% z: k) B7 w8 C4 `2 X2022* ]5 r/ U7 L/ J! U( K( B5 H% p0 J
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling # x- \' Z- A" e" n( chttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn : E0 h5 D% V& h A$ KProblem A (MCM)" z4 r- a& W* Q/ S
How Pterosaurs Fly ) `, N. N5 D. wPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They' y& A7 _' w8 e, \) H
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of $ x; ~/ M; E6 _& C! vthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved G+ v0 Z" ~( z% v: F2 t8 ~( y
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and: _" K% R( o# L% N+ V7 Z
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth8 f) B0 v Y) C- X; Y
fifinger[1].3 v/ @( g- w+ X0 X9 V' }
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller9 H" \* F! f/ H/ `; X" ~
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem . i k8 @) E, F, y$ o& ]$ X2 @branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they # z- X. v z! q9 P7 Hwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and ) S- d: c8 I; h# D' g& E; Dstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived. J3 y, P9 f1 c* q; N* J, l% J
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. 4 U4 t& L) }0 y# c4 QLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles., ?7 i, j. F3 ~- Z" D0 S
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,$ ]' ~/ Q: M8 E* b. ~5 w% ^
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on ! \+ Z# w) U' h2 W$ M; B) wall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and2 C! f4 h* ^/ b1 [- a
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil4 x g. g- [; \, S4 e! B4 R
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 9 [3 m! J9 r9 U; hPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which/ P/ N" p" }3 k. U$ O. ~5 @
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 4 T/ {! x: P4 m# Q$ V# Zhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug4 k) o4 z' p# M( j; T0 C g
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de * Z f5 {7 P; E% Y3 `riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning( M4 M9 {6 G! u Z2 k4 B; F
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded . `$ s) h I/ y( Z$ c& y(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec - f! P% O; S, X) \tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones ) x5 m6 E5 Z% ^% o" C6 dto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from! m' Q3 r3 k1 f: e+ L1 v
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including 6 i! m/ f- h/ q0 _) T2 C/ P3 gQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least* S0 k( u1 s+ x! Z
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong + W ~" h: O; n; D' B" Q1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers. ' w6 [' }# s e; v, ~The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled [4 O ]8 X; l& Fat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded& p- p- t" E; f6 O
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, ; t! v) w. h' D7 ^2 fLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able, v) Y. s4 N7 I% C
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. / n3 G; u! d2 E) J1 N* bHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology % V" g3 U$ [$ _4 a( f3 \" rof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs4 d* D$ `! J4 _( C+ t6 M
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, - H) H& j- Y+ h2 usuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that" p5 ~( [2 s; R- C4 ^
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed; n+ M" e4 x0 ~ R3 O
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].) k7 }/ R2 S4 {; z' P
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.) U; [6 X+ s3 }
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones* n3 M0 s/ d. G$ `- u: }
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage, N, ?+ J5 r- r" ^
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for % h* x1 G1 l9 E9 Z( lgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded( Z* ^% }1 G G( t: M
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as & H: t8 A, O- J. K( T. V Tquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of. U/ Y8 K5 g# N3 `
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism , P- _7 x- v, b# \to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would * y9 D& _) j1 a' \! H5 Henable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds , C% A/ h% p- t4 aof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. ( T! H; e( O% X9 O @. o( D( ]Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the. n. D, y9 l+ R
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and7 P7 j: O" V, m8 c
to answer the following questions. $ T k+ Z0 h. @; B: J. |# b1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor ' s; K/ |3 U# J1 \3 ~' ] b {mal flflight.# ~ G6 Y9 P/ {+ f" j
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during % R$ W& d( ]# p2 ^/ W# N6 i. Dnormal flflight.6 S( N) J) j- l( G
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like$ Z% D) W! k- V9 k
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.$ e5 ~0 r- `4 i4 x+ s* z1 Q5 V+ a3 O
References " y X* _0 P: s[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight- {9 y) q% e. ?! {) b6 P: G6 e
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111." Z# w1 q/ k% K# W$ g
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 0 f8 _% J: \/ A% R' ~9 rhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php0 s# S7 ^! _! D+ Y' g7 l7 R T
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs ; i8 ], V0 j1 g8 NWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- 3 B+ i& r- E- D% }- t$ {pterosaurs-had-feathers.html ; j3 k- `/ U, B1 Z' n6 V[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a( }4 r2 W- q* l( B8 D- ~1 \; w7 u
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) ( q$ A+ E2 G9 C( t, afrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): ) i& j2 Z9 D/ i2 V1983-87.$ f. f# E/ I3 E3 G, N
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust 3 Q( D+ e5 }2 g8 n; J$ [skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):9 @# o2 ~/ d8 d, b: U7 V/ u
180-84.1 }! ^* ?8 {5 _
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? ( L9 K2 N$ f, v A1 n8 hhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs4 A- D9 O# x) c
too-big-to-flfly/. f; e$ ~) r, |" n& u# m
[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology ; Y- {% B; z; k" \of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. ! E* Y# \1 R8 }& H y; t[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable. Z4 B- d& S% z* c1 w* T
air sacs in their wings., }9 u- O- Y; g" v1 b5 @& D
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur8 ^+ i( N2 m0 {$ d' m* N! }
breathing-air-sacs2 P2 b$ Q* ^' _" Q
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.% Q9 W" U+ [* i* T
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils! Z' u( X$ j1 y2 M$ K. p/ r2 V$ E$ S
research-mark-witton & E, B G6 W6 a2 {7 g+ @7 N6 E[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?% p3 J& {0 d+ z$ j7 S, |4 L* r7 r \0 P7 g
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs + M6 [8 p/ Z, {( P' rvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ # Q; _4 ^, l/ n( ^0 C, @0 D4 P " y% x7 f* T5 E! v9 o2022 " W& V( I$ {# ZCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling 1 d+ K. q( I! w4 H3 t: d7 D" ]% c. }4 khttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn ?/ g1 \/ A" f0 ]: Q: v% q
Problem B (MCM) # u' q4 s: F3 L$ n: B# f7 xThe Genetic Process of Sequences. C, @ I% a6 e' n n- u, F- Q" U
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein6 f# m4 ^/ q8 {: i6 ^1 I
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of ) R: b. {& R- |8 E$ y& \3 ]life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their 5 X5 s2 W. r4 c1 x! M# r1 Ynucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong E0 a4 y5 M M9 x
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common $ [% G! J$ Z8 R! u) @ancestral sequence[2]. 6 D x: l0 ~1 s, FConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu) X+ w9 v* c' T& V" X
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 8 Z" K2 V# d/ U" ]3 marise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and1 d" G: F6 `/ m5 G
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by9 _1 p! \. _2 }1 J
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together 5 R8 \8 u# L. d0 q! Kcan form a family, and they are considered homologous. & ] |- c4 V8 {% _9 @8 c0 ]3 jYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com5 P$ K; ]; l( L+ N$ j" k
plete the following problems.1 ]4 V$ _& e5 s! `. d
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between , J8 @( i& C b7 f9 j8 Itwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.! ^: l* G9 W/ G' N+ |/ a
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and # u# O4 t2 U. k9 [2 \+ \- |7 Xdesign suitable examples to illustrate it.: O1 g+ U' V& ^
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an & Q9 `7 R: u+ @# `cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral $ a8 S/ v) b8 b( X7 usequence, and map the genealogical tree. 3 ]% m4 _4 `) \9 z5 ?References( y( |1 j/ M& }$ b, t
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re % Y" s5 S: B# z$ W. hview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. `1 W& @) g9 c. O
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, ; Z& j. `2 B) h# uet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and* c) Y8 z5 c. O: A1 X# A/ E
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 1 ?) p1 t& X; \$ M # h2 c/ E1 g X/ Z4 A& @0 t. k2022, ?" M" F! Y2 O: Q4 r
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling% e: y9 s W' g, d' k
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn ' v& u. [( f" T0 E: qProblem C (ICM) 3 J4 i: E# h9 `Classify Human Activities 2 S$ Q0 I! S6 I' [One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and . a, C' V8 }- F4 h7 q. h* Emonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im6 N8 o- n8 [& [/ A! b
prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor8 y1 q0 r+ P9 W# y! ~& Q3 p
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 2 V7 l- j8 q h. fity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly/ G5 S' {8 b, g, a
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],+ R7 \2 h& M! H& z: w: N
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in - b9 u: P* p; F% Z% Z. oschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,* Y3 |" ?: t0 z9 D. U
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain ^, i: j+ H( I0 {
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial9 k! w8 x% \& Z9 M+ ]
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify 9 c" h6 h. l7 S& W7 k3 M9 Vhuman activities, the following data were obtained. 3 h% N# M6 Q3 z7 @- L1 [) uEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, / j9 `' ^. J3 h3 G; [7 ^7 Rbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 2 r0 x+ ]* q/ _9 V2 l8 }' s+ t* Ufor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ & W1 T0 t3 u2 F5 J' \2 Aities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be% _" g% t- K( d, i+ l( I7 ]9 E5 Y
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and 8 K+ @7 x* o$ @7 S' ]1 D. }8 e5 \8 Kamplitudes of some activities.3 ?6 p$ j6 M* |7 ?
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. , Z% I- D2 Q4 J: U$ cThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal : |. c" G- A6 N( M0 csegments are obtained for each activity. 8 Q1 e+ J# _' x# VThe 19 activities are: 5 L, C& H! z' a, m, l2 z1. Sitting (A1); ) W5 W& R* c l- @5 v2. Standing (A2);* |) ?; T/ F; L. J. K' ?9 p& u
3. Lying on back (A3); $ f2 r" g/ }; w. T4. Lying on right side (A4); % }8 s x# V. P+ t- A5. Ascending stairs (A5); 1 Z" g" y4 \0 d" h6 o6 s- W2 D16. Descending stairs (A6); 8 }/ \/ S) }8 p( d& \7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);% F+ b) C9 h5 X7 F7 D
8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);7 v5 Y* b) w3 s# o ^, E" @
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); ; Y1 Q/ P" U3 }, C2 X10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg( K# f! Z5 I+ o0 W5 d3 g
inclined positions (A10);; N- y0 I( N$ e& q/ X
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions 0 O$ C) ]4 q1 r1 _( M$ b q(A11);- | c9 M$ F; z8 \2 O2 z
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); 9 \! e z5 `) l0 G13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); ! s8 w9 D1 m7 R5 J14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 6 Z6 R' `3 J2 w; y! }15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);* d4 o: W8 L8 a5 f p
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); ! v5 R7 S. g# j. W5 y% v17. Rowing (A17); & o! z+ ?8 _5 o6 B18. Jumping (A18);2 `7 c# C$ a. R, R- x. O
19. Playing basketball (A19). ; ]; g- {, p& O3 ~0 C( M4 _, `Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 6 Q9 i8 N# n1 u& _7 Dthe following problems. # ^; o9 T5 G/ {" p1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify+ j! y4 z& q- g, N
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.: P5 @; l/ o6 J! X
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have ; O$ w/ V! W3 F1 `, B; K! Na good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study . w/ }8 r. ]. D) d% S" _and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to $ v$ c$ t' g" vevaluate the generalization ability of your model. ! B2 G: O+ J/ [8 d1 ^3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-. K' f9 C1 z$ D" A1 `( c# j L
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action& r9 k3 ] ~8 Q1 i2 c
classifification. 7 R3 ~7 n2 n8 ~1 `+ ?6 wThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: ( y. z* \7 A! e8 K: Ehttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq% h I6 ~6 u1 s; k1 @+ ^8 M
2Appendix: File structure! l2 N2 i) I6 P
• 19 activities (a) W9 m( N K* m4 r g7 }% y
• 8 subjects (p)( A3 w* O* F/ b% [% u! D! U
• 60 segments (s) 9 |1 I+ A/ l* X( k3 V5 M• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left, D9 i( D* p- s. w9 h" L& Y0 b! h7 n
leg (LL) : B( P3 G( y. f5 {" B; x• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z# a: {" Y& E g. i$ W7 n$ J0 N& O
magnetometers) * g0 F) {( s3 q$ \; U# w) g I' D/ `Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 7 \' S; J/ V# ]# SFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the/ h* l2 s) R; j/ [* X6 R
8 subjects. + }8 x3 f- k3 b% e! t6 pIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each- {# g8 T8 g) E( o5 K0 _4 l
segment. U. m Z& x. Z0 b6 N4 h) f8 jIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 259 T6 D0 ?3 K- ~" t B. j' o
Hz = 125 rows.- b$ n8 C' K- s% i2 s/ Z7 P5 s' d
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the / X; R2 w- ~4 g4 a) H" ksensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. 8 h) \ I) U4 t( VEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular 5 `4 U" f& G! f4 L9 e4 q9 A. ysampling instant separated by commas. 6 K% L7 O/ ? v+ Q/ N7 [3 U$ T" E$ K( mColumns 1-45 correspond to: % g: O' X* ^6 a• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,7 g3 W0 `* b1 Z" ~, W8 K* k1 t
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, ' \. I6 O4 X3 W) M: \/ s: `• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, 4 ?+ u1 |% _' Q) P6 } ?• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,) |% |5 X" N& ?; F
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. - K Y# e5 R! D( }( UTherefore, & N1 e8 d( F/ K D1 m* j• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), 5 u7 b- j( W% l• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), ! Q+ ]6 T0 r. D% A0 C, i1 [" o* o• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 7 k+ s1 J" n. x3 F6 g7 s1 g, W• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),4 ~6 f9 A4 U3 D0 `& R( F; e
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 0 z, m. z, |% {- c: d3 `/ i3References * k& P( i: i- W( K8 u7 r( H[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic: x2 G" r; g' ]0 Y D2 i
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. 6 t! m d' {! v1 F' G# V8 h4 Q42(5), 679-687, 2004 : H2 s) b: q4 G* X6 s9 k1 ]& D[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of! [. b( V$ d" Z! \0 T8 g
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. + i$ \2 } [. r) iGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20089 L9 R: e1 Z( g( g# X0 ]# ?- t. s9 P
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag # l5 \: `6 j a( fnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. 4 o5 l3 p+ ^, J4 G- W3 c- C7 @; }( qB. 11(5), 553-562, 20077 T, f, n2 P, o; t
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con4 U. L8 E' i% l- Z5 w) t, e& ~& F" T$ G$ }/ a
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 % w3 e; ]: c8 X$ E" M6 w1 W% l: P 2 H. v* P" A& o3 d# j8 `2022 ( z$ b6 |; _1 ~2 B6 [ c* Q* tCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling- q. o: V7 W4 _7 p
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn : D$ H) s' |# F) _1 l4 uProblem D (ICM) C+ d! Z! R6 v9 C
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long , w/ L- o! d! U/ S. mTime 4 s' W) j+ Y V9 F/ ZWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the 9 Y* `+ {+ r5 k/ X2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source $ Z8 @; [% @2 a+ K7 p1 _1 ?8 l& nof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently # y; c. \0 P* I) y& Itightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, / R$ w0 V! i0 N0 l; X, M( Mwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some& T3 @$ R( @6 N( p
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 0 i$ n8 A) Y3 z' o4 y, [ Z3 ^ends.2 F& S F: [% E
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? 1 ^4 Y$ a |; BSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas: e- A0 G7 H1 Y, y- |
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo / U! `: k$ }6 Xple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 8 E; M% b2 `6 J/ H+ c I! xcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil" _. E: P! A" A
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of- L% H* C: @6 H8 g% Q6 @ \
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing., u" i: L2 T; U6 X
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology* e5 u J! ]- e+ \5 m
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their ! {% x1 V# L( ]0 nsmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have - a& w, |+ x! h% n. }7 M3 h7 ?identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with 2 f" o8 {- n6 e' mall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing $ W" e4 `# V* Q* P' {almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen$ p8 o/ e. C3 B
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 300 R7 a, b! O! L8 }9 b
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in % @4 e; \! A# V @2 o8 {Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in - u. d' ?. T* Y& \1 ~, PGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife2 T3 c4 ]5 _3 u# J7 T- D3 e
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 9 t0 j0 e1 ?+ b' V6 ~. ^ Owhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact , |: ~! Z2 y- \; g$ P; q1 l8 \with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients$ |* x0 Y; K% ]" v% ~
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again." T O5 B, Z1 \0 K" h. ~8 `
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: 8 ?. W! g/ z. o' @" t. k1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 8 C2 s7 d7 p. j7 Boutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL6 N# x) F8 x/ y1 E" ]" H
• Decline and extinction of populations ) c p7 O a! u) N t8 ^$ J• Introduction of invasive species8 Q$ U( m' [% q6 L
• Spread of new diseases to humans4 g9 e/ v4 @/ `2 Z c
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database o, `& N( i7 f! s6 {
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The5 y& b- K* i3 v7 Z1 ~
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete / `- v* }( L% p+ ?database can also be obtained through the following link:# D7 s$ [6 q; E7 E) A
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ ) I- U2 @# H' ]1 T$ y. L# JRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod, p7 U D3 D* U
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:& i% B0 J3 {- j
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live) Y1 F4 b. S5 E
animals taken from the wild)? 1 ?) d* ?; R5 @! b0 S+ e& n- ~2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?% q( X2 \ N ?; G3 g& r
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? 0 K- \3 x8 ~' S |- M: E* Q" e6 @4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major. w/ T9 ^% S, K' H
infectious diseases?* e. p: W/ u- T2 d
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it5 }/ g# K$ K0 a, ]! w
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? 9 y) R4 v R t) u# p6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain* l) W G% v4 r( V* X! G; E
your views and policy suggestions. % n8 Q, C3 p; ]2 Y! v! H, K. I9 t# v. g4 A8 ^$ B" K: ~
( G5 @" p9 u. m# z, x
+ @# R. d( j% F4 T- w( R6 l0 Q3 H* E A. R3 a9 e
: G8 D: i) `8 ^0 D' b/ {6 p " p6 j/ j$ x4 N# ~: G( K1 M4 x; Q3 K' U: [