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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 6 H; m8 V6 _& z1 \) O' B+ `8 o- ]5 U
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx
    & H" d# O! A$ a! H$ ^" G- q% B1 V# ?( e7 M+ }' f' f; W
    2022  J9 j: g4 t- J- K) _: }/ n
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    2 S2 m/ X2 f- o: u* n: U% C2 Dhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn- |8 N) ?* c& }5 x" E8 Q
    Problem A (MCM)
    % [9 w$ A6 M/ b+ h9 j: IHow Pterosaurs Fly( d$ n( }* I, S/ S3 u
    Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They5 z$ j. `! B% h
    existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of$ W! m* S  R( K/ a0 D  A
    the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved
    ! z9 q! t& H1 }1 B5 F0 _powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and  F% R/ z# D1 |: O7 c$ S, a
    other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth2 v2 |8 I5 J. H; m" d+ w( {6 N
    fifinger[1].+ p3 C% x/ ?# G9 m# N* Y; U
    There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller1 Y1 e- k7 y( R/ F4 R3 B: E# ~1 D
    animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem3 S( n0 a; m: F8 G5 `
    branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they
    # ?6 o3 Y1 I: F( H. e+ a' Dwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and
    , x5 Z- ]& P# astrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived
    - [' ?* r# e. i- Yin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.2 {8 Y# o' f8 M7 O6 ]" ]6 @
    Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.1 J6 U9 ?( g6 B" z
    Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,0 O1 S; q$ W9 D' w: _6 C- A- p2 q
    and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on0 p5 H7 \/ f8 J  o4 L5 o
    all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and
    + ?$ K. _( f1 r: bfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil. L  o  h8 Z" l
    trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].9 u4 I1 \9 a" g! E* a6 ?
    Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which) e8 k7 [$ J& X" d- S6 F/ ]  o+ k
    covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have( m% k( b% O7 [6 H9 e# P1 F# F
    had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug4 r* s) J% I) r% G/ U
    gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de9 u3 E2 V1 L5 \2 z( N9 a/ Z
    riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning; X" _& T0 J' s4 y
    calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded: a# u' i4 @, ~; w8 I# ^. v4 ]
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec
    ( P- d- X3 }+ Q* Stional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones# D4 E+ Z: j& q4 F5 \1 S
    to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from# n. e0 F- K. n6 t
    the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including, U3 F1 p- P8 U
    Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least
    ( e& B3 B8 s# hnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong
    ; R+ L) b4 t! ~+ g5 Q1 ~1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.; r" D% U/ m# l; {
    The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled; k- U, y! a1 W+ R( P
    at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded
    5 ^7 d9 o! y3 M. r! N, u7 wthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,
    ; i2 t: f2 Z+ o2 @Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able
    & e8 W4 B, v0 {& Uto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].
    % w. k3 ^) u2 p4 p/ m+ ?However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology
    # E' V( v! Z- z0 Y1 ~6 aof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs
    9 P4 N- h% a9 M9 cbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,
    5 H# J  D$ l" T: V+ psuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that6 Q3 @) P! q* K3 N" q- c1 }* @
    atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed
    0 L9 }0 r0 V1 L4 U8 efor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]." C$ l6 H. Q; b5 P( c* a$ ~; t
    Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.+ e! D5 e$ }5 |2 S2 d
    If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones
    ! O0 V4 U; z4 `6 Qof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage2 E' x# i2 ]6 g$ g" H  {$ \
    a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for
    0 ^: R0 E3 X5 l, bgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded: i5 ^- T, r* k( f5 s: W0 h
    and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as  j+ V$ o7 J1 J4 `' \
    quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of* X! y% k; J/ |4 H8 V
    Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism
    : W2 J! K/ r$ e! E% [to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would- I+ f% x& d, X  B+ k' @
    enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds& q: R1 @( K  s
    of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].2 K' s7 d7 A  B+ i
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the
    # \. S' U9 \, x$ }! jflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and
    # S6 R4 c) }/ C+ ~2 q+ W3 E" i; Fto answer the following questions.* E6 Y/ m# _7 ~3 Z0 n' ?
    1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor
    0 o3 h  F( h/ hmal flflight.3 g  F$ m1 c4 @* F+ B
    2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during
      E5 z$ ~" T% j5 Z) ~0 ?9 a8 znormal flflight.& d; P& |) s- }2 @0 L* z2 c' J: M' L
    3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like
    * v% ^, \, ~$ ?$ R& k5 m* hbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.
    - ~& D3 C# m& }; DReferences: ?1 {$ ?8 ~2 ^+ J! f6 T/ G
    [1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight
    7 b- [5 t5 o" Z0 R8 rMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.7 L, Y9 l* R6 A5 Z/ B* H; H) C4 z
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.+ d; L( `( L! J* i
    https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php
    6 H+ l/ @0 s6 r; k: Q[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs
    " {4 Q2 I* \; o3 E) ?Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-
    0 Q. X1 N5 C: s, a3 hpterosaurs-had-feathers.html
    ) M( P* E- A& O# A' {4 b% Z[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a# M+ q0 h5 r/ {4 P8 a, D
    rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)$ h0 Z+ P* k; Y  ?1 P
    from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):/ V1 {+ W; U, }+ P% _
    1983-87.. X; b) E0 ]) v' \( g- C
    [5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust
    ! U0 K, S1 _1 ~1 gskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):
    5 K) e: S( I- T180-84./ S% R$ d; @# o; b/ v9 ]) D
    [6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?
    3 e7 M7 k" s9 a9 u6 Phttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs( V9 O; `* n/ q! l$ v
    too-big-to-flfly/8 M" k& f* d, \  c% f; l  y; e9 y
    [7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology
    9 U. o7 R+ M) M5 E3 b+ Gof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.
    " L; j8 a# O! b[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable
    $ g8 X0 v2 L: {! y1 ~, m. m; q, Pair sacs in their wings./ t6 ^, B# @# C/ e& \, y
    https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur+ d: N  [2 a- }
    breathing-air-sacs9 M9 h3 H5 j1 g5 Y3 L9 p; H
    [9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all./ C% D" T/ Y2 h3 y0 |" J% ^. v
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils
    % T, o5 }/ R" sresearch-mark-witton
    - n; c/ K4 ~3 C- ~4 F[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?
    # H! v' p1 S( L( h3 O$ Chttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs% r. W( G9 v/ d" ^( y, s1 n
    vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/- D" p) x- ]3 F2 K7 {7 B
    5 C( t( l1 P4 k7 E$ z/ o. a# V
    2022
    * L' I8 V8 g9 M$ Z+ _& v' @Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    3 c6 o9 ^- @# N$ _$ t( Uhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn" n# P5 e1 l  D# ?5 W
    Problem B (MCM)+ T# v+ Z4 U3 v% H' q) C3 D$ X
    The Genetic Process of Sequences
    ( M; @  D, J" xSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein( M# Y/ b5 l* q2 n4 O! h# o/ n- b
    sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of5 |# ]  V$ Q3 q+ w
    life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their. J, |+ B1 l; c- [# o" t2 {6 d
    nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong" z3 S# O. \0 u( v
    evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common
    0 C( Z% ~* ?) jancestral sequence[2].
    " |# x  I: ?0 ?2 x! |Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu
    # v4 G/ G7 O( l* u% L1 w/ N/ G" j) `cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation& R+ l( `; i  _0 ?. l+ J
    arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and
    3 J% K6 D: u2 W( m# \deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by
    , z1 d" Q8 z) ?2 V" O" I2 _the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together
    ! k) d: E3 e8 M7 v3 dcan form a family, and they are considered homologous., L& i5 M4 R/ t' F
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com
    9 H0 d/ N6 Y4 `1 S7 q! t1 v  ?' Bplete the following problems.- |) h& F8 j" q2 T( Q4 a8 w1 D0 o' t
    1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between1 {0 z/ g; v( }
    two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.( p: ^2 m( F9 S' q% G
    2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and
    1 z; Z6 k6 `3 ^: K7 h' hdesign suitable examples to illustrate it.
    ; e/ L: M* A& u% R" |$ w  ~4 F$ v3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an# b6 Q, O: Q/ I* ]/ ~2 r: L  t4 y/ e; d
    cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral
    $ f( \7 r) P; y) x3 x& Tsequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    ; o  K; |1 B0 p  X4 i5 c3 \) FReferences
    ( E* i7 P& h2 g/ V. ^, l[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re
    3 ^! s0 k, P+ Iview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.
    + ]# ?+ u' I+ {* t& d9 z[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,
      C  y9 P7 j. Det al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and
    - h: ]- k/ Q" ^7 _- m! @& ia way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.
    + ~2 w" k5 R/ u+ A3 C) d7 I$ e& ~
    2022
    4 j2 }: h9 [4 n' Y8 B' ^Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    0 l8 x8 Q3 \  A/ b' q6 `http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    : {4 d- @8 d  p# SProblem C (ICM), ^8 O. G1 z% t% W4 ~! M  A: u2 ]
    Classify Human Activities2 b3 y# ^- v# q; ]& ?1 _
    One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and
    1 x+ \. A, t/ f& ?4 ]) Tmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im- T& [) |1 ^* ?* b$ V; i' w0 j( G
    prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor
    0 c" H; p# h( A  D& wing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ
    4 R! G! O& \0 U1 y, Nity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly$ P7 ?$ z: a+ n/ `, Z
    remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],0 ~0 M% n& F4 Z) T. d" U; l1 B
    medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in
    : [" O/ z  C  |: J; Gschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,
    6 k0 u6 ?' O, @2 _' `" Psports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain
    ; [' J; `1 _7 Oment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial
    0 O# f+ ^8 F& k6 y! I0 M4 d# u+ C/ usensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify
    4 R  U1 t7 p+ ?- Mhuman activities, the following data were obtained.
    1 U& [6 [) D: w+ W* ^; Y' qEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,
    / w( M( C$ x; d& rbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes% p5 g* M. a0 ^- Y- x! H; d
    for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ
    5 c$ X3 |( [/ Z( m1 \4 T. {1 _ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be3 X& s7 A( ?5 Z
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and
    * E# }, L! J3 ?amplitudes of some activities./ o$ p. c: |2 `/ e6 ]/ g7 f
    Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.
    5 `/ v) P) f$ f# ~8 {The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal
      t' a0 o) S5 @2 a/ y3 ^9 Z! p+ Nsegments are obtained for each activity./ {) |4 [; \# K4 B7 `  U5 v
    The 19 activities are:
    8 _) J$ {% R/ ~1 U2 }1 c8 q1. Sitting (A1);
    " k; o& i/ d( Q. ?$ }2. Standing (A2);1 w% Z) Y1 q, T+ b
    3. Lying on back (A3);
    3 I7 T6 D, j* B: f/ C6 Q4 M4. Lying on right side (A4);
    6 y/ ^2 A) C% Z3 {1 l& p" c9 k, S5. Ascending stairs (A5);5 J# w5 m7 a  V" {
    16. Descending stairs (A6);) ]0 j" o- M' [. t
    7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);, O5 C6 m' f/ ^
    8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);
    # S" r+ d- k' n: n( d* U9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);! b- r6 w1 s5 Z0 V* h
    10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg
    2 _2 O* A1 ^# S9 C' cinclined positions (A10);! n2 |5 N* Y) m3 I2 x( i
    11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions/ }( [6 M. K8 e; I2 V; C6 [/ }% S
    (A11);
    " r: Y  B0 H; s; [6 k! }12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);
    ' N0 C$ [4 F0 t+ k( y+ r5 @' v13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);8 I/ l$ c; ?0 s1 F* S
    14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);
    ( _* A2 y9 z; {2 \+ M) b- x9 _15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);3 H+ w' g8 L! {$ K7 O* }) q+ |$ Y3 X
    16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);( ~( `% m; Z3 }5 G
    17. Rowing (A17);
    2 \, D6 l, D  E18. Jumping (A18);$ i3 R9 t; q- |! H6 t- A: T( V3 q
    19. Playing basketball (A19).
    : n- b* W7 `0 S7 K1 Y0 P  F- ], C0 L: KYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve
    $ w" {7 F# \# ]6 A1 Z( mthe following problems.
    ; D2 i& A4 p/ v! T1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify! F3 n% O% s  x" F; a. S
    the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.
    ! M; f3 j$ M3 y) g2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have
    5 x# G  ^* h- M% ga good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study
    7 P! k+ [! @/ E8 U5 h1 M: W% Cand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to6 R, Z' M# _" @3 H
    evaluate the generalization ability of your model.6 Q5 _/ O+ Q. e
    3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-
    * E2 ~- M8 S7 W. C5 b8 h4 l' jcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    . d  N3 _# w# y. e8 }6 ~2 h6 lclassifification.
    9 J/ ?' Z2 z5 J8 p! \# dThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:* H/ `# n- K6 V2 S
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq
    ; n# y# ]9 y/ I% Y+ T' v; T- f2Appendix: File structure, t  w& ]1 d: q7 z5 j& k2 g
    • 19 activities (a)9 o0 l% u: I8 M' B+ }9 [; c: |1 u
    • 8 subjects (p)! T% P$ r. M7 Y2 h! ]
    • 60 segments (s)
    $ F1 e6 k- `; ]6 _& u0 e5 w• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left
    6 n6 J9 S! a# E1 L; g- O& qleg (LL)
    0 y" H6 i  L* t• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z: Z! M$ r% B# _0 o: h9 g6 K
    magnetometers)
    ' r* k! z5 f) B( d/ UFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.
    6 G; x8 M! ^- G5 qFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the
    . J+ E9 p; B) w1 f; P) _8 subjects.
    # M& S0 M" H. E3 [' d" a% i8 }1 h. MIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each
    / W) w4 t4 M  @% p5 q8 Ksegment.& W' V% h- p2 @8 u5 R4 j
    In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25
    5 a( A! h- ^# m" K1 v  pHz = 125 rows.( y: }+ ]* ~* F: E5 \
    Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the* c6 e3 ?: Z' B, t9 s% d, G
    sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.+ K0 ]4 c* Q1 {2 ]5 U8 f
    Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular7 N) I- \$ B9 c4 j- b/ E0 p
    sampling instant separated by commas.
    9 n0 L/ m, `0 X) HColumns 1-45 correspond to:
    1 C  o$ Y: Q( |# H4 B* ^  J/ [! T6 L• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,2 D# V! ?7 V3 y* R- P2 F5 y* V$ Y
    • RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,
    1 X6 }8 j9 o2 H3 t$ g% _• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,( \# W' g) T6 U- J3 W' N9 |
    • RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,
    & ^+ e0 x& x* M2 G% U9 [• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.
      X2 a! ?* }# n# o0 p4 _3 j" A2 g2 tTherefore,0 e/ v  s+ b# x' j% m5 A3 a. ?1 g
    • columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),
    8 C/ r3 `* Q, f- h  e: N• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),
    % F+ T' ]; F$ q% S• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),
    , o+ w4 p& P4 u! I• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),
    + B4 i& t$ M0 k) c" R# X• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).! X% C: ~- j) x; b( A
    3References# f) Y8 }6 J; G. `/ X9 a
    [1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic
    ) Q" F2 k! f/ c7 F. Tdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.
    " P7 Q# H5 v* R, l( ^& c2 a42(5), 679-687, 2004
    8 I8 u5 m2 `; ^2 D3 t2 D+ }[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of* ]! r& d  k3 }% @. c! i0 e, o
    low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.
    0 c) N. A  `  h* U. |% f3 ^Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008* y5 }6 G( ?3 v7 y$ k
    [3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag
    - ^" i! ^. }3 i3 i" U. V2 G( ~nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.
    - M6 R% k, Q9 O6 _+ j- q4 z4 A& LB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007; k$ u9 r# a# ]1 M2 C
    [4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con- w; y4 k4 Y: e5 ~; @: y2 N& P6 Q9 ^# g
    trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008
    + o, \- s7 m8 N7 [5 a
    . P* Z" W# z/ K- I! w$ g2022
      _6 W: v' @$ eCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    * @" Y3 P: @; e' Y6 r# {http://mcm.tzmcm.cn) R6 B2 }# i/ {+ U2 U- r
    Problem D (ICM)/ n9 z0 B+ M& e# ?7 o6 u
    Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long
    6 I# z% U( ^6 M/ I# \& |) M6 t& {% b( i4 }Time
    ) v: E' M; b- K* _+ ~Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the
    ; y% Z8 ^: }% f5 N' u; \2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source% K- X( x1 a( |0 ]& _  l# m) O" i
    of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently2 O& M: T0 f7 s8 L: E
    tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,6 X1 b8 ]( X6 M
    which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some
    / W* N/ R1 a( n9 r7 L" {. E7 g6 k2 N5 xscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak) X  ]$ V7 z) ~3 e
    ends.. S5 c" P' C+ T$ S
    How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?0 w- p# x) ]7 I9 G" J1 |4 N
    Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas3 U. h2 M3 H* y: ?: y3 ~1 |5 `/ a, @
    others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo! W$ H; ^8 Y8 e; `/ {
    ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could8 b4 t4 `; w' `& l* r: n6 w
    cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil
    8 @0 f/ t0 R3 k* E- m9 tlion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of- \  x: N2 c( Y6 b/ [! W
    Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.
    - d9 Z) u6 {( D7 l; z0 K' ~0 bA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology" o" g$ ~$ b; ^' g- G" z' X# w# M6 S3 o
    in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their% |: F0 ^* {" ?" T2 y5 E4 u
    smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have
    & i; s; G1 a: i& p! ^  p& didentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with
    * o$ [5 S0 P6 h4 Hall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing
    6 r$ U( _- Y' Qalmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen8 R; V5 f& Y. k
    from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30* a. X" W) j% F& O, Q. ?
    November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in
    + Z; ^! w$ [0 l. g& }' W! U( |Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in
    , p$ d& k3 t8 h0 B. Y: k' u, `4 dGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife6 J, V) F& u. b: W
    trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature' [  I1 c; H- ?4 T+ C
    when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact
    8 ?) d/ l& F9 E: ]# i" Dwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients
    2 H9 }1 M& Y5 L# j3 W+ `are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.6 @( |5 c6 v& ?& l* w9 N- k
    Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:
    7 p1 U4 e) b6 ]+ I4 o+ g. I9 w1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS
    ) H) I0 n2 y# Woutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL) V3 b8 F  O. C1 Y; S
    • Decline and extinction of populations
    . V: l" O0 o7 H/ y% A• Introduction of invasive species
    $ M6 h9 X9 F1 e! @( `• Spread of new diseases to humans
    6 C% K0 s* Q3 H/ n7 HWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database! h2 P. x+ o. |
    contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The( l% D! @3 n. g# R3 i
    appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete
    1 D2 S# e( ?7 e& ]0 Tdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:
    / l+ a6 |" W8 u' j7 b; Z' Whttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ
    : y/ M+ m/ L$ uRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod( r+ r' a9 M9 ?: x; _( U8 h' ]
    els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:$ e2 q( V: N; x( l* |. E4 T
    1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live* h2 C* A( g' ]1 n  x6 T$ d! }
    animals taken from the wild)?
    * o& V2 I9 R- w5 h* R2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?
    * P. T. w( a+ ^' w/ g9 y7 C. C3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?
    ' s) x/ `" _8 X! T8 N4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major( F4 t0 {5 H- X  x& r
    infectious diseases?0 M/ A* t6 f7 n9 R
    25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it+ o5 F' j( _" H$ ~4 ^# h/ S3 o$ M
    will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?
    2 \  i# J8 t( X; X6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain! d3 s; a1 P: `4 h, D% w1 D1 ]
    your views and policy suggestions.
    9 m" \% x8 x: |9 [. B$ f" m0 p$ S7 i8 W& N: S5 b( E$ w/ C& q

    % @1 m0 K* ^+ g: t. T# P2 `1 w8 \
    2 I9 A3 T, J: N* B
    ; y% g% c7 \$ |& w2 _8 s

    9 L0 {8 G, ]% Z, b. A" T8 C7 \3 m$ m2 @8 R) y! C2 K/ L

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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