2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 $ _6 l7 V3 v# A/ L( u0 ?5 i: e' ihttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx 4 x9 q9 M( ?1 J. k7 P# I& I: s2 F a/ P2 x, O- n8 M$ {% G
2022 1 h; C) e( x5 _& @" o7 F7 QCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling7 }* {* v9 p% D+ `( [. m
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn - M+ M9 A, q0 {3 c% b3 WProblem A (MCM) 7 `* x, D: v' S) B6 @- d P8 C# jHow Pterosaurs Fly/ ?, L% v- {6 Z8 D; b
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They; {$ d! A; ]. [( v
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of3 ?. Q! k9 M' g+ F+ v
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved - ?* d( J3 s9 f9 Z% Y" C: }powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and & f4 }+ u: z+ H$ m. W2 eother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth4 U* @* i$ t3 z$ e, l& }9 R
fifinger[1].# f! v" G' N% ]
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller " b# Q5 m! Z7 j& j" Ianimals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem! [0 g" O6 r9 R- n2 w4 q
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they 4 B* f1 T1 {$ K, dwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and + R# F# o1 `3 V% _% Tstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived6 x, f9 y. J( q% N: C" m, D/ r
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. ; Y% l4 l4 K5 h1 vLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles., T8 Y* I6 l! ~
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, ' H- j$ ~& Z; u" f: \and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on 6 m% u9 M2 a; L kall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and 0 v0 l6 j; T& J3 s3 nfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil0 u& o7 z% L+ c: K9 k' W: R
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].0 x. g, }6 G# x: A4 J+ w8 |( R3 n
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which : U( p/ v' t6 l0 R3 Dcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have+ D i9 r" b% e, `
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug . \$ K- r1 @8 U. P" Y+ Qgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de$ Y% H) q) g$ z/ J% w. U2 U
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning ' X) H6 L0 h3 S8 t8 ?calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded ; y1 _2 m3 \ f- E0 C0 Y6 n* f5 Z+ u(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec ) A. a* R5 n$ r* etional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones / Q9 e3 v' {, [ a+ R! J4 ?to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from& v7 K6 m& Z8 ~1 w0 g, D
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including8 C1 B+ |8 x# l- }+ @# L
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least ; c( {8 g- K/ f2 Q- f/ c6 _( rnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong ( U' B+ _+ x3 m6 _1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.8 W+ C* ?' k1 r, p2 Z! i
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled; j6 r* W: Y) e- C3 C
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded8 K {& ^$ I% R
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, ( x! G! W2 j/ ~/ ]8 Q NLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able7 A, n+ I+ L5 S4 a+ u ~; X
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. 2 n/ G/ w; \0 {! @- k1 i$ W( b8 KHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology4 j3 Q6 g* z5 P0 I( s9 ~
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs' y% U. O2 l% j4 I& _4 L0 g
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, ' U' P" t8 d7 _1 H4 ?" I: isuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that3 \* c0 E0 s p& a9 e: Q$ q6 V
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed s7 \5 I; C+ \# [9 F- e( v- r1 xfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. E' x7 c& h7 o9 |3 KAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.: y, J& z3 \/ t6 ^7 E3 s
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones 4 _+ F7 t2 l5 P) z- {! bof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage 2 V* b4 }2 N( M. C, Y0 ]8 Za bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for & `+ _9 L9 L+ ~" X) B9 hgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded 6 ?: x# ^2 A7 y9 G/ }- L8 K2 Oand having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as 9 ~: A, s2 l |quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of 8 K; W1 Z" e$ ?; [7 m/ e* r' ]Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism! h4 \- T% D$ {' O2 C6 |, a
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would' Z* `# t9 |! S* O
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds ! {6 F1 E8 q& E8 z/ \, g- P2 uof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].1 u! v7 D. J. j U0 a
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the, U+ k5 }+ w" r7 R0 e5 X% h
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and - v6 F2 j" m. F3 q* ~to answer the following questions. # H' l; P9 P8 J# M( k$ D% \1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor ; @4 v& A; c3 y+ i9 N+ u# O8 b3 C0 q0 Rmal flflight. - m: U1 F- R$ N m1 m6 p! z2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during 2 I2 t+ T2 C0 R6 c# ?* Z; q+ Fnormal flflight.) G7 q$ U2 a/ [$ }1 l( b
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like( V" s- q4 F9 A1 Q: o$ |! \
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.& k# h" w0 T% G; \
References 2 H& c* ?: Q7 T: N/ M& |% g! D[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight. f" X/ R5 w+ p
Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.4 {; g7 C) j, V5 b2 W
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.: u$ I5 N) x, l5 T
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php % a$ L; X; a* ?% {# w5 G[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs ' U$ r7 t5 N5 T) J8 B6 CWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- 4 E) ?% o5 S* lpterosaurs-had-feathers.html6 Q; T: J; X# _1 m/ V: g! A, S
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a 3 ^8 a, E" w+ `+ I( _3 Prare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)9 g4 W4 n7 t3 B P4 W+ }2 k# u
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):, M; R# [# P1 z! C) R3 o' @8 x4 S
1983-87. 9 S+ x; i. B) f) w% ~- l6 h[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust 2 l7 x- Z9 @- z/ _7 Fskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 1 X$ ~1 p) n* r7 X& r# e/ q180-84. * K; U% E; z! F; j[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? 2 e" |' F6 v$ g, shttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs2 ?2 z; l' ~/ X( b8 ~
too-big-to-flfly/ ! {# ]: Q8 o4 n/ D: v8 r! o7 p9 n[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology" Z: ?" v9 l: A$ b
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. ) w7 L" }! |5 a" j: |$ o" u9 I8 _[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable ; c( k% v5 Y# h1 w9 xair sacs in their wings.0 I' x4 ^, N0 r5 v1 q# z( ~, H$ {
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur ; z8 b$ |. n# k0 a/ ubreathing-air-sacs + L. J! Y4 ?4 K- j7 r( q9 g) q[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. % Q- h* T* r1 V# [$ G" Xhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils' S$ c+ H: n5 V. p. d5 A; N
research-mark-witton" z6 L5 |3 H) s% ?
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?# ~4 W3 W1 Z/ Q/ m) N. b
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs - D# z% E6 I0 Q+ fvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/; _& Y3 ^0 w, B
/ x8 B5 r( |# I3 ]. L2022 [" s7 E' `0 q# HCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling! R" s, q6 h# v
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn% q+ K! v( ^+ M1 ~5 h# m
Problem B (MCM) & L* | Q9 A* \; Z6 BThe Genetic Process of Sequences ) \& C0 H. U* OSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein4 ^! p8 e. B; L4 f6 S" Q
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of 7 {$ e6 n" a6 Dlife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their ( c/ Q' Q) }, W% J; Y: anucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong ) l- H/ K8 f1 p8 ?evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common ) E9 a& O# q( O4 s0 n1 `ancestral sequence[2].( {; {( Y- Q2 C+ O
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu - r' M4 T7 S2 o/ J1 R- {cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation3 o* A, O6 g5 s4 x7 z
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and) q7 ^7 x- Z) ~" a' p
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 0 @2 B9 S3 P7 u3 y9 ?the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together7 Q- u* Z/ S- o& P8 j
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. 6 J" \! A) b3 U8 s3 @Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com' N Z0 W! y1 j5 U* [
plete the following problems.: n! a5 x! Z) @8 t; r) ~( N
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between + s4 Y& W+ F0 T- f: C" ?two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. * V6 D! K2 k7 Q: c2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and7 P! E+ p8 e( J: O2 l% n
design suitable examples to illustrate it." d' I! B1 V$ S; b( g1 C
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an / K* j% @) N3 Y1 }! ocestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral" c1 }9 n% |* E4 r* J& t" j
sequence, and map the genealogical tree.5 a9 g- y* I2 Y3 U" S
References7 g( z$ |8 R0 ?# R. y& j
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re# u6 X/ S5 k: L: @9 W6 [0 v" M
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.- y4 @6 P1 {5 e6 W7 g& X+ o' d o# e
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, 4 |3 z- U+ w. ^6 S: `/ Cet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and* s, O S# j7 [ ]/ ~7 [
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. " U* i" r# ^& P2 T; e1 {6 C0 r |0 x. O3 V# j0 R
2022 6 ~, D% l. m3 L; YCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling8 g8 v9 s, V$ o
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn , k0 r, u$ U8 M) L, L- \Problem C (ICM) 3 |9 C& S0 ^) R9 a$ bClassify Human Activities, }7 h+ E' D. a" n6 a
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and# @( M4 k0 u& s7 ^6 j, c! F+ x: L
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im # E% Z: K$ [; O! `prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor 5 F4 Z3 ~0 e2 L o* h- j- C9 Sing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ/ E/ {/ p3 { A+ c- Q" \
ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly) ] h1 n+ w3 g' F h- n: ^
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], % |1 K$ o) `4 R: _0 G3 Wmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in/ L; Q! j" ]# w. D+ f! X# @% Y( I
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, / c" Y) P, i. Tsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain; D7 R* C3 m/ b
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial # b2 s% A6 M6 ]0 U1 a: r. vsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify + _7 B5 ], g% Shuman activities, the following data were obtained. 3 ~( E: i. \! J* H7 |, nEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, 9 O- x. ~; T3 h! Y5 ybetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes 0 ?+ B. ?! {' m Y; X efor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ % k+ s& Q; R- o% G1 Bities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be2 [! x/ }/ S2 L! K
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and8 D& I5 u8 c% I7 I. p* d
amplitudes of some activities.* _4 M1 M9 L" T( I& Y$ V$ \& L
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. ! U/ M' Y ~% L' Z/ FThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal! ~' g h( S$ p. z+ }" |7 n6 z$ A
segments are obtained for each activity.& n& i' X3 J& }* P: Y ]5 i
The 19 activities are: % ]( J0 ~9 B4 U% E1. Sitting (A1); : Y1 }7 \7 u5 B2 Q8 e2. Standing (A2); ) D0 `3 i- c6 G3. Lying on back (A3); ) W( c4 Y# y; ^4. Lying on right side (A4); N' P N7 A! \) @4 E
5. Ascending stairs (A5); & Q' X3 e- u5 C) L7 C: r7 ~# E& w16. Descending stairs (A6);0 P2 J4 s3 j& B. f& [$ j, p
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); ! k! |8 S1 }. z/ [8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);0 a; U$ q8 S, }( w/ y' Y
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); ; S& ^( ^0 E0 Q2 Y# t3 l10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg ! g- `0 y' y7 B) [inclined positions (A10); Z9 m2 t% ?8 g
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions 4 f0 ^' s0 L) R1 x6 q5 e(A11); 3 M6 u1 L4 }+ \12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); 3 G" ?6 W5 L# y) o8 L+ ^13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); " t$ o2 z; h6 I" }2 Q: k: p$ B14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);2 P2 `# c0 A( ]: P5 `( f% ?
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);, Q, J# l! e4 `, F( Z9 u7 K' I( d
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); % T. V) D1 [# ^8 t17. Rowing (A17); 2 Y' W; v- I/ Q+ L18. Jumping (A18); 6 T2 J8 \! P5 M19. Playing basketball (A19).% I( V. J3 l' L5 }( x! ]; H4 i. X
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve0 [5 m3 N2 T! M/ i
the following problems.2 R1 B: L1 B4 W9 S$ z" p
1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify% C' N6 ?; ?! z7 c' }' b
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.; ~/ K, G0 E$ a6 j
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have , D. S. E! x q, qa good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study3 K0 `3 L! q% g8 G/ A
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 9 c) b+ G& `8 {9 ]1 ~evaluate the generalization ability of your model.: f( w9 k k, \2 c1 ?
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- . }, S! g& @- u' @5 S; \% \cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action6 x: |7 f8 T9 L
classifification. 8 M3 F, G$ J% r/ n& W5 L( u0 W* EThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: - w2 s/ N' [" F9 ^# M* [https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq 0 G8 ]! m/ i5 c4 Y2Appendix: File structure 5 e& N9 l# Q7 {3 Y& `' g5 J• 19 activities (a)! N4 R" `1 g9 c# w1 T! Y, e3 c8 e
• 8 subjects (p): T: a7 [+ k9 V @+ @0 {$ m
• 60 segments (s) 0 z% P9 [- ?9 x• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left $ ^4 L6 E% `. ~- Z, yleg (LL)0 s/ E5 A- l; e& k% ^
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z5 {, |- m% c3 I% A$ q* U
magnetometers) % ^7 N! y: I% e, b8 JFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. . q+ a* j3 M/ \For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the; X0 t# i/ v$ ?
8 subjects.& v. m1 V X8 I
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each3 v/ U& C% A) ~( r( G v, h
segment. ! Y4 N! b- u& p5 HIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25! D7 m/ [; J1 v2 F; Q. p H& ?
Hz = 125 rows. & S# w+ c( u: G) _/ ]Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the7 ]' u3 T+ ]8 q) {' V
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. $ k- K3 i0 h& H+ n; e0 oEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular+ h& S6 m3 Q' t0 Y. X7 c$ E; n! g
sampling instant separated by commas. $ O; T4 \/ r8 AColumns 1-45 correspond to:' ?% F5 m/ t7 j. Z, O
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, * J% F! P* v! p+ F- t• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, " P- M" }' g6 _, _& _, g5 A• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,2 q/ d; @& s! _" O
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, # T- m5 D6 |3 d3 t# {2 {. y• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. , _8 x, j# G* k6 a1 A0 }' vTherefore,- m' K1 z) c7 g5 [# o6 ^9 I
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), + G3 {+ B) k) j: r• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), : J, Y4 z! U1 W% u) g3 {• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 0 _& B$ f$ M9 |2 i2 D( V• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),; c2 v" U: }8 i6 }
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 4 d- z6 i9 }& |4 T1 M3References; x" ?0 r" }# c! n- @
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic 4 g! ]/ \2 k5 idaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. . t0 w7 v4 N9 Q5 d42(5), 679-687, 20047 S9 j3 h/ K5 y+ i) s9 f, P% X
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of & I5 t6 Y8 K; }5 K; j/ plow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.- j r+ w$ ?4 v/ ~) v0 n5 ^
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008' ^7 M9 a2 N) e0 U
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag $ | A9 K5 a' bnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.) k4 J; l6 C6 Y2 D7 R2 _
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 3 p9 A4 K7 U: J& K6 _9 P0 U[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con $ {; q7 a# b+ v" _, p0 ]% z% s* [. k/ etrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20088 I7 e: [7 l; o9 W; }, i# ^
s7 p( M2 Q( \7 m! U# G% }8 l
20222 J& V1 L4 P. I8 a, {$ @4 o. r
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling+ e2 ^' X! ?& l6 @" k
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn( |' G% v. R( J6 j( a% e
Problem D (ICM) 8 Y: q1 e' R" |0 K, P- ~% v- }Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long : [/ {) w& X8 M# a! eTime) w, {* Q! q2 q+ Q0 y
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the 3 i, Y9 f6 l2 h1 D/ [2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source ! e( e4 x: y5 s' P5 J6 iof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently: ]. ~) Z, ~' t" L( g: S/ x
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,! @5 O9 ^! c" v( }1 M; I' e' O
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some & e7 i& T ^/ C0 L% fscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak' {' ? B' b0 ^3 v \
ends. , _ O9 o+ y% ^6 yHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?7 [- s8 f6 o Q1 o# B
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas- v; L) ~) Q6 x4 z8 A* w
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo) J/ @& J. f6 E. V. Z- ?$ E0 k
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 1 n$ Y9 G1 c- V4 j+ h9 B! ucost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil : V0 g" r" R6 c" s7 olion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of) s$ P: |6 _0 d9 k0 w2 V
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. , r* L e/ p: v) Z2 x* \A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology \ ]: M( I. i1 K
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their , W% Q, T3 M5 g/ f# H: {9 r2 X0 {: Esmoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have $ b: a a4 g- d' q) g0 s' s( {. x6 Iidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with ' Y) C! I; r! V/ Aall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing8 L, I3 Y, X9 R" r- a2 } r1 J
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen( s) v" N; H+ P
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 5 L. A% V0 L. H, eNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in ; y9 Y" c2 }9 @Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in 5 j8 a: S: I& T2 j+ \ lGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife8 y( N- X9 [6 z- V8 R& L
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature u3 B7 ?/ C. f4 Ywhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact( W* \% O1 K/ K% I+ ?/ P
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients $ r4 I% g2 P$ R3 q! lare in place for a similar disease to emerge again. ^* V0 Q$ ?/ F" [: c
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:, J, J" O# w6 ?9 v
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS $ `* ?' @: n8 l6 u+ \outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL ; c( [" K2 U# K+ N2 h' S• Decline and extinction of populations $ t) e" I9 p" U0 M7 e7 e* P8 w• Introduction of invasive species ; s5 [6 F4 A z. B• Spread of new diseases to humans / I& t' M3 t9 c+ |5 n( y1 }3 B! N& WWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database+ Y+ } _, I4 D8 `' A
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The0 |- D7 M8 x% e1 J: ]/ Y" q
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 6 q- x8 [$ v: }database can also be obtained through the following link: $ @5 Q8 \* z) e7 M& Y3 Jhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ7 m) ? }+ r% ~3 I
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod. M; J: J+ `2 h# t7 ^* Z! x2 Y5 p
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: ) q; T1 ?) u4 M1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live 3 d6 @9 }0 {' K* }: K$ m+ v, canimals taken from the wild)? 8 _+ M6 \# e* Y! o2 K, C$ T2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?8 Q" _ W' c% h/ Z& v- j
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?4 M% B5 t' b9 p! b; f. `+ B
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major; |" A; ~! N R: f1 V7 E1 F" {
infectious diseases? 4 L# k K. ~6 r8 \25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 9 n/ C" X; b& o$ y7 lwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?" |' |0 U. ^. {3 [! V. Q" a
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain 8 Z. Q' k- V( |5 Z( X+ Qyour views and policy suggestions. 0 x( r: ?- V* I2 i- H . g$ d3 n6 W9 M: b! h4 z+ O, H/ z0 }" I) e; h
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