G2 m: O
air sacs in their wings. - @3 {0 A/ p2 \ xhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur ) B6 I; H+ K) n4 F9 O% zbreathing-air-sacs : ^/ B, t) r* X[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. : l5 U- s2 {0 {https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils ; s& K D1 _1 H' W6 T' }research-mark-witton # i1 b2 f( Y# K[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? }4 {4 [) c) k# G; jhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs & S0 L: i/ F; l6 r, ?' ^! Mvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ 5 a- c$ a0 s+ r9 i: t) l5 ]* N3 X$ W3 y) ]/ M' l; }, t; p5 i5 e
2022; n% d" ^6 O+ e, \
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling $ A* E3 g( b5 k6 c" h- bhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 3 Z6 m3 o9 Z3 I$ j" u' }& \Problem B (MCM) ; [/ W! K* A' v4 a3 C* e. {) H$ UThe Genetic Process of Sequences2 q1 u* l* @ h$ `1 o/ d' n
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein" R# n/ h6 l; W
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of% y5 N' w; R7 y5 C& X& }8 S v
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their9 Y* v# R+ D4 p
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong 0 k! S7 s1 H" {9 Zevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common. D* f) X# O7 t. r$ I) ]: [* B
ancestral sequence[2]. . P( n; }! H& i1 e* @" o2 C9 {Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu : s5 \- ^- D! |, t& c; \cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation / S8 A) Y6 ?) warise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and! a3 H* u8 e/ ~& O
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by + s- r0 t5 n+ P. z1 Athe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together 4 S$ c7 j9 E$ ucan form a family, and they are considered homologous.) |8 U' Q& G: m
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com . b0 I1 n, f( {5 S" a8 aplete the following problems.4 z: C0 V1 b7 ~& ]- `4 w
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between n) y; J5 Z2 l B( f( B! d
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.: t9 u# ^/ M( P" U
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and; W4 h5 h- c4 [7 X
design suitable examples to illustrate it.% f) u u0 |' ]2 H5 X6 @9 t* M
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an 7 ~0 e9 U/ }+ @' Scestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral $ v. G1 R5 ]+ G# r8 zsequence, and map the genealogical tree. 3 y1 a& Z9 h; |% M7 s3 P. LReferences 6 W8 G( z! S! ~6 _[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re / E! i4 F+ N* s6 Yview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. ! W) a& I2 U7 ~; E4 ]+ L[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,. ~' ?( H; ], L4 X
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and ' W: D3 F+ _/ O$ K9 D( ya way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.5 D9 O& w7 M! ?" u
3 P! T6 z/ f! h* d9 @: e
2022 0 G8 @ q# a; b7 @" N% X0 t1 tCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling - n3 p8 `/ p3 _4 m/ i; shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn 5 G j) Z; ?! A0 ?+ {/ ?Problem C (ICM) & n, F4 K( ~, N) pClassify Human Activities " ?$ l( T R ~" H6 vOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and+ n$ R5 L3 o8 F, F M8 ?0 q- }
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im 4 q3 z9 r- w/ Q( Z9 [prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor 2 q( b5 o2 \8 R6 X% U" ?ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ6 r$ A0 G: B4 X( g: n
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly o5 a# S* h1 k0 w$ ~remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],* V! Y7 O1 v; t7 h
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in # x* l% H/ v% q# J, Gschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,( }& ~% I( O" z
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain * P. n8 ]- h2 `ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial # z6 J1 L* x4 b# A3 R1 b: msensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify 1 o) I" r6 s) _& S0 D* E( u) ohuman activities, the following data were obtained., L6 F1 d6 }! F# I9 g$ s; _7 u
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, 2 q4 U9 B2 \9 ~& u; ibetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes - q, I7 H: P+ u" Q+ r! H Cfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ 7 X" s& D0 `& {9 T$ aities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be, m! L; [0 L# Q/ l1 }6 c$ I5 B
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and ( K8 _; E0 V' N, w/ Bamplitudes of some activities.8 }3 z5 m) v6 Z J8 n0 z
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.& ~& d2 Q$ S6 E
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal : v9 C4 f! X5 f& y$ c3 I- _segments are obtained for each activity. * _0 {) f, Z/ n8 l0 D& EThe 19 activities are: 3 F% W% z0 d( y+ l& m3 s1. Sitting (A1); * X: g$ d% p% Z5 \: ? S$ B2. Standing (A2); ` B, T n. }6 y) K
3. Lying on back (A3);1 K! W" K* O& `- f+ K0 M- `, E
4. Lying on right side (A4); 4 N$ u/ k, `# m+ u5. Ascending stairs (A5); 0 ^+ b8 O$ G' @* h16. Descending stairs (A6);$ `! K, }8 ? }7 z; K
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);# t# p" `- w# q5 m- f3 s
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); , t9 M! ]8 n# Y) x# R6 R; Q' |9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); q4 |6 x8 [( ^" x9 [* D10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg ) N1 U5 }% n2 e9 t U5 b: pinclined positions (A10); ; t6 d" W0 j/ v; ]3 I X7 c- H* ^11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions , a+ g' W1 o1 V N Z1 U" Q) x(A11); ) Y2 `- o! ^6 f1 F. h12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);" n+ v) Q% X4 {0 S# R
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);* t7 p! ^- ~8 n5 H
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); % C @: A: B! b& O+ Q15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); 8 X" m+ g1 I' @: g. v: M16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); & x/ [$ i, G/ b17. Rowing (A17); 7 }+ }0 t7 \" j2 R18. Jumping (A18);$ G- u l* I- _* o; E6 r
19. Playing basketball (A19). y" Y- k% j) w' [. i' }8 y
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 8 n$ d- H' G" x4 E: `+ z2 `the following problems.) A* y- K4 V9 @! t$ q
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify- c5 W* K6 F1 M5 J) |3 v
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. . X+ z4 o0 }* `0 s2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have% @* \8 p* n' o. u
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study$ I' a+ G4 U% i) g+ H4 B* {; e: T' I
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to( E2 O9 @6 {" @5 v- N# Z
evaluate the generalization ability of your model., x, @ J0 V2 t5 {8 T h" f) R
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-: T* E$ C$ H6 t" e( W
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action 5 U. \. t! a: }% r; g1 @classifification. 6 ] ~) {# N: G( O: ^The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:; O0 x8 x4 ~% r. ^1 ]0 [% O& @
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq6 s2 Y" W- U8 J+ H, F: j
2Appendix: File structure 5 x0 T# ~6 e' L7 [9 T• 19 activities (a), b$ x! h: z) c8 Q, v& @8 A0 l
• 8 subjects (p) 4 l b# @6 R- \) J% r( ~9 T: ^7 f• 60 segments (s)& T" E! H3 b( D9 o! Y, |6 S7 U
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left ! W! v9 _# P, w1 C9 C) r Bleg (LL), l7 h3 w) C H
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z4 L# V$ v6 ~ L) J' \
magnetometers) & A8 N; r. J( v2 g P; GFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.% N% _8 X( i; v4 L% l! ~% h$ R$ L
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the ( q+ G0 Q1 T0 t+ b' Q! b* b8 subjects.1 W) J+ `; n3 o" p
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each D& h) b) R$ Y a# b/ R1 [segment. 7 f1 `7 e8 ]. JIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 & L! ?$ h! V* K/ x9 o! R+ p! R# b3 hHz = 125 rows., Y2 A: u/ a9 e9 M' x
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the 8 M2 g. l3 \: s9 c# ysensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. # u8 E2 v2 d4 C6 h8 a" ^! PEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular ( ~+ _7 e: H% Q% R+ Z/ @; T, ~sampling instant separated by commas.7 O; \ Z7 e1 e q! O- W
Columns 1-45 correspond to: ) z( I q6 I* X0 q5 W4 R7 S' G• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, % u4 {2 C# l, |- Y• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,/ A9 X4 g/ X2 h9 f0 ]
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,( T* {, t% W1 O! q2 f
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, + K* H1 E5 c$ W5 e8 k, A8 y• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.6 Z; B8 j* c; w8 j2 D
Therefore, 3 Z% h* S3 |% p( M) P" v# w {, k• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), ' {- N& ?( K! x: z; @% Y• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 0 F2 z% _. b) {& I* Y7 Z) L• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), * V- V5 K. s. i1 G6 J3 x• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),2 m' ? k) a: V2 P) _
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). ! i( y9 g6 |3 ?1 m0 U6 `3References1 F6 T" d3 h) y& _4 A/ j0 \
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic - w6 S9 n/ L& K$ P$ m/ m4 Y( Odaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.- T7 s9 V7 T) E: O) s2 K1 ?; O
42(5), 679-687, 2004, S J& Q3 O. e2 b
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of/ ?4 D u8 w7 F+ u( h" P3 i5 E* w
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. / Y4 i8 N7 U& k" u8 f0 o3 nGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20086 Z9 A* p. K9 A* m+ Y
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag - E7 K3 ]. L3 ^" f" j0 Snosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. Y% X2 r% b& I, R7 S |B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 + H9 C5 S: |+ V7 h[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con $ s8 Q% i/ n; ]0 A) ^7 \! Qtrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 4 F( k4 M0 o" Z! C( A9 G* D. L. I+ ?4 C
20228 L! r! e7 B1 s/ b [6 _/ C$ E
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling9 [% H! q4 }6 t5 |' C, t3 ]
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 8 } c. a% |0 Q: z9 I4 MProblem D (ICM) 7 M* ]3 g }0 o6 H/ m% R: {- x sWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long & n% \3 Y& c7 M7 t, H0 [' Y _* G: wTime ( t+ C Y+ f; |, W7 c3 u7 xWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the : _% z2 J/ [% B2 u' @2 [- q2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source5 [1 s A( p' u1 W( N1 A
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently / y* X# @( k- z1 r4 l, Ktightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,1 m" l: S2 n5 p A2 _
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some ' @# P8 }- g- Z* x% v. Q0 E: Jscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak6 X& u# e6 _/ r: Z: B. E
ends. 2 L* L M. R. I: ~How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? * B. F$ G/ G! [5 x3 ^- ySome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas s8 a& ?- m, L& y' c0 R% h
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo9 T1 t: a9 o" V& t" A8 } R4 W
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 9 L! ^1 F3 b' I3 |/ S* n. _$ Y3 _2 scost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil/ c& J. z; y7 @* W
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of3 T2 q4 K2 M" J
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. 8 P% z& d1 U( cA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology ( `. I# u& }- E8 D& p2 P; Sin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their " u$ y! ~8 T1 I4 d. ^smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have ! r" X% h! E: r5 m1 gidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with 5 L) D4 z6 j: k; S4 hall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing 7 | d2 P/ ]& W: L1 V( l( Oalmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen % ^# R: r K3 m- vfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 ! T7 S4 l& ^' E$ X( x+ U+ D3 ENovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 7 {) O# i6 _4 I7 h- R: v7 i( hYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in / _% w, |5 E5 A! z" _: fGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 7 q# Y6 P' v+ s0 d3 I' a+ I- F; \trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature ! j) _5 |' ?5 U- D+ N* T: v! n( Awhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact+ X: |, _4 v+ N- j' V/ B
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients, s& C( B( B: J+ U: v
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.0 ~3 i1 n7 i- ~
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: & H2 B; ~# T5 ~9 `1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS - v; D1 P% e* H7 k3 U9 P3 noutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL! W) l3 X$ v' r3 L7 i+ @' X$ b4 m
• Decline and extinction of populations, c/ }- X: A; c! G
• Introduction of invasive species6 ~+ p: S1 F5 f, S' h
• Spread of new diseases to humans$ }) y5 P: F3 r; _1 [+ s0 l
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database # _: B0 t- X; U0 rcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The; c$ k- g- V2 r
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete }% D6 G- b& T) z2 l
database can also be obtained through the following link:8 R; F6 n+ ]% z8 G% U5 T5 V
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ # ]( M* a: @7 S: f f* U* u/ IRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod # S2 V$ R1 |: Uels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 0 x) M1 t( i) t, U1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live0 p2 D0 F* |' `6 }2 T& N
animals taken from the wild)?# ]3 k( b5 T% H) L4 b5 S; C
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?5 F; x$ @5 T( Y5 Y7 M( r
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?: C- G, h. L* T: c+ r- q
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major + Q* h! }6 p- F5 Kinfectious diseases?2 j* N4 X C. n
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it * f& b2 o3 `) M9 R3 p7 hwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? . W) I# H) \( Y6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain$ _# I; g' i3 S2 a. b
your views and policy suggestions.9 s- b# G- b0 b' C) i8 C# V4 {
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