2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 0 Q3 X/ b: P! a3 Thttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx 1 G( r6 V; s5 k2 @! H % ]5 |$ [# {/ X4 A) X7 l, |2022 . w* z; R) T! e7 zCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling3 x9 B; M/ U. E1 l9 T1 D. D4 J0 }
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn % f% C+ o) e C2 d) JProblem A (MCM) , [( I/ A6 Z6 OHow Pterosaurs Fly / ^# k% I$ @- | |! }" ?. FPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They G/ O6 U- F' g( g. i2 n5 A
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of- ?: S+ y2 h3 Q( A6 r
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved% ?/ |* S H* u
powered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and* h s! o1 t1 E- Y; Q3 E( K- ~
other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth4 M, S/ Z# w+ L+ r6 X9 O
fifinger[1].3 y: u( C; x% b6 ?7 W2 K1 v/ D- Z
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller 5 |, x$ ~ T9 W$ G8 k5 |animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem2 s5 n3 `( s1 } s0 ?5 w" y3 S' Y
branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they 9 @" L0 x6 s, S) Zwould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and7 T5 G2 l0 {, c7 c, A- l
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived6 {3 t6 |% E9 f2 x
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. ! l6 f. }6 u: w- f% c; n+ vLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.1 ^7 g3 a1 Z0 }1 U T
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, # w. y0 G/ q6 dand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on9 X k: u- ~, _, \8 `, j
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and) N$ P. B0 ~$ p% w4 J- g* E
folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil; I, v% Z+ `2 ~/ f E
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. B2 `6 @- o+ r4 gPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which . ]/ C0 ]$ O0 T& x6 m r) Z. V! Ucovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have 3 ~3 W, |( ]0 Lhad smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug ! l$ I' q4 y) dgestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de & R5 q1 j7 x1 O$ l9 k; x& xriving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning* p4 m/ |8 p& ]4 l" E( o% t5 C5 q p
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded+ U3 m1 |- z: N1 \
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec3 | a& t9 n/ u4 Z- C! V1 W
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones 6 J7 c, X5 A# l9 W2 Y7 }; ^to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from& b% e4 \# G/ o5 ^4 p2 \0 u
the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including1 E/ P8 R$ K/ l' m H
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least/ @7 l' K$ e9 a) X, ^) l' T E
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong " x- K0 b5 Z4 }2 s- X6 y- K1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.' u* o: g9 Z# ]% y, _
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled , Q/ M+ o6 ]5 Y% y9 T) F$ D; Sat this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded $ r0 o+ g# ~. U2 `, ]8 k4 I; Ithat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture, t# k8 V7 T2 f4 WLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able! k1 c0 S- Q& D
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. / a0 Q2 N+ |9 f, [However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology 4 K& N* m0 L' m+ _ n5 c, oof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs & `/ A p/ w+ z2 w5 d% Dbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs, 6 ^6 w- k0 p4 m1 B2 wsuch as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that 4 \) s @* |( n- L5 M2 p9 tatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed7 }) `* ]3 o% v; o. f: n
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8].9 t' A; q# _& h) t% W7 x7 t% O
Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.* d" g# ^# |) t6 j
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones* f% s2 H* o$ F# i2 V
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage " b2 ^) m, Y+ h* L- j3 x/ c3 w- r! La bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for% q2 f r0 z8 y$ X# s
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded% {# H1 _. V X! I$ y5 i" V& q
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as+ V6 P5 [8 |2 p6 M9 n% e
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of% v8 s+ M& c8 Z: E
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism j1 S7 R+ A; ?; Eto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would. `! |) A$ G# C5 D! `9 k
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds+ Q% {; }6 k$ e: t% L8 A: k% R
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]." ?, y2 F, k* W; A$ H
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the& [- J7 k9 ]! `6 ^6 M, R
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and1 M- b& p/ U9 `3 o- @8 u- q
to answer the following questions. . ]8 @" F4 r1 Z% Z0 F6 L a1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor7 U: X. s4 H- s1 O" s
mal flflight.5 N2 E2 G) X4 B
2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during( y N5 k8 t5 O1 ]- J( U9 _; }
normal flflight.: f9 n& h! ^& @( ]# [% G: P* O
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like 9 s2 }3 K" d2 Ebirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. G- C0 z) Y9 k- | EReferences1 n; y; U/ y2 y) |
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight - J+ @9 p4 W( N3 y# h6 `6 T- V( V: BMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.* ]& K: V h) o- g- W
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.7 E, v2 m Q; a& ^
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php 6 x$ X: x9 y; U! b6 ^ w& i[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs 9 M/ ~$ s u0 g6 GWere Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-: _8 e; U" X; W# @) m
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html ' b: k4 y* k) u+ a6 t" o[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a * K0 T$ y& B# U L* t4 arare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)! {- S6 U! J' E% b7 I5 W1 ]/ I1 a
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):! O9 R6 q. [$ y; t, e& S
1983-87." G* E5 Z9 F+ j% s
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust # ]8 K0 E! L$ e' r/ r& Yskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):" b5 L( {' ~9 |. i8 I
180-84.. `2 a7 a+ [- u8 b2 k/ b
[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? . X$ o0 p( L# d- {8 i3 A1 T* J: ]https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs% K4 i, B( A L, S" \ u, f
too-big-to-flfly/ 5 s. N# }1 o% o# s; ^# h7 W9 g5 A0 {[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology 0 x$ l" |. H" i) Uof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.% z& ?* b" g: m& V
[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable: N/ Y2 C7 r7 @% r7 j( w% R
air sacs in their wings.! r0 {# E8 E$ I
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur ; c9 X+ x8 V5 I0 a. P& gbreathing-air-sacs% v( |" W; R* U+ u! Q6 u
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.( ]3 Q3 m- V' c) I' E0 h
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils9 n5 N1 m* u- C1 F3 l, d
research-mark-witton 1 X7 u `" r5 k8 A[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats? : P1 O. k# f5 L+ s# T5 w; v! Q9 {https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs 4 {* z: b; r& u4 h- u& x: [vault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/$ L$ H, C/ ?% u! q- u: b
! X! q: V$ c5 e) q: t7 V
20223 J- a, t2 U5 R% I$ K
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling& t" `3 c" o& r/ M6 e; D
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn/ S, B+ \- r2 @# x3 D4 z$ z
Problem B (MCM)5 { l& I! r) E" Q
The Genetic Process of Sequences , n8 y' ~& D( J7 t" gSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein+ H8 B/ \" y: @
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of2 w8 v4 i# U4 D, K
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their/ B$ S4 \; \0 i& L0 J
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong; R, a- G. ^9 _: O- k
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common % L& I4 q% X! S& |1 c! w( U1 ~9 Vancestral sequence[2]./ `; _) v7 ?+ C
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu, _: U0 K" k' ~: L( j
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation , b: x) s/ i, Q( w4 Earise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and 1 t) ], g% `& ?! I& T8 Adeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 7 c% k4 ^% E3 `% D7 V/ Ethe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together# h0 u3 {# P9 D9 M: o
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. 4 K: _2 m; O" [$ M& T; X4 fYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com 9 O+ ?- t; ^! T$ F. A& d. D' |plete the following problems. " p9 w9 ~. m. X5 z: x* r! a1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between ) u# C& l3 m, S+ U6 Stwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences." r$ b1 a+ X4 l8 V
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and 1 e8 Z( k2 d, c$ Ldesign suitable examples to illustrate it.! M, V; }8 k3 ^+ {6 J
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an 4 u5 @+ p7 U8 f+ `5 I$ P" dcestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral, L C7 |1 L f: b2 v
sequence, and map the genealogical tree.7 K$ G9 `( E/ s
References3 B' l8 p0 T. \1 [ p$ `( J
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re3 [9 K2 {8 d" R' l' d1 A: p
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005." ~" g+ _- a! Z
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,( v) Y( Q& L* a% w
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and : _( u6 M' `- q/ D' J" H3 `a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. " ?. {* d7 b5 y; E$ X . X: H/ g% L& v/ f& P }20226 _- z; x2 f2 S$ P. c: X8 x
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling6 f1 o, A; ~9 u
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn . s Q8 f Y% E7 t/ kProblem C (ICM); R; U9 s: ?4 I w: T. @& u
Classify Human Activities & E( m9 l; f5 c* @ L" B7 f/ ZOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and7 l1 ]+ ]7 w! l/ L8 o
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im " q2 a6 Z8 X! ?- |0 _prove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor . B7 W, s7 v! y+ ting, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 3 M/ F) {; J; d/ Z* k- W" J6 B: s# Vity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly$ h0 b9 f. h3 b l" K3 W; S& G
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],! z3 x: q" P5 S& ]0 T3 Y
medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in) C# ^) {! o! a5 ?- a; O
school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,( \( q; z# \/ l* v0 |4 m' c
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain6 \9 i' N) D# z+ }( S. `1 ^) `
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial8 ~ O; r; W6 u* U2 c B# o, C9 r
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify2 b% A9 w# I' d( N; k5 w; P. u
human activities, the following data were obtained.0 N, T* F* Y$ T4 ?5 ?- N
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,! H) M8 k: v: i# J- V/ f
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes. x9 S* R$ C- B' b; V
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ ) m9 B( t- A, ?* i3 u- Mities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be5 O4 i5 e4 ?3 t" U- `; Q: i
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and' d" K' r. G3 j$ l* k
amplitudes of some activities.3 L# E% M9 j& r0 C2 G, ^3 Q! J& E
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.3 f4 }' Y7 m- @
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal , r! O# m& F( f9 W. ~$ ksegments are obtained for each activity. : @) u0 F# |# l! h0 |& rThe 19 activities are: , V5 \0 N+ ^$ a- X; x1 f1. Sitting (A1);' P+ _$ M$ y% B/ f P& F
2. Standing (A2);7 N: j; _% E0 |5 b# M2 S
3. Lying on back (A3);* O/ m6 f/ l& U2 [& n* l- d8 k; k7 U
4. Lying on right side (A4); 4 v& N4 F& S" _" p5. Ascending stairs (A5); - b' G/ }" I1 W1 W { d' ]: I16. Descending stairs (A6);9 X* b" ]8 J' [# K* ?
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); $ ~' m' [8 N4 e% r$ p8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); * }( M* W' W7 T" {! b9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);/ W2 h) f# g h: c' J: s( y' Q
10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg" J& ~8 K6 @- C
inclined positions (A10); 4 B9 K$ ]- y& Q, l* i4 @. [7 M$ {$ U11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions 8 g9 E4 V2 x3 |3 `* E( \6 u3 q8 M(A11); - ]! B' t- d$ K0 v' F4 `* z2 z12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); ' i$ R9 r) Z! c& O* H. q2 F* k13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);- H/ D' w, _6 b/ X$ F
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); : i) X# i8 M: ~. y) O8 E( _# a% _15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15); - u7 D! f/ E7 A4 P1 b2 s16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);# Y6 P" w2 I2 `, q$ a- E/ L
17. Rowing (A17);6 O+ j3 _' Q4 U+ ~( }; D4 L( X& \
18. Jumping (A18);; C7 C2 _9 B, i2 Y, l
19. Playing basketball (A19).( }* A, N9 R: B9 n
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 9 P" J4 }, Z2 M" ?the following problems. - U" e+ w, A, ]1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify+ C1 ?0 U4 C" i" e& d' P7 y
the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.3 N9 g* a3 _+ U1 Q1 f1 }
2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have ' d6 B$ z! U+ ^( k; ca good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study $ ]+ I" r) ~+ O+ _( Kand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to $ S4 P% Y* b! N0 r8 x- Xevaluate the generalization ability of your model. 6 n: r7 ~7 d" U! `. E3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- * q2 u) b8 I' ?, B+ wcation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action+ |* h, j$ K6 o# P3 c6 q
classifification. ' Z H4 g% Q+ C# E/ s* {The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:9 o( w0 {1 Z1 ]$ j" Y
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq & Y6 o0 B: ^8 \1 k- Q2Appendix: File structure* F5 o# I4 V V9 ~$ w* l. O4 k
• 19 activities (a) 8 n- o6 B/ R7 @# T+ s& |; f• 8 subjects (p) % a8 N; k$ |5 n: v6 E. D: n• 60 segments (s) ; i8 f7 n6 G% A# r• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left% @) [$ x1 ~ T1 q1 I
leg (LL) 0 z2 G8 D+ o: Q+ n+ h4 z+ ?5 v• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z ( M L9 o& h# a! [% nmagnetometers) 8 f+ S5 \4 _, N# A: u# d$ r" F# TFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.( U9 e. S5 H% k% V- r
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the+ B4 Q; }& [9 k, ?2 Q3 I' C! @
8 subjects.2 |8 a. q7 x+ o
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each3 r; o6 j I' N7 N& j
segment.4 k9 y5 L$ c5 n" F
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25* T8 \. @, {/ L+ N* x
Hz = 125 rows. ! M( h% A3 [1 A( X, s: o A& F* ?Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the3 `& ~- l3 a- @2 [
sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. 2 z+ s" ~( R) ?3 p0 mEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular # W5 K, N/ \9 w Q" V7 P6 jsampling instant separated by commas. * r. d5 I/ a& x4 ]6 w6 {. |Columns 1-45 correspond to: ) _: p( ~* o8 |( y9 }• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, 6 f$ \6 x6 i; P. g/ s• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, 5 G, ?6 Q: p% J* |• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, 0 l* ~: v% e2 q+ A4 n8 R• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, . s9 ?# \1 n/ ?4 B• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.( y! f: B4 M" s* y: f
Therefore, 4 H! A. D4 ^( E. `9 m5 i, a+ d• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T), 8 g8 l- e J" }/ B4 z) F• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),& a. `9 q# W7 t1 f) m0 c8 r
• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA), 8 B; p$ Y2 A/ y c• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), 3 K# h, A+ ]! v% @3 ]• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).7 f# F5 e' b( T' T
3References % Z6 k, @4 J2 o+ }4 y/ h& Z3 G' A[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic - b! @4 K, F' |daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.$ W; K) S8 d, t0 M
42(5), 679-687, 2004 , ^- u! t/ s# o5 ^" p[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of' y |' v' X. [* U
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.1 n) ^+ R2 X- e2 J: g
Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008( L/ x1 a+ B1 M$ n- q. b1 y
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag # g) c% ?7 z( |0 m r: Xnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol. % i0 G j) H& y9 Y$ \$ B2 WB. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 " `- |; `! u: Y5 F; G* f3 K& ?5 q[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con : z1 s; G D; Itrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008 ; t; [8 G1 f0 M( w @. f * I7 M4 @: p* T- y$ _5 N* o2022 " W8 @4 ]- z5 {( @Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling ( ?- W8 c* t1 ^) P5 h& vhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn& Z/ S5 p# P& N: Q2 C
Problem D (ICM) ) @5 }7 f3 x( C7 r, i$ {Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long* T- S- c0 A# }7 L# g* b1 ]5 m
Time 1 n8 {, J p3 j' V' b! v3 g4 N0 F3 d; n8 fWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the $ S1 N0 H. Q8 q _9 a2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source ) U0 k' ]3 a1 A% H. p4 \$ z' nof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently, f Q) E. A* g1 Y+ v6 _
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,: f& M0 S* p& Q9 z+ X
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some6 j* D: P- m7 o: y$ C, q
scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak9 N* H4 c& x/ P8 f
ends. ( _4 s7 c) J) h8 x; O* @4 [% nHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? 4 j7 P* j! [) q+ p2 g+ b+ _* S1 O# U( _7 aSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas0 T9 z9 ^ ~4 ~0 W) {# E. b
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo3 D, r, _8 _( [6 z. N5 L: b' S0 ]0 D
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 3 Q( A1 j" l. h* L/ v- Mcost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil " m6 ?% y1 W1 f, h; u: s$ n" Alion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of - }7 q* P& q2 ^& L8 ]4 ?Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. ! s2 v' }0 B$ O" x" q2 SA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology " q' O. {# _: N! s2 Gin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their . i1 l/ ]" c. d2 \; |smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have, f+ V7 c+ L+ a) j8 x+ k1 F
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with 0 x# _9 Q7 G0 `# p+ Kall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing ( x* O' }* X$ q* C' Talmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen 0 `! x# f) f- \from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 * x( K1 G* |: i" C% O; N3 UNovember, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in 4 @/ U3 g" C3 C" T) \3 gYunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in $ \* s2 M$ m# rGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife4 M+ ?) x1 g: p1 L0 n3 g# [
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 7 x5 F( o9 m+ l1 m" Awhen eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact R k! t, P, c6 `
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients L1 r/ O! T# ~
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.7 k+ s' j% E( k; l/ [6 ?, T
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:2 D- F2 l, a3 e
1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS ; l F ` r9 U2 n6 Foutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL; q! q8 X' A% j4 _( q0 e& m
• Decline and extinction of populations& ~# Q* o" m/ ^; {
• Introduction of invasive species 7 D4 V: H: r* N& M5 h5 f2 G• Spread of new diseases to humans) l2 \# {9 ?+ j& R& |2 ~8 a
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database 3 n+ K9 {: p1 Icontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The * d8 {) N7 I- Xappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete + b) K! W# G9 c/ w& Jdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:' ]" e& K9 K/ A2 ^& r
https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ : B' i! w2 u8 M* G( H: f# K& GRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod 5 R* `9 }! N! N( d, Jels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 1 T3 v! w4 K6 ?! ^8 Z* b7 c1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live( e \" V1 f6 }0 ~( E, q/ M
animals taken from the wild)?5 a+ g+ {& H# p8 D' W/ {
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? 7 q0 u& N6 v* a, _3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?& s: z9 K% V# i9 @& c
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major- r4 I. S: u# `9 U
infectious diseases?( {7 D3 {0 V6 b {. [7 x
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it 5 \- d0 a3 g+ r% u- dwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?% A- c" W8 j. d1 p% W. r {: \; R
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain & u b: |( l5 Gyour views and policy suggestions.1 R0 ^7 J& g' |1 J
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