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2022年第十一届认证杯数学中国数学建模国际赛(小美赛)赛题发布

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    发表于 2022-12-2 08:01 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
    |招呼Ta 关注Ta
    2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址
    & w- S& p  J( V1 G8 Lhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx& |8 o( m" X. d2 h+ a/ E% D, U

    * e/ i& E/ ^) G- }9 y2022
    ; q" Z2 L( b2 S1 U0 C. |$ oCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling; b/ Z; d* C/ }
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    3 y6 k) ?) ?4 ~! {. sProblem A (MCM)
    $ q- M, N, d& c3 T7 H# x4 j0 kHow Pterosaurs Fly8 U9 Y5 P6 @  C1 {, m
    Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They
    - L( t) D6 b$ _existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of) t" r9 P2 J1 d/ E
    the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved
    % |* p( }+ l4 tpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and2 k+ D# B, M5 [* o* `% J: \& r
    other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth8 ~% N9 U! x0 t/ z# _% F, b7 W
    fifinger[1].
    ! T; u0 r8 C, NThere were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller, q  }% ^! X, M) Y4 j9 ?  s
    animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem
    3 W1 @& c7 u5 ibranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they
      j- q* h0 N7 n$ r* b/ Awould have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and
    ' V& f" N; ^6 G' H; y! T9 k( e2 Ustrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived
    ) ]8 {2 n9 i5 f3 y. K# c" M1 Uin trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates.
    ! t7 K3 [1 s5 q) z1 E: _Later pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.3 K- _* e5 E* L0 M
    Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails,
    $ q. z6 D9 Z7 m* I6 Fand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on6 f8 V; V' \3 l1 w1 V+ f! u  N
    all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and0 {/ A0 A/ R' n) r+ Q
    folding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil# d( [9 j$ s0 |3 Z% p" C: c
    trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].; h5 t; n/ L6 ?' \
    Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which
    5 u" P1 O$ A. h4 k3 m0 V4 \( J8 e* `( icovered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have( H* V6 q4 x0 B, N  Z' i
    had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug( U2 N* I! X6 q  r8 D2 V
    gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de
    0 k/ l1 Y3 P% b+ Driving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning
    , I5 E6 V* g) g7 ]calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded3 n+ }3 ~7 z% x# z8 b
    (endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec# m; J3 }( H  M( E. {4 Y
    tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones
    3 l+ i, U3 R5 Y+ P8 P3 `to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from' c& b6 `9 m/ c
    the very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including! u4 @( [. H8 Q- Z: k0 I
    Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least. w: n; j! y. ]: ~
    nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong
    $ U! Z" B9 _% |4 Y0 R: {/ h% Y1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers." t+ I2 r4 X! a# _+ C
    The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled5 \- X, w6 |. C. w& k
    at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded4 I0 V/ b& B; t. U& S
    that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,
    + J6 a4 i  i3 l. {/ G0 {8 c' ^3 gLocomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able% R6 _1 ^: L( O# J) v
    to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].) |4 x$ Y: C3 L; H( t7 L
    However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology
    ' ]$ \2 G+ }" e; i% ^of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs/ p: z: S9 E3 D# L* Y- s1 i; Y
    being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,) _( o6 m* X- H/ A5 k3 h: f6 d1 ?8 ^
    such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that
    . F4 K! Y' Z, V% ?$ q3 `0 n7 Gatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed
    & i$ M. l9 ~& O' c9 I* `, Gfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8].: Y+ z8 ~5 |. A, E/ J$ N
    Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.7 r' H4 Q9 K  ~3 _; u
    If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones) o: q9 ]# p; U% K* x* `* S
    of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage
    ; \4 [. B& p0 _, l& M/ Da bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for
    ! P$ e' E$ D  k, l0 P6 Tgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded. b# c4 [3 i% d6 W- p* ~
    and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as$ B+ q  R/ C- r1 t
    quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of
    ( R/ b6 W* u( m* d: YJohns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism
      Y( W. T9 F* a+ w& C! Oto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would
    ) P. |' `- H: uenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds% Q* l+ b- o2 B* L/ J) i
    of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].
    8 n+ M) P% Y( o+ v: vYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the
    ( f6 A4 v  v# u9 ^: M3 n& g3 c1 q: Iflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and
    / \  U+ P+ f' T! e  S0 Kto answer the following questions.
    $ h/ O" c. o3 r* Y1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor6 z1 h$ a7 ]' c9 ?" B5 H
    mal flflight.
    $ x" A2 I5 }' g  D! D2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during
    2 a: @  A1 O' u  p; n" }normal flflight.0 ~5 A; y' z5 d0 t* F6 c, c
    3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like
    % j1 d/ G: a. [0 h- f' C. z8 Qbirds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively.
    5 u0 o, u# {2 c- L2 Z2 K3 vReferences
    " Y# |, w3 H5 E: [, |, N, }+ I[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight
    & R1 \0 i) f/ q1 j/ V1 [Membrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.1 P) ~4 b2 e# ~2 y
    2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.2 Z+ ^5 z# F5 x* U
    https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php
    5 u  U* {6 l5 z: C- ~9 z3 y! W[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs" ~: C2 b# Z1 j6 b! @
    Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-
    , ^9 V$ @, F' Q/ Gpterosaurs-had-feathers.html) \9 [7 Z, t" ^- M4 e) w& b7 B
    [4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a8 \: }6 w( C/ Y3 U, k
    rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)
    / E% L2 [: R% m. b1 v" G/ f$ z! J2 ifrom China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):
    6 }0 Z, ]% B0 @+ ~( T- [1983-87.4 f  S2 n5 p) a3 n& h9 ?! \
    [5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust6 ^9 Z3 Z: e: ?' t- F6 h+ C. I8 ^
    skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):! j% g, x' B4 x. I/ Q
    180-84.
    2 F" |/ K9 N. y[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?) Q* \5 X) _, i0 b5 i
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs# s- `2 l# R) \. f
    too-big-to-flfly/8 d) m9 I5 f: p) I& D  f2 c6 F
    [7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology
    ! E: ?6 p0 \8 }1 xof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60.
    ; d0 q7 _% }( Y. j$ d[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable/ m2 n0 U0 w6 u( K
    air sacs in their wings.
    ) m; [! p7 d" I7 Q6 n: ^8 s+ f# d. Ehttps://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur+ X$ o) i& D. a* _! v
    breathing-air-sacs6 L& g2 Y! g0 I7 q% ?( G
    [9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.4 Z5 p5 J3 G! ?" c; u7 E
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils
      S+ G& }* o6 D9 eresearch-mark-witton9 C! j$ l% t4 J7 b* c
    [10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?
    , d+ A' k9 i' G! ^$ H- U# P! }https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs
    : I5 c$ r% [1 P" F1 hvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/0 `* i/ U/ R- Y" I0 [* u+ U& ?
      x6 y  F, U; T0 W0 I" l
    20220 m; F( m, R7 [# c8 U
    Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
    9 W7 p3 B9 p6 z. u6 Bhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn) {- e+ x# R8 g$ l2 o# l1 H8 t2 J4 t4 I
    Problem B (MCM)
    1 u* w; Z$ X. |- X7 a6 UThe Genetic Process of Sequences
    9 \3 M0 q0 W8 J! f" H7 z) ?; w+ fSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein* o& m8 _1 m+ S6 N6 S2 U2 ]
    sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of
    9 q* O! \' S4 d  Hlife[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their
    + y6 w% g* o7 A$ qnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong
    ' m; u) t2 ]& r* C* _7 _% Revidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common9 @: M7 ?# N) u2 m3 k7 H
    ancestral sequence[2].
    5 J* A1 i, n# N. C# C! Q9 v( dConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu
    8 m+ k$ k; N% k9 ~7 }3 f8 q* Xcleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation
    / K  }, H$ x: |. D- v; u" p! parise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and) ^/ I1 h2 v  r2 |) |6 O2 w2 k
    deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by
    : e3 _& ~8 N9 Athe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together. H1 S0 y0 z0 g* Y
    can form a family, and they are considered homologous.5 \: r6 n. W( T7 t/ g
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com6 U, y) `  V! g/ {8 c5 X0 L
    plete the following problems.
    # ^0 M# N7 l: s9 n1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between8 r+ i4 @: }. L2 K1 z
    two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.4 J$ O) G; f& ?$ A7 O
    2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and5 q' J4 m) N& Z* m) J! L
    design suitable examples to illustrate it.& Y: p+ w6 Q/ A
    3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an5 j% G: a4 n+ e, t- Z- G1 T  w
    cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral& {3 N# S- u" k6 j$ i2 q6 M
    sequence, and map the genealogical tree.; p: |- P6 z3 d  y& M: P/ _
    References
    1 E1 O. [+ S; @. y: V( Q: I( Z[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re; L: V+ p; |3 g& c$ ]
    view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.$ p/ C, W+ k" k6 t( I3 ^
    [2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,
    7 E5 R) u: e4 b* T& }5 get al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and! \; t/ n* m) `
    a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987.
    0 M7 p/ t, h1 w6 D2 [
    $ k% Q+ v, v8 {2022
    8 l" y5 N+ ]: s6 ?0 M. Z! wCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling
      N& X- E8 R& Nhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    : q4 O  K" C  J, w" K- aProblem C (ICM), U/ f/ m1 C9 g( h4 U- x
    Classify Human Activities
    , f( z  D/ m5 P- X3 NOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and% D, R6 h: R1 V) q0 [# l5 K
    monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im
    2 D1 [: P  k: T6 v6 X7 h  i1 pprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor9 g3 F. _( m1 N9 r
    ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ
    7 y( b5 t. t/ i  @( L% f# @ity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly
    ' a5 }5 }1 K, z! i. G/ Hremotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2],
    : ~8 v4 ~+ Z, l1 }2 o  lmedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in
    . S  K  E, a0 O! |8 {: k- |school, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,' s. {/ J" e. \* ?4 G
    sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain$ E5 J- I& J, q1 M* J
    ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial
    , ^0 F7 |! Y8 U1 C; isensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify/ }1 A. g& J! l' _2 e5 @
    human activities, the following data were obtained.8 e1 g! A& U4 A6 X5 e: N5 |
    Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,
    + {  G$ ^; K. i6 A1 zbetween the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes! W" y% d% U! e. }
    for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ8 u) _& T( _5 }0 \
    ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be# {* v2 w1 G, H6 I$ P9 |* w
    performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and$ g9 h! O5 v, ~5 H2 d, B
    amplitudes of some activities.0 _  k& @5 \4 e) @  a2 @
    Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.0 o; ~! `0 c) h: U2 K6 ~2 I
    The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal
    2 F- c) G2 U2 S; g. y( tsegments are obtained for each activity.
    ! U2 Z* Z$ d6 z9 oThe 19 activities are:& P: F0 f3 d" |' U! W; l  M/ g: ~
    1. Sitting (A1);
    " Z; ^5 r0 c- v- a' e2. Standing (A2);
    / t7 O" x4 N: Q: O/ M- x) \- w2 z- G) O1 T3. Lying on back (A3);
    ; a5 f) A7 z5 x4. Lying on right side (A4);; f) \6 N3 v; M  h
    5. Ascending stairs (A5);. y5 n, |: l( Y! m
    16. Descending stairs (A6);
    8 Z5 j  s. n# d- ~6 n) F( d$ L7. Standing in an elevator still (A7);9 }& e  E( w2 K# h+ b
    8. Moving around in an elevator (A8);0 s6 l% P. }) y8 `- G  o
    9. Walking in a parking lot (A9);# p4 U" [5 y: s1 y  V$ w* \. c
    10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg" \7 r7 r7 P- [0 L7 s% Q
    inclined positions (A10);
    . |* }6 O- P# a& B# `* q2 j$ ]11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions
    - k# _  t9 S! j+ `9 d(A11);
    8 k( y6 R3 a5 O7 c& E+ J7 {12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);
    + K/ X5 |- f& z. E5 n1 R4 C! x13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);
    0 I5 E% X" S$ d4 N' E& C1 Z. B14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14);5 U2 C( x6 h9 \  J/ y8 {( }% ~/ Z
    15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);
    3 L% r) W: K9 K$ e* s0 L0 ^16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);% s3 |' ~5 C; n( l# R6 v
    17. Rowing (A17);
      k7 ^' m( o! K18. Jumping (A18);0 G1 g7 W9 c! y) P# R
    19. Playing basketball (A19).' E2 h: o" N+ X9 \0 }4 B9 v, x2 z: j
    Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve& B; I2 j! u4 S" \: \$ V7 z7 }# _
    the following problems.5 {7 t2 N0 B9 \* A; k( e
    1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify8 `0 i( f+ x& n+ J
    the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors.6 j6 L; Y4 c3 L) g* q5 W
    2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have: |! D) `7 s0 k# k- H
    a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study
    9 c0 ^5 o( U1 @& I9 sand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to
    ' ?* ^' V: X& ~" e0 J% nevaluate the generalization ability of your model.
    / [$ M) r7 p1 I3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-9 |& T: @8 k6 k- ~
    cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action
    6 C1 C- d1 j" H2 s  [6 K+ sclassifification.7 U6 S; x& F4 b
    The complete data can be downloaded through the following link:: O8 w7 {1 _5 O! H5 C
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq
    ; {" i5 O; C1 g2Appendix: File structure: s$ Y0 @+ ?  A
    • 19 activities (a)
    ( |# ^+ w; @, H2 {* W0 A* k• 8 subjects (p)3 \4 J: _: Q" a- n6 @+ G* q
    • 60 segments (s)0 _& t2 b5 n6 e& r, Z7 y; W) W# J
    • 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left  z6 V; |3 d! s
    leg (LL)% Q3 [5 W2 a0 Z. G( X1 c, f6 a( w
    • 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z
    8 ^9 K% t5 M7 v# amagnetometers): P7 U4 V6 |# V
    Folders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.7 }$ ^  m+ {% S1 w' u1 v& k! C+ p
    For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the
    4 n0 r: j% G; p$ y8 subjects.
    5 x0 V. V1 a3 ]( OIn each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each
    " ], J6 z. R/ v/ c# i6 Ysegment.
    7 }2 `5 w4 \3 NIn each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25
    + N+ z" y7 [/ L& D4 MHz = 125 rows.
    $ M- u: b" n2 S) B/ S- J; k1 c( E& h6 rEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the% j) `4 @4 E3 G. G. l
    sensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.
    " K0 }+ K- n. v1 z) mEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular
    1 G9 e8 S: c7 B4 R2 E; }sampling instant separated by commas.2 g/ @' h0 N# o$ S1 B# x( i
    Columns 1-45 correspond to:
      d+ K" q( D6 ?, t1 d+ f/ |0 _• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag,1 ~+ X# ?' \- ~1 U
    • RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag,7 a* Q0 ]) g# y4 k3 h
    • LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,
    : Q& h! Y( n1 d6 L• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag,' {  R0 t# m$ p1 _! |3 v
    • LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.6 H5 |) M- Q! O5 {6 O6 X, j7 D
    Therefore,' S7 G6 T8 L$ h3 E' {7 ~. o
    • columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),
      Z9 D9 P' \, j6 ]$ o• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA),' _; I6 A. \5 M4 v
    • columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),' v; n7 F# J+ C# _
    • columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),/ a2 Q4 C5 T( T
    • columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).; ~) r+ @* f: j; s% x) o7 d9 b
    3References$ G- @9 \# f1 I
    [1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic
    $ d# o5 V! R4 [+ L6 l8 Q& Qdaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.% I7 @* }6 l( U7 a6 u
    42(5), 679-687, 2004
    5 d" h+ U$ [& `" H& p0 d[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of$ c" V$ l6 S1 T3 q/ c3 H! p
    low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers.$ A' W8 `7 g1 j$ H7 |
    Gait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20084 @; D) Y2 X0 |
    [3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag* n" [4 Q$ y$ ^, _* O& a  M& F
    nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.
    " c3 X7 c* `! w6 Y) ]- F- |B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007
    7 Z; b8 k5 X6 s[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con8 L# M6 \) w1 H% d5 u4 A, G! A. B" \
    trol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 2008: t$ Z0 ^5 J& H5 e% d
    & P1 m6 v; X$ r* X: V& }
    2022
    / \0 Q: U1 ?4 a; ^* WCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling" }, g8 r& m9 c# P6 c
    http://mcm.tzmcm.cn
    % q. Z$ d5 O' YProblem D (ICM)1 S: r9 \" n3 o6 X- z; {
    Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long
    1 ~2 y; e' l: u) Z, `7 v' nTime6 E6 b" i8 q3 W5 m5 V! j4 f
    Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the
    $ N* f) R+ ~9 M) [, t( U7 t2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source
    1 Q( w5 w0 {1 O2 N  q4 B1 ?9 Rof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently
    * \8 W! ]4 M' g: Ltightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,: _! @9 n6 V5 u/ g" n; @
    which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some" [  s# C( N/ a( |/ @' k
    scientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak: Q; v8 z/ a. ?% W5 `
    ends.
    5 v" R, I" M/ u1 {9 tHow the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?
    7 r$ l3 A7 C) f% Y" z4 V6 u1 s- j; ZSome researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas
    . L; ?5 X. C4 p- P6 g' o4 \others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo
    8 y2 c$ s9 }0 S7 nple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could% A) ?8 I. k( X
    cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil
    + @$ v( {% X" K0 g. k% ?# z" J' elion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of
    . {) t" I; ]) N- W9 |6 AEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.0 e- m1 x. ^# p% l9 i" A5 H
    A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology
    : C* U- c' F  P# o# bin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their0 V6 N( V& a6 y, X$ e% a
    smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have
    ! P6 c9 M# Z  k+ r) pidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with
    . q1 n& Y+ ^2 o" ?' l# Hall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing* l. T& ^, I8 F) ~5 a  F
    almost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen0 F8 [. G* J+ h2 `
    from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 307 Z, x) b' G" W; ~' D7 `' Q& f
    November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in
    4 b' }/ w' x" L% D& h" z6 }Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in
    1 q- S/ c4 b( d& T9 {' @- G; Z1 WGuangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife
    4 {- }, @6 |& ]8 L  q% Rtrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature* r8 q0 H' p) d* H5 u
    when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact
    6 P1 s7 }$ {. J. gwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients
    7 d/ }7 s& c7 e1 C2 r2 O, b, @are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.
    . V  Q* J7 [$ J- pWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being:$ r& Z8 G0 `6 t0 [* y3 t6 [  Q9 O
    1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS& U& A$ \5 ^- N: S9 U, H: ~
    outbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL4 o+ \3 d1 f2 p* C( X
    • Decline and extinction of populations
    , J3 Z6 F0 M. h5 C# }  f. p1 Q• Introduction of invasive species! S1 E4 ^. j9 O: z1 u# c
    • Spread of new diseases to humans
    " T  Q1 Z: F# aWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database
    9 [9 c9 v, D  `" W! Ccontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The* n8 L/ H5 g5 h5 E* A
    appendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete
    9 o% w+ U. ^. o, x& ^8 t/ Zdatabase can also be obtained through the following link:& j% h+ O! `$ q( l8 B$ ^5 G# y
    https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ1 `* E; ]  Q1 q6 J$ j
    Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod. J) C0 n( K& _; g3 `
    els, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:
    $ n2 M, S6 g* o. H# Q1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live4 i% Q$ R* W* f- D6 Z, [
    animals taken from the wild)?
      `" v+ A3 P: d2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?
    4 r8 x& f( w  e/ y5 ]) l% ]3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?4 p. j7 F, r$ n$ x  X# d) ?
    4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major0 P/ m, L9 \( l& d! J' {5 f
    infectious diseases?9 W, E' V  L4 j, D
    25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it2 U4 s2 z8 a. |  S/ @
    will have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?
    5 v2 J/ f% v9 l2 L; I$ T* |6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain/ p% x1 j3 q; V3 ?; ~: h
    your views and policy suggestions.
    * W, H5 p) u$ L( z# R0 l# X9 O
    ) i- D% ?& |6 D8 E! |" \) U; d% s! N" Y& x- j6 \
    ; h9 K( y1 s0 g  l2 n
    ( a! T, L  o- w1 x; W9 V, s& }( \  f0 F

    , Z8 o3 d+ ~" C& i8 d+ ^; ]
    . a7 C8 X5 D; L. X9 _) V% f0 {: G9 ]; l/ C: y2 h

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