2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 5 v) K" G, U( P8 m9 |- ehttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx - F/ T3 b, F- D& l" k' x q, Q0 F' ^9 G' i
20225 i2 s* o: k2 h. m% u3 s
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling - o% t+ m4 }4 D9 i: t* E6 nhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn ! U1 F d+ G7 D; u. [" ^Problem A (MCM) ! i9 Y5 u+ w3 ?: C2 d/ vHow Pterosaurs Fly% Y; u' ~& O1 w6 H. G! s
Pterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They ) e% c5 j% o" G4 v8 k/ c' `existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of# X8 u1 e3 v( g7 u, K0 O4 z
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved . d2 Q) _$ [7 C* A! fpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and 6 } q5 [0 w) n4 f- l: s' a, Dother tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth/ h2 V- N& |6 v n D7 F
fifinger[1].0 ]! m- ~: n7 H @; n. \9 W
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller ' @' A/ v- c. E+ |" \animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem 5 c1 Y+ b, c1 L: ]/ n$ lbranes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they$ v2 C# w0 t1 x. G& Y
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and . [. Y/ ]- `8 B, Qstrong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived/ J* P/ O2 C4 a: y% I9 \" v4 W; ~* O# C
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. : _4 i3 M0 ?# qLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles. , h# S+ d q+ O+ f: `, ?: XPterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails, 5 s" M2 c; I6 ^. d" o L* Cand long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on ! f7 _& Y$ s+ [% }/ z. l" |# c) _all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and 9 f- W9 S K1 r: l+ N7 f) Nfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil: J& Y" S/ x. H7 t; O* t7 z6 h
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2].! [# c+ |! W M8 u7 R
Pterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which9 Y7 ?/ ]& [$ b- r- d" j
covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have* M; Z; F _, O
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug7 s! {* U3 O8 j, g C# j% y
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de: D" V% w u% ~* c- W
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning: @) k9 u7 h! K- o1 h7 _ E1 B
calories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded ) @+ J* H1 r, h/ L$ {# y(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec! \( ^5 R& M/ G, r! w
tional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones / v6 l5 G& G; Tto an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from $ h0 I2 L" j, W i6 q0 r9 vthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including' _, }% K' E& l# e
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least . ~) ]4 Y3 k( l0 R; V7 Pnine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong: g3 C+ G2 \( f/ V/ Z$ G
1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.9 T- y2 Z- U* p6 C
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled# b ^; \' f# s2 ^, \
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded 0 B( y4 L4 G4 }* y& \( ithat it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,5 ], c1 a+ r, b% p4 r! b9 |
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able+ N, M2 F# T S( \# E% }& P# k
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7]. 6 J3 ^, F% f0 |" EHowever, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology ( R K+ a; s" U: uof Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs7 r% N* h/ Y$ N$ B0 K8 M
being seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,& } w( ^; T+ j
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that + s+ f2 `9 v0 h" oatmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed7 p, `" ~1 S- }+ |1 {
for the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. ' Z1 h; P9 P S% I. ]# O( K# uAnother issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff. 6 ]/ M3 k4 M5 c5 b4 DIf pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones8 |6 `, @& A/ ~/ y6 ^" T% [
of enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage8 M3 V: i0 R5 Q4 K- u
a bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for 3 \% W& ^6 K' O/ g }# zgetting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded/ J6 F' _; D" B$ G8 \- r9 l1 q" u" Y
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as - y `5 }6 s8 w4 R6 r7 [quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of2 ]/ Y8 x( N( j# @
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism 8 F% R' V& s5 ?6 X1 z, Hto obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would* I# a& R$ S$ R' ?8 ]
enable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds3 \' o" @) g' i. f/ p& ?. T
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10].% P3 Z1 W7 L7 M1 h. I$ Y/ t4 [
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the% x w/ J* t+ @" u2 [2 _
flflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and " W) Y& y1 U4 i( H0 ato answer the following questions.' Y+ h2 b. A9 L8 Z& h/ y5 O
1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor & L, P* T) |" k2 amal flflight. % ?4 e" e# t; _8 }& ~ q2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during % h( k! M; ?9 ]normal flflight.3 s, _/ b+ j4 A" z
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like& T& V. H& V8 u" K" U4 q
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. * T) {* U* i$ @2 i# r( d: uReferences& {4 _: d6 h: O$ [- C' H* o; u
[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight $ I1 Y/ d9 u* OMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.0 z1 c7 w% M c' ?9 Z' g
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion., l/ {& j7 V3 c6 f) ^
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php 7 n5 V$ _/ Q2 t5 y+ \' k- k# q[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs" g. b" e, U5 p' K: z
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324- $ y5 V! F) I- n6 x7 h# m8 P( C' spterosaurs-had-feathers.html ) v7 c# V4 D G6 ?$ ^- Y( E[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a6 `8 c& }* s+ s/ }) F
rare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea)8 U! m( k; V8 X+ n4 v+ ~5 j
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6):; a, ?; ?; t Y. l; X0 L5 e
1983-87.& N3 {% L+ y) u) p
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust 4 b) p. Q( n9 I; e! m( mskull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4): 3 M$ e: o% A% U+ w0 w I180-84. ) P* g8 ?) N; T0 B1 a$ Q) q* P: h[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly?* L& Q! w- A8 F9 \' ^3 v
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs& a ?" H$ `7 |7 V
too-big-to-flfly/ # w& O* t, K1 h. V/ u) J[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology B7 y. L1 D) V# @6 z0 c/ R' Pof pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. * }5 c9 t. R6 {: g$ B$ L4 K _[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable ) y- u0 P2 v( {air sacs in their wings.( n$ p6 |8 {0 D% {( U* ^: h% n
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur. _) u: P4 V& I' S, i% T, a
breathing-air-sacs+ Y8 B2 A- y+ C; V
[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.* I! C7 O& d( S* S- r5 c
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils ( z2 @! l/ G# P6 c4 `research-mark-witton& @' O1 n$ R0 g0 Z, X: S' j0 ^
[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?9 V0 p- I/ I* o
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs $ r, h7 J( \& _# q" e6 yvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/ 3 p. ^% J9 H L5 F% S$ s5 e. @6 y6 k L5 s
20228 i6 i& V& ~1 I4 q2 t
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling1 P- K9 a2 f/ B J3 L0 l1 ?
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn' P8 z$ d. r0 m% Y; W6 ]
Problem B (MCM) ) U1 D* m- C# K# C6 [$ V2 y5 y# o) F4 BThe Genetic Process of Sequences 7 R( V T& p& @ x" p8 |7 n# o+ V3 Z6 gSequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein% c+ D6 J, a& }/ |9 V U
sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of * X5 j( I$ j/ H( ~life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their ! `+ I4 R0 `8 w! G7 D8 Hnucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong + e7 s$ Q9 Z* P& ?- T# Eevidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common . \' D5 m3 V3 K7 t6 q: cancestral sequence[2]. # T$ k: S/ r+ {6 ?3 H/ tConsider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu0 ^1 ?/ @& G5 ^ z. r
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation 4 M4 b. _0 b8 e! s( w0 F; marise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and V3 C0 n' j- \0 Ndeletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by. m; ]" H: H A8 K
the amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together+ F$ _3 ?* I' m9 ]; B9 x
can form a family, and they are considered homologous. ; ]4 t) W ? p& rYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com, g; M1 o3 J5 O( Z/ S4 Y0 `. T
plete the following problems.: Q# t0 C! V5 O/ J
1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between A: |5 G* u/ r5 L/ L, otwo suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences. 6 R$ R4 }( {0 ]8 w. L2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and, r9 R+ ~6 X7 z; [
design suitable examples to illustrate it. + w) ~, X. I* [- F6 F3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an3 _2 r5 x* A, W# f+ R4 |
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral ; R& @% }) L$ d0 z5 C2 g0 N }sequence, and map the genealogical tree. & L1 y9 S* T6 y0 V$ p( a4 t% nReferences5 z. E% l, d* D' e& S
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re " X; D& [, ^. x5 Q) bview of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005.7 n: h c5 B# | w0 Y, ?% [
[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE, / `1 W; m& @7 j& r. U' v) pet al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and c# H9 B0 |7 `+ E; Z& I7 }, D# ra way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. ; `/ T/ f6 g, K0 I o4 m" V* i# W9 R! ^8 P: K0 H5 ^9 D/ `
2022 ' b7 {/ b1 M6 L* _2 X O2 ?Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling+ V) @' g% r6 v1 N; j
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn , R$ q. _$ O, y& ?# T1 ^7 T; ]Problem C (ICM) $ X) t' B4 ]3 c {4 h$ s3 XClassify Human Activities % o3 Y/ q4 ^7 r0 `2 HOne important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and4 s8 M! b! U2 l0 ~9 B
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im / Q. ^2 z0 z: I& @/ w: sprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor , @6 O& r* `# `3 Ging, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ 6 _4 C: m. I8 J% b" I. A2 M$ ?4 nity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly8 U9 S6 t9 I9 e4 E2 @
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], 4 R- k7 o- Y2 |& ~! V" {medical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in 8 J( {: r& P1 v1 Q2 H gschool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics, & w, G3 I s1 u1 X, [, gsports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain2 S: A# y" G R6 R& [4 e x
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial( T1 J3 |3 @0 k: r7 V) J
sensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify ' O) p2 a( U, ~/ D' {, f9 khuman activities, the following data were obtained. p0 l# C0 m/ v- Q
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,+ ~& U+ [6 a, @4 N+ ~! G/ Q
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes, S, y& P5 a, L3 X6 {& G1 ^
for each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ3 `2 |3 P1 U' R) ?5 N
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be$ w. z3 o, n6 N
performed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and 7 I3 c4 c e. G8 Qamplitudes of some activities. ) @6 o# Q3 v# H+ uSensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency. , J r$ i: q n; F/ U$ @The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal- U6 t/ t% o+ d
segments are obtained for each activity.$ C4 `* L4 m0 E
The 19 activities are:$ B0 n# d- x4 C
1. Sitting (A1);. U' s4 G) H( J3 x$ Y
2. Standing (A2);1 Y8 p; P. I0 T' p
3. Lying on back (A3);& ?. Y; U" ?' _, i7 e% X$ v" U
4. Lying on right side (A4);) ^. v D' z5 u! k* V4 r/ f$ T
5. Ascending stairs (A5);$ K% o: O1 S W& v0 H
16. Descending stairs (A6); 2 {8 T1 e3 j: p7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); : _8 B7 d$ e; i# a8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); ! T5 |7 Z: z5 a! z+ p5 v9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); ' Y$ o0 Y; U$ O6 j u' d: K& D10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg . E; c2 ]! p; Q0 p3 `# p% Binclined positions (A10); 3 J( z' u9 m+ H% n% Y( @11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions & |, G% e$ ]( I% ^) l(A11);2 [# J0 B9 ~2 |' z* C8 U3 y
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12); o N( u8 M1 Y A! G+ v7 I0 a, V
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13);3 R+ ]7 M3 t: n a: |
14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); + Q; E$ S' e, `' {1 S15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);* d, N+ Z2 k1 B( d4 Z2 Z' `
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16);6 f5 I7 r" |5 a6 i
17. Rowing (A17); ) s) i' b; x: Q/ c+ g5 ~6 G18. Jumping (A18);+ d h4 H# S3 m1 m& x$ f
19. Playing basketball (A19).# F7 D# q4 J: d3 w& b2 s
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve 6 S6 F6 z* e' x0 L Q' u* Fthe following problems. 7 {/ s, c' ]& H$ [% `% i# ~1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify 3 L. z" o4 J* e. @1 dthe 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. ; @0 l8 f; p0 B3 Q, ^6 q# v. M( X2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have) N- c. s" O% j3 H
a good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study , F9 d7 B1 \) O# |/ S1 j5 ?8 j. tand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to ) Z5 l& g$ \% {0 Tevaluate the generalization ability of your model.- b c" e2 G5 F5 C6 C
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi-6 K4 w" P% u+ p! p" J
cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action2 ?( b7 W) u) h) a
classifification. 8 h1 G/ K) I1 w$ h( l: AThe complete data can be downloaded through the following link: 4 c2 Z' C$ `1 Y9 Q. Phttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq) }& n# k+ Q( M( w d# l1 Z5 i
2Appendix: File structure 7 R' D9 K, j; w' M: ?/ I# O• 19 activities (a) 9 G, ?: t( w" J• 8 subjects (p) 4 r$ ]' H' F- a5 i: q% D• 60 segments (s). s) w+ t9 H0 ~, N4 B7 x- H5 i1 d
• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left 6 @3 b" y# G$ U' f+ i1 X" dleg (LL) . D3 e) o3 Q2 O8 O$ |• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z 5 k% N5 r) f& J, y+ q2 lmagnetometers) - u6 r( ^/ M$ j0 L r+ JFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities. 5 W3 g s, g$ E6 c5 D ?% jFor each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 6 S* {( c) L0 m) T# J) f/ T* T' v8 subjects.# t2 n7 X1 \, p
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each % x/ P& }1 ?$ I5 I6 c3 vsegment. 1 h; F f6 M* A6 q/ {In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25) k) T0 {+ U; Q9 X$ A1 A2 M+ ~
Hz = 125 rows. 7 T. G" i. G- y& oEach column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the % J7 Q1 Q+ J' A2 Q7 e) j$ T( Hsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec.* P- H. Y1 Y5 D2 {* E% R! ^
Each row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular/ U% \6 Q8 \6 R! M4 H' ]3 z9 _4 U
sampling instant separated by commas.1 M* Y$ P; W: `( w
Columns 1-45 correspond to:$ @' }6 _, ?+ p
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag, , c/ z1 e% j) Z7 I7 N• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, % o8 |3 r; N- V• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag, / l6 ?' C: @ k• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, ) z; |% q# m1 }! H, z. g& q• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag.9 |: M) }. M( I7 S8 U1 x! S
Therefore, " m. A( j* D; Y1 l- J' p• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),& O' G) ?1 ]' R3 _4 J/ n
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), % ]9 ^" H/ h4 d- v Z2 R• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),9 i3 P$ R4 m7 @) y! }! n" Y
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL), 0 J- R+ h8 M" S6 X• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL).# z' k5 z9 L( t) W; s
3References2 C8 K& I; U" E8 J
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic % B7 N7 g4 i' i) }! V) j5 odaily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput.% J6 R/ h# n' \: v9 s1 S. I
42(5), 679-687, 2004: u; r) b3 D) g2 T# s
[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of' d# C/ y5 p) l* R" b Y* ~
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. ; y4 K5 Q; i/ X, v z* EGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 2008 - r# X8 P& t/ W* G/ b; }8 ~[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag/ f3 ]6 W8 Y( l) D' d' u" n
nosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.$ Z* T: }9 @/ K% Z/ C
B. 11(5), 553-562, 2007 . s8 T" q/ N2 y" `0 ]2 ?9 u& n[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con " W( r [' l! s1 M+ G2 l1 ^, M7 J# y; Mtrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20084 V% A! ^. m# m5 Z7 L# E
. r& ^# o0 k1 ^0 O, E7 ?9 `# X. \
2022# y) x, e ` }. V
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling1 R" O9 E1 l! O/ l' C% E
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn % _& w# T" L8 v/ h! B2 S! @- E% KProblem D (ICM)! T4 s" P, \; I! k2 k0 {. z' z5 A
Whether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long 3 {& ?- q$ s( |/ uTime - H- H$ ^ N% L9 Y) z9 NWild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the , V1 B6 h! S5 _; r4 z& q2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source: ?) E; y6 A: A4 k1 \
of the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently / r3 z; g4 _( v* Q3 V; D+ E; etightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, 5 G) X& S) d# L) u; A8 Twhich is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some 9 C0 Z1 O, T; Q) Oscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak+ m6 B2 _2 Z1 E* n
ends." A1 J/ L @. x+ P
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term? 7 b$ @# S! G- \Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas/ N ^6 S- x* N: q, I
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo 3 B F" T& i: a0 Q; J- e& Hple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could: }5 V' T( C4 H) I; H/ k9 ]
cost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil % c9 m* I! v: B5 ^* slion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of 4 W( Y# \' T- yEntrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing.. Q4 h- m& d$ W' y4 `
A team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology J8 t% `, M, T9 o+ U
in China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their6 Z" A2 p9 g7 h. O
smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have 9 p, k; i3 }7 \& |. Qidentifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with# Q. w Q3 A; p& B: S" d
all the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing ; W; Q; @- d/ G. D" e Ualmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen* C: I* c9 Q9 Y# ?* z* W: X" n, s
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30- c; E- W0 p# [. a0 A
November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in/ M* w/ t, [* g: W _6 p
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in. J6 [5 r) _5 q+ O% a7 f' B3 P* j
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife 7 d( h/ u0 l* i9 `% a. ctrade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature 8 S. R" S5 {" S: f. t2 \when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact& l, o* I9 q, U/ \* a% s' F2 B
with animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients7 a; e. A' L' W( U; v6 [
are in place for a similar disease to emerge again. ) o* |) V* [) b6 V+ VWildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: $ m- p Y- a& c7 x" \! y6 q1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS 7 d( U4 _7 ~8 D/ o6 T/ Ooutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL . u" M% E( j& C" M• Decline and extinction of populations 4 ], C3 p/ A* w0 D- |• Introduction of invasive species 9 N* v1 s x! I• Spread of new diseases to humans0 b+ h6 S' m; ]
We use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database ! O3 }* l. b; k2 Qcontains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The . H1 v1 i* n: K; C b# T2 @" aappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 5 g0 ~# a( A6 g% Odatabase can also be obtained through the following link: % u$ b7 W8 T% h/ Shttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ ( m2 h2 G' T1 t" ]. D- \4 E' H, k0 fRequirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod ( X' V9 _# D, @4 K( R6 gels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems: 8 T5 c' k( Z7 T" j1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live; F$ U# x3 i. `! J7 ]
animals taken from the wild)? 9 m1 P: d$ h; a I2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals?, o; G6 w- U; |: n- z, m: U$ w/ K" K
3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?) j6 k; O+ B* X H b" x- i- b
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major 0 W2 O' C( w3 N; j) Zinfectious diseases? , b0 D8 ]) V- s9 a; _4 D25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it / z j. J& U1 m% z- Uwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why? 1 z6 a# _* y( l. b% x6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain* {$ _- O/ K) e6 |7 X' y# g5 k* j
your views and policy suggestions. E6 o3 U/ w! @6 S; L
5 j" e- [0 A- S. s0 y: D! i, z" Z- {