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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址
    , P  ~8 d% e7 T8 |/ W) A. lhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx
    0 [: {  |4 t7 g: \. Z* A1 {6 Q- ?; w% y) A( |, y
    2022
    - Y4 Y0 d, l8 @0 c* T+ b1 L" ^Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling& N3 }) F. |: h* j' l5 d
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    1 y: c) n6 J8 U3 u9 eProblem A (MCM)
    # y; ]9 u0 [0 ~How Pterosaurs Fly
    ; m' f) X$ R9 _Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They# J+ x) L9 k3 Y6 [1 Q0 z: `: k/ C
    existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of
    0 ?& Q2 _+ y  M1 w4 A  ~- Kthe Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved; @- b9 B/ i; W9 K
    powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and
    * d. m0 p. i. q& K. [other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth  ~- x% i/ Y# @8 c, E7 _
    fifinger[1].; J  h$ ^+ k7 W
    There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller
      ~2 n4 l$ }, q$ N) canimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem- }8 b+ w1 b- Q- t/ h$ g
    branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they
    . \* \" r; z. T* V( s# x& Iwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and) E4 ^, N. J! y2 b3 @
    strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived
    & J. o  S* Z+ H% C: o; r! ~: g4 Yin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.
    / I/ [' U3 t( b$ K: P% J$ Z2 uLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.
    % o) {. e; S& d/ }Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,
    ( }; H: [" i" yand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on- Y4 [9 S7 B) g, R6 j9 J; i) `( ?# t
    all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and
    ; x6 O  O1 ^2 X  F5 S% afolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil5 Q: g/ a0 G+ v" |0 S
    trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].' v6 d& p9 Z: `" S: U7 N. w* P( y
    Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which2 {8 w8 v" ?7 a& z" f$ L
    covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have
    ) B' D. ~5 h* l/ i/ r) Ihad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug
    & m9 @$ ^; [) rgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de
    9 g) M: K) B# G3 Vriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning$ p8 V6 D4 ]/ v! z' ~
    calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded' a* J4 M  }$ ?, S
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec
    . E- J- Q( w3 g. A; I/ a1 [0 E# xtional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones+ P5 k( ]# k, w6 E  P2 X$ K
    to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from7 B. t3 V/ ?' ^
    the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including
    3 l( u  ^0 B6 ?& L; tQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least9 L% [1 \% x. _& U4 E3 t2 j) G
    nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong
    . l& w6 R" X% n; {( Y' V4 c: O8 y1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.) l- Q$ g2 B/ x& u, @+ G
    The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled' f# P+ Y5 @0 J1 n/ F0 _
    at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded
    9 ?; Z" `9 ]& e6 j2 mthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,$ r& g9 g% |+ `, @+ ?6 ]3 r
    Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able! [# _- L" @5 U
    to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]./ l2 K' F, G( n  D% ^6 S$ E
    However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology
      `# p, D* C6 N. {# Lof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs
      s% v2 O4 @' wbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,
      Z7 {! j# A4 M& _such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that. B- m8 G4 O" K1 @9 h* T$ p
    atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed. t9 u1 j4 v" @- K& ~
    for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].
    : I5 B- _3 N$ o0 _+ w0 Y! xAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.0 x9 N7 O& `3 A* I. a
    If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones
    2 ?" S, Y+ a5 ~& G# W; K% L0 g+ b0 w5 Mof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage6 X, M5 {4 H* e: h
    a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for9 v% ~: J3 d' v7 q0 ~7 r
    getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded6 l6 L6 D) O7 ^# n
    and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as2 L% T2 m$ U" W% I+ r
    quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of
    3 }3 C. C/ c: q4 [/ d, TJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism
    " ~2 [1 E9 ?/ \" Z0 h& R' l, E8 Eto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would
    1 [, l; V* Y# Y2 h) Z* _enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds) o4 N/ R, g0 N4 H# K. V
    of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].
    * N' m/ V1 ~5 f! B5 h4 \) k6 F+ nYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the
    & F; p' S& Z# W1 B6 k7 |: y7 J/ Zflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and
    0 O+ Z" d1 D9 @  nto answer the following questions." z9 w1 v; X: c6 H
    1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor( ?5 D. Q9 }2 R4 [7 j/ f
    mal flflight.. A3 [5 a4 N6 U' X7 o  X0 q" d
    2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during
    8 b5 ~* Z: F* s) D! Inormal flflight.  X5 x% R7 A  W3 z& _
    3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like# P. u- w. Y+ T: s* [6 p; [
    birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.
    " J# F. M* O: x& @References
    ; f$ w" N/ H7 b  E) B) }1 w[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight: c0 \; U2 T6 L2 ]4 W
    Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.+ U" A  F% g$ ?/ j# P  c# a
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.
    * w' q6 z  k, h+ T! z6 |  Vhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php  ?3 t  S% _& T: _3 g7 f. d
    [3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs
    ' G$ P/ S0 `: aWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-
      K& x  L# Z6 d+ ?pterosaurs-had-feathers.html
    4 B/ ]& e, c% f+ v- s, @[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a
    6 N# c; m: K* |7 G9 n9 S1 ~rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)% _' t7 d6 X; i" D5 `
    from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):
    . {7 }) E0 G, {3 Z/ k2 w# i8 z  F  |1983-87.1 N% H$ ^* }. W# N$ _; j3 c
    [5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust
    . V- c% o. ~) H, }* x# nskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):% }" o3 C8 s& d% i+ v, i7 ~8 b( U. G
    180-84.; b$ {- h3 D- y1 S, O% `
    [6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?
    ( ^* V: G9 H/ F' k& T/ Fhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs
    + q; q2 |- X: Z" y7 Ptoo-big-to-flfly/
    : o. E! ?' t3 P2 X  ~4 R2 e[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology. |( E, v" n! [2 U& e6 ?
    of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.+ f- o0 B- v" d( |, G) U  P8 t
    [8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable
    2 T$ n( W$ c( a' c4 sair sacs in their wings.
    - N% }5 i7 y5 `. D$ C& v7 _% Bhttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur
    8 Q. a6 X0 P0 Hbreathing-air-sacs
    & v- r/ l/ I: B5 ^! N- Z1 B7 G[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.
    6 e, g3 l9 B: X4 uhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils& p$ T; E4 \7 J; f, d. X
    research-mark-witton7 i" t  ^2 H% H4 b
    [10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?* [5 \7 a$ \- ]4 D0 n8 j
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs
    1 g6 z( w: C! W) |+ \" P, y* bvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/
    8 \6 h- Z$ _: n; T! t0 h) q; j8 {7 F5 R9 o. x) P% t" x% f$ x
    2022
    . T7 j% c3 a6 M! hCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    / V7 y5 Q; F3 V8 t& Xhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    - f4 f! R1 f4 H6 P: vProblem B (MCM)# w8 n7 S# U8 n$ q4 U  i/ K5 J2 }
    The Genetic Process of Sequences
    7 h3 r( c' @; Z5 ~' [Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein
    5 e, T/ V5 y2 asequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of  ?% p! K' P% ~1 d* z
    life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their; M# a" N% h/ l) s- }$ L) F- ~- o% T
    nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong
    ' b) I- B4 L5 c* U" zevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common; ?) E, f! }+ ^' T- A$ B) W; [4 m
    ancestral sequence[2]./ k/ z* w- _" S% ~6 M
    Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu
    $ K' w9 l/ V7 N2 k% q+ Hcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation
    0 h  N  M% K( K( v& l( Varise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and1 u" f9 v& N0 c- Z. [/ w* V; F/ @" r
    deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by# ~4 Z" m7 }0 I( e& c% O
    the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together
    % A& w7 _0 T3 `: f- ^9 \$ {; Xcan form a family, and they are considered homologous.8 G; r! X* o1 ^8 o# @6 x8 L: q  f
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com
    ; y7 l1 v* U' n, z; o$ ^) Wplete the following problems.
    1 [. r( ^2 E5 d7 G1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between" Q% F" @6 V4 R# ]- Q9 U( C& x
    two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.
    6 F' o8 S; j9 q7 E1 W9 ~2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and
    " `5 n( V5 }9 S* Y5 }design suitable examples to illustrate it.
    6 q/ T+ E! j  \2 g/ p3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an
    + t2 G" {3 g* Z5 _& ~' P: l6 c3 Ncestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral7 Q& @5 M# n8 O
    sequence, and map the genealogical tree.
    % l8 A6 n  i, ~  V1 y; S0 rReferences2 b) ^2 I* A! m% @9 Y  r- W
    [1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re2 T% n% u5 c, |3 h' u) P: {
    view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.6 f* \+ `' _" ~: P' ~1 o
    [2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,
    - ]' u( Q( J5 N" N/ [. bet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and. q* A6 N- I+ Q4 N& H. w! o" U
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.
    , q. F( d! C% A# B8 r9 L; l7 M  D& l8 b* H: F
    2022; {8 `  x* x8 z- G9 C+ H
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling; y# \4 p! c! T+ P9 j1 J
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn" Q& P+ e( Q+ q6 |9 m/ t4 K
    Problem C (ICM)1 O1 [  U! I- A4 [8 m; Z3 t
    Classify Human Activities
    + ]7 m9 K$ D) y0 W6 {+ EOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and
    5 `; Y) D0 `0 F8 Y7 C& M) N' O1 u# [3 Xmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im
    , B9 p7 @. O6 _7 \prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor
    & U. Y" I" q% W& S) Ting, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ6 |+ s! L5 s! g+ w
    ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly
    - |  w0 U5 Y/ _/ a0 ?remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],
    1 s9 V1 j. {: |3 r$ s) q6 bmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in
    7 A2 e% R& y7 k! ~3 {" A2 Q6 \. vschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,+ ]# d% e) a$ U- A. i
    sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain+ m, s5 y! S9 I  w9 K% B; g' ]
    ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial! {3 ?' }. z) [: O+ R8 p" J
    sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify
    / x) q! e0 |8 m; Z0 X1 rhuman activities, the following data were obtained., t3 V; [4 J5 e1 r# n
    Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,; N, c8 i! E/ T1 P# p
    between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes
    4 _) q2 `2 u1 Q. D. Z. H% b! ]for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ
    ! C& b, }2 f2 U8 _ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be
    - [/ s8 C& {# m9 qperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and7 V* j6 }! E) u1 v" i- d
    amplitudes of some activities.
    8 i0 p; u" ~- a6 f8 n  t3 sSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.- _& r2 m: y% T7 Q& L
    The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal
    0 R; N% n, [. Y9 K" wsegments are obtained for each activity.
    3 A+ {1 b7 q, P, A8 c' Y( O& FThe 19 activities are:
    0 V: |% ?; u) p9 u+ r1 u0 h1. Sitting (A1);* m9 b& K8 ^& T
    2. Standing (A2);
      v" J; ^; X- Z' C3. Lying on back (A3);
    4 O' S: a# R4 D5 d* A4. Lying on right side (A4);
    0 U# \- q9 p* q5. Ascending stairs (A5);) F% m+ L) X5 a( O& L
    16. Descending stairs (A6);4 L% ?6 K. [7 g1 u4 u7 w$ ^& j
    7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);
    6 s6 o' e" ~- P4 Z) b7 G8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);
    7 b% A0 H7 Y/ z: x: k9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);  v. y8 l( q8 m& o% W# q9 P
    10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg) A4 d( u! {9 e2 ^
    inclined positions (A10);8 @! I( }! r1 h1 a3 F) q
    11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions7 @3 y+ a+ Q) q  }7 A+ s+ \
    (A11);, h7 F! @$ ]& l: l, b% M+ l, C0 o
    12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);- Q; _' m) p5 d" k
    13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);. }  b; `' `% ?
    14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);/ n4 h6 b# \$ U- T. W0 U/ W
    15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);
    9 V1 T9 c/ d4 H/ ?16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);4 W# X& X1 O' L+ ]5 j
    17. Rowing (A17);3 }) J; u  }) I2 F
    18. Jumping (A18);
    6 U' Q# z; ^) c- m+ U/ l9 ~. F19. Playing basketball (A19).
    ' h. g( j8 j# I5 k- t$ i% q1 aYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve
    5 A: @/ N2 \2 A: h9 e0 n# }the following problems.
    2 J" }( _5 Q' W3 l2 ~1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify
    " t1 l7 d8 M3 i. H! |( ythe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.
    7 ]7 H/ _3 v4 c& D8 d' h1 l2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have% Q, c# G5 c( r) J& I; r6 w, A
    a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study
      B: _' g7 K! E. @and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to
    : y0 t* s& y2 Tevaluate the generalization ability of your model.
    ) Y$ D# M) k: S  X/ q' m  ^4 H3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-- i9 P6 Z( h. ]$ t
    cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    / }) }& |$ \) A, t+ O8 n' Cclassifification.
    * v+ t; ^- P) K+ b  t) P6 XThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link:
    / W; ?) g/ x/ j! Uhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq+ m) |2 e' ?2 a" G$ u4 w" K
    2Appendix: File structure
    5 c$ z7 F; \. `; T% r/ i& d/ U5 D+ X. P• 19 activities (a)
    2 |/ N6 q- {% {9 u• 8 subjects (p)
    ! {% D" K' P: V! W5 D" n% L& K• 60 segments (s)
    5 {/ G- t$ X+ H( C/ z• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left9 T4 ?$ n- C* }( v: i1 z# N  b  H% h
    leg (LL)
    4 H  B3 x  W1 L7 w5 `- [% N• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z
    $ I; a# }7 P- m$ T) E1 W( wmagnetometers)
    * S7 r& y% {. O: ^+ o# W# w- fFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.
    . ]" }4 V8 N6 ?" t1 fFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the3 w; J2 r& h* P2 Z- n8 ], w7 P
    8 subjects.* U' y6 g1 ?8 \4 z  h; f. U+ T
    In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each
    0 n6 G# `. k0 S6 L. c7 ~segment.
    7 x1 b7 h- ]& V/ n5 L* x" YIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25* d. D7 w+ b+ F
    Hz = 125 rows.! L+ B$ U( c1 A  K* J% j1 c
    Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the
    2 _% ]3 G* n4 p, @sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.
    3 _9 |* S7 \2 m; F. pEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular/ ]( c2 s. N2 t- ]4 i! g% [
    sampling instant separated by commas.. v% {3 _5 |% |1 ?0 G0 [; G2 ^" y
    Columns 1-45 correspond to:
    2 `& H/ @2 Q# g0 j• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,* A; ?! L! s" v: b$ ^- V2 D
    • RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,
    . g7 N! U$ E  \, r! i• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,
    / V8 A( Q. G1 n" I; N7 c• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,
    * k# i7 \, d7 f$ M• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.
    . R) W: `) K5 }" K' a5 ?7 eTherefore,6 }' D+ e' U, n) g
    • columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),, {3 e1 C' Y. V& d
    • columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),
    : u: O2 J* y6 W4 k* y• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA)," v/ c; F  x& w" n6 o  |
    • columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),7 W' n4 s2 P7 Y; {, T9 K8 B* J( W
    • columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).+ z" l; i3 Q% d- \/ v9 ~
    3References
    " J. c: I2 s2 }; l: H5 W[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic# C. R% o, p6 `+ I$ g  B, g
    daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.
    4 L; D7 R5 I+ h, p42(5), 679-687, 2004" X/ x, {$ l+ }2 a/ y7 j* ]
    [2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of
    ! X& b  H. ^: L3 P. q5 rlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.
    % C2 j5 g' w- NGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008
    & ]( X3 g' ?' B0 R; J% W* P[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag1 g9 G$ _" |. R+ J9 G! K) Z
    nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.
    3 J, N0 F2 g. a5 CB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007/ i4 A+ I5 _. G9 Q
    [4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con
    * h4 ~4 w8 F0 Y  N: ?  M3 {trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008) i. }* c, V$ h# l5 F' L* y7 A# P
    0 p; n* [! M4 y1 C
    2022
    6 z* |+ N6 c2 _2 X5 l  [% w2 gCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling4 V( I9 D. z9 ~
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn$ j$ D5 B* \& _
    Problem D (ICM)
    ' S: e* u3 ~: y. i/ MWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long
    2 d+ Y8 K8 \+ p8 X  tTime
    8 w% D5 G4 e7 C3 c: f: O# Q3 \Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the0 S' y9 }, I$ ?0 _1 r
    2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source
    7 d8 K+ L' m" y3 w) ^of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently
    + V- f+ S( p" J+ u/ v% ^% d0 Dtightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,
    - K/ t& @7 C9 Rwhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some/ @" E2 k- }% z
    scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak
    ) X3 y4 I4 f! i5 @& b: nends.
    ) C- X5 ^# x9 c. ]6 qHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?
    , ]% L. w+ x& U$ G( S% i* ZSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas  R4 w2 C/ }$ h2 \  q! B
    others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo. l# b/ `8 I% S- N6 B, C
    ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could9 x) F8 H1 m2 q  I8 U$ ^
    cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil
      e+ {" q  N& s( r4 O& S; y' E' Rlion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of
    3 ^" [1 M/ a( ]7 {/ ]Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.2 c& t6 A% C3 \# R" T
    A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology
    & f- s3 j$ |1 @; `5 uin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their! _) v5 s! q+ P+ I3 e& R
    smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have2 M, Q3 d8 c; V$ ~
    identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with
    ) h* J1 x! a; ^, x, }/ Rall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing" ^9 D# f% b7 E  |- c# H
    almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen$ L3 @) }2 f$ y1 U& w
    from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30# z! R% o# q5 Q0 S& h
    November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in
    + X( l5 X$ w3 V( a7 T4 IYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in! Z8 D. N- _. H! B8 O
    Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife
    $ K5 r) d# U  W6 j. u6 Utrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature
    - E7 H' ~! D( ?, f2 f& ]% t, Fwhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact3 \& o/ M. m; @4 ~5 a1 ~4 O. l9 @6 Q
    with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients
    7 S* r; d/ f  }4 n1 m' Tare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.
    3 m0 W( Q: v# x: o* L( `% h# D# EWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:3 d. k' X( s. N
    1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS
    , ~, Q4 e2 V+ O; A2 boutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL# K; J( X' m' Y* S
    • Decline and extinction of populations( A8 h$ f" P; w. q1 D7 Z2 k1 F/ r
    • Introduction of invasive species9 `. a# S9 q; C- a. @% z
    • Spread of new diseases to humans+ }( `* `- h# l4 w& I; L
    We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database
    9 L$ G- B6 z9 t, ?9 k& ]! @contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The. ?( Q+ v) }0 q4 J6 r
    appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete
    ' ]) P. |$ a2 g) Jdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:
    1 L6 l2 @5 v3 T/ B! l; i; xhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ
    ; T( Y/ L. W. [8 f( k6 {Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod8 D0 c+ `# C/ Z) I; O9 ]" g
    els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:
    & d( Z! }( k# Y. y1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live7 Y. J& D4 ~2 s3 I0 h9 d: h
    animals taken from the wild)?2 _3 W/ p3 P- c  `, i: L, |
    2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?* D' Q& T3 G! `5 t" c- u: ]
    3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?, T- ?) O0 f, Z" R1 z
    4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major; r# Q' m: ^0 s* t
    infectious diseases?
    " Z# k5 b/ I1 P9 E& K0 N25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it+ T8 ?, Y4 v: \# `
    will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?& ^) }2 f, v" J) I; U4 u, h
    6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain( L) x1 e5 I8 L9 b8 `8 ]) d: w  G+ c, _
    your views and policy suggestions.% _' y2 l# e; ?) `
    6 [7 k: ]& m/ W. t* L3 R4 d4 s

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    * ]2 s2 U9 k/ b1 x6 _& l5 L( L
    ) N* @0 X5 [" [$ h

    2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题.rar

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