2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 6 J9 E3 d2 }( ?! H9 o, V1 t
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx% P) r& S+ r2 w1 c" H! i1 b+ E
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2022! o+ U( }0 |0 s8 c
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling # d( u/ C0 g, H( Z8 ^( t4 J' [, vhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& m' q' F1 ~$ l8 k
Problem A (MCM) " Y7 h( l* S6 t7 r3 oHow Pterosaurs Fly - g# c; R0 J( c" \Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They $ t+ k. W: T4 h' oexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of 8 o; ^3 B: s4 vthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved7 P( j: c o+ Z) Z; X
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and ( R7 C( u! G! H9 B Lother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth% ?- ^9 m* q* i& _) v k6 ^( V
fifinger[1]./ Q4 w" X) w; Y6 J
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller : M6 N2 a1 J4 |( Z4 G5 oanimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem1 w2 M4 l& p% ?
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they 2 q: g5 d: w! e' Xwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and * Y7 |8 w6 i7 x$ Z5 Dstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived - I4 C6 y; s* E: lin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.( w2 A+ Q: K$ [6 Y3 a
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.6 u" F; A! p+ ?0 Y
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, ' u& p( m/ a q3 @, K- f) Y. Q0 }and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on * _- ~5 X- g# O( @' o W) G0 @all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and ; m! n* M4 g6 ^. K8 ffolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil& n ]* ]9 ^$ r
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 1 w& R9 @2 T4 A# ?5 f& h2 TPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which ) T6 \/ g$ A& h2 E$ Ecovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have4 r, W6 {, f, L: j# S0 P
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug ) v; a* T7 X$ {0 s% M% h/ egestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de - G1 E( |9 t* T' f& sriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning ( P# d, W6 m h" Q2 U8 p4 ccalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded7 V+ \4 O$ A. n
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec 8 E7 W0 ~' Q4 |. p7 Dtional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones; M4 k* `! J% h$ c) t) h7 G
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from& `" r2 A$ S: F3 ]0 S0 p1 ` B
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including" ?2 M; A$ l6 I f
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least ; W3 p; p5 H i. Gnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong . J1 ^: Y" v# ]. o4 K! t) |/ M' x1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.* B" s: B; C: N7 [
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled 7 J1 g, U' l: E% J& g6 Qat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded , l# `7 t1 q* L4 }' t' i; M* Gthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,2 m$ g }' S a$ E: {
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able 0 s4 B4 r$ r' {& ]! o* W, M3 ^( v2 oto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. 8 ?. o( l! K. }5 jHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology # u, l/ j" r3 W. S3 ?of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs , O$ M$ ~2 `# m8 C# X" Z/ }& E; Ybeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,8 Q9 O; K3 v }
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that " i+ J' G* X4 v3 q) t8 _atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed r* y3 \( R3 P# ]) kfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].+ Q1 m; m$ \9 S$ e" ]4 ]) r
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. & @7 b. p4 V: x0 m4 [If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones ( [1 N4 V0 |# [2 D/ i& T) _of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage % [6 k- N" ?4 a' |4 Ya bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for1 ?7 Z. }, L- {. L
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 0 e8 H% d7 q# `2 land having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as , C! G I. D `) D) e# zquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of+ K# n$ V) F+ R) |$ s
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism& A% ~( k8 D+ J4 V4 t" X$ X
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would1 ^# g J- H* Z5 D; W
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds ! n9 Q. `4 F$ m" P bof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. % ]- f, }' ?' h0 i2 KYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the 6 |( F) y0 I+ n- U3 M( e& z# dflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and! M' [+ m6 |, V
to answer the following questions. : I9 R8 J2 s2 h1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor 4 t! T/ N% `1 Y S! Imal flflight. " d1 Y3 _* p# r# m2 A5 X2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during; @6 T; Y! v8 e' v& l) \/ r
normal flflight.4 W5 W+ c; X$ ~) M7 I
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like 9 `- H, G! \' U7 rbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. ) b, E' p6 S5 O$ \. j& oReferences+ J" O/ R" d7 t$ I, r
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight. C. h( C, D+ w6 Q9 c+ a
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111. / Q9 r8 T. j3 J1 T8 ?( m- V+ p0 X2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 5 A1 S: Y% S9 q, C W5 Shttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php 1 C( A$ I' I1 D[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 8 H) i. N& ~7 M' UWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- " P( Y2 f) g% k3 Z+ Dpterosaurs-had-feathers.html . b$ l( J9 f" G) U3 z[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a! P4 S" e: y" t ^' u! Y
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) ; ~3 c# C5 D1 u3 I1 hfrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):: o% x* K$ k2 Q
1983-87.4 B; L1 d, u" _$ @# Z1 Z
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust % q- b! J# Z! O7 R. t2 D) M# r, gskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):8 v5 Z9 n0 z9 }4 ~- O: w# w
180-84. 4 p2 [- Y* h4 ~: P! ^[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?3 h: x2 A! ]8 k9 I
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs; q) @" l2 p! `1 c4 {
too-big-to-flfly// ? y6 s% H2 |2 F1 v
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology ; }1 _* [7 @9 N) E/ d j% Zof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. ' T& H6 G! R) r! c& G+ f$ j F7 o[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable- i, A/ v# ?5 M) N+ U
air sacs in their wings.6 f! j. p1 F$ U% Z4 V4 `
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur9 @! D7 O: ~3 ~( @5 r3 ^7 P
breathing-air-sacs1 J1 ]5 W; m9 K5 }
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.( I: e4 N" q2 U
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils# l* @8 ]: p3 ^4 I( z
research-mark-witton; c* e4 J+ Y6 O Q% ?5 ^, z
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? 8 j9 f% n) R2 @* M' }https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs * {+ X+ b: W# ~" n4 r* c9 Cvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ 6 I" S/ a+ z: ^0 a U7 Y# t+ C! C/ i- ], \. n' e1 `
2022; B% ^1 [2 y: o. F1 F! H4 s5 W
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling . R. `! Y& t% Z1 ]. K' {; Lhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn( u. ?9 C6 F& G& D9 J' T0 |
Problem B (MCM), s5 \& K7 h8 F3 h
The Genetic Process of Sequences' b. a. B i: @8 j
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein 9 u# ~" g- w i B$ q0 X/ K5 Q( ~sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of & x# ?% r# B' p0 u. i* N9 ulife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their; B3 p2 B5 o, v( v M5 S. A- ` ]
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong 1 u/ B1 f' \7 a# c% yevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common1 h' ? z, J: M2 I6 E5 K
ancestral sequence[2].0 t7 O. W* X& A' [0 i
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu ! ^9 g& l5 p0 B' {3 R. O6 Dcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 5 n0 `5 y3 F* f/ D* k! |* qarise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and. W% U" M. W. y: T- W6 H
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by% W+ i5 k9 ~+ U. A
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together - W+ t4 v: ]8 ]* Acan form a family, and they are considered homologous. a# ~0 L: z8 {1 e2 M7 OYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com , q5 k5 Z( W" H5 Wplete the following problems. 7 G$ X# y1 q' A/ p: T. I6 B" x5 G1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between 3 b7 V2 W' W; ~" P/ Ftwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. 3 K0 a* }. @- M2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and! F# }. v0 E% W- R, ^. @* R
design suitable examples to illustrate it. 0 K6 f9 ^0 F( k3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an 3 F9 ? j) \$ H2 R. j; d! dcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral ! Q X- B3 @& o; N0 U/ _5 b7 {/ Xsequence, and map the genealogical tree. 6 v! `4 h' L4 X C( l9 P) pReferences $ ?' v& y- _. Z8 i' p[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re2 A" y* u( j* e: g% c9 r% o6 z
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. : r" f# v+ j- y* K: A3 ^' D[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 6 s0 e _3 y+ U% Ret al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and ( \$ Q. k% J8 [/ _ r4 l) a& aa way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 8 U0 o! C. [$ |8 A; ^1 O2 F : R! W3 n- h% T. y; ?( z6 I2022( {# u5 R! M6 S. M6 ?9 y) q
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling + t2 _ X8 ^, K! e: l. ^http://mcm.tzmcm.cn , f: ~ n7 j4 V, t ?7 `+ Y }6 fProblem C (ICM) ) D( u! q3 R6 O3 J: w# kClassify Human Activities. ~8 \# A# ?. x
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and/ L7 H4 q7 b! W
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im * K& s$ z2 H: I( V$ B8 ^prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor3 ^: ^6 B+ W* `! v
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ1 e: W& z. X1 Q
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly0 s. \' [$ ?8 ~9 E @/ g+ ^
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],! x( f- e7 O- Q
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in' f) R; \) T1 g( t
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,. o& N: ~8 W! |" x* d4 ]
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain0 U" h, f) ~; w* A, ^; i
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial" A8 t8 o" i( ?" ^/ n% [. G- a
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify ! S7 p M: m% F- Phuman activities, the following data were obtained.$ H$ K/ d) z# z; a
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,7 H$ s1 r, e2 e0 e5 `8 X( ^7 ^& a
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes & p/ u# P7 X/ c8 Q( n) B2 {for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ / Y3 L/ b0 `- i9 \ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be& ^( x0 X+ k w5 Z0 r: U- f
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and) r7 e9 t7 q, F e3 e
amplitudes of some activities.- G7 m7 H/ J3 u, S! P
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 5 N5 k& b. O" }& n+ o$ w7 qThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal* H3 O z: q! a2 H0 V
segments are obtained for each activity. & ]: |; q) Q5 x G' m _The 19 activities are: I4 r# s3 @% M* }, K1. Sitting (A1); ) Q5 z0 Q8 I. U, x5 O2. Standing (A2);4 e. m: d' g2 ]$ {) {
3. Lying on back (A3); x, @+ [& T1 U0 o. E2 B* @& Z
4. Lying on right side (A4); ) X' m! q9 l+ m( I5. Ascending stairs (A5); - C | `) Z% \9 s9 S2 y4 V16. Descending stairs (A6); 1 r# p+ x; c3 ~4 U9 M7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);; Q/ d$ q; t8 n6 E
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); ) S. i2 e# f, J9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);! d9 g B# W) N/ n1 t
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg & p7 l0 P# [# z( Sinclined positions (A10);+ U" W0 [( s/ \ B& d
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions: x. e1 @$ @& L
(A11); + l) P3 A: y- K* ~$ p+ O12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); ! D3 I L1 S& s) A0 }9 B13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); N1 s& u* I5 z- K3 K0 }, [3 b14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 1 f% u& m$ c. U9 ~15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);4 t2 G0 L" g, R- p" F0 n
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); 7 }. U- J4 \# J2 u' J/ u0 a- t17. Rowing (A17);4 n/ W# ]" c; n' ]' u, d
18. Jumping (A18); & F. g4 \! m3 R- w- U19. Playing basketball (A19). # g2 Y, y2 K* Z2 |6 E0 dYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve % ^3 V y* t, D3 C: \$ gthe following problems., |8 H# A- {/ }1 ]; d% `
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify % P: g/ B& P& X. bthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. $ Q$ B+ v: l/ F) V2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have* `' l/ {+ q3 [0 Y8 a
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study3 c; F5 G. X' @# i/ k9 I: l% A
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to - B% s; M# A9 xevaluate the generalization ability of your model.) T- Y% b9 K. A0 y: X6 W z( e
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- % [# P" [& U: I% Vcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action7 y7 r/ A" q( D8 l
classifification. ; A& }9 e$ F7 H( N$ iThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:; f. V) \5 l3 ?# L2 ]6 q0 f
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq 4 `( E4 |* v3 a5 n. a2Appendix: File structure4 k, T" x. |# s* r, D( a
• 19 activities (a)/ f C2 x2 r: X# H- x# W
• 8 subjects (p)8 T* ^: [. r+ [& ^! {# G! J' q
• 60 segments (s)" D5 G* ~+ y, _( l* T- |3 g- J
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left0 v# M1 h2 @) M$ f8 F; _8 e% m- K
leg (LL) 3 P+ E( h* O/ o% n3 J• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z$ ]- s$ `5 e. }! X' n) w2 E
magnetometers)% n! \' g2 Z. M/ x# T/ h) J
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. , @3 a: e: Y1 Z/ YFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the * q4 R- l; Y8 j3 z8 subjects.1 J5 P+ W2 z: r' X2 [& i4 Y3 p
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each 6 \1 c+ |2 ?5 [. r( ^4 usegment.% A0 Y+ u! p$ y- E
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25& V: m/ I4 i% E' x" D+ Y
Hz = 125 rows. + t* ]6 y8 R$ K5 R, }; o' b% MEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the/ P$ Q! @2 W* G' t2 F
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. * F! ?' g! V2 r: a. N# VEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular' D: V' u4 [& k0 a% F8 J
sampling instant separated by commas. % q. }+ t( e; u8 |1 |) `' KColumns 1-45 correspond to: 6 u- {1 t4 _1 _# l/ A9 Z+ G1 G2 q t• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,& |, N. P; D1 f' B% n* F$ r; }
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,4 l4 L3 L7 l F$ `4 h3 X
• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,6 K9 i6 ?+ c1 V, S! c4 h, D0 l
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,2 x( Z0 W4 J9 q6 j
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. + @( U& d/ W( M" H) DTherefore,9 x4 j. K \( t: @5 M1 w( B
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),# E0 F/ I6 W0 a; Y
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),. r! d/ H8 R9 o8 N& n
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),- |. ?/ s* g7 G G5 V
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),# Z7 B% `# `- s' ~+ k5 G( R5 u
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). , R5 G R5 `6 { b3References + O$ @1 c% R+ p" w5 q[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic 9 y+ g' s+ J0 F; odaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. , {1 Z9 p3 Z# z42(5), 679-687, 2004. w s! E( ?0 [: \; P5 r3 b2 C
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of 1 B# {5 b* A0 }2 nlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.. x9 Y3 a x+ n- `4 k* Q
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008* W8 L. o- N5 Z1 g1 V2 M0 e
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag " ` m7 U" t# jnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.5 A1 S' i3 C& `/ ] K( N
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 9 }0 G/ w( f7 \/ w' B+ m3 P[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con8 W( f L! ~3 b8 _5 c2 z& p9 m
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008% ]4 b" ?4 t3 {4 `- ^# g" [
* {5 N# F3 L2 n! H! ]2022 ; W/ w0 D" z3 LCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 7 f% @/ P( s6 `, h6 lhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn1 q3 D; Q: U! U+ z* q, p
Problem D (ICM) - ?9 l3 [* I, E: ?Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long4 W* v+ v; F8 h; _
Time) q' a" c+ v9 z/ t
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the4 K" K' Z; |5 y1 W
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source - c/ o( d; y1 J: [- t, wof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently " q7 l5 K2 x! q9 D9 x4 Y: [1 xtightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,- I0 S' H4 |( O9 j
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some2 r, M* R. S; o; l# d7 {6 S
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak ( q2 u N3 _4 A l/ ^ends.: m; L! @ }8 @7 C6 I" L
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?1 V- H* ]. _+ j6 J8 L# L( T* T
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas 9 d* m) a6 T5 O; [; h8 hothers say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo : B# a# @$ ~# K- r& I* Q; p2 \. Aple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 9 T& f d% H. C0 N4 \% i8 pcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil . y8 U% _5 e+ ^7 X a& Flion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of# {) G' l5 p( I/ X
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing./ S" m M( M2 V3 e, Z; Y
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology" C: O6 o4 j9 n) n# P) P& H
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their; i! \3 G1 o" ~9 d/ W x9 F6 q
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have I2 X" F6 B# v2 Q6 O* iidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with* Y* N- s% a" @
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing. b* D0 l$ C, x
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen' Y" H: o5 O3 _7 Y9 {3 A: ]" S9 A/ b5 a* R
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30, U4 o3 v Q* u C5 J
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in . t! b/ Y9 ~- g& C0 ^, \Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in4 @2 H$ E4 D' n, X1 w
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife7 Q, J9 M5 G) x. n4 \3 M8 N2 X
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature * _) R4 R) U: b+ ^7 |' S1 Rwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact ; K0 P; D+ J& xwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients # J, n8 x! H" ?% Fare in place for a similar disease to emerge again. 9 f$ A" b# c2 G6 N+ U6 M; g6 LWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:: |8 X1 f8 _( ^. u" Q2 Z4 c4 n
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 2 J C' g/ l2 P4 n& N2 @+ ^2 l1 Youtbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL 9 C" ]7 E+ j# a2 G/ ?3 B7 D• Decline and extinction of populations. ~% k2 g7 a2 X. ^7 `4 i# I
• Introduction of invasive species : d+ T- k2 x5 M& S: b# q• Spread of new diseases to humans( p! ~% e" D+ K1 M7 H
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database; X$ t+ g+ G- c6 S9 J/ R8 H
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The 7 ]9 v- R" G+ i' X" }- t" b! K- Vappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete , {; j P! V' Z5 Vdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:% k6 c- S$ j) y
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ 6 c& ^1 |# P2 ~Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod, ~, X& B" f4 e. t0 r. o
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:% g2 E" b B) t9 D1 W% G
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live1 z m" b8 `7 H
animals taken from the wild)? ! X& D( l' Y( Z7 x: C# H9 v% C0 X+ v' N2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?9 R! x* o/ @& b* D
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? " g' D* {# @5 p4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major* h, P- _8 i+ g- f& R! B
infectious diseases? : [$ J1 v+ o4 `2 K! b25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it : y& k w& C8 Fwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?& a0 S5 h) n# c! ~3 `) H' N$ {/ A
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain/ ~, X/ I3 n3 U, g8 @1 _8 q9 j
your views and policy suggestions.4 q& I1 ^2 P9 e) f! W4 i' [
0 D$ b3 Q: ~: e: i
% S- e) m8 e& M! K. A4 R 0 j+ r& G6 k% o: e ! T, a% ~, Y2 T9 H ( R- d1 {2 r3 B$ _- ?! h; ^ + ^1 c) H- I4 h 8 m1 Y! O J$ A# v! p) n$ l