2022小美赛赛题的移动云盘下载地址 3 G, N% i5 F$ |/ I# Hhttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJAMhGgSJx: U, F# r8 P% e: a2 g" l
8 V! y8 W# Y0 l+ Z' o$ p
2022 . l8 F1 M" a& ?; Q5 y2 ZCertifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling * ^- o: B% L) I8 K8 f, S f2 fhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn4 o$ D3 B' d: _4 T# K
Problem A (MCM): S2 Y* u% } l. g$ A/ \
How Pterosaurs Fly % w- K, x3 W8 KPterosaurs is an extinct clade of flflying reptiles in the order, Pterosauria. They% l9 z( H ^# u b! t$ X, \
existed during most of the Mesozoic: from the Late Triassic to the end of9 z% v8 J3 m4 E, c0 a$ ]
the Cretaceous. Pterosaurs are the earliest vertebrates known to have evolved / w3 S+ ^/ h& I# {) V1 J. p" K0 P1 Rpowered flflight. Their wings were formed by a membrane of skin, muscle, and & s1 K- i. ?, i# N. A, T( B: ^other tissues stretching from the ankles to a dramatically lengthened fourth# W- y5 @9 ]/ w
fifinger[1].- U3 v, u" z% K
There were two major types of pterosaurs. Basal pterosaurs were smaller ! c1 k# V+ Z4 O4 V0 F5 }animals with fully toothed jaws and long tails usually. Their wide wing mem * Z# y! z/ x( i9 `branes probably included and connected the hind legs. On the ground, they* Q$ O9 r* L8 L- x( g! W
would have had an awkward sprawling posture, but their joint anatomy and2 P% o; }$ q9 v
strong claws would have made them effffective climbers, and they may have lived! U# ]) M# l) T# N# q9 Y( V: f
in trees. Basal pterosaurs were insectivores or predators of small vertebrates. 9 l' V/ G1 {3 {0 r+ I4 z; J6 \. qLater pterosaurs (pterodactyloids) evolved many sizes, shapes, and lifestyles.) W9 I' I4 _) u" @% P: b
Pterodactyloids had narrower wings with free hind limbs, highly reduced tails," j2 _. Y. R& f0 J
and long necks with large heads. On the ground, pterodactyloids walked well on/ w6 N/ S5 t+ l" [
all four limbs with an upright posture, standing plantigrade on the hind feet and 9 P3 T2 _# d/ g2 k$ Y' Bfolding the wing fifinger upward to walk on the three-fifingered “hand”. The fossil6 d! q! n) e7 {5 n3 r! X4 e
trackways show at least some species were able to run and wade or swim[2]. 8 F9 D3 M5 I* H7 oPterosaurs sported coats of hair-like fifilaments known as pycnofifibers, which ) G- j! _( T6 s1 ]covered their bodies and parts of their wings[3]. In life, pterosaurs would have" u" a9 d* b' \
had smooth or flfluffffy coats that did not resemble bird feathers. Earlier sug: B) j7 F# B1 F! V. ^% w
gestions were that pterosaurs were largely cold-blooded gliding animals, de/ A7 x( v, ?3 t/ D9 K
riving warmth from the environment like modern lizards, rather than burning 1 N$ w1 [/ k: f/ [' F$ y3 kcalories. However, later studies have shown that they may be warm-blooded+ r4 m9 R) [0 h; h: \! n
(endothermic), active animals. The respiratory system had effiffifficient unidirec ' R8 i5 o5 J& @' Btional “flflow-through” breathing using air sacs, which hollowed out their bones6 F+ X5 D, P3 f8 r( Y% V% L
to an extreme extent. Pterosaurs spanned a wide range of adult sizes, from 4 R6 J& I: A4 e( K* @4 B5 i3 bthe very small anurognathids to the largest known flflying creatures, including8 E- u# L& ~: y! I+ a2 a4 W
Quetzalcoatlus and Hatzegopteryx[4][5], which reached wingspans of at least9 X8 n N# s7 d) a6 K8 Q; K/ d: J
nine metres. The combination of endothermy, a good oxygen supply and strong $ c) {- a) P$ b' U n8 @. c% d1muscles made pterosaurs powerful and capable flflyers.5 Q. d, J; U, U+ Q" v: _
The mechanics of pterosaur flflight are not completely understood or modeled. \& \1 n- X4 {% l& i) j
at this time. Katsufumi Sato did calculations using modern birds and concluded! l) O# M/ A8 [
that it was impossible for a pterosaur to stay aloft[6]. In the book Posture,+ N8 e8 P/ u! t* G0 H+ c" y4 X
Locomotion, and Paleoecology of Pterosaurs it is theorized that they were able5 q) H% H) ~' X
to flfly due to the oxygen-rich, dense atmosphere of the Late Cretaceous period[7].7 K# ~/ z6 k, W- i
However, both Sato and the authors of Posture, Locomotion, and Paleoecology9 v* m* W6 ^& \& C2 k
of Pterosaurs based their research on the now-outdated theories of pterosaurs 8 X: C2 M {4 F, Cbeing seabird-like, and the size limit does not apply to terrestrial pterosaurs,1 S9 `6 j) R; ?8 P+ V
such as azhdarchids and tapejarids. Furthermore, Darren Naish concluded that6 M) Y1 p6 f2 b! Y' k
atmospheric difffferences between the present and the Mesozoic were not needed / Y0 i5 n* Z& i' l4 Zfor the giant size of pterosaurs[8]. 8 [% m$ U5 k. \ p( A! _Another issue that has been diffiffifficult to understand is how they took offff.+ B/ x. O$ O; m; R3 D3 d
If pterosaurs were cold-blooded animals, it was unclear how the larger ones 8 j- d9 w9 n8 P7 ?, K& Oof enormous size, with an ineffiffifficient cold-blooded metabolism, could manage . s8 U8 A2 D4 S/ _6 I/ Sa bird-like takeoffff strategy, using only the hind limbs to generate thrust for% O) v0 B% J/ q8 M* s1 {
getting airborne. Later research shows them instead as being warm-blooded& y o% r6 U2 s6 s7 ^) C' E# U
and having powerful flflight muscles, and using the flflight muscles for walking as7 @2 W. v w+ p7 w, I
quadrupeds[9]. Mark Witton of the University of Portsmouth and Mike Habib of6 T% x2 v$ }6 Q" Z$ d/ e }
Johns Hopkins University suggested that pterosaurs used a vaulting mechanism0 J, A& S0 n3 C9 a
to obtain flflight[10]. The tremendous power of their winged forelimbs would 3 Q% y# n. {5 ^, R* w, Zenable them to take offff with ease[9]. Once aloft, pterosaurs could reach speeds; r% R* ?0 G7 m& D" a0 _/ ?
of up to 120 km/h and travel thousands of kilometres[10]. , V& t2 g/ `( @ c* H% gYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model of the ( W% k4 R4 g; j5 @4 H& T, vflflight process of at least one large pterosaur based on fossil measurements and - ~- W2 E1 ~' v( j7 I$ yto answer the following questions. 4 o0 s f, q6 \( @. @9 [! ~1. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its average speed during nor ! ^; E' c& z8 p) V" Y& Xmal flflight. 5 F, W9 T( ]: I2 Q8 h3 f2. For your selected pterosaur species, estimate its wing-flflap frequency during$ ?/ N1 Z3 c* |8 Z
normal flflight.- @$ J# O) K A8 k M# U
3. Study how large pterosaurs take offff; is it possible for them to take offff like* w' b1 U5 \5 w2 s* |
birds on flflat ground or on water? Explain the reasons quantitatively. ) @* g& _' g2 Y- G2 G/ O" g2 _References , T) v0 i+ q& a) Q/ U1 a5 q[1] Elgin RA, Hone DW, Frey E (2011). The Extent of the Pterosaur Flight - z5 Z) c/ y6 AMembrane. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica. 56 (1): 99-111.- r; n; v% r# t# v0 M
2[2] Mark Witton. Terrestrial Locomotion.& q' p( E. T, V. ~3 x9 c4 y& O
https://pterosaur.net/terrestrial locomotion.php6 S: |5 p3 E" o; J7 K) a( R0 R
[3] Laura Geggel. It’s Offiffifficial: Those Flying Reptiles Called Pterosaurs/ E- I5 o6 |3 w) c+ \% ?4 X
Were Covered in Fluffffy Feathers. https://www.livescience.com/64324-" B# x3 `4 c+ y
pterosaurs-had-feathers.html3 J: N% s D( j* k+ _6 P3 t; k6 B
[4] Wang, X.; Kellner, A.W.A.; Zhou, Z.; Campos, D.A. (2008). Discovery of a _1 y1 {2 h1 ?2 E+ T" Lrare arboreal forest-dwelling flflying reptile (Pterosauria, Pterodactyloidea) D$ j$ M) g: ^$ }% V9 o
from China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 105 (6): , p. D7 j1 w3 Z' j0 _! g1983-87.+ |4 W# @6 i6 h" O) C5 X* A; I
[5] Buffffetaut E, Grigorescu D, Csiki Z. A new giant pterosaur with a robust* M( b/ W) F4 K' j( u/ d
skull from the latest cretaceous of Romania. Naturwissenschaften. 89 (4):% A% s* j. s' B. ?
180-84. / @+ W' G" K9 p0 \9 m1 D( K* t[6] Devin Powell. Were pterosaurs too big to flfly? 9 `2 E0 M G4 U6 Z qhttps://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026763-800-were-pterosaurs6 [: a2 U" ~9 y
too-big-to-flfly/ ; M0 d2 \' f) X+ ~& @1 ~; h[7] Templin, R. J.; Chatterjee, Sankar. Posture, locomotion, and paleoecology/ ~4 p/ b) Y) t0 N# ]9 F9 I9 z. ?
of pterosaurs. Boulder, Colo: Geological Society of America. p. 60. 9 k# J& [+ ], }0 \' q! w! Q1 |[8] Naish, Darren. Pterosaurs breathed in bird-like fashion and had inflflatable 3 k7 v4 e6 p2 Y5 tair sacs in their wings.4 t5 f$ t) g/ _8 k
https://scienceblogs.com/tetrapodzoology/2009/02/18/pterosaur% l. v/ `& [9 \2 r% S9 @# u$ h. ~
breathing-air-sacs ! A/ l8 ^% X2 f+ K Q4 t[9] Mark Witton. Why pterosaurs weren’t so scary after all.: s/ C5 z. G/ Y N, ?' J7 D
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/aug/11/pterosaurs-fossils ?8 L: |* L/ y5 G: u
research-mark-witton # D3 z5 P% M* I; Z, j; K' [9 ^* d- ` v[10] Jeffff Hecht. Did giant pterosaurs vault aloft like vampire bats?4 o3 H" \% _3 [7 |, h( ~
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19724-did-giant-pterosaurs ) s4 K7 D1 N& mvault-aloft-like-vampire-bats/5 H b. g% A7 W$ `# E% ?
" }' O4 B; p2 T( Y3 A$ Z
2022, f6 |2 Z7 f' g1 q
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling- P: s) `$ m' U- b" |3 C% r' L
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn+ C, E+ P8 Z, Y2 D
Problem B (MCM)" h$ H9 Q2 }* A+ u
The Genetic Process of Sequences1 }, j; V) z4 P$ f, H5 M
Sequence homology is the biological homology between DNA, RNA, or protein " b! E7 P/ e9 F; t' O$ {5 `& ^sequences, defifined in terms of shared ancestry in the evolutionary history of6 b- H6 v% \- ]" S1 _4 y
life[1]. Homology among DNA, RNA, or proteins is typically inferred from their% j# B, X, m4 u; |1 c
nucleotide or amino acid sequence similarity. Signifificant similarity is strong8 J* o& }5 L( Z
evidence that two sequences are related by evolutionary changes from a common / y( j" m) m! C! R7 I+ E& Sancestral sequence[2].- ?' I: e# A$ s9 H$ V! Z# t8 I+ p9 Y
Consider the genetic process of a RNA sequence, in which mutations in nu0 R! Y s' M: p. m1 Z
cleotide bases occur by chance. For simplicity, we assume the sequence mutation+ J: R1 @( o: i& d
arise due to the presence of change (transition or transversion), insertion and" W6 |* d2 d: I; ^; ^8 \
deletion of a single base. So we can measure the distance of two sequences by 2 ?, W* Q' h& O- ~0 x: c4 cthe amount of mutation points. Multiple base sequences that are close together : T7 m$ h. B1 | r2 J5 gcan form a family, and they are considered homologous.5 Z X$ x I3 Y6 j: ~! t7 C8 E4 |
Your team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to com' u1 ^% d9 [- y5 u$ D5 L9 f* J
plete the following problems. ! y9 v5 j9 |+ a8 o1. Please design an algorithm that quickly measures the distance between: n4 O+ w, l, T3 Q5 y: {
two suffiffifficiently long(> 103 bases) base sequences.1 i2 W" s: E( m L" F
2. Please evaluate the complexity and accuracy of the algorithm reliably, and " _0 J% A$ J- E3 W6 b; b" ydesign suitable examples to illustrate it.- s/ V0 U& Y1 t, l
3. If multiple base sequences in a family have evolved from a common an( y6 {8 z5 n9 Q- P4 f- d. Y1 R
cestral sequence, design an effiffifficient algorithm to determine the ancestral . U2 s4 Y( X, X+ B e+ Tsequence, and map the genealogical tree.2 x8 E Y0 n6 q. H
References d& j T0 K' e5 A; k4 |
[1] Koonin EV. “Orthologs, paralogs, and evolutionary genomics”. Annual Re; @1 A! ^; ]) F& B& P6 K* Y7 D
view of Genetics. 39: 30938, 2005. " ]/ u$ s& ~2 X) v! l0 Y6 [[2] Reeck GR, de Han C, Teller DC, Doolittle RF, Fitch WM, Dickerson RE,+ _" `) c& V6 u& W x: V/ q% x
et al. “Homology” in proteins and nucleic acids: a terminology muddle and& l( {: l _5 F* Y- F5 A
a way out of it. Cell. 50 (5): 667, 1987. 4 j3 ?. u: @ b. K( k# b1 R2 a; y$ \ E. f, h6 k0 `/ w) u6 Q
2022 7 N# W# q! `# I# b* ~Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling, j- q9 O! ?% B& Y( o
http://mcm.tzmcm.cn; _/ k9 p% o! f( ?, Q. S
Problem C (ICM)' z4 x- l) n' G3 S3 D5 d$ F* T
Classify Human Activities # |# R5 P' _( G& {One important aspect of human behavior understanding is the recognition and! N2 }' i/ n Z
monitoring of daily activities. A wearable activity recognition system can im 8 ^0 f M7 k8 t wprove the quality of life in many critical areas, such as ambulatory monitor; G. [, ?7 w1 @( ]( m
ing, home-based rehabilitation, and fall detection. Inertial sensor based activ - A* f6 t/ m* k* I. X* O, aity recognition systems are used in monitoring and observation of the elderly$ V* ?, o7 F( z/ I5 G" H% w
remotely by personal alarm systems[1], detection and classifification of falls[2], ' m- d: b, U# ?: \/ Q) omedical diagnosis and treatment[3], monitoring children remotely at home or in : n% A* g; E+ u" s4 _5 V1 Ischool, rehabilitation and physical therapy , biomechanics research, ergonomics,# Y) @8 H! R4 I0 N: Z
sports science, ballet and dance, animation, fifilm making, TV, live entertain, b* v( }% P3 q/ X/ ~' P' D( J9 z
ment, virtual reality, and computer games[4]. We try to use miniature inertial $ M0 T/ j C( M3 B, asensors and magnetometers positioned on difffferent parts of the body to classify - K3 t" `0 }7 l( s( mhuman activities, the following data were obtained.% W9 G$ A( E5 `
Each of the 19 activities is performed by eight subjects (4 female, 4 male,/ R3 t9 O+ i1 p
between the ages 20 and 30) for 5 minutes. Total signal duration is 5 minutes / T1 ], |( K" a; Y- g# Y2 Xfor each activity of each subject. The subjects are asked to perform the activ# S2 s* S1 J" \3 n" `5 b
ities in their own style and were not restricted on how the activities should be / m7 k; V% G% J- p8 x4 O! s+ g1 o8 Xperformed. For this reason, there are inter-subject variations in the speeds and) a& Q6 [. B3 o1 R
amplitudes of some activities.- I9 I& Y1 g, }0 P
Sensor units are calibrated to acquire data at 25 Hz sampling frequency.. q" N: u0 R: E. f [- y1 r6 {
The 5-min signals are divided into 5-sec segments so that 480(= 60 × 8) signal ' s7 H7 h9 ^$ F" M* `segments are obtained for each activity. i# m: V l+ m/ d9 Y6 S. x2 t
The 19 activities are:2 g: {7 o1 V% S9 k3 {- x" V3 e
1. Sitting (A1); / F; Z% k7 C! h" `! ]# k$ p2. Standing (A2); 2 k, e' Z7 w- Z2 h' Q- r! o+ n3. Lying on back (A3);# U" v3 Q- z! V7 Y1 H% v
4. Lying on right side (A4);7 L$ G# d- x$ m
5. Ascending stairs (A5); 0 r) ~+ y0 T5 B16. Descending stairs (A6);( z6 C- z; d' s" V* p
7. Standing in an elevator still (A7); % k" R& n+ y, u# e6 d0 d8. Moving around in an elevator (A8); 9 Q i- [+ I7 A. o9 D9 C9. Walking in a parking lot (A9); 1 H9 i: C8 t4 \. u10. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in flflat position and 15 deg " M2 D a+ t# w2 y; [inclined positions (A10); % i% V) v. F# O, J. e11. Walking on a treadmill with a speed of 4 km/h in 15 deg inclined positions" C1 N) M: o3 C, V' f9 f& y2 d
(A11);, ]# t9 E" D+ B3 E4 ~8 C$ b8 t- k
12. Running on a treadmill with a speed of 8 km/h (A12);2 P- h+ H2 D' d! ]
13. Exercising on a stepper (A13); - n) Y% d2 f% K14. Exercising on a cross trainer (A14); 3 g* R- }% t0 m( c: `! H15. Cycling on an exercise bike in horizontal position (A15);! S& Z. L) [; O) ]2 ~( g' ~7 @
16. Cycling on an exercise bike in vertical position (A16); ! v6 B3 l. p3 \- Q" k+ }17. Rowing (A17);" \% d3 f' B4 T: E* J, p
18. Jumping (A18); " c% u$ M: X' Q19. Playing basketball (A19). 0 Z7 n: c! R9 [ N0 g/ x* IYour team are asked to develop a reasonable mathematical model to solve+ `) a4 p/ s9 q/ A& W
the following problems. * l- I4 g7 f% s2 u, S1. Please design a set of features and an effiffifficient algorithm in order to classify . o* g& L" u$ ^% ?the 19 types of human actions from the data of these body-worn sensors. & _4 z) J3 [3 h% E2. Because of the high cost of the data, we need to make the model have , U- r, ^0 B- ^" U9 m/ sa good generalization ability with a limited data set. We need to study 3 n- I x- e2 i' n/ N+ [! P" h! r2 z' vand evaluate this problem specififically. Please design a feasible method to* K# F6 x1 Z0 b" O. @3 P* B3 m. q
evaluate the generalization ability of your model.' x `) y4 a1 } P
3. Please study and overcome the overfifitting problem so that your classififi- 9 O) l1 n% E& I" |5 A1 ]cation algorithm can be widely used on the problem of people’s action ' N+ u+ J- R: vclassifification. ! g5 a- r7 b, V- O6 u" R K1 `The complete data can be downloaded through the following link: 8 N! Q( p, R: Q0 X# T3 r8 ]https://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CJUOrpy8oq % k" d S+ }" P2Appendix: File structure/ Z) W- E0 D c, J8 y- U+ Z
• 19 activities (a)7 ^+ D& l& W& Z' B. a
• 8 subjects (p) 4 M$ T! c" N' L5 r) p% `• 60 segments (s) % V( ^) b1 U3 ?- p• 5 units on torso (T), right arm (RA), left arm (LA), right leg (RL), left) C) O7 ^2 D- c% |, l0 c7 ?
leg (LL), ]8 x6 G. M8 r# B" x6 e0 e. z
• 9 sensors on each unit (x, y, z accelerometers, x, y, z gyroscopes, x, y, z1 t+ ?, k) I# O
magnetometers) ! C7 z( m t2 U( m% Y0 B1 g2 ~+ PFolders a01, a02, ..., a19 contain data recorded from the 19 activities.0 a; f8 c8 E. l
For each activity, the subfolders p1, p2, ..., p8 contain data from each of the 0 u4 o+ Y! q5 D8 subjects.! G3 u6 [" B; j, `4 c" O$ E* M, P
In each subfolder, there are 60 text fifiles s01, s02, ..., s60, one for each- }* D5 Z* k: j/ ~( a
segment.& f: j L2 C9 [) Y- L- l* D
In each text fifile, there are 5 units × 9 sensors = 45 columns and 5 sec × 25% d/ x$ a7 ^/ L: x! T4 W
Hz = 125 rows.! ]% f! u W1 T4 c
Each column contains the 125 samples of data acquired from one of the 7 f: i" e6 i+ Xsensors of one of the units over a period of 5 sec. 4 b" Z+ p! J6 KEach row contains data acquired from all of the 45 sensor axes at a particular ! K4 y4 o+ U; H* W! g4 M- Jsampling instant separated by commas. 6 V( i$ m' ], P8 b0 h8 n' ?* lColumns 1-45 correspond to:6 M8 o% G; C- S' z' S. ]
• T_xacc, T_yacc, T_zacc, T_xgyro, ..., T_ymag, T_zmag," n2 ]1 j" H0 q" p: Y5 \; p* \
• RA_xacc, RA_yacc, RA_zacc, RA_xgyro, ..., RA_ymag, RA_zmag, # W, @ x" E: ^: [' s% z• LA_xacc, LA_yacc, LA_zacc, LA_xgyro, ..., LA_ymag, LA_zmag,4 t3 _1 W' x; z" M/ }: {: R/ z2 z
• RL_xacc, RL_yacc, RL_zacc, RL_xgyro, ..., RL_ymag, RL_zmag, 7 p# a7 \6 n0 v0 f3 l" ~4 J• LL_xacc, LL_yacc, LL_zacc, LL_xgyro, ..., LL_ymag, LL_zmag. & ]) L7 _ w2 i+ s) N* V) \& WTherefore,9 ]% |1 ^* @8 w) T, H$ Z: H5 A3 B
• columns 1-9 correspond to the sensors in unit 1 (T),& s7 `' a& t( }+ `7 m
• columns 10-18 correspond to the sensors in unit 2 (RA), 9 ]4 V3 [$ l8 T& y, h$ }. p• columns 19-27 correspond to the sensors in unit 3 (LA),3 N$ m% j! v7 X1 b9 k
• columns 28-36 correspond to the sensors in unit 4 (RL),- U8 E& q6 ^, p4 l# n1 x
• columns 37-45 correspond to the sensors in unit 5 (LL). ! \) B6 u, W% r( ~1 H3References7 w: I5 [' r1 P5 A' q4 U4 H
[1] Mathie M.J., Celler B.G., Lovell N.H., Coster A.C.F. Classifification of basic3 N) h! Q- w5 q4 q- a8 ?+ r& n' ]
daily movements using a triaxial accelerometer. Med. Biol. Eng. Comput./ B1 p/ e* @; {2 y6 v8 e% d
42(5), 679-687, 2004 4 K* P4 C2 E: D" j% T[2] Kangas M., Konttila A., Lindgren P., Winblad I., Ja¨msa¨ T. Comparison of$ r; k: h- I+ I# _$ N, E( u1 K" `
low-complexity fall detection algorithms for body attached accelerometers. 8 Z4 b# O; q* H, {/ _* w7 kGait Posture 28(2), 285-291, 20085 V# v+ l2 ~8 x
[3] Wu W.H., Bui A.A.T., Batalin M.A., Liu D., Kaiser W.J. Incremental diag ' x! m6 I" Y& t7 Dnosis method for intelligent wearable sensor system. IEEE T. Inf. Technol.8 B) F3 W+ h6 M) }+ }5 t. j
B. 11(5), 553-562, 20070 U2 A# r9 y0 t" i/ H
[4] Shiratori T., Hodgins J.K. Accelerometer-based user interfaces for the con 8 F* w1 }8 P K5 s( |, V8 rtrol of a physically simulated character. ACM T. Graphic. 27(5), 20089 n1 u+ F( d: @+ G* O! t& [
" ]$ y6 X# ^6 d2022) x- S8 h( F* @3 X( V1 ~
Certifificate Authority Cup International Mathematical Contest Modeling : x" q: Z5 m s- xhttp://mcm.tzmcm.cn9 {5 t( m5 S8 H) u
Problem D (ICM) + T1 j; H. g" s, C" DWhether Wildlife Trade Should Be Banned for a Long9 s% y2 i6 |2 H
Time" `3 [$ v' l) Y( ~( {, z1 E
Wild-animal markets are the suspected origin of the current outbreak and the . R% {& o& S" ?/ n" C9 y$ I2002 SARS outbreak, And eating wild meat is thought to have been a source , [7 T) P& p. [0 ?4 P( b0 ~- qof the Ebola virus in Africa. Chinas top law-making body has permanently* k/ A3 L/ h$ {/ z# ^
tightened rules on trading wildlife in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak,7 @! j0 G) X- t+ K9 q% [
which is thought to have originated in a wild-animal market in Wuhan. Some 1 N% D( o: d. W2 Dscientists speculate that the emergency measure will be lifted once the outbreak 6 z: p4 A, y7 ?8 ?0 ^ends.5 \% B" A- H" C8 {/ L9 ?
How the trade in wildlife products should be regulated in the long term?/ O% g6 |* \2 ]' n) X
Some researchers want a total ban on wildlife trade, without exceptions, whereas4 u, F) U; C, x( @9 N# v
others say sustainable trade of some animals is possible and benefificial for peo1 |# s1 _, Q0 e4 e/ F- N
ple who rely on it for their livelihoods. Banning wild meat consumption could 3 p8 l$ N' z( w3 A$ E3 z! k9 h2 b& M5 ucost the Chinese economy 50 billion yuan (US $ 7.1 billion) and put one mil . m6 s% T" f- Q" c' n9 slion people out of a job, according to estimates from the non-profifit Society of 5 b, ?. L4 I. N2 } W$ C# M3 @Entrepreneurs and Ecology in Beijing. 4 |6 ?% q9 O8 X2 [3 VA team led by Shi Zheng-Li and Cui Jie of the Wuhan Institute of Virology ! [- o( C; b! d1 U* i& F& c5 Iin China, chasing the origin of the deadly SARS virus, have fifinally found their 0 D3 s4 |4 I* f5 e7 _smoking gun in 2017. In a remote cave in Yunnan province, virologists have2 D2 i2 Y+ I3 g) t' r) m; m
identifified a single population of horseshoe bats that harbours virus strains with 7 B5 Q2 K& T7 C9 N$ T$ Yall the genetic building blocks of the one that jumped to humans in 2002, killing 1 k/ ]( q- n, X7 t9 \/ Walmost 800 people around the world. The killer strain could easily have arisen) S3 D8 D0 C) c2 l
from such a bat population, the researchers report in PLoS Pathogens on 30 " j) `0 w1 z) v) |November, 2017. Another outstanding question is how a virus from bats in8 `/ _! j9 n$ W% ^ A1 y$ P/ i
Yunnan could travel to animals and humans around 1,000 kilometres away in. r- F5 @6 r5 ` t
Guangdong, without causing any suspected cases in Yunnan itself. Wildlife7 G& M( ]) X+ R; I+ e S
trade is the answer. Although wild animals are cooked at high temperature" _+ O N3 l! M( o& E* c5 S
when eating, some viruses are diffiffifficult to survive, humans may come into contact - [: t) l u' y; P2 L/ L, iwith animal secretions in the wildlife market. They warn that the ingredients & f$ r' A7 s- w: e3 \are in place for a similar disease to emerge again.8 I L& ?8 f4 d$ x) E- [
Wildlife trade has many negative effffects, with the most important ones being: # x! |( _3 \4 T2 M0 B8 B: Z1 H: ^1Figure 1: Masked palm civets sold in markets in China were linked to the SARS G! C8 y. u. H# @& p, X8 r* Qoutbreak in 2002.Credit: Matthew Maran/NPL' l- C! H6 B7 ~2 I" i( M8 D
• Decline and extinction of populations2 C* r9 R C. g, v# F
• Introduction of invasive species Z" X7 K' F! W7 c3 T; X• Spread of new diseases to humans % @$ u$ F2 l- a5 DWe use the CITES trade database as source for my data. This database3 f/ G" o7 _2 z7 p# x
contains more than 20 million records of trade and is openly accessible. The $ y& H2 `, v) u& _! Mappendix is the data on mammal trade from 1990 to 2021, and the complete 3 l5 j' _2 w7 {' i P! H: Z6 V9 M! }database can also be obtained through the following link: $ T7 n) K2 X3 R+ O# N/ Ghttps://caiyun.139.com/m/i?0F5CKACoDDpEJ4 b% m2 A' w, \ Y) A* }6 l
Requirements Your team are asked to build reasonable mathematical mod 1 D" R( e0 I9 m: _# f) lels, analyze the data, and solve the following problems:/ H/ A* |; C! D) {6 V
1. Which wildlife groups and species are traded the most (in terms of live 5 b% f: h4 D# p" ?animals taken from the wild)?0 d# D/ C1 \6 [( y; h
2. What are the main purposes for trade of these animals? + j, v' G) j0 A% }5 J5 ]* u3. How has the trade changed over the past two decades (2003-2022)?- {- V! C+ n7 K; r# t6 u
4. Whether the wildlife trade is related to the epidemic situation of major, q/ B0 D% E4 x, Z7 {
infectious diseases?% t3 w3 u5 \- j6 r
25. Do you agree with banning on wildlife trade for a long time? Whether it . r/ x6 p {# y4 D4 J, C7 zwill have a great impact on the economy and society, and why?8 l8 \! L8 A: k
6. Write a letter to the relevant departments of the US government to explain8 g1 P; ?) M( @' Y( W
your views and policy suggestions.( @/ U3 i2 h+ ?% j3 }
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