2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 0 ]- Z9 L7 Z! H5 R: q. a" F2 n. f3 ghttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx$ A2 s* p3 E" ]1 W
% a% m6 d. e2 C& {* h
2022 6 P1 [( S2 y( J* k/ C: z9 _5 fCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling6 |, G- D* @% k7 l7 s
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn : C. B' S% z: p$ TProblem A (MCM)8 l- A3 }: U X3 A* `8 E' a
How Pterosaurs Fly3 X8 F$ x* d. z {
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They9 N2 o5 Z- i' c1 a( U5 k7 X
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of7 Z9 h; y9 Q% Z. X# R
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved / M- J- ^0 z. xpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 8 H$ j" G1 j: s1 Vother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth ! z; t* V z, hfifinger[1].5 P1 Y3 W/ N. S: i
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller* N. u( d: K; F9 F \
animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem 1 Z6 w% g" t* Qbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they* e1 p/ y) G; l
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and2 T7 ]: A4 F% g) y3 V3 ~; {9 X
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived% M8 G6 K# [9 ~3 z
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. 5 g9 o+ r- _) X- }Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.2 I( _9 {& ~' ]0 O0 ?! u
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, . F3 ] P# U I2 v! Yand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on 9 L& w4 |, F8 ` q& D4 Vall four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and " r4 l: B1 {/ |; l+ [4 u* V. y: sfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil1 k5 g B. @4 @
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].' `6 t7 F% w2 W* A2 u
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which + U) A7 C8 i7 v7 M; B; J4 ]! W. Bcovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 7 | `! S: B+ I# m/ shad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug3 {* N; X+ O: ^/ L4 j3 N# f! v
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de 3 t- F8 B5 {* C wriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning! F3 U& ~ v" _* |3 N
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded, l& a1 R, l$ `; y) X+ I
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec. \! }. O3 W4 q) l2 `& ]
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 1 {8 |) `7 _" X L( [5 ?to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from2 S4 O& V' X: c. x5 @
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including ; r6 p4 c7 B6 ~& h6 S5 R3 jQuetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least 1 e8 J) s2 z" V! ]nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong6 S1 e3 o- k/ P! F2 c3 w
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.7 ?! g$ j& U2 {+ Z
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled }. a9 I# k: |' [ V- r
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded $ h/ R& `+ Y* j0 rthat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, # ]# Q- @2 n, {& w" ~Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able * P4 x V* R' `/ p% i% s7 Qto flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. + r+ W, w* k* HHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology1 E7 e' L, \. p$ ~
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs ; i ]& m$ M' Z4 d Q. `being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 3 @2 d/ x" q1 f6 ?/ w) Usuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 6 V7 z' M# ^# D, Q- ^6 tatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed& A! }/ v3 j: A5 R
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 2 L6 s6 ?& b, `# y5 dAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.* J" X2 \% Q* _
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones / R- g3 X/ Y' ~1 `( b* {. \; Z- `* dof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage# Z+ g+ E' o3 U) M& U |2 K
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for 5 R: |1 V6 H! o7 ]9 C3 o$ Wgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded M( }1 V& \/ b# _7 n. ~; k
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as 5 G. ]' A( ]0 P7 p* K% Xquadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of ( w8 I9 g4 O2 Q5 m; W5 zJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism2 z# a8 D' K) ? H. b k
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would . `# H% D r# [+ Y+ y* a) [3 [enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds ' m4 X9 \' y! x9 a8 F3 Jof up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. 1 ]/ L2 s. f7 P- YYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the/ o4 U$ i) s& a/ \/ [7 x
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and ( b h1 I% u! e- Lto answer the following questions.# |( ]1 Y+ f/ I# F0 X' r/ V+ L
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor2 W/ p% M' {# n! ?1 s6 \
mal flflight. 7 g9 r% R$ U$ ~ N2 k: d% S2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during 2 ?4 J6 _( E4 K- }3 H( Jnormal flflight. . W! M, F7 }9 B& v3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like3 u- m2 a; _3 S+ m2 T4 T6 y9 h* O
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.+ a( U& x _( M: b
References2 S0 j ]' S' i* }3 Q/ J( W
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight 6 {- Y! B1 W2 i& {; HMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111." f8 b% E" h) V- B* ]
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion. 8 ~2 P# g/ G% }: a+ m2 S% D% mhttps://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php & A+ Z$ o6 B! v: v. [ y; H/ z3 w[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 5 d1 n) G( D7 v4 F6 f/ RWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-. g! u- K) N) b2 @8 N6 k1 m
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html' @4 ]8 Y) y- z) }& C% F0 a
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a ( x1 {) ]9 x* I% A& _; ~5 Xrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea). X: t( z0 M* ?4 t* J
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): 6 F" s" E$ y2 o- y' o1983-87.8 ?- W" g3 Z( L0 ~
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust: s0 E7 y n# Z( p B
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): , [$ P4 \/ C2 Y3 J, S4 W180-84. * e5 M4 B! c! W3 A# B[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?8 T9 v' x/ u1 R: E, _
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs. ~+ ?$ ^1 c8 |! ^; j
too-big-to-flfly/ # l/ K( j1 R* H! _3 ~' [# B0 Y7 y[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology5 Y' t3 j6 e1 W
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.4 h+ B5 |6 T2 i
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable1 Z3 W4 z' T0 U. R, ^
air sacs in their wings.( L; e9 O2 H: l: S
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur & l5 u' M* r; k5 h9 ^breathing-air-sacs9 J. L& J1 u1 c2 i+ r5 X
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all., j3 z- e, u+ t0 b3 L
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils2 M7 d6 @4 k5 ?! g0 x% \
research-mark-witton* u }2 @- y2 V h8 `) l* J2 Q+ k5 K
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? 1 H! c: l3 B' b9 ohttps://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs ) t( P+ y4 \2 y8 R+ Tvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/+ e6 X/ P. x% l- t2 S' F
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2022! z) U0 F. ?; |/ c- |5 t; c
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling; C" j5 H$ e* x" a+ z, ]/ U- r: K
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn" i0 Z. ]$ o3 H: \7 F$ a
Problem B (MCM)7 R" |* H4 V8 A% I% d6 {2 ?
The Genetic Process of Sequences, u7 ]: _- \* Z$ Z6 @' A2 u
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein 2 N9 \/ G& p; xsequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of( z5 W; a2 f# x6 ?
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their+ O! U# P3 |% z1 U7 F( i
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong; l& n2 i: E X
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common : w5 n, T. ~/ Q3 y0 {: ^0 r% Sancestral sequence[2]. 9 ~& f. ?# z$ \7 |6 KConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu 5 x0 _! }9 y Z8 H; M7 R& bcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation! W8 T L d9 D4 W0 ?
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and . h! K+ Z; D0 Z1 j7 @* S: b' V; |; Tdeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by , H7 d- [3 @' b" _the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together / E: k3 e" `- P# a2 acan form a family, and they are considered homologous.2 T+ j3 o" x. N- H( s( h
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com/ G) {# t1 M% q6 @3 u
plete the following problems. ! c+ c4 ?8 @4 v4 D. i$ @& X' I1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between+ B- d* `. V9 y3 Y6 s: ^3 }$ O
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. 9 t4 o* e# ~2 K+ D2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and" v' I3 J- P d9 ]2 ]) F7 z
design suitable examples to illustrate it. ^+ H- Q; ] p. ?+ Q
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an ! j' n2 w0 ]6 h! ^. ocestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral6 y! V0 n+ d& u. W6 C
sequence, and map the genealogical tree. ( G, W' G4 `- H% S b- J+ xReferences % R% C+ @9 D9 Z& | j/ V[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re! J$ j" o1 j* _& i) E) ]* E
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. 7 L; _" r: F6 O F[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,. T/ F, ^& e# }1 c# d1 }: r
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and9 m( S$ \) I6 \, i0 C9 w* t) w
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. " y4 Y% U9 B2 N5 S9 p6 k " t# O9 j6 W- W) r: q( W7 Y {2022 1 J5 @$ F+ }9 r3 M$ _Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling U3 r2 I' `! l# T' Y
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn 1 K' ` s) l. EProblem C (ICM). F' ^/ K" J" j8 i0 y' k
Classify Human Activities+ n( L+ Z: s+ w' w" v1 ]
One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and " @/ D7 M6 L) v; P) P8 F; fmonitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im 5 v! U! d0 ^" j) j1 Rprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor1 ?8 m( O' r. v% @; H# A2 M
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ $ A6 s) F$ A* ]ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly ' ^$ u \2 W. j% p" uremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],- _: r% ?2 a- `
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in 4 s9 a, _* M1 R0 v/ f! ?# Tschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,6 k4 K% s* A8 u" S$ Y9 ^& e
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain 1 v+ X0 Z( i" w+ Hment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial # O: S8 ^' j$ g% h) Gsensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify ( O% P3 _& g. ^; S+ I W- s3 h' }human activities, the following data were obtained." A2 I2 K7 d& _) o
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male, 7 c' p* A. ^0 n) A) U: w! C N3 Rbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes ! D7 q& j6 u$ _) X6 z5 Cfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ 7 i" O$ K/ V, V/ P0 H+ cities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be* L2 _6 p. l, M: @$ N r) k
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and( v6 L _% k7 c- u" }( G# y# n. I2 K
amplitudes of some activities.( `& a. H4 q, F4 w) v2 C' W( `% A
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. 8 I9 m. T" \4 F1 J& pThe 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal( ?6 }8 m9 |/ P% g* G/ p
segments are obtained for each activity. , ]* G4 e/ ^5 O/ dThe 19 activities are:. G1 z& g% Z2 M5 ^+ P8 C( _1 P
1. Sitting (A1);! [4 u( b; u5 t3 t# \
2. Standing (A2);5 ]- h; v; k% A* n2 @
3. Lying on back (A3);8 b V# j' k: S# ?
4. Lying on right side (A4); ( A5 \5 d; L5 m8 i5 {5. Ascending stairs (A5);7 @ l6 [5 [9 i
16. Descending stairs (A6); / S8 }1 A6 J6 h" l7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); . R N F* c6 K4 Y8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); ; v" J5 K8 y% c- `1 O3 x9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);& ]2 o- h% L' A; C4 s
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg * U) D% E' G# Cinclined positions (A10);" v$ |* ~' n& M; y: t- Z
11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions * d9 H0 G7 J; m4 j. G ~/ _* S(A11); " V* U' |$ b% a) [8 `) q, R12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); ( I( s* N5 H0 X8 W13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);0 o" w2 B& |% I, w5 }1 R \
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); * w" \$ s# F) l; k. e8 F15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); / {% U W0 V7 c; H6 `( w16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);" T" P3 X- x [& u( k/ c P2 G
17. Rowing (A17);! @+ u8 f" \% ~( Q- U
18. Jumping (A18);# ?# O/ l ~! _
19. Playing basketball (A19)." e$ t2 P# l' d9 e% a0 K% u
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve8 |0 y: R1 b, n. A( n2 k; r
the following problems. . ]) p3 U: x t, K* P1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify ) r: B7 T. {9 j1 ~" Athe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. . I. N" E$ A3 n- S/ K% n2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have' l: T0 J( Y6 @2 f2 V
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study* @( N7 R+ k; ~5 Q4 |4 D0 j. q; n
and evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to / m5 z7 F- R2 t4 g( O( h+ cevaluate the generalization ability of your model.0 Z# B9 w) J9 R8 y p2 X+ e* @2 @
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-9 r' b* v* s5 D3 p
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action # I7 @' O t1 _+ F( b' Xclassifification. 9 B$ s4 _& [- GThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: / p) A% Y4 L2 H# t* |https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq* c' Q1 \! Y4 ^9 S1 K( m
2Appendix: File structure$ a6 P6 K# P v6 U
• 19 activities (a) " h1 D. ]/ g U0 e• 8 subjects (p) 9 F; n9 ?2 P, o• 60 segments (s) 0 W7 Y) ]/ S3 F( C' L! s! ]• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left 4 p2 T! n5 T3 e% w% q) Rleg (LL) + L7 q6 p! Z4 M7 |+ ~; o1 s• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z/ z6 f+ u8 M6 e0 v
magnetometers)) v, g$ T7 Z" I+ N' U% o
Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. : M0 S$ Y0 w8 S% n% m+ rFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the, l r F, F2 A! e: Z% _2 W
8 subjects. ! X! {% U j" pIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each * { X# W, e, [2 dsegment. 1 s$ l+ A( d# d: AIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25 3 S- f$ R; d# @, t' c2 J1 iHz = 125 rows. U! r* `$ Z' e9 R- {4 E2 iEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the1 }8 B- V2 w# ?
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.9 ^7 y6 D6 ]/ y8 y, |
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular ' v( [$ y, [1 A$ Ksampling instant separated by commas. # y7 n- r7 _) D! J$ U9 `Columns 1-45 correspond to:1 s' C- q! L8 U' _) d U4 Z! L
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, ( R6 M) }/ \( j# O' L& c! o• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, 1 R; W! {" i" M$ M+ M9 z; y3 |• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,1 `5 W. b8 t0 t6 _
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag," ~" M. k7 u, ^& w; c. a+ b
• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. , w0 x( G: i ~) J+ W. dTherefore,7 W1 o1 t2 r( F1 e
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), # @$ T) C! R+ |+ z5 U9 j8 F• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 4 G0 | @+ n$ P• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), $ ^1 \# Q/ [/ Y+ G/ G: i+ v& z2 f• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), ( Y5 }) n( f% a) y2 `. m) }• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).9 V' s/ b$ D9 ^ A2 A& o; N
3References , V: l5 V% i, r! f9 \9 s6 n[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic" l, t& X2 E7 h0 w$ i
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput. ; L$ s- j( W; V42(5), 679-687, 2004 ) }6 y. e4 N' @# E; e4 C[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of " F% Q; b0 W z6 U5 B9 X9 U# }low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. 9 \: @( F& g5 ~. @; qGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 ' @5 b4 D N8 D K/ g[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag 5 X2 W2 U: _: }2 x. `! Gnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. . K" ]9 F. X N, v- WB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 7 V7 _7 g. J5 [$ E5 z% Z[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con% l+ u. ^$ o) k2 L3 H3 L2 c
trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008) L1 n2 D8 s. c# q1 p
3 B! F: w( E" X, A$ ^1 p; K( a
2022 : Q3 N o/ X7 xCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling7 U* ~; t3 Z X* ~. i. K
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn4 N9 o5 l$ C; c3 b- m
Problem D (ICM) - P8 ^# y. w' E/ Z, g/ LWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long . j; [5 Q5 p/ n( J1 mTime2 S! g9 I# S" P# p/ l# r; b, ?$ N
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the6 p4 m7 s: {* A" b& l( g
2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source $ m f8 E& w: K5 M$ Z W8 g8 Y0 Pof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently. V) h( O, c" v# s v% J
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,* @: b) y9 k$ ^% y# s3 Q1 V
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some! p/ C: C3 R! ]* t! z4 A
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak3 t+ |0 f) t1 `7 b& _# w% A' \
ends.# D2 |) m8 L6 P3 s* E% n$ c- z9 `
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?2 S* L" U9 _& g
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas6 q0 ]1 p% n& a# B) ~
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 4 \+ w4 ]; J+ `& s- V# g6 pple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could ; J6 U- v- A& ?" Ucost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil8 k" f- K$ W& A* ^
lion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of8 D6 f* N3 o2 j2 f! L. y
Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. e* P- v+ M+ \! }% h* B$ F! sA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology8 k- m" M. H5 D+ N5 N
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their! j# Q" r0 x4 _2 T8 ?
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have 0 ~ Z. w8 y' Q% {3 Tidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with, Q/ Q0 G+ |5 A
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing1 W. }5 O+ s: v
almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen3 g5 P b; ?5 W* Q( k
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 ( f9 T4 t6 _9 VNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in. y# _: L+ b! O: j/ X
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in, q* h5 b4 t% q9 c# z/ h7 B
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 8 v4 Z: {1 M+ p) p" j6 atrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 1 t! P" ^3 z( u$ D% ~when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact' O+ b7 u& U6 L8 X
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients, G5 i' Z7 [: ^
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.) u3 A9 Y, V' Z: Y
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: T: u% I6 ]; H, O
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS4 j- d n5 n3 u. Q6 |
outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL+ W+ p; L+ K1 a1 X' G: h2 n
• Decline and extinction of populations ; l V& L! X3 K• Introduction of invasive species / k& i1 c, T& c1 t7 T; m$ B• Spread of new diseases to humans$ J5 l& F3 u- h
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database : _) Y% ]# P0 K% z4 ?4 jcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The 4 k# @' [) J b, A. y+ Vappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete2 r( o( K# e2 l9 J' ^7 J" ], f" A
database can also be obtained through the following link:- o1 ?* J( Z% a9 Y4 @7 [ C4 ~! ?
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ0 ^# c, s% c# r9 i8 d6 \
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod+ g' d& M7 F7 u
els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 1 c% Z+ P, B$ o* B1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live! C- \0 X. n6 h4 D. C
animals taken from the wild)? 7 i, p; R8 {& R0 b3 r2 \% y7 {6 `2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?5 |9 `: _4 u$ U4 z7 |
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)? % d7 _$ J( u0 M# V# x& ?8 t. u4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major* y4 m6 g; N! d3 n5 G& z+ _/ k. B8 X
infectious diseases?) y7 O |/ ~# |* z9 F
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 1 X8 U, h8 |6 V. z* ?" Uwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?2 n0 T0 {8 j6 l
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain0 _4 h0 f, ?* n% t
your views and policy suggestions.9 k4 e/ l6 y. }: W, {, N; C9 ?
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