2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 , y. C" T0 R. o+ q7 Q) D: `https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx, u/ i5 Z2 [# H
/ c. U0 B; _& @3 D3 I" l0 I! @2022 b. C, p8 x3 }, X& }
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling" b* ^* E+ U% A' J2 b, |
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn F& {% T# i7 O+ {. R' _* d$ A( i: j
Problem A (MCM), V/ M0 O% w4 d! p% `, ?( R% F
How Pterosaurs Fly ' P- |9 N6 ?, X" C$ Q3 K8 mPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They 6 d( _5 e4 }! u) _$ jexisted during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of5 a. ?# u: j3 w- P8 x! D- ^: C
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved J P" v8 K$ C% C+ F. H+ T; V/ S
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and, ^6 e/ v! ?& a- s+ T! M8 y! D. z
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth ( X" p- `6 a1 Gfifinger[1]. 7 Z" y1 Q3 a& I# S1 t' m( KThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller+ r; l. n$ U5 E. i9 S
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem- ^# V3 j/ h" ~* Z, L4 l0 q d
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they 7 {0 x/ k# Y7 s1 f3 ^1 Y+ h( p2 rwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and 7 f3 m3 l% u* I! lstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived" }& J' a( S7 F: @$ ?
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates., C8 k7 p3 U' v* P6 H* z
Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.* @$ R+ J' u4 T7 c' v z( M
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,4 Y2 ]7 M0 ]' T/ C
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on $ z6 _$ T3 U N8 rall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and , {: N- S' Z' L, Jfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil# p" a$ a8 R+ p# Q" g
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 9 H; g/ F |* F# o0 l1 ^; TPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which 6 K) j( j9 \/ @# Y$ o. ~' ecovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have: \8 l) ]; _ O h& \3 e
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug! ~- h- h- [* L% Z7 O/ T
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de. A, x1 f7 j* E$ T1 C, i
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning/ S& Y' I6 S" r0 a/ q6 Z! i
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded - A# G9 l5 Z. l(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec! L4 Z! H5 X3 X
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones1 K( z" X. o7 a8 k$ d* c
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from" a3 s( y- J% H6 f3 s
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including5 a. {6 ?5 k0 X7 Y3 p: Z1 Y7 f ^
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least : i7 u& W q4 g/ fnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong # ]/ h$ Y3 J& O% {* g/ n1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.* |3 |" j1 X4 G1 K
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled 9 c6 P: y, B1 F0 r# B7 tat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 8 p. ~' d8 V9 q8 Ythat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, S# H7 m' _1 Z2 x6 P% h: i
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able$ }! Y# d$ w! k, y! [7 h0 R
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. : O1 p* K- z. Q, Q8 R6 LHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology1 L9 p, }! @' @% T& s4 h
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs 5 U- |1 H# \0 q1 S y8 obeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,( Y* G6 U0 L7 Z& A" F- P1 ?! l! o! j
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that0 |# K9 J4 f" i$ O
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed) k6 \: @7 W- X$ A. Y* o
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. + q6 c; t8 B# m5 T/ p' V: PAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. 8 [! `' K1 q$ Y6 x, G3 c( }If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones" n4 A' I8 D2 q2 T) g
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage4 y* @2 I, ^9 u5 N$ g; i" i/ W
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for $ m% M: `3 @( A9 x" pgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded( v! ^. S2 B" ~# F
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as 1 Z; m7 ?8 ^8 h6 f: S6 j m$ w6 aquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of/ o9 n& k4 t7 _
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism7 \3 u3 C2 L% [, r$ O9 B
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would * u6 q; Z4 x& `' c, i: denable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds9 {, i; o/ i( |: a' e* ~9 q
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. : |1 U$ n2 N! s9 `9 Z" N$ RYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the1 U- U; @: p0 u8 D3 p! w8 F
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and" l8 x) n' j9 T1 w4 v9 j2 t
to answer the following questions. 8 r, h) F+ N9 D. d7 `1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor% L0 k7 K4 ~ W& N# {3 K b
mal flflight.) \* J o/ g7 u0 [) M
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during5 O x8 H! q( M+ ^
normal flflight. ! ?( _; g& k: U6 |3 N! P" \; a3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like0 J: q% W/ ~! [4 {8 o& p
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.) z. b! `1 d6 o( m6 I
References( W4 M0 [5 r2 Y2 m( ^
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight . i9 B; k3 q/ E: BMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.% ~$ h8 a- |. w
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 9 c& V% q$ M1 I7 _ ?2 l1 w# chttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php4 S) ]; t0 q/ Q. n
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 6 I ?- X+ }& t$ n WWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-- F0 F( f7 y% _6 |
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html. n4 l# N6 K( U# ?/ H7 i
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a ( [ _+ r5 {! v0 {. [+ grare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) , j. B! p1 C+ }from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): ; G8 ]& r! W- c% K1983-87.0 c: h- s |( K6 t- P( O% C T
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust A. U6 V! I) Z1 o! a9 i& v. B" T
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): ' A' g# Q% c" n# [! z9 W3 s180-84.% R$ C9 k4 g. ~; P3 l1 c9 T
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?8 V, o' L3 d4 E8 C) L. v! c
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs" z, a7 r5 j8 m) k# ~
too-big-to-flfly/ * S) p7 D8 v" b1 k4 Y1 K[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology , k: B" s) G [& ?& C9 a0 u; [of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.! {# L" U6 w2 S2 d
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable5 Z* A" }8 _. D P8 j
air sacs in their wings.: ?% C# T2 I) Q. i" u, E' U, P
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur , }9 k/ Y7 X) ^7 I, Lbreathing-air-sacs" \! g: d; C9 L
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all. s s0 l0 y4 H. A! y }1 H( e6 qhttps://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils8 e, m' B7 q- ~
research-mark-witton# q k( ^2 e/ R! I
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?2 E) l4 b: A, I% W% F
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs ' h3 I; l$ D& Gvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/9 \0 o7 x3 p+ l3 b9 V" B+ h5 A6 r
# z4 m% E* o y2022" H, H* ?* |1 v; p' c# W: q
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ( W. z; Q/ s h5 x2 R! L1 shttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& i Z* @( m/ S1 L q1 G! q
Problem B (MCM)% F0 q4 {7 S9 s6 G m: S9 V% ~, c
The Genetic Process of Sequences; U1 U5 Z& g) \6 u4 |
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein ( K- n8 h! G2 _. T9 rsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of 0 \( }; o! E% ?; olife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their) G% h1 b- a7 Q* }- H
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong . O. `) o' S! k- o7 f l5 [evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common: F) z$ ~4 p5 @
ancestral sequence[2].: e- {* c- N8 U8 J* S" z
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu8 f. K4 V2 D# P1 T7 S e- @
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation$ |: l3 D. z/ o) s+ Y9 ~' t8 i$ l2 J
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and& h c- n- z5 ^$ @
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 4 ]7 O G# ^/ J+ b+ }the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together . W# B. I- G6 n5 Ncan form a family, and they are considered homologous. ' f0 E+ c4 R9 v/ O) X! ZYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 7 `$ g% m; Y: ^0 t7 yplete the following problems.7 S; N) v6 v4 @& f2 R
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between( i0 R# m3 ^/ a, e9 _) d/ \
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. ' Z' _5 K) |5 ]# L A |2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and & K5 z5 j, p8 b6 J! o1 y6 ^2 Wdesign suitable examples to illustrate it. - c' N* E3 {6 k2 b% R9 `( e3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an & H! A! g) H" x9 b6 j' dcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral7 o% q- x, E9 |# D }
sequence, and map the genealogical tree. , r5 V8 i2 B3 |References" \2 ]0 ^& q; O
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re* e" B o( y/ M N+ {; z4 Z
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. J! l) h# ?( a" M+ C/ {7 C
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,2 C/ o% w- R) P, T0 T9 g
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and" {3 ]. H' B2 d4 A" i' D# o. L
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. ( u$ D' Y% U, F. R2 ? 1 b4 b& Y) m# [1 w2 t w/ |2022 # n' a3 s- I$ O( f0 a! M/ b$ {2 JCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling8 R, B8 m0 R7 `7 b) p
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn$ s; d7 Y& Z6 e8 L9 D0 M$ h) U
Problem C (ICM) ! u( j" y$ {; y" t. X3 H, `6 OClassify Human Activities 8 m# h& x9 m& L$ e6 d5 H) |One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and* |8 L2 |5 ]3 \, [7 e9 J' g
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im * C6 X( `! q( eprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor. ]6 E4 W) E! h1 ]
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ . J' V7 Q7 X Z9 e" A: }) Aity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly) H. B# R2 T$ r! g8 {, x! x
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],! C4 E$ M ~3 l) g# }- o
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in: j7 j7 [8 c7 p$ B' K# `$ S& X
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,% `) c' {9 Z" Y9 Y' }$ ?3 Z
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain 4 C+ o8 o7 p( O5 j M( kment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial' Y3 f# L" y( n9 V: B' w
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify9 ?& J+ F% Q* l1 G' k
human activities, the following data were obtained. ! }7 H" `1 j% Q) i5 GEach of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,8 H9 v" h( A- I; {+ i; F- T
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes + ]. L% h& V, ~* q: ?( I3 y- mfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ 2 n( |6 t. e# H; g* `: C$ g. xities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be 5 Z3 o* W1 M" b& q4 y& w' ~4 y2 zperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and 7 {8 e( @4 v" F1 K1 famplitudes of some activities. * m) ~7 G4 r5 T( {" l& p1 NSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 3 _8 K' I' i0 q9 _ xThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal ; c0 w: [( q9 Msegments are obtained for each activity. - B7 n. a/ G2 M* d1 A) d SThe 19 activities are:0 m% _' D/ E+ ^8 T
1. Sitting (A1); 1 P3 F) e/ S5 k! T! M6 _2. Standing (A2);& w* W/ f" }# A( A( D
3. Lying on back (A3);) e# c3 S9 i$ R% m4 C. E. n$ ~
4. Lying on right side (A4); + Y; S. W$ V! j5. Ascending stairs (A5);4 G8 R9 x6 F' W+ F
16. Descending stairs (A6);2 e8 c: r R! Q
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); 0 K* S8 J# `: [" E$ {, ?8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);! ^' a; @: O. M& J% N
9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);4 y# @+ M! s, H0 t1 k& T: W+ r
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg ; d, p" k4 q' @9 Q( H/ Sinclined positions (A10); 8 S0 o' c- b/ G5 S2 S11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions 7 _- H' O% N* T. h' O! }(A11); i) b! y# H: X1 J2 z9 q12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);/ N% @. q/ P0 P$ ^
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); 7 n. A I. L8 Q8 W- l# K) d2 ?14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);% v( w: m/ S1 A% O6 q+ R7 U
15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); , Q( W, @- N0 ]6 ?* b- J: n16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);3 n; s9 K( y1 b1 N6 Q
17. Rowing (A17);" W. e- n3 {* v! a& M3 d
18. Jumping (A18);; W, W, E: z1 J/ X' q$ m- G3 o6 A; A
19. Playing basketball (A19).- k; Y5 J1 V5 {/ w0 b; W4 f
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve% t7 D. X7 j ~3 P: l) ^, K
the following problems. . G s0 N( X( b1 Y. y0 P( s1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify ' e( R. K/ [1 W; {1 N5 rthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors." o3 s# E2 H5 w B9 v5 d
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have6 l, h$ s8 o6 c
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study6 \* }! q9 C: O. E: o$ s7 l0 @9 w
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to 5 b: e5 j+ F4 [/ O! E. oevaluate the generalization ability of your model.: u2 G0 V6 S5 f+ O) R- f3 |! f/ u
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- ( l) R) a% o' E2 }- }cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action+ d5 [/ C6 f3 D0 |7 h) C
classifification. ) k; G* Z/ }# K5 D* e+ @The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:7 r* w$ H: T/ Q! u1 o1 V1 q: m: @
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq. x ^$ a! u) J/ ~; }: S Q; R2 n
2Appendix: File structure) H# H8 }; e, Y) U- X# h0 N2 H: F
• 19 activities (a)6 B% ~9 {/ {# j
• 8 subjects (p)7 W) E) W& Q, m% J) `* }
• 60 segments (s)- |# P! r2 L0 t5 u% B8 c3 d
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left / f3 b6 a2 [$ J, \% b! M: v" ]* oleg (LL)& s% c& ^" b* c& c6 x
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z/ T3 |+ R& A% A% X
magnetometers) ' D/ x8 f" ^- m2 k. WFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.2 s& C. ]/ a2 O, b9 J
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the" B5 t' S7 k+ Y# ^: s# a/ }1 u! r
8 subjects. 7 ]$ }$ C2 S. @1 U% {In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each" E) T3 |1 _5 a) i; N2 Y0 v
segment.* ~5 J: f+ Z: H. ]
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25& S; W7 i" P- e1 \
Hz = 125 rows.: S3 N4 T7 @6 D/ W* k6 o+ Q+ s
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the / p. A$ {+ \5 K+ Ksensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.# ~2 e+ t2 A9 o1 d
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular1 l* O$ {( p$ Y) }: f* E5 [
sampling instant separated by commas. 8 I3 v5 _# {- o( U( @Columns 1-45 correspond to: 2 p- ]$ X" {- a• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, 8 Z% v* ~9 f2 E# O• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, 0 r2 |4 ]5 n8 y• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,' Y: f# q0 F" \! u8 ]. P
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,: l9 d9 a0 u) a. P$ O. M
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.8 v, p1 u/ x/ D5 P% j7 [
Therefore, # l; ^* b) v5 C2 Q; _• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),' b5 c( y5 H9 A
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), , F- R# j* P0 \/ B0 l! t& V• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), ! s+ k0 U, Y7 @( L" M• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),4 _1 T, G3 Q6 l. @$ M! N$ |
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). 4 X- K$ z7 y2 g: M3References% p9 x0 H h* ?( m) z# ~& m9 Y# N
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic' z) }& ~: @& q% h+ \- T
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.( Y) z* U s) z" ]( `8 i
42(5), 679-687, 20048 Q+ M" v9 S. ^
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of 4 n8 \5 O# V! Jlow-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.- L6 K& K4 n! }2 n/ w9 S
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 ; e4 j- i) N7 P+ Q( M0 `: @, r' O[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag 7 n1 j( R4 _) _% ?9 G; unosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.5 D" o# }* u1 ?* y5 c
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 & f. b; x' P% r' l. }[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con ! X$ R$ m% |% w& Btrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20085 B% |4 l# s' X: r4 F Z
* e, n6 {( A2 f5 y) T2022 1 F0 C) [! R; v* A( jCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling + @$ o: ]5 ~+ c4 P% P/ N1 ahttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn : p" `( {! f. F% NProblem D (ICM)7 |! y( {, {. v5 A) J
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long 1 u: ^$ X6 H$ k8 W! |7 ~/ e- YTime ( G0 J/ z$ N# q# I4 [% mWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the ! I6 K% W( K5 y9 x+ L2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source& F4 S1 l2 O/ r' M, L( @! D1 p; d
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently9 y/ `3 J; ]5 H0 \9 n
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, , N3 {* Z& Y' [which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some 8 j7 h( H7 G. wscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak " ^+ K' R% P4 r$ O5 Uends. : t( J7 {5 A L& CHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? ; E3 a% s6 n( OSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas6 I) @) Z- d, e# L% |/ S0 f7 [) q
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo % V1 h# o0 A6 x& b. v' Iple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could1 ?& k5 F+ E* ]3 h' t5 Z
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil 8 T: N9 k4 v# N0 [; F8 e e3 zlion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of' @% C( y; K- ^
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.4 d2 X) h T' X; s& h7 q$ d$ q8 w
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology 4 y) k1 K/ k, ?( s2 z! _* Tin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their' ~- v8 G: z3 |7 w4 c
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have- M$ C3 h# H: O0 X
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with; _; D, {) a5 z' P; d ^; V% w9 G' |
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing 6 G) o, f5 h! R' l0 qalmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen' }8 J* K8 A) `' r* n+ Y9 y- |$ ~! R
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 - a" m$ N6 X' L rNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in ! {( x- P9 {, q- V) g( X5 NYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in & [" m1 E4 n4 t- H% V" YGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife. d: J7 G+ M& W% e2 m: K5 h$ S
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature% w7 k7 X* b7 P* |
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact. s- l$ \/ E1 b' A. T: A
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients ( Y0 h- c% @) k7 O, d |/ t0 Lare in place for a similar disease to emerge again.: H N9 d" r6 J5 y' [
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:" f0 D$ Y0 C( p
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 8 @# q( d# M. ~- Noutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL / H# p) e1 o' u; c$ M• Decline and extinction of populations 3 e1 k( S2 }9 t) Z• Introduction of invasive species / T9 X% c* N3 u' u( X9 {• Spread of new diseases to humans) e# o9 I& m# m. F9 G
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database 7 ^6 | P# a5 n4 j2 V: @' |contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The) h& W+ ^3 g! g4 d
appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete) Z- N1 @" o2 a% q( `; Q
database can also be obtained through the following link:7 u) [' Y+ q5 ?5 h) z) I' l4 s4 g) q
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ$ I0 k$ |- T7 Z9 V8 d5 L
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod & ]2 `( e' O& `2 fels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: . K" F+ q6 b: G% L8 a" B4 ?0 Y# n1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live7 w% O3 m! R1 t3 S$ }5 Z
animals taken from the wild)? k5 u5 f: C6 g$ p+ O
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? t1 l( n; X% t K$ ~
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? # a; {. z/ z1 _+ Z3 ~4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major : v9 `+ r- @( e8 J) i; ainfectious diseases?- O7 C# I, j! i( B
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it& Z# ]6 B$ s X9 [- ?9 K
will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? + D- J9 D' o8 {, p+ c+ P. o) ~6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain+ h- O8 T4 k4 N# g* b2 L
your views and policy suggestions. - m3 u9 @7 O( C( U2 z 1 M/ _- k; R$ x x, v# a. J# x% f/ B& ~$ _0 r
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