2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 - ?" @, }* E; V k( V! s5 \" nhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx/ U* f& @: p2 U2 v
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20222 \& v6 J6 @1 y4 z. g! P
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ) x+ P- C. v# C) l. Yhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn # S4 W5 \! a7 ?Problem A (MCM) 4 E9 Y7 n3 e2 s" D- @; tHow Pterosaurs Fly- [! a m: y$ M- t/ A2 I2 G8 k
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They- `& f k6 Q$ n% k9 e
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of ^2 y& e) J4 h7 ^
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved7 ?# D. C1 P+ m- G. v+ T( U: ~
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and ! v+ r g( {7 r; f% W* aother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth$ T# h7 A `- d( _" k2 s# @ X
fifinger[1].1 u) z6 w9 O4 J' A+ j6 i
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller. r6 z' G8 x/ o$ Z4 N
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem+ o, b f( |' F
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they * }5 T5 R9 |# G' ?would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and8 h. N4 G: E: Y
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived 6 C$ l7 K9 K; `* N/ i' `1 @in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.$ p' F- t, J3 N
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. ~ c# i' P/ X$ _Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, - a% |; K/ ~) P L0 P1 J+ land long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on ; l* w4 f- Z0 I) s- Hall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and6 P( s& j6 h+ m, a- D( \: H5 Z& v
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil% b2 l7 I, F+ y$ g& S% G
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].$ J( ]3 }6 k- j, J! T' @' }
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which+ n( _- l1 o! o* E
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have # c v% \, J$ H$ yhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug % m/ K$ u, _6 s: Jgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de & D, ?& Z1 k4 A6 C, h, Eriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning. j# \/ G9 S. P
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded & X/ h+ g0 A/ k+ k(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec % h; S' p' S9 U5 ]9 z3 Ptional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones! E# e# H5 m* `+ C
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from, m& s" p$ @; d0 [. R( W; ~8 m% R' u3 G
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including# H4 O* W" o2 l$ x
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least 5 i: T/ _; b- Xnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong( n0 m9 G3 S8 I) ]1 l/ G
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. 1 r, F* h' s$ U, W+ x6 oThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled1 r9 x; \ l5 O5 X' l( R
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded + L& s. {! G9 S! U: Athat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, ( U' v( J% t! F( F$ b$ f9 Y7 HLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able0 g8 \' |7 a. ~8 Q: |$ q8 G. [
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. ( q. N/ Z( D, R# ^ ~) zHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology1 d. _& W/ t2 q9 D7 B1 @0 ^* O4 ]8 t
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs, a3 O* `" [4 F5 j+ h9 A1 T, v
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,8 T& P4 H, K' ?' ]! h# O) w; J
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that * j6 x1 n9 [- E: s7 N8 patmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed3 |. S# L# f6 O. |- q$ j9 j) b
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]., y, g7 D$ R7 v; L* ~
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. 2 F9 N2 M2 E, z- i4 W8 f7 y% GIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones ; T) a0 o3 I3 c6 Uof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage , b' Q' _( H y. ga bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for N" C8 N) v! E2 _2 G& l9 c
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 0 }. A4 D# }$ w* `. v8 J6 ~and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as ) ~9 [8 [) P5 z+ e; E; C( _6 Tquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of $ H. h! H4 b; R8 \! XJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism # E, v- w8 n/ y7 g0 u$ oto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would+ r# y. L, `; d% E0 v
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds : U7 X4 ?2 i8 T; U3 \- {of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].' T1 W" h( D: R7 u# ~* Q% o6 B1 j) C8 `
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the7 @% D, G) P' L$ [
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and : i' ^8 S( q! c1 J0 Jto answer the following questions.: j" {, z; y0 a6 O( J: _5 z' K* B2 c
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor , N; I6 G6 D# K7 Hmal flflight. % m: d K. _! c8 {2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during/ `: q, s- u" K+ @9 T
normal flflight. ! ~; g" m6 l9 [2 O( N3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like % D0 L7 S; C* }7 W8 A* y1 r( Sbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. 4 M3 q8 B4 G0 B: G1 c6 VReferences 6 {! P& z5 j" b5 M[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight2 Z6 B' J1 e" N" H0 T+ A
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.# q/ N0 Z2 N+ ^, w' R
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion." b5 z# a5 b, N
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php0 r) r9 h; A* ]% {3 B/ X4 r! i
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs* F8 @+ d* `2 J. T7 S" ~
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-6 v. @, h0 u( l6 V, f( ?$ x
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html 2 ^: @# f- D% r/ X% r6 D! O[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a 5 u! d% z0 x; p" arare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)5 E$ h* E) c) b; I1 L/ ~+ @) E
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): . E/ G, x2 h, K }. r% z, ] Q1983-87. 1 T/ T# D! S7 Y- u6 z[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust7 ^1 a; |$ ^+ W* @& O0 W- l
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 6 y& _( L- |9 [0 z1 o180-84.9 K4 |& ^8 M6 Y+ a: I- d! K$ E
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?* i+ {! ?# z3 m0 R0 f
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs , y& v X2 q; Z/ A- n& B1 stoo-big-to-flfly/8 \* W. l' a: i6 F# s; l5 Q3 i
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology ! r4 q8 ]# P4 ^$ x/ Xof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. ! B* b7 e+ v; W) D8 n9 Y[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable" }/ P) h* t9 V8 {/ H6 U7 e( _
air sacs in their wings.% n/ a I7 F% k) Q: g& ~
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur1 U* n) }% k3 Q3 [
breathing-air-sacs 9 S; i7 h2 a N- W0 p8 T[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.! R3 x( ~- d* Z
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils 3 V7 q5 s, f3 k+ D/ a2 ?research-mark-witton 3 w2 Q) t# v- [; k5 ]- S3 P[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?+ h, z, e& |1 b" M* x
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs, L, F/ a& f/ \( `
vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/) H) z6 |8 T t4 p/ I
- i# U& k7 ^! t# E! m
2022 9 e5 ^) I, r$ F5 ]# |Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling* I+ H/ J( w: w; m
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn i# X6 I. e; y; r7 n' n$ U
Problem B (MCM) 1 c+ P$ p( y3 R- B, mThe Genetic Process of Sequences" n3 X+ U, G0 w1 X7 J* K; p. _
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein ; K0 z7 I' E% f! lsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of' C5 M8 J# p! ^+ W/ `( n7 M2 W
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their' [( M6 B( n! L& e- ?1 o4 g
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong- m: K7 R: E% S' ?. L& g+ v5 i
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common / [/ K+ e$ K8 F( x9 k& gancestral sequence[2]. " ?" [& r S: [( t" f: X4 iConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu. A" O4 Y Z: n6 U
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation! w& b+ ~- a2 a
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and u1 K3 x6 v9 _% l |, N) H* odeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by* ^* ~5 b* g1 p, P1 e) T1 a
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together) R3 ~9 C( O) J$ i% b
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. 1 M$ S f; U7 L, z6 U' z1 [Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 2 T$ m: e5 K' R$ j+ R) U2 }plete the following problems.0 b6 }6 B# S# T; F5 ?( o# C' u4 T
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between& d2 k8 G& {6 e. ]/ q2 q9 l: c
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.' B. D* q/ U& ~. I- \8 G/ E N
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and& R7 `4 p+ @ J- N. \7 x$ E
design suitable examples to illustrate it.6 |: |5 Y3 O5 p* w& W6 I+ ~. p/ G l' E
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an 0 Q& f6 r$ B) o3 T7 h f6 W Fcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral" C6 |% _8 v7 I8 R% |" a
sequence, and map the genealogical tree. # k% n+ u; b; |; R( R# {, k+ q6 SReferences + l; f3 v4 I7 M# P% e% f9 Y[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re ; }- M) ~! _( n' @( G a' c" I+ F4 Qview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.$ t5 l9 Z) B0 Q: P1 [& Z
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 1 g; N( F6 y# [3 r1 S# t$ ~; }( U4 bet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and 6 r5 I6 M0 d! Ea way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. " H: V+ U/ M' i9 v$ G. M% G- D) |9 Y& y# ~* B2 r
2022: K% M" l3 O; E+ n
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling # D0 I7 \+ X8 o( H Zhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn ' l+ d) D) l6 R9 S! v/ j2 K1 X, JProblem C (ICM) ! A h' e, c" ^/ WClassify Human Activities" {$ r- ]8 ^$ M# r( m& e
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and2 D# r% F7 G* `, [; u, X! X
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im! J& G1 P( T! l. v9 x
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor& F% P {, c: E1 U: a# J& j6 g6 O
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ/ n( ~, Q) U7 M" M# h- N
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly / d3 {# D" ~: s$ d `remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],) D1 t. n- q' L- p$ k/ W$ r
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in# t) c E! P) l f- {/ M! ]
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, 5 n8 k% n6 C; r" Vsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain4 q/ u0 I- T2 K o4 y/ O7 q b
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial ; y; t4 i6 [ @7 L% V) _sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify 4 X# w; `& k, o. Y1 Ehuman activities, the following data were obtained.9 g, I; K' ^+ u
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,% {4 Z' ^) I) M0 m1 b/ F# o
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 4 O; h1 y0 g$ j# c& j2 f+ I3 Z2 hfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ. T( ]3 ?" z6 }5 j" U9 x! n
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be + w& k0 ?2 n3 P2 wperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and: `" X2 } |$ O
amplitudes of some activities. d3 _, ?9 } m1 [! g/ ]. TSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. . G8 y8 V1 B2 wThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal- N- P" @4 `; u$ e% I) ]! [
segments are obtained for each activity. * u& A- f% @: n# u8 Z) CThe 19 activities are:1 `+ r5 X2 z2 E) @% ]& ~
1. Sitting (A1); , K7 A. F5 m1 r2 n* N8 ?2. Standing (A2);4 |* ~5 q6 v2 q2 U* k8 g6 P
3. Lying on back (A3); 1 r. T# A6 s) E- C1 g2 x: L- [ n Y! p4. Lying on right side (A4);: L9 v G! f+ ?; p9 ?" V* i8 r
5. Ascending stairs (A5); 0 P1 M# \5 D$ F& e* @0 @+ b7 j. Y9 I16. Descending stairs (A6); + |; C( M8 H, l7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);% m; |. i; `7 d! d
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); : m0 ?. k8 ^" m- L( J9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);! T/ H# z# M# O4 m( o& _# `7 E
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg 9 j3 O4 x2 M0 ]+ l& h* @/ y* finclined positions (A10);6 o& Y, R l2 d7 n" i
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions! v5 o, [$ e* x! x R/ C
(A11);' R8 c# N' M, ^. c- q
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);" w, d! v# x7 p. s+ \
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); / O' X1 k) A$ b5 u5 L! H' T2 V14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);7 T9 V3 q/ r( o3 w7 H6 n6 W! t
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); Z9 N- v6 s! N) \2 p16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);" e; c% y) p( L/ w
17. Rowing (A17);6 o r- n/ i8 f8 l& Y5 ^
18. Jumping (A18); / B) R e) k( w' j19. Playing basketball (A19). @8 l3 j9 U0 J( ~ FYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve9 O4 U" U, a! h% e; W* \
the following problems. 4 y `- b* ~' I1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify : G( o/ t* y9 n0 C. Hthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. 2 C% }% `$ ?; F" K$ ]4 _) M- V2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have" `/ Q/ h( O# ^. Y5 b0 h
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study: m& H z1 `2 E# _- R
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to . T: U. d' h; nevaluate the generalization ability of your model. 2 p: S( B/ Z% }, _& E9 q& x. s3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- & V4 J% K, l7 L/ w$ b8 ~, _2 q% wcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action ( j' T2 W# z- g, W( Bclassifification. + w7 T {) b/ E! L8 wThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:+ y, Q$ L. L8 j6 b* \3 `" S4 d
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq " _0 _( ]) `, S; i. K) Q$ X2Appendix: File structure- B9 s0 E1 _5 K- Q7 |
• 19 activities (a) , z& ^5 C) ]4 T9 O& _8 B• 8 subjects (p) : B9 I! H2 X+ Y& x/ Y# Z• 60 segments (s) $ x* ?' K( N3 j$ A: o: F8 O; R• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left6 O% X4 i: ^' H
leg (LL) 8 z8 c' l5 ]" H# y! l( d; k. w1 L• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z) G$ m! @8 ~) J5 R' }: V; o% U
magnetometers) ! y6 p/ Y7 m4 K; L7 J& f% E2 D& mFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.5 `2 c1 k; l* B8 U; n9 B* t
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 0 w$ I+ }0 Y# n7 a: M5 ^8 subjects.7 I: W$ Z6 k+ D1 [
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each1 C C3 t+ [2 [- N- g1 q% g
segment.+ o; N; X% F' f
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 - Q4 k0 F# @; D7 G6 z3 qHz = 125 rows. w0 q! [ ^+ G( fEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the) v1 Y5 `6 o: i
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. - g/ [/ p u5 {5 O1 gEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular% T# Y6 Q3 {/ i$ K1 K$ x, x
sampling instant separated by commas. + G) p. u }# X( N8 g: H( `7 W6 mColumns 1-45 correspond to:) L; F9 _/ T$ H. M I6 g% c: A
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, 4 j7 m0 a( }" m! u• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,* p5 v+ n3 M2 ?8 y- \8 D
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,5 J3 e9 F7 |% Z' Y' j
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,3 E" M! {0 k) I. h0 C- E
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.: R" o2 s. T8 A. p
Therefore, - d* i4 {7 ^6 r3 k% n" }• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),% `9 b9 [& w9 S: G
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), ; p( w' ~7 a& e# t! }7 H T• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),# `' _+ J, p. z1 j ^2 f
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), d# a9 h/ n* {/ D: N# z: C0 Z• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 7 J$ y, N, ^& v6 d$ c* F; J/ D3References: [5 ~! I( T: u2 U. K
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic ) h: R0 G4 f5 c2 Y8 P0 f0 sdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. 8 V" t3 V8 T5 _$ q9 c3 o1 L. V, o. m42(5), 679-687, 20040 V0 c( [6 {0 w9 W6 ~' K+ m. |
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of" b! W4 t; T2 z! b W4 q; d3 t, p$ P
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. 8 `- Z5 X, y% KGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 ! r+ K- U2 w; z* d[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag2 M% ~. ^/ T* R* J3 L$ _( O
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. {1 o( L# ]; g7 |; J, WB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 # V3 Z1 i+ k% {[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con 2 x4 l; s Y/ z2 Q' b8 ztrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20081 t" D; j8 O# X9 B6 a/ o3 D
- g; c, B- N% d+ M$ v4 K2022- A/ V5 M: f( Y
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling2 k- w5 y: |/ h0 S
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn ' W: _; v) L' k8 eProblem D (ICM)0 Y5 i- K% ]2 L z
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long3 I6 s N3 q3 }2 e' b/ h
Time 8 A! v, l& ]% u+ ?0 `! j6 KWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the . {8 \$ r! t" a# t6 M/ N2 W2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source; y" [1 I1 Y. t4 V& P7 B" @
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently # W4 N6 p& t& e1 Ltightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, + M6 i- v" \ M. e' F }" A9 Twhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some + r4 F% J# k' d' K1 q8 rscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 2 Q( J0 R/ o1 Y) P$ p& V$ s! Lends.! ^9 H5 Z9 M7 n- m3 f
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?* X! U, m, m+ W3 z0 d
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas" |/ o; u' ~- o+ b3 u
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo4 X. {) y9 l9 a7 d0 R4 @, }$ Y
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could( |4 E$ e L. d! ]1 J, j0 a
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 9 |) b3 i/ P( Z: t' ]lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of y8 _7 o3 s- W0 S! c- ]( O
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. , T x- S" h" v3 {* \7 IA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology ! Y. [. E2 U- ?6 V! X$ H" Pin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their0 F- C& W. ^# {9 H. _" K
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have * \* q8 }2 ?+ B- g/ w2 B6 A. Eidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with( |# }6 ^& W% A! a$ ~2 }
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing * \$ z6 d7 C a. E% T4 `4 jalmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen # n/ S3 G+ }1 j% x5 rfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 304 N' |" u2 V4 s$ A9 W4 v% I- C
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 8 j" M3 u' B3 Q# s, ZYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in4 c5 Z: }7 q* e
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife# P3 i( E- }* t' J
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature! ?. F! l3 w$ w/ n0 x9 {1 Q& y
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact( j" L* e8 ~0 V+ A _) r
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients" F9 q) g: i! r4 E5 F. K
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again./ U' E/ X# a$ s( t
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:* i" S8 q( [ ?" G% Q5 I. }6 X
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS% U, t4 y# m( i
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL & U- B' ^8 M2 t% l, c" b1 J• Decline and extinction of populations& [# x/ F% x! M% {
• Introduction of invasive species ( f/ p9 u. R! S• Spread of new diseases to humans$ y1 L1 E9 g, y% k
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database# e6 I3 o3 ^# k0 a
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The 8 p% y4 i9 H* C; h2 Xappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete8 b( P8 K6 T1 S* s# l: J( s
database can also be obtained through the following link: B6 e- O( p: i! Y" M1 nhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ 7 } x. ~- i$ o! S# i2 \Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod# p$ v7 T* Z2 P- n
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:' U6 b3 B' V5 B) m
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live; q& L; D O n0 b5 K
animals taken from the wild)?' k3 t. T# |5 k! v0 ?& ]
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? 2 E) J: a5 E( k& ~3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? & P7 l, I4 ?( S0 I- c4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major & u4 H, C; F/ w/ m5 Iinfectious diseases?( K1 T- Y2 E# g* I& W0 @
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it # e$ F9 S+ B7 E* B! |will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?/ G$ o# k x( j- G- S
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain + ~1 H4 l( E2 y% F/ B& @) xyour views and policy suggestions.' f0 r, k$ c4 i) _! f, o+ E% q
9 I: {. u2 `0 t7 m
# i W* u' {& I$ w/ x( [