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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |正序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 ( Z: B& a9 W+ |. b" k- S$ z
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx
    ; z2 U9 Y0 G0 [7 R
    ! f% Z# x( D0 o  ~) _2022; g$ i3 m% C" o) w
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling2 g% T2 t7 t5 ]7 }
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn# c+ z+ N0 Q, N& t$ b) U/ A& c
    Problem A (MCM)0 `2 `% O3 Y; j3 I/ T
    How Pterosaurs Fly
    : }$ \/ j- \% L, l$ rPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They
      w; Y$ c; O5 t# d' k9 ~8 Nexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of
    ' y5 B+ S3 r3 x( \& zthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved
    # \5 I' M) N) Z6 ^& W& F/ H$ vpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and
    $ x7 w  ]% k: b, x0 O0 L, s! ~; pother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth
    ) ^+ M% l" e' w% p' y7 Efifinger[1].
    & Q: y6 c* @" w6 d! s" nThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller
    " D# v8 t6 @) h- N2 k' E- Nanimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem2 K- G4 }! _1 p# b$ m
    branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they! ]! s$ h' e8 y$ k5 P3 q1 ~
    would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and
    9 z( X( S2 q" g% ~$ z" Vstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived
    ! s$ n; }7 F% \$ L5 u$ \' }9 }in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.
    & W& _7 [. ?  ~% N- c; r: xLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.
    0 q1 E' Y& N  OPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,
    9 h& |# v2 g6 P! B) k+ R* Aand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on
    : u$ {. e9 i: {( ~all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and! C% J( C4 F5 q
    folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil& t& C" M9 F5 o4 v6 X, k! @
    trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].
    ' X: |5 W* [# a* I# F3 O* Z" mPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which
    1 q+ }6 C5 ~/ s* Xcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have& U8 V0 R8 {# |! `, a9 c* {8 d
    had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug$ O$ C) {; \+ }' y% D* E+ q
    gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de
    9 ^2 Y8 o; n& R, b6 V: Vriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning
    1 f' E  i( P( `; L& \; Hcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded* f0 B, ^% v3 Y: [" V6 w
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec- R( Z, u4 ?# |
    tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones* f* I8 S1 Y: s) v! `1 Q
    to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from
    : R8 n" L& S; y6 y) r6 l/ Nthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including
    + S0 k- c/ @. j- s! ^% v8 zQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least
    4 a: U6 E/ g4 J1 C! s1 tnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong
    % n- |/ S* N8 ?: s5 M1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.
    . l2 w' D  D9 {5 l6 wThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled9 J1 [: @7 R' h% `2 O1 ~
    at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded
    3 Q! \1 c6 N  u% Z: Y' Lthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,
    2 V" P5 `" ^% a: X  L. c$ d$ WLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able9 |4 E7 ~0 O5 d1 N
    to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]./ p6 T, n* e+ {3 Y# o! F+ p  u
    However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology2 [, V: {" b# F
    of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs
    3 ~" _6 o4 y' W3 v# Q+ I8 G% W. }# Jbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,
    * P9 t3 X+ S* G2 x: |+ |) vsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that, w# z- e& ~# M5 \
    atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed% c2 M0 L) F& o2 |' C
    for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].- a! j8 o; ~/ X! W
    Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff./ e4 k$ w/ G* X4 A% Z
    If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones( b) F6 G! m- H5 {/ {
    of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage( L* Z6 t- Y  m
    a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for2 W* }( z1 C* g0 _" V
    getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded$ A6 i2 t6 b! w6 k! S1 I) i' ~
    and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as4 C3 F6 R* }$ w: _* |( O- N% ^
    quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of, t- D9 s  \* X! _$ F" _
    Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism
    9 \& P; J, {# V: B" Y% N) oto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would; A1 }7 G" s7 m0 L4 }5 e  y
    enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds
    : H1 s8 I# G+ W$ fof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].
    0 @3 N; I  i% G- A* L2 wYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the
    / [, e6 ^$ E2 l& I2 Q* rflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and9 v( H3 ?4 V6 d+ E  @
    to answer the following questions.+ b  ~6 H8 j; }! b9 H
    1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor
    , u" T8 z, a' A2 z1 `' I- ]mal flflight.
    ) O' o, H* Y' ?4 H6 a2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during
    ; E- x0 F/ [, Y8 Bnormal flflight.
    " g, C* A& q, x2 [8 t$ Z3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like
      u9 _: Y# ~( g. G/ z+ [2 x4 d1 g, Mbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.
    ! m/ b- f' [$ qReferences
    ) \& ~) V8 O+ L[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight1 }2 K: y" u6 h  l+ L2 r0 N
    Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.
      A- D8 \4 W% X  i* i0 H2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.4 Y, E$ q: a1 ?* O! N
    https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php& B' e6 z" \% D
    [3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs
    $ `; k, I2 d/ F4 e+ DWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-# z5 w- e( I& t- ]" L) O$ U
    pterosaurs-had-feathers.html
    * j, r/ X7 }$ u: t0 G[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a# ]/ ^2 k* c( b7 t# z) S; O. I
    rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)5 f) c9 h8 G+ j) C1 \+ k
    from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):
    / M  O) ^0 V: r! N1 ]9 E3 O1983-87.# q; P0 i1 S! i! M
    [5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust2 @$ S6 F% j" }1 i+ y0 U, b
    skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):# D3 l0 x, u1 A* x  l9 q# {
    180-84.5 ~9 m; N0 r& b! m
    [6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?/ p5 V# z% m) e, U* g4 u& w
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs1 L( d7 ^" Q3 i. Y: M8 `
    too-big-to-flfly/
    / f+ O' Q. C# i/ T! q[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology
    + I" K/ Q6 g. S; o, _, uof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.4 K2 B! q* M1 d2 B( Y( h% c
    [8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable
    ) q% q- Y+ b2 R9 xair sacs in their wings.
    ! B8 B3 E/ Z4 T& e. ^https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur
    . U9 J! N& ]& c- r5 ]$ u* ibreathing-air-sacs
    ! e5 t- ~" j; _! _! T6 O[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.5 {$ t, }8 U# v: ?8 W. J! B8 I8 {
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils8 x$ ~1 I6 B, w6 a; G& H, f
    research-mark-witton
    7 v) ?9 w% w+ @# B8 ^1 P% ~' X* I* ^[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?7 v. A5 I9 D: |# D0 ^5 v
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs" |5 [- m0 m5 R+ v8 d
    vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/) D7 l( d) }' |
    . V2 d. {/ {; m$ m: t
    2022
    5 D& ^! w5 R8 ]9 b  RCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    * V& e* l7 W% g( Bhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
      i& c. ]3 v3 N2 mProblem B (MCM)- \. A  P0 j' f
    The Genetic Process of Sequences4 P  r" l9 b7 D/ M, q( Q" f
    Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein. u" K+ ~$ m. {- _
    sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of1 l( C8 O# r7 a! {9 b% X& D
    life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their
    . I2 f! \4 D7 r- F% W' knucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong
    7 a0 S+ v) Z9 [# K. levidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common' G0 t$ K/ i5 g: p. D" j
    ancestral sequence[2].& A$ Z6 Q% a8 Z+ w. T; v
    Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu0 L, ^/ ~: Y* x" {1 g
    cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation
    1 \, Q% ]6 D' k/ f) ~$ ^arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and+ |$ c# `3 Y' h, Z- b
    deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by, `- D. p# R/ K* L
    the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together
    . [! Q1 \# S; d1 o, ^' Pcan form a family, and they are considered homologous.
    3 v9 z! b/ u; L1 f  c' n' j! ?Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com# B8 E. E  x9 w9 {& {' Y8 Y
    plete the following problems./ k  H1 Z8 m. ^" V+ G6 B
    1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between7 P/ H$ S# K+ W% l' E! A
    two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.* L* l; e. f; u
    2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and" H7 {+ `& r) g! e$ K  B. T
    design suitable examples to illustrate it.
    0 m0 h1 E/ i& g! _3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an
    / ?) a+ b6 w+ T% o) ccestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral
    ' l( k4 l( V. u$ ^sequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    * \& [1 h* r8 F+ t& B9 D/ m3 sReferences6 ~; \! Q, P! P  g5 {( |( N/ D
    [1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re
    9 M# S8 N% v) f; w% [+ L) Lview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.
    ' s! @; C9 G4 b$ i! o3 J) H6 n( q[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,1 t9 d$ _. D, h5 Q& x1 r, i/ ?$ k
    et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and9 e- u: ~: Z7 N% G; l
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.
    ; G: v  J( Q& d8 Y% S' R8 ~3 E  W' u7 w1 l
    2022
    4 `; ?5 k" \( m7 t  v, nCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling3 T. }0 d  f2 g
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    4 l3 K" g/ _7 S7 z. w# d/ aProblem C (ICM)+ `8 ~, m; z" x. t( W3 V
    Classify Human Activities5 R2 U" O) r; F9 q
    One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and
    5 |9 H" m9 r2 l2 H( Q8 dmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im
    , l9 q) h: h5 L) L7 dprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor
    3 i+ f5 e  }" P5 l, N( ]! t* Ring, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ
    0 L9 F& i0 q' X4 k- ^4 v4 E! {ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly
    : k+ G9 r4 w) k. s  \% @7 a0 premotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],) r8 K: b, i5 }' F) M
    medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in
    $ T, L/ K' U4 Eschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,
    7 z4 b) `2 [$ h2 v- P: Jsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain0 g+ R" R5 f1 m2 p. u
    ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial6 \- @) c& v( |! L' c2 O! l1 N
    sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify8 M  F& W& P2 U+ ?. C: v
    human activities, the following data were obtained.2 b" f& Y+ }2 K) o* s; q5 a8 q
    Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,- O; `  z- ]# ?( ?" |& s7 u
    between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes6 F9 M$ v7 v6 j6 V
    for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ
    ( W: H' ?8 C; \5 Jities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be6 Y+ H, u0 `9 L; h. O
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and# p5 [0 j; B. Q+ x
    amplitudes of some activities.$ P7 c! Z- k# {
    Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.
    3 y& m* O; w, \The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal  }9 v: R; X* ~( |! o7 u+ \: I
    segments are obtained for each activity.
    - ?: @4 @: `4 l3 s( F. TThe 19 activities are:
    ! p& V4 S5 Q, l& v* P! V& h1. Sitting (A1);$ P4 d! I1 P' Z9 I# X+ m% h; M
    2. Standing (A2);
    3 k3 [1 B5 J! P& }/ q3. Lying on back (A3);8 X9 ?6 |! e7 ~4 G; j* \; e4 R" L
    4. Lying on right side (A4);
    + c! z- ^6 Z# r  i, A0 |  }# d5. Ascending stairs (A5);
    4 d4 l. \3 ]% x8 D& O16. Descending stairs (A6);2 W6 t$ D4 R& X$ ^# Y/ r$ c
    7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);( O* T6 N9 F; f8 H4 _' ^
    8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);' a2 f3 n+ I; p- c* e! N
    9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);
    ! X  V9 X7 h% D; G/ G& v9 J' U10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg
    : m" L$ B* f- [3 @' Sinclined positions (A10);
    , e" B; b6 j2 |* `; C" t11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions
    ) s0 O) J, b- ?4 `# X  b; s# H(A11);
    # n3 i- M3 y3 I. F, U( s* N/ c12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);
    $ a6 w6 @3 g5 ]  w, Y13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);
    7 u* v2 M, O6 q2 F1 \3 Q# z14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);
    8 C0 B( E6 S& K; i% O+ {0 y7 i15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);
    ! N. w; G' ?3 ^) D8 [16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);; O' G  G" ~6 V4 j' K
    17. Rowing (A17);
    ! W' W, P  b) R7 W# {4 {- p18. Jumping (A18);+ E7 Y* @& l' j: ^
    19. Playing basketball (A19).
    / ?8 z/ G! X8 T+ D% H9 CYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve7 V$ J" x6 H5 f1 J9 Y2 N0 @
    the following problems.: U/ Z( U1 Q" v' w' \
    1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify$ Y6 m! A6 h/ _4 l( H" Q/ e
    the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.4 n9 a4 Z! B! A) H* N4 Q6 A
    2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have* s) f- G$ r; C5 A. H* Q5 ?. @$ h' Q5 H
    a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study
    9 h% x! A, K! A3 l2 x5 Yand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to: k0 R3 a8 K1 l3 B) |
    evaluate the generalization ability of your model.
    * N$ W/ ~8 y* I4 W8 X3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-
    ! r1 I. N" {- Scation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    ! c0 c7 w4 y0 m6 A1 Uclassifification., l# p+ ]0 E* V) [/ J% |
    The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:) v) G$ u/ @* C& D! @5 ?) V: [' i  q) a
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq
    , H* n) [+ m- e: E' M. X2Appendix: File structure
    ; l, S" ~8 I0 g5 N% N( U) e$ p6 d• 19 activities (a)  \. q; u5 R5 {5 M/ u8 m& l
    • 8 subjects (p)% f  m* m" `$ n* S% a) }& n1 O6 K
    • 60 segments (s)% _1 h* z! P! N
    • 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left# j/ u+ H7 u% d
    leg (LL)
    # h4 F/ W! j& ?  g  f• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z
    ( H6 f* B, S! Lmagnetometers)
      X+ Z8 o0 J: Z/ p, d: I5 ?Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.
    $ D- e& h9 u' yFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the$ E4 b+ T/ n7 ]. H# P( ?$ b, n
    8 subjects.
    # w5 y/ n- i2 b! hIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each0 g* Y4 @: ^8 z) r( f( ?
    segment., L2 S2 D5 X4 X; P2 b. T
    In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 257 n" P# `: j3 U# y" |
    Hz = 125 rows.4 G4 S5 E' l8 X( z9 V
    Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the
    ( \! _% _: k0 t! V( Nsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.5 n4 h6 f+ B' \9 X' y" {% n' b
    Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular& W0 h+ I: b- @% q$ _0 h+ c* V
    sampling instant separated by commas.! u0 C( d  e( ]! v8 z' ?1 B
    Columns 1-45 correspond to:
    . w% s9 X/ [( y' D• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,. V, @( m7 E$ }. L
    • RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,
    ( Y/ {# E7 w$ p+ c- _7 `$ ?• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag," ~$ B1 r* a* V+ ^: W
    • RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,
    & E' J5 ]0 m% ]3 Z2 f• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.
    . p0 R6 A3 ~3 F& y; D; w3 _  }Therefore,
    : I, `" _0 N. c0 C+ B( q; V• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),' w2 A) O! T# a, Q; y* Q" C4 R
    • columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),
    6 s  a2 I9 P+ E0 n9 U; G, r• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),
    ) j' }( v+ I7 e# h• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),
    1 R8 K- v- A! x  _• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).1 h9 T" F3 v3 l: E3 b
    3References* I% \8 I( a: G) e* E- Y1 c# k
    [1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic
    ! {! Q+ N7 L9 q5 A2 Zdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.- ^" Q, b1 c; E
    42(5), 679-687, 20042 ]' \/ @8 R% K1 m* e1 |
    [2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of' T1 Z7 h5 }0 H; P
    low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.  C, ]: p  H1 U8 a2 U) `
    Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008
      ]  e8 q, R: {# N* }6 }7 v[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag3 Q" |- J( w$ B% y% I2 B# s$ v
    nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.
    7 V% z8 E. i- W) cB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007
    % J# t* a' E9 }4 C0 ]3 w[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con
    ( y* A6 R0 p8 u0 H5 Ltrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008
    7 H$ y& Z/ H/ b, W. u
    ; o8 h8 ~. c8 c% h2022
    , ^, ?9 m9 f$ I2 PCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    " ?/ ]: D- w8 o) m2 D$ Chttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& W. P0 B* D7 L9 I+ Q4 C
    Problem D (ICM)
    / _8 y& ^- d* ^( C8 s9 W% o* oWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long
    ; w8 o- j( }4 i/ j8 @; E- GTime
    " J2 m' @; ~/ S+ Y3 {4 lWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the9 l% D/ m# [, A" l- L) Y2 }/ Z0 m
    2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source1 C0 g& @; R- C# U9 k& z' d
    of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently0 D/ n$ G: u) y
    tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,
    : R* U, h& r5 b. ywhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some
    7 i' R2 H4 s9 @! v5 `% x  bscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak
    8 s; f- z: L! I  |- Zends.
      v6 ?6 W6 C7 o$ EHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?
    9 N2 p& o0 h. J1 q; x6 tSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas1 f) _6 U. M% g. ^0 C9 d
    others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo
    7 E! b4 K0 q3 Y: ]/ [ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could5 w# J2 f! t( z( m) o4 t, N
    cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil3 q7 r; l6 v1 s: I- e. j, h
    lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of
    7 S5 I+ U/ l2 X  [+ NEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.
    8 m9 X! {, Y, H% K- W$ gA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology$ y! J& K* e; h0 ^* X4 i0 b% l
    in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their
    4 O9 `0 U. K. Z4 m; W5 z* dsmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have: V4 J6 j' P6 h& T1 a
    identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with
    9 s0 ~+ m" b; [7 E& [all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing
    4 M1 _, Q) c9 ~, W0 A: ialmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen
    3 ?) |, l% J9 m4 R( Dfrom such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 308 P4 N$ ?5 C& [* f+ n# p
    November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in
    . D* j) C& [) R8 DYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in
    $ O! @& L0 f3 h3 GGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife; k' _" v! A, i
    trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature6 H* g0 @7 i8 x9 P2 Q4 }6 {  [1 X' n
    when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact: [3 l" V# h' a
    with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients3 a% t. P- Y. s( M7 k
    are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.
    / l! U! N3 j! r: u3 k, ~6 t& q8 l1 IWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:( k" l4 g7 Q- f& b4 _
    1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS
    . s( g6 |, A( u" u+ g' B. g4 Koutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL
    & `. Y+ a: @( N0 }% K2 Z9 y• Decline and extinction of populations
    " Q5 j% z* E( D' _  r, {• Introduction of invasive species
    ' K% y8 B' n& L' c) J• Spread of new diseases to humans, Y; f1 A* S, O; K6 g+ X
    We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database* p5 P% j  h8 S! }: ]  X
    contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The5 ]8 |; l( V, m" A- j; i8 L
    appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete
    ! Z4 ?' J( a7 k4 |database can also be obtained through the following link:
    $ T3 k9 K6 j1 [! I2 ~https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ
    0 L, N* o, ]7 V6 o4 z3 Y& jRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod
    6 q1 O) Q& c- R. lels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:2 e1 y( h2 V8 K" ?' O  |
    1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live% N) g0 P0 }: I- @% }1 q$ [. S
    animals taken from the wild)?
    $ p7 T4 x) I1 J, s* w2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?& a  A4 W7 u  S, Y; x- F* M
    3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?
    6 X% W/ x/ H6 ~  t4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major
    : F+ @% o0 w* z& B7 S8 c* Kinfectious diseases?8 u- d; [) @8 x+ W
    25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it
    * A$ [7 o5 K+ l) S2 K  J! W* dwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?2 g$ [# ]  y7 D+ W# P0 X
    6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain! v& R( |* D5 q# }
    your views and policy suggestions.( S# k  A; E% l7 F. c2 v5 K' E
    & Z/ J; Z, N7 q$ A/ c, T% t
    # {5 Y: {6 |0 {+ K
    0 U8 F1 O! G1 O, J3 }
    8 U0 y; X! t. I6 Z  }

    % Y! x+ S- h( L: ^; m# M* C5 g1 ^. X
    , V2 p6 _% ~8 `6 T( b& G( r8 B) h3 \0 |+ l

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