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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 ( U/ }4 ]3 ?& T- b) ^+ s
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx% n( ?0 L  }6 l4 k6 U4 K2 Z7 e

    % a/ g5 f% }9 a3 J4 y% E+ e2022
    % A2 E2 @. O0 ^1 HCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling4 h, o* I% m8 o& K9 ]3 _  a; o
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn6 W# e1 }: A- b6 s
    Problem A (MCM)  h# q1 ]3 D3 b, O; H
    How Pterosaurs Fly
    3 v+ d4 Q2 q; p" b! uPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They
      Z$ A1 s2 y1 N; `existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of, G' F5 J# ~8 i+ Y( H/ |
    the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved* o) _9 G$ @/ u& X; B1 L
    powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and! o! C3 m) B" V: s1 ^& z
    other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth
    1 i" ?! S- `: p" Q5 [" U% _4 Ofifinger[1].2 I! G- d; l8 N' n* Y1 q
    There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller
    8 _+ Z( G: A- o* M/ {animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem; J6 J4 h$ Q" E2 P6 Q
    branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they. w" |! v) e& v) j' c4 l
    would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and
    / {+ D* t7 I: W( istrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived
      x8 y- Y1 q# t7 Ein trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.
    , c* c" W2 x( u- Y1 s/ V" ]1 ILater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.. W9 [7 i, h+ X9 \% b
    Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,
    + ?* O5 q1 }' X1 U% fand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on% n" n/ ^* W& Y- L
    all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and* M7 |1 ^/ L3 h0 I7 P
    folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil
    - |% A* K) M1 w: V% I. ttrackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].
    ) b% a: f8 O* L3 ]; oPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which
    # b7 s) ^' P8 z7 ~- dcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have
    8 _# o' b! s1 v0 ]had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug7 c- l: V7 L. ?
    gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de4 c. }) h, f3 z( G' i" ^: f. z5 d
    riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning
    : F0 f) A* U- ?! S  E2 s6 \calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded
    - ^; K4 d! D4 z* r$ ^8 @(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec; }8 \. S' s& p1 @% e2 w& [4 T
    tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones  ?0 m9 [: i" `8 c' m2 f
    to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from
    ) k" Y( e) O7 X5 e) hthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including
    " V1 v: ?. k/ q. |6 B1 HQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least+ ~3 i* E4 I, d9 x
    nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong
    / k1 p- V- v# v. [# P( ?1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.
    " L( g) X3 H  P9 E5 E6 {2 k( nThe mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled1 n. Q- ]& H  X1 R
    at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded
    3 P6 n; ]+ B2 w' X6 P* Kthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,
    ! ~6 [3 Z6 i; o! @# G' r2 ^Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able  M5 U* Y) R3 ~1 p% ?% ~0 E" i* K* K
    to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].- `4 I8 q8 z7 g/ r! _/ U
    However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology* i! _+ W  s( |3 w
    of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs
    0 r( k+ E/ R& W( Obeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,7 I  O  t& ~! s3 X! P8 ?+ W
    such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that
    , M# f3 C, g) Z. O2 Batmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed% j/ j. d6 n: C5 U8 m
    for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].' j7 h# J  E1 U( y# S
    Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.
      g) e2 v  x) YIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones8 j! M3 ?1 P5 |5 M- f/ g& e: C
    of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage
    6 l% \; h' g4 t/ sa bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for
    : m3 f$ F: k1 Rgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded$ J0 c% w. S& Q7 i: Y& F
    and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as
    3 w5 ~" d4 U7 gquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of1 M& U, d8 @: e6 B  ?
    Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism4 J& ~% t6 ?5 ~/ I6 F
    to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would0 P6 p* L% W9 `' |* s) S
    enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds1 K# ]0 l4 D' w8 ?  Q: ~9 ~8 d
    of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].
    ; t0 z3 L: S% r' _$ EYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the2 j7 `( C) m  P2 p& p+ ]0 k" L! S/ f
    flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and
    + D( d$ Q+ @7 o8 g! S2 `to answer the following questions.5 v% z# |$ i" s, k$ X8 a
    1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor- W) B7 A) }1 d
    mal flflight.
    $ N# f3 H. X' [* |& z2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during# O. \' b4 e3 d
    normal flflight.
    , _" A! @7 Q6 s" p, S3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like! l  ^+ O: k4 J# `% w# y
    birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.0 }2 o) Q1 S5 E& o1 u
    References
    , X$ e6 e: ^! l2 y2 N[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight: Z2 n4 p& H/ q
    Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.! U) J# o: }/ c7 c7 V
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion., f0 U* y: G4 w
    https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php( b- G3 b# P' p7 Q( u( g: g
    [3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs
    * x2 l3 Q1 ^% e: o( ^Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-
    * Q9 l4 r8 w2 V& s& [pterosaurs-had-feathers.html* n% q. P& ^4 p7 ?
    [4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a0 [3 o( R1 f) }$ v, O! E2 b' N% Z
    rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)+ u' q9 W; ^& I8 `  m
    from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):& f0 V3 u3 a: r4 |( D' j
    1983-87.4 V" Z) A4 H0 |; t6 u( h7 F' f
    [5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust+ t; n% V5 O* |
    skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):
    ' N- Q, I# ^& ^0 J5 |/ n180-84.5 U" O2 [' C1 W. x( Q
    [6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?1 ?2 s  @: v4 Y$ w& ]9 |# v5 z9 s( {
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs! F. @+ n- c! y- T  H3 d, ~  S
    too-big-to-flfly/
    ' O) B' u+ e+ k" w( x) f% {# A[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology
      L6 |" ?+ `( Rof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.7 Z1 j$ Q& ]2 P- k
    [8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable' @2 K, ?4 {+ J- D4 l' e! c
    air sacs in their wings.; V3 q3 l! u0 W, k' M) a8 O
    https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur
    6 x$ K) x( ^) }/ |* `# fbreathing-air-sacs( N2 R3 z, O2 P% p8 B: K
    [9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.
    7 c! j6 M5 Z/ {https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils
    5 u8 T7 U# T+ g/ V5 Mresearch-mark-witton* X# Y6 k, R  c
    [10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?
    & M; c* a2 q( Xhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs( z+ j& @3 x6 n$ K) ~- K
    vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/
    . r2 c4 Q) S# k: G
    1 G+ a1 G+ d. i% |7 t9 J2022
      {. m/ {9 o  P4 l: R5 ]: i* ACertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    7 J6 n/ N1 r& ?, U! Jhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn9 N% i$ F( |1 m8 ?( \' ?, m& }
    Problem B (MCM)1 E' n" h. ?# n8 v  }5 q. e5 `
    The Genetic Process of Sequences
    / f5 Z/ J* m7 c) o  y3 q1 cSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein
    4 |. M& Y5 U( _$ E3 e# h- Ksequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of
    ' U! N# _+ ^  ]5 u) S; hlife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their$ z! a" l0 F9 d7 F0 k
    nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong7 i* K# O0 y2 p. W$ t2 U  V$ W# R
    evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common7 z& p* F- P! \) F' f6 }3 w
    ancestral sequence[2].
    ) A0 _( b' K! L% h1 @. \! C7 ~( }Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu' _# v1 I; |3 o4 o
    cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation
    3 T4 v5 X$ b6 ?" xarise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and8 S$ S$ h$ y/ H- B
    deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by0 ^* \6 \+ L* i7 }* x3 r# }
    the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together
    6 ^9 b/ X$ b3 H& _3 Qcan form a family, and they are considered homologous.
    . s6 x5 e+ ?/ v  sYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com! J+ x' O1 S* e+ t0 }
    plete the following problems.
    1 E3 m. o4 G9 I. |" i1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between- }1 F3 M  h! S" W/ C
    two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.
    ' c3 Z* a. v! l7 l9 k7 G  n& \8 M* X2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and
    2 Y' ^9 x0 C! Ydesign suitable examples to illustrate it., ~' I' V: \! `( Y
    3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an
    9 V7 A+ B+ \3 I: a7 lcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral
    5 L6 e: n4 P) `' _sequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    / O) t- Y* M8 ]6 f$ Q6 ]6 S% xReferences, _# }' v: ~+ M9 E( f4 ]
    [1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re
    7 C1 {" A; K  k2 I. U/ j4 D' Eview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.2 W4 g& q+ f' X3 S. n3 h, \0 R/ ]5 T
    [2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,7 ~+ c: l4 B- \. y9 y2 ~/ e/ c
    et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and) `' x: I: R) Q& l$ t' M0 ?
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.
    # P. j8 R" D% @+ b% c: ]4 k# j$ m- I  `. [
    2022
    ; ~6 L6 E, r/ D8 q/ mCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling+ l, T* U: U  {+ b: _) W6 G
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    # z6 B7 T7 B: n* ?# OProblem C (ICM)
    0 B3 u# l! ~; QClassify Human Activities
    - H4 Y0 m6 E* A! OOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and
    " q2 z- K9 t+ lmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im# T" Y& g7 r5 e( B$ u9 N
    prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor& x* ^) {: W6 ^
    ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ% }) h) h4 v$ I6 s% L
    ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly
    2 }# N  M: E, y# uremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],9 Y5 X4 `0 V# X+ H" c2 l) i5 x9 O; i
    medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in
    4 c1 C- G0 j7 c9 E+ m; Ischool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,7 U8 W9 c1 Y5 M% U
    sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain
    9 J" R2 M8 G/ [9 q9 {% \' g: I% k4 Tment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial1 ~6 m( h, ^& ^$ T7 L) P( B+ }( I
    sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify
    ! X, Q' ~) Z& ~3 h+ a, B/ ]human activities, the following data were obtained.- q; m' g& k: K7 E& O* w& i
    Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,% W# u1 G  u; i" {9 Q
    between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes4 r* S8 r2 Q& ~  `8 `7 d6 y) E+ v7 J
    for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ
    0 @2 R! X6 L4 e7 p' Oities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be* r% |- G+ K* ^* U/ ]. K
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and
    " D/ u7 W4 S% `: |, E" d0 {* M' {! ?amplitudes of some activities." {3 q( A3 {$ a  `( Z/ w( w4 D" |& E3 F7 E
    Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.6 c# c8 l4 W; G. a
    The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal
    ) S* t1 O0 E/ ~, z$ csegments are obtained for each activity.1 ?' n  @" P. o7 f
    The 19 activities are:
    ! P* z! M# {  l" C3 n/ `) O; S1. Sitting (A1);9 m1 M3 R; a" z  h/ ^' V
    2. Standing (A2);
    0 e/ u% Z" z" Z7 V' `7 Q7 O3 c; H/ z3. Lying on back (A3);
    ( _+ {4 R# P6 G7 l: P! M( x4. Lying on right side (A4);
    ( _9 b4 o4 j9 C8 t2 c5. Ascending stairs (A5);
    ) s  X# C% e7 L2 D9 l16. Descending stairs (A6);1 K/ B/ ^& X3 r/ N9 t8 _# J
    7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);7 r, J( e8 G; k
    8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);! d6 P0 z) V% Z' r. E
    9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);
    0 q2 W7 [; o( i: ]4 a10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg  z/ F( |( ~6 J
    inclined positions (A10);. U! M1 y; x' B0 V. A( f
    11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions# {- `; B* E6 {! [; u4 `; G$ i
    (A11);
    # T5 a9 Z( ^: T, G4 B12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);5 q) F) }( r. {0 i9 c& q
    13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);2 \3 v( j, H* w
    14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);
    ' K  G$ L" Y) h& L1 K: i15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);
    ( N& l# G$ Y9 Z5 u8 B5 i16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);
    " W2 J' h% w6 W# _$ o6 j8 n+ ?" n0 X17. Rowing (A17);& a* h5 q" [3 c% P' O( c2 j
    18. Jumping (A18);" p5 D  M, J0 o
    19. Playing basketball (A19)., w- S3 u3 q( ]+ B- d" s# B
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve& r4 T; P6 v6 X, s4 I7 m. e
    the following problems.* b5 ?  S0 M% w6 _7 S! ]6 E
    1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify
    % N# d1 a' k1 l3 ~, X4 ]5 Bthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors." C- u& s& Y9 m/ d/ c& n8 T
    2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have
    4 f* Z0 U4 D& G2 `+ S8 ya good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study
    ! R: I: E! x" H# _( y( qand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to: K; h# m8 O! x# w* F- w. B- I( h
    evaluate the generalization ability of your model.
    ! b. w& v* E5 }- Z0 r1 x. c; A3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-
    8 O* D' `, `. \5 x7 ucation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    ; T& R) x$ ~$ r; w; v/ A8 `classifification.0 z9 L! R$ o, |# e' H
    The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:
    ! t8 O7 p, B6 y  J: q3 Dhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq* d( i2 a; A' J4 O" ^, U
    2Appendix: File structure. h) s2 y) a6 _% Q( D( X( L
    • 19 activities (a)% @! V5 A" s7 f+ l" w4 `3 D7 @" N
    • 8 subjects (p)$ w, b, x8 ^& I7 C! k6 p. |0 U1 Q
    • 60 segments (s)
    & N7 l( x# C3 S( ]8 w, Q6 N( p• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left/ d3 Q5 y* |+ O4 y
    leg (LL)
    " p4 `2 p2 B2 w( o2 b1 k• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z( L- y' ?" R+ ]3 e
    magnetometers)
    ! k) g% E  j% \* ?  h# Y. uFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.( v9 N/ m" ]" y4 ~* O
    For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the
    " D$ }9 k- j- H) P8 subjects.
    # Q' l0 g0 d$ d' x& u2 [1 o  cIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each9 F0 K# N9 s5 Y: r; Q
    segment.0 j2 O1 r2 u. F& ~& c* {  s5 A
    In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 255 p$ R7 j+ t' Q5 Z# h( I
    Hz = 125 rows.
    ; }) z* Y8 Y$ [2 Q7 y; [5 f  {Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the: z7 W: p- F' x7 a1 Z2 {
    sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.3 p# ]# w' y+ p: p
    Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular
    . h) \; u& w3 Z. P4 X+ }. o6 F- W/ t: ?sampling instant separated by commas.5 @0 X3 w' s* A4 f
    Columns 1-45 correspond to:
    2 _2 o  A2 T+ ^( [% }7 r2 B" v• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,
    . K# Q9 ]/ ~. x' N0 _$ R4 k• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,6 g& v! f# G4 g$ A: u6 `! Y
    • LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,- F8 t+ j/ g! W$ e# T7 X6 ?
    • RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,- l, A: d+ D- S: n( n3 d. B5 M
    • LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.
    . Q4 F8 x* |1 J  c+ D' {Therefore,
    , d- w. s" X7 u$ D) w6 k/ m• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),. l" a$ p. c6 |; I
    • columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),
    ) }8 @/ g% f' p& P- l$ F• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),
    9 h: N( e2 F% H% x• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),
    ( l6 a7 e5 J# [& m" b• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).6 P3 K) d- \3 u+ C1 `
    3References
    . r( w' {3 E7 m0 O9 r! B: Y0 W' v[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic
    $ r+ J1 {2 w5 J' v, }daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.
    , n# e( J1 W$ w* t/ Y( p% q42(5), 679-687, 2004
    1 u$ l* h6 j& u" e& @8 r[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of4 X9 l! @: ?. m* {0 N% e$ `: m
    low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.
    & _( Z. w. v5 v8 m0 f. H  RGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008
    ! X. M8 q2 {" Q: {[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag" u5 i; ~8 x) W4 I2 j9 b
    nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.
    1 m1 {0 v4 z8 ?B. 11(5), 553-562, 20078 U" J: V# r  _: h) r4 b, @' G
    [4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con# M, W- K1 x+ n, F  j
    trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008) O7 p5 g. C% m0 f0 Z; G" F
    6 G8 C) v+ W% x
    2022) Z2 a9 [) n' L  O+ a0 q6 P. k
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling3 H" V6 |% z8 G( ]6 P* s9 r9 f$ J
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn6 [. L4 H( B) _
    Problem D (ICM)
    - k- d2 ]) h' O) D, NWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long6 j. E! U* ?7 ?9 D6 [
    Time
    * B( h2 {9 [1 K, w. BWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the% g  N& |4 _, k" V
    2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source
    8 k" r/ X- I& Y) Y; i, N) G" e, }; Aof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently
    5 }+ n3 e0 E7 b# m0 z% Ztightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,4 D1 p9 M& ?$ q' F
    which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some
    # ]  [) J5 F7 D% V8 Z2 f) u% N' Fscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak. R6 a! I5 q0 f) f/ j
    ends.
    ' O" i( M; x# iHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?  D4 [7 X$ e' J) S' u0 ^1 e5 [2 D/ k
    Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas1 ?2 L" Q& u/ N' N
    others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo- N9 E% \2 J, s4 P2 r0 v  w8 z6 h
    ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could
    ! a& N0 i0 i# Ocost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil1 f9 s* L( F. Q  o( O2 F+ C/ V
    lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of# Q$ f8 f( J, b
    Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.
    9 F% B5 V/ Q3 v# o/ uA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology
    ' ?; `8 Y9 L1 ]" l& ?in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their4 F# g4 P; _/ q7 I9 ?
    smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have. j; ~! W) n/ u
    identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with
    ' |6 X% x2 J/ f. z4 uall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing/ z7 ~* X! z) `
    almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen9 ~& \  B+ T7 S3 P4 o4 k9 m* ?
    from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30
    5 Z1 O& T: e) eNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in8 |7 ^1 s. l) T- ~0 [8 [% a7 y  T
    Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in# `# ]% Z6 R8 p' w
    Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife
    & ^3 d: b6 f! Etrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature
    ' a7 a+ i. {4 \- }' }& `3 ywhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact' d; q7 j2 N% c! Z/ P% [
    with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients; u2 g* e  \) n  q( Q+ j  K2 S) y
    are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.
    / o+ A9 X' m- v- S( r* B/ v8 ~6 bWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:  O' F* ?" \' w4 w' ]- Y5 @
    1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS
    " w, n- n& O& m* _% n2 u' routbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL( ]/ f7 m4 U( Z
    • Decline and extinction of populations
    * p$ F6 T( p2 Z/ V1 y1 m, G• Introduction of invasive species! \) B$ q& G/ Q& L
    • Spread of new diseases to humans, v, O5 h  x8 k2 J  ]- N0 m
    We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database- {: ~1 ?! Z" {0 E9 c6 K! k  i
    contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The* s- m, j" Q/ M% G0 `- w
    appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete
    $ X; V6 G# ^* a9 adatabase can also be obtained through the following link:* u2 p' V2 A& X2 ^! q: K
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ7 y  y: D2 a2 x* b" y
    Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod
    " w: C/ e" x( u3 i% Vels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:
    4 {' U3 S0 K( j1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live& p5 V8 y* n$ g
    animals taken from the wild)?
    ) y4 |7 J2 @' J3 M2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?
    6 _+ d2 K/ N+ N% O3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?6 m$ H, x$ T) K4 B: u7 N9 z  ^
    4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major
    - G- P8 B6 V7 S& ~& G, b# \& Z- Jinfectious diseases?
    : F4 Q/ X7 H: e9 t% i25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it
    ! J* P( A2 |/ H  n' O# \will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?
    1 b& j, a4 Q* I8 q# b4 M  N6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain! u" F4 g' Z, u" ?8 v* l% o
    your views and policy suggestions.# b% c: d! L; m; F/ x5 b+ E

    ( s% T3 a) d5 S" O! l! h# x& I- ?7 d. \

    3 N+ N- E9 ~3 C( p+ X
    & A- p: c$ o0 `5 l' x! G! q% w2 |
    7 S* U5 S. \# O

    2 M; q8 ~6 U% w/ y( F' G

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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